Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Adam Tarock
To cite this article: Adam Tarock (2017) Russo–Iranian Relations in the Post-Soviet Era,
Diplomacy & Statecraft, 28:3, 518-537, DOI: 10.1080/09592296.2017.1347449
ABSTRACT
The West has shunned the Islamic Republic of Iran for most of the
past 38 years. To neutralise the very negative impact that this
situation has had on the country’s economy and political isola-
tion, Iran has turned to the East, in particular to China and Russia,
a change in orientation despite Iran’s traditional preference for
the West. Since the Soviet Union’s demise, Iran and Russia have
steadily been expanding co-operation in trade, regional security,
nuclear technology, military issues, and oil and natural gas
exploration and marketing. Yet both Powers have cautiously
approached one other. The degree of expansion or contraction
in co-operation has depended considerably on whether relations
between the West and Russia have been amicable or hostile.
Historically speaking, Great Power rivalry over Iran has worked
better for Tehran than when these Powers have taken a unified
policy, as in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries.
CONTACT Adam Tarock itarock@bigpond.net.au 24 Francesca Street, Mont Albert North, Victoria 3129, Australia.
© 2017 Taylor & Francis Group, LLC
DIPLOMACY & STATECRAFT 519
After the fall of Shah Reza Pahlavi in 1979, the United States feared that
Iran would tilt towards the Soviet Union or, worse, become its satellite.
Moscow hoped that the strong anti-American sentiments prevalent in Iran
at the time would help form a strong economic and political, and perhaps
even military, alliance between the two states. However, the superpowers
proved wrong in both their assessment of the Islamic revolution and under-
standing of post-Pahlavi Iran. The revolutionary leader at the time, Ayatollah
Khomeini, had dismissed both superpowers: America the “Great Satan”;
Soviet Russia, the “Lesser Satan”; these slogans have since lost their currency
and impact in Iran’s political discourse.
Nevertheless, it is reasonable to think that the Iranians received news of the
disintegration of the Soviet Union with much satisfaction and approbation.
After all, Soviet demise removed a superpower neighbour that was ideologically
and geographically intimidating and threatening. But if Iran was under Soviet
threat from the 1946 Azerbaijan crisis to the collapse of the Soviet Union,
Tehran was in no position to claim to be an innocent party. During much of
the Cold War, Iran’s policy towards Moscow was far from neighbourly or free
from antagonistic posturing. For instance, Moscow had reason to be irritated at
Tehran for allowing the Americans to establish military bases near the Soviet–
Iranian border and, by way of electronic surveillance, spy on the Soviet Union.
In response, Moscow sometimes implicitly and sometimes explicitly fomented
political agitation in Iran through the Tudeh or by radio broadcasts or other
propaganda to undermine the Shah’s position. However, although Soviet demise
was welcome to the new Iran, it nevertheless remained in a precarious and
vulnerable position vis-à-vis the sole superpower that viewed it as a “rogue” and
“outlaw” state. Moreover, Washington made it known publicly that it wanted
and was trying to change the Iranian regime. Faced with the real prospect of this
threat, it is safe to assume that the Iranian leadership would have wanted the
Soviet Union to remain in place, shedding its communism and serving as a
protective shield against American interventions in the non-Western world
particularly the Middle East.
One can argue that economic considerations primarily drive Russia’s
interest in Iran: selling it things that it wants.4 That may be true.
Nevertheless, such an argument ignores other crucial factors that influence
Russo–Iranian relations. Geostrategic considerations in Central Asia, the
Caucasus, and Middle East have had a great bearing on the nature of their
co-operation. In fact, Iran has had much to offer Russia in terms of helping
it, directly and indirectly, to maintain security and stability in Central Asia.
