OA1

FN Clarivate Analytics Web of Science
VR 1.0
PT J
AU Distefano, SM
Graf, JM
Lowry, AW
Sitler, GC
AF Distefano, SM
Graf, JM
Lowry, AW
Sitler, GC
TI Preparing, improvising, and caring for children during mass transport
after a disaster
SO PEDIATRICS
LA English
DT Article
DE Hurricane Katrina; pediatrics; mass transport; disaster planning
ID EVACUATION; EMERGENCY
C1 Texas Childrens Hosp, Patient Care Serv Div, Houston, TX 77030 USA.
Baylor Coll Med, Dept Pediat, Houston, TX 77030 USA.
C3 Baylor College of Medicine; Baylor College of Medicine
RP Distefano, SM (corresponding author), Texas Childrens Hosp, Patient Care Serv
Div, Houston, TX 77030 USA.
EM smdistef@texaschildrenshospital.org
OI Lowry, Adam/0000-0002-8531-9410
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NR 19
TC 7
Z9 7
U1 0
U2 0
PU AMER ACAD PEDIATRICS
PI ELK GROVE VILLAGE
PA 141 NORTH-WEST POINT BLVD,, ELK GROVE VILLAGE, IL 60007-1098 USA
SN 0031-4005
EI 1098-4275
J9 PEDIATRICS
JI Pediatrics
PD MAY
PY 2006
VL 117
IS 5
SU S
BP S421
EP S427
DI 10.1542/peds.2006-0099P
PG 7
WC Pediatrics
WE Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
SC Pediatrics
GA 038GT
UT WOS:000237207800015
PM 16735277
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Chang, MG
Sielaff, A
Bradin, S
Walker, K
Ambrose, M
Hashikawa, A
AF Chang, Megan
Sielaff, Alan
Bradin, Stuart
Walker, Kevin
Ambrose, Michael
Hashikawa, Andrew
TI Assessing Disaster Preparedness Among Select Children's Summer Camps in
the United States and Canada
SO SOUTHERN MEDICAL JOURNAL
LA English
DT Article
DE disaster preparedness; emergency preparedness; pediatrics;
special/medical needs children; summer camps
ID MASS-CASUALTY EVENTS; EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS; PEDIATRIC POPULATION;
NATIONAL-SURVEY; FAMILIES; CARE; GUIDELINES; SCHOOLS; HEALTH
AB Objective: Children's summer camps are at risk for multiple pediatric casualties
during a disaster. The degree to which summer camps have instituted disaster
preparedness is unknown. We assessed disaster preparedness among selected camps
nationally for a range of disasters.
Methods: We partnered with a national, web-based electronic health records
system to send camp leadership of 315 camp organizations a 14-question online
survey of disaster preparedness. One response from each camp was selected in the
following order of importance: owner, director, physician, nurse, medical
technician, office staff, and other. The results were analyzed using descriptive
statistics.
Results: A total of 181 camps responses were received, 169 of which were
complete. Camp types were overnight (60%), day (21%), special/medical needs (14%),
and other (5%). Survey respondents were directors (52%), nurses (14%), office staff
(10%), physicians (5%), owners (5%), emergency medical technicians (2%), and other
(12%). Almost 18% of camps were located >20 mi from a major medical center, and 36%
were >5 mi from police/fire departments. Many camps were missing emergency
supplies: car/booster seats for evacuation (68%), shelter (35%), vehicles for
evacuation (26%), quarantine isolation areas (21%), or emergency supplies of extra
water (20%) or food (17%). Plans were unavailable for the following: power outages
(23%); lockdowns (15%); illness outbreaks (15%); tornadoes (11%); evacuation for
fire, flood, or chemical spill (9%); and other severe weather (8%). Many camps did
not have online emergency plans (53%), plans for children with special/medical
needs (38%), methods to rapidly communicate information to parents (25%), or
methods to identify children for evacuation/reunification with parents (40%).
Respondents reported that staff participation in disaster drills varied for weather
(58%), evacuations (46%), and lockdowns (36%). The majority (75%) of respondents
had not collaborated with medical organizations for planning.
Conclusions: A substantial proportion of camps were missing critical components
of disaster planning. Future interventions must focus on developing summer camp-
specific disaster plans, increasing partnerships, and reassessing national disaster
plans to include summer camp settings.
C1 Michigan Med, Dept Emergency Med, Ann Arbor, MI USA.
Michigan Med, Dept Pediat & Communicable Dis, Ann Arbor, MI USA.
St Joseph Mercy Hosp, Dept Emergency Med, Ann Arbor, MI 48104 USA.
St Joseph Mercy Hosp, Dept Pediat, Ann Arbor, MI 48104 USA.
C3 Saint Joseph Mercy Health System (SJMHS); Saint Joseph Mercy Health
System (SJMHS)
RP Hashikawa, A (corresponding author), Univ Michigan, Injury Ctr, 2800 Plymouth
Rd,Suite G080,NCRC Bldg 10, Ann Arbor, MI 48105 USA.
EM Drewhash@umich.edu
OI Hashikawa, Andrew/0000-0003-1537-6476; Ambrose,
Michael/0000-0003-3409-1193
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American Academy of Pediatrics, PED PREP RES KIT
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American Camp Association, STAND GLANC
American Camp Association, CAMP TRENDS TREND FA
American Camp Association, SEV WEATH SEAS IS NO
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Associated Press, NORWEGIAN MASS MURDE
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NR 38
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 0
U2 14
PU LIPPINCOTT WILLIAMS & WILKINS
PI PHILADELPHIA
PA TWO COMMERCE SQ, 2001 MARKET ST, PHILADELPHIA, PA 19103 USA
SN 0038-4348
EI 1541-8243
J9 SOUTH MED J
JI South.Med.J.
PD AUG
PY 2017
VL 110
IS 8
BP 502
EP 508
DI 10.14423/SMJ.0000000000000678
PG 7
WC Medicine, General & Internal
SC General & Internal Medicine
GA FF7EM
UT WOS:000409179300005
PM 28771646
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zhang, HR
Dou, YH
Ye, L
Zhang, C
Yao, HM
Bao, ZF
Tang, ZY
Wang, YQ
Huang, YK
Zhu, S
Xie, MF
Wu, J
Shi, C
Ren, YF
Zhang, DJ
Wu, BQ
Chen, YF
AF Zhang, Hairong
Dou, Yanhong
Ye, Lei
Zhang, Chi
Yao, Huaming
Bao, Zhengfeng
Tang, Zhengyang
Wang, Yongqiang
Huang, Yukai
Zhu, Shuang
Xie, Mengfei
Wu, Jiang
Shi, Chao
Ren, Yufeng
Zhang, Dongjie
Wu, Biqiong
Chen, Yufan
TI Realizing the full reservoir operation potential during the 2020 Yangtze
river floods
SO SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
LA English
DT Article
ID FORECAST UNCERTAINTY; POWER-GENERATION; DYNAMIC CONTROL; CLIMATE-CHANGE;
WATER LEVELS; MODEL; IMPACTS; RULES; BASIN; RISK
AB Five severe floods occurred in the Yangtze River Basin, China, between July and
August 2020, and the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) located in the middle Yangtze
River experienced the highest inflow since construction. The world's largest
cascade-reservoir group, which counts for 22 cascade reservoirs in the upper
Yangtze River, cooperated in real time to control floods. The cooperation prevented
evacuation of 600,000 people and extensive inundations of farmlands and
aquacultural areas. In addition, no water spillage occurred during the flood
control period, resulting in a world-record annual output of the TGR hydropower
station. This work describes decision making challenges in the cooperation of super
large reservoir groups based on a case-study, controlling the 4th and 5th floods
(from Aug-14 to Aug-22), the efforts of technicians, multi-departments, and the
state, and reflects on these. To realize the full potential of reservoir operation
for the Yangtze River Basin and other basins with large reservoir groups globally,
we suggest: (i) improve flood forecast accuracy with a long leading time; (ii)
strengthen and further develop ongoing research on reservoir group cooperation; and
(iii) improve and implement institutional mechanisms for coordinated operation of
large reservoir groups.
C1 [Zhang, Hairong; Yao, Huaming; Bao, Zhengfeng; Tang, Zhengyang; Huang, Yukai;
Ren, Yufeng; Zhang, Dongjie; Wu, Biqiong; Chen, Yufan] China Yangtze Power Co Ltd,
Yichang 443133, Peoples R China.
[Zhang, Hairong; Yao, Huaming; Bao, Zhengfeng; Tang, Zhengyang; Huang, Yukai;
Ren, Yufeng; Zhang, Dongjie; Wu, Biqiong] Hubei Key Lab Intelligent Yangtze &
Hydroelect Sc, Yichang 443133, Peoples R China.
[Dou, Yanhong; Ye, Lei; Zhang, Chi] Dalian Univ Technol, Sch Hydraul Engn,
Dalian 116024, Peoples R China.
[Wang, Yongqiang; Wu, Jiang] Changjiang River Scientiff Res Inst, Wuhan 430074,
Peoples R China.
[Zhu, Shuang] China Univ Geosci, Sch Geog & Informat Engn, Wuhan 430074, Peoples
R China.
[Xie, Mengfei] Kunming Power Exchange Ctr Co Ltd, Kunming 650011, Yunnan,
Peoples R China.
[Shi, Chao] Yunnan Power Grid Co Ltd, Kunming 650011, Yunnan, Peoples R China.
C3 Dalian University of Technology; China University of Geosciences; China
Southern Power Grid
RP Dou, YH; Ye, L (corresponding author), Dalian Univ Technol, Sch Hydraul Engn,
Dalian 116024, Peoples R China.
EM dou.yhong@gmail.com; yelei@dlut.edu.cn
RI Zhang, Dongjie/P-1629-2016; zhang, chao/IXD-9965-2023; zhang,
chao/HTO-2468-2023; zhang, chi/GRX-3610-2022
FU National Natural Science Foundation of China [51925902, 51909010];
Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities [DUT20RC(3)019]
FX This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of
China (Nos. 51925902, 51909010) and the Fundamental Research Funds for
the Central Universities (No. DUT20RC(3)019). All data, models, or code
generated or used during the study are available from the corresponding
author upon reasonable request.
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TC 4
Z9 4
U1 20
U2 60
PU NATURE PORTFOLIO
PI BERLIN
PA HEIDELBERGER PLATZ 3, BERLIN, 14197, GERMANY
SN 2045-2322
J9 SCI REP-UK
JI Sci Rep
PD FEB 18
PY 2022
VL 12
IS 1
AR 2822
DI 10.1038/s41598-022-06801-8
PG 9
WC Multidisciplinary Sciences
SC Science & Technology - Other Topics
GA ZD0MB
UT WOS:000757901500027
PM 35181713
OA Green Published, gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Li, W
Kiaghadi, A
Dawson, C
AF Li, Wei
Kiaghadi, Amin
Dawson, Clint
TI High temporal resolution rainfall-runoff modeling using
long-short-term-memory (LSTM) networks
SO NEURAL COMPUTING & APPLICATIONS
LA English
DT Article
DE Hydrologic analysis; GSSHA; Recurrent neural network; Machine learning
ID NEURAL-NETWORKS; PREDICTION; FORECASTS
AB Accurate and efficient models for rainfall-runoff (RR) simulations are crucial
for flood risk management. Most rainfall models in use today are process-driven;
i.e., they solve either simplified empirical formulas or some variation of the St.
Venant (shallow water) equations. With the development of machine-learning
techniques, we may now be able to emulate rainfall models using, for example,
neural networks. In this study, a data-driven RR model using a sequence-to-sequence
long-short-term-memory (LSTM) network was constructed. The model was tested for a
watershed in Houston, TX, known for severe flood events. The LSTM network's
capability in learning long-term dependencies between the input and output of the
network allowed modeling RR with high resolution in time (15 min). Using 10-year
precipitation from 153 rainfall gages and river channel discharge data (more than
5.3 million data points), and by designing several numerical tests, the developed
model performance in predicting river discharge was tested. The model results were
also compared with the output of a process-driven model gridded surface subsurface
hydrologic analysis (GSSHA). Moreover, physical consistency of the LSTM model was
explored. The model results showed that the LSTM model was able to efficiently
predict discharge and achieve good model performance. When compared to GSSHA, the
data-driven model was more efficient and robust in terms of prediction and
calibration. Interestingly, the performance of the LSTM model improved (test Nash-
Sutcliffe model efficiency from 0.666 to 0.942) when a selected subset of rainfall
gages based on the model performance, were used as input instead of all rainfall
gages.
C1 [Li, Wei; Kiaghadi, Amin; Dawson, Clint] Univ Texas Austin, Oden Inst Computat
Engn & Sci, Austin, TX 78712 USA.
C3 University of Texas System; University of Texas Austin
RP Kiaghadi, A (corresponding author), Univ Texas Austin, Oden Inst Computat Engn &
Sci, Austin, TX 78712 USA.
EM wei@ices.utexas.edu; kiaghadi@utexa.edu; clint@oden.utexas.edu
RI Dawson, Clint/AAH-3213-2021
OI Dawson, Clint/0000-0001-7273-0684; Kiaghadi, Amin/0000-0001-9706-6222
FU Severe Storm Prediction, Education and Evacuation from Disasters Center
[R09252]; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
[NA18NOS0120158]
FX This research was funded by the Severe Storm Prediction, Education and
Evacuation from Disasters Center (Grant No. R09252) and the National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (Grant No. NA18NOS0120158). Their
support is gratefully acknowledged.
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NR 50
TC 35
Z9 36
U1 11
U2 84
PU SPRINGER LONDON LTD
PI LONDON
PA 236 GRAYS INN RD, 6TH FLOOR, LONDON WC1X 8HL, ENGLAND
SN 0941-0643
EI 1433-3058
J9 NEURAL COMPUT APPL
JI Neural Comput. Appl.
PD FEB
PY 2021
VL 33
IS 4
BP 1261
EP 1278
DI 10.1007/s00521-020-05010-6
EA JUN 2020
PG 18
WC Computer Science, Artificial Intelligence
SC Computer Science
GA QG9GO
UT WOS:000538825400001
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Castellanos Abella, EA
Van Westen, CJ
AF Castellanos Abella, E. A.
Van Westen, C. J.
TI Generation of a landslide risk index map for Cuba using spatial
multi-criteria evaluation
SO LANDSLIDES
LA English
DT Article
DE landslide risk index; spatial multi-criteria evaluation; indicators;
vulnerability; hazard; Cuba
ID HAZARD ANALYSIS; SUSCEPTIBILITY; INVENTORY; STABILITY; MODEL
AB This paper explains the procedure for the generation of a landslide risk index
map at national level in Cuba, using a semi-quantitative model with ten indicator
maps and a cell size of 90x90 m. The model was designed and implemented using
spatial multi-criteria evaluation techniques in a GIS system. Each indicator was
processed, analysed and standardised according to its contribution to hazard and
vulnerability. The indicators were weighted using direct, pairwise comparison and
rank-ordering weighting methods, and weights were combined to obtain the final
landslide risk index map. The results were analysed per physiographic region and
administrative units at provincial and municipal levels. The Sierra Maestra
mountain system was found to have the largest concentration of high landslide risk
index values while the Nipe-Cristal-Baracoa system has the highest absolute values,
although they are more dispersed. The results obtained allow designing an
appropriated landslide risk mitigation plan at national level and to link the
information to the national hurricane early warning system, allowing also warning
and evacuation for landslide-prone areas.
C1 Inst Geol & Palaeontol, Havana 11000, Cuba.
Int Inst Geoinformat Sci & Earth Observ, NL-7500 AA Enschede, Netherlands.
RP Castellanos Abella, EA (corresponding author), Inst Geol & Palaeontol, Via
Blanca & Carretera Cent, Havana 11000, Cuba.
EM castellanos@itc.nl; westen@itc.nl
RI Van Westen, Cees J/A-4043-2010; Van Westen, Cees/AAE-4091-2020
OI Van Westen, Cees J/0000-0002-2992-902X; Van Westen,
Cees/0000-0002-2992-902X
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NR 73
TC 112
Z9 113
U1 2
U2 35
PU SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
PI HEIDELBERG
PA TIERGARTENSTRASSE 17, D-69121 HEIDELBERG, GERMANY
SN 1612-510X
EI 1612-5118
J9 LANDSLIDES
JI Landslides
PD DEC
PY 2007
VL 4
IS 4
BP 311
EP 325
DI 10.1007/s10346-007-0087-y
PG 15
WC Engineering, Geological; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
SC Engineering; Geology
GA 237KI
UT WOS:000251372200002
OA hybrid, Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Robbe, R
Sparks, D
AF Robbe, Remi
Sparks, Douglas
TI Calculation of the rating curves for the Matawin dam's bottom sluice
gates using Flow-3D (R)
SO HOUILLE BLANCHE-REVUE INTERNATIONALE DE L EAU
LA French
DT Article; Proceedings Paper
CT Conference on Operation and Design of Flood Evacuation
CY JAN 20-21, 2009
CL Paris, FRANCE
AB As part of the verification cation of Hydro-Quebec's spillway capacity at the
Matuwin dam, a study of the capacity of the regulating gates has been carried out
in order to reduce errors in the relation between discharge and upstream water
level.. The Matawin dam is located about 150 km northeast from Montreal, Quebec.
This dam is essential for flood control and generation at three downstream hydro-
electric power plants.
The regulating gates have an uncommon geometry, so a theoretical analysis is not
applicable. Flow-3D has been used to calculate the capacity at full and partial
gate openings. Its application is relevant as the flow can be in either free flow
or underflow conditions. The numerical model makes best use of the available data :
upstream bathymetry, numerisation of the structure's geometry, trash rack
characteristics.
After a sensitivity study on the mesh and the boundary conditions, the model has
been validated with two in-situ tests. Simulations have shown very good results,
both at a qualitative (general pattern of the flow) and quantitative (discharge
values, headloss) levels.
Some fifteen simulations were carried out for different combinations of upstream
levels and gate openings ill order to cover the reservoir's range of levels and
outflows and then create new capacity curves for the Matawin dam bottom outlet
gates.
C1 [Robbe, Remi; Sparks, Douglas] Hydro Quebec, Montreal, PQ H2Z 1A4, Canada.
C3 Hydro-Quebec
RP Robbe, R (corresponding author), Hydro Quebec, 75 Blvd Rene Levesque Ouest,
Montreal, PQ H2Z 1A4, Canada.
EM robbe.remi@hydro.qc.ca
CR [Anonymous], 1994, DISCHARGE CHARACTERI
[Anonymous], MECANIQUE FLUIDES EL
[Anonymous], 1994, FUNDAMENTALS FLUID M
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NR 4
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 1
U2 25
PU EDP SCIENCES S A
PI LES ULIS CEDEX A
PA 17, AVE DU HOGGAR, PA COURTABOEUF, BP 112, F-91944 LES ULIS CEDEX A,
FRANCE
SN 0018-6368
EI 1958-5551
J9 HOUILLE BLANCHE
JI Houille Blanche-Rev. Int.
PY 2010
IS 2
BP 29
EP 35
DI 10.1051/lhb/2010016
PG 7
WC Water Resources
WE Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED); Conference Proceedings Citation
Index - Science (CPCI-S)
SC Water Resources
GA 599YO
UT WOS:000277950500003
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Pregnolato, M
Winter, AO
Mascarenas, D
Sen, AD
Bates, P
Motley, MR
AF Pregnolato, Maria
Winter, Andrew O.
Mascarenas, Dakota
Sen, Andrew D.
Bates, Paul
Motley, Michael R.
TI Assessing flooding impact to riverine bridges: an integrated analysis
SO NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
LA English
DT Article
AB Flood events are the most frequent cause of damage to infrastructure compared to
any other natural hazard, and global changes (climate, socioeconomic,
technological) are likely to increase this damage. Transportation infrastructure
systems are responsible for moving people, goods and services, and ensuring
connection within and among urban areas. A failed link in these systems can impact
the community by threatening evacuation capability, recovery operations and the
overall economy. Bridges are critical links in the wider urban system since they
are associated with little redundancy and a high (re)construction cost. Riverine
bridges are particularly prone to failure during flood events; in fact, the risks
to bridges from high river flows and erosion have been recognized as crucial at
global level. The interaction of flow, structure and network is complex, and not
fully understood. This study aims to establish a rigorous, multiphysics modeling
approach for the assessment of the hydrodynamic forces impacting inundated bridges,
and the subsequent structural response, while understanding the consequences of
such impact on the surrounding network. The objectives of this study are to model
hydrodynamic forces as demand on the bridge structure, to advance a performance
evaluation of the structure under the modeled loading, and to assess the overall
impact at systemic level. The flood-prone city of Carlisle (UK) is used as a case
study and a proof of concept. Implications of the hydrodynamic impact on the
performance and functionality of the surrounding transport network are discussed.
This research will help to fill the gap between current guidance for design and
assessment of bridges within the overall transport system.
C1 [Pregnolato, Maria] Univ Bristol, Dept Civil Engn, Bristol BS8 1TR, Avon,
England.
[Winter, Andrew O.; Mascarenas, Dakota; Motley, Michael R.] Univ Washington,
Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Seattle, WA 98103 USA.
[Sen, Andrew D.] Marquette Univ, Dept Civil Construct & Environm Engn,
Milwaukee, WI 53233 USA.
[Bates, Paul] Univ Bristol, Sch Geog Sci, Bristol BS8 1RL, Avon, England.
[Bates, Paul] Fathom, Sq Works,17-18 Berkeley Sq, Bristol BS8 1HB, Avon,
England.
C3 University of Bristol; University of Washington; University of
Washington Seattle; Marquette University; University of Bristol
RP Pregnolato, M (corresponding author), Univ Bristol, Dept Civil Engn, Bristol BS8
1TR, Avon, England.
EM maria.pregnolato@bristol.ac.uk
RI Pregnolato, Maria/J-2337-2019; Bates, Paul D/C-8026-2012
OI Pregnolato, Maria/0000-0003-0796-9618; Bates, Paul
D/0000-0001-9192-9963; Sen, Andrew/0000-0001-9153-0987
FU Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (ESPRC) LWEC (Living
With Environmental Change) Fellowship [EP/R00742X/1]; Royal Society
Wolfson Research Merit award
FX Maria Pregnolato has been supported by the Engineering and Physical
Sciences Research Council (ESPRC) LWEC (Living With Environmental
Change) Fellowship (grant nos. EP/R00742X/1 and 2). Paul Bates has been
supported by a Royal Society Wolfson Research Merit award.
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NR 63
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 3
U2 8
PU COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH
PI GOTTINGEN
PA BAHNHOFSALLEE 1E, GOTTINGEN, 37081, GERMANY
SN 1561-8633
EI 1684-9981
J9 NAT HAZARD EARTH SYS
JI Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.
PD MAY 10
PY 2022
VL 22
IS 5
BP 1559
EP 1576
DI 10.5194/nhess-22-1559-2022
PG 18
WC Geosciences, Multidisciplinary; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences;
Water Resources
SC Geology; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences; Water Resources
GA 1B8DB
UT WOS:000792661000001
OA gold, Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Rocha, ICN
Costa, ACD
Islam, Z
Jain, S
Goyal, S
Mohanan, P
Essar, MY
Ahmad, S
AF Naungayan Rocha, Ian Christopher
dos Santos Costa, Ana Carla
Islam, Zarmina
Jain, Shubhika
Goyal, Samarth
Mohanan, Parvathy
Essar, Mohammad Yasir
Ahmad, Shoaib
TI Typhoons During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the Philippines: Impact of a
Double Crises on Mental Health
SO DISASTER MEDICINE AND PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS
LA English
DT Editorial Material; Early Access
DE COVID-19; disasters; mental health; pandemics; Philippines; typhoons
ID DISASTER
AB The Philippines, a disaster-prone country in Asia, was hit by 22 tropical
cyclones during the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. Among the 22 tropical
cyclones, 1 is recorded as the strongest tropical cyclone that made a landfall in
world history. The recurrent typhoons in the Philippines during the pandemic have
led to a long-lasting humanitarian crisis as hundreds of thousands of houses and
collateral assets have been destroyed due to floods and landslides, leaving
thousands of Filipinos homeless. Concurrently, the country has been experiencing a
rise in the number of COVID-19 cases due to overcrowding in evacuation centers and
lack of social distancing. The simultaneous existence of natural disasters and
pandemic has caused devastating and detrimental effects to the mental health of
Filipinos. Nonetheless, the Government of the Philippines, together with the World
Health Organization and other humanitarian organizations, has been working hand-in-
hand in implementing mental health approaches and providing psychological
interventions to Filipinos who were greatly affected by the natural disasters and
the COVID-19 pandemic.
C1 [Naungayan Rocha, Ian Christopher] Ctr Escolar Univ, Sch Med, Manila,
Philippines.
[dos Santos Costa, Ana Carla] Univ Fed Bahia, Salvador, BA, Brazil.
[Islam, Zarmina] Dow Univ Hlth Sci, Karachi, Pakistan.
[Jain, Shubhika; Goyal, Samarth] Kasturba Med Coll & Hosp, Manipal, Karnataka,
India.
[Mohanan, Parvathy] Med Univ Sofia, Sofia, Bulgaria.
[Essar, Mohammad Yasir] Kateb Univ, Med Res Ctr, Kabul, Afghanistan.
[Ahmad, Shoaib] Punjab Med Coll, Faisalabad, Pakistan.
C3 Centro Escolar University; Universidade Federal da Bahia; Dow University
of Health Sciences; Manipal Academy of Higher Education (MAHE); Kasturba
Medical College, Manipal; Medical University Sofia; Punjab Medical
College
RP Rocha, ICN (corresponding author), Ctr Escolar Univ, Sch Med, Manila,
Philippines.
EM rocha1750018@ceu.edu.ph
RI Essar, Mohammad Yasir/AGD-2397-2022; Costa, Ana/HDL-9297-2022; Rocha,
Ian Christopher/AAM-2005-2021; Ahmad, Shoaib/AHD-5244-2022; Costa, Ana
Carla/AAC-6749-2022
OI Rocha, Ian Christopher/0000-0002-8775-6876; Ahmad,
Shoaib/0000-0002-7241-7724; Costa, Ana Carla/0000-0001-8486-7899; Goyal,
Samarth/0000-0001-6610-2817; Mohanan, Parvathy/0000-0002-2380-7048;
islam, zarmina/0000-0002-0485-0032; Jain, Shubhika/0000-0002-8589-946X
CR Aguilar K, 2020, INQUIRER 1102
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NR 44
TC 17
Z9 17
U1 2
U2 15
PU CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS
PI NEW YORK
PA 32 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK, NY 10013-2473 USA
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
J9 DISASTER MED PUBLIC
JI Dis. Med. Public Health Prep.
PD 2021 MAY 3
PY 2021
AR PII S1935789321001403
DI 10.1017/dmp.2021.140
EA MAY 2021
PG 4
WC Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
WE Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED); Social Science Citation Index
(SSCI)
SC Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
GA ZB9ZD
UT WOS:000757190300001
PM 33934727
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Peng, M
Zhang, LM
AF Peng, M.
Zhang, L. M.
TI Dynamic decision making for dam-break emergency management - Part 2:
Application to Tangjiashan landslide dam failure
LA English
DT Article
ID HUMAN RISKS; EROSION
AB Tangjiashan landslide dam, which was triggered by the M-s = 8.0 Wenchuan
earthquake in 2008 in China, threatened 1.2 million people downstream of the dam.
All people in Beichuan Town 3.5 km downstream of the dam and 197 thousand people in
Mianyang City 85 km downstream of the dam were evacuated 10 days before the
breaching of the dam. Making such an important decision under uncertainty was
difficult. This paper applied a dynamic decision-making framework for dam-break
emergency management (DYDEM) to help rational decision in the emergency management
of the Tangjiashan landslide dam. Three stages are identified with different levels
of hydrological, geological and social-economic information along the timeline of
the landslide dam failure event. The probability of dam failure is taken as a time
series. The dam breaching parameters are predicted with a set of empirical models
in stage 1 when no soil property information is known, and a physical model in
stages 2 and 3 when knowledge of soil properties has been obtained. The flood
routing downstream of the dam in these three stages is analyzed to evaluate the
population at risk (PAR). The flood consequences, including evacuation costs, flood
damage and monetized loss of life, are evaluated as functions of warning time using
a human risk analysis model based on Bayesian networks. Finally, dynamic decision
analysis is conducted to find the optimal time to evacuate the population at risk
with minimum total loss in each of these three stages.
C1 [Peng, M.; Zhang, L. M.] Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Civil & Environm
Engn, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China.
[Peng, M.] Tongji Univ, Dept Geotech Engn, Minist Educ, Key Lab Geotech &
Underground Engn, Shanghai 200092, Peoples R China.
C3 Hong Kong University of Science & Technology; Tongji University
RP Zhang, LM (corresponding author), Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Civil &
Environm Engn, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China.
EM cezhangl@ust.hk
RI Zhang, Li-Min/G-9891-2011
OI Zhang, Li-Min/0000-0001-7208-5515; Peng, Ming/0000-0001-9134-4391
FU Natural Science Foundation of China [51129902]; National Basic Research
Program (973 Program) [2011CB013506]
FX The research reported in this paper was substantially supported by the
Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51129902) and the National
Basic Research Program (973 Program) (No. 2011CB013506). The authors are
grateful to David Keefer of the US Geological Survey and Jia-Jyun Dong
of National Central University in Taiwan for their valuable suggestions
during the preparation of this paper.
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NR 25
TC 28
Z9 31
U1 1
U2 59
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
PY 2013
VL 13
IS 2
BP 439
EP 454
DI 10.5194/nhess-13-439-2013
PG 16
Water Resources
GA 118ES
UT WOS:000317006600020
OA Green Submitted, gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wong, SD
Walker, JL
Shaheen, SA
AF Wong, Stephen D.
Walker, Joan L.
Shaheen, Susan A.
TI Trust and compassion in willingness to share mobility and sheltering
resources in evacuations: A case study of the 2017 and 2018 California
Wildfires
SO INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
LA English
DT Article
DE Evacuations; Sharing economy; Shared mobility; Ridehailing; Homesharing;
California wildfire
ID COMMUNITY DISASTER RESILIENCE; HURRICANE EVACUATION; NATURAL-DISASTER;
SOCIAL NETWORKS; RISK; PREPAREDNESS; RECOVERY; ORGANIZATIONS;
COMMUNICATION; EARTHQUAKE
AB Advances in the sharing economy - such as transportation network companies
(e.g., Lyft, Uber) and home sharing (e.g., Airbnb) - have coincided with the
increasing need for evacuation resources. While peer-to-peer sharing under normal
circumstances often suffers from trust barriers, disaster literature indicates that
trust and compassion often increase following disasters, improving recovery
efforts. We hypothesize that trust and compassion could trigger willingness to
share transportation and sheltering resources during an evacuation.
To test this hypothesis, we distributed a survey to individuals impacted by the
2017 Southern California Wildfires (n = 226) and the 2018 Carr Wildfire (n = 284).
We estimate binary logit choice models, finding that high trust in neighbors and
strangers and high compassion levels significantly increase willingness to share
across four sharing scenarios. Assuming a high trust/compassion population versus a
low trust/compassion population results in a change of likelihood to share between
30% and 55%, depending on scenario. Variables related to departure timing and
routing - which capture evacuation urgency - increase transportation sharing
willingness. Volunteers in past disasters and members of community organizations
are usually more likely to share, while families and previous evacuees are
typically less likely. Significance of other demographic variables is highly
dependent on the scenario. Spare seatbelts and bed capacity, while increasing
willingness, are largely insignificant. These results suggest that future sharing
economy strategies should cultivate trust and compassion before disasters via
preparedness within neighborhoods, community-based organizations, and volunteer
networks, during disasters through communication from officials, and after
disasters using resilience-oriented and community-building information campaigns.
C1 [Wong, Stephen D.] Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 116
McLaughlin Hall, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA.
[Walker, Joan L.] Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 111
McLaughlin Hall, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA.
[Shaheen, Susan A.] Univ Calif Berkeley, Transportat Sustainabil Res Ctr, Dept
Civil & Environm Engn, 408 McLaughlin Hall, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA.
C3 University of California System; University of California Berkeley;
University of California System; University of California Berkeley;
University of California System; University of California Berkeley
RP Wong, SD (corresponding author), Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Civil & Environm
Engn, 116 McLaughlin Hall, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA.
EM stephen.wong@berkeley.edu; joanwalker@berkeley.edu;
sshaheen@berkeley.edu
OI Wong, Stephen/0000-0002-3638-3651; Shaheen, Susan/0000-0002-3350-856X
FU University of California Institute of Transportation Studies from the
State of California via the Road Repair and Accountability Act of 2017
(Senate Bill 1); Graduate Research Fellowship Program
FX This study was made possible through funding received by the University
of California Institute of Transportation Studies from the State of
California via the Road Repair and Accountability Act of 2017 (Senate
Bill 1). The opportunity to explore this topic was made possible by the
Graduate Research Fellowship Program, which is administered by the
National Science Foundation. The opportunity to undertake this research
was also made possible by the Dwight D. Eisenhower Transportation
Graduate Program, which is administered by the Federal Highway
Administration. The authors would also like to thank the many agencies
and community organizations across California for distributing the
surveys.
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NR 121
TC 6
Z9 6
U1 6
U2 26
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
PA RADARWEG 29, 1043 NX AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS
SN 2212-4209
J9 INT J DISAST RISK RE
JI Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct.
PD JAN
PY 2021
VL 52
AR 101900
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101900
EA JAN 2021
PG 19
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA PT2BU
UT WOS:000608425000008
OA Green Submitted, Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lipschutz, R
Kulesz, PA
Elgbeili, G
Biekman, B
Laplante, DP
Olson, DM
King, S
Bick, J
AF Lipschutz, Rebecca
Kulesz, Paulina A.
Elgbeili, Guillaume
Biekman, Brian
Laplante, David P.
Olson, David M.
King, Suzanne
Bick, Johanna
TI Maternal mental health mediates the effect of prenatal stress on infant
temperament: The Harvey Mom Study
SO DEVELOPMENT AND PSYCHOPATHOLOGY
LA English
DT Article; Early Access
DE prenatal stress; maternal mental health; infant development; temperament
ID NATURAL DISASTER; DEVELOPMENTAL ORIGINS; COGNITIVE-DEVELOPMENT;
DEPRESSIVE SYMPTOMS; ANXIETY; CHILD; REACTIVITY; DISORDER; MOTHERS;
PREGNANCY
AB Prenatal maternal stress and mental health problems are known to increase risk
for developmental psychopathology in offspring, yet pathways leading to risk or
resiliency are poorly understood. In a quasi-experimental design, we prospectively
examined associations between disaster-related prenatal stress, maternal mental
health symptoms, and infant temperament outcomes. Mothers who were pregnant during
Hurricane Harvey (N = 527) reported on objective hardships (e.g., loss of
belongings or income, evacuation, home flooding) related to the storm and
subsequent mental health symptoms (anxiety/depression, posttraumatic stress) across
time. At a postpartum assessment, mothers reported on their infant's temperament
(negative affect, positive affect, orienting/regulatory capacity). Greater
objective hardship indirectly predicted higher levels of infant
orienting/regulatory capacity through its association with increased maternal
posttraumatic stress symptoms. Greater objective hardship also indirectly predicted
higher levels of infant negative affect through its association with increased
maternal anxiety/depression symptoms across time. Our findings suggest a
psychological mechanism linking prenatal stress with specific temperamental
characteristics via maternal mental health symptoms. Findings point to the
importance of high-quality assessment and mental health services for vulnerable
women and young children.
C1 [Lipschutz, Rebecca; Kulesz, Paulina A.; Biekman, Brian; Bick, Johanna] Univ
Houston, Dept Psychol, Houston, TX USA.
[Elgbeili, Guillaume; King, Suzanne] Douglas Res Ctr, Psychosocial Res Unit,
Verdun, PQ, Canada.
[Laplante, David P.] Jewish Gen Hosp, Lady Davis Inst, Montreal, PQ, Canada.
[Olson, David M.] Univ Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada.
[King, Suzanne] McGill Univ, Dept Psychiat, Montreal, PQ, Canada.
C3 University of Houston System; University of Houston; Lady Davis
Institute; McGill University; University of Alberta; McGill University
RP King, S (corresponding author), Douglas Res Ctr, Psychosocial Res Unit, Verdun,
PQ, Canada.; King, S (corresponding author), McGill Univ, Dept Psychiat, Montreal,
PQ, Canada.
EM suzanne.king@mcgill.ca
FU Canadian Institutes of Health [PJT-148903, 151029]
FX The Canadian Institutes of Health Research permitted to use funds from
grant PJT-148903 to support this research, and funds from Canadian
Institutes of Health Research Grant 151029 to DMO supported this
research.
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NR 95
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 5
U2 5
PI NEW YORK
SN 0954-5794
EI 1469-2198
J9 DEV PSYCHOPATHOL
JI Dev. Psychopathol.
PD 2023 APR 20
PY 2023
AR PII S0954579423000160
DI 10.1017/S0954579423000160
EA APR 2023
PG 15
WC Psychology, Developmental
WE Social Science Citation Index (SSCI)
SC Psychology
GA E0XY6
UT WOS:000972881200001
PM 37078447
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Perdikaris, S
Boger, R
Gonzalez, E
Ibrahimpasic, E
Adams, JD
AF Perdikaris, Sophia
Boger, Rebecca
Gonzalez, Edith
Ibrahimpasic, Emira
Adams, Jennifer D.
TI Disrupted identities and forced nomads: A post-disaster legacy of
neocolonialism in the island of Barbuda, Lesser Antilles
SO ISLAND STUDIES JOURNAL
LA English
DT Article
DE Barbuda; capitalism; Caribbean; disasters; Indigenous; islands; land
tenure; nomadic identity
ID CLIMATE-CHANGE; CERAMIC AGE; FALLOW DEER; ADAPTATION; CATTLE
AB In the aftermath of the forced evacuation of the island of Barbuda due to
Hurricane Irma, the Barbudan people have experienced an exile and return to a 'new'
geographical, political, and economic context, albeit on the same island. With the
specter of climate change and the potential impacts on island communities and
nations, we use Barbuda, sister island of Antigua in the Lesser Antilles, to
examine the trajectory of nomadic identities as they navigate changes that threaten
contemporary land relationships and culture. Since its first permanent settlement
in the 17th Century, the island geography of Barbuda has been fundamental to
Barbudan identity and provided continuity into modern Barbudan culture. The
breaking down of this close relationship with the land and the introduction of a
tourism monoculture reduces Barbuda's ability to respond to crises such as
hurricanes and pandemics. In the challenge of a post-disaster economic context, we
will address the conditions pushing Barbudans towards a nomadic identity. We will
discuss the nomadic in terms of forced exile and subsequent return to an island
changed both by a severe weather event and subsequent policy that is disruptive to
Barbudan identity, sovereignty, and way of life.
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[Boger, Rebecca] CUNY, Brooklyn Coll, New York, NY 10021 USA.
[Gonzalez, Edith] CUNY, Grad Ctr, New York, NY USA.
[Adams, Jennifer D.] Univ Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada.
C3 University of Nebraska System; University of Nebraska Lincoln; City
University of New York (CUNY) System; Brooklyn College (CUNY); City
University of New York (CUNY) System; University of Calgary
RP Perdikaris, S (corresponding author), Univ Nebraska, Lincoln, NE 68588 USA.
EM sperdikaris2@unl.edu; rboger@brooklyn.cuny.edu; edithgs03@yahoo.com;
emira@unl.edu; jennifer.adamsi@ucalgary.ca
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NR 76
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 3
U2 11
PU Island Studies Journal
PI Copenhagen
PA c/o Adam Grydehj, Lillegrund 39, Copenhagen, DENMARK
EI 1715-2593
J9 ISL STUD J
JI Isl. Stud. J.
PD MAY
PY 2021
VL 16
IS 1
BP 115
EP 134
DI 10.24043/isj.130
PG 20
WC Geography; Social Sciences, Interdisciplinary
SC Geography; Social Sciences - Other Topics
GA SG8JN
UT WOS:000653686900008
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Ian, VK
Tse, R
Tang, SK
Pau, G
AF Ian, Vai-Kei
Tse, Rita
Tang, Su-Kit
Pau, Giovanni
TI Bridging the Gap: Enhancing Storm Surge Prediction and Decision Support
with Bidirectional Attention-Based LSTM
SO ATMOSPHERE
LA English
DT Article
DE storm surge; machine learning; artificial intelligence; tropical
cyclone; natural disaster; natural hazard
ID ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORK; FORECAST MODEL; RISK; COAST; PROGRESS;
MAXIMUM; FLOODS; WIND; TIDE
AB Accurate storm surge forecasting is vital for saving lives and avoiding economic
and infrastructural damage. Failure to accurately predict storm surge can have
catastrophic repercussions. Advances in machine learning models show the ability to
improve accuracy of storm surge prediction by leveraging vast amounts of historical
and realtime data such as weather and tide patterns. This paper proposes a
bidirectional attention-based LSTM storm surge architecture (BALSSA) to improve
prediction accuracy. Training and evaluation utilized extensive meteorological and
tide level data from 77 typhoon incidents in Hong Kong and Macao between 2017 and
2022. The proposed methodology is able to model complex non-linearities between
large amounts of data from different sources and identify complex relationships
between variables that are typically not captured by traditional physical methods.
BALSSA effectively resolves the problem of long-term dependencies in storm surge
prediction by the incorporation of an attention mechanism. It enables selective
emphasis on significant features and boosts the prediction accuracy. Evaluation has
been conducted using real-world datasets from Macao to validate our storm surge
prediction model. Results show that accuracy and robustness of predictions were
significantly improved by the incorporation of attention mechanisms in our models.
BALSSA captures temporal dynamics effectively, providing highly accurate storm
surge forecasts (MAE: 0.0126, RMSE: 0.0003) up to 72 h in advance. These findings
have practical significance for disaster risk reduction strategies, saving lives
through timely evacuation and early warnings. Experiments comparing BALSSA
variations with other machine learning algorithms consistently validate BALSSA's
superior predictive performance. It offers an additional risk management tool for
civil-protection agencies and governments, as well as an ideal solution for
enhancing storm surge prediction accuracy, benefiting coastal communities.
C1 [Ian, Vai-Kei; Tse, Rita; Tang, Su-Kit; Pau, Giovanni] Macao Polytech Univ, Fac
Appl Sci, R Luis Gonzaga Gomes, Macau 999078, Peoples R China.
[Tse, Rita; Tang, Su-Kit] Macao Polytech Univ, Engn Res Ctr Appl Technol Machine
Translat & Artif, Minist Educ, R Luis Gonzaga Gomes, Macau 999078, Peoples R China.
[Pau, Giovanni] Univ Bologna, Dept Comp Sci & Engn DISI, Via Zamboni,33, I-40126
Bologna, Italy.
[Pau, Giovanni] UCLA, Comp Sci Dept, 404 Westwood Plaza, Los Angeles, CA 90095
USA.
C3 University of Bologna; University of California System; University of
California Los Angeles
RP Ian, VK (corresponding author), Macao Polytech Univ, Fac Appl Sci, R Luis
Gonzaga Gomes, Macau 999078, Peoples R China.
EM vaikei.ian@mpu.edu.mo; ritatse@mpu.edu.mo; sktang@mpu.edu.mo;
gpau@cs.ucla.edu
FU Macao Polytechnic University-Edge Sensing and Computing: Enabling
Human-centric (Sustainable) Smart Cities [RP/ESCA-01/2020]
FX This research received no external funding.
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NR 78
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 1
U2 1
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
PA ST ALBAN-ANLAGE 66, CH-4052 BASEL, SWITZERLAND
EI 2073-4433
J9 ATMOSPHERE-BASEL
JI Atmosphere
PD JUL
PY 2023
VL 14
IS 7
AR 1082
DI 10.3390/atmos14071082
PG 25
WC Environmental Sciences; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
GA N1SC7
UT WOS:001034884200001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Suzuki, T
AF Suzuki, Takeyasu
TI Building Up a Common Recognition of City Development in the Southern
Part of Kofu Basin under the Initiative of Knowledge Brokers with the
Cooperation of Experts
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE study group; resilient to floods; sustainable city; knowledge brokers;
green infrastructure; Kofu Basin
AB Extreme weather caused by global warming has caused an increase in the number
and intensity of heavy rain disasters. Almost half the area of the Kofu Basin,
Yamanashi Prefecture, Japan, is expected to be flooded by the largest expected
rainfall in the basin. Approximately 310,000 people live in the inundation area,
and the formulation of a wide-area evacuation plan in the event of a flood is an
urgent issue. In the southern part of this area, where the estimated inundation
depth is 5-10 m, a new station of the Linear Chuo Shinkansen Line, which will start
operation in 2027, is planned, and urban development centered on the station is
expected. In order to build a sustainable city that is resilient to floods in such
a flood hazard area, the author established a study group on urban development
consisting of knowledge brokers-professors at University of Yamanashi-and experts
with the participation of local government observers. The group has proposed a
future image of sustainable Kofu Basin under the initiative of knowledge brokers
with the cooperation of experts. The group attempted to put into practice the
concept of sustainable cities presented by the author. As a result, by the unusual
town development activities of the study group, perspective drawings that provide
the participants a common recognition of the city development were successfully
created.
C1 [Suzuki, Takeyasu] Univ Yamanashi, Disaster & Environmentally Sustainable Adm
Res Ct, Kofu, Yamanashi 4008511, Japan.
C3 University of Yamanashi
RP Suzuki, T (corresponding author), Univ Yamanashi, Disaster & Environmentally
Sustainable Adm Res Ct, Kofu, Yamanashi 4008511, Japan.
EM takeyasu@yamanashi.ac.jp
FU University of Yamanashi the 2019 Regional Promotion Project Research
Grant
FX This research was funded by University of Yamanashi the 2019 Regional
Promotion Project Research Grant.
CR [Anonymous], **NON-TRADITIONAL**
[Anonymous], **NON-TRADITIONAL**
[Anonymous], **NON-TRADITIONAL**
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City of Portland Bureau of Envtl. Servs, 2010, PORTL GREEN INFR QUA, P2
Disaster and Environmentally Sustainable Administration Research Center
University of Yamanashi, ACH REP STUD GROUP P
Japan Institute of Construction Engineering (JICE), 111001 JICE
Japan Meteorological Agency, TYPH NORM VAL
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10.2495/SC190211]
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10.2495/S190421]
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Suzuki T., 2016, P DISASTER INFORM ST, V14, P105
Suzuki T., 2019, 9 3 LEGAL SYSTEMS DI, P287
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NR 28
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 0
U2 5
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
J9 SUSTAINABILITY-BASEL
JI Sustainability
PD AUG
PY 2020
VL 12
IS 16
AR 6316
DI 10.3390/su12166316
PG 17
WC Green & Sustainable Science & Technology; Environmental Sciences;
Environmental Studies
(SSCI)
SC Science & Technology - Other Topics; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
GA OC2BK
UT WOS:000578965400001
OA gold, Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lapidez, JP
Tablazon, J
Dasallas, L
Gonzalo, LA
Cabacaba, KM
Ramos, MMA
Suarez, JK
Santiago, J
Lagmay, AMF
Malano, V
AF Lapidez, J. P.
Tablazon, J.
Dasallas, L.
Gonzalo, L. A.
Cabacaba, K. M.
Ramos, M. M. A.
Suarez, J. K.
Santiago, J.
Lagmay, A. M. F.
Malano, V.
TI Identification of storm surge vulnerable areas in the Philippines
through the simulation of Typhoon Haiyan-induced storm surge levels over
historical storm tracks
LA English
DT Article
ID RISE
AB Super Typhoon Haiyan entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on 7
November 2013, causing tremendous damage to infrastructure and loss of lives mainly
due to the storm surge and strong winds. Storm surges up to a height of 7m were
reported in the hardest hit areas. The threat imposed by this kind of natural
calamity compelled researchers of the Nationwide Operational Assessment of Hazards
(Project NOAH) which is the flagship disaster mitigation program of the Department
of Science and Technology (DOST) of the Philippine government to undertake a study
to determine the vulnerability of all Philippine coastal communities to storm
surges of the same magnitude as those generated by Haiyan. This study calculates
the maximum probable storm surge height for every coastal locality by running
simulations of Haiyan-type conditions but with tracks of tropical cyclones that
entered PAR from 1948-2013. One product of this study is a list of the 30 most
vulnerable coastal areas that can be used as a basis for choosing priority sites
for further studies to implement appropriate site-specific solutions for flood risk
management. Another product is the storm tide inundation maps that the local
government units can use to develop a risk-sensitive land use plan for identifying
appropriate areas to build residential buildings, evacuation sites, and other
critical facilities and lifelines. The maps can also be used to develop a disaster
response plan and evacuation scheme.
C1 [Lapidez, J. P.; Tablazon, J.; Dasallas, L.; Gonzalo, L. A.; Cabacaba, K. M.;
Ramos, M. M. A.; Suarez, J. K.; Santiago, J.; Lagmay, A. M. F.] Nationwide Operat
Assessment Hazards, Quezon City, Philippines.
[Lagmay, A. M. F.] Univ Philippines Diliman, Natl Inst Geol Sci, Quezon City,
Philippines.
[Malano, V.] Philippine Atmospher Geophys & Astron Serv Adm, Quezon City,
Philippines.
