Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Sprint
Pitchbook
Mazen Najjar Can Kendi Abdellah Iftahy Jhonny Jha Giuseppe Manzone Mukti Patel
Senior Partner Senior Partner Partner Associate Partner Engagement Manager Digital
Specialist
Nazia Adil Blazej Karwowski Diana Goldshtein Sagar Shah Rym Bekkari Aljohara Alkanhal
Fellow Client Development Business Fellow Intern
Associate Partner Knowledge Expert
Specialist Analyst
Opportunity
Value Proposition
Prototype
Approach to Build
Commercial Case
Why McKinsey
E-commerce &
84 12% 215
Direct-to-consumer Area: Consumer finance
Valuation: $46 bn
Artificial intelligence 59 8% 283
Health 55 8% 138
Area: Investments & Trading
Valuation: $12 bn
Other1 291
1. 11 remaining sectors
Digital only Digital youth Started as Initially Emerged as Focuses on Core Initially The retail Created a
bank by banking app an FX provided a zero-fee remittance capability started with giant new banking
Mashreq Bank launched by trading merchants credit card and relying on P2P transfer Walmart initiative
launched in ADIB in August platform, online offer and merchant lending player with initiates a designed to
2017. Users 2021. The over time payment evolved into payments business, strong Fintech to capture the
can open paperless, emerged into gateway, highest with providing penetration build an all- mid-market
Smart, Salary signature-less a full fledge iterated its valued aggressive credit line to in the in-one app consumer
or Savings and branchless digital business into digital bank investment of customers market, where and monetize
accounts. bank accounts financial BNPL play, in South USD300 m both for expanded consumers their most
Mashreq Neo come with services reached to America till now shopping into full can manage valuable
functions home-delivered player across USD 46b. and micro fledged their asset (i.e.,
more closely debit cards, and Europe, credit, very financial money; to loyalty of
to a are enabled for valuation profitable services generate a customers)
traditional mobile wallets USD 33m with 50% provider large user
bank and bank EBITDA base
transfers margin
Domestic transfers Direct (balance PFM & savings- Digital business Digital cash Front-office 100%2 100%2
(P2P) & e-wallets sheet) lending focused solutions lending management enablement -
11% 15%
trading execution
Domestic B2B Platform lending Investment & wealth Trade & supply Beyond banking
transfers & aggregators management chain finance services (eg, Middle-office -
22%
accounting) Research, trade 26%
International Crowdfunding
data, & analytics
transfers platforms
Back office - post- 24%
Merchant services
trade services and 16%
Payment processing support
& infrastructure 9% 13%
12% 6%
Operations and infrastructure 4% 6%
Open banking enablement Banking-as-a-service core banking Data, Analytics & visualization Customer care & engagement 6% 6%
compliance, risk & AML platforms Digitalization and process automation 11% 11%
1. Payment is leading the growth given lot of funding of the lending has been shift to payment because of BNPL 2014-19 2020-21
2. Figures may not sum to 100%, because of rounding
+25% p.a.
+66% p.a. +7% p.a. +174%
15.1
+115% 5.2
2.8 2.2 2.7
1.3 5.8 4.8 1.5 1.9
0.2 0.7 0.9 0.9 3.6 4.0 3.6 0.8
2% 3% 31% 16% 7% 6%
Fintech Index1
Proprietary asset powered by McKinsey FinTech in partnership with Dealroom.co to track VC funding flows based on ~2,500 key fintechs.
Please contact fintech@mckinsey.com for details.
1. Fintech funding is defined based on FinTech Index methodology and represents most but au the fintech funding. Funding primarily focuses on VC- backed
funding rounds and excludes IPO. acquisitions, and debt rounds.
2. Total fintech funding excludes IPO, acquisitions, and debt rounds
Addressable Outstanding Balances, Unsecured Lending Outstanding Balances, Secured Lending Outstanding Balances,
$B $B $B
SME Lending2 Secured Consumer Lending1 Point-of-Sale Financing (including BNPL) Credit Cards3 HELOC Auto Loans Mortgages
Unsecured Consumer Lending Personal Loans
+3% p.a.
$15,069
+7% p.a. +3% p.a.
(2-3%) $1,369 $12,692 (0-2%)
$1,008 $310
18-20%
$13,890 $183
$11,674
$1,102 $1,369 7-8% $1,487 3-4%
$1,114 $319
9-10%
$196
$106
$1,114 $1,326
Traditional merchant-linked
New digital BNPL Traditional credit card lending
POS loans
Customer Single application One-click after lender approval Loan for individual purchase (from
payment One-click at checkout Interest-free (if balance settled) merchant I third party)
experience Clear link between instalments Full loan application
and transaction Deposit sometimes required
Repayments Short schedule (e.g.., 1-3 Ongoing (monthly minimum) Longer fixed schedule with APR, e.g.
payments) per transaction 9% for 12 months
Channel Primarily digital; virtual cards Either digital or in-store Either digital or in-store
emerging
Purchase size <£1k, often smaller e.g., <£200 Flexible, £1-£10k+ Large-ticket purchases, typically >£500
Example 1
players
1. Mediamarkt partnership offers financing on purchases <EUR750
Consumer
Installment Payments
Consumer buys and Consumer repays the
receives goods or provider for their Payments are deferred (e.g. in installments), with
services from a merchant purchase over time flexibly to pay off debt earlier as required.
Customers get immediate access to the goods or
services purchased
The BNPL
Model
Omnichannel experience
Online or in a physical store using an app
(QR code)
Buy now pay
Merchant later provider
Limited credit checking
BNPL providers typically perform limited credit
checks relative to traditional credit products and
Provider pays the merchant for the can therefore provide close to instant credit
purchase (minus merchant fees) approval at POS
1. Stock Keeping Unit
Share of BNPL in Global E-commerce payment methods, 2021 using BNPL, by region, $B
X X
2021 2025E
9.0% 12.0%
8.0%
4.0%
5.0%
3.0%
64 207 60 150
- 3 0.3 2.5 7 76
Zip has two offerings: Zip Pay – an interest free, installment-based payment option with a facility of up to $1000; and Zip Money for amounts over $1000
with interest charged for balances outstanding for over 3 months. Both options have a $6/month subscription fee1 and are merchant linked
Deferred payment service for purchases made from online merchants
Can be completely accessed through mobile application
Provides lease-to-own payment plans that enable individuals to shop for devices, accessories, or others online or in-store
Loan of up to USD 1,500
Consumer lending platform that provides instant user account opening, real time credit approval and an EMI (equated monthly installments) payment option
EMI operates only with its 30 partners; partner merchants have to be accessed through zest website
Online POS lending solution offering unsecured consumer financing loans
Home improvements and electronics <$10.000
Collaborates with online merchants directly
SlicePay is a deferred payment solution for college students that can be used for purchases in online and offline stores
BNPL solution with 2 interest-free options: Split payments in 3 and pay over 2 months or Split payments in 6 and pay over 5 months
Offline Brighte offers installment-based payment offering for home improvement of up to $30,0000, payable over 6 months to 5 years, interest free
installment
loans POS lending tool for merchants to offer in-store financing options to customers using any device
Lease-to-own POS lending solution for furniture, appliances, electronics, etc. Customer needs to get pre-approved
Opportunity
Value Proposition
Prototype
Approach to Build
Commercial Case
Why McKinsey
3.6 €1.4 bn
0.1
€170 mn
+52% p.a.