For instance, Iran refused either to assist materially or politically the Chechen
Moslems in their struggle for national independence. Iran also mediated a
ceasefire between Azerbaijan and Armenia in their war over Nagorno
Karabakh in the 1990s. A particular area of close Russo–Iranian co-
operation in recent times is combating Al Qaeda and Islamic State of Iraq
DIPLOMACY & STATECRAFT 521
and the Levant [ISIS] terrorism in Central Asia. Iran has also indirectly
helped Moscow’s standing in the Moslem world by simply refraining from
criticising certain aspects of Moscow’s foreign policy towards the Islamic
world, for instance, remaining silent about Israeli refusal to negotiate with
the Palestinians.
However, recent tensions in the international landscape between the European
Union [EU], the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation [NATO], and the United
States, on one side, and Russia, on the other, over Ukraine and Syria have
prompted the expansion of geopolitical and strategic ties between Teheran and
Moscow. Increased tensions in Europe have also pushed the two Powers’ colla-
boration in fields like oil, gas, nuclear technologies, and regional and international
security. Closer Russian ties are important for Iran as its relations with the West in
general, and America in particular, remain distant if not hostile notwithstanding
the signing of the July 2015 nuclear agreement, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of
Action [JCPOA] between Iran and the five permanent members of the UN
Security Council—America, Britain, China, France, and Russia—plus Germany.
If the strong anti-Iran sentiments existing in the American establishment and
mainstream media are anything to judge, antagonism between the two Powers will
continue for some time. Thus, Russia and Iran are both in geopolitical and
economic conflict with the EU and United States and have good reasons to
work closely and productively with each other. What has made the Russo–
Iranian relationship amicable, to the extent that it appears to be so, is that
Moscow recognised and accepted—although not necessarily liked—the new
Iranian political system from its inception in 1979. In fact, since that moment,
one of Russia’s primary objectives in the Middle East has been the long-term
survival of the Islamic Republic. Moscow views Iran as a force for stability in the
Caucasus, Central Asia, and the Persian Gulf, regions caught in a cycle of perpetual
instability where Tehran’s strategic geopolitical interests align much more closely
with Russia’s than those of the Western Powers.5 Moscow also believes that Iran
can act as a facilitator of the new re-invigorated Russian role in the Middle East.
For more than two decades after the Soviet demise, Moscow approached the
region cautiously even as Iran encouraged Russia to take a more active role. The
crisis in Syria after 2011 presented an opportunity for Russia to assume that role by
supporting the Bashir al-Assad regime in Damascus. With Moscow not indifferent
to Syria’s fate, revolutionary Iran has long invested much political and geostrategic
capital in supporting the Assad government.
Although the Islamic Republic has an image problem in the West, its
standing and reputation in many Moslem and Third World countries is
generally more benign. In other words, to many non-Western countries,
Iran is not the outlaw state portrayed for decades in the West, an asset that
Russia recognises and employs to its advantage. Ideologically and strategi-
cally, reasons exist for both Powers to form a tacit alliance. Both strongly
reject the American claim to unilateralism and exceptionalism in the conduct
522 A. TAROCK
… the need for the international community to develop a common vision of our
era is becoming ever more urgent… . Russia will continue to seek the strengthen-
ing of principles of multilateralism in international affairs, development of inter-
national relations that would be based on the recognition by the international
community of the principles of security indivisibility in the modern world and
would reflect its diversity.8
Teheran. The reason for Russia accommodating America’s request was that
at the time the two Powers were trying to “‘reset’ … U.S.–Russian relations.”9
Second, in 2011, Russia voted against Iran in the UN Security Council on
American-led sanctions resolutions over Tehran’s nuclear enrichment pro-
gramme. On an issue of paramount importance to the Iranians, Moscow
sided with Washington. Russia’s decision, therefore, was undoubtedly a
serious setback for Iran’s ability to resist both Western economic pressure
and the dismantling of, or rendering inoperative, nuclear facilities on which
Tehran had then spent $100 billion.10 The irony of Russia’s stance was that
Moscow was directly involved in the Iranian nuclear programme at the
Bushehr reactor since the early 1990s and would have known that Tehran
was not engaged in making nuclear bombs. Russia—and China—sided with
the West at the UN, opening the way for the imposition of crippling sanc-
tions on Iran, in the words of President Barak Obama, the “toughest sanc-
tions in history.”11 The Russians, if asked to explain their tilt to the West, will
probably justify their stance at the Security Council by holding up Niccolo
Machiavelli’s The Prince, where he recommends to politicians and princes
the values of realpolitik: states must always pursue their own national inter-
ests first.
