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Earth Systems and Environment

https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-019-00088-y

ORIGINAL ARTICLE

Land Use/Land Cover Change and Environmental Impact Assessment


in Béni‑Mellal District (Morocco) Using Remote Sensing and GIS
Ahmed Barakat1 · Zainabe Ouargaf1 · Rida Khellouk1 · Aafaf El Jazouli1 · Fatima Touhami2

Received: 10 September 2018 / Accepted: 10 January 2019


© King Abdulaziz University and Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019

Abstract
Urbanization sprawls at the expense of the surrounding land corresponding generally to agricultural land or natural areas.
Therefore, evaluating land use and land cover change (LULCC) is important. In this study, LULCC and its environmental
impact in Béni-Mellal town and the surrounding communes (Morocco) are investigated between 2002 and 2016 using remote
sensing, geographical information system (GIS), and fuzzy analytical hierarchy process (FAHP). Remotely sensed imagery
combined with GIS served to evaluate the typical LULCC dynamics. FAHP allowed calculating the weights of each LULC
class used to generate the map of the environmental impact of LULCC. The results showed that arable fields, built-up and
bare soil classes are increased about 2.75%, 177.81%, and 4.47%, respectively, while arboriculture and forest LULC classes
are decreased about 40.64% and 53.85%, respectively. The environmental degradation map produced with regard to the
LULCC indicated that the lands severely degraded are those transformed from arboriculture to built-up and bare soil, fol-
lowed by those transformed from arable fields to built-up and bare soil, while moderate degradation is marked in areas of
arboriculture transformed to arable fields. To mitigate the degradation of natural resources such as fertile agricultural soil
and fruit trees, we suggest that urban construction should be encouraged in hilly areas in the mountain communes, and the
regional and communal management plans must be developed and respected. As highlighted by this study, combining remote
sensing and GIS could be an effective approach to LULC planning and improving the environment.

Keywords  LULCC · Environmental degradation · Remote sensing · GIS · FAHP

1 Introduction research (Nautiyal et al. 2017), soil erosion, landslides, loss


of biodiversity, increase in atmospheric C ­ O2, desertifica-
Monitoring land use and land cover change (LULCC) is tion, groundwater pollution (Townshend et al. 2012). Con-
important especially when it results in an inefficient town sequently, investigations of LULCC and their environmental
planning policy and a rapid and unregulated urbanization, impacts are necessary for achieving sustainable develop-
often anarchic, which are often associated with environmen- ment. The spatial and temporal analysis of land use trends
tal threats. Rapid urbanization, i.e., the growth of towns and and relationships between the factors driving these varia-
infrastructure, sprawls onto the surrounding land usually tions would allow for better management of land use.
made of natural areas, which is generally associated with Several various worldwide studies have been realized to
land/soil degradation. The land degradation participates in assess the land use evolution and its environmental impacts
several major environmental problems such as social science by applying various methods (Abdulkareem et al. 2018;
Barakat et al. 2018a, b; Zadbagher et al. 2018 Hegazy and
Kaloop 2015). Remote sensing and geographic information
* Ahmed Barakat systems (GISs) are widely used in the detection of land use
a.barakat@usms.ma
variation. Multi-date remote sensing images provide infor-
1
Georesources and Environment Laboratory, Faculty mation at a lower cost and help classify the different com-
of Sciences and Techniques, Sultan My Slimane University, ponents of land use on a larger scale (Ozesmi and Bauer
Béni‑Mellal, Morocco 2002) using one of the several classification techniques
2
Interdisciplinary Laboratory of Research in Sciences such as supervision classification, unsupervised classifica-
and Technologies, Polydisciplinary Faculty, Sultan My tion, PCA and fuzzy classification. It also has the advantage
Slimane University, Béni‑Mellal, Morocco

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A. Barakat et al.