2.2
0.3
2.0
€165 mn
1.7
0.3
0.5
0.1
0.4 0.4
0.8 €110 mn
0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4
2016 17 18 19 20 2021 YTD1 €105 mn
1.5% 4.5%
1.
2.
As of Q321
Does not include IPO, debt and other non-VC funding resources
€954 mn
3. Based on Fintech Index -newly developing asset of Fintech team used to estimate funding share of fintech sectors
4. US Dollar to Euro conversion May 18, 2022
Source: Research and markets, FIS GPR 2022, McKinsey analysis McKinsey & Company 18
There are 2 Merchant-led and 2 Customer-led architypes of BNPL
business models
Examples
(planned)
Source: Web search, McKinsey article, expert input McKinsey & Company 19
Klarna, a point of sale payment and lending solution, is currently
Europe’s most valuable Fintech
International example
Valuation, Bn USD
1Mn
trxns. per +110% p.a. 49.0
day
5.5 10.7
2.5
2017 19 20 2021
+3000
Merchants
Source: Press
Tabby search
website, press releases, web research McKinsey & Company 21
Tamara, the biggest BNPL player in KSA
GCC (KSA, UAE and Kuwait focused) example
1. Adherence with the Islamic Shariyah rules and regulations; don’t have to pay any interest or fee for using it
Source: Tamara website, press releases, web research McKinsey & Company 22
ValU, EFG Hermes Finance consumer financing solutions arm
Egypt example
Source: Valu website, EFG Hermes 2020 financial report, press releases, web research McKinsey & Company 23
The are 2 architypes that are highly relevant for MENA, particularly
for Banks and Fintechs
Relevant for MENA
What Access to captive B2C Credit risk capabilities Credit risk capabilities Access to captive B2C customer
capabilities you customer base Access to merchant networks Access to merchant networks base
need to have Credit risk capabilities Access to captive B2C customer Credit risk capabilities
Access to balance base Access to merchant networks
sheet/capital Access to wallet/card-offerings
Access to merchant Access to balance sheet/capital
networks
Incumbent Banks with relationships with Online retail: Gateways Fintech Startups trying to disrupt the Bank that have existing card and wallet
profile for the large retailers entire market programs
Offline transactions: Acquirers
market-entry In partnership with BNPL fintech that
Digital wallet providers and other
startups
want to scale fast
Potential
Players
1 Each successful example STC Pay aimed for rapid growth at the expense of profitability. They spent USD
has its own unique value $35m in marketing per year focusing only on international remittance and payments,
proposition and a growth in return they have suffered losses since inception, but achieved >1bn USD valuation
faster than average
story
Paycell aimed for profitable and sustainable growth from early on, which required
much less funding. Paycell built payment, lending, merchant businesses and utilized
low-cost telco products in loyalty
2 Standalone companies Separate entity & expedited decision making, while ensuring close link with
with dedicated resources mothership is key
that have fintech Differentiated career progress and incentives for leading talent with diverse
expertise, operating in an background in financial services, start-up and digital are in place
agile way Organization is structured around strategic priorities and working with agile practices
3 In-house tech stack Deliberate and proactive decision on build vs. buy vs. partner is crucial
enriched with the right Fintech-specific tech stack is important to have for a seamless digital experience for
partnerships customers
Intense competition Winner-takes-all dynamic: network effects prevail; Target existing CCB relationships\
customers and merchants can only manage limited number Of Leverage customer base and data
payment options to create merchant growth
With increasing popularity, credit card players and other lenders, proposition
may increase their propositions Integrate into existing customer
E.g., Boohoo UK offers 13 payment options, of which 4 BNPL channels
Regulation Light/ no industry regulation, e.g., Australia created code Of Banks' entrance likely to
practice in 2021 accelerate regulation
E.g., BNPL businesses in Saudi Arabia required a permit to Leverage regulatory risk
operate management capabilities
Reputation/ brand Legacy bank brands may not appeal to target customers (e.g., Consider new product or business
evolution reputation for •unfair' credit card pricing) branding
Emphasize responsible lending
1. Includes late fee notice, spend limits, min age (18)
Opportunity
Value Proposition
• Customer Research
• Value Proposition
Prototype
Approach to Build
Commercial Case
Why McKinsey
D. Identification of
A. Definition of roles in B. Quantitative analysis C. Quantitative analysis Consumer/ Merchant
BNPL eco-system on consumers on merchants pain points
Identification of roles in a Survey conducted for 6000+ Merchant qualitative analysis Identification of relevant pain
BNPL lifecycle including: respondents across the globe performed based on 6 points for consumers/
Consumers on diverse range of BNPL categories, gathering data merchants resulting in
Merchants users from 60+ respondents increased use of BNPL
BNPL-Providers/Lenders Results captured on top 7 features/capabilities Leverage insights from
Deep-dive into the emerging reasons for consumers to mentioned for participants to surveys/interviews to recognize
trends/examples arising with use BNPL rate on a scale of 1-6 resulting pain points
incumbents
Consumer
Installment Payments
Consumer buys and Consumer repays the
receives goods or provider for their Payments are deferred (e.g. in installments), with
services from a merchant purchase over time flexibly to pay off debt earlier as required.