C3 University of the Philippines System; University of the Philippines
Diliman
RP Lapidez, JP (corresponding author), Nationwide Operat Assessment Hazards, Quezon
City, Philippines.
EM phillip@noah.dost.gov.ph
RI Lagmay, Alfredo Mahar Francisco/R-8034-2019; Dasallas, Lea/AAZ-6360-2020
OI Dasallas, Lea/0000-0001-8160-8875
CR [Anonymous], 2006, MITIG ADAPT STRATEGI, DOI DOI 10.1007/S11027-006-0265-6
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Hasegawa H., 2012, JMAS STORM SURGE PRE
Higaki M, 2009, OUTLINE STORM SURGE
Japan Meteorological Agency, W N PAC TYPH BEST TR
Murty T., 1999, WMO UNESCO SUBFORUM, P130
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Atlantic Oceanographic and
Meteorological Laboratory, 2000, AV STAND DEV PERC GL
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Climatic Data Center,
2013, STAT CLIM HURR TROP
National Weather Service: National Hurrican Center, NAT WEATH SERV NAT H
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NR 14
TC 27
Z9 27
U1 1
U2 36
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
EI 1684-9981
PY 2015
VL 15
IS 7
BP 1473
EP 1481
DI 10.5194/nhess-15-1473-2015
PG 9
Water Resources
GA CO1ML
UT WOS:000358919300002
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Paranjothy, S
Gallacher, J
Amlot, R
Rubin, GJ
Page, L
Baxter, T
Wight, J
Kirrage, D
McNaught, R
Palmer, SR
AF Paranjothy, Shantini
Gallacher, John
Amlot, Richard
Rubin, G. James
Page, Lisa
Baxter, Tony
Wight, Jeremy
Kirrage, David
McNaught, Rosemary
Palmer, S. R.
TI Psychosocial impact of the summer 2007 floods in England
SO BMC PUBLIC HEALTH
LA English
DT Article
ID POSTTRAUMATIC-STRESS-DISORDER; NATURAL DISASTER; MENTAL-HEALTH;
OLDER-ADULTS; SYMPTOMS; EXPOSURE; LONDON; SAMPLE
AB Background: The summer of 2007 was the wettest in the UK since records began in
1914 and resulted in severe flooding in several regions. We carried out a health
impact assessment using population-based surveys to assess the prevalence of and
risk factors for the psychosocial consequences of this flooding in the United
Kingdom.
Methods: Surveys were conducted in two regions using postal, online, telephone
questionnaires and face-to-face interviews. Exposure variables included the
presence of flood water in the home, evacuation and disruption to essential
services (incident management variables), perceived impact of the floods on
finances, house values and perceived health concerns. Validated tools were used to
assess psychosocial outcome (mental health symptoms): psychological distress (GHQ-
12), anxiety (GAD-7), depression (PHQ-9) and probable post-traumatic stress
disorder (PTSD checklist-shortform). Multivariable logistic regression was used to
describe the association between water level in the home, psychological exposure
variables and incident management variables, and each mental health symptom,
adjusted for age, sex, presence of an existing medical condition, employment
status, area and data collection method.
Results: The prevalence of all mental health symptoms was two to five-fold
higher among individuals affected by flood water in the home. People who perceived
negative impact on finances were more likely to report psychological distress (OR
2.5, 1.8-3.4), probable anxiety (OR 1.8, 1.3-2.7) probable depression (OR 2.0, 1.3-
2.9) and probable PTSD (OR 3.2, 2.0-5.2). Disruption to essential services
increased adverse psychological outcomes by two to three-fold. Evacuation was
associated with some increase in psychological distress but not significantly for
the other three measures.
Conclusion: The psychosocial and mental health impact of flooding is a growing
public health concern and improved strategies for minimising disruption to
essential services and financial worries need to be built in to emergency
preparedness and response systems. Public Health Agencies should address the
underlying predictors of adverse psychosocial and mental health when providing
information and advice to people who are or are likely to be affected by flooding.
C1 [Paranjothy, Shantini; Gallacher, John; Palmer, S. R.] Cardiff Univ, Sch Med,
Dept Primary Care & Publ Hlth, Clin Epidemiol Interdisciplinary Res Grp, Cardiff
CF14 4YS, S Glam, Wales.
[Amlot, Richard] Hlth Protect Agcy, Emergency Response Dept, Salisbury SP4 0JG,
Wilts, England.
[Rubin, G. James; Page, Lisa] Kings Coll London, Inst Psychiat, London SE5 9RJ,
England.
[Baxter, Tony] NHS Doncaster & Doncaster Metropolitan Borough Co, Doncaster DN4
5DJ, England.
[Wight, Jeremy] NHS Sheffield, Sheffield Primary Care Trust & City Council,
Sheffield S9 4EU, S Yorkshire, England.
[Kirrage, David] Hlth Protect Agcy, Worcester DY10 1JF, England.
[McNaught, Rosemary] Hlth Protect Agcy, S Yorkshire Hlth Protect Unit, Sheffield
S9 1BY, S Yorkshire, England.
C3 Cardiff University; Health Protection Agency; University of London;
King's College London; Health Protection Agency; Health Protection
Agency
RP Palmer, SR (corresponding author), Cardiff Univ, Sch Med, Dept Primary Care &
Publ Hlth, Clin Epidemiol Interdisciplinary Res Grp, 5th Floor Neuadd
Meirionnydd,Heath Pk, Cardiff CF14 4YS, S Glam, Wales.
EM PalmerSR@cardiff.ac.uk
OI Paranjothy, Shantini/0000-0002-0528-3121
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Z9 103
U1 1
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PU BIOMED CENTRAL LTD
PI LONDON
PA 236 GRAYS INN RD, FLOOR 6, LONDON WC1X 8HL, ENGLAND
SN 1471-2458
J9 BMC PUBLIC HEALTH
JI BMC Public Health
PD MAR 3
PY 2011
VL 11
AR 145
DI 10.1186/1471-2458-11-145
PG 8
(SSCI)
GA 738VS
UT WOS:000288671300001
PM 21371296
OA Green Published, gold, Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Takagi, H
Mikami, T
Fujii, D
Esteban, M
Kurobe, S
AF Takagi, Hiroshi
Mikami, Takahito
Fujii, Daisuke
Esteban, Miguel
Kurobe, Shota
TI Mangrove forest against dyke-break-induced tsunami on rapidly subsiding
coasts
LA English
DT Article
ID SEA-LEVEL RISE; ALOS PALSAR; INDONESIA; GROUNDWATER; SUBSIDENCE;
ACCRETION; JAKARTA; MARSHES; HAZARD; DAMAGE
AB Thin coastal dykes typically found in developing countries may suddenly collapse
due to rapid land subsidence, material ageing, sea-level rise, high wave attack,
earthquakes, landslides, or a collision with vessels. Such a failure could trigger
dam-break tsunami-type flooding, or "dyke-break-induced tsunami", a possibility
which has so far been overlooked in the field of coastal disaster science and
management. To analyse the potential consequences of one such flooding event caused
by a dyke failure, a hydrodynamic model was constructed based on the authors' field
surveys of a vulnerable coastal location in Jakarta, Indonesia. In a 2 m land
subsidence scenario - which is expected to take place in the study area after only
about 10-20 years - the model results show that the floodwaters rapidly rise to a
height of nearly 3 m, resembling the flooding pattern of earthquake-induced
tsunamis. The depth-velocity product criterion suggests that many of the narrow
pedestrian paths behind the dyke could experience strong flows, which are far
greater than the safe limits that would allow pedestrian evacuation. A couple of
alternative scenarios were also considered to investigate how such flood impacts
could be mitigated by creating a mangrove belt in front of the dyke as an
additional safety measure. The dyke-break-induced tsunamis, which in many areas are
far more likely than regular earthquake tsunamis, cannot be overlooked and thus
should be considered in disaster management and urban planning along the coasts of
many developing countries.
C1 [Takagi, Hiroshi; Fujii, Daisuke; Kurobe, Shota] Tokyo Inst Technol, Sch
Environm & Soc, Tokyo 1528550, Japan.
[Mikami, Takahito] Waseda Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Tokyo 1698555,
Japan.
[Esteban, Miguel] Univ Tokyo, Grad Sch Frontier Sci, Chiba 2778563, Japan.
C3 Tokyo Institute of Technology; Waseda University; University of Tokyo
RP Takagi, H (corresponding author), Tokyo Inst Technol, Sch Environm & Soc, Tokyo
1528550, Japan.
EM takagi@ide.titech.ac.jp
RI Takagi, Hiroshi/B-4566-2017; Mikami, Takahito/B-9987-2014
OI Takagi, Hiroshi/0000-0002-3668-688X; Mikami,
Takahito/0000-0003-1611-0549; Esteban, Miguel/0000-0003-3032-499X
FU Environment Research and Technology Development Fund of the Ministry of
the Environment, Japan [S-14]
FX Funding for this research was supported by the Environment Research and
Technology Development Fund (S-14) of the Ministry of the Environment,
Japan. The author thanks Hendra Achiari and Dhemi Harlan for their
assistance during the preliminary field survey in Jakarta, and JanJaap
Brinkman for sharing his profound knowledge on Jakarta's flood issues
and invaluable photos.
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NR 54
TC 17
Z9 17
U1 2
U2 22
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
PY 2016
VL 16
IS 7
BP 1629
EP 1638
DI 10.5194/nhess-16-1629-2016
PG 10
Water Resources
GA DT2VR
UT WOS:000381340400003
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU San Martin, TV
Rosado, GR
Vargas, PA
Gutierrez, L
AF Vera San Martin, Teresa
Rodriguez Rosado, Gary
Arreaga Vargas, Patricia
Gutierrez, Leonardo
TI Population and building vulnerability assessment by possible worst-case
tsunami scenarios in Salinas, Ecuador
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Article
DE Damage estimation; Fragility Functions; Population; Tsunami; Salinas
city
ID EAST JAPAN TSUNAMI; DEVELOPING FRAGILITY FUNCTIONS;
STATISTICAL-ANALYSIS; PTVA-3 MODEL; DAMAGE; CITY; EARTHQUAKE; INDONESIA;
IMPACT; AREA
AB Ecuador has been prone to experience earthquakes and tsunamis linked to events
in the subduction zone between the Nazca and the South American plates. The main
objective of this investigation was to assess the population and buildings
vulnerability by a possible worst-case Tsunami scenario in the highly touristic
city of Salinas-Ecuador. The vulnerability of buildings was investigated by
Fragility Functions (FFs) and Vulnerability Index, while the population
vulnerability was assessed by FFs. The population of permanent residents (42,860
inhabitants) and tourists (highly variable, but reaching up to 40,163 tourists/day
and 4790 tourists/night) were separately studied during nine public holydays/long
weekends (i.e., when the population density reaches critical levels), and during
daytime/nighttime. In the selected scenario (i.e., hypocenter: 100 km southwest of
Salinas, ocean depth: 2 km, and 8.0 moment magnitude), the flood area covered 43%
of Salinas county and 43-85% of urban parishes. The most populated areas were
exposed to inundation. According to FFs analysis, between 16,380 and 45,410 people
would be affected by a tsunamigenic wave during the day and between 7386 and 10,037
during the night of Christmas and Declaration of Independence holydays,
respectively. Elderly, handicapped, underage, and tourist were the most vulnerable
groups. A total of 2227 structures would be affected by tsunamigenic wave (FFs),
representing 40% of exposed structures to the flood area (i.e., 2.03-6.63 m maximum
flood depths). A total of 3160 buildings showed Vulnerability Indexes ranging from
medium to high. Results from this study would assist in the identification of
hazard areas, safe zones, shelter buildings, evacuation routes/times in this
densely populated touristic city.
C1 [Vera San Martin, Teresa] Univ Pacifico, Fac Mar & Medio Ambiente, Guayaquil,
Ecuador.
[Rodriguez Rosado, Gary] Univ Guayaquil, Fac Ingn Ind, Guayaquil, Ecuador.
[Arreaga Vargas, Patricia] Inst Oceanog Armada, Guayaquil, Ecuador.
[Gutierrez, Leonardo] Univ Ghent, Dept Appl Analyt & Phys Chem, Particle &
Interfacial Technol Grp, Ghent, Belgium.
[Gutierrez, Leonardo] Univ Catolica Santiago Guayaquil, Fac Ingn, Guayaquil,
Ecuador.
C3 Ghent University
RP Gutierrez, L (corresponding author), Univ Ghent, Dept Appl Analyt & Phys Chem,
Particle & Interfacial Technol Grp, Ghent, Belgium.; Gutierrez, L (corresponding
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EM leonardo.gutierrezgarces@UGent.be
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Gutierrez, Leonardo/C-2895-2016
OI Gutierrez, Leonardo/0000-0001-7573-6635; Gutierrez,
Leonardo/0000-0001-7573-6635; Vera, Teresa/0000-0002-9891-6548
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NR 67
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 0
U2 16
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
PA 233 SPRING ST, NEW YORK, NY 10013 USA
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD AUG
PY 2018
VL 93
IS 1
BP 275
EP 297
DI 10.1007/s11069-018-3300-5
PG 23
Water Resources
GA GL7QL
UT WOS:000437396900013
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Balomenos, GP
Hu, YJ
Padgett, JE
Shelton, K
AF Balomenos, Georgios P.
Hu, Yujie
Padgett, Jamie E.
Shelton, Kyle
TI Impact of Coastal Hazards on Residents' Spatial Accessibility to Health
Services
SO JOURNAL OF INFRASTRUCTURE SYSTEMS
LA English
DT Article
DE Bridge vulnerability; Spatial accessibility; Health services;
Hurricanes; Network analysis
ID STORM-SURGE; HURRICANE; CARE; ACCESS; RISK; POPULATIONS; SYSTEMS;
DAMAGE; AREAS; GIS
AB The mobility of residents and their access to essential services can be highly
affected by transportation network closures that occur during and after coastal
hazard events. Few studies have used geographic information systems coupled with
infrastructure vulnerability models to explore how spatial accessibility to goods
and services shifts after a hurricane. Models that explore spatial accessibility to
health services are particularly lacking. This study provides a framework to
examine how the disruption of transportation networks during and after a hurricane
can impact a resident's ability to access health services over time. Two different
bridge-closure conditions-inundation and structural failure-along with roadway
inundation are used to quantify posthurricane accessibility at short- and long-term
temporal scales. Inundation may close a bridge for hours or days, but a structural
failure may close a route for weeks or months. Both forms of closure are
incorporated using probabilistic vulnerability models coupled with GIS-based models
to assess spatial accessibility in the aftermath of a coastal hazard. Harris
County, an area in southeastern Texas prone to coastal hazards, is used as a case
study. The results indicate changes in the accessibility scores of specific areas
depending on the temporal scale of interest and intensity of the hazard scenario.
Sociodemographic indicators are also examined for the study region, revealing the
populations most likely to suffer from lack of accessibility. Overall, the
presented framework helps to understand how both short-term functionality loss and
long-term damage affect access to critical services such as healthcare after a
hazard. This information, in turn, can shape decisions about future mitigation and
planning efforts, and the presented framework can be expanded to other hazard-prone
areas. (C) 2019 American Society of Civil Engineers.
C1 [Balomenos, Georgios P.] McMaster Univ, Dept Civil Engn, 1280 Main St W,
Hamilton, ON L8S 4L7, Canada.
[Hu, Yujie] Univ Florida, Dept Geog, 3141 Turlington Hall, Gainesville, FL 32611
USA.
[Hu, Yujie] Univ S Florida, Sch Geosci, 4202 E Fowler Ave, Tampa, FL 33620 USA.
[Padgett, Jamie E.] Rice Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 6100 Main St,
Houston, TX 77005 USA.
[Shelton, Kyle] Rice Univ, Strateg Partnerships, Kinder Inst Urban Res, 6100
Main St, Houston, TX 77005 USA.
C3 McMaster University; State University System of Florida; University of
Florida; Rice University; Rice University
RP Balomenos, GP (corresponding author), McMaster Univ, Dept Civil Engn, 1280 Main
St W, Hamilton, ON L8S 4L7, Canada.
EM balomeng@mcmaster.ca; yujiehu@ufl.edu; jamie.padgett@rice.edu;
kyle.k.shelton@rice.edu
RI ; Hu, Yujie/O-9860-2018
OI Balomenos, Georgios/0000-0001-6468-3654; Hu, Yujie/0000-0001-5814-0805
FU Shell Center for Sustainability; National Science Foundation
[OISE-1545837]
FX The authors grateful acknowledge the support of this research by the
Shell Center for Sustainability. Partial support was also provided by
the National Science Foundation through Award No. OISE-1545837. Any
opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this
material are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the
views of the sponsors. The authors also thankfully acknowledge Dr.
Benjamin Bass and the Severe Storm Prediction, Education, and Evacuation
from Disasters (SSPEED) Center for providing the coupled ADCIRC and SWAN
results for the examined storm scenarios.
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NR 58
TC 10
Z9 10
U1 3
U2 19
PU ASCE-AMER SOC CIVIL ENGINEERS
PI RESTON
PA 1801 ALEXANDER BELL DR, RESTON, VA 20191-4400 USA
SN 1076-0342
EI 1943-555X
J9 J INFRASTRUCT SYST
JI J. Infrastruct. Syst.
PD DEC
PY 2019
VL 25
IS 4
AR 04019028
DI 10.1061/(ASCE)IS.1943-555X.0000509
PG 16
WC Engineering, Civil
(SSCI)
SC Engineering
GA JP1MS
UT WOS:000498036900002
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Avvisati, G
Sessa, EB
Colucci, O
Marfe, B
Marotta, E
Nave, R
Peluso, R
Ricci, T
Tomasone, M
AF Avvisati, Gala
Sessa, Eliana Bellucci
Colucci, Orazio
Marfe, Barbara
Marotta, Enrica
Nave, Rosella
Peluso, Rosario
Ricci, Tullio
Tomasone, Mario
TI Perception of risk for natural hazards in Campania Region (Southern
Italy)
LA English
DT Article
DE Natural hazards; Risk perception; Emergency plans; Survey;
Questionnaire; Campania region
ID SPATIAL MULTICRITERIA ANALYSIS; VOLCANIC RISK; SEISMIC DATA; FLOOD RISK;
VESUVIUS; ISCHIA; ERUPTION; ISLAND; COMMUNITIES; EARTHQUAKES
AB As far as the European continent, Region Campania in Southern Italy presents an
almost unique combination -in terms of both variety and intensity-of potential
risks for the residents: this densely populated area is actually most notably
exposed to hydrogeological (flood and landslides), seismic, volcanic hazards In
such a setting, alongside with an up-to-date scientific approach to risks analysis
and the constant update of emergency plans, it is of paramount importance that a
"risk awareness culture" should be developed by the residents. In order to maximize
the effectiveness of the communication campaigns to support and improve such a
culture, a study of risk perception has been carried out in 12 municipalities and 2
territorial unions of Campania Region. Different areas have been examined, the
overall exposure of each almost always being characterised by a prevalent specific
risk: seismic, volcanic, hydrogeological. The results of this surveys show that the
historical memory has a crucial role on the hazards perception. It's also worth of
noting that few communities consider that they have been sufficiently well-informed
by civil protection agencies and/ or authorities about the natural hazards specific
to their area and the practical procedures for evacuation. To overcome these
deficiencies emergency plans should be designed, developed and practised through
the collaboration of all key stakeholders, from civil protection authorities to the
residents communities.
C1 [Avvisati, Gala; Sessa, Eliana Bellucci; Marotta, Enrica; Nave, Rosella; Peluso,
Rosario] Ist Natl Geofis & Vulcanol, Osservatorio Vesuviano, I-80124 Naples, Italy.
[Ricci, Tullio] Ist Natl Geofis & Vulcanol, I-00143 Rome, Italy.
C3 Istituto Nazionale Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
RP Avvisati, G (corresponding author), Ist Natl Geofis & Vulcanol, Osservatorio
Vesuviano, I-80124 Naples, Italy.
EM gala.avvisati@ingv.it
RI Avvisati, Gala/GPF-4165-2022; Marotta, Enrica/M-6587-2018; Peluso,
Rosario/HKV-9298-2023; Ricci, Tullio/GPF-8461-2022; Bellucci Sessa,
Eliana/HFZ-8999-2022; Ricci, Tullio/E-1039-2011; Peluso,
Rosario/L-2463-2015
OI Avvisati, Gala/0000-0002-6585-9479; Marotta, Enrica/0000-0001-7211-2173;
Peluso, Rosario/0000-0001-6276-5832; Ricci, Tullio/0000-0002-0553-5384;
Bellucci Sessa, Eliana/0000-0003-2521-6476; Ricci,
Tullio/0000-0002-0553-5384; Peluso, Rosario/0000-0001-6276-5832
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NR 67
TC 18
Z9 18
U1 2
U2 18
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD NOV
PY 2019
VL 40
AR 101164
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101164
PG 17
Water Resources
GA JA4UM
UT WOS:000487832700024
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Miguel, T
Eudave, RR
AF Ferreira, Tiago Miguel
Ramirez Eudave, Rafael
TI Assessing and Managing Risk in Historic Urban Areas: Current Trends and
Future Research Directions
SO FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE risk assessment; seismic vulnerability; fire risk; flood risk; historic
urban areas
ID VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT; FIRE RISK; LANDSCAPE
AB Historic urban centres are, almost by definition, risk-prone areas. The
buildings in the historical sites are often highly vulnerable to natural and human-
made hazards, not only due to their construction and material characteristics but
also because they are usually very degraded due to ineffective maintenance and
conservation policies. Moreover, the recent world tourism boom has led to a
significant increase in the number of people who live, work and visit these areas,
which, together with land use and climate change-related impacts, make historic
centres particularly exposed areas. This paper addresses the issue of assessing and
managing risk in historic urban centres departing from the complexity of defining
the historic city and the concept of risk, providing a comprehensive discussion on
current trends and future research directions in this field. After analysing the
most suitable methodologies to assess the vulnerability of these areas to different
hazards, the focus is on data collection and organisation-related issues and how
the different vulnerability assessment outputs can be used to manage and mitigate
risk. Vulnerability and loss scenarios, evacuation and emergency planning, and
retrofit and cost-benefit analyses are some of the aspects addressed herein. This
discussion includes some considerations on the accuracy of these approaches and
aspects related to their calibration and validation, covering from empirical
calibration models to advanced artificial Intelligence-based techniques.
C1 [Ferreira, Tiago Miguel] Univ West England, Dept Geog & Environm Management,
Bristol, England.
[Ramirez Eudave, Rafael] Univ Minho, Dept Civil Engn, ISISE, Guimaraes,
Portugal.
C3 University of West England; Universidade do Minho
RP Miguel, T (corresponding author), Univ West England, Dept Geog & Environm
Management, Bristol, England.
EM Tiago.Ferreira@uwe.ac.uk
RI Ferreira, Tiago Miguel/D-8112-2015
OI Ferreira, Tiago Miguel/0000-0001-6454-7927; Ramirez Eudave,
Rafael/0000-0003-0733-6685
FU MIT-RSC-Multi-risk Interactions Towards Resilient and Sustainable Cities
[MIT-EXPL/CS/0018/2019]; ERDF-European Regional Development Fund through
the Operational Program for Competitiveness and
Internationalisation-COMPETE; North Portugal Regional Operational
Program-NORTE; Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology-GCT
under the MIT Portugal Program; Portuguese Foundation for Science and
Technology (FCT) [PD/BD/150385/2019]
FX The project "MIT-RSC-Multi-risk Interactions Towards Resilient and
Sustainable Cities" (MIT-EXPL/CS/0018/2019) leading to this work is
co-financed by the ERDF-European Regional Development Fund through the
Operational Program for Competitiveness and Internationalisation-COMPETE
2020, the North Portugal Regional Operational Program-NORTE 2020 and by
the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology-GCT under the MIT
Portugal Program at the 2019 PT call for Exploratory Proposals in
"Sustainable Cities". Rafael Ramirez Eudave is funded by the Portuguese
Foundation for Science and Technology (FCT) through the grant number
PD/BD/150385/2019.
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NR 57
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 7
U2 20
PU FRONTIERS MEDIA SA
PI LAUSANNE
PA AVENUE DU TRIBUNAL FEDERAL 34, LAUSANNE, CH-1015, SWITZERLAND
EI 2296-6463
J9 FRONT EARTH SC-SWITZ
JI Front. Earth Sci.
PD MAR 15
PY 2022
VL 10
AR 847959
DI 10.3389/feart.2022.847959
PG 17
WC Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
SC Geology
GA 0I0TT
UT WOS:000779141200001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Bell, SA
Dickey, S
Rosemberg, MA
AF Bell, Sue Anne
Dickey, Sarah
Rosemberg, Marie-Anne
TI "You get three different hats on and try to figure it out:" home based
care provision during a disaster
SO BMC NURSING
LA English
DT Article
DE Home based care; Aging; Disaster; Health care quality
ID PREPAREDNESS; EVACUATION
AB Background Home based care is a vital, and growing, part of the health care
system that allows individuals to remain in their homes while still receiving
health care. During a disaster, when normal health care systems are disrupted, home
based care remains a vital source of support for older adults. The purpose of this
paper is to qualitatively understand the barriers and facilitators of both patients
and providers that influence the provision of home based care activities in two
hurricane affected communities. Methods Using qualitative inquiry informed by the
social ecological model, five focus groups were conducted with home based care
providers (n = 25) in two settings affected by Hurricane Irma and Hurricane Harvey.
An open-source database of home health agencies participating in Centers for
Medicare and Medicaid Services programs was used to identify participants. Data
were manually coded and larger themes were generated from recurring ideas and
concepts using an abductive analysis approach. Results Twenty five participants
were included in one of five focus groups. Of the 22 who responded to the
demographic survey, 65 % were registered nurses, 20 % were Licensed Vocational
Nurses (LVN), and 15 % were other types of health care providers. 12 % of the
sample was male and 88 % was female. Five themes were identified in the analysis:
barriers to implementing preparedness plans, adaptability of home based care
providers, disasters exacerbate inequalities, perceived unreliability of government
and corporations, and the balance between caring for self and family and caring for
patients. Conclusions This study provides qualitative evidence on the factors that
influence home based care provision in disaster-affected communities, including the
barriers and facilitators faced by both patients and providers in preparing for,
responding to and recovering from a disaster. While home based care providers faced
multiple challenges to providing care during and after a disaster, the importance
of community supports and holistic models of care in the immediate period after the
disaster were emphasized. We recommend greater inclusion of home health agencies in
the community planning process. This study informs the growing body of evidence on
the value of home based care in promoting safety and well-being for older adults
during a disaster.
C1 [Bell, Sue Anne; Dickey, Sarah; Rosemberg, Marie-Anne] Univ Michigan, Sch
Nursing, 400 North Ingalls Bldg, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA.
C3 University of Michigan System; University of Michigan
RP Bell, SA (corresponding author), Univ Michigan, Sch Nursing, 400 North Ingalls
Bldg, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA.
EM sabell@umich.edu
OI Bell, Sue Anne/0000-0002-6890-2006
FU National Institute on Aging of the National Institutes of Health
[K23AG059890]
FX Research reported in this publication was supported by National
Institute on Aging of the National Institutes of Health under award
number K23AG059890 (Bell, PI). The content is solely the responsibility
of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of
the National Institutes of Health. The funders had no role in study
design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or
preparation of the manuscript.
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NR 28
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 0
U2 5
PU BMC
PI LONDON
PA CAMPUS, 4 CRINAN ST, LONDON N1 9XW, ENGLAND
SN 1472-6955
J9 BMC NURS
JI BMC Nurs.
PD AUG 31
PY 2021
VL 20
IS 1
AR 155
DI 10.1186/s12912-021-00676-2
PG 8
WC Nursing
(SSCI)
SC Nursing
GA UL1BX
UT WOS:000692395700001
PM 34461891
OA Green Published, Green Submitted, gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Lumbroso, DM
Suckall, NR
Nicholls, RJ
White, KD
AF Lumbroso, Darren M.
Suckall, Natalie R.
Nicholls, Robert J.
White, Kathleen D.
TI Enhancing resilience to coastal flooding from severe storms in the USA:
international lessons
LA English
DT Article
ID HURRICANE KATRINA; BANGLADESH CYCLONE; CLIMATE-CHANGE; ADAPTATION;
PEOPLE; RESPONSES; RACE
AB Recent events in the USA have highlighted a lack of resilience in the coastal
population to coastal flooding, especially amongst disadvantaged and isolated
communities. Some low-income countries, such as Cuba and Bangladesh, have made
significant progress towards transformed societies that are more resilient to the
impacts of cyclones and coastal flooding. To understand how this has come about, a
systematic review of the peer-reviewed and grey literature related to resilience of
communities to coastal flooding was undertaken in both countries. In both Cuba and
Bangladesh the trust between national and local authorities, community leaders and
civil society is high. As a consequence evacuation warnings are generally followed
and communities are well prepared. As a result over the past 25 years in Bangladesh
the number of deaths directly related to cyclones and coastal flooding has
decreased, despite an increase of almost 50% in the number of people exposed to
these hazards. In Cuba, over the course of eight hurricanes between 2003 and 2011,
the normalized number of deaths related to cyclones and coastal floods was an order
of magnitude less than in the USA. In low-income countries, warning systems and
effective shelter/ evacuation systems, combined with high levels of disaster risk-
reduction education and social cohesion, coupled with trust between government
authorities and vulnerable communities can help to increase resilience to coastal
hazards and tropical cyclones. In the USA, transferable lessons include improving
communication and the awareness of the risk posed by coastal surges, mainstreaming
disaster risk reduction into the education system and building trusted community
networks to help isolated and disadvantaged communities, and improve community
resilience.
C1 [Lumbroso, Darren M.] HR Wallingford, Howbery Pk, Wallingford OX10 8BA, Oxon,
England.
[Suckall, Natalie R.] Univ Southampton, Geog & Environm, Univ Rd, Southampton
SO17 1BJ, Hants, England.
[Nicholls, Robert J.] Univ Southampton, Engn & Environm, Univ Rd, Southampton
SO17 1BJ, Hants, England.
[White, Kathleen D.] US Army Corps Engineers, Inst Water Resources, NCR, 7701
Telegraph Rd,Casey Bldg, Alexandria, VA 22315 USA.
C3 HR Wallingford Limited; University of Southampton; University of
Southampton; United States Department of Defense; United States Army;
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
RP Lumbroso, DM (corresponding author), HR Wallingford, Howbery Pk, Wallingford
OX10 8BA, Oxon, England.
EM d.lumbroso@hrwallingford.com
RI Mokhtara, Charafeddine/ACV-5174-2022; Nicholls, Robert
James/G-3898-2010; Lumbroso, Darren M/AAF-2561-2020; Nicholls, Robert
James/ABD-1481-2020
OI Nicholls, Robert James/0000-0002-9715-1109; Nicholls, Robert
James/0000-0002-9715-1109
FU US Army Corps of Engineers Climate Preparedness and Resilience Community
of Practice
FX We would like to acknowledge the support of the US Army Corps of
Engineers Climate Preparedness and Resilience Community of Practice, who
funded this research.
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NR 108
TC 22
Z9 22
U1 0
U2 49
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
EI 1684-9981
PD AUG 9
PY 2017
VL 17
IS 8
BP 1357
EP 1373
DI 10.5194/nhess-17-1357-2017
PG 17
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA FD2OG
UT WOS:000407373800001
OA Green Accepted, Green Submitted, gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Chau, KW
AF Chau, K. W.
TI Particle swarm optimization training algorithm for ANNs in stage
prediction of Shing Mun River
SO JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
LA English
DT Article
DE particle swarm optimization; artificial neural networks; Shing Mun River
ID ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORK
AB An accurate water stage prediction allows the pertinent authority to issue a
forewarning of the impending flood and to implement early evacuation measures when
required. Existing methods including rainfall-runoff modeling or statistical
techniques entail exogenous input together with a number of assumptions. The use of
artificial neural networks (ANN) has been shown to be a cost-effective technique.
But their training, usually with back-propagation algorithm or other gradient
algorithms, is featured with certain drawbacks such as very stow convergence and
easy entrapment in a local minimum. In this paper, a particle swarm optimization
model is adopted to train perceptrons. The approach is applied to predict water
levels in Shing Mun River of Hong Kong with different lead times on the basis of
the upstream gauging stations or stage/time history at the specific station. It is
shown that the PSO technique can act as an alternative training algorithm for ANNs.
(c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
C1 Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Dept Civil & Struct Engn, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R
China.
C3 Hong Kong Polytechnic University
RP Chau, KW (corresponding author), Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Dept Civil & Struct
Engn, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China.
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OI Chau, Kwok-wing/0000-0001-6457-161X
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NR 20
TC 255
Z9 263
U1 0
U2 46
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 0022-1694
EI 1879-2707
J9 J HYDROL
JI J. Hydrol.
PD OCT 15
PY 2006
VL 329
IS 3-4
BP 363
EP 367
DI 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2006.02.025
PG 5
WC Engineering, Civil; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary; Water Resources
SC Engineering; Geology; Water Resources
GA 095GC
UT WOS:000241295200001
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT S
AU Chau, KW
AF Chau, KW
BE Orchard, B
Yang, C
Ali, M
TI River stage forecasting with particle swarm optimization
SO INNOVATIONS IN APPLIED ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
SE Lecture Notes in Computer Science
LA English
CT 17th International Conference on Industrial and Engineering Applications
of Artificial Intelligence and Expert Systems
CY MAY 17-20, 2004
CL Ottawa, CANADA
ID NUMERICAL MODELING SYSTEM; EXPERT-SYSTEM; FLOW; MANIPULATION
AB An accurate water stage prediction allows the pertinent authority to issue a
forewarning of the impending flood and to implement early evacuation measures when
required. Existing methods including rainfall-runoff modeling or statistical
techniques entail exogenous input together with a number of assumptions. The use of
artificial neural networks has been shown to be a cost-effective technique. But
their training, usually with back-propagation algorithm or other gradient
algorithms, is featured with certain drawbacks, such as very slow convergence and
easily getting stuck in a local minimum. In this paper, a particle swarm
optimization model is adopted to train perceptrons. The approach is demonstrated to
be feasible and effective by predicting real-time water-levels in Shing Mun River
of Hong Kong with different lead times on the basis of the upstream gauging
stations or stage/time history at the specific station. It is shown from the
verification simulations that faster and more accurate, results can be acquired.
China.
EM cekwchau@polyu.edu.hk
CR Chau K. W., 1991, Microcomputers in Civil Engineering, V6, P109
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Kennedy J., 2001, SWARM INTELL-US
3801(2000)14:1(1)
0699(1998)3:1(26)
NR 17
TC 41
Z9 42
U1 0
U2 4
PU SPRINGER-VERLAG BERLIN
PI BERLIN
PA HEIDELBERGER PLATZ 3, D-14197 BERLIN, GERMANY
SN 0302-9743
EI 1611-3349
BN 3-540-22007-0
J9 LECT NOTES COMPUT SC
PY 2004
VL 3029
BP 1166
EP 1173
PG 8
WC Computer Science, Artificial Intelligence; Computer Science, Information
Systems; Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications; Robotics
WE Conference Proceedings Citation Index - Science (CPCI-S); Science Citation Index
Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
SC Computer Science; Robotics
GA BAD82
UT WOS:000221714200119
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Cumbane, SP
Gidofalvi, G
AF Cumbane, Silvino Pedro
Gidofalvi, Gyozo
TI Spatial Distribution of Displaced Population Estimated Using Mobile
Phone Data to Support Disaster Response Activities
SO ISPRS INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEO-INFORMATION
LA English
DT Article
DE disaster response; mobile Call Detail Records (CDRs); displaced
population
ID EMERGENCY SHELTERS; EVACUATION
AB Under normal circumstances, people's homes and work locations are given by their
addresses, and this information is used to create a disaster management plan in
which there are instructions to individuals on how to evacuate. However, when a
disaster strikes, some shelters are destroyed, or in some cases, distance from
affected areas to the closest shelter is not reasonable, or people have no
possibility to act rationally as a natural response to physical danger, and hence,
the evacuation plan is not followed. In each of these situations, people tend to
find alternative places to stay, and the evacuees in shelters do not represent the
total number of the displaced population. Knowing the spatial distribution of total
displaced people (including people in shelters and other places) is very important
for the success of the response activities which, among other measures, aims to
provide for the basic humanitarian needs of affected people. Traditional methods of
people displacement estimation are based on population surveys in the shelters.
However, conducting a survey is infeasible to perform at scale and provides low
coverage, i.e., can only cover the numbers for the population that are at the
shelters, and the information cannot be delivered in a timely fashion. Therefore,
in this research, anonymized mobile Call Detail Records (CDRs) are proposed as a
source of information to infer the spatial distribution of the displaced population
by analyzing the variation of home cell-tower for each anonymized mobile phone
subscriber before and after a disaster. The effectiveness of the proposed method is
evaluated using remote-sensing-based building damage assessment data and
Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) from an individual's questionnaire survey
conducted after a severe cyclone in Beira city, central Mozambique, in March 2019.
The results show an encouraging correlation coefficient (over 70%) between the
number of arrivals in each neighborhood estimated using CDRs and from DTM. In
addition to this, CDRs derive spatial distribution of displaced populations with
high coverage of people, i.e., including not only people in the shelter but
everyone who used a mobile phone before and after the disaster. Moreover, results
suggest that if CDRs data are available right after a disaster, population
displacement can be estimated, and this information can be used for response
activities and hence contribute to reducing waterborne diseases (e.g., diarrheal
disease) and diseases associated with crowding (e.g., acute respiratory infections)
in shelters and host communities.
C1 [Cumbane, Silvino Pedro; Gidofalvi, Gyozo] KTH Royal Inst Technol, Dept Urban
Planning & Environm, Div Geoinformat, Teknikringen 10A, SE-11428 Stockholm, Sweden.
[Cumbane, Silvino Pedro] Eduardo Mondlane Univ, Dept Math & Informat, Div Geog
Informat Sci, Julius Nyerere St, Maputo 3453, Mozambique.
C3 Royal Institute of Technology; Eduardo Mondlane University
RP Cumbane, SP (corresponding author), KTH Royal Inst Technol, Dept Urban Planning
& Environm, Div Geoinformat, Teknikringen 10A, SE-11428 Stockholm, Sweden.;
Cumbane, SP (corresponding author), Eduardo Mondlane Univ, Dept Math & Informat,
Div Geog Informat Sci, Julius Nyerere St, Maputo 3453, Mozambique.
EM silvino@kth.se; gyozo@kth.se
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NR 49
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 1
U2 9
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2220-9964
J9 ISPRS INT J GEO-INF
JI ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf.
PD JUN
PY 2021
VL 10
IS 6
AR 421
DI 10.3390/ijgi10060421
PG 23
WC Computer Science, Information Systems; Geography, Physical; Remote
Sensing
(SSCI)
SC Computer Science; Physical Geography; Remote Sensing
GA TA1BK
UT WOS:000666988800001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Back, MH
Kim, HJ
AF Back, Min-Ho
Kim, Ho-Jung
TI Analysis of Hospital Disaster in South Korea from 1990 to 2008
SO YONSEI MEDICAL JOURNAL
LA English
DT Article
DE Injury; disaster; hospital; preparedness
ID HURRICANE KATRINA; PREPAREDNESS; MANAGEMENT; IMPACT
AB Purpose: The purpose of this study is to systematically review and analyze
disasters involving South Korean hospitals from 1990 and to introduce a newly
developed implement to manage patients' evacuation. Materials and Methods: We
searched for studies reporting disaster preparedness and hospital injuries in South
Korean hospitals from 1990 to 2008, by using the Korean Studies Information Service
System (KISS, copyright Korean Studies Information Co, Ltd, Seoul, Korea) and,
simultaneously, hospital injuries which were reported and regarded as a disaster.
Then, each study and injury were analyzed. Results: Five studies (3 on prevention
and structure, 1 on implement of new device, and 1 on basic supplement to current
methods) and 8 injuries were found within this period. During the evacuations, the
mean gait speed of walking patients was 0.82 m/s and the mean time of evacuation of
individual patients was 38.39 seconds. Regarding structure evaluation, almost all
hospitals had no balconies in patient rooms; hospital elevators were placed
peripherally and were insufficient in number. As a new device, Savingsun
(evacuation elevator) was introduced and had some merits as a fast and easy tool,
regardless of patient status or the height of hospital. Conclusion: In South Korea,
preparation for hospital disasters was noted to be insufficient but has involved
various departments such as architectural, clinical, and building operations. In
addition, Savignsun has been shown to effectively evacuate and save patients in a
hospital disaster.
C1 [Kim, Ho-Jung] Soonchunhyang Univ, Bucheon Hosp, Dept Emergency Med, Puchon
420767, South Korea.
[Back, Min-Ho] Kangwon Natl Univ, Coll Engn, Sch Fire & Disaster Prevent,
Samcheok, South Korea.
C3 Soonchunhyang University; Kangwon National University
RP Kim, HJ (corresponding author), Soonchunhyang Univ, Bucheon Hosp, Dept Emergency
Med, 1174 Jung Dong, Puchon 420767, South Korea.
EM lovelydr@schbc.ac.kr
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대한응급의학회지], V19, P263
NR 25
TC 6
Z9 6
U1 1
U2 16
PU YONSEI UNIV COLL MEDICINE
PI SEOUL
PA 50-1 YONSEI-RO, SEODAEMUN-GU, SEOUL 120-752, SOUTH KOREA
SN 0513-5796
EI 1976-2437
J9 YONSEI MED J
JI Yonsei Med. J.
PD NOV 1
PY 2010
VL 51
IS 6
BP 965
EP 970
DI 10.3349/ymj.2010.51.6.965
PG 6
GA 672CN
UT WOS:000283560700025
PM 20879068
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Mattox, KL
AF Mattox, Kenneth L.
TI Hurricanes Katrina and Rita: role of individuals and collaborative
networks in mobilizing/coordinating societal and professional resources
for major disasters
SO CRITICAL CARE
LA English
DT Review
ID EVACUATION; EXPERIENCE
AB The medical support for the coordinated effort for Harris County Texas
( Houston) to rescue evacuees from New Orleans following Hurricane Katrina was part
of an integrated collaborative network. Both public health and operational health
care was structured to custom meet the needs of the evacuees and to create an exit
strategy for the clinic and shelter. Integrating local hospital and physician
resources into the Joint Incident Command was essential. Outside assistance,
including federal and national resources must be coordinated through the local
incident command.
C1 Baylor Coll Med, Michael E DeBakey Dept Surg, Houston, TX 77030 USA.
Ben Taub Gen Hosp, Houston, TX 77030 USA.
Harris Cty Joint Area Incident Command, Med Branch, Houston, TX USA.
C3 Baylor College of Medicine
RP Mattox, KL (corresponding author), Baylor Coll Med, Michael E DeBakey Dept Surg,
Houston, TX 77030 USA.
EM redstart@aol.com
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NR 29
TC 21
Z9 22
U1 0
U2 8
PU BMC
PI LONDON
SN 1466-609X
EI 1364-8535
J9 CRIT CARE
JI Crit. Care
PY 2006
VL 10
IS 1
AR 205
DI 10.1186/cc3942
PG 6
WC Critical Care Medicine
(SSCI)
GA 082JN
UT WOS:000240382800069
PM 16420647
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Jung, W
Kyprioti, AP
Adeli, E
Taflanidis, AA
AF Jung, WoongHee
Kyprioti, Aikaterini P.
Adeli, Ehsan
Taflanidis, Alexandros A.
TI Exploring the sensitivity of probabilistic surge estimates to forecast
errors
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Article
DE Storm surge predictions; Landfalling storms; Probabilistic surge
estimation; Storm forecast errors; Variance-based global sensitivity
analysis; Sobol' indices
ID STORM-SURGE; HURRICANE; ADVANCEMENTS; INUNDATION; PREDICTION; DESIGN;
MODELS
AB Statistical predictions of storm surge are critical for guiding evacuation and
emergency response/preparedness decisions during landfalling storms. The
probabilistic characteristics of these predictions are formulated by utilizing
historical forecast errors to quantify relevant uncertainties in the National
Hurricane Center advisories. This ultimately leads to the description of
probability distributions quantifying the deviation from the nominal advisory for
four different storm features: intensity, size, cross-track variability and along-
track variability. Propagation of the uncertainty in these four storm features,
serving as input to a numerical model for calculating storm surge, leads to the
definition of the statistical surge estimates. This work investigates the
application of variance-based global sensitivity analysis (GSA), quantified through
the estimation of Sobol' indices, to explore the importance of the forecast errors
in the peak storm surge predictions. This GSA can assist in better understanding
the impact of the different forecast errors for typical storms, and can also offer
important insights for a specific storm, regarding the characteristics that
influence the probabilistic surge predictions across its different advisories, as
the storm comes closer to landfall. An efficient GSA implementation is presented
here to address two key challenges of the specific problem: (i) the need to perform
the GSA for a multi-dimensional output, corresponding to the surge for multiple
locations within the geographic domain of interest that will be affected by a
specific storm, and (ii) the restriction to use only a small number of hydrodynamic
numerical simulations, since the associated computational burden of such
simulations is significant. For addressing these challenges, dimensionality
reduction through Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and a probability-based
estimation of the variance of conditional expectations are combined to provide the
necessary efficiency in the proposed GSA framework. The development of aggregated
importance indices across the entire geographic domain is also discussed,
incorporating the importance of the surge for each separate location (within this
domain) using a variance-based weighting. This formulation is compared with an
alternative, computationally efficient, definition of the aggregated importance,
based on the readily available PCA information. A demonstration of this framework's
utility considering different historical storms (using National Weather Service
advisories and forecast errors for past events) is provided, establishing
comparisons across them and across multiple advisories for each storm.
C1 [Jung, WoongHee; Kyprioti, Aikaterini P.; Adeli, Ehsan; Taflanidis, Alexandros
A.] Univ Notre Dame, Dept Civil & Environm Engn & Earth Sci, Notre Dame, IN 46556
USA.
C3 University of Notre Dame
RP Taflanidis, AA (corresponding author), Univ Notre Dame, Dept Civil & Environm
Engn & Earth Sci, Notre Dame, IN 46556 USA.
EM a.taflanidis@nd.edu
RI Taflanidis, Alexandros/A-3393-2012
OI Taflanidis, Alexandros/0000-0002-9784-7480; Kyprioti, Aikaterini
(Katerina) P./0000-0002-2346-1307
FU National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
[NA19OAR0220089]
FX This research was funded by the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA), under the grant number NA19OAR0220089. The views
and opinions expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not
represent NOAA's official position.
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NR 53
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 2
U2 4
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
PA ONE NEW YORK PLAZA, SUITE 4600, NEW YORK, NY, UNITED STATES
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD JAN
PY 2023
VL 115
IS 2
BP 1371
EP 1409
DI 10.1007/s11069-022-05598-z
EA SEP 2022
PG 39
Water Resources
GA G5FC8
UT WOS:000857781800003
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Arlikatti, S
Maghelal, P
Agnimitra, N
Chatterjee, V
AF Arlikatti, Sudha
Maghelal, Praveen
Agnimitra, Neera
Chatterjee, Vaswati
TI Should I stay or should I go? Mitigation strategies for flash flooding
in India
LA English
DT Article
DE Mitigation; Relocation; Building back better; Flash floods Uttarakhand;
India; Mountainous communities
ID VULNERABILITY; AFTERMATH; RECOVERY; DISASTER
AB Post-disaster rehabilitation and rebuilding efforts are oftentimes spearheaded
by government agencies rather hastily, to meet the urgent demands of disaster
survivors. However in the absence of pre-planning for disaster recovery, they may
increase community vulnerabilities due to a break down in social ties and
livelihood needs. There is a growing recognition that adhoc top down policies
should be replaced with an understanding of the preferences and needs of disaster
survivors. This research is aimed at gauging the intended mitigation strategies
that survivors from the Himalayan region of North India expressed, following the
devastating flash flooding in 2013. A semi-structured questionnaire was used to
interview 316 residents from 17 villages in the State of Uttarakhand to measure
demographic characteristics, risk perception, prior flash flood hazard experience,
evacuation experience, damage to home, and intended structural (relocate/building
back better) and non-structural (investing time and effort in emergency planning or
raising self-awareness and knowledge of threats knowledge) mitigation measures.
Findings suggest that relocation is not a preferred mitigation strategy. Rather, an
overwhelming majority of the respondents are interested in emergency planning at
the household and village levels. Investing in revising and updating the plans at
all levels of government, reviewing the existing forecasting and warning system and
creating a robust risk communication plan with local input, strictly enforcing the
provisions of flood Plain Zoning Act, 2012, improving hazard awareness programs and
creating village level task forces with direct linkages to the State disaster
Management Agency are some of the recommendations made.
C1 [Arlikatti, Sudha] Rabdan Acad, Fac Resilience, Business Continu Management &
Integrated Emergency, POB 114646, Abu Dhabi, U Arab Emirates.
[Maghelal, Praveen] Khalifa Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Ind & Syst Engn, MI
Campus,POB 54224, Abu Dhabi, U Arab Emirates.
[Agnimitra, Neera] Univ Delhi, Dept Social Work, Delhi Sch Social Work, Delhi,
India.
[Chatterjee, Vaswati] Univ North Texas, Dept Publ Adm, 410 Ave C,Chilton Hall
Suite 204, Denton, TX 76203 USA.