in the evaluation of the spatial–temporal evolution of land preparing appropriate land use plans. The case study was
use using multi-date images (Xian and Crane 2005; Jat made for the Beni-Mellal town and the surrounding com-
et al. 2008). GIS provides a commonly used tool to explore munes, which have experienced a strong urbanization since
information derived from the urban growth remote sensing the past two decades due to their privileged geographic posi-
images and to detect the land use change. In the literature, tion. So, soil degradation and environmental issues associ-
most case studies were conducted using GIS techniques to ated with increasing urbanization and human interventions
explore environmental impacts of growing urbanization are accentuated in the area, recently. A lack of knowledge
based on the analysis of spatial and temporal relationships about the issue in the study area has led us to conduct the
between various land use classes (Xiao et al. 2013; Hegazy present investigation to evaluate the LULCC and to map
and Kaloop 2015; Song et al. 2015; Abdulkareem et al. the environmental degradation based on the evolution of the
2018; Nautiyal et al. 2017; Zadbagher et al. 2018; Gashaw LULC classes between 2002 and 2016 using remote sensing,
et al. 2018). GIS, and FAHP techniques.
An inadequate LULCC could undesirably disturb the
environment. To assess the environmental impact of land
use change, many criteria need to be considered such as veg- 2 Methods and Data
etation cover, soil quality, water bodies, urbanization rate,
and population pressure (Jasim et al. 2016). For evaluating 2.1 Study Area
all these criteria not having the equal impact level, various
mathematical methods especially multi-criteria decision- The study area (32°15′ and 32°28′N and 6°28′ and 6°16′W)
making methods were applied in determining the weights is located in Béni-Mellal province, Morocco. It is spread
of criteria and the scores of sub-criteria. A popular weight over an area of 281 km2, lying at the junction of High Atlas
evaluation method is the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) of Béni-Mellal and Tadla plain (Fig. 1). Its topography
proposed by Saaty (1977). However, the AHP method is ranges in elevation from 490 m to the north to 760 m to
unable to properly handle the uncertainties and inaccuracies the south of the study area. Administratively, it covered the
associated with the mapping of the decision-maker’s percep- rural communes of Sidi Jaber, Foum Oudi, Foum El Anceur,
tion to crisp numbers (Chen et al. 2011), and to compensate Ouled Ayich, and Ouled Mbarek, and the urban municipality
for the weakness of this method for dealing with uncertainty. of Béni-Mellal. The area has important water resources com-
Kahraman et al. (2004) reported that the fuzzy analytical ing from the Atlas Mountain. It also contains a large amount
hierarchy process (fuzzy-AHP) may reflect the other method of fertile land (Ennaji et al. 2018; Oumenskou et al. 2018;
that is most commonly used by several authors (Kilincci and Barakat et al. 2017) making it a region of high agricultural
Onal 2011; Feizizadeh et al. 2014; Mosadeghi et al. 2015) production. Agriculture and livestock constitute the main
to solve the fuzzy problem. Extension analysis of the Chang sector of economic activity and income. Olive and citrus
(1996) method introduces an approach to fuzzy-AHP manip- fruits are the main tree crop in the region.
ulation with the use of fuzzy triangular numbers to create a According to the data of the Moroccan Meteorological
pairwise comparison. Service, the mean annual temperature is 14.17 °C, with an
Morocco remains a demographically young country average lowest temperature of 1.1 °C observed in January,
whose total population has changed 180% over the past and an average highest temperature of 30 °C occurring in
40 years and is expected to reach 42 million people by 2050. July and August. The annual mean precipitation in this area
The economic social changes include the migration of the is approximately 350–650 mm, with nearly 87% of which is
rural population to large cities, and the development of the received from October to March.
tourism industry has made its mark in the changes observed According to the 2011 data of Moroccan high commission
in land use and land cover change (Xystrakis et al. 2017). for planning (HCP), the total population of the study area has
The population density is highest in the fertile plains and increased remarkably from 223,667 people in 2004 to 282,072
coastal areas of northwestern Morocco. The urban popula- people in 2014. However, this increase in population led among
tion growth rate of Morocco was reported as 2.16% in 2015 other factors an increased land demand for housing and indus-
(according to the World Bank collection of development trial areas that is done at the expense of the fertile agricultural
indicators) which has been climbing for the past decade land. For this reason, it is extremely important to assess the
due to the increase in population and the migration from effect of the land use transformation in the past 15 years.
rural areas to cities. All these factors including population
increase, urbanization, and proximity to fertile land affected 2.2 Data
natural resources such as forests, water and agricultural land,
transforming them into settlements or industrial areas. For The methodology followed in this study is graphically rep-
this reason, it is very important to assess the LULCC for resented in Fig. 2.

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Land Use/Land Cover Change and Environmental Impact Assessment in Béni-Mellal District…

Fig. 1  Geographical location of the study area with validation points

The data used in this study were collected from vari- to minimize seasonal changes, the images were acquired
ous sources between the years 2002 and 2016 to assess the during the same period (dry season). The accuracy of Sen-
LULCC over the time period and to estimate its environ- tinel-2 and Landsat-8 data classification used to map land
mental impact. use was assessed by Topaloglu et al. (2016), and the most
Land use maps were prepared using cloud-free remote accurate classification was obtained by Sentinel-2 data. On
sensing satellite images of ASTER acquired in September this basis, we decided to use the Sentinel-A2 product to
2002 and Sentinel-2A acquired on 1 October 2016 (Table 1) LULC map in 2016.

