Professional Documents
Culture Documents
47 HOT
PRODUCTS
AND
IDEAS IN
WHAT’S
NEW
DEFENSE 2020
ThePentagon’sWeaponsof the Future
[SPEARS FROM SPACE
[SUPERFAST TORPEDOES
[KINETIC MISSILES
[JET-BASED LASERS
FROM 1954
AND: CAN THE HIGH-TECH
7E7 SAVE BOEING?
CONTENTS
JUNE 2004 VOLUME 264 #6
The Acura came roaring out of the gate hard left and knocked over a
Founded in 1872 two-and-a-half-foot-high concrete guard before DARPA could hit stop.
DARPA’S DEBACLE IN THE DESERT p. 86
tech
15 What’s New
Toyota’s prescient concept car; 1MP
camera phones; portable PlayStation;
geek campsite; remote-control lawn-
O N T H E C O V E R : J O H N M A C N E I L L ; I N S E T P H O T O G R A P H , C O U RT E S Y T O Y O TA M O T O R C O R P. ; T H I S PA G E , C L O C K W I S E F R O M T O P L E F T: C O U RT E S Y T O Y O TA M O T O R C O R P. ; T O M E R H A N U K A ; G A R RY M A R S H A L L ;
stories
56Hollywood, Science, and the
End of the World The Day After
Tomorrow is a severe weather warning.
How’s its science? By Matthew Teague
38 44
62Is This What War Will Come
To? Five strange weapons systems
from the Pentagon’s future files.
By Eric Adams
M I C H A E L D A RT E R ; J O H N M A C N E I L L ; RYA N H E S H K A ; E D W I N F O T H E R I N G H A M ; A L A I N P I L O N
depts.
6 From the Editor 9 Contributors 10 Letters
32 Man and Machine 38 Crime Seen
112 FYI 144 Looking Back 94 62
POPULAR SCIENCE JUNE 2004 5
FROM THE EDITOR
For Boffo Box Office Senior Technology Editor Suzanne Kantra Kirschner
Senior Editor, What’s New Eric Hagerman
Aviation & Automotive Editor Eric Adams
Managing Editor Jill C. Shomer
Senior Associate Editors Nicole Dyer, Michael Moyer
Associate Editor Greg Mone
Assistant Editors Mike Haney, Martha Harbison
JUDGING FROM THE EARLY-CUT PREVIEW WE SAW A FEW MONTHS Assistant Editor, Best of What’s New Joe Brown
ago, Roland Emmerich’s latest movie, The Day After Tomorrow, Deputy Art Director Hylah Hill
Assistant Art Director Josh McKible
will be a hell of a ride—at least if you like to see favorite cities Designer April Bell
laid waste by tidal waves, plagues of giant hail and gangs of ram- Photo Editor Kristine LaManna
Staff Photographer John B. Carnett
paging tornadoes (which we do, certainly). At the very least, it Editorial Assistant Barbara Caraher
looks to be another step forward for computer-generated special Web Producer Peter Noah
Consulting Editor Jeffrey Rothfeder
effects. Pixel-processing power is now such that when a virtual Graphics Consultant John Grimwade
tsunami charges down a Manhattan street, the virtual camera can Contributing Design Editor Chee Pearlman
Contributing Automotive Editor Stephan Wilkinson
shoot from multiple angles and even surf the wave. You have to Far East Contributing Editor Dennis Normile
believe that filmmaking is moving, as inexorably as high water, to- Contributing Editors Dan Carney, Rebecca Skloot,
Bill Sweetman, Charles Wardell
ward the day when computer special effects will be indistin- Contributing Futurist Andrew Zolli
guishable from filmed reality. After that will come a virtual guild Contributing Artists Mika Grondahl, Jason Lee, John
MacNeill, Garry Marshall, Stephen Rountree, Bob Sauls
of CG actors, powered by AI, reading from scripts written by PCs Art Intern Peter Oumanski
and shot by robo-helmers, at which point an “independent” film will POPULAR SCIENCE PROPERTIES
be one produced on a PDA. But that’s a different nightmare scenario Publisher Gregg R. Hano
Advertising Director John Tebeau
from the one raised by The Day After Tomorrow. Vice President & General Manager Steve Belanger
Forget global warming: This movie is about global gasket-blowing, Executive Assistant Chandra Dwhaj
Northeast Advertising Office: Manager Howard S.
Mother Nature on a binge. Emmerich naturally says he shot the Mittman (212) 779-5112, Jill Schiffman (212) 779-
film as a warning, not merely as an entertainment. This is at least 5007, Mike Schoenbrun (212) 779-5148
Ad Assistant Brenda Charles
good marketing, and nicely timed after a recent Pentagon-funded Midwest Advertising Office: Manager John Marquardt
what-if/worst-case report sparked headlines when it speculated that (312) 832-0626, Megan Williams (312) 832-0624
rapid cooling in the northern hemisphere—a hangover effect of Ad Assistant Mickey Preston
Los Angeles Advertising Office: Manager Dana Hess
rapid warming—could begin as early as 2010. (310) 268-7484, Ad Assistant Deena Hancock
But does the film have anything to do with reality, or is it just Detroit Advertising Office: Manager Donna Christensen
(248) 988-7723, Ad Assistant Diane Pahl
a bucket-of-popcorn apocalypse? With the Fox studio’s coopera- San Francisco Advertising Office: Manager Amy Cacciatore
tion we took the script and some clips to three respected experts: a (415) 434-5276, Ad Assistant Sarah Needleman
Southern Regional Advertising Office: Manager Dave
paleoclimatologist, a paleontologist and the futurist who co-wrote Hady (404) 364-4090
the Pentagon’s report (see page 56). Frankly, we expected the same Classified Advertising Sales Joan Orth (212) 779-5555
Direct Response Sales Marie Isabelle (800) 280-2069
sort of pure-hokum dismissal that scientists offered last year Business Manager Jacqueline L. Pappas
regarding the silly magnetic-field disaster flick The Core. But that Director of Brand & Business Development L. Dennett
Robertson
wasn’t quite what we got. Certainly, the movie depicts a crazily Sales Development Managers Mike Saperstein, Daniel
accelerated, climate-on-crack-cocaine scenario that, compared to Vaughan
Events and Promotion Manager Christy Chapin Ellinger
historical examples of rapid climate change, is unbelievable. Rapid Creative Services Designer Mary McGann
climate change means different things in Earth years and in Holly- Marketing Coordinator Eshonda Caraway
Advertising Coordinator Evelyn Negron
wood minutes. But, our experts warned, the consequences of rapid Associate Circulation Director Barbara Venturelli
climate change would feel mighty apocalyptic to those who expe- Senior Planning Manager Margerita Catwell
Senior Production Director Laurel Kurnides
rienced them. The effects would overcome nations. Production Assistant Shawn Glenn
When it comes to summer blockbusters, we take the popcorn Prepress Director Lisa Szymanski
Prepress Manager José Medina
and the movies with a good deal of salt. But disaster flicks are, if noth- Publicity Manager Hallie Deaktor
ing else, a measure of the temperature of the time. Film historians
may look back at a movie like this, as they look back at On the Beach
and Dr. Strangelove in light of the atomic age, and note that our cul-
ture was beginning to sweat in 2004. Let’s hope the historians are not President Mark P. Ford
Senior Vice Presidents James F. Else, Victor M.
