Professional Documents
Culture Documents
United States
Department of
Agriculture
Agricultural
WGEN: A Model for
Research
Service Generating Daily, , 3
ARS-8
Model description, 5
Precipitation, 6
Summary, 14
Literature cited, 15
Tables, 16
Figures, 33
Appendixes, 35
INTRODUCTION Daily weather data are required for many applications. Weather
data are frequently needed to aid in the design of hydraulic
structures; to evaluate the effects of watershed changes on
hydrology, water quality, or erosion; or to assess alternative
crop or range management strategies. Mathematical models of
the physical processes involved are often used to make these
evaluations. In addressing the response of these processes to
weather inputs, it is seldom sufficient to examine only responses
to observed weather events. Use of only observed sequences
gives a solution which is based on only one realization of the
weather process. For some locations no weather data are avail-
able to make the desired assessment. It is desirable to have
the capability of generating synthetic weather data with the
same statistical characteristics as the actual weather at the
location. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to provide a
method for generating samples of daily weather variables.
and Harp 1980, Bruhn et al. 1980, Larsen and Pense 1981).
These models are based on sound statistical principles; however,
they lack the general applicability and ease of use that is
afforded by WGEN, and the model parameters given in the appendix.
5
. .
Precipitation
on day i given a wet day on day i-1, and let P.(W/D) be the
probability of a wet day on day i given a dry Jay on day 1-1.
Then,
P^(D/D) = 1 - P^(W/D)
6
.
(4)
T
BB = M (5)
o
1 P^(l,2) Po(l,3)
Po(1.2) 1 P^(2,3)
Po(1.3) Po(2,3) 1
7
. 1 .
I—
II
0.563 0.674 -0.100 2/ (9)
" -0.002“
0.567 0.086
"0.781 0 0
The A and B matrices given in equations (10) and (11) are used
with equation (3) in WGEN to generate new sequences of the
residuals of t , t and r that are serially correlated and
. ,
—2 / The
off-diagonal elements were calculated but not reported by
Richardson (1982b)
8
,
9
The map of u for the mean of t on dry days is shown in
figure Al. The amplitude (C) of^the mean of t for a given
^
location was not significantly different on we? or dry days.
The map of C for the mean of t (wet or dry) is given in
figure A2. The u’s for the coefficient of variation of t
are given in figure A3. The C*s for the coefficient of variation
of t are given in figure A4. The values in figure A4 are
negative because t is less variable during“ the summer when
insx
the mean t is greatest. The values of u and C for the
coef f icien?s^of variation of t were the same for either wet
, , max
or dry days.
The map of u for the mean of r on dry days is given in figure AlO.
Similar to t ,C for the mean of r was not significantly
different on wet or dry days. The map of C for the mean of r
(wet or dry) is given in figure All. The map of u for the mean
of r on wet days is given in figure A12.
The WGEN program will print daily values of the four variables.
A summary of the monthly and annual amounts will be printed at
the end of each year. At the end of the n-year run, the mean
monthly and mean annual amounts will be printed
11
The WGEN PAR Program
RESULTS AND The WGEN model has been subjected to extensive testing. The
DISCUSSION results will be illustrated by applying the model at five
locations with a wide variety of climates and comparing the
results with recorded data. The locations are Columbia, MO;
Boise, ID; Miami, FL; Phoenix, AZ; and Boston, MA. The rainfall
parameters were obtained from table Al, and the temperature and
solar radiation parameters were obtained from figures A1-A12
for each location. A 30-year sample of weather data was
generated for each location without correcting precipitation
and temperature based on actual monthly means.
The Markov chain-gamma model that was used for generating daily
precipitation amounts gave results that compared well with the
observed data. The precipitation amounts and the seasonal
distribution of precipitation were accurately represented in
the generated data. No significant differences occurred between
the observed and generated mean monthly or annual precipitation
amounts for any of the five locations. The mean number of wet
12
days per month was also accurately simulated at all five
locations. The persistence of wet days as indicated by the
maximum length of consecutive wet days for each month and the
frequency of occurrence of daily precipitation in excess of
2.0 inches also compared favorably with the observed data.
