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● H

pH

● B
pB (1 − )

p B < pH
L

j Cj = ( j
, Ij) j

Ij

j
● CH = ( H
= pH I H , I H = L)

● CB = ( B
= pB I B , I B = L)

Ij L
j

pH I H pB I B
i

⇧i = �pi + (1 − pi )� i
− �pi I i + (1 − pi ) × 0�
= i
− pi I i

⇧i = 0 ⇐⇒ i
= pi I i

E0

wS wM
i = H, B

EU i = pi u(wM ) + (1 − pi )u(wS )

dEU i = pi u′ (wM )dwM + (1 − pi )u′ (wS )dwS


dwM 1 − pi u′ (wS )
− =
dwS pi u′ (wM )

u(.)
E0
wS ≥ wM

u′ (wS )
u′ (wS ) ≤ u′ (wM ) ⇐⇒ ≤1
u′ (wM )
1 − pi
⇐⇒ T M S ≤
pi


Ii − i
= (1 − pi )I i


i
= pI I i

pi
1−pi

pH
1−pH
pB
1−pB (wS , wM )
E0 Ii = 0

H B
Ii = L
H S

wM = w0 − L − i
+ L = w0 − i
= wS
i

TMS =
pi
1 − pi
H
H
C
H

Cm = ( m
, I m)


m = ( pH +(1−
)pB )I m

● Im

pH + (1 − )pB

1 − ( pH + (1 − )pB )
B
< m
< H

H B

I <L
m

C B′
B
H
B B
C H
=( H
,I )
H
C =(
B B
,I )
B

EU H (C H ) ≥ EU H (C B )
EU B (C B ) ≥ EU B (C H )

pH u(w0 − H
− L + I H ) + (1 − pH )u(w0 − H
) ≥ pH u(w0 − B
− L + I B ) + (1 − pH )u(w0 − B
)
pB u(w0 − B
− L + I B ) + (1 − pB )u(w0 − B
) ≥ pB u(w0 − H
− L + I H ) + (1 − pB )u(w0 − H
)

H B
B′′
C
E0
H B′′
C C
B H

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