Customers get immediate access to the goods or
services purchased
The BNPL
Model
Omnichannel experience
Online or in a physical store using an app
(QR code)
Buy now pay
Merchant later provider
Limited credit checking
BNPL providers typically perform limited credit
checks relative to traditional credit products and
Provider pays the merchant for the can therefore provide close to instant credit
purchase (minus merchant fees) approval at POS
1. Stock Keeping Unit
17%
Source: McKinsey Global BNPL Consumer Survey (n=6,251), August 2020 McKinsey & Company 32
Consumers rank convenience as the top reason for choosing BNPL
in mature BNPL markets, while zero interest is still key in the UK
Properitory Mckinsey analysis, not for circulation Top 3 reasons <10% 10-19% 20-30% >30%
Top reasons for choosing BNPL1, % of respondents that have used BNPL in past 12 months and marked the reason as one of top 3 reasons
Overall
It is offered as a payment option by the retailer where I like to shop 36% 35% 27% 26% 18% 29%
Special offers/discounts are offered by retailers if I use buy now, pay later option 7% 12% 19% 14% 8% 12%
Lower fees (e.g., no late fees) 6% 14% 17% 11% 11% 12%
It is convenient to use (e.g., I do not have to fill in an application, it is very quick and easy to pay) 44% 36% 29% 26% 34% 34%
Don’t want to incur interest costs associated with a credit card balance 11% 11% 19% 16% 19% 14%
Allows me to manage my cash flow and purchases (with one or multiple providers) 8% 15% 27% 30% 39% 23%
It allows easy integration with my card or other payment method 10% 9% 12% 8% 10% 10%
Allows me to afford bigger ticket items where I wouldn’t otherwise be able, 14% 27% 32% 30% 34% 27%
1. Q: Why did you choose to use buy now, pay later? Select up to 3 of your top reasons..
Source: McKinsey Global BNPL Consumer Survey (n=6,251), August 2020 McKinsey & Company 33
We conducted a BNPL merchant survey for 6 categories, gathering
data from 60+ respondents
Overview Scope
The McKinsey Merchant POS financing/ There were 7 features/capabilities that were presented
BNPL Survey was conducted in August 2021 to participants to rate, including:
The survey targets merchants across 6 different Ability to white label the financing solution
categories including:
• Electronic and appliances Exclusivity
• Elective Medical and Veterinarian
PLCC/Co-brand marketing
• Travel, Vacation and Entertainment
• Apparel, footwear and accessories Integration across entire shopping journey
• Luxury Retail and Jewelry Greater analytics, insights, and data sharing
• Home Improvement
Operational support
Participants were asked to rate features or capabilities
that a provider could offer on a scale of 1-6 (with 6 Integration into rewards programs
being the most important)
Source: McKinsey Merchant POS Financing / BNPL Survey, N=64 as of August, 2021 McKinsey & Company 34
Integration across the entire shopping journey, greater analytics, and
superior servicing are key priorities for merchants across sectors
Most valuable attributes for merchants
Properitory Mckinsey analysis, not for circulation
Top 3 features/capabilities
% of merchants who selected 5 or 6 (most important) for a given decision factor when choosing POS Lending / BNPL solutions1,
Percent of respondents
Electronics & Appliances 33% 17% 33% 83% 67% 83% 17%
Elective Medical and Veterinarian 33% 22% 33% 33% 78% 44% 33%
Travel, Vacation and Entertainment 45% 10% 10% 80% 80% 70% 80%
Apparel, footwear and accessories 18% 18% 18% 91% 91% 91% 36%
Luxury Retail and Jewelry 19% 19% 25% 44% 63% 44% 31%
1. Q: Please rate the following features or capabilities that a provider could offer from 1-6, with 6 being the most important:
Source: McKinsey Merchant POS Financing / BNPL Survey, N=64 as of August, 2021 McKinsey & Company 35
Some key insights emerge for
why consumers and
merchants use BNPL
Based on the survey the top Based on the survey the top
reasons consumers use features/capabilities
BNPL are: merchants use BNPL for are:
Integration across
Convenience entire shopping
journey
Payment option
Operational support
at shops
1 2 3 4 5
Alternative Numerous credit checks including paperwork for issuance of I have purchased some more expensive
payment credit cards items I probably wouldn’t have if I had to pay
all the money at the same time
methods
Pay added costs (e.g., joining fees, and annual fees) for credit cards 36-54, Female
Difficulty tracking payments and book-keeping when payments I tend to spend more when using
received through alternate methods due to delay BNPL, compared to when I use other
methods of payment
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
New A customer Consumer Consumer In some The BNPL Upon approval The Customer The customer
Customer decides to reaches point selects BNPL as instances, provider then the BNPL retrieves their then pays the
purchase a of sale either their chosen consumers may conducts a soft service provider purchased BNPL provider
Journey
product physically or payment method fill out a short credit check to registers the goods, either in- as per the
online and and select application assess if the transaction and store or upon agreed
select payment either Pay in 4, form customer is credits the delivery installments
options which Pay in 14 days, eligible for BNPL merchant and term
could include or take a short-
credit/debit card term loan
bank transfer
or BNPL
Pain points QR/credit cards Difficult to use Numerous Low credit Lack of
addressed may not be banking apps credit checks limits assigned disposable
accepted at all that do not have including for credit cards, income resulting
retailers limiting a developed paperwork for limiting in delaying
purchases customer issuance of purchasing purchases
interface credit cards power
McKinsey & Company 40
Agenda
Opportunity
Value Proposition
• Customer Research
• Value Proposition
Prototype
Approach to Build
Commercial Case
Why McKinsey
POS Lending
Key Invoice or installment based deferred Deferred payment solution with a bill
solutions payment, with flexible repayment scheme generated at the end of the month; BNPL is an invoice
fixed repayment
or installment based
User “One-click“ payment Typically requires entry of credit card solution that
experience details provides a better
Flexible payment options (invoice Limited deferred payment flexibility customer experience
or installments) compared to a
Extremely simple onboarding Lengthy credit card onboarding traditional credit
process process
card
Emerging Interest bearing consumer loans Installments from credit card companies
Offerings Different forms of credit card
based solutions
Increased delay in receiving payments from alternative M Integrated payments Manage all services, payments through one integrated system
channels system
Alternative Numerous credit checks including paperwork for M C Instant credit checks Developed risk engine integrated at bank end with banking/credit
payment issuance of credit cards bureau database scores consumer profiles
methods
Pay added costs (e.g., joining fees, and annual fees) for C Easy interest-free Interest-free short-term finance:
credit cards payments limit free
QR/credit cards may not be accepted at all retailers structured repayments
limiting purchases offering minimal or 0% interest rate
Customer Low credit limits assigned, limiting purchasing power M Improved Customer Increased trust and loyalty between consumer and merchant due to
outreach Engagement transparent, interest-free financing option
Inability to grow customer base as several consumers
have inability to afford products
Limited growth of business due to limited customer base
Customer Difficult to use banking apps that do not have a C User-friendly customer Easy to use user-interface with BNPL presence in the consumer
experience developed customer interface interface shopping journey prior to checkout
High consumer cart abandonment resulting in low M C Efficient Check-out Easy and convenient, check-out process with zero additional steps to
conversion rates get an installment plan
R Consumer Presence in the consumer shopping journey B Payment Enable a variety of payment options (i.e., debit
journey prior to checkout options card, credit card, Pay in4, pay in 14 days, etc.)
