Professional Documents
Culture Documents
net/publication/272166208
CITATIONS READS
0 201
7 authors, including:
Some of the authors of this publication are also working on these related projects:
Handbook of Research on E-Government in Emerging Economies: Adoption, E-Participation, and Legal Frameworks View project
All content following this page was uploaded by Patricia M. Shields on 13 February 2015.
ABSTRACT
This study provides a preliminary analysis of the market for PhDs in public affairs and admini-
stration projected over the next several years. Drawing on data gathered from three surveys, we
explore the demand for academic PhDs (survey 1) and the supply of PhDs (surveys 2 and 3).
The analysis of demand is further refined to estimate nonacademic employment (surveys 2 and 3
and examination of job postings). We also explore the diversity of PhD graduates. This kind of
analysis is largely missing from the literature and is therefore an important, albeit initial contri
bution. We found that a gap exists between production of PhDs and the demand for them by
universities, and that demand exceeds production. The gap is made much larger, though, because
almost half of the PhDs graduating with degrees in public affairs and administration do not take
positions in U.S. academia but rather assume positions in federal state and local governments, in
the nonprofit sector, in think tanks, and in foreign universities and governments.
KEYWORDS
PhD job market, PhD job placement, PhDs in public affairs and administration
In its December 16, 2010, edition, The Econ postsecondary teaching market. For instance,
omist published an article entitled “The Dis the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
posable Academic: Why Doing a PhD Is Often expects a 19% growth (faster than average) in
a Waste of Time” (Anonymous, 2010). This postsecondary teaching jobs nationally between
article pointed to the frequent complaint about 2012 and 2022. BLS predicts a net increase of
overproduction of PhDs. Though the article 236,400 PhD-level postsecondary teachers in
did not investigate specific fields of training, it all fields during this period (Bureau of Labor
does raise an important question: Are U.S. Statistics, 2014). Unfortunately, the BLS does
universities graduating too many PhDs? For not provide labor growth for public admini
our purpose, the more pressing question is, are stration postsecondary teachers. Although pol
U.S. universities graduating too many PhDs in itical science PhDs are usually tracked, most
public administration? available national data sets do not separately
examine public administration or public affairs
To answer that question, it is necessary to and administration.
determine the market need for PhDs in public
administration. That is not easy to do, since We decided to investigate the demand for PhDs
there is no national data set to draw upon. in public affairs and administration by drawing
Some national data are available to provide on survey data gathered from the likely
some sense of the direction of job growth in the employers of PhD graduates of public affairs
Since the turn of the 21st century, research on programs with a strong major subfield in public
the PhD job market has increasingly focused administration. By doing so, we will be able to
on specific fields due to the wide variation project for the near future the needed number
between fields. By 2000, there were signs that of academic PhDs in public affairs and
the job market for PhD scientists and engineers administration, how many are actually being
was improving (Finn, 2001). National Science produced, and where they take employment.
Foundation data showed that within 3 years of The next section describes how we did this and
graduation, holders of PhDs had overall low reports the results of our data gathering.
rates of unemployment although there was
variation among fields. For instance, political In October and November of 2013, we
science PhDs had 3.4% unemployment while developed three surveys: an MPA Program
economics PhDs had 0.5% (Jones, 2002). Directors survey, a NASPAA-listed PhD Pro
Golicic, Bobbitt, Frankel, and Clinton (2004) gram Directors survey, and a PhD Program
examined the field of logistics and found that Directors survey for schools offering a PhD in
when demand for those graduates was high, political science with a strong major subfield
PhD programs grew to supply the next wave of in public administration.
teachers and that when demand fell off, the
new PhDs could not find jobs. Hobbs, Weeks, The MPA Program Directors survey was sent
and Finch (2005) demonstrated the high to the 283 MPA directors identified with the
demand for finance professors, and Basil and MPA programs listed on the NASPAA website.