Tehran and Moscow’s observance of realpolitik in their relationship also
reflected in frequent visits by their heads of state, as well as by regular contact
between high-ranking officials: military, trade, economic, and energy
amongst others. For instance, in 2012, an unprecedented record of 170 visits
of diplomatic delegations occurred.12 Perhaps the most publicised example of
Russo–Iranian geopolitical co-operation lay in the military and political
support each accorded the Assad government, enabling it to push back
armed opposition groups sustained primarily by America, France, and
some of the Arab Persian Gulf states, in particular Saudi Arabia and Qatar.
In the Syrian case, Moscow has been especially concerned about the security
of the Mediterranean port, Tarus, the only anchorage to which Russia has
had access in the Middle East for decades. Since this geostrategic port has
been so important to Russia, maintaining the Assad regime has always been a
major part of its policy in the region. Tarus, however, is only one aspect,
albeit a very significant one, of Russia’s Middle Eastern interests. For
Moscow, of particular importance is re-establishing and reasserting its rele-
vance in relations with the West, in general, and the United States and
NATO, in particular. Intervening in the Syrian crisis has already offered
the opportunity to achieve those objectives. Iran, too, has had geostrategic
interests in helping Assad keep his position. For Tehran, keeping the Assad
regime in power is also a matter of national security. Reports exist that
Ayatollah Khamenei has followed every detail of the Syrian war, that he
believes that this war is in fact against Iran as much as Syria.13 Still, another
factor for the Iranians wanting to bolster the Assad government derives from
524 A. TAROCK
that country in the summer. Defending towns and villages under their
control, the Iraqi Army collapsed without much resistance. Even Baghdad
was on the verge of falling to ISIS when the leader of the Iraqi Shi’ites,
Iranian-born Ayatollah Ali Shahristani, issued a fatwa calling on his followers
to stand up to the ISIS fighters. In the end, the Shia militias, supported by
Kurdish fighters—although divided between Sunnis and Shi’ites—re-
captured much of the territories, including the city of Fallujah, lost to
ISIS.16 A more recent example is the somewhat successful attempt by
Kurdish fighters and Shia militias to take back Mosul from ISIS in
October 2016.
ISIS and other Sunni extremist groups like Al Qaeda and Jebheh al-Nusra
have adopted Saudi Arabia’s strict and literal version of Islam—Wahhabism. A
strong core of Sunni fundamentalism is the sectarian hatred for Shi’ites and
other supposedly apostate branches of Islam, where the Saudi state and Sunni
extremists converge ideologically. The latter can hardly pose an existential
threat to Iran. But considering that they are known to have received direct and/
or indirect financial and moral support from Saudi Arabia and Qatar, and that
the ruling Saudi family has viewed the Islamic Republic as a political and
ideological rival, Tehran can hardly be happy to see ISIS flourish in
Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, and Central Asia. In this context, Russo–Iranian
concerns about Sunni fundamentalism converge. Their co-operation has
been more a matter of necessity than choice. What has, amongst other things,
brought about this necessity has been re-invigorated Russian involvement in
the Middle East in more recent years. Russia had been somewhat disengaged in
the region during the decade and one-half after 1991. Moscow appeared to
have left the arena of Middle Eastern politics and military affairs almost
entirely to its former rival, the United States. Parallel with Russia’s withdrawal
from the region, America increased its political and military profile. Plainly
put, Washington aggressively extended and expanded Western military inter-
vention in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, and, later, Syria. It is more than conjecture
to argue that America’s unrivalled position in the Middle East has had direct
bearing in both heightening conflict and allowing the unprecedented growth of
terrorism in the Greater Middle East, Central Asia, and beyond.
