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2 August Dawn Editorial with Meaning & Translation


Intelligence failure ‫نا ا ۔‬ ‫جس‬ ‫ان‬
BESTIAL violence once again stalks the land. There ‫درنده صفت شدد ا ک ار پھر زم کو ڈنڈا مارا۔ اس سال‬
have been 18 suicide bombings already this year, 2022 ‫ جو کہ‬، ‫ خودکش م دھما وچ ہ‬18 ‫پہ‬
surpassing‫ س قت جا واﻻ‬the 15 such attacks ‫ حملوں کو پ چھ چھوڑ گ ہ ۔ اتوار کو‬15 ‫دوران ا‬
during all of 2022. The horror of the latest one, in ‫و وا تازه ت ن ا ک‬ ‫اجوڑ ضلع تحص ل خار م‬
Bajaur district’s Khar tehsil on Sunday, continues to ‫ار‬ ‫جب متاث ن‬ ‫ولنا اس وقت ب سام آر‬
unfold as poignant details about the victims come to ‫م دلخراش تفص ﻼت منظر عام پر آ ہ ۔ شد د زخمیوں‬
the fore and the critically‫ تنق دی طور پر‬injured ‫س تال م آخری سا س ۔‬
breathe their last in hospital.
‫ جن م‬، ‫ زائد افراد اپ جان گنوا چ ہ‬50 ‫اب تک‬
-‫تق ا نصف نا الغ ہ ۔ عسک ت سند اسﻼمک اس ٹ‬
‫ذمہ‬ ‫ف جل م حم‬- ‫یو آ‬ ‫خراسان گروپ‬
So far, over 50 people have lost their lives, almost ‫خار ام ض اء ﷲ‬ ‫داری قبول جس ا اصل ہدف ار‬
half of them minors. The militant Islamic State- ‫جاری ت ل کن‬ ‫ تق ب دو گھن‬: ‫جان معلوم وتا‬
Khorasan group claimed responsibility for the attack ‫حملہ آور اپ دھما ہ خ مواد کو اڑا ل ا۔ لدی ب ان ف‬
at the JUI-F rally in which the principal target ‫عد جب سابق پنڈال م پہن ۔ اس حم م موﻻنا‬ ‫اس‬
appears to have been the party’s Khar ameer, ‫ سالہ ب ٹا جاں حق و گ ۔‬22 ‫ض اء ﷲ اور ان ا‬
Ziaullah Jan: the event had been underway for two
‫ ا م این ایز اس حم کو ا ستان متعدد ان‬،‫روز‬ ‫پ‬
hours but the attacker detonated his explosives
‫ج س ا ج سیوں جانب "م مل نا ا " ا ن جہ قرار‬
‫ دھما ہ خ مواد‬-laden vest only after the former
‫د ا۔ اس ات اختﻼف کرنا مش ل کہ ان ا ج سیوں کو‬
arrived at the venue. Maulana Ziaullah and his 22-
‫اب د شت گرد گرو وں نمٹ ا ک دہائیوں ا تج ہ‬
year-old son died in the attack.
‫ج س پر مب‬ ‫ان خﻼف ک ’ان‬ ‫اور س کور فور‬
‫ارروائ اں‘ ہ ۔‬
On Monday, MNAs denounced ‫ مذمت‬the attack as
‫و وا م دھما کو روک م ان نااہ‬ ‫اجوڑ م‬
the result of “complete failure” on the part of
IS-K ‫کو گزشتہ سال شاور ا ک مسجد پر فرقہ وارانہ حم‬
Pakistan’s multiple intelligence agencies. It is
‫عد اپ سب بڑی بڑ پ ما پر جا نقصان‬
difficult to disagree, considering these agencies have
‫ افراد مار گ تھ ۔‬64 ‫ جس م م از م‬، ‫' ام ا ' دی‬
now had decades of experience in dealing‫معاملہ‬
‫اقوام متحده ا ک حالیہ ر ورٹ م بتا ا گ ا کہ‬
with terror groups and security forces have carried
‫ القاعده اور اس م سل گرو وں شمول‬، ‫افغا ستان م‬
out a number of ‘intelligence-based operations’
TTP‫ اور‬، IS-K ‫درم ان فرق کب کبھار مبہم و جاتا‬
against them.
‫و طاقت طرف‬ ‫اور یہ کہ "لوگوں م غالب ا بڑھ‬
‫متوجہ و ا رجحان" ۔ اس ط ح اجوڑ م دھما ج‬
Their inability‫ اسمرتتا‬to prevent the Bajaur bombing
‫حم د شت گرد تنظ موں ل 'اپ اسناد کو جﻼ ' اور‬
has handed IS-K its biggest mass casualty ‘success’
‫ل مف د ہ ۔‬ ‫بھر کر والوں کو راغب کر‬
since the sectarian attack on a Peshawar mosque
last year, in which at least 64 people perished.