Fig. 2  Flowchart showing the


methodology followed in this
study Remote sensing data

Field observation

Pre-processing

Subset (study area)

Validation
Classification
GIS Analysis

LULC Change Detection 2002-


20016

Fuzzy AHP weighting

Environmental degradation map

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A. Barakat et al.

Table 1  Triangular fuzzy numbers of linguistic variables used in this the linear kernel type has been used and the gamma parame-
study ter (γ) was fixed to 0.2. Similar parameters have been applied
Linguistic scale Triangular fuzzy scale Triangular by Ustuner et al. (2015) for land use classification.
fuzzy reciprocal The area of interest is chosen based on the ground truth
scale and the comparison with Google Earth high-resolution
Equally strong (1, 1, 1) (1, 1, 1) images, synchronized with the acquisition dates of the
Moderately strong (2/3, 1, 3/2) (2/3, 1, 3/2) images used. The accuracy evaluation of the classifica-
Fairly strong (3/2, 2, 5/2) (2/5, 1/2, 2/3) tion was made by the confusion matrices and the Kappa
Very strong (5/2, 3, 7/2) (2/7, 1/3, 2/5) coefficients.
Absolutely strong (7/2, 4, 9/2) (2/9, 1/4, 2/7) A comparison image approach was adopted for change
detection analysis during the periods from 2002 to 2016.
The analysis consists in calculating the rates of increase and
The field visits were carried out in March 2017 to col- loss for each class using a matrix of change (Weng 2001),
lect information and geographic coordinates of the regions produced using ENVI software.
of interest used for satellite image classification and for
evaluating the result accuracy of this classification. Google 2.3.2 Degradation Index
Earth images were used to create the training sites for 2002
and 2016 satellite images and to evaluate the accuracy of To get a better understanding of environmental impact under
the generated thematic maps. ENVI 5.2, QGIS 2.14.2, and LULCC especially urbanization, we used the environmental
ArcGIS 10.2.2 softwares were used for the display, pre-pro- degradation index (EDI) developed by Jasim et al. (2016).
cessing, and processing of data. The formulation of this index is based on the thematic maps
of the change obtained by the post-classification method to
2.3 Methodology produce the change maps of each class (factor). Then the
FAHP proposed by Chang (1996) were used to calculate the
The methodology followed in this study is graphically rep- weights and importance degree of each LULC class.
resented in Fig. 2.
All image pre-processing, calibration, and atmospheric 2.3.3 Theory of Fuzzy‑AHP
correction were performed using semi-automatic classifica-
tion plugin extension (Congedo 2016) based on dark object In this research, FAHP method was used to evaluate and
subtraction (DOS) model in QGIS 2.8.6 software. The dark weigh LULC criteria allowing an environmental degrada-
object subtraction method (DOS) was developed by Chavez tion assessment. Fuzzy-AHP that extends Saaty’s TL AHP
(1988) to remove the atmospheric effects and to obtain (1980) method addresses to the problems not considered in
reflectance at ground images. The study area concerns two AHP such as the imprecision related to the decision maker’s
different scenes processed by the image mosaic algorithm. preference (Smith and Von Winterfeldt 2004) and the ambi-
To have the same resolution between these images, we resa- guity linked to the personal judgment regarding numeric
mpled the ASTER image at 10 m using the nearest neighbor. values. It replaces numerical values of AHP with fuzzy
This method does not improve the spatial resolution since it numbers to express an imprecise or approximate level of
retains the reflectance values of the original image (Calloz performance rating of each criterion. A pairwise fuzzy com-
and Collet 2001). In the end, image-subsetting techniques parison among criteria is expressed by the linguistic terms,
were applied to select the study area only. ‘equally’, ‘weakly more’, ‘moderately more’, ‘strongly
more’ or ‘extremely more important’ based on the levels of
2.3.1 Image Processing preference (Table 2). These linguistic expressions are then
transformed into triangular fuzzy numbers (TFNs). A fuzzy
Based on the Anderson LULC classification system (Ander- number à is said a triangular fuzzy number (TFN) if its
son 1976), these two images have been classified into five membership function is given by Eq. 1 (Cox et al. 1995):
classes, namely (1) arboriculture, (2) arable fields (3) forest,
(4) bare soil, and (5) built up. ⎧ 0, x < 1,
⎪ (x − l)∕(m − l), l ≤ x ≤ m,
The supervised classification method by the vector sup- 𝜇M̃ = ⎨ , (1)
port algorithm (SVM) was applied to each image using the ⎪ (u − x)∕(u − m), m ≤ x ≤ u,
⎩ 0, x>1
ENVI 5.3 software. This vector support algorithm is one of
the most used supervised classification methods with remote
sensing image data (Khatami et al. 2016; Pelletier et al. where parameters l, m, and u denote, respectively, the lower,
2016). For the vector support algorithm (SVM) application, mean, and upper values of TFN (Kahraman et al. 2004)