But there were other reasons for the Islamic Republic seeking strategic
partnership and political co-operation with Russia in the early 1990s. First,
Iran had just exited the devastating eight-year war with Iraq. It produced
many badly damaged Iranian villages, towns, and cities, some destroyed; the
economy was unhealthy, with many parts of it hardly functioning; and the
country’s military capability was at its lowest ebb. Second, and perhaps more
fundamental, Iran was isolated internationally, mostly by the United States
and European Great Powers. Some Europeans refused to recognise the
legitimacy of the Republic, others considered it an “outlaw” state. There are
plausible explanations for these Powers doing so. At the time, Iran faced
526 A. TAROCK
countries that earlier helped the Iranians in their technological pursuit were
France, Britain, and the United States, particularly under the Gerald Ford
Administration (1974–1979).18 The West offered the Shah the most favours
that it could afford to lavish on a Third World country aligned with it.
Besides, to the Americans, the sale of technologies and construction of
nuclear facilities would bring in billions of dollars to the United States
Treasury Department. And with the sudden hike of petroleum prices because
of the Arab oil embargo put on the West for supporting Israel in the early
1970s, Iran could easily pay the huge capital outlay needed for nuclear energy
facilities.19 For nearly four decades, Iran’s nuclear programme became a
lucrative business—hundreds of billions of dollars—for nuclear industries
in the West.
Iran’s offer to Russia to undertake the Bushehr completion was a proposition
that Moscow could hardly refuse, particularly as Russia’s economy was strug-
gling after the collapse of the Soviet Union. The signing of the Bushehr agree-
ment in 1995 was particularly important for the Iranians as it coincided with the
Bill Clinton Administration’s ever-harsher economic and political pressure on
Iran. In May 1995, the Americans asked the Russian president, Boris Yeltsin, not
to honour the agreement. Yeltsin declined. It is reasonable to argue that the
Russian refusal to acquiesce in the American request was because Moscow
thought that Washington wanted to deprive Russia of a big market for nuclear
technology. Understandably, the Iranians were jubilant about Yeltsin’s decision.
His decision in favour of Iran, and by extension bolstering the Russian nuclear
industry, was politically courageous considering that Washington considered
Iran an “outlaw” state. The significance of the Bushehr deal becomes more
obvious when compared with a previous one between Iran and Russia. The
two states had signed an agreement in 1992 whereby Russia would deliver
submarines to Iran; this agreement died when Russia acceded to Washington’s
request not to honour it. The importance of the Bushehr deal also needs viewing
in the context of the American Senate, which earlier introduced a bill linking aid
to Russia that limited its military co-operation with Iran. In view of American
hostility towards Iran, Tehran must have been happy to see that by the mid-
1990s, Russia was demonstrating a greater foreign policy independence than it
had shown previously. In the words of Yeltsin, Moscow now belonged to neither
the West nor the East. It had become “a dual-headed eagle.”20
The land-locked saltwater Caspian Sea is unique, with its extremely rich
hydrocarbon and fish resources, geopolitical significance, transport routes,
strategic location, and, finally, special place for the littoral states that share its
riches. The Caspian is also the world’s largest lake and its third richest area,
after the Persian Gulf and Siberia, in terms of hydrocarbon resources.21 The
history of Persian–Tsarist Russian–Russian relations concerning the Caspian
Sea goes back to the early nineteenth century and the conclusion of the
Treaty of Turkmenchay, which marked the end of the 1826–1828 Russo–
528 A. TAROCK
Persian wars. With the signing of that accord, Russia strengthened its posi-
tion in the Caspian. After Bolshevik consolidation of power in the Russian
Civil War, Teheran and Moscow signed the 1921 Friendship Treaty that
recognised the borders of the two countries in the Caspian Sea. Sometime
later, in 1935, the two signed another treaty, the Treaty of Establishment,
Commerce, and Navigation that gave each the right to fish in their coastal
waters to a distance of ten nautical miles. In the mid-1980s, when the Soviet
Union and Iran jointly managed the Caspian, Teheran proposed to Moscow
that they explore the waters for oil and natural gas. By then, Iran was no
longer an American “satellite” or “imperialist lackey” of the West—as the
Soviets viewed Iran under the Pahlavi monarchy.22 Yet, the Soviet response
to Iran’s suggestion was hardly enthusiastic. In any case, the 1921 and 1935
treaties remained the legal status of the Caspian Sea until 1991. Since then,
the old Soviet–Iranian ownership of the waters has increased, entangled in a
contentious legal battle with three other littoral states: Azerbaijan,
Turkmenistan, and Kazakhstan.