presence
R T One-click easy Payments as simple and easy as card payment R T Interest-free Interest-free short-term finance, structured
payments on the merchant’s platform or store repayments offering minimal or 0% interest rate
B B
R T Integrated Possibility to shop online (without integrating R Deals and Get special offers and deals that can be used
omnichannel with the merchant) and offline (using BNPL offers against purchases
presence app)
R T Simplified Instant approval of installment plan due to R T Reward and Get points for your spend and redeem the points
Process simplified customer journey (introduction of an ID cash back against purchases
B B
and phone number
Services to merchants
R T Easy Rapid registration, ease of merchant's R T Merchant Merchant app to manage all services,
Onboarding registrations Dashboard POS, with marketing materials library
B provided
R T Simple Easy and Quick set-up to connect to R T Seamless Products can be purchased using POS
Integration the service and full launch support, online and solutions and websites/apps
B rapidly integrating into existing offline
infrastructure experience Ready-to-use checkout (turnkey solution),
including order placement, selection of
delivery and payment method
R T Improved Increased trust and loyalty between R T Protection Merchant receives payment at the time of
Customer consumer and merchant due to from fraud purchase after a customer risk scoring,
B Engagement providing simpler financing options B and payment and don’t have to worry about fraudulent
delinquency payments
Fewer lost customers and increase in
conversion on platform
Types of additional
services Description
Consumer Spend tracking List of current and past purchases Dependent on the
Finance management Payment reminders for upcoming anticipated payments provider a number of
Wishlist Offering price change tracking across all stores
these additional services
may be offered free of
Pre-selected option For returning customers with predictable behavior
(machine learning (used by 75% customers)) charge e.g., Klarna
Loans With a maturity of 3–36 months (for regular customers
offers Order
only usually) management and On-
Virtual one-time card One-time card issued; card parameters copied to be site messages to
used at checkout merchants
Merchant Order management Integrated with merchant systems and collects required
information
Customer experience Managing on-site messages for provider progression to
management checkout on merchant website
Marketing Support Marketing materials library including lending pages, e-
mail messages, and social media ads
• Distinctive in-app experience and • Creating a distinctive digital checkout • New fraud and risk models that can
journeys to drive engagement (e.g., payments (with instant decisioning, underwrite at a transaction level and
transaction specific paydowns, in-store fraud checks, real-time debit pings) and potentially, without bureau data
card additions, gamification) application experience that is
• Newer economics models including
comparable to leading Fintechs
• In-app merchant marketplace to affiliate marketing fees for merchants,
enable customers to shop for deals and • Pre-Integrating with shopping carts, reinstatement fees for consumers etc.
offers (and earn affiliate marketing existing gateway providers and other
• Up-sell and Cross-sell strategy that
revenues) leading digital storefront players to allow
can enhance profitability for the core
for accelerated deployments
• Enhanced features including rewards product
and membership-based programs to • Creating a brand that merchants see
• Ability to leverage existing scale and
help drive repeat purchases and affinity as “brand adjacent” and appealing to
access to drive traffic for merchants and
their consumers
enlist new merchants to sign up
• Creating consumer scale that can be
leveraged in merchant negotiations
• Creating digital self-signup models
for digital SMBs to help augment
margin pressure from Enterprise
merchants
New Fraud and Risk Access to balance sheet/ Ability to leverage existing
Models capital to fund scale and network access
Ability to conduct instant credit Access to sufficient balance Allows the incumbent to drive
checks, and underwrite at a sheet to support traffic for merchants and enlist
transaction level potentially, build/acquisition operations as new merchants to sign up
without bureau data part of setting up the BNPL
platform/partnerships
Opportunity
Value Proposition
Prototype
Approach to Build
Commercial Case
Why McKinsey
User logs in and lands on home page User checks upcoming payment User checks if shop they have in mind
schedule is on platfrom
Envisioned experience
User see’s that there is an exclusive User goes to 3rd party to shop
offer at shop of choice
Envisioned experience
User lands on third-party website Navigates to product of choice See’s that there is an option to buy
now and pay later. Clicks to read more
Envisioned experience
Adds products to basket and selects See’s that there is also an opportunity Selects standard 4 instalments and
easy pay as payment option to extend the instalment period for a checks out. See’s payment schedule
small fee on confirmation page
Envisioned experience
Opportunity
Value Proposition
Prototype
Approach to Build
Commercial Case
Why McKinsey
1 Each successful example STC Pay aimed for rapid growth at the expense of profitability. They spent USD
has its own unique value $35m in marketing per year focusing only on international remittance and payments,
proposition and a growth in return they have suffered losses since inception, but achieved >1bn USD valuation
faster than average
story
Paycell aimed for profitable and sustainable growth from early on, which required
much less funding. Paycell built payment, lending, merchant businesses and utilized
low-cost telco products in loyalty
2 Standalone companies Separate entity & expedited decision making, while ensuring close link with
with dedicated resources mothership is key
that have fintech Differentiated career progress and incentives for leading talent with diverse
expertise, operating in an background in financial services, start-up and digital are in place
agile way Organization is structured around strategic priorities and working with agile practices
3 In-house tech stack Deliberate and proactive decision on build vs. buy vs. partner is crucial
enriched with the right Fintech-specific tech stack is important to have for a seamless digital experience for
partnerships customers
2 Partnership
1 Buy 2A White label 2B Light Build1 3 Build
Customer Base
Channel
partner Merchant Base Acquired from existing player in Brought to partnership by
space i.e., Bank, Telco, Retailer etc. existing player/platform in market
Front-end Technology
Technology (i.e., merchant portal)
Back-end Technology
(i.e., customer journey)
Presence Brand
Examples
bought
(UAE centric)
1. Includes another play, where a bank may partner with an existing fintech, thereby only bringing the balance sheet to the partnership
Merchant OMS/cart Integration with a merchant partner’s digital site, to show BNPL offer on the Integration with physical and
integration - sign up flow shopping page, integrate the sign-up/payments flow in the check-out cart, online merchants through
and to receive relevant data for fraud decisions payments gateway
Account servicing and App that allows customer to perform servicing operation (e.g., make a Capable of engaging
customer engagement app payment, look at returns) as well as continues to keep the customer customer across touchpoints,
engaged (e.g., through a shopping app that directs consumers to other integrating external offerings
retailers in the BNPL provider’s network) – required to extend
capabilities
Financing and Pricing Overall financing infrastructure for the POS business (e.g., synthetic P&L, General capabilities exist,
capabilities pricing, MDR pricing, co-marketing budgets) and ability to evolve it over time adaptation to BNPL business
as the operating model/business economics mature and stabilize required
Access to merchants Sizeable merchant base to deploy BNPL proposition and deal team to Large merchant base and
aggressively pursue new partnerships merchant acquisition team
being assembled
In addition, CLIENT can take advantage of its large individual customer base and ability to take the balance sheet risk to maximize revenue potential
McKinsey & Company 60
Across the 4 market-entry options banks have the widest range of
opportunity available
GCC Centric
2 Partnership
1 Buy 2A White label 2B Light Build1 3 Build
Rationale for why Ability to expand Players with a captive merchant Tie up with BNPL fintech to get Offer balance sheet and
incumbent profile is existing consumer base and customer footfall access to lending engine, lending expertise to develop
most suitable lending business (they can unlock and drive technology stack, and brand since the core BNPL business
incremental revenue) this is a new line of business for them
Digital business Competitive threat to
building is difficult due Can offer up balance sheet to lend business so greater
to lack of internal from added merchant base incentive to get involved
talent, thus easier to buy Ability to drive deep integration with Captive merchant base and
Have ability to deploy existing platforms, i.e. BNPL at customer base to grow
large capital point-of-sale terminals / during bill top- business
ups and recharges
Time to market ~2-4 months for DD and 1-2 months for tech integration 4-6 months 9-12 months (including 6-9
term sheet preparation and launch months for risk engine
development)
Examples of potential
incumbents in GCC
1. Includes another play, where a bank may partner with an existing fintech, thereby only bringing the balance sheet to the partnership
186.0
22,0001
116.0
45.0 1,5001
35.0
2.1
500
1. Established publicly listed companies with BNPL vertical, so no separate valuation available
2. Team estimation based on funding multiple
3. As of total funding round
Source: Crunchbase, Reuters, Bloomberg, Press Search, team analysis, Dealroom McKinsey & Company 62
1: We defined a 1 Value • Do one or more of the products of the company enhance POS
financing/retail lending value proposition?