Basil (2006) explored the continuing shortage Twenty-two of those individuals asked to be
of PhDs in marketing. In 2007 a survey of removed from the study, resulting in a total
3000 new PhDs in anthropology, commun population of 261. From that population, 123
ications, geography, history, political science, completed surveys were received, giving a
response rate of 47%. This survey assumed
and sociology revealed that while most grad
that these MPA programs would be likely
uates eventually found full-time employment
employers of PhD graduates from programs of
in their fields, many struggled in the period
public administration and public affairs. The
immediately after getting their degrees (Byrne,
survey asked a series of questions regarding
2007). In one of the few studies focusing on
hiring practices of the MPA programs.
PhDs in public affairs and administration,
Cordes, Conger, Ladd, and Luger (2008) The NASPAA-listed PhD Directors Survey was
reported that of the new PhD recipients of sent to 78 program directors identified by
public affairs degrees in 2004, employment was NASPAA personnel as the appropriate contact
found in a wide assortment of places including persons. Five of those contacted declined to
U.S. academia (42%), govern ment (18%), participate, leaving a population of 73. Of
industry or self-employed (6%), and non-U.S. those, 41 directors completed the survey, giving
employers (13%). a response rate of 56%. This survey asked
questions about the program’s graduates and
SURVEY METHODS their placement. We did not concern ourselves
The likely primary employer of new graduates with the name of the degree itself; rather, we
from PhD programs in public affairs and assumed that NASPAA-listed PhD programs
administration will be the postsecondary would be teaching subject matter that would
teacher market. One way to determine the true qualify graduates to teach in MPA programs.
need of the postsecondary teaching market for
public administration PhD graduates, there The final survey was sent to the 20 schools that
fore, is to discern the hiring practices of MPA we identified from a national search of PhD-
programs and to compare those numbers with granting political science institutions. We
the actual graduates being produced nationally searched their web pages to determine major
by PhD programs in public affairs and areas of focus. We identified 20 that seemed to
administration or political science PhD have a substantial focus or strong subfield in
Table 1.
Full Time Hiring of Public Administration Professors for MPA Programs
Tenured 23 Tenured 26
Adjunct/contract 92 Adjunct/contract 80
public administration. Of those program dir 123 programs. This result corresponds to a per
ectors, 2 asked to be removed from the study, program average hiring rate of 0.68 full-time
leaving 18 schools in our population. Of these, hires per program per year.
10 directors responded to the questionnaire,
yielding a response rate of 56%. This survey If these findings of future need are generaliz-
asked questions about the placement of the able to all NASPAA MPA programs and are
program’s graduates with a specialization in extrapolated to include all 283 NASPAA
public administration. MPA programs, then the near future annual
hiring demand for full-time public admin
SURVEY FINDINGS: MPA PROGRAM DIRECTORS istration faculty positions from all NASPAA
Because we assumed that a key market demand MPA programs will be about 192 positions
for PhDs in public administration and public per year (at least until hiring trends change).
affairs would be as faculty in U.S. academia and
that a main placement avenue would be to The survey asked the MPA directors about the
teach in MPA programs, we asked MPA hiring of PhD-level part time public admini
stration professors for the prior three years as
directors about their hiring practices. We
well as their projections for the next three years
inquired about hiring in the last three years,
of hiring. Table 2 shows these results. As Table
and we asked the MPA directors to project
2 shows, these 123 programs project a slight
hiring in the next three years. Table 1 shows reduction in the number of part-time posi
these results for full-time hiring. As Table 1 tions, dropping from an annual average of 64
shows, the 123 program directors responding a year in the past to 60 a year in the future for
indicate that over the last three years, they hired the group of 123 programs responding to the
272 tenure track, tenured, or adjunct/contract survey, or a future annual average of 0.49 hires
full-time professors of public administration for per year per program.
their programs, or an average of 91 per year.