C3 Khalifa University of Science & Technology; University of Delhi;
University of North Texas System; University of North Texas Denton
RP Arlikatti, S (corresponding author), Rabdan Acad, Fac Resilience, Business
Continu Management & Integrated Emergency, POB 114646, Abu Dhabi, U Arab Emirates.
EM sarlikatti@ra.ac.ae; pmaghelal@masdar.ac.ae; neeraagnimitra@gmail.com;
vaswati.ju@gmail.com
RI Arlikatti, Sudha/J-3209-2019
OI Arlikatti, Sudha/0000-0002-1214-1500; Maghelal,
Praveen/0000-0003-0324-9955
FU USA National Science Foundation (RAPID) [1361323]; Directorate For
Engineering; Div Of Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact Inn [1361323] Funding
Source: National Science Foundation
FX This work was supported by a grant from the USA National Science
Foundation (RAPID Grant Award No. 1361323). Any opinions, findings and
conclusions or recommendations expressed in this paper are those of the
authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science
Foundation. We are especially grateful to the 316 villagers and village
liaison officers for welcoming us with kind hospitality and reliving and
sharing their personal experiences with us. Finally, we are indebted to
the five graduate students from Delhi University who took personal risks
to serve as interviewers.
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The World Bank (n.d.), 2017, P146653 WORLD BANK
NR 19
TC 20
Z9 20
U1 1
U2 46
PU ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
PI AMSTERDAM
PA PO BOX 211, 1000 AE AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS
SN 2212-4209
PD MAR
PY 2018
VL 27
BP 48
EP 56
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2017.09.019
PG 9
Water Resources
GA FS0WC
UT WOS:000419493400005
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wu, WY
Westra, S
Leonard, M
AF Wu, Wenyan
Westra, Seth
Leonard, Michael
TI A basis function approach for exploring the seasonal and spatial
features of storm surge events
SO GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
LA English
DT Article
ID EXTREME SURGES; SEA LEVELS; COAST; DYNAMICS; IMPACT; WAVES; RISK; GULF;
TIDE
AB Storm surge is a significant contributor to flooding in coastal and estuarine
regions. To represent the statistical characteristics of storm surge over a
climatologically diverse region, we propose the use of basis functions that capture
the temporal progression of individual storm surge events. This extends statistical
analyses of surge from considering only the peak to a more multifaceted approach
that also includes decay rate and duration. Our results show that there is seasonal
variation in storm surge along the Australian coastline. During the dominant storm
surge seasons, the peak and duration of storm surge events tend to increase
simultaneously at a number of locations, with implications for flood damage
assessments and evacuation planning. By combining the dynamic and statistical
features of storm surge, it is possible to better understand the factors that can
lead to flood risk along the coastline, including estuarine areas that are also
affected by fluvial floods.
Plain Language Summary Storm surge is the increase in ocean water levels due to
low pressure and wind stress acting on the ocean's surface. It is an important
contributor to flooding in coastal and estuarine regions, and it is critical to
understand the risks related to these events. Storm surge-related risk is often
estimated using statistical methods, where only the peak of the surge is
considered. However, storm surge is a dynamic process that can last from hours to
days. It is important to understand not only the peak but also how these events
evolve. In other words, the duration of surge events and how quickly they grow and
decay over time. In this study, a new approach is proposed to extend the
statistical analysis of storm surge from only the peak to including duration and
decay information. By testing surge data from 15 tide gauges around Australia, we
found that storm surge varies significantly during different times of the year
along the Australian coastline. During dominant seasons, surge events with higher
peaks tend to last longer, resulting in extended flood damage and disruption.
C1 [Wu, Wenyan; Westra, Seth; Leonard, Michael] Univ Adelaide, Sch Civil Environm &
Min Engn, Adelaide, SA, Australia.
C3 University of Adelaide
RP Wu, WY (corresponding author), Univ Adelaide, Sch Civil Environm & Min Engn,
Adelaide, SA, Australia.
EM wenyan.wu@adelaide.edu.au
RI Westra, Seth/C-8268-2009; Leonard, Michael/AAP-1853-2021
OI Westra, Seth/0000-0003-4023-6061; Leonard, Michael/0000-0002-9519-3188;
Wu, Wenyan/0000-0003-3907-1570
FU Australian Research Council [LP150100359]; Western Australian Water
Corporation [LP150100359]; Australian Research Council [LP150100359]
Funding Source: Australian Research Council
FX We would like to thank Australian Research Council and Western
Australian Water Corporation for funding under Linkage Project
LP150100359. We thank the Bureau of Meteorology (http://www.bom.gov.au/)
for providing the data used in this study.
CR [Anonymous], 2012, MANAGING RISKS EXTRE
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NR 37
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 0
U2 7
PU AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
PI WASHINGTON
PA 2000 FLORIDA AVE NW, WASHINGTON, DC 20009 USA
SN 0094-8276
EI 1944-8007
J9 GEOPHYS RES LETT
JI Geophys. Res. Lett.
PD JUL 28
PY 2017
VL 44
IS 14
BP 7356
EP 7365
DI 10.1002/2017GL074357
PG 10
SC Geology
GA FD8QZ
UT WOS:000407790500030
OA Bronze, Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kocaman, S
Tavus, B
Nefeslioglu, HA
Karakas, G
Gokceoglu, C
AF Kocaman, Sultan
Tavus, Beste
Nefeslioglu, Hakan A.
Karakas, Gizem
Gokceoglu, Candan
TI Evaluation of Floods and Landslides Triggered by a Meteorological
Catastrophe (Ordu, Turkey, August 2018) Using Optical and Radar Data
SO GEOFLUIDS
LA English
DT Article
ID RANDOM FOREST; HEAVY RAINFALL; SUSCEPTIBILITY ASSESSMENT; MODELS;
IMAGES; CLASSIFICATION; COMBINATION; EXTRACTION; EVENT; TREE
AB This study explores the potential of photogrammetric datasets and remote sensing
methods for the assessment of a meteorological catastrophe that occurred in Ordu,
Turkey in August 2018. During the event, flash floods and several landslides caused
losses of lives, evacuation of people from their homes, collapses of infrastructure
and large constructions, destruction of agricultural fields, and many other
economic losses. The meteorological conditions before and during the flood were
analyzed here and compared with long-term records. The flood extent and the
landslide susceptibility were investigated by using multisensor and multitemporal
data. Sentinel-1 SAR (Synthetic Aperture Radar), Sentinel-2 optical data, and
aerial photogrammetric datasets were employed for the investigations using machine
learning techniques. The changes were assessed both at a local and regional level
and evaluated together with available damage reports. The analysis of the rainfall
data recorded during the two weeks before the floods and landslides in heavily
affected regions shows that the rainfall continued for consecutive hours with an
amount of up to 68 mm/hour. The regional level classification results obtained from
Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 data by using the random forest (RF) method exhibit 97%
accuracy for the flood class. The landslide susceptibility prediction performance
from aerial photogrammetric datasets was 92% represented by the Area Under Curve
(AUC) value provided by the RF method. The results presented here show that
considering the occurrence frequency and immense damages after such events, the use
of novel remote sensing technologies and spatial analysis methods is unavoidable
for disaster mitigation efforts and for the monitoring of environmental effects.
Although the increasing number of earth observation satellites complemented with
airborne imaging sensors is capable of ensuring data collection requirement with
diverse spectral, spatial, and temporal resolutions, further studies are required
to automate the data processing, efficient information extraction, and data fusion
and also to increase the accuracy of the results.
C1 [Kocaman, Sultan; Tavus, Beste; Karakas, Gizem] Hacettepe Univ, Dept Geomat
Engn, TR-06800 Beytepe, Turkey.
[Nefeslioglu, Hakan A.; Gokceoglu, Candan] Hacettepe Univ, Dept Geol Engn, TR-
06800 Beytepe, Turkey.
C3 Hacettepe University; Hacettepe University
RP Kocaman, S (corresponding author), Hacettepe Univ, Dept Geomat Engn, TR-06800
Beytepe, Turkey.
EM sultankocaman@hacettepe.edu.tr
RI Nefeslioglu, Hakan/B-7461-2016; Gokceoglu, Candan/E-3259-2013; Kocaman,
Sultan/L-4892-2015
OI Nefeslioglu, Hakan/0000-0003-1117-6012; Gokceoglu,
Candan/0000-0003-4762-9933; Kocaman, Sultan/0000-0002-2775-7914; TAVUS,
BESTE/0000-0001-9351-9423
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NR 72
TC 34
Z9 34
U1 3
U2 14
PU WILEY-HINDAWI
PI LONDON
PA ADAM HOUSE, 3RD FL, 1 FITZROY SQ, LONDON, WIT 5HE, ENGLAND
SN 1468-8115
EI 1468-8123
J9 GEOFLUIDS
JI Geofluids
PD DEC 23
PY 2020
VL 2020
AR 8830661
DI 10.1155/2020/8830661
PG 18
WC Geochemistry & Geophysics; Geology
SC Geochemistry & Geophysics; Geology
GA PS4YR
UT WOS:000607929100001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Simonovic, SP
Kundzewicz, ZW
Wright, N
AF Simonovic, Slobodan P.
Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W.
Wright, Nigel
TI Floods and the COVID-19 pandemic-A new double hazard problem
SO WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE COVID-19; floods; management; multihazard; natural disasters; resilience
ID RESILIENCE; REDUCTION; CHINA; RISK
AB The coincidence of floods and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a genuine
multihazard problem. Since the beginning of 2020, many regions around the World
have been experiencing this double hazard of serious flooding and the pandemic.
There have been 70 countries with flood events occurring after detection of the
country's first COVID-19 case and hundreds of thousands of people have been
evacuated. The main objective of this article is to assess challenges that arise
from complex intersections between the threat multipliers and to provide guidance
on how to address them effectively. We consider the limitations of our knowledge
including "unknown unknowns." During emergency evacuation, practicing social
distancing can be very difficult. However, people are going to take action to
respond to rising waters, even if it means breaking quarantine. This is an
emergency manager's nightmare scenario: two potentially serious emergencies
happening at once. During this unprecedented year (2020), we are experiencing one
of the most challenging flood seasons we have seen in a while. Practical examples
of issues and guides for managing floods and COVID-19 are presented. We feel that a
new approach is needed in dealing with multiple hazards. Our main messages are: a
resilience approach is needed whether in response to floods or a pandemic;
preparation is vital, in addition to defense; the responsible actors must be
prepared with actions plans and command structure, while the general population
must be involved in the discussions so that they are aware of the risk and the
reasons for the actions they must take.
C1 [Simonovic, Slobodan P.] Univ Western Ontario, Inst Catastroph Loss Reduct,
London, ON N6A 5B9, Canada.
[Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W.] Polish Acad Sci, Inst Agr & Forest Environm, Poznan,
Poland.
[Wright, Nigel] Nottingham Trent Univ, Sch Architecture Design & Built Environm,
Nottingham, England.
C3 Western University (University of Western Ontario); Polish Academy of
Sciences; Nottingham Trent University
RP Simonovic, SP (corresponding author), Univ Western Ontario, Inst Catastroph Loss
Reduct, London, ON N6A 5B9, Canada.; Simonovic, SP (corresponding author), Univ
Western Ontario, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, London, ON N6A 5B9, Canada.
EM simonovic@uwo.ca
RI Wright, Nigel/ABO-7247-2022; Simonovic, Slobodan/R-7250-2017
OI Wright, Nigel/0000-0002-1289-2830; Simonovic,
Slobodan/0000-0001-5072-2915
FU Royal Society [NAF\R2\180862]; National Science Centre of Poland
[2017/27/B/ST10/00924]; Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction;
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; EPSRC
[EP/P004261/2, EP/I030735/1] Funding Source: UKRI
FX Royal Society for an Advanced Newton Fellowship, Grant/Award Number: NAF
\R2\180862; National Science Centre of Poland, Grant/Award Number:
2017/27/B/ST10/00924; Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction; Natural
Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
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NR 39
TC 45
Z9 45
U1 1
U2 22
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
PA 111 RIVER ST, HOBOKEN 07030-5774, NJ USA
SN 2049-1948
J9 WIRES WATER
JI Wiley Interdiscip. Rev.-Water
PD MAR
PY 2021
VL 8
IS 2
AR e1509
DI 10.1002/wat2.1509
EA JAN 2021
PG 18
WC Environmental Sciences; Water Resources
(SSCI)
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Water Resources
GA QG1GA
UT WOS:000606429700001
PM 33786171
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Dean, DJ
Topping, DJ
Schmidt, JC
Griffiths, RE
Sabol, TA
AF Dean, David J.
Topping, David J.
Schmidt, John C.
Griffiths, Ronald E.
Sabol, Thomas A.
TI Sediment supply versus local hydraulic controls on sediment transport
and storage in a river with large sediment loads
SO JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-EARTH SURFACE
LA English
DT Article
DE suspended sediment; acoustics; Rio Grande; sediment budget; channel
change; dams
ID GRAIN-SIZE EVOLUTION; SCALE DAM REMOVAL; SUSPENDED-SEDIMENT; COLORADO
RIVER; RIO-GRANDE; RELATIVE IMPORTANCE; VERTICAL ACCRETION; AVULSION
FREQUENCY; DRAINAGE SYSTEMS; CHANNEL RESPONSE
AB The Rio Grande in the Big Bend region of Texas, USA, and Chihuahua and Coahuila,
Mexico, undergoes rapid geomorphic changes as a result of its large sediment supply
and variable hydrology; thus, it is a useful natural laboratory to investigate the
relative importance of flow strength and sediment supply in controlling alluvial
channel change. We analyzed a suite of sediment transport and geomorphic data to
determine the cumulative influence of different flood types on changing channel
form. In this study, physically based analyses suggest that channel change in the
Rio Grande is controlled by both changes in flow strength and sediment supply over
different spatial and temporal scales. Channel narrowing is primarily caused by
substantial deposition of sediment supplied to the Rio Grande during tributary-
sourced flash floods. Tributary floods have large suspended-sediment
concentrations, occur for short durations, and attenuate rapidly downstream in the
Rio Grande, depositing much of their sediment in downstream reaches. Long-duration
floods on the mainstem have the capacity to enlarge the Rio Grande, and these
floods, released from upstream dams, can either erode or deposit sediment in the
Rio Grande depending upon the antecedent in-channel sediment supply and the
magnitude and duration of the flood. Geomorphic and sediment transport analyses
show that the locations and rates of sand erosion and deposition during long-
duration floods are most strongly controlled by spatial changes in flow strength,
largely through changes in channel slope. However, spatial differences in the in-
channel sediment supply regulate sediment evacuation or accumulation over time in
long reaches (greater than a kilometer).
C1 [Dean, David J.; Topping, David J.; Griffiths, Ronald E.; Sabol, Thomas A.] US
Geol Survey, Southwest Biol Sci Ctr, Grand Canyon Monitoring & Res Ctr, Flagstaff,
AZ 86001 USA.
[Schmidt, John C.] Utah State Univ, Quinney Coll Nat Resources, Dept Watershed
Sci, Logan, UT 84322 USA.
C3 United States Department of the Interior; United States Geological
Survey; Utah System of Higher Education; Utah State University
RP Dean, DJ (corresponding author), US Geol Survey, Southwest Biol Sci Ctr, Grand
Canyon Monitoring & Res Ctr, Flagstaff, AZ 86001 USA.
EM djdean@usgs.gov
OI Griffiths, Ronald/0000-0003-3620-2926
FU National Park Service (NPS); Commission of Environmental Cooperation
(CEC); U.S. Geological Survey; Southwest Biological Science Center; U.S.
Bureau of Reclamation
FX Acoustic and physical suspended-sediment sample data can be obtained at
the following website: http://www.gcmrc.gov/discharge_qw_sediment/.
Additional data can be obtained from the authors. Funding for this study
was provided by the National Park Service (NPS), the Commission of
Environmental Cooperation (CEC), the U.S. Geological Survey, Southwest
Biological Science Center, and the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation. Thanks to
NPS staff Jeff Bennett, Joe Sirotnak, David Larson, Phil Wilson, Billie
Brauch, Keith Sauter, and the River Rangers within Big Bend National
Park. Special thanks to Hunter Edwards, who maintained the sediment
gages, and Jeff Kelsch, Jeff Renfrow, Kelon Crawford, Dana Milani, and
Trevor Bryan for their workwith Hunter Edwards in collecting the data
used to calibrate and verify the pump and acoustic measurements. Thanks
to David Sibley and Megan Hines at the USGS CIDA, and Bradley Garner at
the USGS AZ WSC for website development and the online serving of
sediment-transport data. Thanks to Patrick Belmont and the USU
Fine-Sediment Lab for the loan of automatic pump samplers. Thanks to
John Buffington, Amy East, Brandon McElroy, Joel Sankey, Ted Melis, and
two anonymous reviewers for their instructive comments on improving this
manuscript. Any use of trade, product, or firm names is for descriptive
purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the U.S. Government.
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NR 112
TC 47
Z9 48
U1 3
U2 49
PI WASHINGTON
SN 2169-9003
EI 2169-9011
J9 J GEOPHYS RES-EARTH
JI J. Geophys. Res.-Earth Surf.
PD JAN
PY 2016
VL 121
IS 1
BP 82
EP 110
DI 10.1002/2015JF003436
PG 29
SC Geology
GA DE2HG
UT WOS:000370447300005
OA Green Submitted, Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zou, S
Duan, WL
Christidis, N
Nover, D
Jilili, A
De Maeyer, P
Van De Voorde, T
AF Zou Shan
Duan Wei-Li
Christidis, Nikolaos
Nover, Daniel
Jilili, Abuduwaili
De Maeyer, Philippe
Van De Voorde, Tim
TI An extreme rainfall event in summer 2018 of Hami city in eastern
Xinjiang, China
SO ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH
LA English
DT Article
DE Precipitation events; Northwest China; CMIP5; Fraction of attributable
risk; Attribution analysis
ID PRECIPITATION EXTREMES; CLIMATE-CHANGE; DRY EXTREMES; RIVER FLOOD;
ATTRIBUTION; TEMPERATURE; WEATHER; TREND; INDEXES; REGION
AB Extreme rainfall events are rare in inland arid regions, but have exhibited an
increasing trend in recent years, causing many casualties and substantial
socioeconomic losses. A series of heavy rains that began on July 31st, 2018,
battered the Hami prefecture of eastern Xinjiang, China for four days. These rains
sparked devastating floods, caused 20 deaths, eight missing, and the evacuation of
about 5500 people. This study examines the extreme rainfall event in a historical
context and explores the anthropogenic causes based on analysis of multiple
datasets (i.e., the observed daily data, the global climate models (GCMs) from the
Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis 1,
and the satellite cloud data) and several statistical techniques. Results show that
this extraordinarily heavy rainfall was due mainly to the abnormal weather system
(e.g., the abnormal subtropical high) that transported abundant water vapor from
the Indian Ocean and the East China Sea crossed the high mountains and formed
extreme rainfall in Hami prefecture, causing the reservoir to break and form a
flood event with treat loss, which is a typical example of a comprehensive analysis
of the extreme rainfall event in summer in Northwest China. Also, the fraction of
attributable risk (FAR) value was 1.00 when the 2018 July-August RX1day (11.52 mm)
was marked as the threshold, supporting the claim of a significant anthropogenic
influence on the risk of this extreme rainfall. The results offer insights into the
variability of precipitation extremes in arid areas contributing to better manage
water-related disasters.
C1 [Zou Shan] Xinjiang Univ, Coll Resource & Environm Sci, Urumqi 830046, Peoples R
China.
[Zou Shan; Duan Wei-Li; Jilili, Abuduwaili; De Maeyer, Philippe] Chinese Acad
Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Urumqi 830011,
Peoples R China.
[Zou Shan; Duan Wei-Li; Jilili, Abuduwaili] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing
100049, Peoples R China.
[Zou Shan; De Maeyer, Philippe; Van De Voorde, Tim] Univ Ghent, Dept Geog, B-
9000 Ghent, Belgium.
[Christidis, Nikolaos] Met Off Hadley Ctr, Exeter EX1 3PB, Devon, England.
[Nover, Daniel] Univ Calif Merced, Dept Engn, Merced, CA 95343 USA.
[Zou Shan; Jilili, Abuduwaili] Chinese Acad Sci, Res Ctr Ecol & Environm Cent
Asia, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China.
[Zou Shan; De Maeyer, Philippe; Van De Voorde, Tim] Sino Belgian Joint Lab
Geoinformat, B-9000 Ghent, Belgium.
[Zou Shan; De Maeyer, Philippe; Van De Voorde, Tim] Sino Belgian Joint Lab
Geoinformat, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China.
C3 Xinjiang University; Chinese Academy of Sciences; Xinjiang Institute of
Ecology & Geography, CAS; Chinese Academy of Sciences; University of
Chinese Academy of Sciences, CAS; Ghent University; Met Office - UK;
Hadley Centre; University of California System; University of California
Merced; Chinese Academy of Sciences; Ghent University
RP Duan, WL (corresponding author), Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog,
State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China.
EM duanweili@ms.xjb.ac.cn
RI Zou, Shan/HTN-7391-2023; Van de Voorde, Tim/AAG-1657-2019; DUAN,
Weili/A-1928-2019
OI Van de Voorde, Tim/0000-0002-9324-5087; DUAN, Weili/0000-0002-1503-8066;
Zou, Shan/0000-0003-3896-5679
FU Project of Tianshan Innovation Team in Xinjiang [202113050]; Chinese
Academy of Sciences President's International Fellowship Initiative
[2017VCA0002]; Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme - Department
for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy and Department for
Environment, Food and Rural Affairs
FX This study was sponsored by the Project of Tianshan Innovation Team in
Xinjiang (202113050) and the Chinese Academy of Sciences President's
International Fellowship Initiative (2017VCA0002) . Nikolaos CHRISTIDIS
was sup-ported by the Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme funded
by Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy and
Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs. We acknowledged the
World Climate Research Pro-gramme's Working Group on Coupled Modeling
for providing CMIP5 data, and the NOAA/OAR/ESRL PSD, for offering NCEP
Reanalysis data. We also acknowledge Prof. Jianli Ding for offering
useful suggestions to improve the manuscript.
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NR 66
TC 8
Z9 9
U1 6
U2 30
PU SCIENCE PRESS
PI BEIJING
PA 16 DONGHUANGCHENGGEN NORTH ST, BEIJING, 100717, PEOPLES R CHINA
SN 1674-9278
J9 ADV CLIM CHANG RES
JI Adv. Clim. Chang. Res.
PD DEC
PY 2021
VL 12
IS 6
BP 795
EP 803
DI 10.1016/j.accre.2021.10.005
PG 9
GA XQ4XU
UT WOS:000731550400004
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wakui, T
Agree, EM
Saito, T
Kai, I
AF Wakui, Tomoko
Agree, Emily M.
Saito, Tami
Kai, Ichiro
TI Disaster Preparedness Among Older Japanese Adults With Long-Term Care
Needs and Their Family Caregivers
LA English
DT Article
DE disaster preparedness; family caregiver; older adults; Japan; community
support
ID EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS; HURRICANE KATRINA; HEALTH; HOME; DISABILITIES;
EVACUATION; DEMENTIA; EVACUEES; PEOPLE
AB Objective:In the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake, as in Hurricanes Katrina and
Rita in the United States, older individuals were at the greatest risk of
mortality. Much concern has been raised about developing plans to reduce these
risks, but little information has been provided about preparedness, and the key
role played by caregivers has been largely unexplored. The aims of this study were
thus to examine the preparedness of family caregivers of older adults with long-
term care needs and to identify the characteristics of older adults and their
caregivers that are associated with poor preparedness and greater concern about
disasters.
Methods:Shortly after the Great East Japan Earthquake, the second wave of the
Fukui Longitudinal Caregiver Study was administered to the family caregivers of
older Japanese individuals with long-term care needs. The sample included 952
caregivers from 17 municipalities in Fukui prefecture. Logistic regression analyses
were used to identify the factors associated with self-assessed preparedness,
evacuation planning, and caregivers' concerns about preparedness.
Results:The majority (75%) of the caregivers had no concrete plans for
evacuation in an emergency, and those caring for persons with dementia were 36%
less likely to have any plan. In multivariate models, caregivers who were more
experienced and wealthier and who reported more family and community support were
more likely to feel well prepared. Caregivers with poor health or limited financial
resources or who were responsible for older persons with mobility difficulties
reported higher levels of anxiety about their disaster preparedness.
Conclusions:This study indicates that most caregivers are ill prepared to
respond in emergencies and that caregiver resources, community support, and the
needs of older care recipients influence both preparedness and concern about
disasters. Education for caregivers and the development of community support
programs could provide important sources of assistance to this vulnerable group.
(Disaster Med Public Health Preparedness. 2017;11:31-38)
C1 [Wakui, Tomoko] TMIG, Human Care Res Team, Itabashi Ku, Sakae cho,35-2, Tokyo,
Japan.
[Wakui, Tomoko] Johns Hopkins Univ, Hopkins Populat Ctr, Baltimore, MD USA.
[Agree, Emily M.] Johns Hopkins Univ, Hopkins Populat Ctr, Dept Sociol,
Baltimore, MD USA.
[Saito, Tami] Natl Ctr Geriatr & Gerontol, Dept Social Sci, Obu, Japan.
[Kai, Ichiro] Univ Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
C3 Tokyo Metropolitan Institute of Gerontology; Johns Hopkins University;
Johns Hopkins University; National Center for Geriatrics & Gerontology;
University of Tokyo
RP Wakui, T (corresponding author), TMIG, Human Care Res Team, Itabashi Ku, Sakae
cho,35-2, Tokyo, Japan.
EM t-wakui@umin.ac.jp
RI Kai, Ichiro/AAF-1970-2021
OI Kai, Ichiro/0000-0002-7883-7383
FU JSPS [23390127]; Health Care Science Institute research grant; US
National Institutes of Health to the Hopkins Center for Population Aging
and Health [P30AG34460]; [21-10559]; Grants-in-Aid for Scientific
Research [23390127] Funding Source: KAKEN
FX This study was supported by a Grant-in-Aid for Japan Society for the
Promotion of Science (JSPS) Fellows (21-10559), a Grant- in- Aid for
Scientific Research (B) (23390127) from the JSPS, a Health Care Science
Institute research grant, and a grant from the US National Institutes of
Health to the Hopkins Center for Population Aging and Health (grant
#P30AG34460). There were no conflicts of interest with any financial
organizations regarding the material discussed in this manuscript.
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NR 38
TC 21
Z9 21
U1 6
U2 26
PI NEW YORK
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
PD FEB
PY 2017
VL 11
IS 1
BP 31
EP 38
DI 10.1017/dmp.2016.53
PG 8
(SSCI)
GA EM6TB
UT WOS:000395444000009
PM 27460161
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Hidaka, M
Goto, A
Umino, S
Fujita, E
AF Hidaka, M
Goto, A
Umino, S
Fujita, E
TI VTFS project: Development of the lava flow simulation code LavaSIM with
a model for three-dimensional convection, spreading, and solidification
SO GEOCHEMISTRY GEOPHYSICS GEOSYSTEMS
LA English
DT Article
DE heat transfer; lava flows; numerical simulation; solidification;
spreading; thermal-hydraulic; computational geophysics : modeling
(4255); mathematical geophysics : prediction (3245,4263); volcanology :
thermodynamics (0766,1011,3611); volcanology : lava rheology and
morphology; volcanology : volcanic hazards and risks
ID COOLABILITY ANALYSIS MODULE; NATURAL-CONVECTION; SILICATE LIQUIDS;
RHEOLOGICAL PROPERTIES; ANALYSIS CAPABILITY; HEAT-TRANSFER;
VERIFICATION; DEPENDENCE; VISCOSITY; RHYOLITE
AB The lava flow simulation code LavaSIM has been developed to give accurate
predictions of volcanic disasters and to support evacuation plans. The code uses
three- dimensional analysis with free surface evaluation, including boundary
transport between the melt and the crust. It is therefore applicable to various
types of lava flows and flow behaviors such as flood basalts, subaqueous lava
flows, and levee formation. Heat transfer between the lava and the ground, air, and
water, and between the melt and crust of the flow is calculated by using
appropriate relations. The code has been verified by applying it to actual lava
flows, and the simulation results have been compared with observations of the Izu-
Osima flows of 1986. The lava flow rate, temperature, and properties were assigned
values based on data from existing literature. The comparisons demonstrated the
code's capability for prediction of inundated areas and maximum flow lengths. The
present code is expected to be useful for real- time prediction during eruptions,
in addition to assessing volcanic hazards and designing protection structures for
existing installations against possible future lava flows.
C1 Hitachi Ltd, Power & Ind Syst R&D Lab, Hitachi, Ibaraki 3191221, Japan.
Tohoku Univ, Ctr NE Asian Studies, Aoba Ku, Sendai, Miyagi 9808576, Japan.
Shizuoka Univ, Fac Sci, Shizuoka 4228529, Japan.
Natl Res Inst Earth Sci & Disaster Prevent, Solid Earth Res Grp, Tsukuba,
Ibaraki 3050006, Japan.
C3 Hitachi Limited; Tohoku University; Shizuoka University; National
Research Institute for Earth Science & Disaster Resilience
RP Hidaka, M (corresponding author), Hitachi Ltd, Power & Ind Syst R&D Lab, 7-2-1
Omika Cho, Hitachi, Ibaraki 3191221, Japan.
EM masataka_hidaka@pis.hitachi.co.jp
OI Goto, Akio/0000-0001-8398-7100
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NR 42
TC 60
Z9 61
U1 0
U2 5
PI WASHINGTON
EI 1525-2027
J9 GEOCHEM GEOPHY GEOSY
JI Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst.
PD JUL 20
PY 2005
VL 6
AR Q07008
DI 10.1029/2004GC000869
PG 26
WC Geochemistry & Geophysics
SC Geochemistry & Geophysics
GA 951FZ
UT WOS:000230916100001
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kyprioti, AP
Adeli, E
Taflanidis, AA
Westerink, JJ
Tolman, HL
AF Kyprioti, Aikaterini P.
Adeli, Ehsan
Taflanidis, Alexandros A.
Westerink, Joannes J.
Tolman, Hendrik L.
TI Probabilistic Storm Surge Estimation for Landfalling Hurricanes:
Advancements in Computational Efficiency Using Quasi-Monte Carlo
Techniques
SO JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING
LA English
DT Article
DE landfalling storms; probabilistic storm surge estimation; forecast
errors; quasi-Monte Carlo
ID PREDICTION
AB During landfalling tropical storms, predictions of the expected storm surge are
critical for guiding evacuation and emergency response/preparedness decisions, both
at regional and national levels. Forecast errors related to storm track, intensity,
and size impact these predictions and, thus, should be explicitly accounted for.
The Probabilistic tropical storm Surge (P-Surge) model is the established approach
from the National Weather Service (NWS) to achieve this objective. Historical
forecast errors are utilized to specify probability distribution functions for
different storm features, quantifying, ultimately, the uncertainty in the National
Hurricane Center advisories. Surge statistics are estimated by using the
predictions across a storm ensemble generated by sampling features from the
aforementioned probability distribution functions. P-Surge relies, currently, on a
full factorial sampling scheme to create this storm ensemble, combining
representative values for each of the storm features. This work investigates an
alternative formulation that can be viewed as a seamless extension to the current
NHC framework, adopting a quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) sampling implementation with
ultimate goal to reduce the computational burden and provide surge predictions with
the same degree of statistical reliability, while using a smaller number of sample
storms. The definition of forecast errors adopted here directly follows published
NWS practices, while different uncertainty levels are considered in the examined
case studies, in order to offer a comprehensive validation. This validation,
considering different historical storms, clearly demonstrates the advantages QMC
can offer.
C1 [Kyprioti, Aikaterini P.; Adeli, Ehsan; Taflanidis, Alexandros A.; Westerink,
Joannes J.] Univ Notre Dame, Dept Civil & Environm Engn & Earth Sci, Notre Dame, IN
46556 USA.
[Tolman, Hendrik L.] NOAA DOC, Off Sci & Technol Integrat, Natl Weather Serv,
Silver Spring, MD 20910 USA.
C3 University of Notre Dame; National Oceanic Atmospheric Admin (NOAA) -
USA
RP Taflanidis, AA (corresponding author), Univ Notre Dame, Dept Civil & Environm
Engn & Earth Sci, Notre Dame, IN 46556 USA.
EM akypriot@nd.edu; eadeli@nd.edu; a.taflanidis@nd.edu; jjw@nd.edu;
Hendrik.Tolman@NOAA.gov
RI Taflanidis, Alexandros/A-3393-2012
OI Taflanidis, Alexandros/0000-0002-9784-7480; Kyprioti, Aikaterini
(Katerina) P./0000-0002-2346-1307
FU National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
[NA19OAR0220089]
FX This research was funded by the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA), grant number NA19OAR0220089. The views and
opinions expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not
represent NOAA.
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TC 4
Z9 4
U1 0
U2 3
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2077-1312
J9 J MAR SCI ENG
JI J. Mar. Sci. Eng.
PD DEC
PY 2021
VL 9
IS 12
AR 1322
DI 10.3390/jmse9121322
PG 23
WC Engineering, Marine; Engineering, Ocean; Oceanography
SC Engineering; Oceanography
GA 3K7TI
UT WOS:000834277900001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Shi, XW
Yu, PB
Guo, ZX
Sun, ZL
Chen, FY
Wu, XG
Cheng, WL
Zeng, J
AF Shi, Xianwu
Yu, Pubing
Guo, Zhixing
Sun, Zhilin
Chen, Fuyuan
Wu, Xiuguang
Cheng, Wenlong
Zeng, Jian
TI Simulation of storm surge inundation under different typhoon intensity
scenarios: case study of Pingyang County, China
LA English
DT Article
ID COASTAL REGIONS; RISK-ASSESSMENT; MODEL
AB China is one of the countries that is most seriously affected by storm surges.
In recent years, storm surges in coastal areas of China have caused huge economic
losses and a large number of human casualties. Knowledge of the inundation range
and water depth of storm surges under different typhoon intensities could assist
predisaster risk assessment and making evacuation plans, as well as provide
decision support for responding to storm surges. Taking Pingyang County in Zhejiang
Province as a case study area, parameters including typhoon tracks, radius of
maximum wind speed, astronomical tide, and upstream flood runoff were determined
for different typhoon intensities. Numerical simulations were conducted using these
parameters to investigate the inundation range and water depth distribution of
storm surges in Pingyang County considering the impact of seawall collapse under
five different intensity scenarios (corresponding to minimum central pressure
values equal to 915, 925, 935, 945, and 965 hPa). The inundated area ranged from
103.51 to 233.16 km(2) for the most intense typhoon. The proposed method could be
easily adopted in various coastal counties and serves as an effective tool for
decision-making in storm surge disaster risk reduction practices.
C1 [Shi, Xianwu; Guo, Zhixing] Natl Marine Hazard Mitigat Serv, Beijing 100194,
Peoples R China.
[Shi, Xianwu; Sun, Zhilin; Chen, Fuyuan; Wu, Xiuguang; Cheng, Wenlong; Zeng,
Jian] Zhejiang Univ, Ocean Coll, Hangzhou 310058, Peoples R China.
[Yu, Pubing] Zhejiang Inst Hydraul & Estuary, Hangzhou 310020, Peoples R China.
[Shi, Xianwu] Hohai Univ, Key Lab Coastal Disaster & Protect, Minist Educ,
Nanjing 210098, Peoples R China.
C3 Zhejiang University; Hohai University
RP Zeng, J (corresponding author), Zhejiang Univ, Ocean Coll, Hangzhou 310058,
Peoples R China.
EM zengjian@zjwater.gov.cn
FU National Natural Science Foundation of China [41701596]; Open-end Fund
of the Key Laboratory of Coastal Disaster and Protection (Hohai
University) of the Ministry of Education [201909]
FX This research has been supported by the National Natural Science
Foundation of China (grant no. 41701596) and the Open-end Fund of the
Key Laboratory of Coastal Disaster and Protection (Hohai University) of
the Ministry of Education (grant no. 201909).
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NR 26
TC 9
Z9 10
U1 6
U2 27
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
EI 1684-9981
PD OCT 21
PY 2020
VL 20
IS 10
BP 2777
EP 2790
DI 10.5194/nhess-20-2777-2020
PG 14
Water Resources
GA OK1SP
UT WOS:000584432300001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Chau, KW
AF Chau, K. W.
TI A split-step particle swarm optimization algorithm in river stage
forecasting
LA English
DT Article
DE river stage; forecasting; sptit-step; particle swarm; optimization;
Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm; artificial neural networks
ID PREDICTION; NETWORKS; SYSTEM
AB An accurate forecast of river stage is very significant so that there is ample
time for the pertinent authority to issue a forewarning of the impending flood and
to implement early evacuation measures as required. Since a variety of existing
process-based hydrological models involve exogenous input and different
assumptions, artificial neural networks have the potential to be a cost-effective
solution. In this paper, a split-step particle swarm optimization (PSO) model is
developed and applied to train multi-layer perceptrons for forecasting real-time
water levels at Fo Tan in Shing Mun River of Hong Kong with different lead times on
the basis of the upstream gauging station (Tin Sum) or at Fo Tan. This paradigm is
able to combine the advantages of global search capability of PSO algorithm in the
first step and local fast convergence of Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm in the
second step. The results demonstrate that it is able to attain a higher accuracy in
a much shorter time when compared with the benchmarking backward propagation
algorithm as well as the standard PSO algorithm. (c) 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights
reserved.
China.
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NR 22
TC 97
Z9 97
U1 1
U2 14
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 0022-1694
EI 1879-2707
J9 J HYDROL
JI J. Hydrol.
PD NOV 30
PY 2007
VL 346
IS 3-4
BP 131
EP 135
DI 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.09.004
PG 5
GA 233VD
UT WOS:000251117500006
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Muller, M
Bieri, M
Martins, JR
Boillat, JL
Schleiss, AJ
AF Mueller, Michael
Bieri, Martin
Martins, Juliano Ribeiro
Boillat, Jean-Louis
Schleiss, Anton J.
TI Lavey Dam - Physical and numerical analysis of flow and sediment
transport in the Rhone River
LA French
DT Article
AB As several of other run-of:river hydropower plants, the hydraulic scheme of
Lavey on the Rhone River in Switzerland is concerned by continuous reservoir
sedimentation. To determine the flood evacuation capacity of the weir as well as
the flow distribution between the four entries of the water intake with and without
bed load, a 1 :40 physical scale mode was used. Water levels, flow pattern, flow
distribution, sediment deposition and flushing are measured continuously by non-
intrusive equipment. Hydraulic tests show that the central dam gate is the most
loaded and reveal the importance of three-dimensional phenomena in the curved river
reach. The discharge is distributed homogeneously between the four openings of the
intake. The test series with bed load allow reproducing the processes of sediment
transport in the Rhone River as well as the deposits measured in situ before a
flushing event. The prototype behaviour validates the results of physical
modelling, including flushing operation. The applied three-dimensional numerical
model (FLOW3D (R)) is a powerful complementary tool for generating approach flow
pattern and for pre-evaluation and comparison of design alternatives.
C1 [Mueller, Michael; Bieri, Martin; Martins, Juliano Ribeiro; Boillat, Jean-Louis;
Schleiss, Anton J.] Ecole Polytech Fed Lausanne, Lab Construct Hydraul, EPFL ENAC
IIC LCH, CH-1015 Lausanne, Switzerland.
C3 Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology Domain; Ecole Polytechnique
Federale de Lausanne
RP Muller, M (corresponding author), Ecole Polytech Fed Lausanne, Lab Construct
Hydraul, EPFL ENAC IIC LCH, Stn 18, CH-1015 Lausanne, Switzerland.
EM michael.mueller@epfl.ch; martin.bieri@epfl.ch; juliano.ribeiro@epfl.ch;
jean-louis.boillat@epfl.ch; anton.schleiss@epfl.ch
CR BIERI M, 2009, 33 IAHR 2009 C VANC
Kantoush SA, 2008, FLOW MEAS INSTRUM, V19, P139, DOI
10.1016/j.flowmeasinst.2007.09.005
Kantoush SA, 2008, INT J SEDIMENT RES, V23, P212, DOI 10.1016/S1001-
6279(08)60020-7
*LCH, 2008, BARR LAV ET EC TRANS
RIBEIRO JM, 2009, PHYS 3D NUMERICAL MO
TEKLEMARIAM E, 2002, CWRA 55 ANN C WINN C
NR 6
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 17
PU EDP SCIENCES S A
PI LES ULIS CEDEX A
FRANCE
SN 0018-6368
EI 1958-5551
J9 HOUILLE BLANCHE
PY 2010
IS 6
BP 60
EP 66
DI 10.1051/lhb/2010068
PG 7
WC Water Resources
SC Water Resources
GA 721EJ
UT WOS:000287336100007
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Mitchell, M
Hendricks, J
Schatt, D
AF Mitchell, Molly
Hendricks, Jessica
Schatt, Daniel
TI Road network analyses elucidate hidden road flooding impacts under
accelerating sea level rise
SO FRONTIERS IN ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE road flooding; sea level rise; network analysis; community impacts;
climate change
ID US EAST-COAST
AB Introduction: As sea level rises and coastal communities simultaneously grow,
road flooding has the potential to significantly disrupt travel along road networks
and make houses, businesses, and critical facilities difficult to reach. The
impacts of tidal and storm surge flooding on roadways present challenging social
and economic considerations for all coastal jurisdictions. Maintenance, public and
private accessibility, evacuation routes, emergency services are just a few of the
common themes local governments are beginning to address for low-lying roadways
currently known to flood. Continuation of these services allows a community to
thrive, to maintain or increase its tax base, and to ensure the safety and well-
being of its citizenry.Methods: A traditional approach to analyzing road flood
overlays flooding areas on roadways and focuses only on impacts within the actual
zone of inundation. However, road flooding can also cut-off access to non-flooded
roads and properties, closing the transportation corridor into or out of their
downstream dwelling/service areas and other areas that may be impacted. In this
study, we examined changing road inaccessibility under accelerating sea level rise
for urban and rural localities.Results: Inaccessibility of roads and properties
increased nearly twice as much as would be suggested by the length of flooded
roads. Overall vulnerability of a locality was primarily dependent on its
elevation; however, the redundancy of the road network appears to affect the rate
at which properties became inaccessible. Areas with complex and redundant road
networks-maintained access to coastal properties longer, suggesting increased
resilience in the near term.Discussion: Road inaccessibility will impact property
values and emergency response times but understanding the connection between
flooding areas and inaccessible properties allows prioritization of road upgrades,
improving overall coastal resilience.
C1 [Mitchell, Molly; Hendricks, Jessica; Schatt, Daniel] William & Mary, Virginia
Inst Marine Sci, Ctr Coastal Resources Management, Gloucester Point, VA 23062 USA.
C3 William & Mary; Virginia Institute of Marine Science
RP Mitchell, M (corresponding author), William & Mary, Virginia Inst Marine Sci,
Ctr Coastal Resources Management, Gloucester Point, VA 23062 USA.
EM molly@vims.edu
FU Virginia Coastal Zone Management Program at the Department of
Environmental Quality of the U.S. Department of Commerce, National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration [NA19NOS4190163, NA20NOS4190207]
FX This work was funded by the Virginia Coastal Zone Management Program at
the Department of Environmental Quality through Grant #NA19NOS4190163
and #NA20NOS4190207 of the U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration, under the Coastal Zone Management Act of
1972, as amended.
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U2 16
PI LAUSANNE
EI 2296-665X
J9 FRONT ENV SCI-SWITZ
JI Front. Environ. Sci.
PD MAR 1
PY 2023
VL 11
AR 1083282
DI 10.3389/fenvs.2023.1083282
PG 9
WC Environmental Sciences
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology
GA 9Y4BQ
UT WOS:000950404300001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Onuma, H
Shin, KJ
Managi, S
AF Onuma, Hiroki
Shin, Kong Joo
Managi, Shunsuke
TI Household preparedness for natural disasters: Impact of disaster
experience and implications for future disaster risks in Japan
LA English
DT Article
DE Natural disaster; Household preparedness; Emergency supplies; Disaster
experience
ID FLOOD RISK; EARTHQUAKE PREPARATION; HAZARD; PERCEPTION; ADJUSTMENT;
PREDICTORS; HOMEOWNERS; APPEALS; PEOPLE; THREAT
AB This paper analyzes the impact of disaster experience on household preparation
of emergency supplies for natural disasters using originally collected Japanese
data from 2013. The data cover more than 20,000 households from all parts Japan and
include areas with recent disaster experiences as well as areas with low disaster
risks. We generate indices for three categories of preparedness using data on
household preparation of nine emergency items: Basic Preparedness (BP), Energy/Heat
Preparedness (EHP), and Evacuation Preparedness (EP). We use regression analyses to
measure the effect of disaster experiences on the preparation of categories of
emergency supplies. The results show that experience with disaster damage increases
preparedness, but the magnitude of the impact varies among the item categories.
Additionally, evacuation experience has a positive impact on the preparation of
items from the BP and EP categories. Moreover, the people who experienced damage
from the Great East Japan Earthquake (GEJE) in 2011 are relatively more prepared,
but evacuation experience in the GEJE does not have a significant impact on
preparedness. Furthermore, we find that some regions with higher future risk of
large-scale earthquakes are less prepared compared to other regions. This result
suggests the importance of policy makers' efforts to raise awareness of disaster
risks and to combat insufficient preparedness to reduce future disaster damages.
C1 [Onuma, Hiroki] Kyushu Univ, Grad Sch Engn, Fukuoka, Japan.
[Shin, Kong Joo; Managi, Shunsuke] Kyushu Univ, Sch Engn, Urban Inst, Fukuoka,
Japan.
[Shin, Kong Joo; Managi, Shunsuke] Kyushu Univ, Sch Engn, Dept Urban & Environm
Engn, Fukuoka, Japan.
C3 Kyushu University; Kyushu University; Kyushu University
RP Shin, KJ (corresponding author), Kyushu Univ, Sch Engn, Urban Inst, Fukuoka,
Japan.; Shin, KJ (corresponding author), Kyushu Univ, Sch Engn, Dept Urban &
Environm Engn, Fukuoka, Japan.
EM kjshin@doc.kyushu-u.ac.jp
RI Managi, Shunsuke/G-1740-2013; Onuma, Hiroki/B-5857-2018
OI Managi, Shunsuke/0000-0001-7883-1427; Onuma, Hiroki/0000-0001-8143-2734
FU Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology in Japan
(MEXT) [26000001]; Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research [26000001]
Funding Source: KAKEN
FX This work was supported by the following Grant in Aid from the Ministry
of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology in Japan (MEXT):
Grant in Aid for Specially Promoted Research 26000001. Any opinions,
findings, and conclusions expressed in this material are those of the
authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the MEXT.
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NR 47
TC 72
Z9 73
U1 7
U2 61
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD MAR
PY 2017
VL 21
BP 148
EP 158
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2016.11.004
PG 11
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA EX8XI
UT WOS:000403533100014
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Kopp, JB
Ball, LK
Cohen, A
Kenney, RJ
Lempert, KD
Miller, PE
Muntner, P
Qureshi, N
Yelton, SA
AF Kopp, Jeffrey B.
Ball, Lynda K.
Cohen, Andrew
Kenney, Robert J.
Lempert, Kenneth D.
Miller, Paul E.
Muntner, Paul
Qureshi, Nauman
Yelton, Sarah A.
TI Kidney patient care in disasters: Emergency planning for patients and
dialysis facilities
SO CLINICAL JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN SOCIETY OF NEPHROLOGY
LA English
DT Article
AB The catastrophic 2005 hurricane season alerted Americans to the need for a more
effective response to mass casualty incidents. To address the needs of the
nephrology community, the Kidney Community Emergency Response Coalition (KCERC) was
formed, with representatives from more than 50 governmental agencies and private
organizations. After completing phase 1 of its work, the KCERC issued
recommendations for patients, dialysis units, and providers. During phase 2, the
KCERC will promote implementation of those recommendations. During a disaster, the
KCERC will host a daily conference call on which dialysis facilities, the End-Stage
Renal Disease Networks, and emergency response officials will coordinate disaster
response. Predisaster preparation for kidney patients should stress identification
of alternative dialysis facilities, education about the renal emergency diet, and
plans for early evacuation from the disaster area and for evacuating with medical
documents and medications. Dialysis facilities are required to have a disaster
plan; regular revision and rehearsal are essential. Critical issues for dialysis
facilities include identification of partner facilities, a robust communications
plan that takes into account the limitations of telephones and broadband access,
staff shortages in the face of a possible influx of new patients, the delivery of
service in the face of compromised utilities (water, power), and the recovery of a
dialysis facility that experiences flooding or structural damage. A timeline to
safety for dialysis patients can be visualized; if specific tasks are accomplished
at each disaster stage, then it is likely that the health of these vulnerable
patients can be protected.
C1 NIDDK, Kidney Dis Sect, NIH, Dept Hlth & Human Serv, Bethesda, MD 20892 USA.
NW Renal Network, ESRD Network 16, Seattle, WA USA.
Ochsner Clin & Alton Ochsner Med Fdn, Dept Nephrol, New Orleans, LA USA.
Renal Associates Baton Rouge, Baton Rouge, LA USA.
Nephrol Consultants NW Ohio, Toledo, OH USA.