The mean daily solar radiation generated with WGEN was not
significantly different from the observed data for any month at
any of the five locations.
13
The results of the generation are shown in table 12. The mean
monthly precipitation amounts from the generated data are an
excellent representation of the observed data. However, the
wet days generated by WGEN are less than the observed number
because only the rainfall amounts are changed with the correction
procedure. The daily maximum and minimum temperatures generated
using the correction procedure also compare closely with the
observed data for Reynolds Mountain and are much lower than
would be generated without the correction procedure (see
table 8) .
SUMMARY The WGEN model is designed for use in generating daily values
of precipitation, maximum temperature, minimum temperature, and
solar radiation that are representative of the weather at a
specific site. The generation procedure is designed to account
for the dependence structure of the four variables. The serial
dependence of p is described using a first-order Markov chain.
The t , t , ,and r values are related to p by conditioning
the vafues on’^the wet or dry status of the day. The persistence
of t , t ,
, and r is preserved using the serial-correlation
of eac^ variable. The dependence among the three variables is
preserved using the cross-correlation coefficients. The
generation procedure is also designed to describe the seasonal
characteristics of the variables. The basic structure of the
model is simple and several assumptions are made to enable
general application of the model.
Two major generation options are available with WGEN. The user
may choose to (1) generate daily values of all four variables
or (2) use actual precipitation data and generate the other
three variables. In addition to the two major options, the
user may choose to apply correction factors to precipitation
and/or temperature based on actual mean monthly values.
14
. . . . . ,
15
Table 1. Values of u, C, and T for the mean maximum tempetatute on wet
or dry days for 31 locations in the United States
Location u C T u C T
(Op) (Op) (Op) (Op) (days)
(days)
16
Table 2. Values of u, C, and T for coefficient of variation of maximum
temperature on wet or dry days for 31 locations in the United States
Location u C T u C T
(days) (days)
17
Table 3. Values of u, C, and T for the mean and coefficient of variation
of minimum temperature for 31 locations in the United States
Coef. of var.
Mean wet or dry days wet or dry days
Location u C T u C T
(°F) (“F) (days) (days)
18
Table 4. Values of u, C, and T for the mean solar radiation on wet or
dry days for 31 locations in the United states
Location u C T u C T
(ly) (ly) (days) (ly) (ly) (days)
20
Table 6. Variable names for the means (u) and, amplitudes (C) of
equation (14) for t , t . and r
,
max min
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34
APPENDIX A
Generation Parameters
I;
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LU 0) li) CD 0) c- CM cn r- r- CD 00 CO -r- CM O P' CM TT CO (D Tf tp »“ CO tP CM tp 03 O T- T- in
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CO 00 T- ^ c- in Tj* CM tp tp CO 05
tfi
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(P 05 O Tp (55 00 O CD O ^ in CM ^
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z < TT CM r- CO in CO CM CP 00 CD CM 05 O 00 T- o in 05
T- rt CM C* tP CM tP C- Tp o 00 CM
< LU
u o oooo doo oodd dddd dood oooo odod dooo odoo
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1 1
00
T-
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JUNE
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CP -r- CP CM h- CO TT r- CO ^ CM CP CM ^ CM CP CM ^ -1-
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P(W/W) P(W/D) ALPHA P(W/W) P(W/D) ALPHA P(W/W) P(W/D) ALPHA P(W/W) P(W/D) ALPHA P(W/W) P(W/D) ALPHA P(W/W) P(W/D) ALPHA P(W/W) P(W/D) ALPHA P(W/W) P(W/D) ALPHA P(W/W) P(W/D) ALPHA
BETA BETA BETA BETA BETA BETA BETA BETA BETA
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to to 0) CM CP 00 in CO CO CM in CO ^ in CO CP^ in PI t' 'T tT CO CP in CO r- in CO CO
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41
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46
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00
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3 X
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P(W/W) P(W/D) ALPHA
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C) ^** CO CO C' CP cn CO 0) CO CO
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51
TXMP
60.