Table 1 also shows that the projections of hir Table 3 shows that if these findings of future
ing for the next three years are reasonably need are generalizable to all NASPAA MPA
consistent with history—that is, a projection of programs and are extrapolated to include all
252 positions in the next three years for the 283 NASPAA MPA programs, then the
123 programs or 84 positions per year for the number of part-time public administration job
Table 2.
Part-Time Hiring of Public Administration Professors for MPA Programs
Teach only one class 123 Teach only one class 120
Teach more than one class 70 Teach more than one class 61
positions for PhD-level applicants will be about The survey asked several questions about div
139 per year from all NASPAA MPA programs. ersity. First, we asked MPA directors if there
Combined part-time and full-time demand was typically adequate diversity in their hir-
from all 283 NASPAA MPA programs for ing pools. Half (50%) of respondents said no.
PhD-level professors will therefore be about Of the respondents who had said no, we asked
331 per year, at least for the next several years. what ethnic or racial groups they thought were
underrepresented. The largest category was
To determine if there is a shortage of qualified Black or African American (91%), and Hispan
PhD-level candidates to fill open positions, the ic or Latino was not far behind (75%). When
survey asked MPA directors two related ques we asked all respondents if they thought they
tions. First, the directors were asked if they might have difficulty meeting NASPAA’s Div
have ever hired a PhD in another discipline ersity Standard 3.2 in their next accreditation,
when they really wanted to hire a PhD in pub 30% of respondents indicated they would. The
lic administration. Nearly one third (32%) of reasons varied, but the most common reason
respondents said yes. Second, MPA directors given was the lack of Black and Hispanic
were asked if they had ever tried to hire a person candidates in hiring pools. The second most
with a PhD in public administration but had common reason provided was the difficulty of
been unable to find one to fill their need. A finding competitive salary packages to recruit,
surprising 38% of MPA directors answered yes hire, and retain diverse faculty members.
to that question. Table 4 shows these results.
SURVEY FINDINGS: PhD PROGRAM DIRECTORS
To probe a bit deeper into the need for specific The results of the MPA survey tells us much
qualifications, the survey asked MPA directors about the current and likely near-term future
to indicate which specializations for MPA demand for PhDs in public affairs and
staffing they believe are going to be in the administration, but nothing of the supply. To
highest demand in the coming years. Table 5 ascertain the supply, we directed two surveys to
summarizes these results and shows that the the producers of PhDs. We surveyed PhD
greatest future demand lies in the specialization program directors from the 78 programs listed
areas of nonprofit management and budgeting by NASPAA and 20 political science programs
and finance. with a strong subfield in public administration.
Table 3.
Likely National Annual Market Demand for PhD-level Faculty by NASPAA-listed MPA Programs
Total 331
Table 4.
Shortage of Qualified PhD-level Candidates
Have you ever hired a PhD in another discipline when you really wanted
32
to hire a PhD in public administration?
Have you ever tried to hire a person with a PhD in public administration
38
but have been unable to find one to fill the need?
Table 5.
Needed Specializations for MPA Staffing
Nonprofit management 65 53
Human resources 31 25
Policy 29 24
Organizational theory/change/behavior 17 14
Twenty-seven respondents from NASPAA listed 300 graduates per year are coming from all
programs answered the question: On average, programs (265 from NASPAA-listed programs
about how many PhD graduates does your and 35 from political science programs with a
program produce annually? These respondents strong subfield in public administration).
reported a total of 93 annual PhD graduates or Tables 6 and 7 show these results.
said on average that each program produces 3.4
PhD graduates per year. The eight respond- Where do these graduates find employment?
ents to the question from the political science The surveys asked PhD program directors to
programs with a strong subfield in pub lic provide the percentage of graduates who find
administration reported a total of 14 PhD employment in various venues within three
graduates per year or said on average that each years of graduation. Table 8 summarizes the
program produces 1.75 PhDs per year. If these results for NASPAA-listed PhD programs, and
averages are representative of the population Table 9 summarizes the results for the political
and are extrapolated to all the programs (78 science PhD programs with a strong subfield
NASPAA-listed programs and 20 political in public administration. As these tables show,
science programs with a strong subfield in public only slightly more than half of the graduates
administration), then on average approximately choose to take jobs in U.S. academia as
Table 6.