Miller Dialysis Acadiana Reg, Ville Platte, LA USA.
Tulane Univ, Dept Epidemiol, New Orleans, LA 70118 USA.
Univ Alabama, Huntsville, AL 35899 USA.
Heartland Kidney Network, ESRD Network 12, Kansas City, MO USA.
C3 National Institutes of Health (NIH) - USA; NIH National Institute of
Diabetes & Digestive & Kidney Diseases (NIDDK); Ochsner Health System;
Tulane University; University of Alabama System; University of Alabama
Huntsville
RP Kopp, JB (corresponding author), NIDDK, Kidney Dis Sect, NIH, Dept Hlth & Human
Serv, 10 Ctr Dr, Bethesda, MD 20892 USA.
EM jbkopp@nih.gov
RI Kopp, Jeffrey B/O-2681-2015
OI Kopp, Jeffrey B/0000-0001-9052-186X
CR *AM RED CROSS, SAF WELL LIST
*CDC, REC PREV TRANSM INF
*CDC, TECH CONS BRING HEM
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), INF CONTR GUID COMM
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*FED EM MAN AG, PLAN AH
*HLTH HUM SERV CTR, END STAG REN DIS CON, P1
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Kidney Community Emergency Response Coalition, 2006, FIN REP 8 RESP GROUP
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1994, DISASTER PREPAREDNES
NR 17
TC 42
Z9 42
U1 0
U2 9
PU AMERICAN SOCIETY NEPHROLOGY
PI WASHINGTON
PA 1725 I ST, NW STE 510, WASHINGTON, DC 20006 USA
SN 1555-905X
J9 CLIN J AM SOC NEPHRO
JI Clin. J. Am. Soc. Nephrol.
PD JUL
PY 2007
VL 2
IS 4
BP 825
EP 838
DI 10.2215/CJN.01220307
PG 14
WC Urology & Nephrology
SC Urology & Nephrology
GA 184AE
UT WOS:000247612700029
PM 17699500
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Gaskin, CJ
Taylor, D
Kinnear, S
Mann, J
Hillman, W
Moran, M
AF Gaskin, Cadeyrn J.
Taylor, Davina
Kinnear, Susan
Mann, Julie
Hillman, Wendy
Moran, Monica
TI Factors Associated with the Climate Change Vulnerability and the
Adaptive Capacity of People with Disability: A Systematic Review
SO WEATHER CLIMATE AND SOCIETY
LA English
DT Article
DE Social Science; Climate change
ID TIME WHEELCHAIR USERS; EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS; DISASTER; HEAT; RISK;
THERMOREGULATION; INDIVIDUALS; MANAGEMENT; RESPONSES; CHILDREN
AB People with disability experience multidimensional inequalities, which heighten
their vulnerability to climate change. An understanding of the vulnerability and
adaptive capacity of people with disability can be gained through considering how
they have fared during the types of events associated with climate change, such as
droughts, floods, heat waves, hurricanes, and wildfires. A systematic review was
conducted to identify factors associated with climate change vulnerability and
adaptive capacity of people with disability. Papers were sourced from 12 electronic
databases, the Google search engine, the websites of 21 organizations, and the
reference lists of included papers; 34 papers (relating to 28 studies) met the
selection criteria. Most studies were located in the United States, and almost half
were focused on hurricane events. Factors contributing to vulnerability included
personal factors (e.g., female gender, uncoupled or living alone, nonwhite
ethnicity, and low income), environmental factors (commonly, limited practical
support from government agencies and disability organizations), bodily impairments
(cognitive impairments, hearing impairments, progression of impairments,
relapse/exacerbation of symptoms, and thermoregulation difficulties), and activity
limitations and participation restrictions (limited preparedness, difficulties with
evacuation, and difficulties reassembling individual accommodations and repairing
or replacing adaptive equipment). Factors relating to their adaptive capacity
included personal factors (e.g., formal education), environmental factors
(practical support from mainstream organizations, disability organizations, family,
and friends), and activities and participation (emergency planning, keeping an
emergency pack, and seeking information). People with disability are vulnerable to
climate change largely due to inequalities and their exclusion from adaptation and
mitigation efforts.
C1 [Gaskin, Cadeyrn J.] Gaskin Res, Melbourne, Vic, Australia.
[Taylor, Davina; Moran, Monica] CQUniversity, Sch Human Hlth & Social Sci,
Rockhampton, Qld, Australia.
[Kinnear, Susan] CQUniversity, Div Res, Rockhampton, Qld, Australia.
[Mann, Julie] CQUniversity, Inclus & Accessibility Serv, Rockhampton, Qld,
Australia.
[Hillman, Wendy] CQUniversity, Sch Nursing & Midwifery, Rockhampton, Qld,
Australia.
C3 Central Queensland University; Central Queensland University; Central
Queensland University; Central Queensland University
RP Taylor, D (corresponding author), CQUniversity, Sch Human Hlth & Social Sci,
Rockhampton, Qld, Australia.
EM d.taylor@cqu.edu.au
RI Moran, Monica C M/F-2179-2010
OI Gaskin, Cadeyrn/0000-0001-5240-4320; Moran, Monica
Catherine/0000-0002-0353-6244
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NR 64
TC 30
Z9 30
U1 9
U2 48
PU AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC
PI BOSTON
PA 45 BEACON ST, BOSTON, MA 02108-3693, UNITED STATES
SN 1948-8327
EI 1948-8335
J9 WEATHER CLIM SOC
JI Weather Clim. Soc.
PD OCT
PY 2017
VL 9
IS 4
BP 801
EP 814
DI 10.1175/WCAS-D-16-0126.1
PG 14
WC Environmental Studies; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
(SSCI)
GA FK9PC
UT WOS:000413842300001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Amininia, K
Saghebian, SM
AF Amininia, Karim
Saghebian, Seyed Mahdi
TI Uncertainty analysis of monthly river flow modeling in consecutive
hydrometric stations using integrated data-driven models
SO JOURNAL OF HYDROINFORMATICS
LA English
DT Article
DE consecutive stations; EMD; KELM; pre-processing; river discharge
ID EXTREME LEARNING-MACHINE; PREDICTION; DECOMPOSITION; RUNOFF; REGRESSION;
NETWORKS; TREES
AB The flow assessment in a river is of vital interest in hydraulic engineering for
flood warning and evacuation measures. To operate water structures more ef?ciently,
models that forecast river discharge are desired to be of high precision and
certain degree of accuracy. Therefore, in this study, two artificial intelligence
models, namely kernel extreme learning machine (KELM) and multivariate adaptive
regression splines (MARS), were applied for the monthly river flow (MRF) modeling.
For this aim, Mississippi river with three consecutive hydrometric stations was
selected as case study. Using the previous MRF values during the period of 1950-
2019, several models were developed and tested under two scenarios (i.e. modeling
based on station's own data or previous station's data). Wavelet transform (WT) and
ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) as data processing approaches were
used for enhancing modeling capability. Obtained results indicated that the
integrated models resulted in more accurate outcomes. Data processing enhanced the
model's capability up to 25%. It was observed that the previous station's data
could be applied successfully for MRF modeling when the station's own data were not
available. The best-applied model dependability was assessed via uncertainty
analysis, and an allowable degree of uncertainty was found in MRF modeling.
C1 [Amininia, Karim] Islamic Azad Univ, Ahar Branch, Dept Geog, Ahar, Iran.
[Saghebian, Seyed Mahdi] Islamic Azad Univ, Ahar Branch, Dept Civil Engn, Ahar,
Iran.
C3 Islamic Azad University; Islamic Azad University
RP Amininia, K (corresponding author), Islamic Azad Univ, Ahar Branch, Dept Geog,
Ahar, Iran.
EM k-amininia@iau-ahar.ac.ir
RI Saghebian, Seyed Mahdi/AAN-9046-2021
OI Saghebian, Seyed Mahdi/0000-0002-6699-0831
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NR 43
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 1
U2 13
PU IWA PUBLISHING
PI LONDON
PA ALLIANCE HOUSE, 12 CAXTON ST, LONDON SW1H0QS, ENGLAND
SN 1464-7141
EI 1465-1734
J9 J HYDROINFORM
JI J. Hydroinform.
PD JUL
PY 2021
VL 23
IS 4
BP 897
EP 913
DI 10.2166/hydro.2021.142
PG 17
WC Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications; Engineering, Civil;
Environmental Sciences; Water Resources
SC Computer Science; Engineering; Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Water
Resources
GA TI1IZ
UT WOS:000672537400013
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Orpin, AR
Rickard, GJ
Gerring, PK
Lamarche, G
AF Orpin, Alan R.
Rickard, Graham J.
Gerring, Peter K.
Lamarche, Geoffroy
TI Tsunami hazard potential for the equatorial southwestern Pacific atolls
of Tokelau from scenario-based simulations
LA English
DT Article
ID FAR-FIELD SIMULATION; INDIAN-OCEAN; EARTHQUAKE; ISLANDS; KAMCHATKA;
VANUATU; RUPTURE; REEF; PROPAGATION; MAGNITUDE
AB Devastating tsunami over the last decade have significantly heightened awareness
of the potential consequences and vulnerability of low-lying Pacific islands and
coastal regions. Our appraisal of the potential tsunami hazard for the atolls of
the Tokelau Islands is based on a tsunami source-propagation-inundation model using
Gerris Flow Solver, adapted from the companion study by Lamarche et al. (2015) for
the islands of Wallis and Futuna. We assess whether there is potential for tsunami
flooding on any of the village islets from a selection of 14 earthquake-source
experiments. These earthquake sources are primarily based on the largest Pacific
earthquakes of M-w >= 8.1 since 1950 and other large credible sources of tsunami
that may impact Tokelau. Earthquake-source location and moment magnitude are
related to tsunami-wave amplitudes and tsunami flood depths simulated for each of
the three atolls of Tokelau. This approach yields instructive results for a
community advisory but is not intended to be fully deterministic. Rather, the
underlying aim is to identify credible sources that present the greatest potential
to trigger an emergency response.
Results from our modelling show that wave fields are channelled by the
bathymetry of the Pacific basin in such a way that the swathes of the highest waves
sweep immediately northeast of the Tokelau Islands. Our limited simulations suggest
that trans-Pacific tsunami from distant earthquake sources to the north of Tokelau
pose the most significant inundation threat. In particular, our assumed worst-case
scenario for the Kuril Trench generated maximum modelled-wave amplitudes in excess
of 1 m, which may last a few hours and include several wave trains. Other sources
can impact specific sectors of the atolls, particularly distant earthquakes from
Chile and Peru, and regional earthquake sources to the south. Flooding is dependent
on the wave orientation and direct alignment to the incoming tsunami.
Our "worst-case" tsunami simulations of the Tokelau Islands suggest that dry
areas remain around the villages, which are typically built on a high islet.
Consistent with the oral history of little or no perceived tsunami threat,
simulations from the recent Tohoku and Chile earthquake sources suggest only
limited flooding around low-lying islets of the atoll. Where potential tsunami
flooding is inferred from the modelling, recommended minimum evacuation heights
above local sea level are compiled, with particular attention paid to variations in
tsunami flood depth around the atolls, subdivided into directional quadrants around
each atoll. However, complex wave behaviours around the atolls, islets, tidal
channels and within the lagoons are also observed in our simulations. Wave
amplitudes within the lagoons may exceed 50 cm, increasing any inundation and
potential hazards on the inner shoreline of the atolls, which in turn may influence
evacuation strategies. Our study shows that indicative simulation studies can be
achieved even with only basic field information. In part, this is due to the
spatially and vertically limited topography of the atoll, short reef flat and steep
seaward bathymetry, and the simple depth profile of the lagoon bathymetry.
C1 [Orpin, Alan R.; Rickard, Graham J.; Gerring, Peter K.; Lamarche, Geoffroy] Natl
Inst Water & Atmospher Res NIWA, Private Bag 14-901, Wellington, New Zealand.
C3 National Institute of Water & Atmospheric Research (NIWA) - New Zealand
RP Orpin, AR (corresponding author), Natl Inst Water & Atmospher Res NIWA, Private
Bag 14-901, Wellington, New Zealand.
EM alan.orpin@niwa.co.nz
RI Lamarche, Geoffroy/C-5777-2008
OI Lamarche, Geoffroy/0000-0003-1933-8258; Orpin, Alan/0000-0003-2054-7081;
rickard, graham/0000-0002-0169-4361
FU NIWA; Marine Physical Resources Programme within NIWA's Coasts and Ocean
Centre; Pacific Rim Centre
FX This tsunami hazard assessment was originally commissioned by the
government of Tokelau in collaboration with the New Zealand government's
Ministry for Civil Defence and Emergency Management (MCDEM). NIWA
acknowledges their support for this study. The Geospatial Intelligence
Organisation of the New Zealand Defence Force, and the New Zealand
Hydrographic Authority of Land Information New Zealand kindly provided
some bathymetric and topographic data. The authors offer special thanks
to Stephane Popinet for his ongoing development of Gerris Flow Solver
and insights into the modelling challenges. Thanks also to Emily Lane
for her constructive internal review, and Barb Hayden and Doug Ramsey
for their backing. This study was supported by the Marine Physical
Resources Programme within NIWA's Coasts and Ocean Centre, and the
Pacific Rim Centre. Two anonymous referees and the guest editor are
thanked for their constructive comments and patience.
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NR 61
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 0
U2 6
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
EI 1684-9981
PY 2016
VL 16
IS 5
BP 1239
EP 1257
DI 10.5194/nhess-16-1239-2016
PG 19
Water Resources
GA DP0VD
UT WOS:000378207200014
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Secor, DH
Bailey, H
Carroll, A
Lyubchich, V
O'Brien, MHP
Wiernicki, CJ
AF Secor, D. H.
Bailey, H.
Carroll, A.
Lyubchich, V
O'Brien, M. H. P.
Wiernicki, C. J.
TI Diurnal vertical movements in black sea bass (Centropristis striata):
Endogenous, facultative, or something else?
SO ECOSPHERE
LA English
DT Article
DE biotelemetry; black sea bass; Cold Pool; diel movement; diel vertical
migration; hurricanes; movement ecology; offshore wind energy; reef fish
ID MID-ATLANTIC BIGHT; ACUTE HEAT-STRESS; SEASONAL MOVEMENTS; SAND BASS;
DIEL; REEF; MIGRATION; BEHAVIOR; FISH; RESPONSES
AB Fishes commonly exhibit diel rhythms in movements with consequences to feeding,
reproduction, predator evasion, and resting. Such behaviors are conceived as
plastic, persisting for phases (days to weeks), and then becoming disrupted,
masked, and altered by changed environmental or ecological conditions. In
telemetered black sea bass Centropristis striata (family Serranidae), we documented
a remarkable 4-month record of persistent diurnal vertical movements. Within the
U.S. Mid-Atlantic Bight June-October 2019 setting, biotelemetry data of 31 fish
were examined through time series analysis and generalized additive modeling. Sun
altitude played a dominant role throughout the series, where movements were
diurnal. Thermal conditions were uniform until a September hurricane caused a 10
degrees C rise in inhabited waters within the span of six hours, the result of
water column mixing. This and other storms caused short-term disruptions (<2 d) to
diel rhythmicity. Daytime vessel traffic, but not dolphin presence, caused <= 1 h
refuge-seeking excursions. The discovery of pelagic behaviors (up to 15 m off the
seabed) requires revision to the species' natural history, which was previously
conceived as exclusively demersal. Spring-autumn movement functions included reef
recruitment and evacuation, courtship and spawning, and seasonal changes in feeding
ecology and predator fields. Throughout these phases, the cycle of daytime movement
and nighttime inactivity persisted. We hypothesize that during the nocturnal period
these visual specialists become immobile and thus evade predation and mobilize
energy toward growth, reproduction, and storage. Because this function does not
change from spring through autumn, we speculate that nocturnal quiescence serves as
the proximate control for the diurnal activity cycle.
C1 [Secor, D. H.; Bailey, H.; Carroll, A.; Lyubchich, V; O'Brien, M. H. P.;
Wiernicki, C. J.] Univ Maryland, Ctr Environm Sci, Chesapeake Biol Lab, Solomons,
MD 20688 USA.
C3 University System of Maryland; University of Maryland Center for
Environmental Science
RP Secor, DH (corresponding author), Univ Maryland, Ctr Environm Sci, Chesapeake
Biol Lab, Solomons, MD 20688 USA.
EM secor@umces.edu
RI Lyubchich, Vyacheslav/M-9516-2016; O'Brien, Michael HP/ABF-9080-2021;
Secor, David H./D-4367-2012; Bailey, Helen/E-6813-2012
OI Lyubchich, Vyacheslav/0000-0001-7936-4285; O'Brien, Michael
HP/0000-0003-1420-6395; Secor, David H./0000-0001-6007-4827; Carroll,
Alexandra/0000-0001-5488-1411; Bailey, Helen/0000-0001-7445-4687
FU Maryland Department of Natural Resources; Maryland Energy Administration
[14-18-2415 MEA]; Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency ("Persistent
Aquatic Living Sensors Program")
FX We gratefully acknowledge support from the Maryland Department of
Natural Resources and the Maryland Energy Administration (Grant
Administrator Ms. Catherine McCall; Grant ID Number 14-18-2415 MEA).
Some of this work was also sponsored by the Defense Advanced Research
Projects Agency ("Persistent Aquatic Living Sensors Program"). The
content of information does not necessarily reflect the position or
policy of the U.S. Government, and no official endorsement should be
inferred. Cpt. Dan Stauffer and the crew of the F/V Fin Chaser assisted
in catching and tagging black sea bass, and deploying and retrieving
acoustic receivers.
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NR 70
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 1
U2 7
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 2150-8925
J9 ECOSPHERE
JI Ecosphere
PD JUN
PY 2021
VL 12
IS 6
AR e03616
DI 10.1002/ecs2.3616
PG 16
WC Ecology
GA TB1ML
UT WOS:000667707100025
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Igarashi, Y
Tagami, T
Hagiwara, J
Kanaya, T
Kido, N
Omura, M
Tosa, R
Yokota, H
AF Igarashi, Yutaka
Tagami, Takashi
Hagiwara, Jun
Kanaya, Takahiro
Kido, Norihiro
Omura, Mariko
Tosa, Ryoichi
Yokota, Hiroyuki
TI Long-term outcomes of patients evacuated from hospitals near the
Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant after the Great East Japan
Earthquake
SO PLOS ONE
LA English
DT Article
ID HURRICANE-KATRINA; DISASTER RESPONSE; TRAUMA CENTER; LESSONS; CARE;
EMERGENCY; ACCIDENT
AB Introduction
After the accident of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant due to the Great
East Japan Earthquake in March 2011, the Japanese government issued a mandatory
evacuation order for people living within a 20 km radius of the nuclear power
plant. The aim of the current study was to investigate long-term outcomes of these
patients and identify factors related to mortality.
Materials and methods
Patients who were evacuated from hospitals near the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear
power plant to the Aizu Chuo Hospital from 15 to 26 March, 2011 were included in
this study. The following data were collected from medical records: age, sex,
activities of daily life, hospital they were admitted in at the time of earthquake,
distance between the facility and the nuclear power plant, reasons of evacuation
and number of transfers. The patient outcomes were collected from medical records
and/or investigated on the telephone in January 2012.
Results
A total of 97 patients (28 men and 69 women) were transferred from 10 hospitals
via ambulances or buses. No patients died or experienced exacerbation during
transfer. Median age of the patients was 86 years. Of the total, 36 patients were
not able to obey commands, 44 were bed-ridden and 61 were unable to sustain
themselves via oral intake of food. Among 86 patients who were followed-up, 41
(48%) died at the end of 2011. Multiple-regression analysis showed that non-oral
intake [Hazard Ratio (HR): 6.07, 95% Confidence interval (CI): 1.94 +/- 19.0] and
male sex [HR: 8.35, 95% CI: 2.14 +/- 32.5] had significant impact on mortality.
Conclusion
This study found that 48% of the evacuated patients died 9 months after the
earthquake and they had significantly higher mortality rate than the nursing home
residents. Non-oral intake and male sex had significant impact on mortality. These
patients should be considered as especially vulnerable in case of hospital
evacuation.
C1 [Igarashi, Yutaka; Hagiwara, Jun; Kanaya, Takahiro; Yokota, Hiroyuki] Nippon Med
Coll Hosp, Dept Emergency & Crit Care Med, Tokyo, Japan.
[Tagami, Takashi] Duke NUS Med Sch, Hlth Serv & Syst Res, Singapore, Singapore.
[Tagami, Takashi] Nippon Med Sch, Tama Nagayama Hosp, Dept Emergency & Crit Care
Med, Tokyo, Japan.
[Kido, Norihiro] Nippon Med Sch, Musashi Kosugi Hosp, Dept Emergency & Crit Care
Med, Kawasaki, Kanagawa, Japan.
[Omura, Mariko; Tosa, Ryoichi] Aizu Chuo Hosp, Dept Emergency & Crit Care Med,
Fukushima, Japan.
[Igarashi, Yutaka] Nippon Med Coll Hosp, Dept Emergency & Crit Care Med, Bunkyo
Ku, 1-1-5 Sendagi, Tokyo, Japan.
C3 Nippon Medical School; National University of Singapore; Nippon Medical
School; Nippon Medical School; Nippon Medical School
RP Igarashi, Y (corresponding author), Nippon Med Coll Hosp, Dept Emergency & Crit
Care Med, Tokyo, Japan.; Igarashi, Y (corresponding author), Nippon Med Coll Hosp,
Dept Emergency & Crit Care Med, Bunkyo Ku, 1-1-5 Sendagi, Tokyo, Japan.
RI Tagami, Takashi/HGA-3038-2022
OI Tagami, Takashi/0000-0001-6953-1932
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NR 39
TC 10
Z9 10
U1 0
U2 10
PU PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE
PI SAN FRANCISCO
PA 1160 BATTERY STREET, STE 100, SAN FRANCISCO, CA 94111 USA
SN 1932-6203
J9 PLOS ONE
JI PLoS One
PD APR 17
PY 2018
VL 13
IS 4
AR e0195684
DI 10.1371/journal.pone.0195684
PG 12
(SSCI)
GA GD1LV
UT WOS:000430262300027
PM 29664960
OA gold, Green Submitted, Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Jitt-Aer, K
Wall, G
Jones, D
Teeuw, R
AF Jitt-Aer, Kiatkulchai
Wall, Graham
Jones, Dylan
Teeuw, Richard
TI Use of GIS and dasymetric mapping for estimating tsunami-affected
population to facilitate humanitarian relief logistics: a case study
from Phuket, Thailand
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Article
DE Tsunami inundation; Geographical information system (GIS); Population
estimation; Areal interpolation; Dasymetric mapping; Humanitarian
logistics
ID PYCNOPHYLACTIC INTERPOLATION; RISK-ASSESSMENT; AERIAL; MODEL
AB The 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami led to improvements in Thailand's early warning
systems and evacuation procedures. However, there was no consideration of better
aid delivery, which critically depends on estimates of the affected population.
With the widespread use of geographical information systems (GIS), there has been
renewed interest in spatial population estimation. This study has developed an
application to determine the number of disaster-impacted people in a given
district, by integrating GIS and population estimation algorithms, to facilitate
humanitarian relief logistics. A multi-stage spatial interpolation is used for
estimating the affected populations using ArcGIS software. We present a dasymetric
mapping approach using a population-weighted technique coupled with remote sensing
data. The results in each target area show the coordinates of each shelter location
for evacuees, with the minimum and maximum numbers of people affected by the
tsunami inundation. This innovative tool produces not only numerical solutions for
decision makers, but also a variety of maps that improve visualisation of disaster
severity across neighbourhoods. A case study in Patong, a town of Phuket,
illustrates the application of this GIS-based approach. The outcomes can be used as
key decision-making factors in planning and managing humanitarian relief logistics
in the preparedness and response phases to improve performance with future tsunami
occurrences, or with other types of flood disaster.
C1 [Wall, Graham; Jones, Dylan] Univ Portsmouth, Sch Math & Phys, Portsmouth,
Hants, England.
[Jitt-Aer, Kiatkulchai] Navaminda Kasatriyadhiraj Royal Air Force Acad, Bangkok,
Thailand.
[Teeuw, Richard] Univ Portsmouth, Sch Environm Geog & Geosci, Portsmouth, Hants,
England.
C3 University of Portsmouth; University of Portsmouth
RP Wall, G (corresponding author), Univ Portsmouth, Sch Math & Phys, Portsmouth,
Hants, England.
EM kiatkulchai@rtaf.mi.th; graham.wall@port.ac.uk; dylan.jones@port.ac.uk;
richard.teeuw@port.ac.uk
OI Jones, Dylan Francis/0000-0002-9101-746X; Teeuw,
Richard/0000-0003-4014-5362; Wall, Graham/0000-0002-9796-226X
FU Royal Thai Air Force
FX We would like to thank the Royal Thai Air Force for the funding they
provided to Kiatkulchai JittAer so he could complete this research as
part of his PhD.
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NR 58
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 3
U2 7
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD AUG
PY 2022
VL 113
IS 1
BP 185
EP 211
DI 10.1007/s11069-022-05295-x
EA MAR 2022
PG 27
Water Resources
GA 3I8NA
UT WOS:000766436800003
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Badoux, A
Graf, C
Rhyner, J
Kuntner, R
McArdell, BW
AF Badoux, Alexandre
Graf, Christoph
Rhyner, Jakob
Kuntner, Richard
McArdell, Brian W.
TI A debris-flow alarm system for the Alpine Illgraben catchment: design
and performance
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Article
DE Alarm system; Debris-flow detection; Debris-flow observation; Rainfall
intensity-duration threshold; Hazard awareness; Swiss Alps
ID RAINFALL INTENSITY; SHALLOW LANDSLIDES; DURATION CONTROL; THRESHOLDS;
INITIATION; DOLOMITES
AB We describe the development, implementation, and first analyses of the
performance of a debris-flow warning system for the Illgraben catchment and debris
fan area. The Illgraben catchment (9.5 km(2)), located in the Canton of Valais,
Switzerland, in the Rhone River valley, is characterized by frequent and voluminous
sediment transport and debris-flow activity, and is one of the most active debris-
flow catchments in the Alps. It is the site of an instrumented debris-flow
observation station in operation since the year 2000. The residents in Susten
(municipality Leuk), tourists, and other land users, are exposed to a significant
hazard. The warning system consists of four modules: community organizational
planning (hazard awareness and preparedness), event detection and alerting,
geomorphic catchment observation, and applied research to facilitate the
development of an early warning system based on weather forecasting. The system
presently provides automated alert signals near the active channel prior to (5-15
min) the arrival of a debris flow or flash flood at the uppermost frequently used
channel crossing. It is intended to provide data to support decision-making for
warning and evacuation, especially when unusually large debris flows are expected
to leave the channel near populated areas. First-year results of the detection and
alert module in comparison with the data from the independent debris-flow
observation station are generally favorable. Twenty automated alerts (alarms) were
issued, which triggered flashing lights and sirens at all major footpaths crossing
the channel bed, for three debris flows and 16 flood flows. Only one false alarm
was issued. The major difficulty we encountered is related to the variability and
complexity of the events (e.g., events consisting of multiple surges) and can be
largely solved by increasing the duration of the alarm. All of the alarms for
hazardous events were produced by storms with a rainfall duration and intensity
larger than the threshold for debris-flow activity that was defined in an earlier
study, supporting our intention to investigate the use of rainfall forecasts to
increase the time available for warning and implementation of active
countermeasures.
C1 [Badoux, Alexandre; Graf, Christoph; McArdell, Brian W.] WSL, Swiss Fed Inst
Forest Snow & Landscape Res, CH-8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland.
[Rhyner, Jakob] WSL, Inst Snow & Avalanche Res SLF, Davos, Switzerland.
[Kuntner, Richard] Teysseire & Candolfi AG, Visp, Switzerland.
C3 Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology Domain; Swiss Federal Institute
for Forest, Snow & Landscape Research; Swiss Federal Institutes of
Technology Domain; Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow & Landscape
Research
RP Badoux, A (corresponding author), WSL, Swiss Fed Inst Forest Snow & Landscape
Res, Zurcherstr 111, CH-8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland.
EM badoux@wsl.ch
RI Badoux, Alexandre/B-9959-2008; Rhyner, Jakob/AAH-8787-2021
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NR 52
TC 107
Z9 110
U1 3
U2 48
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD JUN
PY 2009
VL 49
IS 3
BP 517
EP 539
DI 10.1007/s11069-008-9303-x
PG 23
Water Resources
GA 442FM
UT WOS:000265826000007
OA Green Accepted, Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Jagnoor, J
Rahman, A
Cullen, P
Chowdhury, FK
Lukaszyk, C
ul Baset, K
Ivers, R
AF Jagnoor, Jagnoor
Rahman, Aminur
Cullen, Patricia
Chowdhury, Fazlul Kader
Lukaszyk, Caroline
ul Baset, Kamran
Ivers, Rebecca
TI Exploring the impact, response and preparedness to water-related natural
disasters in the Barisal division of Bangladesh: a mixed methods study
SO BMJ OPEN
LA English
DT Article
ID CLIMATE-CHANGE; FLOOD; HEALTH; RISK
AB Objectives To investigate the impact of natural disasters on communities in the
Barisal division of Bangladesh, exploring community approaches to disaster
preparedness and mitigation.
Setting Communities in all districts of the Barisal division of Bangladesh.
Participants Quantitative data were collected through a cross-sectional
household survey (n=9263 households; n=38 981 individuals). Qualitative data were
collected through in-depth interviews (n=7) and focus group discussions (n=23) with
key informants.
Outcome measures Quantitative research recorded features of natural disaster
events from the previous 5 years, documenting risk factors that increase
vulnerability to disaster, use of disaster warning systems and evacuation
processes. Qualitative research investigated disaster risk perceptions, experiences
during and following disaster, and disaster preparedness practices.
Results The survey response rate was 94.7%. Exposure to disaster in the last 5
years was high (82%) with flooding and cyclones considered the greatest threats.
Awareness of evacuation processes was low; and only 19% of respondents evacuated
their homes at the time of disaster. Drowning during disaster was the primary
concern (87%), followed by debt, livestock and crop loss (78%). The qualitative
findings indicated prevailing fatalistic perceptions towards natural disasters
among community. The consequences of disasters included significant loss of
livelihoods and exposure to infections due to poor sanitation. There was also
insufficient support for the most vulnerable, particularly women, children and the
elderly. Although several community preparedness and practices existed, there was a
lack of response to early warning systems. Barriers to disaster response and
resilience included financial insecurities, loss of livelihoods and cultural
concerns regarding women's privacy.
Conclusions Critical to achieving disaster resilience is increased government
investment in infrastructure and systems-level responses that empower communities.
Further research can support this by addressing community challenges to promoting
disaster resilience and how to leverage existing community strengths to implement
locally owned solutions.
C1 [Jagnoor, Jagnoor; Cullen, Patricia; Lukaszyk, Caroline] George Inst Global
Hlth, Injury Div, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
[Jagnoor, Jagnoor; Ivers, Rebecca] Univ New South Wales, Sch Publ Hlth &
Community Med, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
[Jagnoor, Jagnoor] Univ New South Wales, George Inst Global Hlth, New Delhi,
India.
[Rahman, Aminur; Chowdhury, Fazlul Kader; ul Baset, Kamran] Ctr Injury Prevent &
Res Bangladesh, Int Drowning Res Ctr, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
[Ivers, Rebecca] Flinders Univ S Australia, Adelaide, SA, Australia.
C3 George Institute for Global Health; University of Sydney; University of
New South Wales Sydney; Flinders University South Australia
RP Jagnoor, J (corresponding author), George Inst Global Hlth, Injury Div, Sydney,
NSW, Australia.; Jagnoor, J (corresponding author), Univ New South Wales, Sch Publ
Hlth & Community Med, Sydney, NSW, Australia.; Jagnoor, J (corresponding author),
Univ New South Wales, George Inst Global Hlth, New Delhi, India.
EM jjagnoor@georgeinstitute.org.au
RI Cullen, Patricia/AAO-3350-2020
OI Cullen, Patricia/0000-0003-4652-0936; Ivers,
Rebecca/0000-0003-3448-662X; jagnoor, Jagnoor/0000-0002-5276-9095
FU Royal National Lifeboat Institution; Centre for Injury Prevention and
Research, Bangladesh
FX The study was funded by the Royal National Lifeboat Institution,
conducted with the support of Mr Steve Wills (Head of International
Programmes) and Mr Dan Ryan (International Research Manager). The
corresponding author had full access to all the data in the study and
had final responsibility for the decision to submit for publication.
Royal National Lifeboat Institution funded the project with Centre for
Injury Prevention and Research, Bangladesh as collaborators and The
George Institute for Global Health as academic partners.
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United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction, 2017, EC LOSS POV DIS 1998
NR 23
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 4
U2 26
PU BMJ PUBLISHING GROUP
PI LONDON
PA BRITISH MED ASSOC HOUSE, TAVISTOCK SQUARE, LONDON WC1H 9JR, ENGLAND
SN 2044-6055
J9 BMJ OPEN
JI BMJ Open
PD JUN
PY 2019
VL 9
IS 4
AR e026459
DI 10.1136/bmjopen-2018-026459
PG 10
(SSCI)
GA IC7MA
UT WOS:000471157200187
PM 30948605
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Icenogle, M
Eastburn, S
Arrieta, M
AF Icenogle, Marjorie
Eastburn, Sasha
Arrieta, Martha
TI Katrina's Legacy: Processes for Patient Disaster Preparation Have
Improved but Important Gaps Remain
SO AMERICAN JOURNAL OF THE MEDICAL SCIENCES
LA English
DT Article
DE Patient disaster preparation; Chronic disease; Continuity of care;
Health disparity
ID HURRICANE KATRINA; PREPAREDNESS; CARE; POPULATIONS; AFTERMATH; EVACUEES;
HOUSTON; PEOPLE; IMPACT
AB Background: Ensuring continuity of care for patients with chronic illness, who
are elderly or indigent presents unique challenges after disasters; this population
has fewer financial resources, is less likely to evacuate, has limited access to
recovery resources and is significantly dependent on charitable and government-
funded institutions for care. This study expands a previous investigation of the
extent to which healthcare providers in coastal Mississippi and Alabama have made
changes to facilitate continued care to these populations after disasters.
Methods: Key informants representing healthcare and social services
organizations serving health-disparate residents of the Mississippi and Alabama
Gulf Coast were interviewed regarding disaster preparation planning for the period
of 2009-2012. Interview transcripts were qualitatively coded and analyzed for
emerging themes using ATLAS.ti software.
Results: Participant organizations have implemented changes to ensure continuity
of care for patients with chronic illness in case of disasters. Changes include
patient assistance with predisaster preparation and training; evacuation planning
and assistance; support to find resources in evacuation destinations; equipping
patients with prescription information, diagnoses, treatment plans and advance
medications when a disaster is imminent; multiple methods for patients to
communicate with providers and more mandated medical needs shelters. Patients whose
chronic conditions were diagnosed post-Katrina are more likely to underestimate the
need to prepare. Further, patients' lack of compliance tends to increase as time
passes from disasters.
Conclusions: Although changes were implemented, results indicate that these may
be inadequate to completely address patient needs. Thus, additional efforts may be
needed, underscoring the complexity of adequate disaster preparation among
disparate populations.
C1 [Icenogle, Marjorie] Univ S Alabama, Mitchell Coll Business, Dept Management,
Mobile, AL USA.
[Eastburn, Sasha; Arrieta, Martha] Univ S Alabama, Ctr Hlth Communities, Res
Off, Mobile, AL USA.
C3 University of South Alabama; University of South Alabama
RP Arrieta, M (corresponding author), Univ S Alabama, Ctr Hlth Communities, CSAB
Room 104,5795 USA Dr North, Mobile, AL 36688 USA.
EM marrieta@southalabama.edu
FU National Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities, United
States [P20MD002314]
FX The project described was supported by Award no. P20MD002314 from the
National Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities, United
States. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and it
does not necessarily represent the official views of the National
Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities or the National
Institutes of Health.
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NR 28
TC 7
Z9 7
U1 0
U2 8
PU ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
PI NEW YORK
PA 360 PARK AVE SOUTH, NEW YORK, NY 10010-1710 USA
SN 0002-9629
EI 1538-2990
J9 AM J MED SCI
JI Am. J. Med. Sci.
PD NOV
PY 2016
VL 352
IS 5
BP 455
EP 465
DI 10.1016/j.amjms.2016.08.020
PG 11
(SSCI)
GA EC5UO
UT WOS:000388202600004
PM 27865292
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Resio, DT
Powell, NJ
Cialone, MA
Das, HS
Westerink, JJ
AF Resio, Donald T.
Powell, Nancy J.
Cialone, Mary A.
Das, Himangshu S.
Westerink, Joannes J.
TI Quantifying impacts of forecast uncertainties on predicted storm surges
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Article
DE Storm surge; Forecasting; Quantifying risk; Uncertainty
ID RESPONSE FUNCTION-APPROACH; HURRICANE SURGE; WIND FIELDS; HAZARD;
COASTAL; MODEL; SCALE; WAVE
AB In this paper, we propose a framework for quantifying risks, including (1) the
effects of forecast errors, (2) the ability to resolve critical grid features that
are important to accurate site-specific forecasts, and (3) a framework that can
move us toward performance-based/cost-based decisions, within an extremely fast
execution time. A key element presently lacking in previous studies is the
interrelationship between the effects of combined random errors and bias in
numerical weather prediction (NWP) models and bias and random errors in surge
models. This approach examines the number of degrees of freedom in present
forecasts and develops an equation for the quantification of these types of errors
within a unified system, given the number of degrees of freedom in the NWP
forecasts. It is shown that the methodology can be used to provide information on
the forecasts and along with the combined uncertainty due to all of the individual
contributions. A potential important benefit from studies using this approach would
be the ability to estimate financial and other trade-offs between higher-cost
"rapid" evacuation methods and lower-cost "slower" evacuation methods. Analyses
here show that uncertainty inherent in these decisions depends strongly on forecast
time and geographic location. Methods based on sets of surge maxima do not capture
this uncertainty and would be difficult to use for this purpose. In particular, it
is shown that surge model bias can play a dominant role in distorting the forecast
probabilities.
C1 [Resio, Donald T.] Univ North Florida, Jacksonville, FL 32224 USA.
[Powell, Nancy J.] ARCADIS, Kenner, LA USA.
[Cialone, Mary A.] Engn Res & Dev Ctr, Vicksburg, MS USA.
[Das, Himangshu S.] Jackson State Univ, Jackson, MS USA.
[Westerink, Joannes J.] Univ Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556 USA.
C3 State University System of Florida; University of North Florida;
Arcadis; United States Department of Defense; United States Army; U.S.
Army Corps of Engineers; U.S. Army Engineer Research & Development
Center (ERDC); Jackson State University; University of Notre Dame
RP Resio, DT (corresponding author), Univ North Florida, Jacksonville, FL 32224
USA.
EM don.resio@unf.edu
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NR 36
TC 10
Z9 10
U1 0
U2 12
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD SEP
PY 2017
VL 88
IS 3
BP 1423
EP 1449
DI 10.1007/s11069-017-2924-1
PG 27
Water Resources
GA FC3VH
UT WOS:000406767000007
OA hybrid, Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Quader, MA
Khan, AU
Kervyn, M
AF Quader, Mohammad Abdul
Khan, Amanat Ullah
Kervyn, Matthieu
TI Spatial variation in household-level risk to natural hazards across the
coast of Bangladesh
SO GEOMATICS NATURAL HAZARDS & RISK
LA English
DT Article
DE Vulnerability; exposure; capacity; household risk; PCA
ID MEASURING SOCIAL VULNERABILITY; CLIMATE-CHANGE; CYCLONE SIDR;
SOCIOECONOMIC VULNERABILITY; EVACUATION ORDERS; CHANGE INSIGHTS; REGION;
INDEX; DISASTERS; COMMUNITIES
AB People's vulnerability, exposure and capacity are key components of a risk
assessment. Index-based methodologies have proved useful to document spatial
variation in risk-controlling factors. The objective of this study is to propose a
methodology to derive quantitative indicators of household vulnerability, exposure
and capacity to assess household's risk and its spatial variation. The method is
applied to six unions of the coastal region of Bangladesh, including three offshore
islands. Field data are collected by questionnaire survey of 609 households and 6
focus group discussions. Using conventional data conversion and aggregation methods
and principle component analysis (PCA), the variables are summarized into a small
set of dimensions to derive vulnerability and capacity scores. Result shows that
households of islands are generally more vulnerable to natural hazards than nearby
onshore unions. Unions of the central coast of Bangladesh are characterized by
households with higher vulnerability and lower capacities than two other parts. The
fatality rate of cyclone SIDR at village level is used to validate the spatial
variation of household risk for one surveyed union. The proposed methodology and
produced maps could support national to local government bodies in assessing
household risk and identifying locations where to implement specific risk reduction
measures.
C1 [Quader, Mohammad Abdul; Kervyn, Matthieu] Vrije Univ Brussel, Dept Geog Earth
Syst Sci, Brussels, Belgium.
[Quader, Mohammad Abdul] Jagannath Univ, Dept Geog & Environm, Dhaka,
Bangladesh.
[Khan, Amanat Ullah] Dhaka Univ, Dept Geog & Environm, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
[Khan, Amanat Ullah] Bangladesh Univ Professionals, Dept Environm Sci, Dhaka,
Bangladesh.
C3 Vrije Universiteit Brussel; University of Dhaka
RP Quader, MA (corresponding author), Vrije Univ Brussel, Dept Geog Earth Syst Sci,
Brussels, Belgium.; Quader, MA (corresponding author), Jagannath Univ, Dept Geog &
Environm, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
EM mquader@vub.be
RI Quader, Mohammad Abdul/AAC-4598-2019; Kervyn, Matthieu/GPX-5428-2022;
Kervyn, Matthieu/I-6512-2015
OI Quader, Mohammad Abdul/0000-0002-8176-3856; Kervyn,
Matthieu/0000-0002-4966-3468
FU VLIR-UOS
FX We are grateful to VLIR-UOS for providing funding for the PhD of M.A.
Quader.
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NR 75
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 0
U2 6
PU TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
PI ABINGDON
PA 2-4 PARK SQUARE, MILTON PARK, ABINGDON OR14 4RN, OXON, ENGLAND
SN 1947-5705
EI 1947-5713
J9 GEOMAT NAT HAZ RISK
JI Geomat. Nat. Hazards Risk
PD JAN 1
PY 2021
VL 12
IS 1
BP 1532
EP 1559
DI 10.1080/19475705.2021.1927205
PG 28
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA SU4VK
UT WOS:000663137000001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wu, CL
Chau, KW
Li, YS
AF Wu, C. L.
Chau, K. W.
Li, Y. S.
TI River stage prediction based on a distributed support vector regression
LA English
DT Article
DE water level prediction; D-SVR; input selection; parameter optimization
ID NEURAL-NETWORK; GENETIC ALGORITHM; RUNOFF; MODEL; MACHINES; FLOW;
PERFORMANCE; ANN
AB An accurate and timely prediction of river flow flooding can provide time for
the authorities to take pertinent flood protection measures such as evacuation.
Various data-derived models including LR (linear regression), NNM (the nearest-
neighbor method) ANN (artificial neural network) and SVR (support vector
regression), have been successfully applied to water level prediction. Of them, SVR
is particularly highly valued, because it has the advantage over many data-derived
models in overcoming overfitting of training data. However, SVR is computationally
time-consuming when used to solve large-size problems. In the context of river flow
prediction, equipped with LR model as a benchmark and genetic algorithm-based ANN
(ANN-GA) and NNM as counterparts, a novel distributed SVR (D-SVR) model is proposed
in this study. It implements a local. approximation to training data because
partitioned original. training data are independently fitted by each local. SVR
model. ANN-GA and LR models are also used to help determine input variables. A two-
step GA algorithm is employed to find the optimal triplets (C, epsilon, sigma) for
D-SVR model. The validation results reveal that the proposed D-SVR model. can carry
out the river flow prediction better in comparison with others, and dramatically
reduce the training time compared with the conventional SVR model. The pivotal
factor contributing to the performance of D-SVR may be that it implements a local
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Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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NR 54
TC 152
Z9 156
U1 0
U2 30
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 0022-1694
EI 1879-2707
J9 J HYDROL
JI J. Hydrol.
PD AUG 30
PY 2008
VL 358
IS 1-2
BP 96
EP 111
DI 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2008.05.028
PG 16
GA 343KY
UT WOS:000258853700008
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Howard, T
Williams, SDP
AF Howard, Tom
Williams, Simon David Paul
TI Towards using state-of-the-art climate models to help constrain
estimates of unprecedented UK storm surges
LA English
DT Article
ID NORTH-SEA; EXTREME; PROBABILITIES; ENSEMBLE; CMIP5
AB Our ability to quantify the likelihood of present-day extreme sea level (ESL)
events is limited by the length of tide gauge records around the UK, and this
results in substantial uncertainties in return level curves at many sites. In this
work, we explore the potential for a state-of-the-art climate model, HadGEM3-GC3,
to help refine our understanding of present-day coastal flood risk associated with
extreme storm surges, which are the dominant driver of ESL events for the UK and
wider European shelf seas.
We use a 483-year present-day control simulation from HadGEM3-GC3-MM (1/4
degrees ocean, approx. 60 km atmosphere in mid-latitudes) to drive a north-west
European shelf seas model and generate a new dataset of simulated UK storm surges.
The variable analysed is the skew surge (the difference between the high water
level and the predicted astronomical high tide), which is widely used in analysis
of storm surge events. The modelling system can simulate skew surge events
comparable to the catastrophic 1953 North Sea storm surge, which resulted in
widespread flooding, evacuation of 32 000 people, and hundreds of fatalities across
the UK alone, along with many hundreds more in mainland Europe. Our model
simulations show good agreement with an independent re-analysis of the 1953 surge
event at the mouth of the river Thames. For that site, we also revisit the
assumption of skew surge and tide independence. Our model results suggest that at
that site for the most extreme surges, tide-surge interaction significantly
attenuates extreme skew surges on a spring tide compared to a neap tide.
Around the UK coastline, the extreme tail shape parameters diagnosed from our
simulation correlate very well (Pearson's r greater than 0.85), in terms of spatial
variability, with those used in the UK government's current guidance (which are
diagnosed from tide gauge observations), but ours have smaller uncertainties.
Despite the strong correlation, our diagnosed shape parameters are biased low
relative to the current guidance. This bias is also seen when we replace HadGEM3-
GC3-MM with a reanalysis, so we conclude that the bias is likely associated with
limitations in the shelf sea model used here.
Overall, the work suggests that climate model simulations may prove useful as an
additional line of evidence to inform assessments of present-day coastal flood
risk.
C1 [Howard, Tom] Met Off, FitzRoy Rd, Exeter EX1 3PB, Devon, England.
[Williams, Simon David Paul] Nat Oceanog Ctr, Joseph Proudman Bldg,6 Brownlow
St, Liverpool L3 5DA, Merseyside, England.
C3 Met Office - UK
RP Howard, T (corresponding author), Met Off, FitzRoy Rd, Exeter EX1 3PB, Devon,
England.
EM tom.howard@metoffice.gov.uk
RI Williams, Simon/C-7214-2011
OI Williams, Simon/0000-0003-4123-4973; Howard, Tom/0000-0001-5951-9307
FU Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, UK Government;
Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, UK Government
through the Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme
FX This research has been supported by the Department for Business, Energy
and Industrial Strategy, UK Government and the Department for
Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, UK Government, through the Met
Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme.
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NR 51
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 4
U2 8
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
EI 1684-9981
PD DEC 8
PY 2021
VL 21
IS 12
BP 3693
EP 3712
DI 10.5194/nhess-21-3693-2021
PG 20
Water Resources
GA XM0TX
UT WOS:000728550800001
OA gold, Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Neupane, N
Paudel, S
Sapkota, R
Joshi, YP
Rijal, Y
Chalise, A
AF Neupane, Nilhari
Paudel, Shishir
Sapkota, Regan
Joshi, Yadav Prasad
Rijal, Yashoda
Chalise, Anisha
TI Enhancing the resilience of food production systems for food and
nutritional security under climate change in Nepal
SO FRONTIERS IN SUSTAINABLE FOOD SYSTEMS
LA English
DT Article
DE adaptation; climate change; food security; malnutrition; nutrition;
resilient
AB BackgroundClimate change in Nepal has posed a considerable challenge to
agricultural productivity and has threatened food and nutritional security at
multiple levels. This study aims to assess the impacts of climate change on
national food production and food and nutritional security as well as document
issue-based prioritized adaptation options for a resilient food production system.
MethodsThis study considers temperature, precipitation, and their anomalies as the
key factors affecting food production in Nepal. Nationwide precipitation trends
along with their association with the annual production of major cereal crops in
Nepal were assessed using data from the last three decades (1990-2018). The annual
productions of the major cereal crops were summed and normalized to calculate the
production index scores in the districts. Scores were plotted and visualized into
maps using the Geographical Information System. In three ecological regions, the
distribution of flood and extreme rainfall events and cases of malnutrition from
2005 to 2018 were plotted. The effects of climate change and highest priority
adaptation options at the district level were documented through a review of
national policies and literature studies and qualitative research based on Focus
Group Discussions (FGDs). ResultsBetween 1990 and 2018, the overall average
production of major cereal crops in Nepal was increased by around 2,245 MT
annually. In the district level index analysis, the highest production score was
found for Jhapa and Morang while the lowest production score was found for Humla.