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Land Use/Land Cover Change and Environmental Impact Assessment in Béni-Mellal District…

Table 2  Degree of degradation of each factor


Factors (classes) Degradation LULC change
(alternatives)

Arboriculture Extreme If arboriculture is transformed into buildings (reduction of fertile soils and trees, the probability of contamina-
tion of aquifers in areas where sanitation is absent, destruction of the biosphere)
High If arboriculture is transformed into the bare soil (degradation of fertile soils, degradation of terrestrial ecosys-
tems).
Moderate If arboriculture is transformed into arable fields
Light If arboriculture is transformed forest
No change No change
Arable fields Extreme If arable fields are transformed into buildings (reduction of fertile soils, the probability of contamination of
aquifers in areas where sanitation is not available)
High If arable fields and arboriculture are transformed into bare soil (degradation of fertile soils, degradation of ter-
restrial ecosystems)
Light If the fields are transformed into forest/arboriculture
No change No change
Forest Extreme If the forest is transformed into a building (destruction of forest ecosystems, the probability of contamination of
aquifers in areas where the sanitation network is absent)
High If the forest is transformed into bare soil (degradation of forest ecosystems, the probability of the incidence of
floods above all in agglomerations which is in the foothills of the mountains)
Moderate If the Forest is transformed into fields (forest ecosystem degradation, the probability of landslides incidence
and erosion)
Light If the forest is transformed into arboriculture
No change No change
Bare soil High If the bare soil is transformed into buildings (probability of contamination of groundwater in areas where the
sewerage network is absent, especially since most of the bare soil is exposed limestone formations)
No change No change

( )
( ) ( )−1 1 1 1
M2 M1 ã ij = lij , mij , uij and ã ij = , ,
1 uij mij lij
(3)
for i, j = 1, 2, … n and i ≠ j.

The main steps to apply the fuzzy-AHP approach in this


V ( M2 ≥ M1) D study are described below according to apply Chang’s extent
analysis (Chang 1996).
l2 m2 l1 d u2 m1 u1 Step 1 Calculating the sum of each row the fuzzy com-
parison matrix à and then normalizing the row sums by the
Fig. 3  Intersection between M1 and M2 (Chang 1996) fuzzy arithmetic operation (Eq. 4).
(Fig. 3) used for indicating preferences between criteria. u [ ]−1

m
∑ ∑
n m
represents the degree to which any given element x in the Si = Mgj ⊗ Mgj (4)
domain X belongs to the fuzzy number A.
i i
j=1 i=1 j=1
TFNs expressing expert judgments were then used to rep-
resent the pairwise comparison of the criteria as a matrix with
written as Eq. 2: (m )
� � � �

m
∑ ∑
m

m

⎡ (1, 1, 1) l12 , m12 , u12 ⋯ l ,m ,u ⎤ Mgj = lj , mj , uj (5)


⎢� �−1 � 1n 1n 1n� ⎥ i
� � l , m ,u (1, 1, 1) lin , min , uin ⎥ j=1 j=1 j=1 j=1
= ⎢ 12 12 12

à = ã ij n×n ,
⎢ ⋯ ⋯ ⋯ ⋯ ⎥
⎢� �−1 � �−1 ⎥ and
⎣ l1n , m1n , u1n lin , min , uin ⋯ (1, 1, 1) ⎦
� �−1 � �
(2) � �
n m
1 1 1
where Mgi = ∑n , ∑n , ∑n , (6)
i=1 j=1
i
i=1
ui i=1
mi l
i=1 i

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A. Barakat et al.