Current and Future Graduates from NASPAA-listed PhD Programs
On average, about how many PhD graduates does your program produce annually? 93
On average, about how many PhD graduates does your program produce annually? 14
Total 107
TABLE 7.
Likely Annual Future PhD Graduates Produced by NASPAA-Listed PhD Programs and
Political Science PhD Programs With a Strong Subfield in Public Administration
Total 300
Hispanic, 20% African or African American, full- and part-time positions are considered,
and 20% Asian. Political science PhD programs then the postsecondary teaching employment
with a strong subfield in public administration gap could be as high as 169 positions annually.
programs report that 16% of their graduates This conclusion is supported by Table 5, which
are Hispanic, 15% African or African American, shows the high degree of difficulty MPA
and 10% Asian. directors express when trying to hire someone
to teach in their programs. More than a third
Of the NASPAA-listed PhD programs, four PhD of program directors say they have tried to
program directors indicate they are a Hispanic- hire a person with a PhD in public administra
serving institution, and five of the directors tion but have been unable to find one to fill
from political science programs with a strong the need.
subfield in public administration say they are.
Of the NASPAA-listed PhD programs, only Another factor should be considered; diversity
one director indicates it is a Historically Black is a major issue for MPA programs. NASPAA
College or University; none of the directors promotes diversity within MPA program fac
from political science programs with a strong ulty, student bodies, and curricula. NASPAA’s
subfield in public administration say they are. 2013 Diversity Report shows that programs
continue to struggle to attract and retain diverse
DISCUSSION student and faculty groups. In 2013, the report
The survey data indicate a need for PhD-level notes, 49% of students were minority while
professors to staff the nations’ MPA programs 51% were white, and 39% were male while
of about 331 hires annually (192 full-time and 61% were female. Faculty, however, do not
139 part-time; see Table 3). Projections for mirror those demographics. NASPAA reports
future PhD graduates from all NASPAA-listed that in 2013, faculty was 77% white, 12%
PhD programs and political science programs African American, 7% Asian, 4% Hispanic,
with a strong subfield in public administration and less than 1% American Indian. Gender
total about 300 per year (see Table 7), producing makeup showed that 66% of the faculty was
an annual employment gap of 31 if all graduates male and 34% was female (Primo, 2013). Our
go to academia. But our survey results show that survey data also reflect these trends (see Table
is not where these graduates are placing. Rather, 11); the overwhelming numbers of graduates
because only about half of the graduates go to from PhD programs are Caucasian.
U.S. academia, the PhD programs are pro
ducing far fewer candidates than needed for It also should be noted that this analysis in
those academic jobs. Table 12 summarizes these cludes only the hiring needs of MPA programs
projections and the likely true national em and not those of undergraduate public admin
ployment gap: PhD programs are projected to istration programs or the PhD programs them
produce only 162 graduates to fill those needed selves. Undergraduate programs, political science
academic professoriate positions (143 from PhD programs with strong subfields in public
NASPAA-listed PhD programs and 19 from administration, and NASPAA-listed PhD pro
political science PhD programs with a strong grams in public affairs and administration have
subfield in Public Administration). hiring needs in addition to MPA programs, and
those needs enlarge the demand for PhD
Because many graduates seek careers outside of graduates from these programs. We did not
academia and because many return to a job separately analyze the PhD programs them
currently or previously held, the number of selves, based on the assumption that depart
graduates available for the U.S. academic pro ments with PhD programs would likely also
fessor pool is considerably lower than might be have MPA programs; however, for PhD pro
expected in a traditional social science disci grams in political science with a strong subfield
pline. If only full-time positions are considered, in public administration, that may not be the
a more realistic postsecondary teaching em case. Nor did we include bachelor’s programs
ployment gap is 30 positions annually. If both |in public administration, which are becoming
increasingly common in the United States. As our survey results show, many graduates of
Further, it is important to note that we did not public administration programs find employ
include an analysis of doctor of public ad ment in venues other than the U.S. postsecond
ministration (DPA) programs. ary teaching market. Tables 8 and 9 showed
these results. PhD program directors report high
The overall need increases when consideration percentages of graduates going into the non-
is given to market demand by law schools. In U.S. postsecondary teaching market. We fur
addition to teaching careers in political science ther investigated these markets to get a sense of
and public administration departments, grad the market demand.