Figure Al. Distribution of the nean of t for dry days (771^^) °y.
® max
ATX
26 .
Figure A2. Distribution of the amplitude to t for wet or dry days (ATX) , °F.
max
52
.
C¥TX
53
TMMm
54
ATM
Figure A7. Distribution of the amplitude ot for wet or dry days (ATN) ,
°F.
CVTM
Figure
^ A8. Distribution of the mean of the coefficient of variation of t ,
tni
for wet or dry days (CVTN).
55
ACVTM
Figure AlO. Distribution of the mean of r for dry days (RMD) , ly.
t
56
/IX
310 250
Figure All. Distribution of the amplitude of r for dry days (AR) , ly.
250
'-220
Figure A12. Distribution of the mean of r for wet days (RM^) , ly.
57
APPENDIX B
Input Variable
no name Description Format Source
60
Table Bl. Continued.
Input Variable
no. name Description Format Source
61
3 - -
I
*
:m
VKtr
'
t'.‘
\
^’" " 9Pnw^ '
‘
”
'iv.. • *n
I
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n
moA
j'
J?.
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^*
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' *^t-'
'
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W
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^
t
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r Hi
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PA'-r^ . \ w .W
APPENDIX C
63
TABLE C1. LISTING OF FORTRAN PROGRAM FOR WGEN.
2TMIN(366) ,RAD(366) AC0M(2O) ,NI ( 12) .SR( 2 ) SSTX ( 2 ) SSTN( 12) ,SSRAD(
, 1 , 1 ,
32) ,SRAIN( 12) ,STMAX( 12) .STMIN( 12) ,SRAD( 1 2 ) NI I ( 1 2 ) PWW( 1 2 ) PWD( 12) , . ,
4ALPHA( 12) ,BETA( 1 2 ) TM( 1 2 ) PW( 1 2 ) TG( 1 2 ) RM( 1 2 ) RG( 12) ,RCF( 12)
, . . , ,
c* INPUT » 01 - TITLE
c* ACOM( I - LOCATION IDENTIFICATION OR OTHER USER *
c* COMMENTS. 80 CHARACTER MAXIMUM *
Q:|t******3tt***:t:Jtt*%%3(«***j(c*****:t:***:*e***:*c3ti******:t:****jJcj*c****4c**3(tJt!)tt5K*](t*:(t:(c
IF(CH LT -1.0) GO TO 5
. .
H = ARCOS(CH)
DO = 1 .0+0.0335*SIN(0.0172*(XI+88.2))
RC(I ) =889. 2305*00* ((H*SIN(XLAT)*SIN( SO) )+(COS(XLAT)*COS(SD)*SlN(H)
D)
RC(I) = RC(I) * 0.8
CONTINUE
DO 7 I = 1,12
TTMAXd )=0.
TTMIN( I )=0.
RM(I) = O.
CONTINUE
IF(KGEN .EQ. 2) GO TO 10
65
TABLE C1. CONTINUED.
8 READ(2,103) ( TTMAX ( I ) ,
I = 1 , 1 2
66
) ) ) ) . , , ) .
13 WRITE(6,700)
700 FORMAT(////, 10X, 'GENERATION PARAMETERS' ,//, 15X, 'PRECIPITATION'
WRITE(6,701)(PWW(I),I=1, 12)
701 F0RMAT(20X, 'P(W/W) ',12F7.3)
WRITE(6,702) ( PWD ( I ) I = 1 2 , 1 ,
705 FORMAT( 15X, 'MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE ',/, 20X ,' TXMD = F8 3 / 20X ' , .
, .