A recent UN report noted that in Afghanistan,


distinctions‫ امت ازات‬between members of Al Qaeda
and affiliated groups, including TTP, and IS-K are
sometimes fuzzy and that there is a “tendency for
people to gravitate towards the dominant or
ascending power”. Attacks such as the Bajaur
bombing are thus useful for terrorist outfits to
‘burnish their credentials’ and attract recruits.

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Moreover, there had been consistent indications of
IS-K’s presence in Bajaur, which is contiguous‫متصل‬ ‫ اجوڑ م‬،‫ م د برآں‬IS-K ‫مسلسل اشار‬ ‫موجود‬
with Afghanistan’s Kunar province — well known as ‫ جو کہ‬- ‫متصل‬ ‫ جو کہ افغا ستان ص ہ ک‬، ‫م تھ‬
a locale for terrorist training camps. The militant ‫د شت گردی ت ی ک مپوں ل ا ک جگہ طور پر‬
outfit had made an assassination attempt on ‫جانا جاتا ۔ عسک ت سند تنظ م گزشتہ سال ب‬
Maulana Ziaullah last year as well and slain at least ‫موﻻنا ض اء ﷲ پر قاتﻼنہ حملہ ک ا تھا اور ضلع م م از م‬
another cleric in the district. Had the attackers been ‫ا ک اور عالم دین کو قتل کر د ا تھا۔ ا ر حملہ آوروں ا اغ‬
tracked down, perhaps Sunday’s tragedy could have ‫ل ا ل ا جاتا تو شا د اتوار سانحہ کو ٹاﻻ جا سکتا تھا۔‬
been averted. ‫ کچھ ما ن ا خ ال کہ‬IS-K ‫ افغان‬،‫عسک ت سند‬
‫ افغا ستان م اپ ٹھ انوں نقل م ا‬، ‫طال ان د اؤ م‬
Some experts believe that IS-K militants, under ‫کر چ ہ اور ا ستان بڑ شہروں م س ل قائم کر ل‬
pressure from the Afghan Taliban, have moved from ‫بچ سک ہ ۔ اس سال‬ ‫پتہ ل ا‬ ‫ہ جہاں وه آسا‬
their bases in Afghanistan and set up cells in major ‫اس الرز ساتھ ساتھ اقلی برادر وں‬ ‫شاور م مذ‬
cities in Pakistan where they can more easily avoid ‫ ار ان متعدد ٹارگٹ لنگ ا اغ شہر م‬IS-K
detection. Several targeted killings in Peshawar this ‫عسک ت سندوں — تمام افغان شہری — ن ٹ ورک‬
year of religious ‫ مذ‬scholars as well as members ‫مﻼ۔‬
of minority communities were traced to a network
of IS-K militants — all Afghan nationals — in the city. ‫اس‬ ‫ س ا جماعتوں‬،‫ساتھ‬ ‫انتخا ات ق ب و‬
‫قانون نافذ کر وا اداروں ساتھ م آ ن م حفاظ‬
‫ج س اپ س کو موار ک ا‬ ‫پروٹوکول ونا وری ۔ ان‬
‫جانا چا اور ا ک ااخت ار ن کٹا تحت ام کرنا چا ۔ م‬
With an election around the corner, political parties ‫درم ان دھند ل وں‬ ‫س است اور قو سﻼم‬
must have security protocols in place in ‫۔‬ ‫و و سک‬ ‫و سک — ا خون‬ ‫متحمل نہ‬
coordination ‫ م آ ن‬with law-enforcement
agencies. The intelligence apparatus should be
streamlined and work in concert under an
empowered Nacta. We cannot afford blurred lines
between politics and national security — or a
bloodbath could be in store.