doing it from waterfront property in Beverly Hills. Sauerhoff, Steven Shure
Director, Editorial Development Scott Mowbray
Director, Corporate Communications Samara Farber
SCOTT MOWBRAY Mormar
JAKE CHESSUM
scott.mowbray@time4.com
CUSTOMER SERVICE AND SUBSCRIPTIONS
For 24/7 service, please use our Web site:
popsci.com/customerservice
You can also call: 800-289-9399 or write to:
Popular Science P.O. Box 62456 Tampa, FL 33662-4568
6 POPULAR SCIENCE JUNE 2004
CONTRIBUTORS
What would happen if some cruel deity (say, oh, a POPSCI editor) suddenly deprived
you of all the technology introduced in the past 50 years? Writer LARRY SMITH (left)
found out when he exchanged his cellphone, iPod, cable TV and Internet service for
a rotary-dial phone, a Columbia phonograph, a black-and-white Zenith TV and a
Royal typewriter (page 74). “I even bought a fedora,” Smith says, “but I felt foolish
wearing it.” During Smith’s 10-day retrotech exercise, he was forced to nurse a crush-
ing hangover with naught but aspirin and rotgut hair of the dog, crouch in front of
the TV for lack of a remote, and wheedle cash from a real, live bank teller. Still, there
were benefits to the low-tech life: the peacefulness Smith discovered when walking
down the street or relaxing at home without myriad distractions. Illustrator TAVIS
COBURN (right), who created the images that accompany the story, echoed Smith’s
love-hate feelings about technology. While Coburn adores his computer so much
he FedExed it to himself when he moved back to Toronto from California, he concedes
that being shackled to tech robs life of certain basic pleasures: “I haven’t even
looked outside today,” he says. “The weather report’s right there on my Blackberry.”
LETTERS@POPSCI.COM
space-faring ships without any need for a hefty My Little Brother on Drugs_
One article in the April issue stands out
weight-supporting frame? There is more design flexi- from the rest, and not for its high-tech
bility in space than in a gravity well, which would pro- content or for its spectacular graphics. It’s
a simple article entitled “My Little Brother on
vide a significant cost benefit to the whole operation. Drugs.” And these aren’t street drugs . . .
posted by Brian DeMarzo, DeMarzo.net
Brian J. Teegardin demarzo.net
Detroit, Mich.
SHE’LL
What’sNew Want to take this baby out? You’ll need a PlayStation 2. The
only place you can drive Toyota’s Motor Triathlon Race Car—a
rig designed to handle a track, street circuit or rally course equally well—is in
DRIVE YOU the forthcoming video game Gran Turismo 4. That doesn’t mean its marquee
innovation is pure fantasy. Called Mixed Reality (a joint venture between
CRAZY Toyota, Denso and Canon), the technology is a computerized imaging system
that makes performance adjustments on the fly. We already have cars that
TOYOTA’S CONCEPT MTRC
SERVES UP A PRETTY PICTURE adapt to changing road conditions, but the MTRC is the
first that could anticipate them. A helmet-mounted
OF AUTO SOFTWARE TECH. camera videos oncoming terrain and a comput-
er reacts: the system can raise, lower, stiffen
or soften the suspension as needed. It also
directs electric motors at each wheel. It’s a
shame the MTRC will never run, but
there’s no reason its tech
couldn’t find its way into
a real car.—JOE BROWN
C O U R T E S Y T O Y O TA M O T O R C O R P.
WANT TO BE A
PAPARAZZO?
YOUR MOBILE GETS
MORE MEGAPIXELS.
YOU GET LEGIT PRINTS.
Last year, camera cellphones
were something of a novelty.
Their optical sensors captured VGA- 2 3 4 5
THE IMPROMPTU THE BEAUTY QUEEN THE MOBILE THE BLOGGER
quality stills at best (that’s about half a PHOTOGRAPHER WEBCAM
megapixel), so the resulting shots were
destined to live in the digital realm. This
summer, 1-megapixel combos capable
of producing album-worthy 3-by-5-inch
prints hit stores. One-hour photo outlets
are capitalizing: Already you can 1
THE TRANSFORMER
point your 1MP mobile at a wireless,
digital photo kiosk and—like that!—
print your snapshots.
Prices for these models will range up
to $600, and by the time you read this,
C L O C K W I S E F R O M T O P L E F T: C O U R T E S Y K Y O C E R A ; C O U R T E S Y M O T O R O L A ; C O U R T E S Y L G ; C O U R T E S Y N O K I A ; C O U R T E S Y S O N Y ( 2 ) ; J A S O N L E E
mobile carriers will have announced
which phones they’ll offer. Or, wait
another year and pick up a 2MP
version.—SUZANNE KANTRA KIRSCHNER
THE PHONES
1] THE TRANSFORMER The Sony Ericsson S700
makes the complete transformation from cellphone
to camera. Hold it horizontally, frame your shot in
the LCD and press the top-mounted shutter release.
D FRONT: A PHONE
BACK: A CAMERA
MOBILES GET
3-D GRAPHICS
YOU WILL PLAY, AND
YOU WILL LIKE IT
Whether you want it or not,
full-blown 3-D games with
graphics to rival console ver-
sions are coming to your mobile
phone. For some, they’re
already here: AT&T’s mMode
has offered boxing and bass
fishing in 3-D since March (on
Nokia’s 3620, 3650 and
6820). This fall, inexpensive
phones with such capabilities
will flood the U.S. market.
