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3.0 Introduction
In this chapter, primary resources acquired from The Nigeria Meteorological Agency NiMet
were adopted in the use of the wind speed data analysis and Weibull distribution was used to
determine the probability that the turbine will work as well as estimating the velocity of the wind
speed which was used as a criterion for the selection of the turbine. The chapter starts-off with
description of the project, followed by Description of the components in the Project, Detailed
Drawings, Load Estimation, Design of Solar Panel and selection of its subsystems Wind Speed
The Savonious Vertical Axis Wind Turbine was used in this project Figure 3.0 shows the Hybrid
Solar Wind Design Model and Figure 3.1 shows the block diagram that highlights subsystem
blocks in the project. These include, the solar panel, wind turbine, charge controller, battery,
inverter as well as the loads, either DC or AC loads. As shown in the diagram, the outputs from
the wind turbine and solar panel are multiplexed and fed in as input to the hybrid controller.
Furthermore, the hybrid controller’s output is the input to the battery which is connected directly
to the inverter. AC loads are powered by means of the output from the inverter while DC loads
are powered by connecting them directly to the battery. In addition to the block diagram, Figure
3.2 has been included show the actual setup and application of the hybrid system at hand. It
shows how each of the subsystems in the block diagram will be interconnected at the end of the
project.
Fig. 3.0 Solar wind hybrid dsign model.
DC LOADS
WIND
TURBINE
HYBRID
CONTROLLER BATTERY
SOLAR PANEL
INVERTER
AC LOADS
3.2 Load Estimations
The power expended by the appliances in the area of interest was estimated with respect to their
operation time to yield the total energy that will be consumed by these appliances. The table
above shows the load estimation and the energy requirements of the appliances to be powered.
(Watts) (wh)
3 Laptop 1 65 65 5 325
(watts) (Wh)
1 Bulb 4 20 80 10 1350
3 Laptop 1 65 65 5 325
The Energy requirement = Total Power x Operation Time in (hours) = 3,475 wh/day
From the table above it has been estimated that the total power consumed by these appliances is
0.615 kW and the total corresponding Energy consumed by these appliances gives 3.475 kWh
Although the use of wind turbines has become necessary in many parts of the world, the actual
developments in the turbine do not concern countries where the average wind speed is low.
Vertical axis wind turbines are the growing type of wind turbine in the small wind energy
market, they prove to be very promising as in the case of the new rotor design. Vertical axis
wind turbines (or VAWTs) have the main rotor shaft arranged vertically. Key advantages of this
arrangement are that the turbine does not need to be pointed into the wind to be effective. This
is an advantage on sites where the wind direction is highly variable. In this project we will make
use of vertical axis wind turbine, to select the turbine to be used, we need to carry out wind
However, precise prediction of wind is not an easy task since wind, like many other
meteorological parameters often exhibits significant variability over a range of scales, both
spatially and temporally. In the view of wind power development, the variation of wind speed at
likelihood that a given wind speed will occur. Most commonly used for wind energy
assessments is the two-parameter Weibull distribution, which has been shown to accurately
capture the skewness of the wind speed distribution, then other statistical functions and has been
Various mathematical tools have been used for the analysis of wind speed data. Among several
tools, the two parameter Weibull distribution is extensively used function for analyzing
measured wind speed data in a given location over a given time period. The two parameter
Weibull distribution is a special case of the generalized gamma distribution. For the analysis of
wind speed data, the two parameter Weibull probability distribution function is the most
suitable, accepted and recommended distribution function as it gives a better fitting and high
accuracy for monthly probability density distributions of measured wind speed than any other
( )( ) { ( )}
k−1 k
K V V
F ( v )=¿ exp − (v >0 ; K , C> 0)
C C C
Where f(v) is the probability of wind speed, k is shape parameter and c is the scale parameter (in
m/s).
For this project, the metropolis of Kano was selected for our wind turbine deployment.
However, ten years wind speed data of Kano city were gotten from Nigeria Metrological
Agency (NIMET) in Knot for the wind data analysis. Conversion was made from knot to m/s
while weekly, monthly and yearly wind average were calculated in m/s.
Month 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
January 7.62 6.72 5.04 6.04 6.79 5.43 5.19 6.26 8.09 7.65
February 4.24 5.69 4.50 5.13 5.99 4.72 4.06 4.33 7.09 7.43
March 7.50 6.97 4.98 5.61 3.87 4.80 3.95 4.23 6.51 6.34
April 5.47 7.18 5.62 6.22 4.70 4.60 4.85 6.10 6.41 6.34
May 5.84 6.99 4.96 5.14 4.81 5.08 6.01 6.34 6.48 6.48
June 6.33 6.58 4.34 5.20 4.80 4.36 5.04 3.31 6.58 6.12
July 5.61 6.60 5.06 5.28 3.34 4.02 3.97 4.60 6.52 6.25
August 6.11 5.43 3.63 3.92 3.80 3.67 2.79 2.67 3.28 3.12
September 4.87 4.66 4.51 3.46 2.61 2.79 3.22 1.78 5.17 4.81
October 4.03 5.44 3.73 2.77 3.42 2.67 4.05 3.53 5.49 6.07
November 6.24 6.55 5.92 5.74 4.54 3.28 5.02 4.54 7.61 6.77
December 7.53 5.09 4.12 6.50 6.62 3.12 5.64 5.81 7.83 6.63
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
Statistical analysis includes calculation of shape parameter, scale parameter and most probable
wind speed for the ten years will be calculation. For estimating shape and scale parameters of
the Weibull distribution, various methods are reported in literature namely least square
regression method.