Proposition
4 criteria
matrix to 2 Technology Does the company own cutting edge technology (e.g., Open
evaluate APIs , cloud-based solutions)
Which assessment model does the company employ? (e.g., soft
players for check for invoicing and installments or no credit checks prior to
acquisition applying)
Does the model fit in with the strategy outlined for the platform?
xx
Value • Typical BNPL • Typical BNPL • Typical BNPL • Typical BNPL • Typical BNPL • Primarily • Offers • Typical BNPL • Primarily
Propo- offering offering offering offering offering focused on international offering focused on
banking shipment banking
sition • Includes • Includes • Includes • Includes • Includes
products, with
• Includes
products, with
shopping online shopping online shopping online shopping online shopping online • Typical BNPL shopping online
BNPL being one BNPL being one
offering
vertical vertical
Techno- • Integrates • Uses 20 technol • Only BNPL in • Advanced • Integration of • Information not • Readymade • Maintain/enhanc • Leverage
logy directly into ogy products region collecting technology user-facing available plugins available e systems using technology from
merchant and services data such as accesses credit elements for e-commerce open-source banking back-
checkouts Emirates IDs risk developed by platforms technologies end
• More • More front-end
information information developers
required required
Partner- • Leverages • Leverages E- • Strategic • Strategic • Strategic • Partnerships • No strategic • No Strategic • Partnerships
ships white-label commerce platfo partnership with partnership with partnership with exist to enable partnerships partnership with several
solution with US rm that powers Mashreq CBD ADIB one community exist exists platforms in the
player online stores currently, i.e., region, including
• Available to all
through Pakistan Careem etc.
e-tailers
partnerships
Valua- • Valuation >$0.5 • Valuation <$0.5 • Valuation <$0.1 • Valuation <$0.1 • Valuation <$0.1 • Valuation <$1 • Valuation >$1 • Valuation >$1 • Valuation >$1
tion1 Bn Bn Bn Bn Bn Bn Bn Bn Bn
• Series B • Series A • Easily • Easily • Corporate • Easily • Not available for • Not available for • Not available for
Acquirable Acquirable Round Acquirable separate BNPL separate BNPL separate BNPL
• Higher valuation
vertical vertical vertical
than series B • Series A
Description Provider of buy now pay later services online and Buy-now and pay-later financial platform designed Instant payment and digital finance solution offering
offline across the UAE and Saudi Arabia to empower people to buy and shop in a transparent buy now pay later options and payments
way management
Value Products include for both online and in-store Products include: Products include:
Proposition shopping: Shop online Shop Online (pay in 3 installments, postpone
Split in 4 (Split into 4 equal payments billed every Pay in-store (pay 30 days later payment to 14 days, or finance up to 12 months)
month at no interest, pay in 4)
Pay online (split what you owe into three easy Shop in-store (Select your favorite items in-store
Pay in 14 (Skip paying upfront and complete your (interest-free) payments) and scan the cashew QR code at checkout)
purchase within 14 days)
Manage payments Subscribe (Start a subscription to your favorite
Operates a cashback program when you shop from products or services, hassle-free)
Operates a loyalty reward system that allows users
tabby at partnering cashback stores. Cashback is
to earn discounts on referring a friend Offers payment at your own pace according to the
added into your account whether you pay with tabby or
not ticket size of purchase items
Technology Soft check assessment for installments Uses 20 technology products and services Only BNPL in the region collecting data such as
Integrates directly into merchant checkouts including HTML5, Google Analytics, and jQuery, Emirates IDs and tying into banks to get more
and G2 Stack information to score better so that consumers who are
Soft check assessment for installments likely to default will be rejected
Presence ~70 ~3,000 186 600 121 1,000 116 400 <50 300-600 45 140-160
Description An installment shopping app that lets you buy now A tech-enabled payments platform where anyone World’s first all-in-one stack delivery, payment and
and pay later in the UAE with no-interest fee and no can Shop Now and Pay Later with absolutely zero returns solution offered by a logistics and
hidden charges interest or cost transportation company
Technology Advanced technology accesses credit risk following a Integration of user-facing elements developed by Readymade plugins available for commo e-commerce
quick sign-up procedure front-end developers with server-side logic Code, platforms such as WooCommerce, Shopify, Magneto,
test and operate React Native/Django/Javascript OpenCart and APIs available for direct integration
based services
Soft check for invoicing, installments
Partnerships Strategic partnership with CBD on several fronts, All e-tailers in the UAE can avail of this option, paying
including transaction banking, debt funding and e- Strategic partnership with ADIB to provide an a transaction cost
commerce solutions innovative offering is the latest in a series of digital
product launches No identifiable strategic partnerships
1. Established publicly listed companies with BNPL vertical, so no separate funding available
Source: Crunchbase, company websites, Press search McKinsey & Company 66
1: UAE BNPL Players (3/3)
GCC Centric xx Recommended xx Employee count xx Merchant count xx Total Funding, USD Mn xx Valuation, USD Bn
Description Re-imagining banking for migrants, bringing An easy payment service that allows customers to A digital bank provider of payments product for
essential financial services from their home and make purchases instantly and then pay for them in merchants, including issuing and merchant
host country on one platform. Putting migrants in 4 Automatic Instalments every 2 weeks, without any acquisition. Also providing BNPL services for visa
charge of their finances – seamlessly interest card holders at the points of sale
Technology NA Maintain/enhance systems & services using Kotlin, Leverage technology, including card processing
Java, Python and related open-source and merchant acquiring systems, processing
technologies switches and PoS inventory to offer services to
merchants and consumers
Partnerships Strategic partnership with HomesShopping.pk to In a partnership spanning three years, Afterpay Partnerships with Careem, Talabat, Shukran,
enable overseas Pakistanis to buy goods in and Dovetail have built the fastest growing eMax, Makemytrip etc.