If you want today’s ultimate
gaming handset, take a look at
Nokia’s revised N-Gage QD. It
keeps the best of the original—
Bluetooth for head-to-head battle
and a bright 2.5-inch screen—
while fixing its primary flaws.
Nokia moved the
speaker so
you can
actually use
it as a phone;
the game card slot
The theory of designing 3-D graphics has always been the more polygons
the better. They’re the building blocks that inform the structure of objects
in games. But id Software’s long-awaited Doom 3 ($55), which comes out next
month, subscribes to a different theory. While this version does have more poly-
POCKET ROCKET
gons, the real trick is packing them with detail—layering lighting, reflections and
HANDHELD GAMING
other effects onto each one to achieve near Shrek-quality graphics.
FOR GROWN UPS.
They’ve also upped the realism of Doom 3 with sophisticated lighting physics. Sony’s forthcoming mobile-gaming
In the past, lighting effects were prerendered animations that played out the same platform, the PlayStation Portable,
way regardless of the source. Now the software knows how light actually works. is no Game Boy wannabe. It’s a
F R O M L E F T: C O U R T E S Y i d S O F T WA R E ; C O U R T E S Y N O K I A
❯
GEEKS GONE WILD |1| MOUNTAIN HARDWEAR MOUN-
TAIN JET 3 Welded seams—glued under
ESSENTIALS? NOT EXACTLY. BUT THE OUTDOORS high heat and pressure—joining the
roof and floor mean resilient water-
WOULDN’T BE HALF AS MUCH FUN WITHOUT proofness in this two-door, three-person
THIS ROSTER OF DELUXE CAMPSITE GEAR. tent. 6 pounds, 3 ounces. $265;
mountainhardwear.com |2| UNCLE
MILTON X4 METAL DETECTOR ROVER
Keep the youngsters occupied at the
Some folks head to the hills for serenity, a chance to simplify. Or worse, campground with a remote-control car,
to rough it. Not us. We view every rendezvous with which sounds an alarm when its built-in
Ma Nature, at least in part, as an opportunity to metal detector finds gold—or a rusty tin.
update our cache of outdoor tech. Herewith, every- $35; unclemilton.com (available in fall)
thing the equipment hound might need to enjoy the
woods this summer—on his own terms.—ED FINN
Siemens M65
The first ruggedized camera
8 phone: resistant to shock,
water and grit. Buy it over-
seas; use it here. Price not
set; siemens.com
ond, faster than any other. $880 with
scope kit; excaliburcrossbow.com
|8| SUUNTO X9 Lock a waypoint into
the X9 and get lost. This GPS-altimeter-
compass watch can lead you home.
$725; suunto.com |9| BUZZ OFF/
F R O M T O P : C O U R T E S Y S I E M E N S ; C O U R T E S Y H E AT H E R W I L L I A M S ; C O U R T E S Y I C P S O L A R ; I N S E T: C O U R T E S Y B E N C H M A D E K N I V E S
ORVIS CLOTHING Working with Buzz
Off, Orvis is using a chemical derived 9
from an insect-repelling breed of African
chrysanthemums in its new line of bug-
beating clothing. The chemical is added
to the fabric in a process not unlike dry
cleaning. Marquesas Shirt, $69; Mar-
quesas zip-off pants, $89; Invincible
Databahn Mobile T1
Socks $45 for three pairs (note: we rec- Satellite System
ommend against pulling them up to your Aim this dish at the southern
calves when wearing shorts); orvis.com sky, and it’ll pull in Internet
|10| BENCHMADE 160 TETHER KNIFE access, a TV signal and
A thermal-plastic coating on the handle phone service anywhere in
provides a strong grip without conduct- the lower 48. $4,000;
ing temperature. $70; benchmade.com thedatabahn.com
|11| NIKE AIR ZOOM TALLAC Your
hiking boots don’t have to be clunky
blister factories: Nike’s new Tallacs
weigh a pound apiece. Gore-Tex keeps
the elements at bay. $140; nike.com
10
Necessity? Bah. Laziness is the true mother of invention. Just ask Luis Medina, 36, an
SPECS
EVATECH RCLM2004S
electrical engineer in Tarpon Springs, Florida, where the steamy summer days are ideal Base Price: $2,200
for growing grass, horrible for cutting it. Forced by his stringent neighborhood association to Curb Weight:115 lb.
Peak Power (gas engine): 6.5 hp
mow every week, Medina made a machine to ease his sweaty task: the Evatech RCLM2004S
Top Speed: 8 mph
remote control lawnmower. “Now I can kick back and relax in the shade,” Medina says. Fuel Economy: 4 acres/gallon
“And laugh at the people who have to push their lawnmower.”—JOE BROWN Remote Range: 2,000 feet
Units produced: 8
Contact: evatech.net
[WIRE]06.2004
PICTURE THIS A SNEAKY LITTLE INNOVATION DESIGNED TO THWART LYME DISEASE
• Deer ticks aren’t born with Lyme disease. They pick it up while feeding on the blood of infected rodents—namely mice and chipmunks.
Knowing this, the CDC and Bayer Environmental Science developed the Maxforce Tick Management System: cigar-box-shaped plastic
traps that kill ticklets with Fipronil but leave rodents unharmed. In tests, tick populations dropped by 97 percent in two years.
[WIRE]06.2004
2003 VEHICLE
SALES BY GENDER
MALE FEMALE
STATS
Numbers
that count.
C
MID OMPA
-SIZ CT,
SIZE E, FULL- 2,744,669
CAR
S 3,317,044
LUXU
SPO RY A
RTS ND
CAR
577,148
S 1,105,847
PICK 553,676
UPS
2,610,186
SUV 1,611,232
S
2,731,712
VAN
S 416,651
981,508
152 43
provide hands-free fueling and fluid refilling.
do, replace the fan belt? You’d have to disassemble half the engine bay.
PS: Driving skills are already on the decline. Won’t features like auto- 15
cars don’t get too close on the Autobahn. I am not personally fond of
that; I want to be the one in control. 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
*NUMBER OF OCCUPANTS KILLED PER 100,000 POPULATION
SOURCES: J.D. POWER, QUALITY PLANNING CORPORATION, AAA FOUNDATION FOR TRAFFIC SAFETY, INSURANCE INSTITUTE FOR HIGHWAY SAFETY–HIGHWAY LOSS DATA INSTITUTE
THEGOODS
2O SERIOUSLY HOT PRODUCTS THAT (ALMOST) SPEAK FOR THEMSELVES.
No Patience?
No Problem.