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SBP projections ‫تخمی‬ ‫اس ٹ ب نک‬
22 ‫ر ٹ کو‬ ‫اس ٹ ب نک ا اپ ال‬pc ‫پر برقرار رکھ ا‬
THE State Bank’s decision to keep its policy rate 3 ‫ف صلہ‬bn ‫ ڈالر ن‬IMF ‫ل دی ہدف ساتھ‬ ‫سہولت‬
unchanged‫ غ ت د ل شده‬at 22pc doesn’t sync well ‫اچ ط ح مطا قت نہ رکھتا جس ل ا ا ک‬
with a key goal of the new $3bn IMF facility that ‫جس ا‬ ‫ فعال اور ڈیٹا پر مب مال ا ال‬،‫"مسلسل سخت‬
requires it to pursue a “continued tight, proactive ‫مقصد ڈس انفل شن " پر عمل پ ا ونا وری ۔‬
and data-driven monetary policy aimed at ‫ اﻵخر‬،‫ ’مستق ل‘ ب اد پر ک ا گ ا ف صلہ‬SBP ‫پر بومرنگ و‬
disinflation”. The decision, made on a ‘forward- ‫ل‬ ‫ ڈ ﻻئن افراط زر درست پ ش گو کر‬، ‫سکتا‬
looking’ basis, may eventually boomerang on the ‫ اور مہن ا‬، ‫اس خراب ٹ ک ر ارڈ کو د کھ و‬
SBP, given its poor track record to correctly forecast ‫ل بروقت انداز م ام کر‬ ‫توقعات تعم کو ختم کر‬
headline inflation, and act in a timely fashion to ‫ڈ ﻻئن‬ ‫ م‬24 ‫سکتا ۔ ب نک توقع کر ر ا کہ ما سال‬
unanchor the build-up of inflationary expectations ‫ جو‬، ‫ ف صد حد م ر‬22-20 ‫افراط زر‬ ‫صارف‬
‫توقعات‬. The bank is expecting headline consumer ‫ ف صد‬28.2 ‫ ف صد اور جوﻻ م‬29.2 ‫گزشتہ ما سال م‬
inflation to remain in the range of 20-22pc in FY24, ‫گر گ ت ۔ ب ان م موجوده سال پہ ششما‬
falling from 29.2pc in the last fiscal and 28.2pc in ‫پہ دو ی ششما‬ ‫آ‬ ‫دوران مہن ا م بتدر ـ ـج‬
July. The statement projects inflation to decelerate ، ‫م و ا ام ان ۔ اس ا مطلب‬ ‫ ف صد‬20 ‫م‬SBP
gradually during the first half of the present year ‫ح سود ا ک ا م‬ ‫ مث ت حق‬،‫تخمینوں مطابق‬
before easing below 20pc in the second half. That ‫حوں م کو ت د نہ‬ ‫ ب نک سود‬،‫سطح۔ ظا ر‬
implies, according to SBP projections, a significant ‫پ ش گوئیوں م ب ادی‬ ‫ل سال ل اپ مہن ا‬ ‫کر‬
level of positive real interest rates. Apparently ‫اثرات کو‬ ‫یونٹ تک اضا‬ ‫ رو‬7.5 ‫نرخوں م‬ ‫ج‬
‫ ظا ر‬, the bank has taken into account the impact ‫مدنظر رکھا ۔ ل کن اس م ڈیزل اور پی ول ق متوں م‬
of the hike of up to Rs7.5 per unit in base power ‫افراط زر اثرات کو شامل‬ ‫لی اضا‬ ‫ رو‬20 ‫تق ا‬
tariff in its inflation forecasts for the year to leave ‫نہ ک ا گ ا تا ہ ب اﻻقوا ت ل ق متوں م اضافہ کو‬
interest rates unchanged. But it did not incorporate ‫صارف تک پہنچا ا جا س ج سا کہ آ ا م ا ف معاہدے‬
the inflationary effect of the almost Rs20 per litre ‫تحت ورت ۔‬
increase in diesel and petrol prices to pass on the
upward change in international oil rates to
consumers as required under the IMF agreement. ‫توقعات م ب‬ ‫م و‬ ‫ب نک کرنٹ ا اؤنٹ خسار‬
‫ف صلوں‬ ‫ جو کہ مانی ی ال‬، ‫ا پرام د دکھا دیتا‬
‫۔ ا توقع کہ خساره‬ ‫کو متاثر کر واﻻ دو ا بڑا عن‬
0.5 ‫ ڈی‬pc 1.5 pc ‫و ا۔ اس ا اعتماد‬ ‫حد م‬
The bank also appears rather optimistic in ‫ ف صد‬0.7 ‫چھ سال فرق م‬ ‫ ف صد‬4.7 ‫چھ سال‬
expectations of a low current account deficit, the ‫ساتھ ساتھ عال اجناس ق متوں م ممکنہ‬ ‫تک‬
other major factor influencing‫ اثر انداز‬monetary ‫رجحان پ دا وا ۔ اس ٹ ب نک خود سل م کرتا‬
policy decisions. It expects the deficit to be in the ‫ار م اس تخمی "مل اور ب و‬ ‫کہ مع شت‬
range of 0.5pc to 1.5pc of GDP. Its confidence ‫من موسم ا‬ ‫جھٹکوں پ دا و وا خطرات ج‬
stems from the reduction in the gap to 0.7pc last ‫ اور عال اجناس ق متوں م اتار چڑھاؤ تابع‬،‫واقعات‬
year from 4.7pc in the previous one, as well as a ‫ہ "۔‬
likely downward trend in global commodity prices.
The SBP itself admits that its projections about the
economy are “subject to risks arising from domestic
and external shocks such as adverse climate events,
and global commodity‫ اجناس‬price volatility”.