How much and exactly what any of the five littoral states should share and
how they should manage the Caspian is the legal issue that has after a quarter
century remained elusive. Naturally, each Power maintains a particular view
on how to divide Caspian riches and enjoy more of its wealth—fishing,
shipping, and oil and gas. The littoral states have been unable to find a
legal solution, a hurdle preventing them from exploring its vast natural
resources.23 Initially, Russia argued, and Iran concurred, that the provisions
of the old Soviet–Iranian treaties bound the littoral states. In other words, the
resources of the Caspian still belonged to Iran and Russia even after the
disintegration of the former Soviet Union. If the littoral states were to share
the resources, it should be on equal basis regardless of the length of the
seashore that each state possesses. In 1994, however, Russia changed its
previous position and accepted that the littoral states should share Caspian
resources under a new agreement. Yet, the legal status and many aspects of
the commercial use of the Sea have so far proved difficult in reaching a
common agreement. At one point, Turkmenistan supported the Russo–
Iranian proposition. It called for a condominium principle that would govern
the management of the Caspian until the littoral states agreed on its legal
status. However, they faced an impasse. According to the official position of
the Russians, who discovered them, the existing oil and gas fields should
constitute Russian assets.24 In 1996, Russia almost reached an agreement with
Azerbaijan that called for supporting a sectoral division; the two Powers
agreed to divide the seabed according to a median line principle but could
not agree on the point from which to measure the median line.
These cases illustrate the many difficult legal and conflicting questions that
have confronted the littoral states. A particular problem in settling their
dispute is the legal definition of “sea” and “lake.” Either term can define
DIPLOMACY & STATECRAFT 529
nations are governed by national interests and political expediency. The post-
Soviet Russo–Iranian relationship testifies to the validity of these assertions.
It means the two countries are not friends but partners—the terms “friend-
ship” and “friend” used frequently in diplomatic circles occur mostly for their
rhetorical utility. This axiom is particularly true when it comes to describing
Russo–Iranian co-operation in trade, nuclear technology, military assistance,
regional and international affairs, and more. Still, the extent of co-operation
and/or delays in the implementation of the agreements between Teheran and
Moscow has largely depended on the extent of amity or enmity between
Moscow and Washington.
The state of Russo–American relations have affected relations between Teheran
and Moscow. For instance, the frequent suspensions in construction of the
Bushehr nuclear reactor have had nothing to do with either technical or construc-
tion problems. Rather, delays in completing the reactor relate to Russia’s acceding
to American pressure to waive its commitment to Teheran. Unsurprisingly,
Russian delaying tactics brought strong reaction from the Iranians, who accused
Moscow of “bad faith.”30 The nuclear reactor agreement, signed by the two
countries in 1995, saw project completion several years later after the Iranians
agreed to compensate Russia for rising costs and inflation, which the latter claimed
was the reason for the delays. For the Iranians, the Bushehr saga was another
example that agreements signed between Great Powers and lesser ones provide no
solid guarantee of them being honoured fully or even partly. Another example is
the financial and banking difficulties thrown in by the United States and EU in
implementing the JCPOA at the expense of Iran.