Eastman Outdoors Reveo
>> A rotating, vacuum-sealed
cylinder does two days worth
of marinating in 20 minutes.
$200; freethemeat.org
A Better
Nozzle
Craftsman
Easy Squeeze
>> A reversed
trigger lets you
pull with your
strongest digits,
so you can
handle that
garden hose Motor Minder Power Suit
with authority. Craftsman Fresh Start Solar SCOTTeVest
$10; sears.com >> A dispenser >> Recharge
nested in the gas electronics while
cap gradually you wander: Solar
Names That Tune releases a panels on the back
Audiovox Vox 8610 >> Dial chemical to juice a power pack
*ID, hold the handset up to stabilize the fuel that can top off a
a speaker for 15 seconds, in your dormant cellphone battery
and Virgin Mobile texts mower. $17; in 3 hours. $475;
you the song name. $119; virginmobileusa.com craftsman.com scottevest.com
Dyson
Gets Down A Bona Fide
Dyson DC11 Telescope Master of Stairs
Vacuum Cleaner Tarantula >> Fully
>> Cupboard or articulated arms
display case? mean that in
This stylish addition to
canister the backyard,
vacuum’s wand this remote-
telescopes and the control rover
hose wraps around can tackle a terrain
its body for compact historically
storage. $500; impossible for such
dyson.com toys: stairs. $100;
mgae.com
Band Aid
Transperformance/Klein Acoustic Guitar Crazy Sound
>> Strings ride atop six piezo-electric Bang & Olufsen BeoLab 3
chips that sense their Speakers >> In addition to a five
frequency; internal motors foot tall, $16,000 set, B&O’s
tune them. $14,500; Acoustic Lens technology—which
kleinguitars.com sends out a 180-degree wave of
sound—now comes in a
bookshelf model. $3,000 a pair;
bang-olufsen.com
Do The Locomotion:
207 Tons and 4,400 hp
GE’s Evolution does 0-60 in 45 seconds, unloaded. Braking is a
different story: A full-on panic stop takes half a mile.
THEY SIT ON A SPUR OF TEST two V12 engines direct-driving alter- emissions regs? Neither did I. I assumed
track outside General Electric’s nators five feet in diameter. These that the 207-ton iron gorilla of the
locomotive factory in Erie, Pennsylva- are two of the most advanced diesel- wheeled world damn well did whatever
EDWIN FOTHERINGHAM
nia, panting and grumbling like two electric locomotives in the world: GE it wished. But the new Tier II standards
old lions half asleep. The ominous, Evolutions, running all-new power- require substantial cuts in NOx and
muttering rumble is the sound of plants designed specifically to meet particulate matter, and GE, one of
8,800 horsepower at idle—24 cylinders stiff Tier II EPA locomotive emissions the world’s major locomotive manufac-
with pistons big as buckets, turbo- regulations that go into effect next year. turers, has designed a new engine to
chargers the size of washing machines, You didn’t know locomotives had meet them handily. The engine has an
air-to-air turbocharger intercooler that almost 60,000 pound-feet of torque at world’s largest hair dryer, near the top
lowers induction-air temperature to start-up—the equivalent of about 120 of the car body, toward the back. Does
only a few degrees above ambient, for Ferrari Enzos—good for a zero-to-60 the grid actually glow, I ask lead sys-
cleaner emissions and more power. Not time, unloaded, of just shy of 45 sec- tems engineer Mike Schell? “It does
only is the new GEVO 12 four-stroke onds. Rather longer, though, if you’re when it catches fire,” he says with
diesel 40 percent cleaner than its prede- dragging a 17,000-trailing-ton coal train. a straight face. But even with the
cessor, it’s three percent more fuel- The traction motors also brake the blowers at work, you wouldn’t be able
efficient as well. train. When the driver (“engineer” no to tolerate the compartment where the
That may not sound like much, but longer being the term) wants to slow grid lives.
it’s huge: A half-percent improvement down, he turns the motors into genera- How much fun is it to drive a loco-
is a big competitive advantage in loco tors, reversing the field so they’re mak- motive? Not much. The machine has
sales. A locomotive typically burns ing electricity rather than consuming its eye on you, and headquarters has its
about 300,000 gallons of fuel a year, it, and are thereby magnetically resist- eye on the machine from a distance.
and saving 9,000 gallons per engine ing the turning of the wheels. This is a Every 2 minutes (every 30 seconds
can make a big bottom-line difference. lot cheaper than replacing brake shoes, when the train is traveling faster than
A modern locomotive is a hybrid. which won’t last long if asked to hold 50 mph), a big red caution light that
The diesel doesn’t drive the train; it back a train that is as heavy as a tramp reads “alerter reset” glows on the dri-
cranks an alternator, which powers the freighter. The wheel brakes are used ver’s panel. The driver has 25 seconds
six huge electric traction motors that only at slow speeds and to bring the to slap a yellow switch to affirm that
actually turn the locomotive’s wheels. train to a complete stop. he is indeed present and accounted
Each motor is set transversely between The excess current produced is dis- for. If he doesn’t, the power automati-
a pair of drive wheels. On an Evolution sipated by a series of big, fan-cooled cally backs down and then the brakes
the electric motors will put out a total of “dynamic-brake grids,” effectively the come on—hard. This is the modern
MAN &
MACHINE
DrugCartelsRaisethe
GamefortheMuleTrackers
It’s called body packing, it’s dangerous and gross, and new
technology makes gut-based drug smuggling harder to spot.
Manhattan, Trojan’s unit had looked at present a rather homogeneous look of and shape of fat breakfast sausages.
the week’s open schedule and decided faded blue jeans topped by dark Wind- Some swallowers are naturals, while
to start this day trolling the neighbor- breakers or leather jackets. When they others build up to the task with a
As the cruiser powers into an dynamite but will scrub effectively reprogramming
enemy harbor the captain, carbon dioxide from smoke- the genetic pathways that
suspecting mines, unleashes stack emissions, diagnose control how the organism
a swarm of microbes into the disease, and siphon hydro- behaves. “You no longer
water. By the trillions they gen from water for fuel. think about fixing a single
sniff out TNT, fluorescing The microbots’ chore list is gene; you think about put-
brighter hues of red as they endless, says Weiss, who is at ting in whole sets of instruc-
near their quarry and then the forefront of a small but tions,” Weiss explains.