where⊗ denotes the extended multiplication of two fuzzy The different values of the fuzzy synthetic extent of the five
numbers. These fuzzy triangular numbers are known to be LULC classes calculated are summarized in Table 4.
relative to each other and are used to represent the weight of The same calculation steps were applied to the alterna-
each criterion with respect to the total objective. A weighted tives, and the values of fuzzy extensions of the alternatives
summation is then used to obtain the performance of each computed are shown in Table 5.
alternative. Then, the minimum degree of possibility of classes and
Step 2 Computing the degree of possibility of M2 = (l2,  alternatives was determined using Eqs. 12 and 14. The result
m2, u2) ≥ M1 = (l1, m1, u1) is defined by Eq. 7. is presented in Table 6.
( ) [ ( )]
V M2 ≥ M1 = sup min 𝜇M1 (x), 𝜇M2 (y) . (7) 2.4.2 Weight Assignment to Classes and Alternatives
y≥x

Equation 7 can be equivalently expressed as follows: After normalization process of the weight vectors, the weight
of each class and each alternative is obtained (Table 7). The
⎧ 1, if m2 ≥ m1 weights obtained were used to generate the environmental
� � ⎪
V M2 ≥ M1 = ⎨ 0, if l1 ≥ u2 , (8) degradation map using ArcGIS software. The model used is
l −u
⎪ m −u 1 − 2m −l if Otherwise presented by Eq. 10.
⎩ ( 2 2) ( 1 1)
( )
EDI = 0.32 × Arboriculturedegradation − Arboriculturegrowth
where d is the ordinate of the highest intersection point D ( )
between 𝜇M1 and 𝜇M2 as shown in Fig. 3. To compare M1 and + 0.24 × Arables fieldsdegradation − Arables fieldsgrowth
( )
M2, we need both the values of V (M1 ≥ M2) and V (M2 ≥ M1). + 0.21 × Forestdegradation − Forestgrowth
( )
Step 3 Estimating the priority vector (W =(w1, …, wn)T) + 0.15 × Bare soildegradation − Bare soilgrowth
of the fuzzy comparison matrix A as follows: ( )
+ 0.07 × Built upgrowth ,
� � (10)
V Sk ≥ Sj j = 1, … , n;j ≠ i
wi = ∑n � � , i = 1, … , n
i=1
V Sk ≥ Sj j = 1, … , n;j ≠ k where EDI is the environmental degradation index.
(9)
where W is a non-fuzzy number that gives the priority
weights of an attribute or an alternative to the other. 3 Results and Discussion
2.4 Case Application 3.1 LULC Status

2.4.1 Identification and Extraction of Factors and Elements LULC classes were mapped and analyzed. The Kappa coef-
of the Environmental Degradation Index ficients for 2002 and 2016 maps were 0.99 and 0.99, respec-
tively. The overall accuracy (Congalton and Green 2008)
In this study, a model based on fuzzy-AHP is applied to eval- was determinate to evaluate the accuracy of the supervised
uate the environmental impact related to LULCC. The evalu- classification used in this study for two date, 2002 and 2016,
ation is made using the five LULC classes defined above to images with 97% for each date. Knowing that the critical
evaluate the LULCC (arboriculture, arable fields, forest, bare accuracy value of 75% beyond which a classification is
soil, and built up). Each class has five alternatives indicated deemed acceptable (Girard and Girard 2010), these results
as extreme, high, moderate, slight, and no change to describe indicated the best SVM classification accuracy. The Kappa
the degree of degradation (the degree of change) according coefficients for 2002 and 2016 maps were 0.993 and 0.996,
to the linguistic variables shown in Table 3. respectively. The spatial distributional pattern of LULC in
These factors were extracted using the pixel-by-pixel the study area for 2002 and 2016 are represented in Figs. 4
comparison method (post-classification) of images to dis- and 5, respectively. This data revealed that in 2002, about
criminate the LULCC for the period 2002–2017 and sub- 84.88% (237.99 km2) of the study area was occupied by
sequently to identify the potential environmental impact of arable fields, 11.57% (32.73 km2) by arboriculture, 4.01%
this LULCC. Chang’s extent analysis described above was (1.43 km2) by built-up land, 1.83% (5.14 ­km2 by barren land,
applied to compare the fuzzy numbers and the final scores and 0.19% (0.52 km2) by forest.
are compared with each other according to the linguistic During 2016, the area covered by these land categories
variables proposed by Kilincci and Onal (2011) (Table 2). was approximately 87.11% (244.53 km2) for arable fields,

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Land Use/Land Cover Change and Environmental Impact Assessment in Béni-Mellal District…