Despite many setbacks, Russia and Iran seem to have adopted realpolitik as
the guiding political compass for conducting their relationship. The concept
argues that relationships with other Powers continue as long as they serve the
parties’ national interests. In the Bushehr case, Iran had little choice but to
persist in co-operating with Russia—even expanding co-operation. For exam-
ple, the two Powers signed an agreement in November 2014 that called for
Russia to build two new reactors with scope for a further six. One could excuse
the Iranians if they wondered how long the construction of six nuclear reactors
would take the Russians when it took them 20 years to complete Bushehr.
What is interesting in Russo–Iranian relations is that on oil and natural
gas, the two Powers can be both rivals and partners. According to British
Petroleum, Iran has the world’s largest reserves of natural gas and fourth
largest oil reserves. The country’s geostrategic position makes it capable of
supplying energy to Europe, its Middle Eastern neighbours, and beyond.31
Since early this century, Russia has shown great interest in and taken steps
towards co-operating with Iran in petrochemical energy, gas exploration and
production, refining, and oil transit from Iran to Russia.32 Iran has said it
wants to increase exports of natural gas to the West; and as relations between
Russia and Europe have deteriorated recently—Russia supplies gas to Europe
DIPLOMACY & STATECRAFT 531
—the EU may see Iran as an alternative supplier. In other words, Iran has the
capacity and opportunity to rival Russia as a supplier of energy to the EU. At
present, however, a more practical view is to consider a memorandum of
understanding signed between the two Powers in August 2014: worth
$20 billion, it calls for exchanging Iranian oil for Russian goods and
services.33 In addition, in 2015, Iranian officials expressed the view that
bilateral Russo–Iranian trade would increase from $5 billion to $70 billion
per year over the next several years.34 Although these forecasts in the
economic and energy fields may sound ambitious and optimistic, they are
nevertheless indicative of the two countries’ projected trade volumes.
The print and electronic media have provided images of high-ranking
Iranian and Russian generals in full military regalia greeting each other in
their respective capitals. Following talks, they often issue a communiqué the
content of which gives the impression that the two governments are in full
accord on military co-operation and defence matters. In general, this is
correct. Co-operation for the most part consists of Russian arms sales to
Iran. For example, the amount of bilateral military co-operation—$7 billion
between 2000 and 2007, with a market share representing 85 percent of Iran’s
arms imports—reflects a strong incentive for Russian diplomacy to keep Iran
happy.35 Still, their military co-operation almost halted when the UN
imposed sanctions on Iran because the West, Russia, and China argued
that Tehran engaged in nuclear weaponisation. In reality, the scope of their
military co-operation has been limited, cautious, and measured on both
sides, perhaps more on the Russian side. Why? Whilst there is no definite
answer/s to that question unless one is privy to the thinking of both sides,
there are some plausible explanations. In one instance, it is common knowl-
edge that the West has refused to sell weapons to Iran for the past 35 years—
and indications exist that the nuclear deal signed by Iran and Russia is
unlikely to lead to the West relaxing its arms embargo on Iran any time
soon. Iran needs $1.3 billion worth of advanced weapons to reduce its tactical
vulnerability to potential invaders.36 Furthermore, with the harsh economic
sanctions imposed on Russia by the West, and with plummeting oil prices on
international markets, Russia badly needs extra cash.