Cases of malnutrition in some districts coincided with flood and heavy rainfall
events, indicating that climate change and extreme climatic events have a role to
play in food production and security. Growing drought-tolerant crops, changes in
crop cycle, riverbed farming practices, developing short-term strategies, such as
contingency crop planning, changing planting dates, planting short duration
varieties, schemes evacuation, and long-term strategies, such as encouraging out-
migration of population to safer locations, resettlement programs with
transformative livelihood options, and sustainable agricultural practices were
found to be key prioritized adaptation measures for a resilient food production
system. ConclusionIn Nepal, climate change and the increasing frequency and
magnitude of extreme climatic events adversely affect the food production system,
which has become a serious threat to food and nutritional security. The
implementation of evidence-based practices to build a resilient food system
specific to climate-vulnerable hotspots at the district and local levels is the
nation's current need.
C1 [Neupane, Nilhari; Sapkota, Regan; Joshi, Yadav Prasad] Nepal Open Univ, Fac Sci
Hlth & Technol, Lalitpur, Nepal.
[Paudel, Shishir] Cent Inst Sci & Technol CiST, Dept Publ Hlth, Kathmandu,
Nepal.
[Sapkota, Regan] Policy Initiat Nepal PIN, Lalitpur, Nepal.
[Joshi, Yadav Prasad] Manmohan Mem Inst Hlth Sci, Dept Publ Hlth, Kathmandu,
Nepal.
[Rijal, Yashoda] Univ Siegen, Dept Sociol, Siegen, Germany.
[Chalise, Anisha] Hlth & Populat Act CREHPA, Ctr Res Environm, Kathmandu, Nepal.
C3 Universitat Siegen
RP Joshi, YP (corresponding author), Nepal Open Univ, Fac Sci Hlth & Technol,
Lalitpur, Nepal.; Joshi, YP (corresponding author), Manmohan Mem Inst Hlth Sci,
Dept Publ Hlth, Kathmandu, Nepal.
EM yadavjoshi@gmail.com
RI Paudel, Shishir/AAE-3100-2021
OI Paudel, Shishir/0000-0003-3077-6697
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NR 49
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 4
U2 4
PI LAUSANNE
EI 2571-581X
J9 FRONT SUSTAIN FOOD S
JI Front. Sustain. Food Syst.
PD OCT 5
PY 2022
VL 6
AR 968998
DI 10.3389/fsufs.2022.968998
PG 11
WC Food Science & Technology
SC Food Science & Technology
GA 5N0OP
UT WOS:000871491000001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Strid, P
Fok, CCT
Zotti, M
Shulman, HB
Awakuni, J
House, LD
Morrow, B
Kern, J
Shim, M
Ellington, SR
AF Strid, Penelope
Fok, Carlotta Ching Ting
Zotti, Marianne
Shulman, Holly B.
Awakuni, Jane
House, L. Duane
Morrow, Brian
Kern, Judy
Shim, Matthew
Ellington, Sascha R.
TI Disaster Preparedness Among Women With a Recent Live Birth in Hawaii -
Results From the Pregnancy Risk Assessment Monitoring System (PRAMS),
2016
LA English
DT Article
DE Hawaii; postpartum; PRAMS; preparedness
ID EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS; HOUSEHOLD PREPAREDNESS; NATURAL DISASTERS;
POSTPARTUM WOMEN; MENTAL-HEALTH; HURRICANE; PERCEPTIONS; AFTERMATH;
LOUISIANA; OUTCOMES
AB Objective: The aim of this study was to examine emergency preparedness behaviors
among women with a recent live birth in Hawaii. Methods: Using the 2016 Hawaii
Pregnancy Risk Assessment Monitoring System, we estimated weighted prevalence of 8
preparedness behaviors. Results: Among 1010 respondents (weighted response rate,
56.3%), 79.3% reported at least 1 preparedness behavior, and 11.2% performed all 8
behaviors. The prevalence of women with a recent live birth in Hawaii reporting
preparedness behaviors includes: 63.0% (95% CI: 58.7-67.1%) having enough supplies
at home for at least 7 days, 41.3% (95% CI: 37.1-45.6%) having an evacuation plan
for their child(ren), 38.7% (95% CI: 34.5-43.0%) having methods to keep in touch,
37.8% (95% CI: 33.7-42.1%) having an emergency meeting place, 36.6% (95% CI: 32.6-
40.9%) having an evacuation plan to leave home, 34.9% (95% CI: 30.9-39.2%) having
emergency supplies to take with them if they have to leave quickly, 31.8% (95% CI:
27.9-36.0%) having copies of important documents, and 31.6% (95% CI: 27.7-35.8%)
having practiced what to do during a disaster. Conclusions: One in 10 women
practiced all 8 behaviors, indicating more awareness efforts are needed among this
population in Hawaii. The impact of preparedness interventions implemented in
Hawaii can be tracked with this question over time.
C1 [Strid, Penelope; Zotti, Marianne; Shulman, Holly B.; House, L. Duane; Morrow,
Brian; Ellington, Sascha R.] Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Div Reprod Hlth, Atlanta,
GA 30329 USA.
[Strid, Penelope] Oak Ridge Inst Sci & Educ, Oak Ridge, TN 37830 USA.
[Fok, Carlotta Ching Ting; Awakuni, Jane; Shim, Matthew] Hawaii State Dept Hlth,
Family Hlth Serv Div, Honolulu, HI USA.
[Zotti, Marianne] Zotti Consulting, Bella Vista, AR USA.
[Kern, Judy] Hawaii State Dept Hlth, Off Publ Hlth Preparedness, Honolulu, HI
USA.
C3 Centers for Disease Control & Prevention - USA; Oak Ridge Associated
Universities; United States Department of Energy (DOE); Oak Ridge
Institute for Science & Education
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Oak Ridge, TN 37830 USA.
EM pstrid@cdc.gov
OI Strid, Penelope/0000-0003-4730-6501; House, Lawrence/0000-0002-5418-0778
FU CDC
FX CDC provides annual funding to participating PRAMS sites through a
cooperative agreement.
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NR 51
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 1
U2 3
PI NEW YORK
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
PD OCT
PY 2022
VL 16
IS 5
BP 2005
EP 2014
AR PII S1935789321002743
DI 10.1017/dmp.2021.274
EA SEP 2021
PG 10
(SSCI)
GA 5R5NT
UT WOS:000757180100001
PM 34569461
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Sadio, M
Anthony, EJ
Diaw, AT
Dussouillez, P
Fleury, JT
Kane, A
Almar, R
Kestenare, E
AF Sadio, Mamadou
Anthony, Edward J.
Diaw, Amadou Tahirou
Dussouillez, Philippe
Fleury, Jules T.
Kane, Alioune
Almar, Rafael
Kestenare, Elodie
TI Shoreline Changes on the Wave-Influenced Senegal River Delta, West
Africa: The Roles of Natural Processes and Human Interventions
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE Senegal River delta; Langue de Barbarie spit; delta vulnerability;
river-mouth migration; spit breaching; ERA hindcast waves; longshore
sediment transport
ID SEDIMENT TRANSPORT; VARIABILITY; MORPHODYNAMICS
AB The Senegal River delta in West Africa, one of the finest examples of "wave-
influenced" deltas, is bounded by a spit periodically breached by waves, each
breach then acting as a shifting mouth of the Senegal River. Using European Re-
Analysis (ERA) hindcast wave data from 1984 to 2015 generated by the Wave
Atmospheric Model (WAM) of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
(ECMWF), we calculated longshore sediment transport rates along the spit. We also
analysed spit width, spit migration rates, and changes in the position and width of
the river mouth from aerial photographs and satellite images between 1954 and 2015.
In 2003, an artificial breach was cut through the spit to prevent river flooding of
the historic city of St. Louis. Analysis of past spit growth rates and of the
breaching length scale associated with maximum spit elongation, and a reported
increase in the frequency of high flood water levels between 1994 and 2003,
suggest, together, that an impending natural breach was likely to have occurred
close to the time frame of the artificial 2003 breach. Following this breach, the
new river mouth was widened rapidly by flood discharge evacuation, but stabilised
to its usual hydraulic width of <2 km. In 2012, severe erosion of the residual spit
downdrift of the mouth may have been due to a significant drop (similar to 15%) in
the longshore sand transport volume and to a lower sediment bypassing fraction
across the river mouth. This wave erosion of the residual spit led to rapid
exceptional widening of the mouth to similar to 5 km that has not been compensated
by updrift spit elongation. This wider mouth may now be acting as a large
depocentre for sand transported alongshore from updrift, and has contributed to an
increase in the tidal influence affecting the lower delta. Wave erosion of the
residual spit has led to the destruction of villages, tourist facilities and
infrastructure. This erosion of the spit has also exposed part of the delta plain
directly to waves, and reinforced the saline intrusion within the Senegal delta.
Understanding the mechanisms and processes behind these changes is important in
planning of future shoreline management and decision-making regarding the
articulations between coastal protection offered by the wave-built spit and
flooding of the lower delta plain of the Senegal River.
C1 [Sadio, Mamadou; Anthony, Edward J.; Dussouillez, Philippe; Fleury, Jules T.]
Aix Marseille Univ, CEREGE UM 34, Europole Arbois, F-13545 Aix En Provence 04,
France.
[Sadio, Mamadou; Diaw, Amadou Tahirou] Univ Cheikh Anta Diop, Ecole Super
Polytech, Lab Enseignement & Rech Geomat, Dakar, Senegal.
[Kane, Alioune] Univ Cheikh Anta Diop, Lab Morphol & Hydrol, Dakar, Senegal.
[Almar, Rafael; Kestenare, Elodie] Univ Toulouse, CNRS IRD CNES, LEGOS, F-31400
Toulouse, France.
C3 UDICE-French Research Universities; Aix-Marseille Universite; University
Cheikh Anta Diop Dakar; University Cheikh Anta Diop Dakar; Universite de
Toulouse; Universite Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier; Centre National de la
Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Institut de Recherche pour le
Developpement (IRD); Laboratoire d'Etudes en Geophysique et
oceanographie spatiales
RP Anthony, EJ (corresponding author), Aix Marseille Univ, CEREGE UM 34, Europole
Arbois, F-13545 Aix En Provence 04, France.
EM sadio@cerege.fr; anthony@cerege.fr; guede1914@gmail.com;
dussou@cerege.fr; fleury@cerege.fr; akane@ucad.sn; rafael.almar@ird.fr;
Elodie.Kestenare@legos.obs-mip.fr
RI Almar, Rafael/G-7470-2018; Almar, Rafael/GNM-9168-2022
OI Almar, Rafael/0000-0001-5842-658X; Almar, Rafael/0000-0001-5842-658X;
KESTENARE, Elodie/0000-0002-6665-2146
FU Belmont Forum Project: BF-Deltas: Catalyzing Action Towards
Sustainability of Deltaic Systems with an Integrated Modeling Framework
for Risk Assessment; Embassy of France in Senegal
FX This work benefited from the ECMWF ERA Interim dataset
(www.ECMWF.Int/research/Era), and from Landsat satellite images provided
by the United States Geological Survey, and Spot satellite images
provided by Centre National d'Etudes Spatiales. We acknowledge funding
from the Belmont Forum Project: BF-Deltas: Catalyzing Action Towards
Sustainability of Deltaic Systems with an Integrated Modeling Framework
for Risk Assessment. Mamadou Sadio benefited from a partial PhD grant
provided by the Embassy of France in Senegal. We thank the anonymous
reviewers for their salient suggestions for improvement.
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NR 49
TC 29
Z9 30
U1 1
U2 14
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD MAY
PY 2017
VL 9
IS 5
AR 357
DI 10.3390/w9050357
PG 17
GA EZ2RS
UT WOS:000404558100057
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Yang, YH
Yin, J
Ye, MW
She, DX
Yu, J
AF Yang, Yuhan
Yin, Jie
Ye, Mingwu
She, Dunxian
Yu, Jia
TI Multi-coverage optimal location model for emergency medical service
(EMS) facilities under various disaster scenarios: a case study of urban
fluvial floods in the Minhang district of Shanghai, China
LA English
DT Article
ID DIFFUSION-WAVE TREATMENT; HUANGPU RIVER; EVACUATION; IMPACTS; NETWORK;
CITY
AB Emergency medical service (EMS) response is extremely critical for pre-hospital
lifesaving when disaster events occur. However, disasters increase the difficulty
of rescue and may significantly increase the total travel time between dispatch and
arrival, thereby increasing the pressure on emergency facilities. Hence, facility
location decisions play a crucial role in improving the efficiency of rescue and
service capacity. In order to avoid the failure of EMS facilities during disasters
and meet the multiple requirements of demand points, we propose a multi-coverage
optimal location model for EMS facilities based on the results of disaster impact
simulation and prediction. To verify this model, we explicitly simulated the
impacts of fluvial flooding events using the 1-D-2-D coupled flood inundation model
FloodMap. The simulation results suggested that even low-magnitude fluvial flood
events resulted in a decrease in the EMS response area. The integration of the
model results with a geographical-information-system (GIS) analysis indicated that
the optimization of the EMS locations reduced the delay in emergency responses
caused by disasters and significantly increased the number of rescued people and
the coverage of demand points.
C1 [Yang, Yuhan; Yin, Jie; Ye, Mingwu] East China Normal Univ, Minist Educ, Key Lab
Geog Informat Sci, Shanghai, Peoples R China.
[Yin, Jie; She, Dunxian] Wuhan Univ, Hubei Prov Key Lab Water Syst Sci Sponge
City Con, Wuhan, Peoples R China.
[Yang, Yuhan; Yin, Jie; Ye, Mingwu] East China Normal Univ, Sch Geog Sci,
Shanghai, Peoples R China.
[Yin, Jie] East China Normal Univ, Inst Ecochongming, Shanghai, Peoples R China.
[Yu, Jia] Shanghai Normal Univ, Sch Environm & Geog Sci, Shanghai, Peoples R
China.
C3 East China Normal University; Wuhan University; East China Normal
University; East China Normal University; Shanghai Normal University
RP Yin, J (corresponding author), East China Normal Univ, Minist Educ, Key Lab Geog
Informat Sci, Shanghai, Peoples R China.; Yin, J (corresponding author), Wuhan
Univ, Hubei Prov Key Lab Water Syst Sci Sponge City Con, Wuhan, Peoples R China.;
Yin, J (corresponding author), East China Normal Univ, Sch Geog Sci, Shanghai,
Peoples R China.; Yin, J (corresponding author), East China Normal Univ, Inst
Ecochongming, Shanghai, Peoples R China.
EM jyin@geo.ecnu.edu.cn
FU National Key Research and Development Program of China [2017YFE0100700];
National Natural Science Foundation of China [41871164]; Humanities and
Social Sciences Project of the Ministry of Education of China
[17YJAZH111]; Hubei Provincial Key Laboratory of Water System Science
for Sponge City Construction [2019-02]; EPSRC [EP/R034214/1] Funding
Source: UKRI
FX This research has been supported by the National Key Research and
Development Program of China (grant no. 2017YFE0100700), the National
Natural Science Foundation of China (grant no. 41871164), the Humanities
and Social Sciences Project of the Ministry of Education of China (grant
no. 17YJAZH111), and the Hubei Provincial Key Laboratory of Water System
Science for Sponge City Construction (grant no. 2019-02).
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NR 29
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 4
U2 45
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
EI 1684-9981
PD JAN 17
PY 2020
VL 20
IS 1
BP 181
EP 195
DI 10.5194/nhess-20-181-2020
PG 15
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA KD9RI
UT WOS:000508198300001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Gob, F
Jacob, N
Bravard, JP
Petit, F
AF Gob, Frederic
Jacob, Nicolas
Bravard, Jean-Paul
Petit, Francois
TI The value of lichenometry and historical archives in assessing the
incision of submediterranean rivers from the Little Ice Age in the
Ardeche and upper Loire (France)
SO GEOMORPHOLOGY
LA English
DT Article
DE Little Ice Age; lichenometry; gorge; incision; Mediterranean rivers
ID EVOLUTION; DYNAMICS; LICHENS
AB The geomorphologic impact of the Little Ice Age (LIA) was determined on two
French Mediterranean rivers, the upper Areche and the upper Loire. In order to
evaluate the impact of the LIA on the hydrology of these rivers, two historical
flood chronicles were made from historical sources. The LIA can be divided in three
phases of high activity (1530-1700; 1750-1810; 1840-1910). A geomorphologic study
of the two rivers shows that incision is the principle process at work in the 20th
century. In order to date the low terraces and bedforms present in both valleys,
lichenometry was used. Rhizocarpon geographicum allowed the main features on the
bottom of the valley to be dated using two growth curves made for the two studied
areas. In the Ardeche, lichenometric dating showed a progressive evacuation of the
inherited alluvial stock. The oldest lichens found on the foodplain and the
outcrops indicate that incision began between the second half of the 17th century
and the end of the 18th century, in the mid Little Ice Age. Incision stopped on the
bedrock in the second half of the 19th century. In the Loire, the narrowness of the
gorge did not allow sediment to be stored during the first half of the LIA. Very
old lichens (> 1000 yr of age) are present on the bedrock close to the bed. However
at a number of locations, the valley slightly widens, allowing sediment that was
transiting through the gorge to be stored. The geomorphologic features that
characterise these basins clearly show a hydrosedimentary behaviour different
before and after the beginning of the 20th century. (C) 2007 Elsevier B.V. All
rights reserved.
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C3 University of Liege; Universite Lyon 2
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NR 50
TC 20
Z9 20
U1 0
U2 9
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 0169-555X
EI 1872-695X
J9 GEOMORPHOLOGY
JI Geomorphology
PD FEB 1
PY 2008
VL 94
IS 1-2
BP 170
EP 183
DI 10.1016/j.geomorph.2007.05.005
PG 14
WC Geography, Physical; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
SC Physical Geography; Geology
GA 257WJ
UT WOS:000252829200012
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wernstedt, K
Roberts, PS
Arvai, J
Redmond, K
AF Wernstedt, Kris
Roberts, Patrick S.
Arvai, Joseph
Redmond, Kelly
TI How emergency managers (mis?)interpret forecasts
SO DISASTERS
LA English
DT Article
DE cognitive; decision-making; emergency management; risk; uncertainty
ID SEASONAL CLIMATE FORECASTS; SUBSISTENCE FARMERS; RISK COMMUNICATION;
WEATHER FORECASTS; DECISION-MAKING; EL-NINO; PROBABILITY; UNCERTAINTY;
PRECIPITATION; EVACUATION
AB Emergency managers who work on floods and other weather-related hazards
constitute critical frontline responders to disasters. Yet, while these
professionals operate in a realm rife with uncertainty related to forecasts and
other unknowns, the influence of uncertainty on their decision-making is poorly
understood. Consequently, a national-level survey of county emergency managers in
the United States was administered to examine how they interpret forecast
information, using hypothetical climate, flood, and weather scenarios to simulate
their responses to uncertain information. The study revealed that even emergency
managers with substantial experience take decision shortcuts and make biased
choices, just as do members of the general population. Their choices vary depending
on such features as the format in which probabilistic forecasts are presented and
whether outcomes are represented as gains or losses. In sum, forecast producers who
consider these decision processes when developing and communicating forecasts could
help to improve flood preparation and potentially reduce disaster losses.
C1 [Wernstedt, Kris] Ardhi Univ, Dar Es Salaam, Tanzania.
[Wernstedt, Kris] Virginia Tech, Sch Publ & Int Affairs, 1021 Prince St,
Alexandria, VA 22314 USA.
[Roberts, Patrick S.] Virginia Tech, Sch Publ & Int Affairs, Ctr Publ Adm &
Policy, Alexandria, VA USA.
[Arvai, Joseph] Univ Michigan, Sch Environm & Sustainabil, Sustainable
Enterprise, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA.
[Arvai, Joseph] Univ Michigan, Ross Sch Business, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA.
[Redmond, Kelly] Desert Res Inst, Las Vegas, NV USA.
C3 Virginia Polytechnic Institute & State University; Virginia Polytechnic
Institute & State University; University of Michigan System; University
of Michigan; University of Michigan System; University of Michigan;
Nevada System of Higher Education (NSHE); Desert Research Institute NSHE
RP Wernstedt, K (corresponding author), Virginia Tech, Sch Publ & Int Affairs, 1021
Prince St, Alexandria, VA 22314 USA.
EM krisw@vt.edu
FU National Science Foundation [1133024]; National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration [NA13OAR4310116]; Institute for Society, Culture and
Environment at Virginia Tech; Div Of Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact Inn;
Directorate For Engineering [1133024] Funding Source: National Science
Foundation
FX National Science Foundation award number 1133024, National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration award number NA13OAR4310116, and the
Institute for Society, Culture and Environment at Virginia Tech
partially supported the work reported here, but this paper represents
the authors' views and not necessarily those of these sponsoring
entities.
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NR 75
TC 19
Z9 19
U1 2
U2 17
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 0361-3666
EI 1467-7717
J9 DISASTERS
JI Disasters
PD JAN
PY 2019
VL 43
IS 1
BP 88
EP 109
DI 10.1111/disa.12293
PG 22
WC Environmental Studies; Social Sciences, Interdisciplinary
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Social Sciences - Other Topics
GA HE3VX
UT WOS:000453291900005
PM 29893434
OA Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Guthrie, RH
Friele, P
Allstadt, K
Roberts, N
Evans, SG
Delaney, KB
Roche, D
Clague, JJ
Jakob, M
AF Guthrie, R. H.
Friele, P.
Allstadt, K.
Roberts, N.
Evans, S. G.
Delaney, K. B.
Roche, D.
Clague, J. J.
Jakob, M.
TI The 6 August 2010 Mount Meager rock slide-debris flow, Coast Mountains,
British Columbia: characteristics, dynamics, and implications for hazard
and risk assessment
LA English
DT Article
ID LANDSLIDE; AVALANCHE; IMPACT; VOLCANO; COMPLEX; VALLEY; RIVER
AB A large rock avalanche occurred at 03:27:30 PDT, 6 August 2010, in the Mount
Meager Volcanic Complex southwest British Columbia. The landslide initiated as a
rock slide in Pleistocene rhyodacitic volcanic rock with the collapse of the
secondary peak of Mount Meager. The detached rock mass impacted the volcano's
weathered and saturated flanks, creating a visible seismic signature on nearby
seismographs. Undrained loading of the sloping flank caused the immediate and
extremely rapid evacuation of the entire flank with a strong horizontal force, as
the rock slide transformed into a debris flow. The disintegrating mass travelled
down Capricorn Creek at an average velocity of 64 m s(-1), exhibiting dramatic
super-elevation in bends to the intersection of Meager Creek, 7.8 km from the
source. At Meager Creek the debris impacted the south side of Meager valley,
causing a runup of 270 m above the valley floor and the deflection of the landslide
debris both upstream (for 3.7 km) and downstream into the Lillooet River valley
(for 4.9 km), where it blocked the Lillooet River river for a couple of hours,
approximately 10 km from the landslide source. Deposition at the Capricorn-Meager
confluence also dammed Meager Creek for about 19 h creating a lake 1.5 km long. The
overtopping of the dam and the predicted outburst flood was the basis for a night
time evacuation of 1500 residents in the town of Pemberton, 65 km downstream. High-
resolution GeoEye satellite imagery obtained on 16 October 2010 was used to create
a post-event digital elevation model. Comparing pre- and post-event topography we
estimate the volume of the initial displaced mass from the flank of Mount Meager to
be 48.5 x 10(6) m(3), the height of the path (H) to be 2183 m and the total length
of the path (L) to be 12.7 km. This yields H/L = 0.172 and a fahrboschung (travel
angle) of 9.75A degrees. The movement was recorded on seismographs in British
Columbia and Washington State with the initial impact, the debris flow travelling
through bends in Capricorn Creek, and the impact with Meager Creek are all evident
on a number of seismograms. The landslide had a seismic trace equivalent to a M =
2.6 earthquake. Velocities and dynamics of the movement were simulated using DAN-W.
The 2010 event is the third major landslide in the Capricorn Creek watershed since
1998 and the fifth large-scale mass flow in the Meager Creek watershed since 1930.
No lives were lost in the event, but despite its relatively remote location direct
costs of the 2010 landslide are estimated to be in the order of $10 M CAD.
C1 [Guthrie, R. H.] MDH Engn Solut, SNC Lavalin Grp, Calgary, AB, Canada.
[Friele, P.] Cordilleran Geosci, Squamish, BC, Canada.
[Allstadt, K.] Univ Washington, Seattle, WA 98195 USA.
[Roberts, N.; Clague, J. J.] Simon Fraser Univ, Ctr Nat Hazard Res, Burnaby, BC
V5A 1S6, Canada.
[Evans, S. G.; Delaney, K. B.] Univ Waterloo, Landslide Res Programme, Waterloo,
ON N2L 3G1, Canada.
[Roche, D.] Kerr Wood Leidal Associates Ltd, Burnaby, BC, Canada.
[Jakob, M.] BGC Engn Inc, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
C3 University of Washington; University of Washington Seattle; Simon Fraser
University; University of Waterloo; BGC Engineering Inc. (BGC)
RP Guthrie, RH (corresponding author), MDH Engn Solut, SNC Lavalin Grp, Calgary,
AB, Canada.
EM rguthrie@mdhsolutions.com
RI Clague, John/L-3619-2019; Delaney, Keith/AAF-6685-2020
OI friele, pierre/0000-0002-5257-3316; Guthrie,
Richard/0000-0002-1272-7851; Allstadt, Kate/0000-0003-4977-5248
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NR 54
TC 86
Z9 89
U1 1
U2 50
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
EI 1684-9981
PY 2012
VL 12
IS 5
BP 1277
EP 1294
DI 10.5194/nhess-12-1277-2012
PG 18
Water Resources
GA 942QL
UT WOS:000304061800003
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wang, S
Qin, H
Mu, L
Wang, LZ
Yao, ZF
Zhao, EJ
AF Wang, Si
Qin, Hao
Mu, Lin
Wang, Lizhe
Yao, Zhenfeng
Zhao, Enjin
TI The utilization of physically based models and GIS techniques for
comprehensive risk assessment of storm surge: A case study of Huizhou
SO FRONTIERS IN MARINE SCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE storm surge; hydrodynamic and wave model; depth-damage function;
quantitative risk assessment; social vulnerability; comprehensive risk
assessment
ID SOCIAL VULNERABILITY; HURRICANE WAVES; FLOOD HAZARD; DISASTERS;
PROVINCE; REGIONS
AB Quantitative analyses of storm surge risk, which are mostly focused on physical
vulnerability, have been widely used to help coastal communities mitigate impacts
and damage. Such assessments, however, overlook the social aspect of vulnerability
in storm surge risk. By considering both the community's social vulnerability and
buildings' physical vulnerability, this study proposed a methodology that
incorporates social vulnerability into the framework for making quantitative risk
assessments of storm surge using a coupled hydrodynamic and wave model,
Geographical Information System (GIS) techniques, and the Principal Component
Analysis (PCA) method. The coastal area of Huizhou was chosen as the case study due
to its high concentration of oil and gas infrastructure in China's southern
Guangdong Province. By combining hazard, exposure, physical vulnerability, and
social vulnerability, it was possible to explore the effect of social vulnerability
on the physical vulnerability-based risk assessment of storm surge and determine
the overall risk level. First, the Gumbel distribution was utilized to establish
five representative and plausible hypothetical typhoon events with different return
periods (10, 20, 50, 100, and 1000 years) for the study area. Then, using the well-
validated fully-coupled model, the Simulating Waves Nearshore (SWAN) model and the
ADvanced CIRCulation (ADCIRC) model, storm surge simulations for defined return
periods were run, and the geographical distribution of the maximum surge elevations
displayed on a GIS platform was used to assess hazard levels. In terms of the
physical aspect, the depth-damage functions for buildings were established to
estimate direct economic losses and assign risk levels accordingly. For the social
vulnerability of a community, a composite score was computed using the PCA method
by combining and aggregating indicators representing various characteristics of the
social group. The results show that the overall risk level, taking into account
both social vulnerability and physical vulnerability, has decreased on average. It
suggests that social vulnerability-based risk assessment may account for a
significant portion of the overall risk assessment, which is frequently overlooked
in traditional storm surge risk assessment. Additionally, the comprehensive and
precise risk maps can assist local policymakers in identifying areas at different
risk levels and developing evacuation plans, thereby minimizing potential losses,
especially in high-risk areas.
C1 [Wang, Si; Mu, Lin] Shenzhen Univ, Coll Comp Sci & Software Engn, Shenzhen,
Peoples R China.
[Wang, Si; Mu, Lin] Shenzhen Univ, Coll Life Sci & Oceanog, Shenzhen, Peoples R
China.
[Wang, Si; Qin, Hao; Zhao, Enjin] China Univ Geosci, Coll Marine Sci & Technol,
Hubei Key Lab Marine Geol Resources, Wuhan, Peoples R China.
[Wang, Lizhe] China Univ Geosci, Coll Comp Sci, Wuhan, Peoples R China.
[Yao, Zhenfeng] Marine Resources Informat Cente, Dept Nat Resources, Huizhou
Bur, Huizhou, Peoples R China.
C3 Shenzhen University; Shenzhen University; China University of
Geosciences; China University of Geosciences
RP Mu, L (corresponding author), Shenzhen Univ, Coll Comp Sci & Software Engn,
Shenzhen, Peoples R China.; Mu, L (corresponding author), Shenzhen Univ, Coll Life
Sci & Oceanog, Shenzhen, Peoples R China.; Qin, H (corresponding author), China
Univ Geosci, Coll Marine Sci & Technol, Hubei Key Lab Marine Geol Resources, Wuhan,
Peoples R China.
EM qh1qh100@alumni.sjtu.edu.cn; moulin1977@hotmail.com
FU Shenzhen Special Sustainable Development Science and Technology Project;
Shenzhen Fundamental Research Program; [KCXFZ20211020164015024];
[JCYJ20200109110220482]
FX Funding This work was supported by Shenzhen Special Sustainable
Development Science and Technology Project (Grant No.
KCXFZ20211020164015024) and Shenzhen Fundamental Research Program (Grant
No. JCYJ20200109110220482).
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NR 77
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 10
U2 18
PI LAUSANNE
EI 2296-7745
J9 FRONT MAR SCI
JI Front. Mar. Sci.
PD SEP 29
PY 2022
VL 9
AR 939380
DI 10.3389/fmars.2022.939380
PG 23
WC Environmental Sciences; Marine & Freshwater Biology
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Marine & Freshwater Biology
GA 5I3JF
UT WOS:000868256600001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Oliveira, JC
Andrade, GRP
Barbiero, L
Furquim, SAC
Vidal-Torrado, P
AF Oliveira Junior, Jairo C.
Andrade, Gabriel R. P.
Barbiero, Laurent
Furquim, Sheila A. C.
Vidal-Torrado, Pablo
TI Flooding effect on mineralogical and geochemical changes in
alkaline-sodic soil system of northern Pantanal wetlands, Brazil
SO EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF SOIL SCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE clay mineralogy; kaolinite-smectite interstratified; solonetz;
trioctahedral smectit; tropical soils; X-ray modeling
ID KAOLINITE-SMECTITE; CLAY-MINERALS; SALINE; BASIN; PRECIPITATION;
PEDOGENESIS; CHEMISTRY; EVOLUTION; TERRAIN; GENESIS
AB In the northern Pantanal wetlands of Brazil, alkaline sodic soils play a
significant role in the ecological functioning of the region, but little is known
about their mineralogical equilibria in current flooding dynamics, which is
necessary for good management of these areas. This study focused on a transition
between sodic and non-sodic soils, identified by low frequency electromagnetic
induction survey. Samples of B horizons from alkaline-sodic and non-sodic soils
were analyzed via soil solution from saturated paste, decomposition of X-ray
diffraction (XRD) patterns and transmission electron microscopy with X-ray
dispersive energy spectroscopy (TEM-EDS) analysis. The transition between alkaline-
sodic and non-sodic soils matches with the transition between flooded and non-
flooded areas. The soil solution shows a concentration factor of about 40 along
this transition. The formation of sodic soils results from an accumulation by
evaporation of solutions with a positive calcite residual alkalinity (RA(calcite)),
probably imposed by the chemistry of the Sao Lourenco River. An increasing Na:Ca
ratio caused solonization of the exchange complex. These alkaline-sodic soils,
however, can be interpreted as declining soils in the current context with an
evacuation of soluble salts during flood cycles. The detailed investigation of the
fine clay fraction (< 0.2 mu m) using full profile modelling and decomposition of
XRD patterns and TEM-EDS analysis demonstrates gradual transformations of
trioctahedral to dioctahedral smectite by Mg - Al substitutions on octahedral
sites, leading to the prevalence of kaolinite-smectite interstratified minerals
when the conditions become more acidic via the solodization process. Highlights
Clay minerals of alkaline-sodic soil have been altered due to flooding dynamic.
Clay minerals are a useful tool for understanding environmental changes.
Interstratified clay minerals result from current acidification. The evolution of
soil mineral suite is related to the environmental changes.
C1 [Oliveira Junior, Jairo C.] Univ Fed Parana, Soil & Engn Dept, BR-80035050
Curitiba, Parana, Brazil.
[Andrade, Gabriel R. P.] Univ Estadual Norte Fluminense, Soil Lab, Campos Dos
Goytacazes, Brazil.
[Barbiero, Laurent] Geosci Environm Toulouse, Toulouse, France.
[Barbiero, Laurent] Univ Sao Paulo, Ctr Energia Nucl Agr, Lab Ecol Isotop,
Piracicaba, Brazil.
[Furquim, Sheila A. C.] Univ Fed Sao Paulo, Dept Ciencias Ambientais, Diadema,
Brazil.
[Vidal-Torrado, Pablo] Univ Sao Paulo, Dept Soil Sci, Piracicaba, Brazil.
C3 Universidade Federal do Parana; Universidade Estadual do Norte
Fluminense; Universite de Toulouse; Universite Toulouse III - Paul
Sabatier; Universidade de Sao Paulo; Universidade Federal de Sao Paulo
(UNIFESP); Universidade de Sao Paulo
RP Oliveira, JC (corresponding author), Univ Fed Parana, Soil & Engn Dept, BR-
80035050 Curitiba, Parana, Brazil.
EM calderari@ufpr.br
RI Furquim, Sheila AC/I-7131-2015; Vidal-Torrado, Pablo/C-4020-2012;
Pugliese Andrade, Gabriel Ramatis/P-9246-2017; Barbiero,
Laurent/D-4168-2009; Oliveira, Jairo/A-2041-2012; Andrade, Gabriel
Ramatis Pugliese/AAF-4513-2021
OI Vidal-Torrado, Pablo/0000-0001-9228-9910; Pugliese Andrade, Gabriel
Ramatis/0000-0003-2110-5357; Barbiero, Laurent/0000-0002-7285-4270;
Oliveira, Jairo/0000-0003-3818-0513; Andrade, Gabriel Ramatis
Pugliese/0000-0003-2110-5357; Furquim, Sheila/0000-0001-7050-275X
FU Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cientifico e Tecnologico
[201049/2012-0]; Coordenacao de Aperfeicoamento de Pessoal de Nivel
Superior [001]; Fundacao de Amparo a Pesquisa do Estado de Sao Paulo
[09/54372-0, 11/11905-9, 11/13924-0, 13/09192-0, 17/23301-7]; Fundacao
de Amparo a Pesquisa do Estado de Sao Paulo (FAPESP) [09/54372-0,
17/23301-7, 11/13924-0, 11/11905-9] Funding Source: FAPESP
FX Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cientifico e Tecnologico,
Grant/Award Number: 201049/2012-0; Coordenacao de Aperfeicoamento de
Pessoal de Nivel Superior, Grant/Award Number: 001; Fundacao de Amparo a
Pesquisa do Estado de Sao Paulo, Grant/Award Numbers: 09/54372-0,
11/11905-9, 11/13924-0, 13/09192-0, 17/23301-7
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NR 45
TC 4
Z9 4
U1 1
U2 11
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 1351-0754
EI 1365-2389
J9 EUR J SOIL SCI
JI Eur. J. Soil Sci.
PD MAY
PY 2020
VL 71
IS 3
BP 433
EP 447
DI 10.1111/ejss.12871
EA AUG 2019
PG 15
WC Soil Science
SC Agriculture
GA LK1OK
UT WOS:000482363200001
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wang, Q
Taylor, JE
AF Wang, Qi
Taylor, John E.
TI Patterns and Limitations of Urban Human Mobility Resilience under the
Influence of Multiple Types of Natural Disaster
SO PLOS ONE
LA English
DT Article
ID HURRICANE SANDY; VULNERABILITY; IMPACT; LEVEL
AB Natural disasters pose serious threats to large urban areas, therefore
understanding and predicting human movements is critical for evaluating a
population's vulnerability and resilience and developing plans for disaster
evacuation, response and relief. However, only limited research has been conducted
into the effect of natural disasters on human mobility. This study examines how
natural disasters influence human mobility patterns in urban populations using
individuals' movement data collected from Twitter. We selected fifteen destructive
cases across five types of natural disaster and analyzed the human movement data
before, during, and after each event, comparing the perturbed and steady state
movement data. The results suggest that the power-law can describe human mobility
in most cases and that human mobility patterns observed in steady states are often
correlated with those in perturbed states, highlighting their inherent resilience.
However, the quantitative analysis shows that this resilience has its limits and
can fail in more powerful natural disasters. The findings from this study will
deepen our understanding of the interaction between urban dwellers and civil
infrastructure, improve our ability to predict human movement patterns during
natural disasters, and facilitate contingency planning by policymakers.
C1 [Wang, Qi] Harvard Univ, Radcliffe Inst Adv Study, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA.
[Taylor, John E.] Virginia Tech, Civil Engn Network, Dynam Lab, Jr Dept Civil &
Environm Engn, Charles E Via, Blacksburg, VA 24061 USA.
C3 Harvard University; Virginia Polytechnic Institute & State University
RP Taylor, JE (corresponding author), Virginia Tech, Civil Engn Network, Dynam Lab,
Jr Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Charles E Via, Blacksburg, VA 24061 USA.
EM jet@vt.edu
RI Taylor, John E/F-1002-2011
FU National Science Foundation [1142379]; Virginia Tech BioBuild
Interdisciplinary Graduate Education Program (IGEP) grant; Virginia
Tech's Open Access Subvention Fund; Directorate For Engineering; Div Of
Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact Inn [1733695] Funding Source: National
Science Foundation; Directorate For Engineering; Div Of Civil,
Mechanical, & Manufact Inn [1142379] Funding Source: National Science
Foundation
FX This study is supported by the National Science Foundation under Grant
No. 1142379 [http://www.nsf.gov/] and by the Virginia Tech BioBuild
Interdisciplinary Graduate Education Program (IGEP) grant
[http://biobuild.mlsoc.vt.edu/]. Open access publication of this article
was supported by Virginia Tech's Open Access Subvention Fund. The
funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis,
decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
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NR 56
TC 58
Z9 59
U1 4
U2 71
PU PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE
PI SAN FRANCISCO
PA 1160 BATTERY STREET, STE 100, SAN FRANCISCO, CA 94111 USA
SN 1932-6203
J9 PLOS ONE
JI PLoS One
PD JAN 28
PY 2016
VL 11
IS 1
AR e0147299
DI 10.1371/journal.pone.0147299
PG 14
(SSCI)
GA DC9GF
UT WOS:000369528400019
PM 26820404
OA gold, Green Submitted, Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Dugan, J
Byles, D
Mohagheghi, S
AF Dugan, Jesse
Byles, Dahlia
Mohagheghi, Salman
TI Social vulnerability to long-duration power outages
LA English
DT Article
DE Electric service interruption; Natural disasters; Power grid; Power grid
resilience; Power outage; Social vulnerability
ID HOME ENERGY MANAGEMENT; EMERGENCY-DEPARTMENT; NATURAL DISASTERS;
HURRICANE SANDY; RISK-FACTOR; PREPAREDNESS; EVACUATION; RESTORATION;
IMPACT; BLACKOUT
AB Although long-duration power outages can lead to significant damages to the
local economy, the human catastrophe that can potentially unfold due to the failure
of essential services can far out-weigh the financial damages incurred.
Furthermore, power outages do not impact individuals equally, and access to proper
resources (or lack thereof) can significantly affect how individuals deal with
long-duration outages. Various socioeconomic and demographic characteristics have
been shown in the literature to correlate with increased health risks, levels of
power outage pre-paredness, and willingness and means to evacuate if necessary.
This highlights the need to iden-tify socially vulnerable groups and communities so
that during such events information, assis-tance, and resources can be provided in
a more targeted manner. This study presents a three-dimensional metric of social
vulnerability to quantify the degree to which a person's life or liveli-hood is put
at risk by a long-duration power outage. Dimensions of vulnerability include
health, preparedness, and evacuation. Principal component analysis and an L2 norm
model are applied to produce a single metric for each of the three dimensions of
vulnerability. These three scores are then aggregated using Pareto ranking to
determine an overall vulnerability score. A case study is presented for the state
of Colorado using data from the 2020 US Census as well as other relevant federal
and state datasets. The index put forth in this paper can be used by power utili-
ties and other federal, state, or local authorities to plan and manage their
operations during long -duration power outages in a more equitable way.
C1 [Dugan, Jesse] Colorado Sch Mines, Adv Energy Syst Grad Program, Golden, CO
80401 USA.
[Byles, Dahlia; Mohagheghi, Salman] Colorado Sch Mines, Elect Engn Dept, Golden,
CO 80401 USA.
C3 Colorado School of Mines; Colorado School of Mines
RP Dugan, J (corresponding author), Colorado Sch Mines, Adv Energy Syst Grad
Program, Golden, CO 80401 USA.
EM jessedugan@mines.edu
OI Dugan, Jesse/0000-0003-0703-429X
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NR 90
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 2
U2 3
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD FEB 1
PY 2023
VL 85
AR 103501
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.103501
EA DEC 2022
PG 19
Water Resources
GA 7U6WE
UT WOS:000912271000001
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Gumber, S
Ghosh, S
AF Gumber, Siddharth
Ghosh, Satyajit
TI Quick Predictions of Onset Times and Rain Amounts from Monsoon Showers
over Urban Built Environments
SO ATMOSPHERE
LA English
DT Article
DE planetary boundary layer; urban meteorology; auto-conversion; accretion;
flooding alerts
ID CLOUD CONDENSATION NUCLEI; SEA-SALT; PARAMETERIZATION; TURBULENCE;
MODEL; PRECIPITATION; MICROPHYSICS; RADIATION; AEROSOLS; CYCLONE
AB Predicting the onset times of precipitation over densely populated cities for
the purposes of timely evacuation is a challenge. This paper explored a flooding
event over an urban built environment in a South Asian mega city, Chennai, where
extant urban planning models rely on predicted rainwater amounts for early warning
and impact assessment studies. However, the time duration of flooding events is
related to the nature of the urban sprawl in the built environment. Any evacuation
measure is invariably tied down to the time duration over which the precipitation
event occurs, and therefore to the expected time of a precipitation event to begin.
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time of precipitation. This study used optimised analytical formulations to predict
this time, and the derived analytical expressions for the case study yielded
comparable times estimated from a computer-intensive full-scale large eddy model
within an accuracy of 2%. It is suggested that municipal authorities (who are non-
experts in fluid mechanics) use this early prediction for the purposes of quick
alerts to a congested city's most vulnerable citizens within urban sprawls.
However, for the procedure to work at its best, it involves a two-stage procedure.
The first step involves the use of a parcel model to obtain the expected cloud
droplet spectral spreads based on the prevailing dynamical characterisations. The
second step involves an optimisation procedure involving cloud spectral properties
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new results are cast in closed form for easy incorporation into meteorological
applications over a variety of urban scales. Rain mass amounts were also predicted
analytically and used to configure Aeronautical Reconnaissance Coverage Geographic
Information System (ARCGIS) to compute low drainage flow rates over the vulnerable
parts of Chennai city. It was found that heavy precipitation over the North Chennai
region yielded discharge rates to the tune of similar to 250 m(3)s(-1) during a 24
h period, causing intense flooding in the low-lying areas around the Cooum River
basin with a large population density, with estimates sufficiently corroborating
observations.
C1 [Gumber, Siddharth; Ghosh, Satyajit] Vellore Inst Technol, Sch Mech Engn,
Vellore 632014, Tamil Nadu, India.
[Ghosh, Satyajit] Univ Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire,
England.
C3 Vellore Institute of Technology (VIT); VIT Vellore; N8 Research
Partnership; White Rose University Consortium; University of Leeds
RP Ghosh, S (corresponding author), Vellore Inst Technol, Sch Mech Engn, Vellore
632014, Tamil Nadu, India.; Ghosh, S (corresponding author), Univ Leeds, Sch Earth
& Environm, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, England.
EM siddharth.gumber@vit.ac.in; satyajitg@vit.ac.in
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NR 60
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 5
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4433
J9 ATMOSPHERE-BASEL
JI Atmosphere
PD MAR
PY 2022
VL 13
IS 3
AR 370
DI 10.3390/atmos13030370
PG 19
GA 0E7RV
UT WOS:000776875000001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Sacchi, S
Faccenda, G
De Michele, C
AF Sacchi, Simona
Faccenda, Giulio
De Michele, Carlo
TI Risk perception and behavioral intentions in facing compound
climate-related hazards
SO ISCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
ID FLOOD RISK; SUBJECTIVE-PROBABILITY; CONJUNCTION FALLACY; PREPAREDNESS;
PEOPLE
AB Compound climate-related events are a complex combination of climate drivers and
hazards leading to a significant impact on natural and anthropic systems. Owing to
their complexity and critical consequences, interdisciplinary undertak-ing is
required to improve risk analysis, management, and communication. Although prior
research in cognitive sciences extensively investigated risk perception in case of
a single hazard, the analysis of compound hazards percep-tion is still an open
issue. Here, based on cognitive psychology insights, we empirically investigate how
individuals' risk perception is shaped by the subjec-tive relevance attributed to
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different cues is likely to affect participants' automatic behavioral intentions
(stay at home vs. evacuation).
C1 [Sacchi, Simona; Faccenda, Giulio] Univ Milano Bicocca, Dept Psychol, Milan,
Italy.
[De Michele, Carlo] Politecn Milan, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Milan, Italy.
C3 University of Milano-Bicocca; Polytechnic University of Milan
RP Sacchi, S (corresponding author), Univ Milano Bicocca, Dept Psychol, Milan,
Italy.
EM simona.sacchi@unimib.it
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NR 55
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 1
U2 1
PU CELL PRESS
PI CAMBRIDGE
PA 50 HAMPSHIRE ST, FLOOR 5, CAMBRIDGE, MA 02139 USA
EI 2589-0042
J9 ISCIENCE
JI iScience
PD JAN 20
PY 2023
VL 26
IS 1
AR 105787
DI 10.1016/j.isci.2022.105787
PG 17
GA H8AH9
UT WOS:000998120600001
PM 36594027
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Hershey, TB
Van Nostrand, E
Sood, RK
Potter, M
AF Hershey, Tina Batra
Van Nostrand, Elizabeth
Sood, Rishi K.
Potter, Margaret
TI Legal Considerations for Health Care Practitioners After Superstorm
Sandy
LA English
DT Article
DE waivers of law; scope of practice; licensure; liability; Superstorm
Sandy
ID YORK-CITY HOSPITALS; HURRICANE SANDY; PUBLIC-HEALTH; EMERGENCIES;
PROFESSIONALS; PREPAREDNESS; CHALLENGES
AB During disaster response and recovery, legal issues often arise related to the
provision of health care services to affected residents. Superstorm Sandy led to
the evacuation of many hospitals and other health care facilities and compromised
the ability of health care practitioners to provide necessary primary care. This
article highlights the challenges and legal concerns faced by health care
practitioners in the aftermath of Sandy, which included limitations in scope of
practice, difficulties with credentialing, lack of portability of practitioner
licenses, and concerns regarding volunteer immunity and liability. Governmental and
nongovernmental entities employed various strategies to address these concerns;
however, legal barriers remained that posed challenges throughout the Superstorm
Sandy response and recovery period. We suggest future approaches to address these
legal considerations, including policies and legislation, additional waivers of
law, and planning and coordination among multiple levels of governmental and
nongovernmental organizations. (Disaster Med Public Health Preparedness.
2016;10:518-524)
C1 [Hershey, Tina Batra; Van Nostrand, Elizabeth; Potter, Margaret] Univ
Pittsburgh, Grad Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Policy & Management, 130 DeSoto St,A746
Crabtree, Pittsburgh, PA 15261 USA.
[Sood, Rishi K.] New York City Dept Hlth & Mental Hyg, Bur Primary Care Access &
Planning, Long Isl City, NY USA.
C3 Pennsylvania Commonwealth System of Higher Education (PCSHE); University
of Pittsburgh; New York City Department of Health & Mental Hygiene
RP Hershey, TB (corresponding author), Univ Pittsburgh, Grad Sch Publ Hlth, Dept
Hlth Policy & Management, 130 DeSoto St,A746 Crabtree, Pittsburgh, PA 15261 USA.
