Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Corporate Risk
Management
1. Debt capacity
– Risk management can reduce the volatility of
cash flows, and this decrease the probability of
bankruptcy.
– Firms with lower operating risks can use more
debt, which can lead to higher stock prices due
to the interest tax savings from the
deductibility of interest expense.
3. Financial distress
– Risk management can reduce the likelihood of
low cash flows and financial distress.
5. Borrowing costs
– Firms can sometimes reduce input costs,
especially the interest rate on debt, through
the use of derivative instruments called
“swaps”.
– Any cost reduction adds value to the firm.
6. Tax effects
– Tax system encourages risk management to
stabilize company earnings.
7. Compensation system
– Many compensation systems establish “floors” and
ceilings” on bonuses or they reward managers for
meeting targets.
– The manager’s bonus is higher when earnings are
stable.
– So even if hedging does not add much value for
stockholders, it still may be beneficial to managers.
80% Hedged
80%
Unhedged Hedged
Price of Total Cost Total Total Refining Annual Profit/Loss Annual
Oil/bbl of Oil Revenues Costs Profits on Forward Contract Profits
=(A-
A B=Ax1m C D=$30x1m E=C+B+D G=E+F
$130)x1mx%Hedge
$110 $(110,000,000) $165,000,000 $(30,000,000) $25,000,000 $(16,000,000) $9,000,000
$(105,000,000)
$(110,000,000)
Total Cost of Crude Oil (1 million bbls)
$(115,000,000)
$(120,000,000)
$(125,000,000)
$(130,000,000)
$(135,000,000)
$(140,000,000)
$(145,000,000)
Price of Crude Oil in One Year
$10
$8
$6
$4
Profit
$2
$0
$0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 $45
($2)
($4)
($6)
Future Stock Price
.272693
• Given:
– Current price of stock = $32
– Exercise price = $25
– Maturity = 90 days or 0.25 years
– Variance in stock returns = .16
– Risk-free rate =12% per annum
$10
$8
Profits, Exercise Price =$25
$6
$4
$2
$0
$0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 $45
($2)
($4)
($6)
Stock Price