Another plausible dimension to the above question could be that Russia
believes Iran remains, basically, a West-leaning country that traditionally and
historically has felt more comfortable trading and forming political or mili-
tary alliances with the West. If—and a big “if”—Iran and the United States/
EU manage to re-establish “normal” relations, Iran would likely turn a more
favourable eye towards the West but would continue active relations with the
East. As to Iran’s hesitation to get too cosy with Russia, the bitter historical
memories of Russia from the nineteenth century until the demise of the
Soviet Union, as well as the sometimes-lax post-Cold War commitments
shown by Moscow in its agreements with Iran, have had an indelibly negative
532 A. TAROCK
impact on the Iranian psyche. Iranians may also feel that whilst Russia likes
an Iran independent of Western influence, it does not want a strong and
assertive Iran as a neighbour, particularly one that shares borders with the
states once parts of the Soviet Union. Yet, Iran is important to Russia. In one
estimate, Iran’s primary attraction to both the West and East is that it is a
major actor beyond its borders, particularly at the regional level.37 Moscow
wants to take advantage of Iran’s position “as a card in bargaining with the
West” but does not want Iran as a military partner.
As in the construction of the Bushehr nuclear reactor, delayed delivery of
purchased Russian military equipment and S300 missiles occurred several
times at the urging of Israel and the United States. In 1995, for instance, the
Gore-Chernomyrdin “secret” agreement saw Russia curtail arms sales to Iran.
In 2010, Tehran signed an agreement with Moscow to purchase a missile
defence system worth $800 to $900 million but saw delivery postponed
several times. In the end, President Dmitry Medvedev cancelled the agree-
ment reportedly because of outside pressure.38 Finally, Russia started delivery
of the missile system in May 2016 likely because of heightened tensions
between Russia and the West over Eastern Europe. By now, however, it has
become obvious to the Iranians that signing agreements with Russia and
honouring of them are different things. Put differently, Russia places less
value on co-operation with Iran when a stronger and more valued Power
from a geopolitical point of view comes along. Russia will prioritise that
relationship even when that Power might find objectionable a particular
agreement that Russia has made with a lesser state, Iran.
A particular characteristic of politics, however, is its consistency to change,
like a pendulum continuously moving from one side to the other. Thus, the
political landscape in relations between Russia and the West had altered
dramatically by 2015, with the West accusing Moscow of adopting an
aggressive position vis-à-vis its neighbours—Georgia and Ukraine—as well
as involving itself militarily in Syria. To counter Russia’s alleged “aggression,”
NATO established its first major missile defence site and air base in Romania
in May 2016, with plans to build a second installation in Poland in 2018.
NATO and the Pentagon claim that the anti-ballistic missile [AMB] network
in Eastern Europe targets Iran and not Russia. Russia maintains that this
reasoning is disingenuous: Iran has neither the missile capability to hit
Europe nor any reason for doing so. Putin has dismissed the NATO claim
saying, “this [installation of AMB] is part of American missiles with nuclear
warhead strategic potential brought [to] Eastern Europe … . We are forced to
think how to neutralise emerging threats to the Russian Federation.”39 The
relevance of this assessment to this analysis is that Iran can only be happy
and benefit when there are conflicts of interest between the major Powers.
The changes in America and Europe’s policy towards Russia have paved the
road for further expansion of co-operation between Moscow and Tehran.
DIPLOMACY & STATECRAFT 533
Notes
1. K. Blake, The U.S.–Soviet Confrontation in Iran, 1945–1962: A Case in the Annals of the
Cold War (Lanham, MD, 2009); L.L. Fawcett, Iran and the Cold War: The Azerbaijan
Crisis of 1946 (Cambridge, 1992); Jamil Hasanli, “New Evidence on the Iran Crisis
1945–46. From the Baku Archives,” Cold War International History Project Bulletin,
12/13 (2001), 308–14; Z.A. Rahman, A.S. Ghazali, R. Fauzi, and N.H. Yaacob, “Britain,
the United Nations and the Iranian Crisis of 1946,” Middle-East Journal of Scientific
Research, 18/119 (2013), 1544–56.