digest the explosive, render- sophisticated new field of This June scores of re-
ing it harmless. genetic engineering called searchers, including Weiss,
Sounds far-fetched, but if synthetic biology. While will convene for the first-ever
Princeton University bioengi- traditional genetic engineers conference on synthetic bio-
neer Ron Weiss has his way, shuffle genes from one organ- logy, hosted by MIT. Weiss, for
within the next 10 years the ism to another, synthetic one, is eager to get feedback
first generation of man-made biologists design and rewire on his newest creation: bac-
bacterial robots, or micro- complex networks of genes teria programmed to measure
bots, not only will detect inside a single organism— concentrations of a chemical
Colony of Colony of
detector cells detector cells
F R O M L E F T: A LY S O N A L I A N O ; C O U R T E S Y S U B H AY U B A S U ( 2 )
Colony of Colony of
sender cells sender cells
With funding from the U.S. Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, bioengineer
Ron Weiss is creating living sensors: bacteria engineered to detect and measure the
concentration of various target chemicals. The image at left (magnified x100) shows
a colony of “sender cells” (orange), engineered to secrete a specific chemical. Like an
ink drop in water, the chemical dissipates as it moves away from the source. The sec-
ond colony (green), made up of “detector cells,” is programmed to absorb the chemi-
cal and fluoresce green when it detects weak amounts; thus the detector cells that are
closest to the sender cells, where the chemical concentration is high, don’t glow and
can't be seen. At right, Weiss has rewired the detector cells to do the reverse: glow
when the chemical is strong. Thus the cells closest to the sender cells glow green.
MICROBOT BUILDER RON WEISS
TICKER /// 03.16.04 TB FEARS THE WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION REPORTS THAT THE NUMBER OF DRUG-RESISTANT TUBERCULOSIS CASES IS 10 TIMES HIGHER IN EASTERN >
POPULAR SCIENCE JUNE 2004 43
HEADLINES
H NATIONAL SECURITY
[ ]
“IT’S FASCINATING TO THINK THAT Critics say the system, which will cost upwards of $53 billion over the next
YOU CAN MAKE LIVING ORGAN- five years, is too premature for deployment. “The fundamental problem is that
ISMS DO WHATEVER YOU WANT,” there’s no way to reliably discriminate between a decoy and a real warhead,”
SAYS PRINCETON UNIVERSITY
BIOENGINEER RON WEISS. says MIT nuclear physicist Theodore Postol. Despite more than two decades of
research, “the basic science just isn’t there,” he says. And even if the Pentagon
Switched on, a gene might pro- could employ a perfect missile defense system, opponents argue that it would
duce a chemical signal that do little to protect the United States from an ever-growing network of terrorists
directs an organism to seek out who hardly need ICBMs to threaten homeland security. “I’m no hippie,” Postol
food; switched off, it helps the says. “I like weapons that work.”—REPORTING BY MARK FARMER
organism conserve energy. By
plugging in proteins and genes, Infrared satellite
Weiss can activate or deactivate
chemical signals on command.
Weiss made his first single
gene circuit in 1997 as an MIT
1 Dummy warhead
computer-science graduate stu- BOOST PHASE
Live warhead
dent. Since then his circuitry has
become increasingly complex.
His newest work, the bull’s-eye
bacteria, contains a circuit made
of five genes. “It’s fascinating to Warhead booster
think that you can make living
organisms do whatever you Early-warning radar,
Shemya Island,
want,” Weiss says.
Alaska
Fascinating and dangerous,
says Stanford University bioethi-
cist David Magnus. Bacteria could
be programmed to produce tox- MINUTES TO LAUNCH, SECONDS TO INTERCEPT
ins instead of mopping them up. A long-range missile fires from East Asia. Within minutes, a defense satel-
Magnus argues that the new field lite equipped with infrared sensors detects the rocket’s bright plume.
needs strict guidelines to ensure Early-warning radars in Alaska and California begin tracking the incom-
that microbots test safe before ing missile, calculating its target destination (1). Ten minutes later, a
scientists release them into the ground-based interceptor is launched from Alaska or California. With
wild. Weiss acknowledges the several targets in sight, the interceptor deploys a kill vehicle (2). Closing in
GARRY MARSHALL
risks but says the more we learn at 15,000 miles per hour, it has less than one minute to discern the war-
head from the decoys. With little time to correct its course, one wrong
about gene programming, the
calculation means that the warhead cruises back into the atmosphere (3).
better able we’ll be to minimize Fifteen to twenty seconds later it strikes its target.
the dangers.—DAN FERBER
EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA THAN IN THE REST OF THE WORLD /// 03.18.04 DUST BOWL, DECIPHERED EXTREME OCEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURES MAY HAVE DRIED OUT THE GREAT
A B
A warhead appears as a blurry lump of pixels to an infrared telescope100 kilometers away (a). The scope’s one-
degree view field—similar to that of a soda straw—severely limits the view of objects dispersed in space (b).
2
MID-COURSE PHASE
Kill vehicle
3
RE-ENTRY PHASE
Interceptor
Interceptor silo,
Fort Greely,
Alaska
Early-warning radar,
Clear AFB,
Command Center,
Alaska
Cheyenne Mt.,
Colorado
Interceptor silo,
Early-warning radar, Vandenberg AFB,
Beale AFB, California California
Early-warning radar,
U.S. Navy Aegis
destroyer
PLAINS IN THE ’30s—SECTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC WERE ABNORMALLY WARM, WHILE THE TROPICAL PACIFIC WAS UNUSUALLY COLD, NASA SCIENTISTS SAY /// 03.18.04 >
POPULAR SCIENCE JUNE 2004 45
HEADLINES
H
THE POPSCI OPINION POLL
BASED ON 2,419 RESPONSES POSTED
TO POPSCI.COM FROM 3/1 TO 4/1
PERSPECTIVE
LAST MONTH
WE ASKED:
YOUR VENUSIAN CRIB SHEET WILL CLIMATE
On June 8, Venus will make a rare flyby of Earth. Study up. CHANGE
121.5 Number of years since Venus last crossed between Earth PROFOUNDLY
and the Sun, making it visible to the naked eye AFFECT THE
8 Number of years until the next Venus transit WAY WE LIVE
5 BILLION + Estimated number of people who will be able to see all or OUR LIVES
part of the 2004 transit. People in the western U.S., Hawaii
and New Zealand are out of luck until 2012
20 YEARS
Cell drops
23° N, 55° W Best view, just south of Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
FROM NOW?