* 'TXMW = .F8.3,//)'
WRITE(6.707)RMD,AR.RMW
707 FORMAT( 15X, 'SOLAR RADIATION' ,/, 20X ,' RMD = F8 3 / 20X ' , . , ,
DO 11 d = 1,366
XJ = d
DT = COS( .0172*(Xd-200. )
DR = COS( .0172*(Xd-172. ))
TXM(d) = TXMD+ATX+DT
XCR 1 =CVTX+ACVTX DT
IF(XCR1 .LT. 0.0) XCR1=0.06
TXS(d)=TXM(d)*XCR1
TXMI(d) = TXM(d) - D1
TXS1(d)=TXM1(d)*XCR1
TNM(d) = TN + ATN*DT
XCR2=CVTN+ACVTN*DT
IF(XCR2 .LT. 0.0) XCR2=0.06
TNS(d)=TNM(d)*XCR2
RMO(d) = RMD+AR DR
XCR3=CVRD+ACVRD*DR
IF(XCR3 .LT. 0.0) XCR3=0.06
RS0(d)=RM0(d)*XCR3
RM1(d) = RMO(d) - D2
XCR4=CVRW+ACVRW*DR
IF(XCR4 .LT. 0.0) XCR4=0.06
RS1(d)=RM1(d)*XCR4
67
TABLE C1. CONTINUED.
11 CONTINUE
DO 22 IM=1 , 12
XNW(IM) = O.
SR( IM) =0.
SSTX(IM) = O.
SSTN(IM) = 0.
SSPAD(IM) = O.
TCFMAX(IM) = 0.0
TCFMIN(IM) = 0.0
RCF(IM) = 1.0
PW(IM) = PWD(IM)/( 1
.
-PWW( IM)+PWD( IM)
51 =
O.
52 = O.
53 = O.
NL = NI(IM)
IF( IM EO . . 1 ) GO TO 14
NF = NI ( IM- 1 ) + 1
GO TO 15
14 NF = 1
15 CONTINUE
ZN = NL - NF + 1
DO 16 d NF.NL =
51 = SI + TXM(d)/ZN
52 = S2 + TXM1(d)/ZN
53 = S3 + TNM(J)/ZN
16 CONTINUE
C*****CALCULATE MONTHLY RAINFALL CORRECTION FACTOR
RG(IM) = ALPHA( IM)*BETA( IM)*ZN*PW( IM)
IF(KRCF .EO. O ) GO TO 17
RCF(IM) = RM( IM)/RG( IM)
17 IF(KTCF .EO. O) GO TO 22
C***+*CALCULATE MONTHLY TEMP CORRECTION FACTOR
IF(KTCF.E0.2) GO TO 18
TMD = (SI + S3) / 2.
TMW = (S2 + S3) / 2.
TG(IM) = TMW*PW(IM)+TMD*( l-PW(IM)
TCFMAX(IM) = TM(IM) - TG(IM)
TCFMIN(IM) = TCFMAX(IM)
GO TO 22
18 TAMAX( IM)=S2 + PW( IM) + S 1 * (1 -PW( IM ) .
TAMIN( IM)=S3
IF(KTCF EO. O. ) GO TO 22
.
68
) ) ) )
GO TO 50
51 WRITE(6.722) ( TTMAX ( I ) I = , 1 ,
1 2
722 FORMAT( 10X, 'ACT MEAN TMAX ' , 1 2F7 . 1 )
WRITE(6,723) ( TTMIN( I ) I = , 1 , 1 2
723 FORMATdOX, 'ACT MEAN TMIN '
,
1 2F7 . 1 )
WRITE(6,720) ( TAMAX ( I ) I = , 1 . 1 2
720 FORMAT( lOX, 'EST MEAN TMAX ' . 1 2F7 . 1 )
50 WRITE(6,709) ( TCFMAX ( I ) I = , 1 . 1 2
709 FORMAT( 10X, 'CF MEAN TMAX ', . 1 2F7 .
1
WRITE(6.724) ( TCFMIN{ I ) I = , 1 , 1 2
724 FORMAT( 10X, 'CF MEAN TMIN' . , 12F7 .
1
19 XYR = NYRS
SYTX = 0.