DIPLOMACY & STATECRAFT 535
20. Richard K. Herrmann, “Russian Policy in the Middle East: Strategic Change and
Tactical Contradictions,” Middle East Journal, 48/3 (1994), 456.
21. Shamkhal Abilov, “Legal Status of the Caspian Sea,” Institute of Strategic Studies,
Islamabad (2011): http://www.isis.org/pk/old-site/ss_Detail.php?datad=1921.
22. Adam Tarock, “Iran and Russia in ‘Strategic Alliance,’” Third World Quarterly, 18/2
(1997), 215.
23. Abilov, “Caspian Sea.”
24. Ibid.
25. Ibid., 129.
26. Hamidreza Azizi, “Post Sanctions and Prospect of Energy Cooperation in the Caspian
Sea,” Iran Review (5 April 2016): http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/-Post-
Sanctions-Iran-and-Prospect-of-Energy-Cooperation-in-the-Caspian-Region.htm.
27. Fand Raul Oglu Shafiyev, “The Legal Regime of the Caspian Sea: Views of the Littoral
States,” Prism, 7/6 (2016): https://jamestown.org/program/the-legal-regime-of-the-
caspian-sea-views-of-the-littoral-states/.
28. Azizi, “Post-Sanctions Iran.”
29. Barbara Janusz, Stiftung Wissensschaft und Politik, “The Caspian Sea: Legal Status and
Regime Problems,” Briefing Paper, Royal Institute of International Affairs
(August 2005).
30. “Russia III. “Russo–Iranian Relations in the Post-Soviet Era (1991–present),”
Encyclopedia Iranica: http://www.iranicaonline.org/articals/russia-iii-iranian-relation-
post-soviet.
31. Lukas Tichy and Nikkita Dintsov, “Can Iran Reduce EU Dependence on Russian Gas,”
Journal of Middle East Policy, 23/1 (2016), 110-24.
32. Kalehsar, “Iran–Russia Relations,” 21–22.
33. Schwartz, “Iran Deal.”
34. Alex Vatanka, “Shrimp, SAMs, and the Limits of Russian–Iranian Romance,” National
Interest (23 January 2015): http://nationalinterest.org/feature/shrimp-sams-the-limits-
russian-iranian-romance-12101.
35. “Russia III.”
36. Hussein Kebriaeizadeh, “Future Outlook of Military Cooperation between Iran and
Russia” (5 March 2016): http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Future-
Outlook-of-Military-Cooperation-between-Iran-and-Russia.htm.
37. Ibid.
38. “Russia, Iran Sign Military Cooperation Deal,” Associated Press (20 January 2015).
39. Jonathan Marshal, “Escalations in a New Cold War,” Consortium News (14 May 2016):
https://consortiumnews.com/2016/05/14/escalations-in-a-new-cold-war/.
40. Schwartz, “Iran Deal.”
41. Nick Gass, “Top Iranian Official Says U.S. and EU have not fulfilled Nuclear Deal,”
Politico (16 April 2016): www.POLITICO.com/story/2016/04/iran-nuclear-deal-us
-222029.
42. “Iran’s Supreme Leader Says U.S. Lifted Sanctions only on Paper,” Reuters
(27 April 2016): http://af.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idAFKCN0XO0SK.
43. Vatanka, “Shrimp, SAMs.”
44. Kebriaeizadeh, “Future Outlook.”
DIPLOMACY & STATECRAFT 537
Notes on contributor
Adam Tarock specialises in modern Middle East politics and the West, particularly American
policies towards the region. He has contributed numerous refereed articles to journals
published in Australia, Britain, and the United States. He has also published two books;
The Superpowers Involvement in the Iran–Iraq War (1998) and Iran’s Foreign Policy Since
1990; Pragmatism Supersedes Islamic Ideology (1999). He has taught at the University of
Melbourne in political developments in the Middle East and the impact of American political
and military activities on the region. He has also given papers at conferences discussing the
contemporary social and political issues there.