Pakistan by making payments in installments in consumer technology platform in Australian history
their country of residence
Presence <50 NA 2.1 5-7 ~70 85k 4482 22,000 5001 52k1 NA 500
1. Team estimation based on valuation 2. Established publicly listed companies with BNPL vertical, so no separate funding available
Source: Crunchbase, company websites, Press search McKinsey & Company 67
2A: A White Label arrangement involves leveraging an established
merchant network and available BNPL API platform
GCC Centric
Market Presence
Timelines beyond initial discovery may change based on initial discovery findings
Months 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
C Business Merchant partnership: Begin cultivating the pipeline of potential merchant/ merchant aggregator partners,
Development identify the right pilot clients for the offering, set up business development org., provide negotiation support
(Boost) and pricing strategy, support closing and onboarding
B Front-end/Back-end
3: In order to operating model
build
C License/
a BNPL regulatory
platform MVP, A MVP product
design &
evaluation
Given that BNPL firms generally make money off October 2021:
merchant commissions and late fees, they have so far
The Saudi Central Bank decided that BNPL
avoided falling under strict credit laws
businesses in Saudi Arabia required a permit to
As the sector gains traction, it is now getting more operate
scrutiny from regional central banks
Regulations will not hamper the GCC population’s use February 2022:
of BNPL as there is a big gap in the market that is filled
The Central Bank of Bahrain issued amendments
by the proposition
to facilitate the entry of new financial innovative
Developments in this space will depend on whether companies such as BNPL into the market.
banks and payment service providers will partner with
such platforms
Current legalities for BNPL are still unclear
with no permit or license required, therefore,
existing credit laws can be leveraged
Refer
Decline
An A set of hard-cut rules are Machine learning model Based on the value of the Main drivers of the model
installment applied to directly eliminate leverages application details, score and some fine-tuned are extracted to use an
option is very risky applications (under customer information and threshold cutoffs, the explainability framework and
selected on aged, already in default, other indicators to generate application is accepted, assign a reason code to the
the platform blacklisted customer,…) a likelihood of default score referred to manual previously assigned decision
evaluation or declined
The entire end-to-end process has an elapsed time of no more than 300ms
Apparel, Home Electronics & Home Auto Repair Home Travel Healthcare Power Home
Beauty & Furnishings Appliances Fitness & Furniture & Sports & Improvement
Accessories Accessories Mattresses Equipment (including
Solar)
CEO
Partnerships Lending Analytics & CVM Technology Compliance Credit Risk Treasury HR Policy
Innovation Security
Strategy
Opportunity
Value Proposition
Prototype
Approach to Build
Commercial Case
Why McKinsey
Revenue structure XX Share of total revenue Cost structure (xx) Entry mode
Revenue Costs
Full potential revenue from core BNPL and additional services, 2027, Mn$ E-commerce market size, 2022-27, Bn$
112
11 26
157
470
Merchant Late Interchange Micro-credit Advertising Listing fees Data Total 2022 2027
fees payment fee monetization revenue
fees
# of BNPL players
in 2022 8
Source: Research and markets, FIS GPR 2022, McKinsey analysis McKinsey & Company 80
The Saudi market is expected to reach ~0.3Bn$ in revenues from
core BNPL business and additional services in the next 5 years
Full potential revenue from core BNPL and additional services, 2027, Mn$ E-commerce market size, 2022-27, Bn$
48
145
Merchant Late Interchange Micro-credit Advertising Listing fees Data Total 2022 2027
fees payment fee monetization revenue
fees
# of BNPL players
in 2022 5
Source: Research and markets, FIS GPR 2022, McKinsey analysis McKinsey & Company 81
The Egyptian market is expected to reach ~0.3Bn$ in revenues from
core BNPL business and additional services in the next 5 years
Full potential revenue from core BNPL and additional services, 2027, Mn$ E-commerce market size, 2022-27, Bn$
37
4 8
52
156
Merchant Late Interchange Micro-credit Advertising Listing fees Data Total 2022 2027
fees payment fee monetization revenue
fees
# of BNPL players
in 2022 4
Source: Research and markets, FIS GPR 2022, McKinsey analysis McKinsey & Company 82
South African market is expected to reach ~0.3Bn$ in revenues
from core BNPL business and additional services in the next 5 years
Full potential revenue from core BNPL and additional services, 2027, Mn$ E-commerce market size, 2022-27, Bn$
30
3
5
42
126
Merchant Late Interchange Micro-credit Advertising Listing fees Data Total 2022 2027
fees payment fee monetization revenue
fees
# of BNPL players
in 2022 4
Source: Research and markets, FIS GPR 2022, McKinsey analysis McKinsey & Company 83
The Turkish market is expected to reach ~0.6Bn$ in revenues from
core BNPL business and additional services in the next 5 years
Full potential revenue from core BNPL and additional services, 2027, Mn$ E-commerce market size, 2022-27, Bn$
63
6 27
89
266
Merchant Late Interchange Micro-credit Advertising Listing fees Data Total 2022 2027
fees payment fee monetization revenue
fees
# of BNPL players BNPL is an existing concept in Turkey due to various credit card/consumer loan products regulated by Central
in 2022 Bank. Yet, BNPL stays to be a grey area in the Turkish regulatory landscape
Source: Research and markets, FIS GPR 2022, McKinsey analysis McKinsey & Company 84
A bank entering the BNPL market organically in UAE could reach
110-120 Mn$ in revenue with ~25-30% EBITDA after 5 years
Page can be customized for other players and other countries Revenue Merchant fees Interchange fee Advertising
Late payment fees Micro-credit Data monetization
BNPL revenues and costs projection, 2022-2027, USD millions
117
54
59
28 27 18 1
6 16 13
16 9 6 19
0 9 5 9 10
4 3
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
CAPEX1 OPEX (without depreciation)
Total costs 13 13 23 34 50 86
Cost of sales - 2 4 8 13 26
Cost of risk - 1 3 5 8 16
Manpower 11 5 8 10 12 13
Marketing - 4 7 10 14 27
Advertising - - - - 1 1
G&A costs 2 1 1 1 2 2
Infrastructure <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1
EBITDA, % -123% -45% -20% 15% 27%
1. All costs taken to build the BNPL platform in initial years incl. manpower taken as CAPEX
Opportunity
Value Proposition
Prototype
Approach to Build
Commercial Case
Why McKinsey
BNPL experts
BNPL is the fastest We have deep We have helped build We have ready
growing consumer & knowledge and >50 digital finance customizable CXO Blazej Karwowski Diana Goldshtein
POS financing expertise on the topic businesses, including document tested in
solution globally including sizing, many BNPL 10+ EMEA banking
business models, propositions for banks CEO meetings to get
economics etc. the conversation Udai Kaura Sagar Shah
started
Reference: no
Client wanted to create a new B2C Co-ideated potential opportunities and led
business, as a separate BU, to strategic direction of new business Impact
target new customer segments, re- Led an ecosystem of partners Extended loans of >$4B in under 2 years, with significant
invent category, and establish a QoQ growth
scalable platform for future growth Supported business acceleration Driven by business model strategies including high
deposit rate (~1.5%) and no branch footprint
$6B
$4B
$2B
$0B
2Q 2017 3Q 2017 4Q 2017 1Q 2018 2Q 2018
Brand Application & Fraud & Risk Spend line Core processing Loyalty & Customer Collections Product,
awareness & Payment type management – issuance & & billing, Repeat service & Brand,
marketing entry Approval & payment including late purchase dispute Shopping App
Declines fees resolution etc.