SYTN = O.
SYRAD = O.
SYR = 0.
SYNW = 0.
DO 40 I = ,NYRS 1
lYR = I
IF(KGEN EO. 1 ) GO TO 20.
KK = O
IJ = 1
102 F0RMAT(4X,3I2,2OX,F1O.O)
IF(KK EO. 1 ) GO TO 24
.
20 IDAYS = 365
IFLG= M0D(IYR,4)
IFdFLG .EO. O) IDAYS = 366
KK = 1
IF(KGEN .EO. 1) GO TO 28
24 Id = Id + 1
69
TABLE C1. CONTINUED.
CALL WGEN(PWW.PWD. ALPHA, BETA, TXM.TXS.TXMI TXS 1 TNM, TNS RMO, RSO,, , .
*TCFMAX,TCFMIN,RCF)
DO 23 IM = 1 , 12
SRAIN(IM) = O.
STMAX(IM) = 0.
STMIN(IM) = O.
SRAD(IM) = O.
NWET(IM) = 0
23 CONTINUE
IM = 1
YTMAX = 0.
YTMIN = 0.
YRAD = O.
RYR = O.
NYWET = 0
IDA = O
DO 30 U=1 IDAYS ,
IDA = IDA + 1
IDA = 1
GO TO 29
27 IF(d .GT. NII(IM)) GO TO 251
29 CONTINUE
C * **THE FOLLOWING STATEMENT WRITES DAILY GENERATED WEATHER ON AN
200 F0RMAT(2X,4I5,F7.2,3F7.0)
25 CONTINUE
IF(RAIN(d) .LT. 0.005) GO TO 26
NWET(IM) = NWET(IM) + 1
NYWET = NYWET + 1
26 CONTINUE
SRAIN( IM) SRAIN( IM) + RAIN(d)
STMAX( IM) STMAX( IM) + TMAX(d)
STMIN( IM) STMIN(IM) + TMIN(d)
SRAD(IM) = SRAD(IM) + RAD(d)
RYR = RYR + RAIN(d)
30 CONTINUE
XNM1 = O.
DO 35 IM = 12 1 ,
XXN = NI(IM)
XNI = XXN - XNM1
XNM1 = XXN
70
)
*2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
* 11 12 YR' ,/)
WRITE(6,207)(NWET(IM) IM=1 12) .NYWET
, .
999 STOP
END
C**+**THE FOLLOWING SUBROUTINE GENERATES DAILY WEATHER DATA FOR
C****+ONE YEAR.
SUBROUTINE WGEN( PWW PWD .ALPHA BETA TXM TXS TXM1 TXS TNM TNS RMO,
, , , , , , 1 , , ,
2TCFMAX,TCFMIN.RCF)
71
TABLE C1. CONTINUED.
GO TO 4
CM
IFdDAY .GT. NII(IM)) IM = IM + 1
CONTINUE
IF(KGEN .EQ. 2) GO TO 15
O ***+*DETERMINE WET OR DRY DAY USING MARKOV CHAIN MODEL
CALL RANDN(RN)
IF(IP-O) 7,7,10
h-
IF(RN - PWD(IM ) ) 1 1 1 ,8 , 1
CO IP = O
RAIN(IDAY) = O.
GO TO 18
10 IF(RN-PWW(IM ))11,11.8
11 IP = 1
AB = /( -ALPHA(IM)
1 . 1
.
TR1 = EXP(-18.42/AA)
TR2 = EXP(-18.42/AB)
SUM = 0.
SUM2 = 0.
12 CALL RANDN(RNI)
CALL RANDN(RN2)
IF(RNI-TRI) 61,61,62
61 SI = 0.
GO TO 63
62 SI = RN1**AA
63 IF(RN2-TR2) 64,64,65
64 S2 = O.
GO TO 66
65 S2 = RN2**AB
66 S12 = SI + S2
IF(S12-1.) 13,13,12
13 Z = S1/S12
CALL RANDN(RN3)
RAIN(IDAY) = -Z*AL0G(RN3)*BETA(IM)*RCF( IM)
TABLE C1. CONTINUED.