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Besides, there also are concerns that the fiscal ‫ یہ خدشات ب ہ کہ اب تک ک گ مال ا‬،‫اس عﻼوه‬
consolidation‫ استح ام‬measures taken so far may fall ‫ جس‬، ‫م و سک ہ‬ ‫استح ام اقدامات اہداف‬
short of the targets, undermining efforts to contain ‫کوششوں کو نقصان پہنچ سکتا ۔ اس‬ ‫افراط زر پر قابو ا‬
inflation. Therefore, it would have been much ‫ﻻ ت‬ ‫ل اس ل یہ بہت بہ وتا کہ م از م قرض لی‬
better for it to at least slightly raise the cost of ‫کو تھوڑا سا بڑھاتا تا ہ مارک ٹ کو یہ اشاره مل س کہ یہ‬
borrowing to send a signal to the market that it is ‫ل موجود‬ ‫مستق ل افراط زر توقعات کو ختم کر‬
here to unanchor future inflationary expectations. ‫۔ ا ر خ ال ن قر کو بڑھانا تو یہ موجوده حوں ا‬
If the idea is to boost private lending, it can’t ‫و سکتا۔‬ ‫موجوده غ قی معا حاﻻت م ب نہ‬
happen even at the present rates or in the current
uncertain economic conditions‫ حاﻻت‬.