SUN FILTER Equipment necessary to view transit without eye damage
1761, 1769 Years in which astronomers used the transit of Venus to
[YES]
63
measure Earth’s distance from the Sun
864 Surface temperature of Venus, in degrees Fahrenheit
266 Highest temperature, in degrees Fahrenheit, that a lifeform
on Earth has been known to survive
6 Planned U.S. missions to Mars, 2004–2011
%
1 Planned U.S. missions to Venus, 2004–2011
[NO]
37 %
THIS MONTH’S
OPINION POLL:
INKJET PRINTER BLUEPRINT ADOBE HOUSE SHOULD THE
UNITED
ENGINEERING STATES
CONTINUE
NEED A HOME IN A HURRY? PRESS PRINT TO INVEST IN
An oversize printer could speed up building construction. A NATIONAL
If Behrokh Khoshnevis has his way, the on-demand world of movies, TV, Internet MISSILE
connections, you name it, will have a home under on-demand roofs. Khosh- SHIELD?
nevis, a University of Southern California professor, says he’s a year away from
essentially printing out a house from computer-generated blueprints wired to an YES
apparatus that works like a giant inkjet printer. In this case, the printout is 3-D: SOMETHING IS
An overhead gantry moves back and forth while an attached robotic nozzle BETTER THAN
oozes layer after layer of cement shaped by two automated trowels. Khoshnevis NOTHING
calls the technology “contour crafting.” He envisions printable low-income
houses, emergency shelters, apartment buildings and even intricately designed NO
OUR DEFENSE
FROM CENTER: CORBIS (2)
homes that take advantage of the trowels’ ability to mold cement or adobe into
virtually any shape. Khoshnevis has already built walls 3 feet high, 6 inches
DOLLARS ARE
BETTER SPENT
wide, and 5 feet long—in an hour. “I think we could build a 1,000-square-foot
ON PROVEN
house in a day,” he says. But while Khoshnevis predicts a “press print” home TECHNOLOGY
will be doable by 2005, University of Texas civil engineer Carl Haas says it will
be at least a decade before contour crafting goes mainstream: “Building codes WHAT DO YOU THINK?
POPSCI.COM
have to change. A whole industry has to change.”—MICHAEL ROSENWALD
DON’T BLAME TV UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS RESEARCHERS REPORT THAT VIDEOGAME PLAY HAS A STRONGER CORRELATION TO CHILDHOOD OBESITY THAN TV VIEWING /// 03.18.04 >
48 POPULAR SCIENCE JUNE 2004
UPDATE
During a 1.5-hour hop out of after he tried to induce aerody- diately outlined an accelerated
Mojave, California, lead test pilot namic oscillations by rapping the flight test schedule, squeezing in
Jon Karkow took GlobalFlyer to control stick and deflecting it as many as 50 tests in the next
12,000 feet to check the airplane’s slightly off center. “I was confi- four to six months. “His plan was
stability in mild turbulence and dent this airplane would be bet- so ambitious that our chins hit
from near-stall speeds to 110 ter, but I was still prepared for the floor,” Karkow says. “Burt
knots. The airplane’s predecessor, poor handling characteristics, wants to build up to long flights
Rutan’s similarly shaped Voyager, based on the Voyager flight,” by the fifth flight.”—ERIC ADAMS
CLOSE PASS A 30-METER-WIDE ASTEROID PASSES WITHIN 26,500 MILES OF EARTH, THE CLOSEST EVER OBSERVED BY A TELESCOPE /// 03.22.04 SHUTTLE FLAW FOUND GEARS >
.
HEADLINES
H
SHRINKAGE DEPT.
RESEARCH UPDATES ON THE QUEST
TO MAKE REALLY TINY THINGS
AUTOMOTIVE INNOVATION
BATTERIES INCLUDED
Stanford students rev up the electric car with laptop power. REPELS LIQUID
FROM TOP: COURTESY LUCENT TECHNOLOGIES INC/BELL LABS (2); GARRY MARSHALL
1 CHASSIS DESIGN
Built from hollow stainless-steel tubes,
the chassis weighs less than 100 pounds
weigh about 1,100 pounds and hold 80
kilowatt-hours of energy. To prevent the
The new material, etched
from silicon, resembles a
batteries from overheating, 150 micro- microscopic bed of grass.
and measures 8 feet long, axle to axle. processors will constantly monitor their Each “blade” is a few
The chassis is covered with an aerody- temperature and voltage output. nanometers thick—about
namic teardrop-shape carbon-fiber shell. 100,000 times smaller in
diameter than a single
human hair. When liquid
drops onto the tiny
blades, it suspends itself
on their tips without sink-
1 2 3 ing between. The blades
“reduce the surface area
the droplet feels,” says
Krupenkin, so the liquid
beads up effortlessly.
When the researchers
charge the silicon with
3 WHEELS
The wheels are outfitted with Miche- electricity, the energy field
PHOTO CREDIT TK
lin’s custom solar-car radials. Inflated to pulls the liquid down into
100 psi, the tires are made of Kevlar- the gaps, and the “nano-
reinforced rubber and have up to one- grass” wets instantly.
fourth the resistance of traditional tires. —LAURA ALLEN
IN THE RUDDER OF AT LEAST ONE SHUTTLE WERE INSTALLED INCORRECTLY IN THE LATE 1970s OR EARLY ’80s—A POTENTIALLY DISASTROUS PROBLEM THAT WENT UNNOTICED >
50 POPULAR SCIENCE JUNE 2004
HEADLINES
H CON-FUSION IN A JAR
PHYSICS 1 2
FOR DECADES, NASA ANNOUNCES /// 03.27.04 IT FLIES! NASA REPORTS THE X-43A SCRAMJET TEST VEHICLE REACHED MACH 7 DURING ITS FIRST SUCCESSFUL FLIGHT /// >
HEADLINES
H MEDICAL TECH
WARMING UP TO TELEMEDICINE
Bleep! Blip! Ding! Another life saved. Why electronic intensive care isn’t as scary as it seems.
“I know these patients better than anyone on the floor right now,” asserts critical-care specialist Dr. Joseph T.
Cooke, who’s checking up on 38 ICU patients at New York-Presbyterian hospital—from across the street.