18 IF(IP-I) 25,26,26
C*****GENERATE TMAX TMIN, AND RAD FOR IDAY
,
25 RM=RMO(IDAY)
RS = RSO(IDAY)
TXXM = TXM(IDAY)
TXXS = TXS(IDAY)
GO TO 27
26 RM = RMI(IDAY)
RS = RSI(IDAY)
TXXM = TXMI(IDAY)
TXXS = TXSI(IDAY)
27 CONTINUE
DO 30 K = 1,3
131 AA = O.
CALL RANDN(RNI)
CALL RANDN(RN2)
V = S0RT(-2.*AL0G(RN1 ))*C0S(6.283185*RN2)
IF(ABS(V) .GT. 2.5) GO TO 131
E(K) = V
30 CONTINUE
DO 31 I = 1,3
R(I) = 0.
RR(I) = 0.
31 CONTINUE
DO 32 I = 1,3
DO 32 d = 1,3
R(I) = R(I)+B(I,d)*E(J)
RR(I) = RR(I) + A( I ,d)*XIM1 (d)
32 CONTINUE
DO 37 K = 1 ,3
X(K) = R(K) + RR(K)
XIM1(K) = X(K)
37 CONTINUE
TMAX(IDAY) = X(1) * TXXS + TXXM
TMIN(IDAY) = X(2)*TNS(IDAY)+TNM(IDAY)
IF(TMIN(IDAY) GT TMAX(IDAY)) GO TO 38
. .
GO TO 39
38 TMM = TMAX(IDAY)
TMAX(IDAY) = TMIN(IDAY)
TMIN(IDAY) = TMM
39 CONTINUE
TMAX( IDAY) =TMAX( IDAY )+TCFMAX(IM)
TMIN( IDAY)=TMIN( IDAY )+TCFMIN( IM)
C*****TMAX( IDAY) IS GENERATED TMAX FDR IDAY
C*****TMIN( IDAY) IS GENERATED TMIN FOR IDAY
73
TABLE C1. CONTINUED.
RAD(IDAY) = X(3)*RS+RM
RMIN = 0.2*RC(IDAY)
IF(RAD(IDAY) LT RMIN) RAD(IDAY) = RMIN
. .
SUBROUTINE RANDN(YFL)
DIMENSION K(4)
DATA K/2510, 7692. 2456, 3765/
K(4) = 3*K(4)+K(2)
K(3) = 3*K(3)+K( 1
K(2)=3*K(2)
K( 1) = 3*K( 1 )
I=K( 1 )/1000
K( 1 )=K( 1 )-I*1000
K(2)=K(2) + I
I = K(2)^00
K(2)=K(2)-100*I
K(3) = K(3)+I
I = K(3)/1000
K(3)=K(3)-I*1000
K(4)=K(4)+I
I = K(4)/100
K(4)=K(4)-100*I
YFL=( ( (FLOAT(K( 1 ) ) * . 00 1 +FLOAT ( K( 2 ) )
) * .
01 +FLOAT( K( 3 ) )
) * . 001 +FLOAT
(K(4) ) )* .01
RETURN
END
74
APPENDIX D
75
TABLE D1. LISTING OF FORTRAN PROGRAM FOR WGEN PAR.
C* *
C* DEE ALLEN WRIGHT
C* COMPUTER PROGRAMMER
C* FEBRUARY 25, 1983
C*
D01I=1 ,30
XDATA( I )=0.0
1 CONTINUE
D02I=1 ,4
D02J=1 12 ,
YDATA( I ,U)=0.0
2 CONTINUE
SD = 0.4102*SIN(0.0172*(XI-80.25)
CH = -TAN(XLAT)*TAN(SD)
IF (CH .GT. 1.0) H = O.