uates with PhDs may also be preparing them
In addition to academia, there is a demand in
selves for jobs as law professors. Brad Wendel,
areas of government employment for PhD-level
professor of law at Cornell University, argues
employees. The U.S. federal government offers
that “there are some areas [of law] in which it is
opportunities for PhDs looking for car eers
becoming almost impossible to get a job at a
outside of academia. Columbia University
top national law school without a PhD in a Center for Career Education argues,
relevant discipline.” He further argues that “a
substantial majority of the newly minted law Federal jobs are spread across more than
professors who are judged to be doing 100 agencies and bureaus, each with its
interesting work by senior scholars in their own mission and each overseeing its own
fields have come to legal education with some hiring and recruitment. With over 1.7
graduate training beyond the J.D.” and “in the million jobs, and over 400 occupational
hot-shot segment of the entry-level market,… specialties, the Federal Government of
there is a pronounced trend toward requiring fers more choices than any other em
Ph.D.’s in closely related disciplines” (Wendel, ployer in the U.S. The skills and content
n.d.). The LLM Guide: Master of Laws Programs knowledge accumulated during a grad
Worldwide argues that degrees that lead to uate career in the humanities and social
publications, like the PhD, “are probably the sciences are useful to many governmental
single-biggest factors for law school hiring bureaus. (Columbia University Center
committees” (Wish, n.d.). for Career Education, n.d.)
Table 10.
Percentage of PhD Graduates Returning to Current or Previous Employer or Retraining for a
Second Career
For instance, the Department of Defense offers education must have provided the appli
a standard education substitution for those cant with the knowledge, skills, and ab
holding PhDs and applying for GS-11 posi ilities to successfully perform the duties of
tions. The language reads: the position being filled. (ONET, n.d.)
PhD or equivalent doctorate degree or Further, ONET reports that in 2011, 50% of
three full years of progressively higher level administrative law judges, adjudicators, and
of graduate education leading to such a hearing officers had PhDs or professional de
degree or LL.M., if related. Qualifying grees (ONET, n.d.).
Table 11.
Percentage of PhD Graduates in Demographic Groups
Table 12.
PhD Program Graduates Likely Placement Venues, Annual
PhDs often are desired in nonacademic posi qualification, a PhD in public administration
tions in universities and in nonprofit organ or related discipline. For federal jobs we
izations. Columbia University Center for Car examined a variety of sources: the Bureau of
eer Education (n.d.) states: Labor Statistics, Partnership in Public Service,
publicservicecareers.org, the top 30 think tanks
Institutional research offices look for in the United States and, of course, job postings
PhDs to prepare and analyze data about on usajobs.gov. In essence, we were looking for
the university and to apply that analysis nonacademic opportunities for those with
to institutional problems and issues. a PhD.