Welcome to the electronic ICU, where bedside manner means ringing a doorbell before observing patients
via video camera, then checking vital signs on four remotely located monitors. Surreal? Sure. But it’s
telemedicine that seems to be, gingerly, living up to the hype. The system’s developers, Visicu, have installed
e-ICUs in eight hospitals nationwide, with eight more in the works. Most agree that traditional ICUs are costly
and hard to manage: ICU admissions account for only 10 percent of inpatient beds and 30 percent of hospital
costs. And up to 20 percent of ICU patients never check out. The e-ICU, where one doctor and nurse can keep
24-hour watch on as many as 50 patients at once, is boosting chronically short-staffed on-site care. A recent
study reported a 27 percent drop in ICU mortality and 17 percent shorter stays since the first e-ICU set up
shop at Virginia’s Sentara Healthcare a few years ago. That's a cold stethoscope we can handle.—LAURA ALLEN
INSIDE THE E-ICU DR. JOSEPH T. COOKE MAKES ELECTRONIC ROUNDS AT NEW YORK-PRESBYTERIAN HOSPITAL.
PREDICTION
FROM TOP: JORDAN HOLLENDER (2); JOE MORSE
03.29.04 CEO IN SPACE SPACE ADVENTURES ANNOUNCES THAT ENTREPRENEUR GREGORY OLSEN WILL BOARD A SOYUZ CAPSULE FOR A $20 MILLION TRIP TO THE ISS IN 2005.
And then the feature begins. It’s called SCENE 1 // Trouble Approaches
The Day After Tomorrow, and it’s a spec-
tacular disaster flick, obviously the gleeful
product of someone who has thought
far too much about the mechanics of
global catastrophe. On screen, a climactic
upheaval is brewing. Electrical storms
lace the sky over New Delhi while hail
pummels Tokyo. A lone paleoclimatologist
scrambles to warn the world about
impending disaster, yet he is too late: In
Southern California, tornadoes dismantle
the Hollywood sign and most of down-
town Los Angeles. A massive storm surge
crashes through Manhattan, followed by For this shot sequence, the visual effects supervisor used a helicopter to take photos above
wind so cold people freeze to the side- New York Harbor. They pasted these images to the interior of a digital sphere, creating
a 3-D backdrop for 360-degree camera pans. After adding stormy skies and a digital
walks. Chaos follows: world-pounding,
Liberty, they went to work on the water. Artists started with a foundation of featureless
civilization-scattering chaos, all thanks to water, then added layers for chop, whitecaps, foam, sea spray, etc.—about 30 in all.
a glitch in the weather.
Camera whips back to the Skeptical
P R E V I O U S S P R E A D A N D T H I S PA G E : C O U R T E S Y T W E N T I E T H C E N T U R Y F O X
Moviegoer’s face: The smirk is gone.
Destruction depicted this vividly can have up in a German supercar the color of a uninhabitable. And when I pushed him
that effect. But more: The Moviegoer new pistol. Emmerich is handsome, on the politics. . . .
vaguely recalls that the concept of abrupt graceful and well-tanned, with a glinting
climate change served up in the film was smile and hair that matches his car’s EMMERICH: I started writing this
recently on the front pages—courtesy of paint job. script back when I was finishing The
the Pentagon, no less—and that story Patriot, before Bush was elected. By then
didn’t have a happy ending, either. INT. BUILDING 29 it was already too late.
Emmerich shuts the door of a dimly lit
SKEPTIC (eyes darting, feet tapping): editing room and settles onto a sofa. WRITER (voiceover): “Too late”? This
This is just Independence Day minus Writer settles in across from him and guy really seemed to believe that rapid
the aliens. Science fiction, weak on the prepares to pounce, suspecting that climate change is not only a real threat
science—right? Emmerich’s motivations are more politi- —it’s inevitable. But I couldn’t be sure
cal than scientific, his disaster flick a that even a well-intentioned Hollywood
FLASHBACK, THREE MONTHS EAR- well-timed swipe at the current adminis- director could be trusted not to mangle
LIER: EXT. MOVIE STUDIO—DAY tration in an election year. the science, particularly when the god of
Camera zooms in on the SKEPTICAL SCI- drama must be served. I needed to con-
ENCE WRITER, as he emerges from an on- EMMERICH (with a moderate German sult higher scientific powers. I had to
lot screening of the film’s rough cut. accent): Your flight in was OK? visit the Oracles.
Only the lowest 20 feet of the first two foreground buildings is real. It took three months EXT. AFRICA—NOON
to create digital models of the rest of the set. First, a team scanned 13 blocks of New Close-up of Writer’s left eye. It twitches.
York City using lidar—a laser-based distance scanner. Three other teams photographed A new tic. He is obviously disturbed by
each building from inside a building directly across the street. They mapped photos
onto models, added water and people (only foregrounders are real), and voilà—chaos!
the movie’s underlying plausibility.
shoots from the ice, twirling like a mad cold. If global warming proceeds apace,
gopher. As the figure slows we see it is the and enough Arctic ice melts, this melted Cut to the ORACLE OF LIFE, Peter Ward,
Oracle, busy drilling ice cores. He speaks. ice—cold, fresh water—will mix with who sits atop a small hill of human skulls
the warm, salty water coming up in the under the blazing equatorial sun. He is a
ALLEY: Hi, it’s Richard Alley. current. Since freshwater is less dense paleontologist, a professor of earth and
than salty water, the lukewarm, brackish space sciences and biology at the Uni-
WRITER: Dr. Alley, I must know: Is the water won’t have any reason to sink, and versity of Washington, and writes books
science behind this movie real, despite the engine that powers the ocean cur- with such titles as The Life and Death of
exaggerations and impossible timelines? rent will shut down. Melting Arctic ice Planet Earth.
like defense lawyers, hedging behind the manner of the previous two Oracles, think that was going to cut it. But then
words like possibly and perhaps, but praising the movie while being clear the Oracles began to expound on possi-
here I was being told that the climate that many of the details were exag- ble theories that might—just might—
will definitely change—drastically— gerated. He mocked the idea that a gla- give us hope.
and we could do nothing to stop it. cier could sweep over New York in We know that global warming could
When I asked Ward to predict when hours—it could take, gosh, years. melt too much Arctic ice, shut down the
the change might happen, his words North Atlantic current and create chaos
came more carefully: No one can predict SCHWARTZ: We are living in a period like the modern world has never seen.
the timing exactly, he said. The that’s called interglacial—between ice Yet, as we know from the study of ice
cores, ice ages sometimes just happen. WRITER (slightly confused): Well, if we delaying one ice age, we may be pro-
They have done so at fairly regular inter- continue to release greenhouse gases voking another. A tough spot, to be sure,
vals in the past, and we’re overdue for into the atmosphere at the current rate, but there must be some way out. . . .