EM tbh16@pitt.edu
OI Van Nostrand, Elizabeth/0000-0002-1274-6251; Hershey,
Tina/0000-0002-8600-6168
FU University of Pittsburgh Center for Public Health Practice by The
Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response [1 HITEP130004-01-00]
FX Funded through the University of Pittsburgh Center for Public Health
Practice by The Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response
Project Number 1 HITEP130004-01-00.
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NR 31
TC 6
Z9 6
U1 0
U2 4
PI NEW YORK
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
PD JUN
PY 2016
VL 10
IS 3
SI SI
BP 518
EP 524
DI 10.1017/dmp.2016.33
PG 7
(SSCI)
GA DQ3VD
UT WOS:000379130700029
PM 27021812
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Verma, D
Berwal, P
Khan, MA
Alharbi, RS
Alfaisal, FM
Rathnayake, U
AF Verma, Deepak
Berwal, Parveen
Khan, Mohammad Amir
Alharbi, Raied Saad
Alfaisal, Faisal M.
Rathnayake, Upaka
TI Design for the Prediction of Peak Outflow of Embankment Breaching Due to
Overtopping by Regression Technique and Modelling
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE embankment; overtopping; peak outflow; breaching; hydraulic parameters;
laboratory water channel
ID DAM BREACH
AB The study of embankment breaching is not an easy practice, as it includes
various parameters to meet the suitability of the design approach, especially when
we consider it for the long term. Embankment breach studies generally include the
prediction of different breach parameters. The important physical and hydrodynamic
parameters of the flood wave generated from the embankment failure are breach
width, breach slope, formation time, peak outflow, and time to failure. Out of
these parameters, peak outflow is a very important breach parameter, as it deflects
the magnitude of destruction on the downstream side of the embankment and affects
the evacuation plans for the downstream population. The prediction of breach peak
outflow due to overtopping of the embankment is very essential for dam failure
prevention and mitigation, as well as for the design of an early warning system.
Many researchers have used dam failure data, comparative studies, experimental
studies, or regression techniques to develop various models for predicting peak
outflow. The present paper analyzes the results of the design for forty experiments
carried out in two different laboratory water channels (flumes). Different
embankment models are overtopped with the objective of studying the breach behavior
during overtopping. The study was inspired by reports in the open literature of
embankment failures that resulted in catastrophic conditions. With experimental
data, an efficient model is developed for predicting breach peak outflow (Q(p)) by
correlating with other independent embankment breach parameters for cohesive as
well as non-cohesive embankments. The model is validated with historical and
laboratory data compiled in the past. For the validation of current investigational
work, the experimental data of the present study are compared with the model
already developed by other researchers. From the study and analysis, it is observed
that breach peak outflow depends upon hydraulic, geometric, and geotechnical
parameters of embankments. Being a phenomenon that is active for a short duration
only, the manual measurement of various parameters of the modeling process poses
some limitations under laboratory conditions.
C1 [Verma, Deepak] Maharshi Dayanand Univ, Civil Engn Dept, Rohtak 124001, India.
[Berwal, Parveen; Khan, Mohammad Amir] Galgotias Coll Engn & Technol, Civil Engn
Dept, Greater Noida 201310, India.
[Alharbi, Raied Saad; Alfaisal, Faisal M.] King Saud Univ, Coll Engn, Dept Civil
Engn, Riyadh 11421, Saudi Arabia.
[Rathnayake, Upaka] Atlantic Technol Univ, Fac Engn & Design, Dept Civil Engn &
Construct, Sligo F91 YW50, Ireland.
C3 Maharshi Dayanand University; Galgotias College of Engineering &
Technology (GCET); King Saud University
RP Verma, D (corresponding author), Maharshi Dayanand Univ, Civil Engn Dept, Rohtak
124001, India.; Berwal, P; Khan, MA (corresponding author), Galgotias Coll Engn &
Technol, Civil Engn Dept, Greater Noida 201310, India.
EM 21deepakverma@gmail.com; parveenberwal@gmail.com; amirmdamu@gmail.com
RI Rathnayake, Upaka Sanjeewa/S-2435-2019; Berwal, Parveen/IAQ-4767-2023
OI Rathnayake, Upaka Sanjeewa/0000-0002-7341-9078; Berwal,
Parveen/0000-0003-2422-3391; amir khan, Mohammad/0000-0003-1550-0393
FU King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia [RSP2023R310]
FX This research was funded by Researchers Supporting Project Number
RSP2023R310, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
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Zhao G., 2016, THESIS U TECHNOLOGY
NR 40
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 2
U2 2
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD MAR
PY 2023
VL 15
IS 6
AR 1224
DI 10.3390/w15061224
PG 17
GA A9PP9
UT WOS:000958368700001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Parsons, M
Lykins, AD
AF Parsons, Melissa
Lykins, Amy D.
TI Cultural worldviews and the perception of natural hazard risk in
Australia
SO ENVIRONMENTAL HAZARDS-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
LA English
DT Article
DE Risk perception; cultural theory; disaster risk reduction; cultural
worldviews of risk
ID SELF-EVACUATION
AB The cultural theory of risk proposes that risk perception is biased by sociality
and the maintenance of four ways or life, or cultural worldviews: hierarchism,
egalitarianism, individualism or communitarianism. This study examined whether
cultural worldviews influenced the perception of the risk of bushfire, flood, storm
and earthquake in Australia. A sample of 503 participants completed two
questionnaires: cultural worldviews and natural hazard risk perception. Only 30% of
respondents held strongly hierarchical, egalitarian, individualist or communitarian
worldviews. Several aspects of natural hazard risk perception were predicted by
cultural worldviews, but associations were weak. Individualists perceived greater
risk of, and responsibility for, natural hazards possibly because they perceive
them to be a disruptive threat that limits freedom. Egalitarians perceived greater
risk from bushfire or storm, possibly because they understand the potential for
social impacts from these events and favour collective response. Notions of control
and mitigation of natural hazards were associated with hierarchism.
Communitarianism was not a predictor of natural hazard risk perception. However,
most people don't view natural hazards as a threat to their sociality and way of
life. Single heuristics, such as the cultural theory of risk, are unlikely to
capture the complexity of natural hazard risk perception in Australia.
C1 [Parsons, Melissa] Univ New England, Sch Humanities Arts & Social Sci, Armidale,
NSW 2351, Australia.
[Lykins, Amy D.] Univ New England, Sch Psychol, Armidale, NSW, Australia.
C3 University of New England; University of New England
RP Parsons, M (corresponding author), Univ New England, Sch Humanities Arts &
Social Sci, Armidale, NSW 2351, Australia.
EM melissa.parsons@une.edu.au
RI Lykins, Amy/GNW-6014-2022
OI Parsons, Melissa/0000-0002-3918-7306; Lykins, Amy/0000-0003-2930-3964
FU University of New England
FX This study was supported by a grant from the University of New England.
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NR 48
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 4
U2 9
PU TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
PI ABINGDON
PA 2-4 PARK SQUARE, MILTON PARK, ABINGDON OR14 4RN, OXON, ENGLAND
SN 1747-7891
EI 1878-0059
J9 ENVIRON HAZARDS-UK
JI Environ. Hazards
PD JAN 1
PY 2023
VL 22
IS 1
BP 29
EP 50
DI 10.1080/17477891.2022.2050668
EA APR 2022
PG 22
WC Environmental Studies
GA D4LD8
UT WOS:000777946800001
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU McClelland, E
Amlot, R
Rogers, MB
Rubin, GJ
Tesh, J
Pearce, JM
AF McClelland, Erin
Amlot, Richard
Rogers, M. Brooke
Rubin, G. James
Tesh, John
Pearce, Julia M.
TI Psychological and Physical Impacts of Extreme Events on Older Adults:
Implications for Communications
LA English
DT Article
DE vulnerable populations; communication; disasters
ID POSTTRAUMATIC-STRESS-DISORDER; NURSING-HOME RESIDENTS; INFLUENZA
VACCINATION; DISASTER PREPAREDNESS; RISK COMMUNICATION; NATURAL
DISASTER; EARTHQUAKE; EVACUATION; PERCEPTION; SYMPTOMS
AB In recent years, a series of large-scale, high-profile natural disasters and
terrorist attacks have demonstrated the need for thorough and effective disaster
preparedness. While these extreme events affect communities and societies as a
whole, they also carry specific risks for particular population groups. Crises such
as Hurricane Katrina and the 2011 earthquake and tsunami disaster in Japan have
illustrated the risk of significant and disproportionate morbidity and mortality
among older adults during disasters. Age does not necessarily equate to
vulnerability, but many physical and psychological consequences of the aging
process can increase the risk of adverse outcomes. As the older population grows,
so too does the need to ensure that adequate, practical, and appropriate measures
exist to offset the specific risks from extreme events associated with this
subpopulation. Effective risk and crisis communication plays a key role in
mitigating the extent to which older adults are differentially affected during
extreme events. By identifying the specific issues affecting older adults, this
review highlights important areas for action for practitioners and policy-makers,
particularly in the realm of crisis communication.
C1 [McClelland, Erin; Rogers, M. Brooke; Pearce, Julia M.] Kings Coll London, Dept
War Studies, Strand Campus, London, England.
[Rubin, G. James] Kings Coll London, Psychol Med, London, England.
[Amlot, Richard] Hlth Protect Agcy, Emergency Response Dept, Salisbury, Wilts,
England.
C3 University of London; King's College London; University of London;
King's College London; Health Protection Agency
RP Pearce, JM (corresponding author), Kings Coll London, Dept War Studies, Strand
Campus, London, England.
EM julia.pearce@kcl.ac.uk
OI Rogers, Brooke/0000-0002-7673-1876; Pearce, Julia/0000-0001-5422-3283
FU National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit
(NIHR HPRU) in Emergency Preparedness and Response at King's College
London; Public Health England (PHE)
FX The research was funded by the National Institute for Health Research
Health Protection Research Unit (NIHR HPRU) in Emergency Preparedness
and Response at King's College London in partnership with Public Health
England (PHE). The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not
necessarily those of the NHS, the NIHR, the Department of Health, or
Public Health England.
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NR 72
TC 14
Z9 14
U1 1
U2 22
PI NEW YORK
SN 1935-7893
EI 1938-744X
PD FEB
PY 2017
VL 11
IS 1
BP 127
EP 134
DI 10.1017/dmp.2016.118
PG 8
(SSCI)
GA EM6TB
UT WOS:000395444000020
PM 27645459
OA Bronze, Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU de Perez, EC
van den Hurk, B
van Aalst, MK
Jongman, B
Klose, T
Suarez, P
AF de Perez, E. Coughlan
van den Hurk, B.
van Aalst, M. K.
Jongman, B.
Klose, T.
Suarez, P.
TI Forecast-based financing: an approach for catalyzing humanitarian action
based on extreme weather and climate forecasts
LA English
DT Article
ID AFRICA; DISASTER; ENGLAND; FAMINE; SKILL; AREAS
AB Disaster risk reduction efforts traditionally focus on long-term preventative
measures or post-disaster response. Outside of these, there are many short-term
actions, such as evacuation, that can be implemented in the period of time between
a warning and a potential disaster to reduce the risk of impacts. However, this
precious window of opportunity is regularly overlooked in the case of climate and
weather forecasts, which can indicate heightened risk of disaster but are rarely
used to initiate preventative action. Barriers range from the protracted debate
over the best strategy for intervention to the inherent uncomfortableness on the
part of donors to invest in a situation that will likely arise but is not certain.
In general, it is unclear what levels of forecast probability and magnitude are
"worth" reacting to. Here, we propose a novel forecast-based financing system to
automatically trigger action based on climate forecasts or observations. The system
matches threshold forecast probabilities with appropriate actions, disburses
required funding when threshold forecasts are issued, and develops standard
operating procedures that contain the mandate to act when these threshold forecasts
are issued. We detail the methods that can be used to establish such a system, and
provide illustrations from several pilot cases. Ultimately, such a system can be
scaled up in disaster-prone areas worldwide to improve effectiveness at reducing
the risk of disaster.
C1 [de Perez, E. Coughlan; van Aalst, M. K.; Jongman, B.; Suarez, P.] Red Cross Red
Crescent Climate Ctr, The Hague, Netherlands.
[de Perez, E. Coughlan; van den Hurk, B.; Jongman, B.] Vrije Univ Amsterdam,
Inst Environm Studies IVM, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
[de Perez, E. Coughlan; van Aalst, M. K.] Columbia Univ, Earth Inst, Int Res
Inst Climate & Soc, Palisades, NY 10964 USA.
[van den Hurk, B.] Royal Netherlands Meteorol Inst, NL-3730 AE De Bilt,
Netherlands.
[Klose, T.] German Red Cross, Berlin, Germany.
C3 Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Columbia University; Royal Netherlands
Meteorological Institute
RP de Perez, EC (corresponding author), Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Ctr, The
Hague, Netherlands.
EM coughlan@climatecentre.org
RI van den Hurk, Bart/ABI-1654-2020; Jongman, Brenden/G-4822-2015; van
Aalst, Maarten/X-2017-2018
OI van den Hurk, Bart/0000-0003-3726-7086; Jongman,
Brenden/0000-0002-3361-2498; van Aalst, Maarten/0000-0003-0319-5627;
Coughlan de Perez, Erin/0000-0001-7645-5720
FU German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ);
German Red Cross; UK Department for International Development (DFID);
Netherlands Directorate-General for International Cooperation (DGIS);
Norwegian Research Council, through the project "Courting Catastrophe?
Humanitarian Policy and Practice in a Changing Climate"; NWO-VICI grant
on global flood risk [45314006]
FX Research and development of the standard operating procedures described
in this paper was funded by the German Federal Ministry for Economic
Cooperation and Development (BMZ). The Togo and Uganda Red Cross
societies have generously agreed to enable additional research and
implementation in the field, with support from the German Red Cross.;
The forecast-based financing idea emerged through participatory game
sessions designed with Janot Mendler de Suarez, in the context of the
project "Forecast-based humanitarian decisions" funded by the UK
Department for International Development (DFID) and the Netherlands
Directorate-General for International Cooperation (DGIS) for the benefit
of developing countries. However, the views expressed and information
contained in this paper are not necessarily those of or endorsed by DFID
or DGIS, who can accept no responsibility for such views or information
or for any reliance placed on them. Additional research support was
provided by the Norwegian Research Council, through the project
"Courting Catastrophe? Humanitarian Policy and Practice in a Changing
Climate". Brenden Jongman received financial support from an NWO-VICI
grant on global flood risk (grant agreement number 45314006).
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NR 42
TC 96
Z9 96
U1 3
U2 26
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
PY 2015
VL 15
IS 4
BP 895
EP 904
DI 10.5194/nhess-15-895-2015
PG 10
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA CH2TJ
UT WOS:000353877200018
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zhang, H
Yan, WL
Oba, A
Zhang, W
AF Zhang, Hui
Yan, Wanglin
Oba, Akihiro
Zhang, Wei
TI Radiation-Driven Migration: The Case of Minamisoma City, Fukushima,
Japan, after the Fukushima Nuclear Accident
SO INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH
LA English
DT Review
DE radiation contamination; Fukushima nuclear accident; migrant; aging;
depopulation; recovery; Minamisoma
ID POWER-PLANT ACCIDENT; HURRICANE-KATRINA; SAFETY REGULATIONS; DISASTER;
FOOD; CHERNOBYL; RECOVERY; RISK; RADIONUCLIDES; CONTAMINATION
AB The emigration of residents following the Fukushima nuclear accident has
resulted in aging and depopulation problems in radiation-contaminated areas. The
recovery of affected areas, and even those areas with low radioactive pollution
levels, is still heavily affected by this problem. This slow recovery consequently
affects immigration patterns. This review aims to present possible factors that
have contributed to this dilemma. We first present an overview of the evacuation
protocol that was administered in the study area following the Fukushima accident.
We then analyze characteristics of the subsequent exodus by comparing population
data for both before and after the accident. Based on the findings of existing
literature, we identify three causes of emigration: (1) The health risks of living
in a low radiation zone are still unknown; (2) The post-disaster psychological
disturbance and distrust of government information promotes the emigration of
evacuees; (3) an absence of economic vitality and of a leading industry renders the
area less attractive to individuals residing outside of the city. Further research
is needed on this issue, especially with respect to countermeasures for addressing
this problem.
C1 [Zhang, Hui] S China Normal Univ, Sch Urban Culture, Nanhai 528225, Foshan,
Peoples R China.
[Zhang, Hui; Yan, Wanglin; Oba, Akihiro] Keio Univ, Grad Sch Media & Governance,
Fujisawa, Kanagawa 2520882, Japan.
[Zhang, Wei] Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Publ Adm, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R
China.
C3 South China Normal University; Keio University; Huazhong University of
Science & Technology
RP Zhang, H (corresponding author), S China Normal Univ, Sch Urban Culture, Nanhai
528225, Foshan, Peoples R China.
EM zhangh3377@gmail.com; yan@sfc.keio.ac.jp; perry@sfc.keio.ac.jp;
weizhangscu@gmail.com
RI Yan, Wanglin/C-6787-2014; Zhang, Wei/AAS-6646-2021; yan,
wang/HHS-0749-2022
OI Zhang, Wei/0000-0003-0178-0750;
FU JSPS KAKENHI [FV14210AT]; Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research
[13F03776] Funding Source: KAKEN
FX This research is supported by JSPS KAKENHI Grant Numbers FV14210AT. The
authors thank the Minamisoma branch of the Environmental Counselors
Union for providing information on the examined issues. The authors also
thank the Minamisoma government for providing demographic data on
residents and evacuees.
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NR 77
TC 31
Z9 31
U1 1
U2 48
PU MDPI AG
PI BASEL
PA POSTFACH, CH-4005 BASEL, SWITZERLAND
SN 1660-4601
J9 INT J ENV RES PUB HE
JI Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health
PD SEP
PY 2014
VL 11
IS 9
BP 9286
EP 9305
DI 10.3390/ijerph110909286
PG 20
WC Environmental Sciences; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
(SSCI)
SC Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Public, Environmental & Occupational
Health
GA AP4DN
UT WOS:000342027500041
PM 25207491
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Laugier, F
Guyot, G
Valette, E
Blancher, B
Oguic, A
AF Laugier, Frederic
Guyot, Gregory
Valette, Eric
Blancher, Benoit
Oguic, Arnaud
TI Engineering use of hydrodynamic 3D simulation to assess spillway
discharge capacity
LA French
CT Conference on Operation and Design of Flood Evacuation
CY JAN 20-21, 2009
CL Paris, FRANCE
AB Until no physical models were most of the time required to properly understand
complex hydraulic problems. According to the choice of dimensionless numbers, they
allow to understand physical issues such as 3D flows, discharge capacity and energy
dissipation, sediment transport. Numerical approaches have been gradually developed
for 20 years. They were first appropriate for university or research centres.
Numerical tools are nowadays suitable to be used by engineering consultancy
services thanks to exponential increase of PC powers,performing numerical methods
and user friendly hue:faces.
This article presents results of numerical simulations carried out with Flow3D
(R), to assess discharge capacity of spillways. Results are very promising as
correlations with proven date coming from both literature and physical models are
very good, and often comparable to physical models datas uncertainty, for example
for the assessment of spillway discharge capacity.
As a conclusion, numerical codes might from now on be used without any physical
models for basic issues. They can also be used, in more complex configurations, in
addition to physical models to optimise projects because numerical models and
project variations are quick and cheap to run. Furthermore, 3D numerical models
also provide large quantity of output data, which cannot be supplied by a physical
model. 3D numerical models are therefore a way to substantially reduce hydraulic
studies schedule by weeks or months.
C1 [Laugier, Frederic; Guyot, Gregory; Valette, Eric; Blancher, Benoit; Oguic,
Arnaud] EDF CIH, F-73393 Savoie Technolac, Bourget Du Lac, France.
RP Laugier, F (corresponding author), EDF CIH, F-73393 Savoie Technolac, Bourget Du
Lac, France.
EM frederic.laugier@edf.fr; gregory.guyot@edf.fr; eric.valette@edf.fr;
benoit-externe.blancher@edf.fr; oguica@eleves.enpc.fr
OI Guyot, Gregory/0000-0003-2649-7134
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USBR, DES SMALL DAMS
NR 15
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 0
U2 7
PU EDP SCIENCES S A
PI LES ULIS CEDEX A
FRANCE
SN 0018-6368
EI 1958-5551
J9 HOUILLE BLANCHE
PY 2010
IS 2
BP 36
EP 46
DI 10.1051/lhb/2010017
PG 11
WC Water Resources
WE Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED); Conference Proceedings Citation
Index - Science (CPCI-S)
SC Water Resources
GA 599YO
UT WOS:000277950500004
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Reilly, AC
Tonn, GL
Zhai, CW
Guikema, SD
AF Reilly, Allison C.
Tonn, Gina L.
Zhai, Chengwei
Guikema, Seth D.
TI Hurricanes and Power System Reliability-The Effects of Individual
Decisions and System-Level Hardening
SO PROCEEDINGS OF THE IEEE
LA English
DT Article
DE Agent-based model; behavioral response; electric-power outage
ID AGENT-BASED MODEL; MITIGATION BEHAVIOR; CLIMATE-CHANGE; OUTAGES; RISK;
SIMULATION; EVACUATION; COST; INTERRUPTIONS; OPTIMIZATION
AB Hurricanes produce significant, widespread, and often prolonged electrical-
power outages. For example, Hurricane Irene caused more than 500 000 Long Island
Power Authority customers to lose power and it took eight days to achieve 99%
customer restoration. Individuals and businesses are heavily dependent on a
continuous supply of electricity. Given this strong dependence on reliable
electricity, individuals and private industries are increasingly putting collective
pressure on regulators to require system hardening by utilities. In some cases,
this has led to utility action. Conversely, many customers install a backup
generator to guarantee electricity supply during disruptive events. These actions
taken by individual customers affect their experiences in future storms, and are
generally influenced by individuals' strength of preference for reliable power,
their beliefs about the likelihood of losing power in the future, and the outcomes
of their most recent experiences. However, individual action may come at the
expense of collective action, whereby those who buy generators, often those with
more resources available to purchase the generator, do not participate in the
collective grievance, reducing the demand for overall system hardening. By using a
validated power-outage forecasting model in conjunction with an agent-based model,
we characterize how a community's likelihood of losing power in repeated hurricanes
is affected by the complex interactions among individuals' behavioral responses in
whether to engage in personal or collective action
C1 [Reilly, Allison C.; Zhai, Chengwei; Guikema, Seth D.] Univ Michigan, Dept Ind &
Operat Engn, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA.
[Reilly, Allison C.] Univ Maryland, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, College Pk, MD
20742 USA.
[Tonn, Gina L.] Johns Hopkins Univ, Dept Geog & Environm Engn, Baltimore, MD
21218 USA.
[Tonn, Gina L.] Univ Penn, Risk Ctr Wharton, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA.
C3 University of Michigan System; University of Michigan; University System
of Maryland; University of Maryland College Park; Johns Hopkins
University; University of Pennsylvania
RP Guikema, SD (corresponding author), Univ Michigan, Dept Ind & Operat Engn, Ann
Arbor, MI 48109 USA.
EM areilly2@umd.edu; gtonn@wharton.upenn.edu; cwzhai@umich.edu;
sguikema@umich.edu
RI Reilly, Allison/HGA-8219-2022
OI Reilly, Allison/0000-0001-7209-3566; Zhai, Chengwei/0000-0002-8508-9838;
Tonn, Gina/0000-0003-2633-6795
FU National Science Foundation (NSF) [1621116, 1631409]; Directorate For
Engineering [1621116] Funding Source: National Science Foundation; Divn
Of Social and Economic Sciences; Direct For Social, Behav & Economic
Scie [1631409] Funding Source: National Science Foundation; Div Of
Civil, Mechanical, & Manufact Inn [1621116] Funding Source: National
Science Foundation
FX This work was supported by the National Science Foundation (NSF) under
Grants 1621116 and 1631409. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or
recommendations presented in this paper are those of the authors and do
not necessarily reflect the view of NSF.
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NR 82
TC 18
Z9 18
U1 1
U2 11
PU IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC
PI PISCATAWAY
PA 445 HOES LANE, PISCATAWAY, NJ 08855-4141 USA
SN 0018-9219
EI 1558-2256
J9 P IEEE
JI Proc. IEEE
PD JUL
PY 2017
VL 105
IS 7
SI SI
BP 1429
EP 1442
DI 10.1109/JPROC.2017.2689720
PG 14
WC Engineering, Electrical & Electronic
(SSCI)
SC Engineering
GA EX8BE
UT WOS:000403472800015
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Ozaki, A
Leppold, C
Tsubokura, M
Tanimoto, T
Saji, S
Kato, S
Kami, M
Tsukada, M
Ohira, H
AF Ozaki, Akihiko
Leppold, Claire
Tsubokura, Masaharu
Tanimoto, Tetsuya
Saji, Shigehira
Kato, Shigeaki
Kami, Masahiro
Tsukada, Manabu
Ohira, Hiromichi
TI Social isolation and cancer management after the 2011 triple disaster in
Fukushima, Japan: A case report of breast cancer with patient and
provider delay
SO MEDICINE
LA English
DT Article
DE disaster; Minamisoma; social support
ID HURRICANE KATRINA; EARTHQUAKE; CARE; AFTERMATH; SURVIVORS; SUPPORT
AB Breast cancer patients may present with patient delay or experience provider
delay2 factors which can lead to a late-stage diagnosis and poor prognosis. Mass
disasters drastically change social structures, and have the potential to
contribute to these delays. However, there is little information available on
patient and provider delay related to cancer after disasters. In March 2011, an
earthquake, followed by a tsunami and nuclear accident struck Fukushima, Japan. In
July 2014, a 59 year-old Japanese widow, living alone, presented to our hospital
with a lump and pain in her right breast, which had originally appeared in April
2011 and continuously deteriorated for 3 years and 3 months. She was diagnosed with
stage IIIB right breast cancer. Detailed history revealed that she was exposed to
social isolation in the aftermath of the disasters due to evacuation of her friends
and daughter. Although she regularly saw her general practitioner, she did not
disclose her breast symptoms for 1 year and 5 months, at which time she was falsely
diagnosed with intercostal neuralgia. She did not seek further medical attention
for the breast symptoms for another 1 year and 10 months, despite multiple clinic
visits for unrelated reasons. The present disasters, particularly the nuclear
disaster, seem to have led to the social isolation of local residents, reducing
their opportunities to discuss health concerns with others and seek subsequent
medical attention.This case highlights that social isolation may contribute to
patient and provider delay in breast cancer patients, as accentuated in this
disaster setting.
C1 [Ozaki, Akihiko; Tsukada, Manabu; Ohira, Hiromichi] Minamisoma Municipal Gen
Hosp, Dept Surg, 2-54-6 Takamicho, Fukushima 9750033, Japan.
[Leppold, Claire] Minamisoma Municipal Gen Hosp, Dept Res, Fukushima, Japan.
[Tsubokura, Masaharu] Minamisoma Municipal Gen Hosp, Dept Radiat Protect,
Fukushima, Japan.
[Tanimoto, Tetsuya] Jyoban Hosp Tokiwakai Grp, Dept Internal Med, Iwaki,
Fukushima, Japan.
[Saji, Shigehira] Fukushima Med Univ, Dept Med Oncol, Iwaki, Fukushima, Japan.
[Kato, Shigeaki] Jyoban Hosp, Res Inst Innovat MedJyoban, Iwaki, Fukushima,
Japan.
[Kami, Masahiro] Med Governance Res Inst, Minato Ku, Tokyo, Japan.
RP Ozaki, A (corresponding author), Minamisoma Municipal Gen Hosp, Dept Surg, 2-54-
6 Takamicho, Fukushima 9750033, Japan.
EM ozakiakihiko@gmail.com
RI Tsubokura, Masaharu/D-7300-2017; Tsubokura, Masaharu/AAV-4364-2021;
Ozaki, Akihiko/AAD-3889-2021
OI Tsubokura, Masaharu/0000-0001-8027-202X; Tsubokura,
Masaharu/0000-0001-8027-202X; Ozaki, Akihiko/0000-0003-4415-9657
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NR 32
TC 18
Z9 18
U1 0
U2 10
PU LIPPINCOTT WILLIAMS & WILKINS
PI PHILADELPHIA
PA TWO COMMERCE SQ, 2001 MARKET ST, PHILADELPHIA, PA 19103 USA
SN 0025-7974
EI 1536-5964
J9 MEDICINE
JI Medicine (Baltimore)
PD JUN
PY 2016
VL 95
IS 26
AR e4027
DI 10.1097/MD.0000000000004027
PG 4
(SSCI)
GA DS1PV
UT WOS:000380369300051
PM 27368025
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Mak, PW
Singleton, J
AF Mak, Pey Wen
Singleton, Judith
TI Burning questions: Exploring the impact of natural disasters on
community pharmacies
SO RESEARCH IN SOCIAL & ADMINISTRATIVE PHARMACY
LA English
DT Article
DE Bushfire; Community pharmacy; Pharmacists; Medication management
pathway; Medicines; Medications; Medicines supply; Natural disasters;
Emergency supply; Disaster management; Disaster planning
ID HURRICANE-KATRINA; PUBLIC-HEALTH; ROLES
AB Background: The past decade has seen a rapid change in the climate system with
an increased risk of extreme weather events. On and following the 3rd of January
2013, Tasmania experienced three catastrophic bushfires, which led to the
evacuation of several communities, the loss of many properties, and a financial
cost of approximately AUD$80 million.
Objective: To explore the impacts of the 2012/2013 Tasmanian bushfires on
community pharmacies.
Method: Qualitative research methods were undertaken, employing semi-structured
telephone interviews with a purposive sample of seven Tasmanian pharmacists. The
interviews were recorded and transcribed, and two different methods were used to
analyze the text. The first method utilized Leximancer (R) text analytics software
to provide a birds-eye view of the conceptual structure of the text. The second
method involved manual, open and axial coding, conducted independently by the two
researchers for inter-rater reliability, to identify key themes in the discourse.
Results: Two main themes were identified - 'people' and - 'supply' from which
six key concepts were derived. The six concepts were `patients,' pharmacists,'
'local doctor,' pharmacy operations,' disaster management planning,' and 'emergency
supply regulation.'
Conclusion: This study identified challenges faced by community pharmacists
during Tasmanian bushfires. Interviewees highlighted the need for both the
Tasmanian State Government and the Australian Federal Government to recognize the
important primary care role that community pharmacists play during natural
disasters, and therefore involve pharmacists in disaster management planning. They
called for greater support and guidance for community pharmacists from regulatory
and other government bodies during these events. Their comments highlighted the
need for a review of Tasmania's three-day emergency supply regulation that allows
pharmacists to provide a three-day supply of a patient's medication without a
doctor's prescription in an emergency situation. (C) 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights
reserved.
C1 [Mak, Pey Wen] Univ Queensland, Sch Pharm, Brisbane, Qld, Australia.
[Singleton, Judith] QUT, Sch Clin Sci, Brisbane, Qld, Australia.
C3 University of Queensland; Queensland University of Technology (QUT)
RP Singleton, J (corresponding author), Fac Hlth, Sch Clin Sci, Discipline Pharm,
QUT Q Block Level 9,Gardens Point Campus, Brisbane, Qld 4000, Australia.
EM judith.singleton@qut.edu.au
RI Singleton, Judith Ann/AAC-8225-2022
OI Singleton, Judith Ann/0000-0002-7715-6391
FU Pharmaceutical Society of Australia
FX The authors wish to acknowledge the Pharmaceutical Society of Australia
for their generous support of this research and also gratefully
acknowledge the pharmacists who kindly shared their views and
experiences of the 2013 Tasmanian bushfires.
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NR 30
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 0
U2 15
PU ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
PI NEW YORK
PA 360 PARK AVE SOUTH, NEW YORK, NY 10010-1710 USA
SN 1551-7411
EI 1934-8150
J9 RES SOC ADMIN PHARM
JI Res. Soc. Adm. Pharm.
PD JAN-FEB
PY 2017
VL 13
IS 1
BP 162
EP 171
DI 10.1016/j.sapharm.2015.12.015
PG 10
WC Public, Environmental & Occupational Health; Pharmacology & Pharmacy
SC Public, Environmental & Occupational Health; Pharmacology & Pharmacy
GA EE8GM
UT WOS:000389863700012
PM 26846908
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Bailey, H
Secor, DH
AF Bailey, Helen
Secor, David H.
TI Coastal evacuations by fish during extreme weather events
SO SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
LA English
DT Article
ID STRIPED BASS; TURSIOPS-TRUNCATUS; RIVER ESTUARY; STORM; CONTINGENTS;
HURRICANE; MOVEMENT; DYNAMICS; PATTERNS; IMPACTS
AB An increase in the intensity and frequency of extreme events is predicted to
occur as a result of climate change. In coastal ecosystems, hurricanes and flooding
can cause dramatic changes in water quality resulting in large mortality events in
estuarine fauna. Facultative migration behaviors represent a key adaptation by
which animals can evacuate ecological catastrophes, but remain poorly studied in
marine systems. Here we identify coastal evacuations by otherwise resident riverine
striped bass in the Hudson River Estuary, New York, USA, caused by an intense
period of tropical storms in autumn 2011. These storms produced record rainfall and
high water discharges into the Hudson River Estuary that increased the water level
and reduced the water temperature, salinity and dissolved oxygen levels. Striped
bass moved out of the estuary, exhibiting novel migration behaviours, that may have
been in response to the strong flow and unsuitable conditions. In the months
following the storms, some fish demonstrated exploratory trips back to the estuary,
which may have been to assess the conditions before returning for the remainder of
the winter. Behavioural adaptions to weather events by striped bass and other
coastal fishes will depend on maintenance of key population segments and unimpeded
evacuation routes.
C1 [Bailey, Helen; Secor, David H.] Univ Maryland, Ctr Environm Sci, Chesapeake
Biol Lab, POB 38, Solomons, MD 20688 USA.
C3 University System of Maryland; University of Maryland Center for
Environmental Science
RP Bailey, H (corresponding author), Univ Maryland, Ctr Environm Sci, Chesapeake
Biol Lab, POB 38, Solomons, MD 20688 USA.
EM hbailey@umces.edu
RI Secor, David H./D-4367-2012; Bailey, Helen/E-6813-2012
OI Secor, David H./0000-0001-6007-4827; Bailey, Helen/0000-0001-7445-4687
FU Hudson River Foundation grant [002/13A]
FX This research was supported by a Hudson River Foundation grant to H.B.
and D.S. (Grant No. 002/13A). We thank Dewayne Fox and Lori Brown (ACT
Network), Mike Frisk and Keith Dunton (Stony Brook University), Amanda
Higgs (NYSDEC), John Manderson (NOAA Sandy Hook) and Mary Fabrizio and
Mark Henderson (VIMS) who all supplied vital equipment. Steve Nack
provided key technical field support for our Hudson River studies.
Rebecca Wingate, Mike O'Brien, Sean Harding, Ben Gahagan, and Matt
Breece all made important contributions to field research. Ben Gahagan
and Mike O'Brien contributed to the acoustic telemetry data analysis.
Brian Gallagher assisted with the analysis of the white perch data.
CR Applied Science Associates, 2014, 2013 YEAR CLASS REP
ASA Analysis & Communication, 2013, 2011 YEAR CLASS REP
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NR 35
TC 39
Z9 40
U1 1
U2 69
PU NATURE PORTFOLIO
PI BERLIN
PA HEIDELBERGER PLATZ 3, BERLIN, 14197, GERMANY
SN 2045-2322
J9 SCI REP-UK
JI Sci Rep
PD JUL 26
PY 2016
VL 6
AR 30280
DI 10.1038/srep30280
PG 9
GA DR9FP
UT WOS:000380202800002
PM 27455872
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Huang, DJ
Yu, ZB
Li, YP
Han, DW
Zhao, LL
Chu, Q
AF Huang, Dongjing
Yu, Zhongbo
Li, Yiping
Han, Dawei
Zhao, Lili
Chu, Qi
TI Calculation method and application of loss of life caused by dam break
in China
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Article
DE Loss of life; Fatality; Dam break; Impact factors; Module; Calculation
method; Consequence assessment; Risk prediction
ID MODEL; FLOODS
AB Dam failure constitutes a grave threat to human life. However, there is still a
lack of systematic and comprehensive research on the loss of life (L) caused by dam
break in China. From the perspective of protecting human life, a new calculation
method for L occurred in dam break floods is put forward. Fourteen dam failure
cases in China are selected as the basic data by three-dimensional stratified
sampling, balancing spatial, vertical elevation and temporal representations, as
well as considering various conditions of the dam collapse. The method includes
three progressive steps: Firstly, some impact factors of loss of life (IFL) are
selected by literature survey, i.e., severity of dam break flood (S (F)),
population at risk (P (R)), understanding of dam break (U (B)), warning time (T
(W)) and evacuation condition (E (C)). And the other IFL of weather during dam
break (W (B)), dam break mode (M (B)), water storage (S (W)), building
vulnerability (V (B)), dam break time (T (B)) and average distance from affected
area to dam (D (D)) are also taken into account to get a more comprehensive
consideration. According to disaster system and disaster risk, these eleven IFL are
divided into four categories. Through the improved entropy method, eight key IFL
are further selected out of the eleven. Secondly, four L modules are built based on
four categories, which are L-causing factor module (M (1)), L-prone environment
module (M (2)), affected body module (M (3)) and rescue condition module (M (4)).
Eventually, by using two methods of multivariate nonlinear regression and leave-
one-out cross-validation in combination with coupled four modules, the calculation
method for L is established. Compared with the results of Graham method and D&M
method, the result of the proposed one is much closer to the actual value and
performs better in fitting effect and regional applicability. In the application, L
calculation and consequence assessment are carried out in the example of Hengjiang
reservoir that has already broken down. At the same time, L calculation and risk
prediction are used in the analysis of Yunshan reservoir, which is under planning.
The proposed method can not only be applied to estimate L and its rate (f (L) )
under various types of dam break conditions in China, but also provide a reliable
consequence assessment and prediction approach to reduce the risk of L.
C1 [Huang, Dongjing; Yu, Zhongbo; Zhao, Lili] Hohai Univ, Coll Hydrol & Water
Resources, Nanjing 210098, Jiangsu, Peoples R China.
[Huang, Dongjing; Yu, Zhongbo; Han, Dawei] Univ Bristol, Dept Civil Engn,
Bristol BS8 1TR, Avon, England.
[Huang, Dongjing; Yu, Zhongbo; Zhao, Lili] Hohai Univ, State Key Lab Hydrol
Water Resources & Hydraul En, Nanjing 210098, Jiangsu, Peoples R China.
[Yu, Zhongbo] Univ Nevada, Dept Geosci, Las Vegas, NV 89154 USA.
[Li, Yiping] Hohai Univ, Coll Environm, Nanjing 210098, Jiangsu, Peoples R
China.
[Li, Yiping] Minist Educ, Key Lab Integrated Regulat & Resource Dev Shallow,
Nanjing 210098, Jiangsu, Peoples R China.
[Chu, Qi] Beijing Normal Univ, Key Lab Water & Sediment Sci, Minist Educ,
Beijing 100875, Peoples R China.
C3 Hohai University; University of Bristol; Hohai University; Nevada System
of Higher Education (NSHE); University of Nevada Las Vegas; Hohai
University; Beijing Normal University
RP Yu, ZB (corresponding author), Hohai Univ, Coll Hydrol & Water Resources,
Nanjing 210098, Jiangsu, Peoples R China.; Yu, ZB (corresponding author), Hohai
Univ, State Key Lab Hydrol Water Resources & Hydraul En, Nanjing 210098, Jiangsu,
Peoples R China.; Yu, ZB (corresponding author), Univ Nevada, Dept Geosci, Las
Vegas, NV 89154 USA.; Li, YP (corresponding author), Hohai Univ, Coll Environm,
Nanjing 210098, Jiangsu, Peoples R China.; Li, YP (corresponding author), Minist
Educ, Key Lab Integrated Regulat & Resource Dev Shallow, Nanjing 210098, Jiangsu,
Peoples R China.
EM zhby.hhu@gmail.com; liyiping@hhu.edu.cn
RI Zhao, Lili/N-4031-2018; huang, dongjing/AAD-4987-2019
OI Zhao, Lili/0000-0002-6414-9862;
FU National Natural Science Foundation of China [41323001, 51539003];
National Science Funds for Creative Research Groups of China [51421006]
FX This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of
China (Grant Nos. 41323001, 51539003) and National Science Funds for
Creative Research Groups of China (No. 51421006).
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TC 18
Z9 22
U1 3
U2 76
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD JAN
PY 2017
VL 85
IS 1
BP 39
EP 57
DI 10.1007/s11069-016-2557-9
PG 19
Water Resources
GA EH2PW
UT WOS:000391611000003
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Santos-Reyes, J
AF Santos-Reyes, Jaime
TI Using Logistic Regression to Identify Leading Factors to Prepare for an
Earthquake Emergency during Daytime and Nighttime: The Case of Mass
Earthquake Drills
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE earthquake drills; daytime drills; nighttime drills; earthquake
emergency; logistic regression; SASMEX
ID INFORMATION-SEEKING BEHAVIOR; SEISMIC ALERT SYSTEM; DISASTERS; PROGRESS;
FLOOD
AB Historical data have demonstrated that earthquakes can happen any time of the
day and night. Drills may help communities to better prepare for such emergencies.
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Mexico City. The sample size was 2400. The addressed research questions were "what
factors predict the likelihood that respondents would report that they agree on
conducting mass evacuation drills: (a) any time of the day and (b) any time at
night?" The logistic regression technique was employed to identify the factors
leading to the outcome. In relation to (a), five variables were significantly
associated with the outcome, i.e., age, frequency of drills, warning time,
knowledge on what to do, and "perception vulnerability city". Regarding (b), five
variables were also significantly associated with the outcome variable, i.e., age,
level of education, frequency of drills, negative emotions, and fear of
house/building collapsing. More generally, several drills should be conducted any
time of the day and night; further, 50% of them should be announced and 50%
unannounced. Furthermore, the time of earthquake drills should be randomly
selected. In this way, we may just match the spatial-temporal dimension of an
earthquake emergency. It is hoped that the findings will lead to better
preparedness of the residents of the capital city during an earthquake occurrence.
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Mexico City 07738, DF, Mexico.
C3 Instituto Politecnico Nacional - Mexico
RP Santos-Reyes, J (corresponding author), Inst Politecn Nacl, Grp Invest, SARACS,
SEPI ESIME,ZAC, Mexico City 07738, DF, Mexico.
EM jsantosr@ipn.mx
OI SANTOS-REYES, JAIME/0000-0002-3758-9862
FU CONACYT (Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnologia); SIP-IPN [248219,
20201790]
FX This project was funded by CONACYT (Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y
Tecnologia) and SIP-IPN under the following grants: CONACYT-No: 248219 &
SIP-IPN: No-20201790.
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NR 104
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 2
U2 8
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD DEC
PY 2020
VL 12
IS 23
AR 10009
DI 10.3390/su122310009
PG 25
(SSCI)
GA PD8MX
UT WOS:000597933300001
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Bandecchi, AE
Pazzi, V
Morelli, S
Valori, L
Casagli, N
AF Bandecchi, Anna Elisa
Pazzi, Veronica
Morelli, Stefano
Valori, Luca
Casagli, Nicola
TI Geo-hydrological and seismic risk awareness at school: Emergency
preparedness and risk perception evaluation
LA English
DT Article
DE Disaster prevention education; Sendai framework; Geohazard risk
reduction; Questionnaires; Geo-hydrological hazard; Coping capacity
ID DISASTER RESILIENCE; FLOOD RISK; HAZARD; EARTHQUAKE; VULNERABILITY
AB One of the targets of the Sendai Framework is to reduce disaster damage to
critical infrastructure and the disruption of basic services, particularly in
educational facilities, and to develop their resilience. To assess the geo-
hydrological and seismic risk awareness in schools in Tuscany (Italy), ad hoc
questionnaires were set up. These questionnaires focused on the knowledge of the
correct behaviours and procedures during an emergency as well as risk awareness and
perception. These questionnaires were different for each school age (from 3 to 19
years old) and were even conceived as a didactic instrument. We distributed 5899 in
total (820 to the school staff and 5079 to the students of each school stage), and
the analysis shows that, a) as age and responsibilities increase, geo-hydrological
and seismic risk awareness and preparation do not increase proportionally, which is
almost inadequate for the staff, and b) there is a disconnect between the school
evacuation plans and the city civil protection plan. The proposed questionnaires
were found to be a good instrument for both disaster education (to increase and
improve the level of awareness) and school-resilience evaluation (not only within
the Geohazard Safety Classification method) to plan further action and improve it.
Therefore, the present study suggests priorities for future school-based emergency
management efforts, i.e., to increase school resilience and develop a resilience
culture in the community. It is necessary to improve the dissemination of
information on the local geohydrological and seismic hazards and ensure a link
among the different emergency plans.
C1 [Bandecchi, Anna Elisa] Univ Florence, Ctr Civil Protect, Piazza San Marco 4, I-
50121 Florence, Italy.
[Pazzi, Veronica; Morelli, Stefano; Casagli, Nicola] Univ Florence, Dept Earth
Sci, Via G La Pira 4, I-50121 Florence, Italy.
[Valori, Luca] INAIL Direz Regionale Toscana, Via M Bufalini 7, I-50122
Florence, Italy.
C3 University of Florence; University of Florence
RP Bandecchi, AE (corresponding author), Univ Florence, Ctr Civil Protect, Piazza
San Marco 4, I-50121 Florence, Italy.; Pazzi, V (corresponding author), Univ
Florence, Dept Earth Sci, Via G La Pira 4, I-50121 Florence, Italy.
EM elisa.bandecchi@unifi.it; veronica.pazzi@unifi.it;
stefano.morelli@unifi.it; l.valori@inail.it; nicola.casagli@unifi.it
RI Morelli, Stefano/C-3842-2018; Casagli, Nicola/B-6882-2016; Pazzi,
Veronica/S-8899-2019
OI Morelli, Stefano/0000-0001-8069-3609; Casagli,
Nicola/0000-0002-8684-7848; Pazzi, Veronica/0000-0002-9191-0346
FU INAIL - Direzione Regionale per la Toscana [1642/2016, 1974/2017]; Area
Coordinamento Istruzione, Educazione, Universitae Ricerca of the Tuscany
Region; Earth Science Department of the University of Firenze; Ufficio
Scolastico Regionale of Tuscany
FX This work was funded by INAIL - Direzione Regionale per la Toscana
(Grant no. 1642/2016 and Grant no. 1974/2017) through a joint project
among INAIL, the Area Coordinamento Istruzione, Educazione, Universitae
Ricerca of the Tuscany Region, the Ufficio Scolastico Regionale of
Tuscany, and the Earth Science Department of the University of Firenze.
The authors want to thank the unbiased and expert school teachers
(Clementina Fornasari, Silvia Salerno, Claudia Morgese, Lucia Di
Giovanni, and Barbara Gurioli) who collaborated in designing
questionnaires Q4-Q7 and the headmasters, teachers and students involved
in the pre-test (in particular, Carla Busconi, Lucia Lisi, and Gabriele
Bicocchi). The authors are also grateful to all the people who
collaborated with the project, especially to the headmasters, the school
staff, and the students who actively cooperated during the field
surveys. All procedures were performed in compliance with relevant laws
and institutional guidelines. The privacy rights of people involved in
the research were observed.
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Z9 23
U1 1
U2 35
PU ELSEVIER
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 2212-4209
PD NOV
PY 2019
VL 40
AR 101280
DI 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101280
PG 11
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA JA4UM
UT WOS:000487832700013
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Grahn, T
Jaldell, H
AF Grahn, Tonje
Jaldell, Henrik
TI Assessment of data availability for the development of landslide
fatality curves
SO LANDSLIDES
LA English
DT Article
DE Landslide; Quick clay; Loss of life; Landslide fatalities; Data
availability; Landslide damage
ID HAZARD ASSESSMENT; RISK; FLOOD; EXAMPLE; UMBRIA; REGION; AREA
AB Quick clay landslides are a special feature of Norwegian and Swedish geologies.
Vibrations or small initial landslides can cause a quick clay layer to collapse and
liquefy, resulting in rapid landslides with little or no time for evacuation,
making them a real threat to human life. Research concentrating on damages due to
landslides is scarce, and analyses of loss of human lives caused by quick clay
landslides in the scientific literature are, to our knowledge, non-existing.
Fatality quantification can complement landslide risk assessments and serves as
guidance for policy choices when evaluating efficient risk-reducing measures. The
objectives of this study were to assess and analyze available damage information in
an existing data set of 66 historical landslide events that occurred in Norway and
Sweden between 1848 and 2009, and access its applicability for quantifying loss of
human life caused by quick clay landslides. Fatality curves were estimated as
functions of the number of exposed persons per landslide. Monte Carlo simulations
were used to account for the uncertainties in the number of people actually
exposed. The results of the study imply that the quick clay fatality curves are
non-linear, indicating that the probability of losing lives increases exponentially
when the number of exposed persons increases. Potential factors affecting human
susceptibility to landslides (e.g., landslide-, area-, or individual-specific
characteristics) could not be satisfyingly quantified based on available historical
records. Future research should concentrate on quantifying susceptibility factors
that can further explain human vulnerability to quick clay landslides.