IF (CH .GT. 1.0) GO TO 5
IF(CH .LT. -1.0) H = 3. 1416
IF(CH .LT -1.0) GO TO 5
.
H = ARCOS(CH)
5 DD=1 .0+0. 0335*SIN(0. 0172 *(XI+88.2))
RC( I ) =889.2305*00* ( (H*SIN(XLAT)*SIN(SD) )+(COS(XLAT)*COS(SD)*SIN(H)
*))
RC( I )=RC( I )*0.80
)
TABLE D1 CONTINUED.
6 CONTINUE
DO 7 I = 1,NYRS
DO 7 0 = 1,365
c* *
C* INPUT /1'3 MO, DAY. YEAR, MAX TEMP, MIN TEMP. RAINFALL. RADIATION
C*
(;**++*+**+****************•*•*****+
8 READ(5,103) IMO IDA I YR V 1 V2 V3 V4
. . . , , ,
7 CONTINUE
103 F0RMAT(3I2,3F6.0.6X.F6.0)
WRITE(6. 104)
104 FORMAT( 1 .///.5X, 'MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE',/)
' '
WRITE(6.515) (YDATA(3,d) 12 )
77
TABLE D1. CONTINUED.
—
'
'
,
,F10.3)
,F10.3)
,F10.3)
509 FORMAT( 15X, 9 ACVTN —_—_ ,F10.3)
WRITE(6,704)
704 F0RMAT(//,5X INPUT H 10
,
' './)
WRITE(6.510) XDATA( 13)
WRITE(6,51 1 ) XDATA( 14)
510 FORMAT( 15X. 10 '
RMD '
,
.F10.3)
51 1 FORMAT( 15X, 1 AR 1
'
1
,F10.3)
WRITE(6,705)
705 F0RMAT(//,5X INPUT # ./)
—
,
' 1
78
) ) ) ) ) )
15 CONTINUE
A = 5UMA*(2./13.
A1= 5UMA1*(2 ./13.
A2 = 5UMA2*(2./13.
B = 5UMB*(2./13.
B1 = 5UMB1*(2./13.
B2 = SUMB2*(2./13.
T = ATAN(-B/A)
T1= ATAN(-B1/A1)
T2=ATAN(-B2/A2)
C = A/C05(T)
Cl = A1/C0S(T1)
C2 = A2/C05(T2)
WRITE(6, 100)
100 FORMAT(/. 15X, 'FOURIER C0EFFICIENT5--MEAN'
WRITE(6, 101 ) XBAR,C,T
101 FORMAT( 15X 'MEAN =', F 10 4 5X ,' AMPLITUDE =
,
. , ' , F 10 4 5X
. ,
,
' PHASE =',
F10.4)
JCT=JCT+1
XDATA( JCT)=XBAR
79
TABLE D1. CONTINUED.
dCT=dCT+1
XDATA(dCT)=C
WRITE(6, 102)
102 FORMAT(/, 15X, 'FOURIER COEFFICIENTS--STD . DEV.')
WRITE(6, 101 )XBAR1 .Cl ,T1
WRITE(6, 103)
103 FORMAT(/. 15X, 'FOURIER COEEFICIENTS--CV'
WRITE(6,101) XBAR2,C2,T2
dCT=dCT+1
XDATA(dCT)=XBAR2
dCT=dCT+1
XDATA(dCT)=C2
RETURN
END
C*****THE FOLLOWING SUBROUTINE CALCULATES THE STATISTICS OF TMAX, TMIN, AND RAD
C***+*BY 28-DAY PERIOD OF THE YEAR AND FITS A FOURIER SERIES TO THE RESULTS.
SUBROUTINE MSD ( NYRS W RAIN ID XDATA , , , ,
DIMENSION W(20.365) ,RAIN(20.365) ,XM( 13) .XM1( 13) .SD( 13),SD1( 13)
DIMENSION CX( 13) ,CX1( 13)
DIMENSION XDATA(30)
DO 20 I = 1,13
NF=I*28
NI=NF-27
XN =
O.