Public affairs offices, internal and ex
ternal newsletters and magazines, and The intellectual entrepreneurship consortium
the communications and foundations at the University of Texas at Austin states that
arms of development offices are all likely 35% of employees in the Congressional Budget
sources of opportunities for PhDs with Office hold doctoral degrees (Johnson, 2013).
strong research and writing skills. We also found 30 job descriptions from
usajobs.gov and some think tanks that require
The Center also points out that nonprofit a PhD or mention that a candidate with a
or
ganizations (NPOs) are a likely place- PhD could use that to substitute experience
ment opportunity. requirements. In other words, a PhD would be
seen favorably when education is used as the
NPOs cover a wide range of organizations, sole criterion for qualifying for a job. We also
including health, educational, religious, came to the conclusion that specialist positions
arts, and charitable organizations, as well may require and prefer Ph.Ds.
as advocacy groups, professional socie
ties, and research institutes. Nonprofits Our survey results also pointed to the place-
derive their operating revenues from ment of about 5% of graduates in foreign uni
foundations, government grants, mem versities as professors. To further explore this
bership dues, and fees for services they employment venue, between September and
provide (thus their continuing need for November of 2013, we also undertook a search
grant writing and fundraising). Many of job listings looking for demand for graduates
PhD students seek out NPOs as their from U.S. universities to teach in foreign
first step outside academia, in part be universities. This brief job search verified the
cause the culture of nonprofits can be demand for PhDs in public affairs and ad
particularly PhD friendly, and also ministration in some of the venues identified
because these organizations often need by PhD program directors in our survey.
staff skilled in grant writing, research,
fundraising, program evaluation, pro CONCLUSION
gram development, and advising—all Our study shows that there is currently no
skills with which many PhDs are well- overproduction of PhDs in public affairs and
versed. (Columbia University Center for administration. To the contrary, a gap appears
Career Education, n.d.) to be present in the number of PhDs being
produced and the market demand for them.
To further support the claim that PhDs are MPA program directors reveal that they have
hired in venues other than academia, between unmet hiring needs. Moreover, diversity re
September and November of 2013, we un quirements do not match current production
dertook a search of job listings at national, of PhDs, so there is a need to produce more
state, and local levels of government, non- PhDs from African American and Hispanic
profit, and for-profit organizations. Our aim demographics. The U.S. nonacademic market
was to find job advertisements that specifically demand for PhDs is strong, and the demand
sought, as either a required or preferred by foreign university for graduates from Ameri
can programs is sustained. Although history tells Columbia University Center for Career Education.
us to be wary about overproduction of PhDs, (n.d.). Non-Academic career options for PhDs in
the humanities and social sciences. Retrieved from
for now there seems to be more of a boom
http://www.careereducation.columbia.edu/
market than a bust. However, PhD programs resources/tipsheets/non-academic-career-options-
should be careful to periodically monitor the phds-and-mas
market demand for their graduates and to
adjust their entering classes according to likely Cordes, J., Conger, D., Ladd, H., & Luger, M. (2008).
future demand. Undergraduate and doctoral education in public
policy: What? Why? Why not? Where to? Journal of
Policy Analysis and Management, 27(4), 1009–1026.
Tobias, S., Chubin, D. E., & Aylesworth, K. (1996, authored Ethics in the Public Service: The Moral
July/August). Chutes and ladders. The Sciences, Mind at Work; Common Ground, Common
17–21. Future: Moral Agency in Public Administration,
Professions, and Citizenship; and Practical Ethics
Wendel, B. (n.d.). The big rock candy mountain: How
in Public Administration. His work has also
to get a job in law teaching. Retrieved from http://
ww3.lawschool.cornell.edu/faculty_pages/wendel/ appeared in the American Review of Public
teaching.htm Administration, Administrative Theory & Praxis,
and the Journal of Management History.
Wish, V. (n.d.). The academic path: Becoming a law
professor. LLM Guide: Master of Laws Programs Nandhini Rangarajan, PhD, is an associate pro
Worldwide. Retrieved from http://www.llm-guide. fessor of Political Science at Texas State Uni
com/article/658/the-academic-path-becoming-a- versity. Her research interests are in creativity
law-professor
and innovation, public management, human
resources, and organizational behavior. Her
Youn, T. (2005). The academic job market is bad for all
of us. Academe, 91(6), 27–30. articles have appeared in journals such as the
Review of Public Personnel Administration and
Public Productivity and Management Review.
She recently published a book (coauthored with
Dr. Patricia Shields) on research methods.