In this project, Standard deviation method will be used for our analysis
σ -1.086
k=( )
Vm
After k, then we find scale factor, to get the scale factor (c);
C 1
0.433 −K
= (0.568+ )
VM k
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Jan 2 6 1.66643 9 4 7 4 9 9 5
2.45154 2.23349 2.13991 2.04078 1.93089 1.58590 1.80565 1.78997 1.38168 1.15825
Feb 9 5 5 9 4 8 3 4 1 2
Mar 4 9 4 5 2 9 1.36349 8 4 5
Apr 2.75025 2.42590 2.52342 1.65090 1.74433 2.36669 2.16851 1.78569 1.26261 1.30534
7 3 8 6 9 2 7 6 8 5
Ma 1.88090 2.06947 1.86205 2.04039 1.98583 1.96885 1.70808 1.61245 1.15766 1.03669
y 9 1 6 4 8 9 3 6 9 3
1.78782 2.77310 1.55606 1.61740 2.09424 1.85093 1.40648 2.62185 1.13921 1.50462
Jun 4 9 6 4 1 2 3 1 2 7
2.34882 2.43763 1.53711 1.48897 1.37822 1.73042 1.99911 1.86831 1.27392 1.21037
Aug 8 7 3 3 6 5 9 1 4 2
Sep 1.96104 9 6 9 2 1 3 8 8 6
Nov 8 2 8 7 6 1 4 4 1.25648 8
Dec 8 7 5 2 3 2 2.38513 9 7 1
Year 2011
Septembe
Year 2012
Octobe
Year 13
Octobe
Year 2014
Octobe
Year 2015
Standard Shape Factor Scale Factor
Octobe
Year 2016
Octobe
Year 2017
Octobe
Year 2018
Year 2019
Octobe
Month Av. Wind Speed Standard Deviation Shape Factor K Scale Fcator C
How we will find the average of the parameters, from our analysis we just one shape and scale
2.91695 5.8279
However, our average Shape parameter for the ten years is approximately 2.92 and the average
Scale parameter for the ten years is approximately 5.83m/s. Therefore, we are working with
0.00581 0.99420
0.95697
0.33286
0.63861 0.52802
1.08755 0.33704
1.70582 0.18162
2.51924
3.55333 0.02862
4.83334
6.38431 0.00168
8.23108 0.00026
3.05E-
12.9104 2.47E-
1.39E-
19.0668 5.24E-
26.8932 2.09E-
31.4925
36.5809
Future and available wind potential is very important to build of wind energy conversion
system. For this reason, estimation parameter results of distribution are studied monthly.
( )( ) { ( )}
k−1 k
K V V
F ( v )=¿ exp − (v >0 ; K , C> 0)
C C C
Estimation of monthly and annual parameters for Kano region are implemented by using
average monthly wind speed data between 2011 and 2020. The Standard Deviation Method was
used for determining Weibull parameters. Below is the Weibull distribution function graph;
Weibull Distribution Function
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
0 5 10 15 20 25
Selection of Turbine
Base on the wind data analysis, we selected a vertical axis wind turbine with the specifications
below;
Model
Number of blades 10
range
1 Main Generator 1
2 Blades 12pcs
3 Blade shaft 7
4 Shaft 12
5 Blades screw 28
6 Flange screw 4
{ ( )} { ( )}
k k
Vc Vf
P ( V c <V <V f ) = exp − −exp −
C C
Where;
C = Scale factor
K = Shape factor
After substituting the specifications of the selected turbine, the probability that the turbine will
work is;
{( ) } {( ) }
2.92 2.92
P ( V c <V <V f ) = exp − 2.5 −exp −
45
5.83 5.83
Capacity Factor is an indicator of how much energy a particular wind turbine makes in a
particular place.
{ ( )} { ( )} ( )
k k
V V
exp − c −exp − r
C
[ ] C k
Vf
CF = −exp
( ) ( )
Vr k V c k
C
−
C C
However, after substituting the wind turbine parameters, the capacity factor of the wind turbine
in Kano region is
{( ) } {( ) }
2.92 2.92
2.5 8
exp − −exp −
5.83 5.83
[( ) ]
2.92
CF = 45
−exp
( ) ( ) 5.83
2.92 2.92
8 2.5
−
5.83 5.83
= 0.344.
Based on the capacity factor of 34.4% the total energy gotten from the turbine would be
583.75
No. of panels = = 3.25 ≈ 4 panels
180
For stability and energy demand during the night, the battery has been sized as follows;
800 ×1.25 ×1
Storage capacity = = 166.67Ah
0.5 ×12
Using a 220Ah tubular battery (DR-2500-XXT) 12V-220Ah @ C20 at 27 ⸰C, the number of
116.67
No. of Batteries = = 0.76 ≈ 1 battery
220
Inverter selection
Based on the total power requirement of the system (615W), 1kW inverter with the following
CHAPTER 4
4.0 Introduction
After selecting the best position to mount the system, the system was tested and results were
gotten for wind turbine and the solar panel. The results are presented in this chapter and
subsequently discussed. Graphs have also been included to put the relationships between relevant
variables in perspective.
speed at any given time, an anemometer was used. Also, to get the output current corresponding
to a particular wind speed, a digital multi-meter was used to measure the current generated by the
wind turbine for each wind speed based on a known load. Subsequently, the power output of the
wind turbine was calculated for each of the wind speed measurements recorded. These results
were taken at ten minutes intervals for thirty minutes. To enhance better analysis, the
measurements were taken in the morning, afternoon and evening. Having the system voltage to
be 12V and applying a load of 100W, the output currents over different wind speeds were
P=I×V
Where;
P: power (Watts)
I: current (Amps)
V: voltage (volts)
The results of this measurements are presented in table below;
30
25
20
15
10
0
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5
The Graph of wind speed against time
12
10
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12