C1 [Grahn, Tonje] Karlstad Univ, Ctr Climate & Safety, Univ Gatan 2, S-65188
Karlstad, Sweden.
[Grahn, Tonje] Karlstad Univ, Dept Environm & Life Sci, Karlstad, Sweden.
[Jaldell, Henrik] Karlstad Univ, Dept Econ, Karlstad, Sweden.
C3 Karlstad University; Karlstad University; Karlstad University
RP Grahn, T (corresponding author), Karlstad Univ, Ctr Climate & Safety, Univ Gatan
2, S-65188 Karlstad, Sweden.
EM tonje.grahn@kau.se
OI Jaldell, Henrik/0000-0002-9667-2260
FU Lansforsakringar AB, Sweden
FX The study is financially supported by Lansforsakringar AB, Sweden. We
also like to thank Lars Nyberg, Magnus Johansson, Kurt Petersen, and
four anonymous reviewers for constructive comments.
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NR 42
TC 20
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PI HEIDELBERG
SN 1612-510X
EI 1612-5118
J9 LANDSLIDES
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PD JUN
PY 2017
VL 14
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BP 1113
EP 1126
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PG 14
WC Engineering, Geological; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
SC Engineering; Geology
GA EV3ZN
UT WOS:000401697900023
OA Green Published, hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Sri-on, J
Vanichkulbodee, A
Sinsuwan, N
Rojsaengroeng, R
Kamsom, A
Liu, SW
AF Sri-on, Jiraporn
Vanichkulbodee, Alissara
Sinsuwan, Natchapon
Rojsaengroeng, Rapeeporn
Kamsom, Anucha
Liu, Shan Woo
TI Disaster preparedness among Thai elderly emergency department patients:
a survey of patients' perspective
SO BMC EMERGENCY MEDICINE
LA English
DT Article
DE Disaster preparedness; Elderly; Emergency department
ID FLOOD; ADULTS; IMPACT; EARTHQUAKE; HOSPITALS; RISK
AB Background In disaster situations, the elderly are considered to be a
particularly vulnerable population. Preparedness is the key to reduce post-disaster
damage. There is limited research in middle-income countries on how well elderly
emergency department (ED) patients are prepared for disaster situations. The
objective of this study was to determine the attitudes and behavior of elderly ED
patients toward disaster preparedness. Methods This study was a cross-sectional
face-to-face survey at one urban teaching hospital in Bangkok, Thailand between
August 1st and September 30th, 2016. Patients aged 60 and older who presented to
the ED were included to this study. We excluded patients who had severe dementia
[defined as Short Portable Mental State Questionnaires (SPMSQ) > 8], were unable to
speak Thai, had severe trauma and/or needed immediate resuscitation. The survey
instruction was adapted from previous disaster surveys. This study was approved by
the Vajira Institutional Review Board (IRB). Results A total of 243 patients were
enrolled. Most of them were female [154 patients (63.4%)]. The median age was 72
[Interquartile range (IQR) 66-81] years and the most common underlying diseases
were hypertension [148 patients (60.9%)] and diabetes [108 patients (44.4%)]. The
majority of patients [172 patients (72.4%)] reported that they had had some
teaching about disaster knowledge from a healthcare provider and had experienced a
disaster [138 patients (56.8%)]. While 175/197 (81.8%) patients who had underlying
diseases reported that they had a medication supply for disaster situations, only
61 (25.1%) patients had an emergency toolbox for disasters. Most patients (159,
65.4%) did not know the emergency telephone number, and 133 (54.7%) patients
reported transportation limitations. Conclusions While most Thai elderly ED
patients reported having a medication supply for disaster situations, many lacked
comprehensive plans for a disaster situation. Work needs to be done to improve the
quality of preparedness in disaster situations among elderly patients. Future
research should focus on preparedness knowledge regarding evacuation, and
shelter/residence for older patients.
C1 [Sri-on, Jiraporn; Vanichkulbodee, Alissara; Sinsuwan, Natchapon; Rojsaengroeng,
Rapeeporn] Navamindradhiraj Univ, Vajira Hosp, Dept Emergency Med, Bangkok,
Thailand.
[Kamsom, Anucha] Navamindradhiraj Univ, Vajira Hosp, Dept Biostat, Bangkok,
Thailand.
[Liu, Shan Woo] Harvard Med Sch, Massachusetts Gen Hosp, Dept Emergency Med,
Boston, MA 02115 USA.
C3 Harvard University; Harvard Medical School; Massachusetts General
Hospital
RP Sri-on, J (corresponding author), Navamindradhiraj Univ, Vajira Hosp, Dept
Emergency Med, Bangkok, Thailand.
EM Jiraporn.rew@gmail.com
OI Sri-on, Jiraporn/0000-0002-8853-2567; Vanichkulbodee,
Alissara/0000-0002-3938-1651
FU Vajira Research Foundation Grant for Research Development
FX Funding support for this study was received from a Vajira Research
Foundation Grant for Research Development. The funder of the study had
no role in study design, data collection, data analysis or writing a
manuscript.
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NR 24
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 1
U2 4
PU BMC
PI LONDON
SN 1471-227X
J9 BMC EMERG MED
JI BMC Emerg. Med.
PD OCT 23
PY 2019
VL 19
IS 1
AR 58
DI 10.1186/s12873-019-0269-7
PG 7
WC Emergency Medicine
SC Emergency Medicine
GA JG6BC
UT WOS:000492155600001
PM 31646965
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Ishii, K
Goto, A
Yoshida-Komiya, H
Ohira, T
Fujimori, K
AF Ishii, Kayoko
Goto, Aya
Yoshida-Komiya, Hiromi
Ohira, Tetsuya
Fujimori, Keiya
TI Postpartum Mental Health of Mothers in Fukushima: Insights From the
Fukushima Health Management Survey's 8-year Trends
SO JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY
LA English
DT Review
DE mother; depression; radiation; Great East Japan Earthquake; Fukushima
nuclear accident
ID GREAT EAST JAPAN; POWER-PLANT DISASTER; HURRICANE KATRINA; FEEDING
METHODS; DEPRESSION; EARTHQUAKE; PREGNANCY; ACCIDENT; PREDICTORS;
SUPPORT
AB With the aim of monitoring the mental and physical health of mothers and
children following the Fukushima nuclear accident and providing them with necessary
care, we have been conducting an annual survey of expectant and nursing mothers
since 2011. The Pregnancy and Birth Survey is a mail-in survey of about 15,000
individuals, with a response rate of approximately 50.0% each year. In addition,
because respondents to a survey conducted in the immediate aftermath of the
disaster showed a particularly high rate of depression, follow-up surveys have been
conducted at 4 years after childbirth. Reviewing the results of surveys from FY
2011 through FY 2018, we found that the prevalence of depressive symptoms among
mothers was highest in the survey after childbirth and decreased over time. Data of
follow-up surveys showed that the prevalence of depression was lower than
immediately after childbirth and then decreased over time. The proportion of
mothers with radiation anxiety was higher among respondents in the FY 2011 follow-
up than in the FY 2014 follow-up, indicating the prolonged impact of the nuclear
accident, especially among those who gave birth immediately after the disaster.
Characteristics of mothers who received telephone parenting counseling included
first delivery, caesarean section, living in evacuation zones, not being able to
receive medical examinations as scheduled, and having radiation anxiety. Continuous
care should be provided to mothers who gave birth immediately after the nuclear
accident, including routine perinatal care and parenting support, provision of
information on radiation, and long-term monitoring of their wellbeing.
C1 [Ishii, Kayoko] Fukushima Med Univ, Dept Midwifery & Maternal Nursing, Sch
Nursing, 1 Hikarigaoka, Fukushima 9601205, Japan.
[Goto, Aya] Fukushima Med Univ, Integrated Ctr Sci & Humanities, Fukushima,
Japan.
[Yoshida-Komiya, Hiromi] Fukushima Med Univ, Ctr Gender Specif Med, Fukushima,
Japan.
[Ohira, Tetsuya] Fukushima Med Univ, Dept Epidemiol, Sch Med, Fukushima, Japan.
[Fujimori, Keiya] Fukushima Med Univ, Dept Obstet & Gynecol, Sch Med, Fukushima,
Japan.
[Ishii, Kayoko; Goto, Aya; Ohira, Tetsuya; Fujimori, Keiya] Fukushima Med Univ,
Radiat Med Sci Ctr Fukushima Hlth Management Surv, Fukushima, Japan.
C3 Fukushima Medical University; Fukushima Medical University; Fukushima
Medical University; Fukushima Medical University; Fukushima Medical
University; Fukushima Medical University
RP Ishii, K (corresponding author), Fukushima Med Univ, Dept Midwifery & Maternal
Nursing, Sch Nursing, 1 Hikarigaoka, Fukushima 9601205, Japan.
EM kayokoi@fmu.ac.jp
OI Goto, Aya/0000-0002-7927-7648; ISHII, KAYOKO/0000-0001-5418-0172; Ohira,
Tetsuya/0000-0003-4532-7165
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NR 46
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 1
U2 1
PU JAPAN EPIDEMIOLOGICAL ASSOC
PI TOKYO
PA HONGO MT BLDG, 4 FL, 7-2-2, HONGO, BUNKYO-KU, TOKYO, JAPAN
SN 0917-5040
J9 J EPIDEMIOL
JI J. Epidemiol.
PD DEC
PY 2022
VL 32
SU 12
BP S64
EP S75
DI 10.2188/jea.JE20210385
PG 12
GA 6V6YO
UT WOS:000895190800001
PM 36464302
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Li, KH
Zhou, L
AF Li, Kehong
Zhou, Long
TI The Influence of Urban Flooding on Residents' Daily Travel: A Case Study
of Macau with Proposed Ameliorative Strategies
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE urban flooding; daily travel distance; network analysis; disaster
prevention and mitigation; Macau
ID LOW IMPACT DEVELOPMENT; PEARL RIVER DELTA; COASTAL INUNDATION; EXPOSURE;
EVACUATION; TRANSPORT; LEVEL; CHINA; MODEL; CITY
AB Climate change has resulted in more extreme weather events in coastal cities,
and understanding how daily life is impacted is crucial to make effective
adaptation measures. Using Macau as a testbed, this research describes examines the
impacts of flooding caused by storm surges on residents' daily travel and proposes
measures to ameliorate disaster risks. Spatial extents of urban floods were
modelled through inundation simulations using geographical information data. An
analysis of the travel distance increases from residents' homes to common types of
destinations was performed both under normal conditions and during flood events in
GIS (Geographic Information System) to assess the influence of urban flooding on
residents' daily travel. The results show that one third of the land is threatened
by floods in Macau. People's average travel distance increases as the warning
levels escalate, and travel distance is predicted to rise by up to 64.5%. Based on
the findings, the study proposes mitigation strategies to minimize urban flooding's
impacts. It suggests that the area more densely populated is not necessarily the
one requiring the deployment of preventative measures with the highest priority, as
a traffic analysis is identified as the key area which demands disaster prevention
measures.
C1 [Li, Kehong; Zhou, Long] City Univ Macau, Fac Innovat & Design, Macau 999078,
Peoples R China.
C3 City University of Macau
RP Zhou, L (corresponding author), City Univ Macau, Fac Innovat & Design, Macau
EM lzhou@cityu.mo
OI Zhou, Long/0000-0002-1789-4157
FU National Natural Science Foundation of China [51708399]; Macao
Foundation [MF 1814]; Macao Cultural A ff airs Bureau Academic Research
Grant [2018]; City University of Macau Foundation
FX This research was funded by National Natural Science Foundation of China
(No. 51708399); Macao Foundation (MF 1814) and Macao Cultural A ff airs
Bureau Academic Research Grant (No. 2018). The APC was funded by City
University of Macau Foundation.
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NR 53
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 6
U2 31
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD SEP
PY 2019
VL 11
IS 9
AR 1825
DI 10.3390/w11091825
PG 21
(SSCI)
GA JB8PJ
UT WOS:000488834400088
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Peer, N
Perissinotto, R
Miranda, NAF
Raw, JL
AF Peer, N.
Perissinotto, R.
Miranda, N. A. F.
Raw, J. L.
TI A stable isotopic study of the diet of Potamonautes sidneyi (Brachyura:
Potamonautidae) in two coastal lakes of the iSimangaliso Wetland Park,
South Africa
SO WATER SA
LA English
DT Article
DE diet; trophic role; stable isotopes; freshwater; brachyurans;
opportunistic feeders
ID FRESH-WATER CRAB; ST-LUCIA ESTUARY; GASTRIC EVACUATION; TROPHIC
POSITION; STOMACH CONTENTS; ONTOGENIC NICHE; EAST-AFRICA; CRUSTACEA;
NITROGEN; ENRICHMENT
AB Potamonautes sidneyi Rathbun 1904, is a dominant freshwater crab in KwaZulu-
Natal, South Africa. Recent flood events in the iSimangaliso Wetland Park have
allowed a substantial range expansion of this species, including previously
hypersaline and desiccated areas. A stable isotope study was conducted to examine
the feeding habits of the populations from Lake Sibaya and Mpophomeni Stream, two
contrasting sites in the iSimangaliso Wetland Park. Juveniles from Mpophomeni
Stream were more depleted in delta C-13 and more enriched in delta N-15 compared to
adults, indicating a more carnivorous diet and higher trophic position. A general
shift in diet was observed at both sites, with consumption of aquatic invertebrates
and sedimentary organic matter more prevalent in the wet summer months, while
greater proportions of detritus and microphytobenthos were consumed in
autumn/winter. No significant difference was observed between adults from the two
sites despite the abiotic variations. The species appears to play a complex role in
the trophic web, by acting as an intermediate consumer facilitating the flow of
nutrients across levels and by breaking down decomposing organic matter, allowing
for rapid recycling of nutrients within its ecosystem.
C1 [Peer, N.; Perissinotto, R.; Miranda, N. A. F.; Raw, J. L.] Nelson Mandela
Metropolitan Univ, Dept Zool, DST NRE Res Chair Shallow Water Ecosyst, ZA-6031 Port
Elizabeth, South Africa.
C3 Nelson Mandela University
RP Peer, N (corresponding author), Nelson Mandela Metropolitan Univ, Dept Zool, DST
NRE Res Chair Shallow Water Ecosyst, POB 77000, ZA-6031 Port Elizabeth, South
Africa.
EM peer.nasreen@gmail.com
RI Raw, Jacqueline/AAS-5664-2020; Miranda, Nelson/H-9349-2013; Peer,
Nasreen/F-5528-2015
OI Raw, Jacqueline/0000-0002-5270-032X; Miranda,
Nelson/0000-0002-9308-6688; Peer, Nasreen/0000-0003-4786-1257
FU iSimangaliso Park Authority; Ezemvelo KZN Wildlife; South African
Research Chairs Initiative of the Department of Science and Technology
(DST); National Research Foundation (NRF) of South Africa
FX We thank the iSimangaliso Park Authority and Ezemvelo KZN Wildlife for
supporting this project. This work is based on the research supported by
the South African Research Chairs Initiative of the Department of
Science and Technology (DST) and National Research Foundation (NRF) of
South Africa. Any opinion, finding and conclusion or recommendation
expressed in this material is that of the author(s) and the NRF does not
accept any liability in this regard.
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NR 64
TC 9
Z9 10
U1 0
U2 14
PU WATER RESEARCH COMMISSION
PI PRETORIA
PA PO BOX 824, PRETORIA 0001, SOUTH AFRICA
SN 0378-4738
EI 1816-7950
J9 WATER SA
JI Water SA
PD JUL
PY 2015
VL 41
IS 4
BP 549
EP 558
DI 10.4314/wsa.v41i4.15
PG 10
WC Water Resources
SC Water Resources
GA CV6YK
UT WOS:000364418100014
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Spencer, T
Brooks, SM
Evans, BR
Tempest, JA
Moller, I
AF Spencer, Thomas
Brooks, Susan M.
Evans, Ben R.
Tempest, James A.
Moeller, Iris
TI Southern North Sea storm surge event of 5 December 2013: Water levels,
waves and coastal impacts
SO EARTH-SCIENCE REVIEWS
LA English
DT Article
DE Sea flooding; Shoreline retreat; Digital Shoreline Analysis System; Sea
level rise; Southern North Sea
ID SOFT-ROCK CLIFFS; EAST-COAST; SUFFOLK COAST; SEDIMENT RELEASE; 1ST
FEBRUARY; BIG-FLOOD; UK; ENGLAND; MANAGEMENT; RECESSION
AB The storm surge event that affected the coastal margins of the southern North
Sea on 5-6 December 2013 produced the highest still water levels on record at
several tide gauges on the UK east coast. On east-facing coasts south of the Humber
estuary and north-facing Norfolk, water levels were higher than in the twentieth
century benchmark surge event of 31 January-1 February 1953. Maximum significant
wave heights were highest off the North Norfolk coast (peak H-s = 3.8 m offshore,
2.9 m inshore) and lowest off the Suffolk coast (H-s = 1.5-1.8 m inshore);
comparable offshore wave heights in 1953 were 7-8 m and ca. 3 m. The lower wave
heights, and their short duration, in 2013 explain both localised breaching,
overtopping, and back-barrier flooding associated with gravel ridges and relatively
low earthen banks as well as the lack of failure in more highly-engineered coastal
defences. On barrier coasts and within estuaries, the signal of maximum runup was
highly variable, reflecting the modification of the tide-surge-wave signal by
inshore bathymetry and the presence of a range of coastal ecosystems. The landscape
impacts of the December 2013 surge included the notching of soft rock cliffs and
cliffline retreat; erosion of coastal dunes; and the augmentation or re-activation
of barrier island washover deposits. Whilst surge event-related cliff retreat on
the rapidly eroding cliffs of the Suffolk coast lay within the natural variability
in inter-annual rates of retreat, the impact of the surge on upper beach/sand dune
margins produced a pulse of shoreline translation landwards equivalent to about 10
years of 'normal' shoreline retreat. The study of east coast surges over the last
60 years, and the identification of significant phases of landscape change such as
periods of rapid soft rock cliff retreat and the formation of new gravel washovers
on barrier islands points to the importance of high water levels being accompanied
by high wave activity. Future developments in early warning systems and evacuation
planning require information on the variable impacts of such extreme events. (c)
2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.
C1 [Spencer, Thomas; Evans, Ben R.; Tempest, James A.; Moeller, Iris] Univ
Cambridge, Dept Geog, Cambridge Coastal Res Unit, Cambridge CB2 3EN, England.
[Brooks, Susan M.] Univ London, Dept Geog Environm & Dev Studies, London WC1E
7HX, England.
C3 University of Cambridge; University of London
RP Spencer, T (corresponding author), Univ Cambridge, Dept Geog, Cambridge Coastal
Res Unit, Downing Pl, Cambridge CB2 3EN, England.
EM ts111@cam.ac.uk
RI Spencer, Thomas/AAD-6434-2020
OI Moller, Iris/0000-0003-1971-2932
FU NERC BESS Consortium [NE/J015423/1]; EA; NERC; NERC [NE/J015423/1]
Funding Source: UKRI; Natural Environment Research Council
[NE/J015423/1] Funding Source: researchfish
FX This paper is a contribution to NERC BESS Consortium grant A
hierarchical approach to the examination of the relationship between
biodiversity and ecosystem service flows across coastal margins (grant
reference NE/J015423/1). Table 5 incorporates information gathered as
part of an EU FP7 Collaborative Project Resilience-Increasing Strategies
for Coasts - toolkit (RISC_KIT). We are grateful to Anna McIvor for
assistance in compiling this table. We are grateful to Eleanor Heron,
Michelle Partridge, Rebecca Brown, David Kemp and Guy Cooper (UK
Environment Agency (EA)) and David Cox (UK Met Office) for insightful
discussions; all interpretations, however, remain our own. We thank
David Welsh, Liz Klotz and Lucy Osborn (Environment Agency) for
assistance with aerial photography coverage and tidal data for King's
Lynn and Wells-next-the-Sea. Tide gauge data for other stations were
supplied by the British Oceanographic Data Centre as part of the
function of the National Tidal & Sea Level Facility, hosted by the
Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory and funded by the EA and NERC. Access
to Suffolk field sites was generously allowed by Edward Vere Nicoll of
the Benacre Estate. Information on sea wall breaches and flood areas on
the Suffolk coast were kindly facilitated by Trazar Astley-Reid (Suffolk
Coastal), Karen Thomas and Naomi Drown (EA). High quality oblique aerial
photography, taken immediately following the December 2013 surge, was
generously provided by Mike Page. In the Department of Geography,
Cambridge University, we thank Steve Boreham and Chris Rolfe,
Environmental Science Laboratories, for assistance with field survey
equipment; Philip Stickler, Cartography Unit, for GIS and cartographic
services; and Tom Pryke, Alan Martin and Gordon Fuller for additional
field reports and photography. Field survey was assisted by LJ and RT
Spencer. Useful discussions were undertaken with Steve Hayman
(Environment Agency), Tim Collins (Natural England) and John Sharpe and
Aaron Howe (Royal Society for the Protection of Birds). We are grateful
to Julian Wright (Environment Agency) for the opportunity to present
initial findings at the 'Coastal Habitats' meeting in Norwich in March
2014 and for feedback from all those present.
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[No title captured]
[No title captured]
NR 88
TC 116
Z9 119
U1 8
U2 100
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 0012-8252
EI 1872-6828
J9 EARTH-SCI REV
JI Earth-Sci. Rev.
PD JUL
PY 2015
VL 146
BP 120
EP 145
DI 10.1016/j.earscirev.2015.04.002
PG 26
SC Geology
GA CK4IB
UT WOS:000356186400007
OA hybrid, Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zhu, L
Gong, YM
Xu, YS
Gu, J
AF Zhu, Li
Gong, Yeming
Xu, Yishui
Gu, Jun
TI Emergency relief routing models for injured victims considering equity
and priority
SO ANNALS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH
LA English
DT Article
DE Humanitarian logistics; Equity; Priority; Path selection; Meta-heuristic
algorithm
ID ANT COLONY OPTIMIZATION; SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT; HUMANITARIAN
LOGISTICS; DISASTER RESPONSE; NETWORK DESIGN; TIME-WINDOWS; EVACUATION;
ASSIGNMENT; ALLOCATION; EFFICIENCY
AB In humanitarian aid, emergency relief routing optimization needs to consider
equity and priority issues. Different from the general path selection optimization,
this paper builds two models differentiated by considerations on the identical and
diverse injured degrees, where the relative deprivation cost is proposed as one of
the decision-making objectives to emphasize equity, and the in-transit tolerable
suffering duration is employed as a type of time window constraint to highlight
rescue priority. After proving the NP-hardness of our models, we design a meta-
heuristic algorithm based on the ant colony optimization to accelerate the
convergence speed, which is more efficient than the commonly-used genetic
algorithm. Taking 2017 Houston Flood as a case, we find results by performing the
experimental comparison and sensitivity analysis. First, our models have advantages
in the fairness of human sufferings mitigation. Second, the role of the in-transit
tolerable suffering time window cannot be ignored in humanitarian relief solutions.
Various measures are encouraged to extend this type of time window for achieving
better emergency relief. Finally, our proposed hybrid transportation strategy
aiming at diverse injured degrees stably outperforms the separated strategy, both
in operational cost control and psychological sufferings alleviation, especially
when relief supplies are limited.
C1 [Zhu, Li; Xu, Yishui; Gu, Jun] Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Sch
Management Sci & Engn, Nanjing, Peoples R China.
[Zhu, Li; Xu, Yishui; Gu, Jun] Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, China Inst
Mfg Dev, Nanjing, Peoples R China.
[Gong, Yeming] EMLYON Business Sch, Ecully, France.
C3 Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology; Nanjing
University of Information Science & Technology; EMLYON Business School
RP Gong, YM (corresponding author), EMLYON Business Sch, Ecully, France.
EM GONG@em-lyon.com
RI GONG, Yeming/I-7148-2012
OI GONG, Yeming/0000-0001-9270-5507
FU NSFC [71571103, 71620107002]; China Scholarship Council [201709040001];
NSSFC [16ZDA013]
FX This study was funded by NSFC (Grant Nos. 71571103 and 71620107002),
China Scholarship Council (Grant No. 201709040001), and NSSFC (Grant No.
16ZDA013).
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NR 67
TC 40
Z9 43
U1 27
U2 145
PU SPRINGER
PI DORDRECHT
PA VAN GODEWIJCKSTRAAT 30, 3311 GZ DORDRECHT, NETHERLANDS
SN 0254-5330
EI 1572-9338
J9 ANN OPER RES
JI Ann. Oper. Res.
PD DEC
PY 2019
VL 283
IS 1-2
SI SI
BP 1573
EP 1606
DI 10.1007/s10479-018-3089-3
PG 34
WC Operations Research & Management Science
(SSCI)
SC Operations Research & Management Science
GA KA1WF
UT WOS:000505588800060
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Guihenneuc, J
Ayraud-Thevenot, S
Roschnik, S
Dupuis, A
Migeot, V
AF Guihenneuc, Jeremy
Ayraud-Thevenot, Sarah
Roschnik, Sonia
Dupuis, Antoine
Migeot, Virginie
TI Climate change and health care facilities: A risk analysis framework
through a mapping review
SO ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH
LA English
DT Review
DE Climate change; Health care facilities; Risk; Climate hazards; Review
ID HURRICANE; EVACUATION; IMPACT
AB Introduction: Climate change (CC) has been identified as the biggest global
health threat of the 21st century. Although health care facilities (HCF) play a
central role in the care of populations, there has been no compre-hensive
assessment of the impact of CC on HCF. The objective of our study was to highlight
the components of HCFs affected by CC through a mapping review of the
literature.Methods: To meet our objective, we first assessed the place of HCFs in
relation to CC in the scientific literature and in the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) reports. Bibliometric data from the PubMed database were
analyzed between 1979 and 2021 to assess the penetration of keywords on CC alone,
and in relation to health and HCF in particular. Second, we analyzed the changes in
HCF keywords in the IPCC reports. Finally, we conducted a mapping review in five
databases, of the international scientific literature published between 1979 and
2019, and identified the components of HCF affected by CC using the Ishikawa
diagram. Results: From the 2000s, the number of publications on CC and HCF
increased gradually with 137 articles in 2005, and even more sharply since 2008
with 358 articles published and 813 in 2021. Even though CC is only recently
present in the biomedical literature, all climatic events (warming and heatwaves,
droughts, wildfires, storms, hurricanes and cyclones, floods and sea-level rise,
and other indirect effects) have had an impact on at least one component of HCF.
Conclusion: HCFs are already impacted, in all their components, by CC. By enhancing
our understanding of the impacts of CC on HCF, this work could contribute to the
engagement of health professionals in the imple-mentation of mitigation and
adaptation actions, thereby limiting the consequences of CC on patient care.
C1 [Guihenneuc, Jeremy; Ayraud-Thevenot, Sarah; Dupuis, Antoine; Migeot, Virginie]
Univ Poitiers, Sch Med & Pharm, 6 Rue Miletrie,TSA 51115, F-86073 Poitiers, France.
[Guihenneuc, Jeremy; Ayraud-Thevenot, Sarah; Dupuis, Antoine; Migeot, Virginie]
Univ Hosp Poitiers, Biol Pharm Publ Hlth Dept, 2 Rue Miletrie, F-86021 Poitiers,
France.
INSERM, Clin Invest Ctr 1402, 2 Rue Miletrie, F-86021 Poitiers, France.
Univ Poitiers, CNRS UMR7267, Ecol & Biol Interact, F-86000 Poitiers, France.
[Roschnik, Sonia] Hlth Care Harm Europe, 1 Rue Pepiniere, B-1000 Brussels,
Belgium.
C3 Universite de Poitiers; CHU Poitiers; Universite de Poitiers; Institut
National de la Sante et de la Recherche Medicale (Inserm); Universite de
Poitiers; Universite de Poitiers
RP Guihenneuc, J (corresponding author), Univ Hosp Poitiers, Biol Pharm Publ Hlth
Dept, 2 Rue Miletrie, F-86021 Poitiers, France.
EM jeremy.guihenneuc@univ-poitiers.fr
RI migeot, virginie/G-4483-2010
OI migeot, virginie/0000-0003-3713-219X; Guihenneuc,
Jeremy/0000-0001-8384-8733; DUPUIS, Antoine/0000-0003-2471-5679
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NR 84
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 6
U2 12
PU ACADEMIC PRESS INC ELSEVIER SCIENCE
PI SAN DIEGO
PA 525 B ST, STE 1900, SAN DIEGO, CA 92101-4495 USA
SN 0013-9351
EI 1096-0953
J9 ENVIRON RES
JI Environ. Res.
PD JAN 1
PY 2023
VL 216
AR 114709
DI 10.1016/j.envres.2022.114709
EA NOV 2022
PN 3
PG 10
Health
GA 6W7PJ
UT WOS:000895918600005
PM 36343709
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wang, S
Mu, L
Yao, ZF
Gao, J
Zhao, EJ
Wang, LZ
AF Wang, Si
Mu, Lin
Yao, Zhenfeng
Gao, Jia
Zhao, Enjin
Wang, Lizhe
TI Assessing and zoning of typhoon storm surge risk with a geographic
information system (GIS) technique: a case study of the coastal area of
Huizhou
LA English
DT Article
ID HURRICANE WAVES; FLOODING RISK; MODEL; VULNERABILITY; HAZARD
AB Storm surge is one of the most destructive marine disasters to life and property
for Chinese coastal regions, especially for Guangdong Province. In Huizhou city,
Guangdong Province, due to the high concentrations of chemical and petroleum
industries and the high population density, the low-lying coastal area is
susceptible to the storm surge. Therefore, a comprehensive risk assessment of storm
surge over the coastal area of Huizhou can delimit zones that could be affected to
reduce disaster losses. In this paper, typhoon intensity for the minimum central
pressure of 880, 910, 920, 930, and 940 hPa (corresponding to a 1000-, 100-, 50-,
20-, and 10-year return period) scenarios was designed to cover possible
situations. The Jelesnianski method and the Advanced Circulation (ADCIRC) model
coupled with the Simulating Waves Nearshore (SWAN) model were utilized to simulate
inundation extents and depths of storm surge over the computational domain under
these representative scenarios. Subsequently, the output data from the coupled
simulation model (ADCIRC-SWAN) were imported to the geographic information system
(GIS) software to conduct the hazard assessment for each of the designed scenarios.
Then, the vulnerability assessment was made based on the dataset of land cover
types in the coastal region. Consequently, the potential storm surge risk maps for
the designed scenarios were produced by combining hazard assessment and
vulnerability assessment with the risk matrix approach. The risk maps indicate that
due to the protection given by storm surge barriers, only a small proportion of the
petrochemical industrial zone and the densely populated communities in the coastal
areas were at risk of storm surge for the scenarios of 10- and 20-year return
period typhoon intensity. Moreover, some parts of the exposed zone and densely
populated communities were subject to high and very high risk when typhoon
intensities were set to a 50- or a 100-year return period. Besides, the scenario
with the most intense typhoon (1000-year return period) induced a very high risk to
the coastal area of Huizhou. Accordingly, the risk maps can help decision-makers to
develop risk response plans and evacuation strategies in coastal communities with a
high population density to minimize civilian casualties. The risk analysis can also
be utilized to identify the risk zones with the high concentration of chemical and
petroleum industries to reduce economic losses and prevent environmental damage
caused by the chemical pollutants and oil spills from petroleum facilities and
infrastructures that could be affected by storm surge.
C1 [Wang, Si; Mu, Lin; Gao, Jia; Zhao, Enjin] China Univ Geosci, Coll Marine Sci &
Technol, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China.
[Mu, Lin] China Univ Geosci, Shenzhen Res Inst, Shenzhen 518057, Peoples R
China.
[Mu, Lin] Shenzhen Univ, Coll Life Sci & Oceanog, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R
China.
[Yao, Zhenfeng] Huizhou Bur, Dept Nat Resources, Huizhou 516001, Peoples R
China.
[Wang, Lizhe] China Univ Geosci, Coll Comp Sci, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China.
C3 China University of Geosciences; Shenzhen University; China University
of Geosciences
RP Mu, L (corresponding author), China Univ Geosci, Coll Marine Sci & Technol,
Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China.; Mu, L (corresponding author), China Univ Geosci,
Shenzhen Res Inst, Shenzhen 518057, Peoples R China.
EM moulin1977@hotmail.com
FU Key-Area Research and Development Program of Guangdong Province
[2020B1111020005]; National Natural Science Foundation of China
[U2006210]; Shenzhen Fundamental Research Program
[JCYJ20170810103011913, JCYJ20200109110220482]
FX This work was supported by the Key-Area Research and Development Program
of Guangdong Province (grant no. 2020B1111020005), the National Natural
Science Foundation of China (grant no. U2006210), and the Shenzhen
Fundamental Research Program (grant nos. JCYJ20170810103011913 and
JCYJ20200109110220482).
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NR 25
TC 13
Z9 14
U1 9
U2 32
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
EI 1684-9981
PD JAN 29
PY 2021
VL 21
IS 1
BP 439
EP 462
DI 10.5194/nhess-21-439-2021
PG 24
Water Resources
GA QB7AC
UT WOS:000614290400003
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Trunkey, DD
AF Trunkey, Donald D.
TI US Trauma Center Preparation for a Terrorist Attack in the Community
SO EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF TRAUMA AND EMERGENCY SURGERY
LA English
DT Article
DE Trauma center; National Bioterrorism Hospital Preparedness Program;
Terrorism; Mass casualty incidents; Survey; Preparedness
ID HURRICANE KATRINA; EVACUATION
AB Background: Since the 2001 terrorist attacks on the United States, federal and
state funding, primarily from the National Bioterrorism Hospital Preparedness
Program, has resulted in a surge of hospital activity to prepare for future natural
or human-caused catastrophes. Trauma centers were integrally involved in the
response to the 2001 attacks as first receivers of patients, communication hubs,
and as convergence sites for families, the worried well, volunteers, and donors.
After the Madrid train station terrorist attack, Congress identified the need to
study trauma center preparedness as an essential part of the nation's emergency
management system.
Methods: The NFTC received a one-year grant funded by the Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention (CDC/NCIPC) to survey the capability and capacity of trauma
centers to respond successfully to mass casualty incidents, particularly those
brought about by acts of terrorism. This report summarizes responses to a US
CDC/NCIPC-funded survey, R 49 CE000792-01, sent to all designated or verified Level
I and II trauma centers in the US, to which 33% or 175 trauma centers replied.
Results: The results are categorized by preparedness scoring, vulnerability,
threats, and funding. Planning communication, surge capacity, diversion,
sustainability, special populations, and finance represent additional categories
examined in the survey.
Conclusions: Trauma centers are a major resource in disaster management. One-
hundred and seventy-five centers candidly reported their resources and
vulnerabilities. This inventory should be expanded to all trauma centers and
recommendations for change as discussed.
C1 Oregon Hlth & Sci Univ, Portland, OR 97239 USA.
C3 Oregon Health & Science University
RP Trunkey, DD (corresponding author), Oregon Hlth & Sci Univ, 3181 SW Sam Jackson
Pk Rd L223, Portland, OR 97239 USA.
EM trunkeyd@ohsu.edu
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U1 0
U2 8
PI HEIDELBERG
SN 1863-9933
EI 1863-9941
J9 EUR J TRAUMA EMERG S
JI Eur. J. Trauma Emerg. Surg.
PD JUN
PY 2009
VL 35
IS 3
BP 244
EP 264
DI 10.1007/s00068-009-9901-7
PG 21
WC Emergency Medicine
SC Emergency Medicine
GA 460DR
UT WOS:000267168700007
PM 26814901
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Wu, SN
Lei, Y
Jin, W
AF Wu, Shengnan
Lei, Yu
Jin, Wen
TI An Interdisciplinary Approach to Quantify the Human Disaster Risk
Perception and Its Influence on the Population at Risk: A Case Study of
Longchi Town, China
LA English
DT Article
DE disaster risk reduction; disaster risk perception; the population at
risk; agent-based modeling
ID FLOOD-RISK; EVACUATION; VULNERABILITY
AB Understanding disaster risk perception is vital for community-based disaster
risk reduction (DRR). This study was set to investigate the correlations between
disaster risk perception and the population at risk. To address this research
question, the current study conducted an interdisciplinary approach: a household
survey for measuring variables and constructed an Agent-based model for simulating
the population at risk. Therefore, two correlations were defined, (1) between risk
perception and willingness to evacuate, and (2) between willingness to evacuate and
the population at risk. The willingness to evacuate was adopted as a mediator to
determine the relationship between risk perception and the population at risk. The
results show that the residents generally have a higher risk perception and
willingness to evacuate because the study area frequently suffered from debris flow
and flash floods. A positive correlation was found between risk perception and
willingness to evacuate, and a negative correlation to the population at risk.
However, a marginal effect was observed when raising public risk perception to
reduce the number of the population at risk. This study provides an
interdisciplinary approach to measuring disaster risk perception at the community
level and helps policymakers select the most effective ways to reduce the
population at risk.
C1 [Wu, Shengnan] Chongqing Econ & Social Dev Res Inst, Chongqing 400041, Peoples R
China.
[Lei, Yu] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm, Key Lab Mt Hazards &
Earth Surface Proc, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China.
[Lei, Yu] Chinese Acad Sci, China Pakistan Joint Res Ctr Earth Sci, Higher Educ
Commiss CAS HEC, Islamabad 45320, Pakistan.
[Lei, Yu] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China.
[Jin, Wen] Minist Emergency Management, Natl Disaster Reduct Ctr China, Beijing
C3 Chinese Academy of Sciences; Institute of Mountain Hazards &
Environment, CAS; Chinese Academy of Sciences; University of Chinese
Academy of Sciences, CAS
RP Lei, Y (corresponding author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm, Key
Lab Mt Hazards & Earth Surface Proc, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China.; Lei, Y
(corresponding author), Chinese Acad Sci, China Pakistan Joint Res Ctr Earth Sci,
Higher Educ Commiss CAS HEC, Islamabad 45320, Pakistan.; Lei, Y (corresponding
author), Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China.
EM leiyu@imde.ac.cn
OI Lei, Yu/0000-0002-2224-3260
FU National Natural Science Foundation of China [41941017]; Chongqing
Social Science Foundation [2021SZ32]; Sichuan Science and Technology
Program [2021YFH0009]; Chinese Academy of Sciences Presidents
International Fellowship Initiative [2020FYC0004]
FX This research was funded by National Natural Science Foundation of
China: 41941017; Chongqing Social Science Foundation: 2021SZ32; Sichuan
Science and Technology Program: 2021YFH0009; Chinese Academy of Sciences
Presidents International Fellowship Initiative: 2020FYC0004.
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NR 45
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 10
U2 11
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 1660-4601
PD DEC
PY 2022
VL 19
IS 24
AR 16393
DI 10.3390/ijerph192416393
PG 15
(SSCI)
Health
GA 7G3JB
UT WOS:000902424100001
PM 36554281
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Clar, C
Loschner, L
Nordbeck, R
Fischer, T
Thaler, T
AF Clar, Christoph
Loeschner, Lukas
Nordbeck, Ralf
Fischer, Tatjana
Thaler, Thomas
TI Population dynamics and natural hazard risk management: conceptual and
practical linkages for the case of Austrian policy making
SO NATURAL HAZARDS
LA English
DT Article
DE Demographic change; Population dynamics; Natural hazards; Risk
management; Disaster risk
ID SOCIAL VULNERABILITY INDICATORS; FLOOD RISK; CLIMATE-CHANGE; DISASTER
RISK; EVACUATION DECISIONS; RESILIENCE; COMMUNITY; EXPOSURE;
PREPAREDNESS; PERCEPTION
AB This contribution explores the conceptual and empirical linkages between
population dynamics and natural hazard risk management (NHRM). Following a review
of the international scholarly literature, we conduct a mixed-methods approach in
Austria, combining an online survey among policy makers and other stakeholders with
a thematic analysis of policy documents. The aim is to investigate the practical
relevance of socio-demographic change in Austria's NHRM. The study shows that many
hazard-prone regions in Austria face population change, in particular demographic
ageing and population decline. In addition, our findings from the online survey
demonstrate the relevance of population dynamics in NHRM, especially with regard to
hazard response and recovery. Nonetheless, policy formulation in NHRM
overwhelmingly disregards demographic change as a relevant factor. Accordingly, the
study underscores the importance of future-oriented risk management strategies to
better account for ongoing and expected socio-demographic changes.
C1 [Clar, Christoph; Thaler, Thomas] Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci Vienna BOKU,
Inst Mt Risk Engn, Dept Civil Engn & Nat Hazards, Peter Jordan Str 82, A-1190
Vienna, Austria.
[Loeschner, Lukas; Fischer, Tatjana] Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci Vienna BOKU,
Dept Landscape, Inst Spatial Planning Environm Planning & Land Re, Peter Jordan Str
82, A-1190 Vienna, Austria.
[Clar, Christoph; Nordbeck, Ralf] Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci Vienna BOKU,
Inst Forest Environm & Nat Resource Policy, Dept Econ & Social Sci, Feistmantelstr
4, A-1180 Vienna, Austria.
C3 University of Natural Resources & Life Sciences, Vienna; University of
Natural Resources & Life Sciences, Vienna; University of Natural
Resources & Life Sciences, Vienna
RP Clar, C (corresponding author), Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci Vienna BOKU, Inst
Mt Risk Engn, Dept Civil Engn & Nat Hazards, Peter Jordan Str 82, A-1190 Vienna,
Austria.; Clar, C (corresponding author), Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci Vienna
BOKU, Inst Forest Environm & Nat Resource Policy, Dept Econ & Social Sci,
Feistmantelstr 4, A-1180 Vienna, Austria.
EM christoph.clar@boku.ac.at
RI Thaler, Thomas/O-7112-2014
OI Thaler, Thomas/0000-0003-3869-3722; Fischer,
Tatjana/0000-0002-5293-7941; Clar, Christoph/0000-0003-3556-8256
FU University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences Vienna (BOKU) -
Austrian Academy of Sciences (OAW) within the research programme Earth
System Sciences (ESS)
FX Open access funding provided by University of Natural Resources and Life
Sciences Vienna (BOKU). The research project Demographic Change and
Hydrological Hazards: Flood Risk Management in Alpine Areas Facing
Population Decline and Demographic Ageing (DemoHazAlps) that led to this
paper was funded by the Austrian Academy of Sciences (OAW) within the
research programme Earth System Sciences (ESS).
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NR 214
TC 5
Z9 6
U1 2
U2 9
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 0921-030X
EI 1573-0840
J9 NAT HAZARDS
JI Nat. Hazards
PD JAN
PY 2021
VL 105
IS 2
BP 1765
EP 1796
DI 10.1007/s11069-020-04376-z
EA OCT 2020
PG 32
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA PX9NX
UT WOS:000582411600001
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Chen, W
Zhai, GF
Ren, CQ
Shi, YJ
Zhang, JX
AF Chen, Wei
Zhai, Guofang
Ren, Chongqiang
Shi, Yijun
Zhang, Jianxin
TI Urban Resources Selection and Allocation for Emergency Shelters: In a
Multi-Hazard Environment
LA English
DT Article
DE multi-hazard environment; urban resource; emergency shelter
ID DISASTER PREPAREDNESS; SPATIAL-DISTRIBUTION; EVACUATION SHELTERS; FLOOD
SHELTERS; LOCATION MODEL; BANGLADESH; CYCLONE; BEHAVIOR; SYSTEM; IMPACT
AB This study explores how emergency shelters can adapt to a multi-hazard
environment by geographic information system (GIS) and takes Guangzhou as a case
for analysis. The physical suitability of the overall urban resources was first
assessed by aiming to select the suitable resources and safe locations for
emergency shelters in the context of multiple disasters. Afterward, by analyzing
the scale and spatial distribution of affected areas and populations under
different types of disaster scenarios, the demand for different kinds of shelters
were predicted. Lastly, taking into account the coverage of the affected people,
shelters were allocated according to different conditions in the districts. This
work will hopefully provide a reference for the construction of emergency shelters
and help form emergency operations in order to mitigate the impact of hazards. The
issues identified in the study need to be further studied in medium or small-scale
cities.
C1 [Chen, Wei; Zhang, Jianxin] Nanjing Univ, Sch Geog & Oceanog Sci, Nanjing
210046, Jiangsu, Peoples R China.
[Zhai, Guofang; Shi, Yijun] Nanjing Univ, Sch Architecture & Urban Planning,
Nanjing 210093, Jiangsu, Peoples R China.
[Ren, Chongqiang] Northwest Minzu Univ, Coll Econ, Lanzhou 730030, Gansu,
Peoples R China.
C3 Nanjing University; Nanjing University; Northwest Minzu University
RP Zhai, GF (corresponding author), Nanjing Univ, Sch Architecture & Urban
Planning, Nanjing 210093, Jiangsu, Peoples R China.
EM chenw.nju@gmail.com; guofang_zhai@nju.edu.cn; rcq518@163.com;
yijun_shi@smail.nju.edu.cn; zhangjxnju@hotmail.com
RI Shi, Yijun/V-1062-2019
OI Shi, Yijun/0000-0003-3099-4379
FU Humanities and Social Sciences of Ministry of Education Planning Fund of
China [17YJAZH066]; National Natural Science Foundation of China
[41401185]
FX The study was funded by the Humanities and Social Sciences of Ministry
of Education Planning Fund of China under Grants No. 17YJAZH066 and the
National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grants No. 41401185.
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NR 50
TC 23
Z9 25
U1 8
U2 66
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
SN 1660-4601
PD JUN
PY 2018
VL 15
IS 6
AR 1261
DI 10.3390/ijerph15061261
PG 17
(SSCI)
Health
GA GK8SE
UT WOS:000436496900212
PM 29903997
OA Green Published, gold, Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Schlosser, KR
Creedon, JK
Michelson, KA
Michelson, CD
AF Schlosser, Katherine R.
Creedon, Jessica K.
Michelson, Kenneth A.
Michelson, Catherine D.
TI Lessons From the 2013 Boston Marathon: Incorporating Residents Into
Institutional Emergency Plans
SO PEDIATRICS
LA English
DT Editorial Material
ID HURRICANE SANDY; PREPAREDNESS; DISASTER; EVACUATION; MEDICINE
C1 [Schlosser, Katherine R.] Boston Childrens Hosp, Div Crit Care Med, 300 Longwood
Ave, Boston, MA 02115 USA.
[Creedon, Jessica K.; Michelson, Kenneth A.] Boston Childrens Hosp, Div
Emergency Med, Boston, MA USA.
[Michelson, Catherine D.] Boston Univ, Sch Med, Dept Pediat, Boston, MA 02118
USA.
C3 Harvard University; Boston Children's Hospital; Harvard University;
Boston Children's Hospital; Boston University
RP Schlosser, KR (corresponding author), Boston Childrens Hosp, Div Crit Care Med,
300 Longwood Ave, Boston, MA 02115 USA.
EM katherine.schlosser@childrens.harvard.edu
OI Michelson, Catherine/0000-0002-6752-4170
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Espiritu M, 2014, PEDIATRICS, V134, pE1662, DOI 10.1542/peds.2014-0936
Goralnick E, 2015, DISASTER MED PUBLIC, V9, P489, DOI 10.1017/dmp.2015.42
Markenson D, 2013, DISASTER MED PUBLIC, V7, P499, DOI 10.1017/dmp.2013.96
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Niska RW, 2005, ADV DATA, V364, P1
Uddin SG, 2008, ACAD MED, V83, P298, DOI 10.1097/ACM.0b013e3181637edc
NR 10
TC 3
Z9 3
U1 0
U2 4
PU AMER ACAD PEDIATRICS
PI ELK GROVE VILLAGE
PA 141 NORTH-WEST POINT BLVD,, ELK GROVE VILLAGE, IL 60007-1098 USA
SN 0031-4005
EI 1098-4275
J9 PEDIATRICS
JI Pediatrics
PD JUN
PY 2017
VL 139
IS 6
AR e20170688
DI 10.1542/peds.2017-0688
PG 3
WC Pediatrics
SC Pediatrics
GA EW5HJ
UT WOS:000402536100045
PM 28562290
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Yoshida, S
Kashima, S
Ishii, S
Koike, S
Matsumoto, M
AF Yoshida, Shuhei
Kashima, Saori
Ishii, Shinya
Koike, Soichi
Matsumoto, Masatoshi
TI Effects of the 2018 Japan Floods on long-term care insurance costs in
Japan: retrospective cohort study
SO BMC PUBLIC HEALTH
LA English
DT Article
DE Climate change; Natural disaster; Disaster preparedness; Long-term care;
Long-term care insurance service; Claim data; Rural health services
ID HEAVY RAIN EVENT; PATHUMTHANI PROVINCE; ELDERLY-PEOPLE; HEALTH-CARE;
EARTHQUAKE; PERFORMANCE; EVACUATION; FUKUSHIMA; MORTALITY; RECOVERY
AB Background Climate change has increased the frequency and severity of torrential
rains and floods around the world. Estimating the costs of these disasters is one
of the five global research priorities identified by WHO. The 2018 Japan Floods hit
western Japan causing extensive destruction and many deaths, especially among
vulnerable elderly. Such affected elderly would need long-term care due to the
various health problems caused by the disaster. A Long-Term Care Insurance (LTCI)
system provides care services in Japan. The aim of this study was to evaluate the
effect of the 2018 Japan Floods on LTCI costs and service utilization. Methods The
participants of this retrospective cohort study were all verified persons utilizing
LTCI services in Hiroshima, Okayama and Ehime prefectures. The observation period
was from 2 months before to 6 months after the disaster. We used Generalized
Estimating Equations (GEEs) to examine the association between disaster status
(victims or non-victims) and the monthly total costs of LTCI service (with gamma-
distribution/log-link) by residential environment (home or facility). Among home
residents, we also examined each service utilization (home-based service, short-
stay service and facility service), using the GEEs. After the GEEs, we estimated
Average Marginal Effects (AME) over all observation periods by months as the
attributable disaster effect. Results The total number of participants was 279,578.
