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b) Find the probability that the average speed of this sample of trucks exceeded
the speed limit by 20km or more.
Confidence Interval
Question 10
Playbill magazine reported that the mean annual household income of its readers is
$119,155 (Playbill, December 2003). Assume this estimate of the mean annual
household income is based on a sample of 80 households and, based on past studies,
the population standard deviation is known to be σ $30,000.
a) Develop a 90% confidence interval estimate of the population mean.
b) Develop a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population mean.
c) Develop a 99% confidence interval estimate of the population mean.
d) Discuss what happens to the width of the confidence interval as the
confidence level
Question 11
Sales personnel for Skillings Distributors submit weekly reports listing the customer
contacts made during the week. A sample of 65 weekly reports showed a sample
mean of 19.5 customer contacts per week. The sample standard deviation was 5.2.
Provide 90% and 95% confidence intervals for the population mean number of
weekly customer contacts for the sales personnel.
Question 12
The mean number of hours of flying time for pilots at Continental Airlines is 49
hours per month (The Wall Street Journal, February 25, 2003). Assume that this
mean was based on actual flying times for a sample of 100 Continental pilots and
that the sample standard deviation was 8.5 hours.
a) At 95% confidence, what is the margin of error?
b) What is the 95% confidence interval estimate of the population mean flying
time for
the pilots?
c) The mean number of hours of flying time for pilots at United Airlines is 36
hours
per month. Use your results from part (b) to discuss differences
between the flying times for the pilots at the two airlines.
d) The Wall Street Journal reported United Airlines as having the highest labor
cost among all airlines. Does the information in this exercise provide insight
as to why United Airlines might expect higher labor costs?
Hypothesis Testing
Question 13
Suppose a new production method will be implemented if a hypothesis test
supports the conclusion that the new method reduces the mean operating cost per
hour.
a) State the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses if the mean cost for the
current production method is $220 per hour.
b) What is the Type I error in this situation? What are the consequences of
making this error?
c) What is the Type II error in this situation? What are the consequences of
making this error?
Question 14
Individuals filing federal income tax returns prior to March 31 received an average
refund of $1056. Consider the population of “last-minute” filers who mail their tax
return during the last five days of the income tax period (typically April 10 to April
15).
a) A researcher suggests that a reason individuals wait until the last five days is
that on
average these individuals receive lower refunds than do early filers.
Develop appropriate hypotheses such that rejection of H0 will support the
researcher’s contention.
b) For a sample of 400 individuals who filed a tax return between April 10 and
15, the sample mean refund was $910. Based on prior experience a
population standard deviation of σ = $1600 may be assumed. What is the p-
value?
c) At α = .05, what is your conclusion?
Question 15
The average annual total return for U.S. Diversified Equity mutual funds from
1999 to 2003 was 4.1% (BusinessWeek, January 26, 2004). A researcher would
like to conduct a hypothesis test to see whether the returns for mid-cap growth
funds over the same period are significantly different from the average for U.S.
Diversified Equity funds.
a) Formulate the hypotheses that can be used to determine whether the mean
annual return for mid-cap growth funds differ from the mean for U.S.
Diversified Equity funds.
b) A sample of 40 mid-cap growth funds provides a mean return of
x-bar = 3.4%. Assume the population standard deviation for mid-cap
growth funds is known from previous studies to be σ =2%. Use the sample
results to compute the test statistic and p-value for the hypothesis test.
c) At α= .05, what is your conclusion?
Question 16
For the United States, the mean monthly Internet bill is $32.79 per household
(CNBC, January 18, 2006). A sample of 50 households in a southern state showed a
sample mean of $30.63. Use a population standard deviation of $5.60.
a) Formulate hypotheses for a test to determine whether the sample data
support the conclusion that the mean monthly Internet bill in the southern
state is less than the national
mean of $32.79.
b) What is the value of the test statistic?
c) What is the p-value?
d) At α = .01, what is your conclusion?
Question 17
According to official data, the average annual expenditure on dental care in
Kingston, Jamaica is at least $50,000 per person. A random sample of 250 persons
showed that they spent an average of $49,000 on dental care last year with a
standard deviation of $10,350. Test at the 5% significance level whether last year’s
mean annual dental care expenditure per person in the parish was less than
$50,000.
a) Formulate the hypotheses to be tested.
b) Calculate the value of the test statistics.
c) What is the conclusion?