Table 3  Synthetic extent of Classes NTF Arboriculture Arable fields Forest Bare soil Built up ∑m j
Mgi
LULC classes j=1

Arboriculture lj 1 2/3 3/2 3/2 3/2 5.34


mj 1 1 2 4 4 10
uj 1 3/2 5/2 5/2 9/2 12
Arable fields lj 2/3 1 2/3 2/3 5/2 5.51
mj 1 1 1 1 3 7
uj 3/2 1 3/2 3/2 7/2 9
Forest lj 2/5 2/3 1 2/3 3/2 4.24
mj 1/2 1 1 1 2 5.5
uj 3/2 3/2 1 3/2 5/2 8
Bare Soil lj 2/5 2/3 2/3 1 2/3 3.41
mj 1/2 1 1 1 1 4.5
uj 3/2 3/2 3/2 1 3/2 6.17
Built up lj 2/9 2/7 2/5 2/3 1 2.58
mj 1/4 1/3 1/2 1 1 3.08
uj 2/3 2/5 2/3 3/2 1 4.24
∑n ∑m �∑ ∑m ∑m � ∑m
j
Mgi = m
l , j=1 mj , j=1 uj j=1 lj
21.08
i=1 j=1 j=1 j
∑m
mj 30.08
∑j=1
m
j=1 uj
39.41
� �−1 0.025
∑ ∑
n m � � ∑n
1
1 1 1 uj
Mgi = ∑n
ui
, ∑n
mi
, ∑n i=1

i=1 j=1
i i=1 i=1 i=1 li

∑n
1 0.033
i=1 mj

∑n
1 0.047
i=1 lj
∑m �∑ ∑m �−1 SArboriculture (0.135, 0.33, 0.57)
j n j
Si = j=1 Mgi ⊗ i=1 j=1 Mgi
SArable fields (0.14, 0.23, 0.43)
SForest (0.11, 0.18, 0.38)
SBare soil (0.09, 0.18, 0.29)
SBuilt up (0.06, 0.10, 0.20)

Table 4  Synthetic extension of alternatives


Arboriculture Forest

Sextreme (0.23, 0.35, 0.51) Sextreme (0.221, 0.32, 0.48)


Shigh (0.16, 0.25, 0.39) Shigh (0.16, 0.25, 0.40)
Smoderate (0.10, 0.17, 0.28) Smoderate (0.11, 0.19, 0.32)
SLeger (0.08, 0.12, 0.20) SLight (0.076, 0.12, 0.20)
Sno change (0.066, 0.098, 0.15) Sno change (0.07, 0.11, 0.19)
Arable fields Bare soil

Sextreme (0.30, 0.43, 0.61) Shigh (0.59, 0.75, 0.94)


Shigh (0.19, 0.29, 0.43)
SLight (0.10, 0.16, 0.25) Sno change (0.22, 0.25, 0.29)
Sno change 0.08, 0.12, 0.18

6.92% (19.43 km2) for arboriculture, 3.97% (11.14 km2) for 3.2 Change Detection


built-up land, 1.91% (5.37 km2) for bare soil, and 0.09%
(0.24 km2) for forest. The analysis of the thematic maps and matrices of changes
of the study area between the periods 2002 and 2016 showed

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A. Barakat et al.