There were 3024 flood victims. The disaster was associated with significantly
higher total costs. The AME for home residents at 2 months after was $214 (Standard
Error (SE): 12, p < 0.001), which was the highest through the observation period.
Among facility residents, the AME immediately after the disaster increased by up to
$850 (SE: 29, p < 0.001). The service utilization among home residents showed a
different trend for each service. The AME of home-based services decreased by up to
- 15.2% (SE:1.3, p < 0.001). The AME for short-stay service increased by up to 8.2%
(SE: 0.9, p < 0.001) and the AME for facility service increased by up to 7.4% (SE:
0.7, p < 0.001), respectively. Conclusions The 2018 Japan Floods caused an increase
in LTCI costs and the utilization of short-stay and facility services, and a
decrease in utilization of home-based services.
C1 [Yoshida, Shuhei; Matsumoto, Masatoshi] Hiroshima Univ, Grad Sch Biomed & Hlth
Sci, Dept Community Based Med Syst, Minami Ku, 1-2-3 Kasumi, Hiroshima, Hiroshima
7348551, Japan.
[Kashima, Saori] Hiroshima Univ, Environm Hlth Sci Lab, Grad Sch Adv Sci & Engn,
1-3-2 Kagamiyama, Higashihiroshima, Hiroshima, Japan.
[Ishii, Shinya] Hiroshima Univ, Grad Sch Biomed & Hlth Sci, Dept Med Integrated
Approach Social Inclus, Hiroshima, Japan.
[Koike, Soichi] Jichi Med Univ, Ctr Community Med, Div Hlth Policy & Management,
3311-1 Yakushiji, Shimotsuke, Tochigi 3290498, Japan.
C3 Hiroshima University; Hiroshima University; Hiroshima University; Jichi
Medical University
RP Yoshida, S (corresponding author), Hiroshima Univ, Grad Sch Biomed & Hlth Sci,
Dept Community Based Med Syst, Minami Ku, 1-2-3 Kasumi, Hiroshima, Hiroshima
7348551, Japan.
EM yoshida.shuhei.0810@gmail.com
RI Kashima, Saori/B-4524-2010
OI Kashima, Saori/0000-0002-3401-8191
FU Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology KAKENHI
[19 K19388]
FX This study is funded by the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports,
Science and Technology KAKENHI Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists, grant
number (19 K19388).
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NR 42
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 2
U2 8
PU BMC
PI LONDON
EI 1471-2458
J9 BMC PUBLIC HEALTH
JI BMC Public Health
PD FEB 17
PY 2022
VL 22
IS 1
AR 341
DI 10.1186/s12889-022-12492-7
PG 11
(SSCI)
GA ZC2OC
UT WOS:000757364800001
PM 35177009
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Yang, Q
Sun, X
Liu, XX
Wang, JM
AF Yang, Qing
Sun, Xu
Liu, Xingxing
Wang, Jinmei
TI Multi-Agent Simulation of Individuals' Escape in the Urban Rainstorm
Context Based on Dynamic Recognition-Primed Decision Model
SO WATER
LA English
DT Article
DE urban rainstorm; time pressure; multi-agent simulation; dynamic
recognition-primed decision
ID FLASH-FLOOD RISK; EVACUATION; BEHAVIORS; FRAMEWORK; DISASTER
AB The urban rainstorm can evolve into a serious emergency, generally characterized
by high complexity, uncertainty, and time pressure. It is often difficult for
individuals to find the optimal response strategy due to limited information and
time constraints. Therefore, the classical decision-making method based on the
"infinite rationality" assumption is sometimes challenging to reflect the reality.
Based on the recognition-primed decision (RPD) model, a dynamic RPD (D-RPD) model
is proposed in this paper. The D-RPD model assumes that decision-makers can gain
experience in the escaping process, and the risk perception of rainstorm disasters
can be regarded as a Markov process. The experience of recent attempts would
contribute more in decision-making. We design the agent according to the D-RPD
model, and employ a multi-agent system (MAS) to simulate individuals' decisions in
the context of a rainstorm. Our results show that experience helps individuals to
perform better when they escape in the rainstorm. Recency acts as a one of the key
elements in escaping decision making. We also find that filling the information gap
between individuals and real-time disaster would help individuals to perform well,
especially when individuals tend to avoid extreme decisions.
C1 [Yang, Qing; Liu, Xingxing] Wuhan Univ Technol, Sch Safety Sci & Emergency
Management, Wuhan, Peoples R China.
[Sun, Xu; Wang, Jinmei] Wuhan Univ Technol, Sch Management, Wuhan 430070,
Peoples R China.
C3 Wuhan University of Technology; Wuhan University of Technology
RP Liu, XX (corresponding author), Wuhan Univ Technol, Sch Safety Sci & Emergency
Management, Wuhan, Peoples R China.
EM yangq@whut.edu.cn; sunxu@whut.edu.cn; liuxingxing@whut.edu.cn;
wangjinmei@whut.edu.cn
FU National Natural Science Foundation of China [71603197]; Fundamental
Research Funds for the Central Universities [WUT: 195203001]
FX This research was supported in part by National Natural Science
Foundation of China (Grant No. 71603197) and "the Fundamental Research
Funds for the Central Universities" (WUT: 195203001).
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NR 49
TC 2
Z9 2
U1 1
U2 16
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2073-4441
J9 WATER-SUI
JI Water
PD APR
PY 2020
VL 12
IS 4
AR 1190
DI 10.3390/w12041190
PG 17
(SSCI)
GA LX0JR
UT WOS:000539527500267
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zimmerman, R
Foster, S
Gonzalez, JE
Jacob, K
Kunreuther, H
Petkova, EP
Tollerson, E
AF Zimmerman, Rae
Foster, Sheila
Gonzalez, Jorge E.
Jacob, Klaus
Kunreuther, Howard
Petkova, Elisaveta P.
Tollerson, Ernest
TI New York City Panel on Climate Change 2019 Report Chapter 7: Resilience
Strategies for Critical Infrastructures and Their Interdependencies
SO ANNALS OF THE NEW YORK ACADEMY OF SCIENCES
LA English
DT Article
ID HURRICANE SANDY; PUBLIC-HEALTH; SYSTEMS; ADAPTATION; EVACUATION;
DISASTER; IMPACTS; LESSONS; CITIES
C1 [Zimmerman, Rae] NYU, Wagner Grad Sch Publ Serv, New York, NY 10003 USA.
[Foster, Sheila] Georgetown Univ, McCourt Sch Publ Policy & Sch Law, Washington,
DC 20057 USA.
[Gonzalez, Jorge E.] CUNY, Mech Engn Dept, New York, NY 10021 USA.
[Gonzalez, Jorge E.] CUNY, NOAA CREST Ctr, New York, NY 10021 USA.
[Jacob, Klaus] Columbia Univ, Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, New York, NY USA.
[Kunreuther, Howard] Univ Penn, Wharton Sch, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA.
[Petkova, Elisaveta P.] Columbia Univ, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, New York, NY
USA.
[Tollerson, Ernest] Hudson River Fdn, New York, NY USA.
[Tollerson, Ernest] Riverkeeper, Ossining, NY USA.
[Tollerson, Ernest] Environm Advocates New York, Albany, NY USA.
C3 New York University; Georgetown University; City University of New York
(CUNY) System; City University of New York (CUNY) System; National
Oceanic Atmospheric Admin (NOAA) - USA; Columbia University; University
of Pennsylvania; Columbia University
RP Zimmerman, R (corresponding author), NYU, Wagner Grad Sch Publ Serv, New York,
NY 10003 USA.
OI Petkova, Elisaveta/0000-0003-3620-3232
FU Columbia University; NYC Department of Environmental Protection
FX The Working Group gratefully acknowledges the inputs on earlier drafts
by members of the NPCC team and leadership, the NYC Mayor's Office of
Recovery & Resiliency, the insights provided by members of the Climate
Change Adaptation Task Force (CCATF), and various external reviewers. In
addition, Gina Tonn, Postdoctoral Research Fellow at the University of
Pennsylvania Wharton Risk Management and Decision Processes Center, is
acknowledged for her inputs on the insurance section. Ryan Brenner,
Master of Science in Public Policy (2018) from the NYU Wagner Graduate
School of Public Service is acknowledged for his research that
contributed to various portions of this chapter funded by Columbia
University with support from the NYC Department of Environmental
Protection.
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NR 195
TC 10
Z9 10
U1 2
U2 11
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 0077-8923
EI 1749-6632
J9 ANN NY ACAD SCI
JI Ann. N.Y. Acad. Sci.
PD MAR
PY 2019
VL 1439
IS 1
SI SI
BP 174
EP 229
DI 10.1111/nyas.14010
PG 56
(SSCI)
GA HP1RU
UT WOS:000461445400008
PM 30875114
OA Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Adekola, J
Renaud, F
Hill, C
AF Adekola, Josephine
Renaud, Fabrice
Hill, Carol
TI Risk Information Sources for Snow Disaster Risk Preparedness in Scotland
SO INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK SCIENCE
LA English
DT Article
DE Disaster preparedness; Heavy snow; Risk information sources; Risk
perception; Scotland
ID HURRICANE EVACUATION; SOCIAL MEDIA; COMMUNICATION; PERCEPTION; CRISIS;
MANAGEMENT; INTERNET; SEEKING; EXPERIENCE; JUDGMENT
AB Heavy snow disruptions are common and costly occurrences in the UK, including
Scotland. Yet, heavy snow remains an underresearched aspect of disaster risks in
Scotland. This study critically examined the 2018 heavy snow event in Scotland
referred to as the "Beast from the East" (BfE) in order to explore the different
sources of information used by the public in preparation for and response to heavy
snow emergencies. Our study also examined the effectiveness of BfE risk
communication between authorities and the public and sought to determine if there
is a relationship between risk information received and the intention to mitigate
risk. Data were collected through a semistructured survey from (n = 180) residents
of the Annandale and Eskdale region of Dumfries and Galloway, Scotland. Our
analysis shows that public authority information sources were the most sought-after
information sources, followed by online and web sources. We found statistically
significant differences between groups (such as age, gender, and
mobility/disability) in terms of using risk information sources. Further analysis
shows that the relationship between information received and the intention to
mitigate risks is not linear but influenced by intervening variables such as work
pressures, financial commitment, and stakeholders' expectations. We argue that
where full adherence to official risk advice is required, policymakers should
carefully consider issues around these three factors.
C1 [Adekola, Josephine] Univ Glasgow, Adam Smith Business Sch, Glasgow G12 8QQ,
Lanark, Scotland.
[Adekola, Josephine; Renaud, Fabrice; Hill, Carol] Univ Glasgow, Sch
Interdisciplinary Studies, Dumfries DG1 4ZL, Scotland.
C3 University of Glasgow; University of Glasgow
RP Adekola, J (corresponding author), Univ Glasgow, Adam Smith Business Sch,
Glasgow G12 8QQ, Lanark, Scotland.; Adekola, J (corresponding author), Univ
Glasgow, Sch Interdisciplinary Studies, Dumfries DG1 4ZL, Scotland.
EM Josephine.Adekola@Glasgow.ac.uk
FU Scottish Funding Council
FX This research is partly funded by the Scottish Funding Council, as part
of the National Centre for Resilince. This research received no external
funding.
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NR 69
TC 0
Z9 0
U1 3
U2 9
PU SPRINGER
PI NEW YORK
SN 2095-0055
EI 2192-6395
J9 INT J DISAST RISK SC
JI Int. J. Disaster Risk Sci.
PD DEC
PY 2021
VL 12
IS 6
BP 854
EP 866
DI 10.1007/s13753-021-00386-y
EA DEC 2021
PG 13
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA XU1OV
UT WOS:000730493200001
OA gold, Green Accepted, Green Published
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Yang, YD
Ren, HQ
Zhang, H
AF Yang, Yaodong
Ren, Huaqing
Zhang, Han
TI Understanding Consumer Panic Buying Behaviors during the Strict Lockdown
on Omicron Variant: A Risk Perception View
SO SUSTAINABILITY
LA English
DT Article
DE Omicron variant; panic buying; media exposure; cognitive-affective
processes; risk perception
ID FLOOD RISK; MEDIA; PREPAREDNESS; INFORMATION; EVACUATION; INTENTIONS;
BELIEFS; CRISIS; MODEL; FLU
AB Panic buying has been globally observed, leading to substantial stock-outs and
supply chain disruptions, thus inducing additional panic buying. Regarding panic
buying behavior as an intuitive over-protective measure during the strict lockdown
and seal-off management in China, this study presented a synthetic conceptual model
by integrating the protective action decision model (PADM). We examined inductively
the relationships among media exposure, cognitive-affective risk perception,
stakeholder perception, protective perception, and panic buying behavior using a
survey of 517 participants who experienced panic buying during the Omicron epidemic
in China. Results suggest that traditional media exposure could attenuate people's
affective risk perception, whereas social media exposure increases the degree of
cognitive and affective aspects of risk perception. Furthermore, we detect that
cognitive and affective risk perceptions positively affect people's panic-buying
behaviors. The effects of stakeholder and protective perceptions on panic buying
were also examined.
C1 [Yang, Yaodong] Anhui Univ, Sch Econ, Hefei 230039, Peoples R China.
[Ren, Huaqing] Nanjing Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Publ Affairs, Nanjing 210094,
Peoples R China.
[Zhang, Han] Nanjing Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Nanjing 210094,
Peoples R China.
C3 Anhui University; Nanjing University of Science & Technology; Nanjing
University of Science & Technology
RP Zhang, H (corresponding author), Nanjing Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Econ &
Management, Nanjing 210094, Peoples R China.
EM njuzhanghan@njust.edu.cn
FU National Natural Science Foundation of China; Fundamental Research Funds
for the Central Universities; Initial Research Funds for Young Teachers
of Nanjing University of Science and Technology; Postgraduate Research &
Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province; [72002102];
[30920010017]; [JGQN2004]; [KYCX22_0567]
FX This research was funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of
China grants (#72002102), Fundamental Research Funds for the Central
Universities (#30920010017), Initial Research Funds for Young Teachers
of Nanjing University of Science and Technology (#JGQN2004), and the
Postgraduate Research & Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province,
Grant Numbers: KYCX22_0567.
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PEOPLES DAILY ONLINE
NR 64
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 14
U2 15
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 2071-1050
JI Sustainability
PD DEC
PY 2022
VL 14
IS 24
AR 17019
DI 10.3390/su142417019
PG 19
(SSCI)
GA 7G5YP
UT WOS:000902599700001
OA gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Zhang, WC
Wang, W
Lin, JF
Zhang, Y
Shang, XP
Wang, X
Huang, ML
Liu, SK
Ma, W
AF Zhang, Wenchao
Wang, Wei
Lin, Junfen
Zhang, Ying
Shang, Xiaopeng
Wang, Xin
Huang, Meilin
Liu, Shike
Ma, Wei
TI Perception, Knowledge and Behaviors Related to Typhoon: A Cross
Sectional Study among Rural Residents in Zhejiang, China
LA English
DT Article
DE typhoon disaster; risk perception; attitude; knowledge; behavior; rural
residents
ID DISASTER PREPAREDNESS; NATURAL DISASTERS; CLIMATE-CHANGE; FLOOD RISK;
EVACUATION; AWARENESS; BANGLADESH
AB (1) The objective of this study was to assess the risk perceptions, attitudes,
knowledge, and behaviors related to typhoon among rural residents in Zhejiang
province of China. A cross-sectional study was conducted among rural residents in
Zhejiang province, China. Information was collected from 659 participants using a
structured questionnaire. Univariate analysis and multivariable analysis were used
to analyze the data. Participants were most concerned about property damage,
followed by their health and life. Television, short message service (SMS),
relatives and friends were the most common information sources. Most people had not
been educated with disaster prevention measures. The complementary log-log (CLL)
model showed that understanding typhoon warning signal, preparation time, risk
perception of health damage and life threat, and fears of typhoon were independent
predictors of adoption of coping behaviors. We found that: 1. Residents' risk
perception of health and life threat caused by typhoon is inadequate; 2. There is a
gap between residents' cognition or knowledge and behavior in rural areas; 3. The
government should further make strategies to develop educational activities, in
order to eliminate the gap and improve the ability of preparing for typhoon among
rural residents.
C1 [Zhang, Wenchao; Ma, Wei] Shandong Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol, Jinan
250012, Shandong, Peoples R China.
[Wang, Wei; Lin, Junfen; Shang, Xiaopeng] Zhejiang Prov Ctr Dis Control &
Prevent, Hangzhou 310051, Zhejiang, Peoples R China.
[Zhang, Ying] Univ Sydney, Sch Publ Hlth, Sydney, NSW 2006, Australia.
[Wang, Xin] Bur Human Resources & Social Secur Fengtai Dist B, Beijing 100073,
Peoples R China.
[Huang, Meilin; Liu, Shike] Ninghai Cty Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Ningbo
315600, Zhejiang, Peoples R China.
[Ma, Wei] Shandong Univ, Climate Change & Hlth Ctr, Jinan 250012, Shandong,
Peoples R China.
C3 Shandong University; Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control &
Prevention; University of Sydney; Shandong University
RP Ma, W (corresponding author), Shandong Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol,
Jinan 250012, Shandong, Peoples R China.; Ma, W (corresponding author), Shandong
Univ, Climate Change & Hlth Ctr, Jinan 250012, Shandong, Peoples R China.
EM zwchao92@163.com; shandawangwei@163.com; zjlinjunfen@163.com;
ying.zhang@sydney.edu.au; shxiaopeng112@163.com; wangxin0730@yeah.net;
hmlzzx@163.com; shikeliu@163.com; weima@sdu.edu.cn
RI Ma, Wei/C-4748-2019; Zhang, Ying/ABE-2275-2021; Ma, Wei/L-2374-2019
OI Ma, Wei/0000-0002-8092-3280; Zhang, Ying/0000-0001-6214-2440; Ma,
Wei/0000-0002-8092-3280; Zhang, Wenchao/0000-0002-6227-3464
FU National Basic Research Program of China (973 program)
[2012CB955500-95502]
FX The study was supported by the National Basic Research Program of China
(973 program) (Grant No. 2012CB955500-95502). The authors acknowledge
the cooperation of Zhejiang Provincial CDC and Ninghai County CDC as
well as all investigators. The authors would also like to thank all the
participants in this study.
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NR 36
TC 18
Z9 18
U1 11
U2 42
PU MDPI AG
PI BASEL
SN 1660-4601
PD MAY
PY 2017
VL 14
IS 5
AR 492
DI 10.3390/ijerph14050492
PG 12
(SSCI)
Health
GA EY6PT
UT WOS:000404106400040
PM 28481262
OA Green Submitted, Green Published, gold
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Tan, H
Hao, YY
AF Tan, Hao
Hao, Yuyue
TI Mapping the Global Evolution and Research Directions of Information
Seeking, Sharing and Communication in Disasters: A Bibliometric Study
LA English
DT Article
DE communication behavior; information seeking; information sharing;
bibliometrics; disaster management
ID SOCIAL MEDIA; INTELLECTUAL STRUCTURE; HURRICANE EVACUATION; EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT; COORDINATION; EXPLORATION; FRAMEWORK; BEHAVIOR; SYSTEM;
TRENDS
AB This paper aims to grasp developments and trends in research on information
communication, information seeking and information sharing in disasters during
2000-2021. By using bibliometrics software CiteSpace and VOSviewer, the development
trends of publications, disciplinary, journals, institutions and regional
cooperation are mapped. Keyword co-occurrence analysis is used to further identify
the evolution of the research hot points and visualize the research orientation and
frontier. The results indicate that the field of information communication in
disasters has received growing attention from various disciplines. Results of
institutions and regional cooperation show that worldwide cooperation is still
lacking and needs to be strengthened in future studies in this field. The key
findings are five main research orientations in this field based on keyword co-
occurrence, which are public information coordination research, public information
behavior and perception research, health information communication research, risk
communication and social media research and information technology in emergency
management. The findings of this paper can be helpful for academics and emergency
managers in disaster information management and risk communication by giving them a
comprehensive understanding of people's information communication, seeking and
sharing.
C1 [Tan, Hao; Hao, Yuyue] Hunan Univ, Key Lab Adv Design & Simulat Technol Special
Equi, Minist Educ, Changsha 410082, Peoples R China.
C3 Hunan University
RP Hao, YY (corresponding author), Hunan Univ, Key Lab Adv Design & Simulat Technol
Special Equi, Minist Educ, Changsha 410082, Peoples R China.
EM weiss@hnu.edu.cn
RI Tan, Hao/AFE-8533-2022; Tan, Hao/HKK-7269-2023
OI Tan, Hao/0000-0003-4013-417X; HAO, Yuyue/0000-0003-3946-2643
FU R&D Program for Special Key Areas of Innovative Province Construction in
Hunan Province of China [2020SK2094]
FX This research was funded by the R&D Program for Special Key Areas of
Innovative Province Construction in Hunan Province of China, grant
number 2020SK2094.
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NR 79
TC 1
Z9 1
U1 14
U2 28
PU MDPI
PI BASEL
EI 1660-4601
PD NOV
PY 2022
VL 19
IS 22
AR 14878
DI 10.3390/ijerph192214878
PG 20
(SSCI)
Health
GA 6K0GE
UT WOS:000887191400001
PM 36429597
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Pfurtscheller, C
Thieken, AH
AF Pfurtscheller, C.
Thieken, A. H.
TI The price of safety: costs for mitigating and coping with Alpine hazards
LA English
DT Article
ID NATURAL HAZARDS; MOUNTAIN HAZARDS; FLOOD DAMAGE; AUSTRIA; RISK;
SWITZERLAND; STRATEGIES; EVACUATION; PROTECTION; BENEFIT
AB Due to limited public budgets and the need to economize, the analysis of costs
of hazard mitigation and emergency management of natural hazards becomes
increasingly important for public natural hazard and risk management. In recent
years there has been a growing body of literature on the estimation of losses which
supported to help to determine benefits of measures in terms of prevented losses.
On the contrary, the costs of mitigation are hardly addressed. This paper thus aims
to shed some light on expenses for mitigation and emergency services. For this, we
analysed the annual costs of mitigation efforts in four regions/countries of the
Alpine Arc: Bavaria (Germany), Tyrol (Austria), South Tyrol (Italy) and
Switzerland. On the basis of PPP values (purchasing power parities), annual
expenses on public safety ranged from EUR 44 per capita in the Free State of
Bavaria to EUR 216 in the Autonomous Province of South Tyrol. To analyse the
(variable) costs for emergency services in case of an event, we used detailed data
from the 2005 floods in the Federal State of Tyrol (Austria) as well as aggregated
data from the 2002 floods in Germany. The analysis revealed that multi-hazards, the
occurrence and intermixture of different natural hazard processes, contribute to
increasing emergency costs. Based on these findings, research gaps and
recommendations for costing Alpine natural hazards are discussed.
C1 [Pfurtscheller, C.] Austrian Acad Sci, Inst Interdisciplinary Mt Res, Innsbruck,
Austria.
[Thieken, A. H.] Univ Potsdam, Inst Earth & Environm Sci, Potsdam, Germany.
C3 Austrian Academy of Sciences; University of Potsdam
RP Pfurtscheller, C (corresponding author), Austrian Acad Sci, Inst
Interdisciplinary Mt Res, Innsbruck, Austria.
EM clemens.pfurtscheller@oeaw.ac.at
RI Thieken, Annegret Henriette/B-1946-2017
OI Thieken, Annegret Henriette/0000-0001-7068-2615
FU European Community [244159]; Austrian Academy of Sciences (OAW),
Institute of Interdisciplinary Mountain Research (IGF)
FX This research was undertaken during the project ConHaz - Costs of
Natural Hazards - funded within the 7th framework programme (FP7) of the
European Community (Contract 244159. http://conhaz.org) and was also
supported by the Austrian Academy of Sciences (OAW), Institute of
Interdisciplinary Mountain Research (IGF). We are also grateful to the
Tyrolean fire brigade association (A. Gruber) and to several departments
of the Federal State of Tyrol, who assisted us with collecting data and
provided information. Moreover, we thank A. Rimbock from the Bavarian
Environmental Agency for providing mitigation costs of the Free State of
Bavaria (Germany) and B. Scott for improving an earlier version of the
paper. We thank S. Fuchs and one anonymous referee for useful comments
which helped to revise an earlier version of the paper.
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NR 58
TC 16
Z9 16
U1 0
U2 10
PI GOTTINGEN
SN 1561-8633
PY 2013
VL 13
IS 10
BP 2619
EP 2637
DI 10.5194/nhess-13-2619-2013
PG 19
Water Resources
(SSCI)
GA 247GK
UT WOS:000326604600017
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Liu, BF
Mehta, AM
AF Liu, Brooke F.
Mehta, Amisha M.
TI From the periphery and toward a centralized model for trust in
government risk and disaster communication
SO JOURNAL OF RISK RESEARCH
LA English
DT Review
DE Crisis communication; disasters; government; risk communication; trust
ID CRISIS COMMUNICATION; INFORMATION-SEEKING; SOCIAL TRUST; PUBLIC TRUST;
MEDIA; PERCEPTION; FLOOD; IMPACT; DETERMINANTS; EVACUATION
AB In the context of disaster research, trust is ubiquitous. Despite its reach
across multiple research domains, the devil is in the lack of a comprehensive
understanding of how trust is defined, measured, and applied in the context of
government risk and disaster communication. This article presents a systematic
literature review of trust research undertaken in the context of government as
opposed to corporate, risk, and disaster communication. Findings show that trust is
rarely defined, but those articles that do define it draw on multiple definitions,
which has implications for the operationalization of trust in communication
research and practice. Another source of variance is around the theoretical or
conceptual frameworks for trust. Research mostly treats trust at the periphery,
assuming its existence rather than exploring how it operates in government risk and
disaster communication settings. In terms of its application, the majority of
empirical work around trust is focused on the response phase of disasters.
Following from this review, this study offers a research road map for trust and
argues for a centralized view of trust in government risk and disaster
communication.
C1 [Liu, Brooke F.] Univ Maryland, Dept Commun, College Pk, MA USA.
[Liu, Brooke F.; Mehta, Amisha M.] Queensland Univ Technol, QUT Business Sch,
Brisbane, Qld 4001, Australia.
C3 University System of Maryland; University of Maryland College Park;
Queensland University of Technology (QUT)
RP Mehta, AM (corresponding author), Queensland Univ Technol, QUT Business Sch,
Brisbane, Qld 4001, Australia.
EM a.mehta@qut.edu.au
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NR 77
TC 22
Z9 22
U1 10
U2 106
PU ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
PI ABINGDON
PA 2-4 PARK SQUARE, MILTON PARK, ABINGDON OX14 4RN, OXON, ENGLAND
SN 1366-9877
EI 1466-4461
J9 J RISK RES
JI J. Risk Res.
PD JUL 3
PY 2021
VL 24
IS 7
BP 853
EP 869
DI 10.1080/13669877.2020.1773516
EA JUN 2020
PG 17
WC Social Sciences, Interdisciplinary
SC Social Sciences - Other Topics
GA UP0VR
UT WOS:000542864500001
OA Green Submitted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Toda, H
Nomura, S
Gilmour, S
Tsubokura, M
Oikawa, T
Lee, K
Kiyabu, GY
Shibuya, K
AF Toda, Haruka
Nomura, Shuhei
Gilmour, Stuart
Tsubokura, Masaharu
Oikawa, Tomoyoshi
Lee, Kiwon
Kiyabu, Grace Y.
Shibuya, Kenji
TI Assessment of medium-term cardiovascular disease risk after Japan's 2011
Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident: a retrospective analysis
SO BMJ OPEN
LA English
DT Article
ID GREAT EAST JAPAN; ACUTE MYOCARDIAL-INFARCTION; HURRICANE KATRINA;
NEW-ORLEANS; EARTHQUAKE; SCORE; EVACUATION; DISASTER; HYPERTENSION;
POPULATION
AB Objective To assess the medium-term indirect impact of the 2011 Fukushima
Daiichi nuclear accident on cardiovascular disease (CVD) risks and to identify
whether risk factors for CVD changed after the accident.
Participants Residents aged 40 years and over participating in annual public
health check-ups from 2009 to 2012, administered by Minamisoma city, located about
10 to 40 km from the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant.
Methods The sex-specific Framingham CVD risk score was considered as the outcome
measure and was compared before (2009-2010) and after the accident (2011-2012). A
multivariate regression analysis was employed to evaluate risk factors for CVD.
Results Data from 563 individuals (60.2% women) aged 40 to 74 years who
participated in the check-ups throughout the study period was analysed. After
adjusting for covariates, no statistically significant change was identified in the
CVD risk score postaccident in both sexes, which may suggest no obvious medium-term
health impact of the Fukushima nuclear accident on CVD risk. The risk factors for
CVD and their magnitude and direction (positive/ negative) did not change after the
accident.
Conclusions There was no obvious increase in CVD risks in Minamisoma city, which
may indicate successful management of health risks associated with CVD in the study
sample.
C1 [Toda, Haruka; Nomura, Shuhei; Gilmour, Stuart; Shibuya, Kenji] Univ Tokyo, Grad
Sch Med, Dept Global Hlth Policy, Tokyo, Japan.
[Tsubokura, Masaharu] Minamisoma Municipal Gen Hosp, Dept Radiat Protect,
Minamisoma, Japan.
[Oikawa, Tomoyoshi] Minamisoma Municipal Gen Hosp, Dept Neurosurg, Minamisoma,
Japan.
[Lee, Kiwon] Columbia Univ, Int Ctr AIDS Care & Treatment Program ICAP, New
York, NY USA.
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OI Tsubokura, Masaharu/0000-0001-8027-202X; Nomura,
Shuhei/0000-0002-2963-7297; Toda, Haruka/0000-0001-9961-5467; Shibuya,
Kenji/0000-0003-2528-7530
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NR 49
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 1
U2 2
PU BMJ PUBLISHING GROUP
PI LONDON
PA BRITISH MED ASSOC HOUSE, TAVISTOCK SQUARE, LONDON WC1H 9JR, ENGLAND
SN 2044-6055
J9 BMJ OPEN
JI BMJ Open
PD DEC
PY 2017
VL 7
IS 12
AR e018502
DI 10.1136/bmjopen-2017-018502
PG 9
GA FU4MH
UT WOS:000423826700144
PM 29275343
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Leininger, E
Belousov, AB
AF Leininger, Eric
Belousov, Andrei B.
TI Recovery of network-driven glutamatergic activity in rat hippocampal
neurons during chronic glutamate receptor blockade
SO BRAIN RESEARCH
LA English
DT Article
DE Non-NMDA receptor; NMDA receptor; Plasticity; CaMKII; Acetylcholine
ID HYPOTHALAMUS IN-VITRO; GABAERGIC NEURONS; NMDA RECEPTORS; PLASTICITY;
EXCITATION; NEUROTRANSMITTER; SYNAPTOGENESIS; ACETYLCHOLINE;
TRANSCRIPTION; ANTAGONISTS
AB Previous studies indicated that a long-term decrease in the activity of
ionotropic glutamate receptors induces cholinergic activity in rat and mouse
hypothalamic neuronal cultures. Here we studied whether a prolonged inactivation of
ionotropic glutamate receptors also induces cholinergic activity in hippocampal
neurons. Receptor activity was chronically suppressed in rat hippocampal primary
neuronal cultures with two proportionally increasing sets of concentrations of NMDA
plus non-NMDA receptor antagonists: 100 mu M/10 ELM AP5/CNQX (1X cultures) and 200
mu M/20 mu M APS/CNQX (2X cultures). Using calcium imaging we demonstrate that
cholinergic activity does not develop in these cultures. Instead, network-driven
glutamate-dependent activity, that normally is detected in hyper-excitable
conditions, reappears in each culture group in the presence of these antagonists
and can be reversibly suppressed by higher concentrations of AP5/CNQX. This
activity is mediated by non-NMDA receptors and is modulated by NMDA receptors.
Further, non-NMDA receptors, the general level of glutamate receptor activity and
CaMK-dependent signaling are critical for development of this network-driven
glutamatergic activity in the presence of receptor antagonists. Using
electrophysiology, western blotting and calcium imaging we show that some neuronal
parameters are either reduced or not affected by chronic glutamate receptor
blockade. However, other parameters (including neuronal excitability, mEPSC
frequency, and expression of GluR1, NR1 and beta CaMKII) become up-regulated and,
in some cases, proportionally between the non-treated, 1X and 2X cultures. Our data
suggest recovery of the network-driven glutamatergic activity after chronic
glutamate receptor blockade. This recovery may represent a form of neuronal
plasticity that compensates for the prolonged suppression of the activity of
glutamate receptors. (c) 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
C1 [Belousov, Andrei B.] Univ Kansas, Med Ctr, Dept Mol & Integrat Physiol, Kansas
City, KS 66160 USA.
[Leininger, Eric; Belousov, Andrei B.] Tulane Univ, Dept Cell & Mol Biol, New
Orleans, LA 70118 USA.
C3 University of Kansas; University of Kansas Medical Center; Tulane
University
RP Belousov, AB (corresponding author), Univ Kansas, Med Ctr, Dept Mol & Integrat
Physiol, 2146 W 39th Ave,M-S 3051, Kansas City, KS 66160 USA.
EM abelousov@kumc.edu
FU NIH [RO1 DA015088]; NSF [IBN-0117603]; AHA [0350530N]; Kansas IDeA
Network of Biomedical Research Excellence (KINBRE); University of Kansas
Medical Center
FX We are grateful to Dr. Harsha Arumugam and Ms. Janna Denisova for their
contributions to the experimental material and to Drs. Xinhuai Liu and
Ion R. Popescu for excellent technical contributions. We are also
thankful to Drs. Barry Connors, Sacha Nelson, and Gina Turrigiano for
the possibility to conduct some experiments in their laboratories and to
the Brandeis University and Brown University communities for generous
hosting and support during our evacuation from New Orleans after
hurricane Katrina. This work was supported by NIH (RO1 DA015088), NSF
(IBN-0117603), AHA (0350530N), Kansas IDeA Network of Biomedical
Research Excellence (KINBRE) and the University of Kansas Medical Center
to A.B.B.
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NR 37
TC 5
Z9 5
U1 0
U2 0
PI AMSTERDAM
SN 0006-8993
EI 1872-6240
J9 BRAIN RES
JI Brain Res.
PD JAN 28
PY 2009
VL 1251
BP 87
EP 102
DI 10.1016/j.brainres.2008.11.044
PG 16
WC Neurosciences
SC Neurosciences & Neurology
GA 406OI
UT WOS:000263304400009
PM 19059386
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Xue, KJ
Guo, SL
Liu, Y
Liu, SQ
Xu, DD
AF Xue, Kaijing
Guo, Shili
Liu, Yi
Liu, Shaoquan
Xu, Dingde
TI Social Networks, Trust, and Disaster-Risk Perceptions of Rural Residents
in a Multi-Disaster Environment: Evidence from Sichuan, China
LA English
DT Article
DE social networks; trust; risk perception; multiple disasters; China
ID GORGES RESERVOIR AREA; FLOOD RISK; EARTHQUAKE SURVIVORS; NATURAL
DISASTER; LANDSLIDE RISK; SELF-EFFICACY; PREPAREDNESS; HOUSEHOLDS;
EVACUATION; RESPONSES
AB Individual perception of disaster risk is not only the product of individual
factors, but also the product of social interactions. However, few studies have
empirically explored the correlations between rural residents' flat social
networks, trust in pyramidal channels, and disaster-risk perceptions. Taking
Sichuan Province-a typical disaster-prone province in China-as an example and using
data from 327 rural households in mountainous areas threatened by multiple
disasters, this paper measured the level of participants' disaster-risk perception
in the four dimensions of possibility, threat, self-efficacy, and response
efficacy. Then, the ordinary least squares method was applied to probe the
correlations between social networks, trust, and residents' disaster-risk
perception. The results revealed four main findings. (1) Compared with scores
relating to comprehensive disaster-risk perception, participants had lower
perception scores relating to possibility and threat, and higher perception scores
relating to self-efficacy and response efficacy. (2) The carrier characteristics of
their social networks significantly affected rural residents' perceived levels of
disaster risk, while the background characteristics did not. (3) Different
dimensions of trust had distinct effects on rural residents' disaster-risk
perceptions. (4) Compared with social network variables, trust was more closely
related to the perceived level of disaster risks, which was especially reflected in
the impact on self-efficacy, response efficacy, and comprehensive perception. The
findings of this study deepen understanding of the relationship between social
networks, trust, and disaster-risk perceptions of rural residents in mountainous
areas threatened by multiple disasters, providing enlightenment for building
resilient disaster-prevention systems in the community.
C1 [Xue, Kaijing; Liu, Shaoquan] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm,
9,Block 4,Renminnan Rd, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China.
[Xue, Kaijing] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, 19A Yuquan Rd, Beijing 100049, Peoples R
China.
[Guo, Shili] Southwestern Univ Finance & Econ, China Western Econ Res Ctr,
Chengdu 610074, Peoples R China.
[Liu, Yi] Sichuan Agr Univ, Coll Management, Chengdu 611130, Peoples R China.
[Xu, Dingde] Sichuan Agr Univ, Coll Management, Sichuan Ctr Rural Dev Res, 211
Huimin Rd, Chengdu 611130, Peoples R China.
C3 Chinese Academy of Sciences; Institute of Mountain Hazards &
Environment, CAS; Chinese Academy of Sciences; University of Chinese
Academy of Sciences, CAS; Southwestern University of Finance & Economics
- China; Sichuan Agricultural University; Sichuan Agricultural
University
RP Liu, SQ (corresponding author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm,
9,Block 4,Renminnan Rd, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China.; Xu, DD (corresponding
author), Sichuan Agr Univ, Coll Management, Sichuan Ctr Rural Dev Res, 211 Huimin
Rd, Chengdu 611130, Peoples R China.
EM kaijingxue@imde.ac.cn; guoshili@swufe.edu.cn; lyx1@stu.sicau.edu.cn;
liushq@imde.ac.cn; dingdexu@sicau.edu.cn
RI Xu, Dingde/GNP-8560-2022; Xu, Dingde/A-2084-2013
OI Xu, Dingde/0000-0001-6359-6540; Xue, Kaijing/0000-0002-1679-7240
FU National Natural Science Foundation of China [41801221]
FX This research was funded by National Natural Science Foundation of China
(Grant No. 41801221).
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(SSCI)
Health
GA QP1EV
UT WOS:000623580600001
PM 33671496
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Clar, C
AF Clar, Christoph
TI How demographic developments determine the management of
hydrometeorological hazard risks in rural communities: The linkages
between demographic and natural hazards research
SO WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-WATER
LA English
DT Review
DE demographic change; hydrometeorological hazards; natural hazard risk
management; natural hazards; rural communities
ID SOCIAL VULNERABILITY INDICATORS; FLOOD RISK; CLIMATE-CHANGE; DISASTER
RISK; EVACUATION DECISIONS; PLACE ATTACHMENT; PERCEPTION; ADAPTATION;
POPULATIONS; EXPOSURE
AB The management of hydrometeorological hazard risks increasingly builds on the
notion that the main constituents-hazard risk and vulnerability-have to be
understood as dynamic processes. Natural hazards and their impacts are influenced
by changes in land use and impacts of climate change, whereas the vulnerability of
communities is, inter alia, determined by changes in their demographic composition.
Structurally weak rural regions have to face these challenges, while their
capacities to manage hydrometeorological risks are affected by major demographic
developments, such as population decline and demographic aging (especially in
Europe). Nonetheless, academic research regarding this issue is still in its
infancy. Research on the relationship between hydrometeorological hazards and long-
term demographic change often focuses on one side of the coin: impacts of hazards
on the demographic composition of communities. The impacts of demographic change
onto communities' ability to prepare for, respond to and recover from natural
hazards appear as disregarded link. This article gives an overview over linkages by
reviewing literature at the intersection of demographic and hydrological hazard
research. The review of more than 90 publications provides insights into how
particular demographic factors (socioeconomic status; migration, residency, and
mobility; gender and gender relations; education and knowledge; and religion and
beliefs) determine the management of hydrometeorological hazard risks. Furthermore,
it identifies publications which consider long-term developments. The overview
shows that we lack a thorough connection between demographic change and
hydrometeorological hazard risk management, which would be crucial for in-depth
studies as well as a more dynamic understanding of respective linkages. This
article is categorized under: Science of Water > Water Extremes Engineering Water >
Planning Water
C1 [Clar, Christoph] Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci, Dept Econ & Social Sci, Inst
Forest Environm & Nat Resource Policy, Vienna, Austria.
[Clar, Christoph] Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci, Dept Civil Engn & Nat Hazards,
Inst Mt Risk Engn, Vienna, Austria.
C3 University of Natural Resources & Life Sciences, Vienna; University of
Natural Resources & Life Sciences, Vienna
RP Clar, C (corresponding author), Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci, Dept Civil Engn &
Nat Hazards, Inst Mt Risk Engn, Vienna, Austria.
EM christoph.clar@boku.ac.at
OI Clar, Christoph/0000-0003-3556-8256
FU Austrian Academy of Sciences
FX Austrian Academy of Sciences, Grant/Award Number: Research programme
Earth System Sciences (ESS)
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NR 121
TC 10
Z9 11
U1 4
U2 24
PU WILEY
PI HOBOKEN
SN 2049-1948
J9 WIRES WATER
JI Wiley Interdiscip. Rev.-Water
PD NOV
PY 2019
VL 6
IS 6
AR e1378
DI 10.1002/wat2.1378
EA SEP 2019
PG 20
(SSCI)
GA JG3VR
UT WOS:000484867900001
OA hybrid
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Dara, SI
Farmer, JC
AF Dara, Saqib I.
Farmer, J. Christopher
TI Preparedness Lessons from Modern Disasters and Wars
SO CRITICAL CARE CLINICS
LA English
DT Review
DE Disaster medicine; Critical care; Disaster planning; Intensive care;
Disasters; Chernobyl nuclear accident
ID CRITICAL-CARE MEDICINE; TRADE-CENTER ATTACK; ACUTE RESPIRATORY SYNDROME;
MASS CRITICAL-CARE; HURRICANE-KATRINA; INTENSIVE-CARE; HOSPITAL
EVACUATION; CHERNOBYL ACCIDENT; AMERICAN-COLLEGE; DEFINITIVE CARE
AB Disasters come in all shapes and forms, and in varying magnitudes and
intensities. Nevertheless, they offer many of the same lessons for critical care
practitioners and responders. Among these, the most important is that well thought
out risk assessment and focused planning are vital. Such assessment and planning
require proper training for providers to recognize and treat injury from disaster,
while maintaining safety for themselves and others. This article discusses risk
assessment and planning in the context of disasters. The article also elaborates on
the progress toward the creation of portable, credible, sustainable, and
sophisticated critical care outside the walls of an intensive care unit. Finally,
the article summarizes yields from military-civilian collaboration In disaster
planning and response.
C1 [Farmer, J. Christopher] Mayo Clin, Coll Med, Dept Med, Rochester, MN 55905 USA.
[Dara, Saqib I.] Al Rahba Hosp John Hopkins Int, Abu Dhabi, U Arab Emirates.
[Farmer, J. Christopher] Mayo Clin, Coll Med, Mayo Sch Grad Med Educ, Rochester,
MN 55905 USA.
[Farmer, J. Christopher] Mayo Clin, Coll Med, Program Translat Immunovirol &
Biodef, Rochester, MN 55905 USA.
C3 Mayo Clinic; Mayo Clinic; Mayo Clinic
RP Farmer, JC (corresponding author), Mayo Clin, Coll Med, Dept Med, 200 1st St
SW,Old Marian Hall,OL2-115, Rochester, MN 55905 USA.
EM farmer.j@mayo.edu
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2003, PEDIATRICS 1, V111, P1455
NR 135
TC 8
Z9 8
U1 0
U2 8
PU W B SAUNDERS CO-ELSEVIER INC
PI PHILADELPHIA
PA 1600 JOHN F KENNEDY BOULEVARD, STE 1800, PHILADELPHIA, PA 19103-2899 USA
SN 0749-0704
EI 1557-8232
J9 CRIT CARE CLIN
JI Crit. Care Clin.
PD JAN
PY 2009
VL 25
IS 1
BP 47
EP +
DI 10.1016/j.ccc.2008.10.005
PG 20
WC Critical Care Medicine
GA 427CL
UT WOS:000264757300004
PM 19268794
OA Green Published, Bronze
DA 2023-08-12
ER
PT J
AU Poree, DE
Giles, MD
Lawson, LB
He, JB
Grayson, SM
AF Poree, Dawanne E.
Giles, Marco D.
Lawson, Louise B.
He, Jibao
Grayson, Scott M.
TI Synthesis of Amphiphilic Star Block Copolymers and Their Evaluation as
Transdermal Carriers
SO BIOMACROMOLECULES
LA English
DT Article
ID TRANSFER RADICAL POLYMERIZATION; CROSS-LINKED NANOPARTICLES;
DRUG-DELIVERY; SUPRAMOLECULAR ASSEMBLIES; DENDRITIC MACROMOLECULES;
POLY(ETHYLENE GLYCOL); SELECTIVE EXTRACTION; VESICULAR CARRIERS; CASCADE
MOLECULES; MICELLE FORMATION
AB Amphiphilic star polymers offer substantial promise for, a range of drug
delivery applications owing to their ability to encapsulate guest molecules. One
appealing but underexplored application is transdermal drug delivery using star
block copolymer reverse micelles as an alternative to the more common oral and
intravenous routes. We prepared 6- and 12-arm amphiphilic star copolymers via atom
transfer radical polymerization. (ATRP) of sequential blocks of polar oligo
(ethylene glycol)methacrylate and nonpolar lauryl methacrylate from brominated
dendritic macroinitiators based on 2,2-bis(hydroxymethyl) propionic acid. These
star as rhodamine B and FITC-BSA in nonpolar media via UV/vis spectroscopic studies
and exhibit substantially improved encapsulation. efficiencies, relative to self
assembled "1-arm" linear block analogs. Furthermore, their transdermal carrier
capabilities were demonstrated in multiple dye diffusion studies using porcine
skin, verifying penetration of the carriers into the stratum comeum.
C1 [Poree, Dawanne E.; Giles, Marco D.; Grayson, Scott M.] Tulane Univ, Dept Chem,
New Orleans, LA 70118 USA.
[He, Jibao] Tulane Univ, Coordinated Instrumentat Facil, New Orleans, LA 70118
USA.
[Lawson, Louise B.] Tulane Univ, Sch Med, Dept Microbiol & Immunol, New Orleans,
LA 70112 USA.
C3 Tulane University; Tulane University; Tulane University
RP Grayson, SM (corresponding author), Tulane Univ, Dept Chem, New Orleans, LA
70118 USA.
EM sgrayson@tulane.edu
OI Giles, Marco/0000-0001-8478-8373; Lawson, Louise/0000-0002-9450-4511
FU Tulane University; National Institute of Health [NIH 1RO1 EB006493-01];
U.S. Army Medical Research and Material Command [W81XWH-07-1-0136];
Louisiana Board of Regents
FX We would like to thank Tulane University, the National Institute of
Health (NIH 1RO1 EB006493-01) and the U.S. Army Medical Research and
Material Command under award no. W81XWH-07-1-0136 for financial support
of this research and the Louisiana Board of Regents for a Graduate
Fellowship Grant (DEP). Opinions, interpretations, conclusions, and
recommendations are those of the author and are not necessarily endorsed
by the U.S. Army. We thank the Louisiana State University AgCenter Swine
Unit for providing porcine skin samples and the laboratories of Wayne
Reed and Alina Alb (Tulane Physics) for use of their DLS instrumentation
and assistance with data acquisition and interpretation by Alina Alb and
Zheng Li. Additionally, we would like to thank the Chemistry Department
of Washington University in St. Louis, particularly Professor Karen
Wooley and her research group for graciously allowing us to work in
their laboratories as a result of our evacuation from New Orleans after
Hurricane Katrina.
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NR 66
TC 51
Z9 53
U1 0
U2 56
PU AMER CHEMICAL SOC
PI WASHINGTON
PA 1155 16TH ST, NW, WASHINGTON, DC 20036 USA
SN 1525-7797
J9 BIOMACROMOLECULES
JI Biomacromolecules
PD APR
PY 2011
VL 12
IS 4
BP 898
EP 906
DI 10.1021/bm101185t
PG 9
WC Biochemistry & Molecular Biology; Chemistry, Organic; Polymer Science
WE Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED); Index Chemicus (IC)
SC Biochemistry & Molecular Biology; Chemistry; Polymer Science
GA 746DT
UT WOS:000289223500006
PM 21341702
OA Green Accepted
DA 2023-08-12
ER
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