XN1 O. =
SUM = 0.
SUM1 = O.
SS = 0.
SSI = O.
DO 15 dD=NI ,NF
DO 15 dY = 1 ,NYRS
IF(ID .EO. 2) GO TO 11
IF(RAIN(dY,dD) ) 11,11,12
11 CONTINUE
XN = XN + 1
SUM = SUM+W(dY,dD)
SS = SS + (W(dY,dD)*W(dY.dD))
GO TO 15
12 CONTINUE
XN1 = XN1 + 1
SUM1 = SUM1 + W(dY,dD)
SS1=SS1+(W(dY,dD)*W(dY,dD)
15 CONTINUE
IF(XN LE 2. ) XM(I ) = 0
. .
IF(XN LE 2. ) SD(I ) = 0
. .
IF(XN LE 2. ) CX(I) = 0
. .
IF(XN LE 2. ) GO TO 400
. .
XM(I) = SUM / XN
SD(I) = SORT( (SS-SUM*SUM/XN)/(XN-1 . )
DIMENSION XRAIN(20.365)
DIMENSION NWD( 12) ,NDD( 12) ,NDW( 12) ,NWW( 12)
DIMENSION SUM( 12) ,SUM2( 12) ,SUM3( 12)
DIMENSION SL( 12) ,PWW( 12) ,PWD( 12) ,RBAR( 12)
DIMENSION ALPHA( 12) ,BETA( 12)
DIMENSION NW( 12) ICd2) .SUML( 12)
,
'
,
' MAY '.'JUNE',
'JULY' .
'AUG. '
,
'SEP. '
,
'OCT. '
.
'NOV. '
.
'DEC. '/
DATA A( 1 ) /' '/
DATA A(2) /'NOT ENOUGH DATA TO DEFINE PARAMETERS'/
DO 10 I =1,12
ND(I) =0
PPPW( I ) = 0.
NWD(I) = 0
NWW(I) = 0
NDD(I) = 0
81
TABLE D1. CONTINUED.
NDW(I) =0
NW( I ) = 0
SL( I ) = O.
SUML(I) = 0.
SUM( I ) = 0.
SUM2(I) = O.
PWW( I ) =0.
PWD( I ) = O.
ALPHA(I) = 0.
BETA(I) = O.
10 SUM3( I ) = O.
XYR=NYR
RIM1 = O.
DO 20 J = 1,NYR
DO 30 K = 1 365
,
82
) ) ) )
XXND=ND( I
YYNW=NW( I
PPPW(I) = YYNW/XXND
III = 1
XNWW=NWW( I
XNWD=NWD( I
XXNW = NWW( I )+NDW( I )
XND=NDD( I )+NWD( I
XNW = NW( I )
PWW( I )=XNWW/XXNW
PWD( I )=XNWD/XND
RBAR( I )=SUM( I )/XNW
RLBAR( I )=SUML( I )/XNW
Y = ALOG(RBAR( I ) )-RLBAR{ I )
ANUM=8 .8989 19+9. 05995+ Y+0. 9775373* Y*Y
ADOM = Y*( 17.79728+1 1 968477 + Y + Y + Y ) .
ALPHA2=ANUM/AD0M
IF(ALPHA2 .GE. 1.0) ALPHA2=0.998
BETA2=RBAR( I )/ALPHA2
ALPHA( I )=ALPHA2
BETA( I )=BETA2
120 CONTINUE
WRITE(6,201
201 F0RMAT{///,8X, '--MARKOV CHAIN-- -GAMMA DIST-'
+1X,' MONTH P(W/W) P(W/D) ALPHA BETA',/)
DO 130 I = 1,12
WRITE(6.202)DATE( I ) ,PWW( I ) ,PWD( I ) ALPHA ( I ) BETA ( I ) A(IC(I ) )
, . ,
YDATA(2,U)=PWD(d)
YDATA(3, J)=ALPHA(d)
YDATA(4,d)=BETA(d)
400 CONTINUE
RETURN
END
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