Table 5  Minimum degree of possibility of classes and alternatives overgrazing, and degradation of forest. The arable fields and
Classes
the buildings showed an increase of their surfaces between
( )
the periods of 2002 and 2016, which respectively, gained
d� (Arboriculture) = minV SArboriculture ≥ Sk  = 1 6.54 km2/7.13 km2. The barren land has also been increased
( )
d� (Arables fields) = minV SArables fields ≥ Sk  = 0.74 so that it gains a total of surface equivalent to 0.23 km 2. The
( )
d� (Forest) = minV SForest ≥ Sk  = 0.62 forest has been slightly decreased from 0.52 km2 in 2002 to
( )
d� (Bare soil ) = minV SBare soil ≥ Sk  = 0.46 0.24 km2 in 2016, which accounts for − 0.28 km2 (Table 8).
( ) According to the results shown in Table 8 and Fig. 6, the
d� (Built up) = minV SBare soil ≥ Sk  = 0.22
Alternatives
reduction of the area of arboriculture could be explained by
(1) the decrease of the density of this class in some areas over
Arboriculture Forest time (the low density of arboriculture and the young age of
d� (extreme) = 1 d� (extreme) = 1 undetectable trees), and (2) deforestation in other areas. The
d� (high) = 0.23 d� (high) = 0.75 total destruction and reduction of these classes were mainly
d� (moderate) = 0.22 d� (moderate) = 0.46 attributed to human intervention (the expansion of urban
d� (Light) = 0 d� (Light) = 0 planning, the extensive use of chemical products, and the
d� (no change) = 0 d� (no change) = 0 cessation of irrigation of arboriculture fields). To verify the
Champs Sol nu effect of a tree density and age on the detectability of arbo-
riculture in our images, we compared different analysis and
d� (extreme) = 1 d� (high) = 1 visual comparisons using Google Earth. From these analy-
d� (high) = 0.48 d� (no change) = ses, we found that recently cultivated areas and areas with
0
low density are detected as arable fields. After a review of
d� (Light) = 0
the literature on the type of classification used in this study
d� (no change) = 0
to separate fields, arboriculture is called priority classifica-
tion. Due to the generalization of classes, the user is forced
to adjust one of the hundreds of field possibilities to one of
Table 6  Standardized weight of classes and alternatives the existing classes, which may result in the selection of a
class that does not exhibit well the real situation (Küchler
Classes Weight Alternatives Weight
and Zonneveld 1988) (Land cover classification). The arable
Arboriculture 0.32 Extreme 0.55 fields show an increase, which will be attributed to the deg-
High 0.34 radation of arboriculture and forest, and to the decrease of
Moderate 0.11 the surface of the barren land. The degradation of the for-
Light 0 est during the period 2002–2016 is attributed to the human
No change 0 activities (overgrazing, overexploitation of wood resources).
Arable fields 0.24 Extreme 0.67 The matrices of changes for the period 2002–2016 (Table 8)
High 0.32 informed the stability and conversion of certain land use
Moderate 0 classes. It reveals that (1) ≈ 21.25 km2 area of arboriculture
Light 0 has been converted into arable fields, ≈ 0.03 km2 under for-
Forest 0.21 Extreme 0.45 est area, and ≈ 0.15 km2 area under built up; (2) the forest
High 0.34 cover was mainly converted to arboriculture (≈ 0.05 km2)
Moderate 0.21 and arable fields (≈ 0.36 km2); and (3) ≈ 8.10 km2 of arable
Light 0 fields were changed into arboriculture, ≈ 0.09 km2 under for-
No change 0 est area, ≈ 8.19 km2 area under built up, and ≈ 3.40 km2 area
Bare soil 0.12 High 1 under barren land.
No change 0
Built up 0.07 3.3 Environmental Impact Evaluation

In this study, five factors have been identified (arboriculture,


that the arboriculture has been decreased from 32.73 km 2 arable fields, forest, bare soil, and build up) and five assess-
in 2002 to 19.43 km2 in 2016 which accounts for − 13.3% ment items (extreme, high, moderate, slight, and no change)
of the total study area compared to the other classes. This using GIS software with fuzzy-AHP technique; these vari-
variation can be explained by the decrease in the density of ables were overlaid, and environmental degradation maps
this class in some areas and by total losses in other areas were produced.
due to anthropogenic activities such as urban extension,

13
Land Use/Land Cover Change and Environmental Impact Assessment in Béni-Mellal District…

Table 7  Area of change in Area 2002 Area 2016 Change 2002–2016


different LULC categories from
2 2
2002 to 2016 (km ) (%) (km ) (%) (km2) (%)

Arboriculture 32.73 11.57 19.43 6.92 − 13.3 − 40.64


Arable fields 237.99 84.88 244.53 87.11 + 6.54 2.75
Forest 0.52 0.19 0.24 0.09 − 0.28 − 53.85
Built up 4.01 1.43 11.14 3.97 + 7.13 177.81
Bare soil 5.14 1.83 5.37 1.91 + 0.23 4.47
Total 280.39 100 280.71 100