Pre-application Application fields and Fraud & credit risk Provisioning and Bill payment Loyalty management, Customer servicing Multi-channel, Shopping App, core
marketing, promoting information sought, management, activation of available management and repeat purchase at across channels and collections for write- product construct etc.
BNPL to existing disclosures, pulls reporting etc. to spend, upfront vs processing, Late fees other merchants dispute resolution off accounts
Issuer consumers from merchant subsequent etc. processes
payments
Heavy investments in 2-3 field application Leverage SKU level 4 installments over 6 Provider is merchant Shopping app to drive Heavy reliance on Limited to no Economics entirely
brand building and forms asking for data for fraud and risk weeks of record in-app engagement digital self-service, outbound collections merchant funded with
joint marketing payment instrument assessment and affiliate FAQ based resolution and balance written ~10-15% of fees
Premium customers Late fees of $8-$10
campaigns with details and email ID in marketing revenues off after two attempts coming from
Device ID, Address can pay first charged a maximum Dispute resolution
merchants on BNPL checkout consumers
match with one on file installment after 1.5 of 2 times before Rewards program and handling team Dunning and line
channels, social
Billing address data at bureau etc. used weeks vs. at time of write-off with incentives on with low SLAs – instatement Shopping app
media etc.
etc. pulled from for fraud check and purchase payment tenure, line capabilities/policies increasingly critical to
No hold placed on Increased
shopping cart KYC etc. needed to effectively drive engagement
Dynamic installments line investments in
manage collections and affinity
No sensitive Soft credit pulls with where initial payment Ability to have upto 5 integration with
Integrations with
information (e.g., no bureau reporting can increase based transactions open merchant OMS to Brand positioning
OMS enable payment
SSN) unless delinquent on risk profile depending on line preemptively address important to
cancellation in case
available major dispute differentiate across
Available to spend of returned goods
reasons merchants and
grows based on Each transaction
consumers
payment history approved/declined
based on model
Decline reasons not
reported
Servicing and
Product Acquisition Application Verification Reporting Collections Business capabilities
A1 Product design – B1 Define brand architecture B11 Reach audience digitally C1 Pull bureau data and D1 Alert customers (mobile, E1 Offer account F1 Resource hiring and G1 Govern rules and
Construct, User for each lending product (Demand-side platform) integrate with rules engine email) on app progress management for basic training for each product decisions
requirements, rules engine with real-time scoring service requests –
input, pricing, journey flow B2 Define visual identity for B12 Build integration APIs for D2 Support customers (omni- Balance Inquiring, F2 Manage collections and G2 Business performance
each lending product POS integrations Report adverse actions channel) on follow ups and Address change, Pre and recoveries (workflow) measurement
C2
inquiries Partial payment, Account including delinquency and
User experience design Design front-end UX and B13 Enable integra-tions with receivables management,
A2 B3 change G3 Financial planning &
(mobile-first) with detailed communications for each Shop-ping cart provid-ers, C3 Capture information with Upload and manage dispute resolution, reporting
process flows across channel of acquisition gateways etc. 6-8 click forms D3 E2 Update credit bureau
documents through remarketing, account
journey reconciliation,
Manage / measure brand
document integration tool
Build customer service G4 Financial analysis &
B4 B14 Set up merchant account C4 Set-up account and/ E3 documentation, decision support
A3 Product concept testing messaging disbursal capability and or offer servicing tools center capabilities for discrepancy monitoring,
through consumer charge back rules for POS D4 Verify ID and capacity servicing, pre-payment, skip tracing etc.)
interviews and co-creation
B5 Earned media & financing through digital top-ups, basic servicing G5 Set up vendor
sessions, Experience Sponsorship plan C5 Authenticate (eSign) & authentication tools management process
approve disclosures E4 Measure operat-
testing
B15 DM support to ions performance and
B6 Segment customer base
Manage/person-alize Track behavior D5 Track and report status
establish reporting norms G6 Staffing/hiring across
A4 Positioning and into pre-approved, C6 functions
content and integrate into and processes
messaging design and conditionally approved,
OLB
testing with focus groups no-decision and denied Service front-end (incl. Track complaints and G7 Analytical sandbox
C7 Define rules (rules engine) D6 E5
segments based on risk, workflow) monitor satisfaction scores environment
DM and economic criteria B16 Manage audien-ces (360
view)
C8 Make customer decisions Process payments G8 Test and learn
Design, launch and D7
B7 (decision engine) infrastructure
manage digital and mailer B17 Tailor landing experience
campaigns on OLB, Mobile and Resource hiring and Fraud monitoring and
Promo code pages C9 D8
training for multi-level mitigation through IP
B8 Manage Bids (SEM) approvals address mapping etc.