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Haryana riots ‫انہ فسادات‬
AS India prepares for general elections‫ انتخا ات‬next ، ‫ج سا کہ ندوستان ا سال عام انتخا ات ت اری کر ر ا‬
year, one can expect the Sangh Parivar to deploy ‫کو ب توقع کر سکتا کہ سنگھ پ وار انتخا ات م‬
dubious methods to give the ruling BJP a boost in the ‫ل مشکوک ط اپنا ا۔‬ ‫کو فروغ دی‬ ‫ح مران‬
polls. One of the most successful — albeit dangerous ‫و‬ ‫ خطرنا‬- ‫سنگھ پ ک م سب ز اده ام اب‬
— strategies in the Sangh’s playbook is to fan the ‫شعلوں کو بھڑ انا تا ہ‬ ‫ ح مت عم فرقہ پرس‬- ‫اوجود‬
flames of communalism‫ فرقہ وار ت‬in order to assure ‫ب اد پرست ووٹر ب س کو ق دﻻ ا جا س کہ وه‬
the BJP’s radical voter base that it remains ‘tough’ on ‫زر‬ ‫اقلیتوں الخصوص مسلمانوں پر 'سخت' ۔‬
minorities, particularly‫ خاص طور پر‬Muslims. The ‫ا پ شان کن انداز پر‬ ‫اقتدار انہ م حالیہ مہل جھ‬
recent deadly clashes in BJP-ruled Haryana appear to ‫روز اس وقت‬ ‫پ‬ ‫عمل کر نظر آ ہ ۔ فرقہ وارانہ جھ‬
be following this disturbing pattern. Communal ‫ ج ب اد پرست‬،‫ وع وئ جب ا ک ندو جلوس پر‬VHP
clashes broke out on Monday after a Hindu ‫ ن ح قص م‬، ‫اور جرنگ دل تنظ موں حما ت حاصل ت‬
procession, supported ‫ حما ت‬by the radical VHP ‫ندو جوم گڑ اؤں م ا ک‬ ‫پتھراؤ ک ا گ ا۔ رد عمل م‬
and Bajrang Dal outfits, was stoned in Nuh town. In ‫مسجد کو نذر آ ش کر د ا۔ ن امہ آرا م م از م انچ افراد‬
reaction, Hindu mobs burnt down a mosque in ‫و ہ جن م دو سکیور اہل ار اور ا ک امام شامل‬ ‫ہﻼ‬
Gurgaon. At least five people have been killed in the ، ‫ہ ۔ سب ز اده متاثره عﻼقوں م کرفیو نافذ کر د ا گ ا‬
disturbances, including‫ سم ت‬two security men and ‫ل اضا سکیور فور کو طلب‬ ‫جب کہ امن برقرار رکھ‬
an imam. Curfew has been clamped in the worst- ‫کر ل ا گ ا ۔‬
affected parts, while extra security forces have been
called in to keep the peace. ‫حزب اختﻼف س است دانوں ا کہنا تھا کہ ک دن پہ یہ‬
‫خ ں گردش کر ر تھ کہ کچھ دنام زمانہ نفرت پھ ﻼ‬
Opposition politicians said reports had been ‫ اور سوال‬، ‫کت دعوت دی گ ت‬ ‫والوں کو جلوس م‬
circulating several days earlier that some notorious ‫ک ا کہ ان شخص ات کو کت اجازت کیوں دی گ ۔ ا رچہ‬
hatemongers had been invited to attend the ‫ ل کن چھ مثالوں‬، ‫شدد ا صحیح محرک معلوم نہ‬
procession, and questioned why these figures were ‫ ندو سخت گ جوم کو مسلمانوں کو طع دی اور ان‬، ‫م‬
allowed to participate. While the exact trigger of the ‫ل ا سا م ا م کردار ادا کر ر ہ ۔‬ ‫پر حملہ کر‬
violence is not known, in previous instances, Hindu ‫ حزب اختﻼف ار ان نوٹ ک ا کہ ج‬،‫م د برآں‬
hardliners have been instrumental‫ آلہ ار‬in ‫ل‬ ‫ووٹ حاصل کر‬ ، ‫انتخا ات ق ب آ ہ‬ ‫ج‬
instigating mobs to taunt and attack Muslims. ‫ نفرت انگ تقار ر اور اقلیتوں کو بھڑ ا ا‬،‫فرقہ وارانہ شدد‬
Moreover, opposition members have noted that as ، ‫ مہاراش‬،‫ مغر بن ال‬،‫۔ قی طور پر‬ ‫استعمال کر‬
elections draw close, the BJP will use communal ‫فرقہ‬ ‫کرناٹک اور گجرات م گزشتہ چند مہینوں م مذ‬
‫ وارانہ‬violence, hate speech and minority-baiting to ‫جھ وں ظا ر وتا کہ یہ خدشات ب اد نہ ہ ۔‬
grab votes. Certainly, religious clashes over the past ‫حکومت‬ ‫ جو کہ‬،‫م پور م فرقہ وارانہ صورتحال‬
few months in West Bengal, Maharashtra, Karnataka ‫۔ ندوستان‬ ‫ خاص طور پر سنگ‬، ‫وا ر است ب‬
and Gujarat indicate that these fears are not ‫مرکزی حکومت کو ان پ شان کن رجحانات پر قابو ا اور‬
unfounded. The communal situation in Manipur, also ‫ورت کیونکہ مل‬ ‫سنگھ پ وار کو ل ام ڈال‬
a BJP-ruled state, is particularly grim. India’s central ‫عد جیت وا انتخا ات ا کو جواز‬ ‫اقلیتوں پر ظلم و ستم‬
government needs to control these disturbing ‫پ شان‬ ‫ خاص طور پر نو شک ل شده‬،‫ اپوز شن‬،‫و ا۔ م د برآں‬ ‫نہ‬
‫ کن‬trends and rein in the Sangh Parivar as elections ‫ورت کہ‬ ‫ کو اقلیتوں کو ق دﻻ‬،‫ندوستا اتحاد‬
won after brutalising‫ وحش انہ‬the country’s minorities ‫س است کو‬ ‫ اور نفرت اور سماند‬، ‫وه ان ساتھ کھڑی‬
will have little legitimacy. Furthermore, the ‫۔‬ ‫مس د کر‬
opposition, particularly the newly formed INDIA
alliance, needs to reassure minorities ‫ اقلیت‬that it
stands by them, and rejects the politics of hatred and
marginalisation ‫ سماند‬.

Published in Dawn August 2, 2023

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Wednesday, 2 August 2023 Dawn, Daily Times & Tribune Newspaper, Daily MCQs, National Magazine, CSS Books,
Notes, Past Paper WhatsApp 03468134627

CSS PMS Books and Notes Home Delivery


(WhatsApp 0346-8134627 or Visit our website www.virtualzeedas.com)

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