Fig. 4  LULC map for 2002

The analysis of the environmental degradation map gen- these areas, characterized by high permeability, these septic
erated by the weighting of various factors in ArcGIS (Fig. 7) tanks, and solid wastes leaching can cause contamination
revealed that soils, which are significantly degraded, are of soil, surface water, and groundwater. The degradation
marked in areas transformed into built-up areas, mainly bare of the land crossed by road infrastructure (promoting the
soil, arboriculture and arable fields. These degradations are development of buildings outside agglomerations) or which
located precisely in the areas undergoing an increased and are urbanized is attributed to the destruction of the fertile
rapid urbanization in the urban and suburban agglomera- soils whose formation has learned times which are very
tions and along the Béni-Mellal-Casablanca highway and great. Environmental destruction related to bare soil expan-
main roads. The significant deterioration is also apparent sion is observed in areas near Adouz commune, this could
in Adouz, Foum Oudi and Ourbiaa communes that have be attributed to exposure of rocks due to the destruction of
witnessed a rapid and uncontrolled and illegal construc- shrubs and clumps of dwarf palms and to the degradation of
tion boosted by geopolitical pressure especially during the poorly developed soils through erosion and induced trans-
Arab spring. These new anarchic urban areas continue to port mechanisms by the rainwater, especially as the area is
lack hygiene infrastructure and sewerage system replaced by in the foothills of the Atlas Mountains.
septic tanks. Given the calcareous (karstic) nature of land in

13
A. Barakat et al.

Fig. 5  LULC map for 2016

Due to economic development, rapid population growth, urbanization will always be at the expense of arable soils
rural exodus, and urbanization of rural areas in the study and arboriculture in the study area. Therefore, the concerned
area, encroachment of building on fertile agricultural land communes need to establish plans to address this situation
and olive groves becomes an inevitable process that will by redirecting the urban sprawl along the poor bare land and
not be inconsequential. Moreover, many research stud- in mountain parts of the Piemonte communes, to protect the
ies through the world have shown that urbanization is an fertile agricultural land and to increase agricultural produc-
important type of land transformation (Song et al. 2015; Wu tion that is the dominant economic activity in the study area.
et al. 2016). The continuing increase in not well-planned The unplanned urbanization also exerts high pressure on
water resources resulting into their contamination (Barakat
et al. 2013, 2016), especially since the studied area is in a
Table 8  LULC change matrix from 2002 to 2016 region very reputed by its enormous water reserves. There-
fore, urbanization must be accompanied by the installation
(km2) Initial state (2002)
of basic infrastructure, especially sanitation, mainly in rural
Arboricul- Arable Forest Built up Bare soil agglomerations and slums to protect water resources from
ture fields
anthropogenic pollution (Barakat et al. 2018a, b). Faced with
Final state (2016) this inevitable urban expansion closely linked to regional
 Arboricul- 11.27 8.10 0.05 0 0.01 economic growth and internal migration, regional and local
ture projects must be deployed to upgrade “anarchic” urban
 Arable 21.25 218.21 0.36 1.45 3.22 neighborhoods and to stop unauthorized urban sprawl to
fields
effectively address land use problems such as agricultural
 Forest 0.03 0.09 0.11 0 0
land depletion and water resource contamination.
 Built up 0.15 8.19 0 2.55 0.24
Environmental degradation contains the degradation of
 Bare soil 0.02 3.40 0 0.01 1.94
vegetation and the loss of wetlands, considered important
 Total 32.73 237.99 0.52 4.01 5.14
components of terrestrial ecosystems, because of their vital

13
Land Use/Land Cover Change and Environmental Impact Assessment in Béni-Mellal District…

Fig. 6  Land use/cover change 10


(2002–2016)

Change in Area (km²)


0

-5

-10

-15
Arboriculture Arable fields Forest Built up Barren land
Land Use/ Cover Type

Fig. 7  Environmental degrada-
tion map

importance for land protection, biodiversity, water cycles items (extreme, high, moderate, leger, and no change). These
and geochemical, climate and many other facets (Turner factors were extracted using the pixel-by-pixel comparison
et al. 2000). Eccentric use of ecological functions, poten- method (post-classification) of two images representing two
tially leads to decreased productivity and biodiversity. In dates separated by a time frame enough to discriminate the
this study, we identified five factors (arboriculture, arable changes and subsequently the identification of the impacts,
fields, forest, bare soil, and bedrock) and six assessment

13
A. Barakat et al.

while evaluation elements have been chosen to describe the be encouraged in hilly areas in the mountain communes,
degree of degradation (degree of change). and the regional and communal management plans must be
Research shows that changes in land use are changing developed and respected, and the unplanned constructions
rapidly; the environment is affected. The degradation of the must be stopped.
areas crossed by the road infrastructure or which are urban- The acquired results also confirmed that the combination
ized is attributed to the destruction of the fertile soils whose of remote sensing tools, GIS and fuzzy-AHP techniques,
formation has learned times which are very great, it seems to could be an effective approach for LULC planning and
be aggravated recently. These unwanted LULCCs may have improving the environment.
been favored by inadequate policy measures. For example,
non-farm users have used a large area of cropland because of
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