B18 Test and Optimize
experience
B9 Manage affiliates/ C10 Relationship based pricing
Aggregates and module
negotiations with cobrands B19 Manage Feedback (social
listening)
on acquisition partnerships C11 Risk-pricing modules for
interest subsidies,
B10 Target audience and B20 Measure & Report merchant specific pricing
enrich data (Data (Impression, Tag for POS financing
management platform) management) partnerships
Example third
Capability required Description party providers
Merchant onboarding Integration with a merchant partner’s website, in-store payment infrastructure, as well as merchant POS financing as a service
e-commerce partners (e.g., Shopify, Magento) across steps in the value chain, training of in-store Sizable players in the US
staff on POS financing offer
Customer origination Front- and back-end powering customer experience across all steps of origination journey online
journey and in-store, including journey integration, customer communication, and checkout experience
Disbursement of funds Settlement of funds to merchant bank account, execution of funds transfer
Subscale in the US
Consumer and Consumer and merchant servicing (e.g., repayment, returns, late payments), including both the
merchant servicing front-end and the back-end processes
Underwriting as a service
Underwriting engine / Underwriting models and data for POS financing (both consumer and merchant underwriting)
models enabling instant decisioning Details follow
Underwriting and fraud Underwriting and fraud check rules driving approvals N/A
decisioning/ rules
Pricing Overall financing infrastructure for POS business (e.g., synthetic P&L, APR and MDR levels, co- N/A
marketing budgets)
Business development Deal team to aggressively pursue new merchant partnerships N/A
Total transaction value on platform ($) New player to acquire 2% of BNPL market growth in year 1, and 20% in year 5
Assumed 4% merchant fee as share of transaction value ( ~ 3-6% for local BNPL
Merchant Merchant fee (%) players)
fees Total transaction value on platform (#) Took ~150$ average BNPL ticket size
~50% Fixed transaction fee ($) Assumed 0.30$ fixed fee per transaction
Fee per late transaction ($) Assumed ~7$ fee per late transaction (~ 5-10$ for BNPL players)
Late fees Took ~20% of users with at least 1 late payment (conservative assumption – Klarna has
Share of late payments (%)
~34% of users with late payments)
Revenue Assumed 4 installments due every month, ~70% of users with 1 late payment, 15%
~15-20% Average total cost per late payment
with 2 late payments, 10% with 3 late payments, and 5% with 4 late payments
Return rate Share of sales returned to merchant (%) Assumed ~5-10% of sales returned to merchants
Assumed- 4% credit loan for high value transactions for months 4 to 8, accounting for
Micro-credit ($) ~10-15% ~5-10% of all transactions with ~1000$ average ticket size
Interchange fee ($) ~1% Assumed ~1% interchange fee on foreign transactions
Additional Assumed ~45% of merchants leveraging ads services (Klarna figures), and 3% ads
Advertising ($) ~15% cost as share of revenue
services
Assumed ~5000$ avg revenue per merchant (In 2021, Klarna had 1.375bn$ revenue
Listing fees ($) ~10% with 250k merchants), and 40$ listing fee per merchant
Assumed 100% of merchants paying for data access, and ~12$ annual fee per
~25-30% Data monetization ($) ~0-5% merchant
Total transaction value on platform ($) New player to acquire 2% of BNPL market growth in year 1, and 20% in year 5
Cost of
sales Cost of sales (% of transaction value) Took ~1.9% as average Zipco and Afterpay cost of sales as share of underlying sales
Team including product owner, back-end and front-end developers, business analyst per
Platform development sales segments, data scientist : 2 teams in year 1 to 4 teams in year 5
Manpower ▪ Sales managers
▪ Marketing managers
▪ B2B customer service : from 6 requests/merchant/year in year 1 to 3
Business development requests/merchant/year in year 5
▪ B2C customer service : from 5 requests/year in year 1 to 1 request./user/year in year
5, assuming ~5 transactions/user/year
Total transaction value on platform ($) New player to acquire 2% of BNPL market growth in year 1, and 20% in year 5
Marketing
Marketing share of underlying sales (%) From ~2.5% in year 1 to ~1% in year 5
Merchant acquisition ($) Assumed discounted merchant fee from 4% to 2.5% for new merchants for 1 year
Acquisition
cost Customer acquisition ($) Calculated as 1-2% of core BNPL revenues
Annual server cost ($) Assumed ~0.4$ server cost per hour
Cost - Software license White label : assumed ~as ~40% of acquisition cost (~120 Mn)
Capex Merchant network acquisition White label and light build : assumed ~as ~20% of acquisition cost (~60 Mn)
In partnership with Affirm, Amazon PayPal stops charging fees on Apple and Goldman Sachs to
shoppers will be able to split BNPL payments and claims +7 mn launch Apple Pay later BNPL
purchases into smaller, monthly users of the service since launch product
installments August 2021 July 2021
August 2021
Square acquires BNPL giant PayPal acquires Japanese BNPL Mastercard launches BNPL service
Afterpay in a $29 bn deal, platform Paidy in a $2.7 bn deal available in the US, the UK and
converting AfterPay’s customer September 2021 Australia
base into Cash App users September 2021
August 2021
• Commercial Banks
• Finance Companies 297.0 50.0 39.0 20.0
1. 38 Institutions several of which have been incorporated into larger banks/wound down
2. Instant micro-lending as a proposition is not offered in the UAE due to regulation
Source: Company Financial Statements, Central Bank UAE McKinsey & Company 103
3E: Dependent on the architype where an incumbent plays there are
8 different merchant categories that it can target to build a network
Merchant Direct to merchant Access merchant at scale Create an integrated Card-linked installment
Categories integrations via a channel partner shopping app offerings
High-ticket size merchants with Most merchants that integrate Most of the originations are from Offered through fintech,
elective healthcare categories, such solutions are in higher- higher-margin, discretionary- network-offered solutions or
or move niche home ticket, lower-frequency spend categories cobranded or narrowly targeted
improvement options e.g., purchases where cart merchant partnerships e.g.,
HVAC, remodeling etc. conversions are critical Amazon
Apparel and
footwear
Fitness
Accessories1
Electronics
Beauty
Healthcare
Home
Improvement2
Travel
1. Includes categories such as Jewelry, Arts and crafts etc.
2. Includes elements such as furniture, home goods, decorating, landscape design etc.
Source: Web search, McKinsey article, expert input McKinsey & Company 104
While BNPL has proven to be successful overall, it faces three
key risks
Obtaining EDI and Document review Completion of additional Get familiar with the Video identification 4. Lack of transparency on the
signing questionnaire: enter consent and introduce progress made and the remaining
contact details the P&L number of steps
5. Lack of transparency on request
status and link between
installment plan, mobile app
installation and usage
11 12 13 14
6. Lack of a smooth process of
Purchase paid for Registration in the Use of Bank app Loan repayment goods return
Bank mobile app
7. No proactive cross-sell of other
products in the mobile app
The analysis was performed for online and offline journeys. The conclusions outline general recommendations for the two ways.
1 2 3
Marketplace Enter phone number + OTP, INI,
Product search and selection Select payment method consent to processing personal
Mobile app data and service terms
4 5 6 7
Approve/propose another Store card data. Information on
Enter card data to link and Card binding confirmation
method of payment, accept installment plan and repayment
generate recurring payments (3D Secure)
offers methods. Mobile app link
8 9 10 11