another one. will we be staving off an ice age, or
And so the heretical idea: Perhaps accelerating rapid climate change? INT. BUILDING 29—DAY
slow global warming could be a good WRITER (twitching): Roland, what can
thing. Warm the planet gradually, just SCHWARTZ: Look, we want to urgently we do about this?
enough to stave off that impending ice slow down abrupt climate change. We
age. Yet don’t pass the critical tipping need to develop—as rapidly as possi- EMMERICH: There is nothing. We can
point, don’t blast greenhouse gases into ble—options for clean fuels, in particu- do nothing.
the atmosphere so fast that the warming lar, hydrogen and nuclear.
melts enough Arctic ice to trigger abrupt WRITER (voiceover): With that, the
climate change. This is of course overly ALLEY (nodding): We may need a director rose from the sofa and headed
simplified—the atmosphere is far too worldwide slowdown. Reduce green- toward a small editing bay. He had a
complicated to be controlled directly, house gas output. Don’t burn fossil fuels movie to finish and didn’t have the lux-
but the idea remains: Slightly rising as fast. Don’t force the climate to ury of time to ponder just how scary
STEPHEN ROUNTREE
temperatures might not be a bad thing. change. Can I put a number on what that film would end up being—espe-
sort of slowdown, how much less out- cially to a skeptic.
WARD: We are stopping, pushing back put? No. No one can.
the next ice age. The question is how Matthew Teague has written for Esquire
long we can keep it up. WRITER (voiceover): So even if we are and GQ. This is his first feature for POPSCI.
IS
THIS
WHAT
WAR
WILL
COME Even as the
Pentagon
TO? struggles with
the low-tech
reality of war
in Iraq, it looks
to increasingly
bizarre-
sounding
technology
for next-gen
fighting
systems. On
the following
pages, five
chapters from
the Pentagon’s
sci-fi future.
RAILGUN
Projectile’s
Projectiles fired from an electromag- launch
netic railgun will travel up to 290 velocity is
miles in less than six minutes, exiting 8,200 feet
the atmosphere before hurling into per second.
their target at a velocity of 5,000
feet per second. The force of the
impact will obliterate targets without
an explosive aid. Since the
projectiles
have no explo-
sives, storage
aboard ship is
much safer.
3
#1 A KINETIC MISSILE THAT Projectile A railgun uses electric current to launch a
FLIES AT MACH 7 Armature projectile. The current—up to 15 million
Electric amps—travels up one rail and down the
Picture this: A massive destroyer
current second (1). This current induces a mag-
receives the location coordinates of netic field across an armature (2) that
an enemy headquarters more than bridges the rails. This armature also
200 miles away. Instead of launch- 1 carries a current; the interaction between
ing a million-dollar Tomahawk this current and the magnetic field accel-
cruise missile, it points a gun bar- Rails erates the armature, and the projectile
2
rel in the direction of the target, aboard it, to Mach 7 (3). Adjusting the
range of the weapon is as easy as reduc-
diverts electric power from the ing the electric current supplied to the
ship’s engine to the gun turret, and rails—the lower the current, the slower
launches a 3-foot-long, 40-pound Magnetic
the projectile leaves the barrel and the
field
projectile up a set of superconduct- shorter the distance it travels.
ing rails. The projectile leaves the
barrel at hypersonic velocity—
Mach 7-plus—exits the Earth’s atmosphere, re-enters under sion won’t be “deliverable” until 2015 at the earliest.
satellite guidance, and lands on the building less than six min- The technology behind the electromagnetic railgun has
utes later; its incredible velocity vaporizes the target with been around for more than 20 years, but early efforts wilted
kinetic energy alone. because of the huge power requirements: No ship could gen-
The U.S. Navy is developing an electromagnetic railgun that erate or store enough electricity to fire the gun. The concept
will turn destroyers into super-long-range machine guns—able was revived a few years ago when the Navy announced plans
to fire up to a dozen relatively inexpensive projectiles every for its next-generation battleship, the all-electric DD(X). “In
minute. The Navy is collaborating with the British Ministry of the past, destroyers had 90 percent of their power tied to
Defence, which has a similar effort under way. In 2003, its facil- propulsion,”1explains McGinnis. “But with DD(X), you can
ity in Kirkcudbright, Scotland, hosted a 1/8-scale test of an elec- divert the power to whatever you need. We can stop the ship
tromagnetic railgun that produced stable flight in a projectile and fire the railgun as many times as we need, then divert the
fired out of the barrel at Mach 6. But Capt. Roger McGinnis, power back to the screws.”
program manager for directed energy weapons at Naval Sea The barrel of the electromagnetic railgun will contain two
Systems Command in Washington, D.C., estimates the U.S. ver- parallel conducting rails about 20 feet long, bridged by a slid-
SUPER-
CAVITATING
TORPEDO
Several challenges remain for the supercavitating torpedo, including how it will be steered underwater. Water-tunnel tests have already
proven that speed can be achieved: In 1997, the Navy tested a supercavitating projectile that reached 5,082 feet per second, becoming the
first underwater projectile to exceed Mach 1.
ing armature. In the current design, electric current travels up challenging the designers. “Getting two pieces of metal to slide
one rail, crosses the armature, and heads down the second rail. past each other is pretty hard—we’re getting a lot of damage
The loop induces a magnetic field that pushes the armature, to the rails,” Beach says.
and the projectile aboard it, up the rails. The electromagnetic railgun’s projectiles will cover 290
The challenges that remain include ensuring that the gun miles in six minutes—initially traveling 8,200 feet per second
can target enemy sites with precision, and creating equipment and hitting their target at 5,000 feet per second. Current Navy
that can withstand the gargantuan pressures the gun will cre- guns, which shoot powder-ignited explosive shells, have a
ate. “Right now, guns are only as accurate as the targeting of maximum range of 12 miles and, because they are unguided,
the bore, and now we’re talking about 200-plus-mile ranges, so are difficult to aim. Though guided missiles, the current long-
there has to be aerodynamic correction,” says Fred Beach, the range alternative for destroyers, can achieve ranges compa-
assistant program manager for the electromagnetic railgun at rable to that of the electromagnetic railgun, their cost and
Naval Sea Systems Command. The projectile, he says, will storage problems are what’s driving the efforts to find an
receive course correction information from satellites and will alternative. Ships can only carry up to 70 guided missiles and
steer itself with movable control surfaces. And because the must return to port to restock because the missiles cannot be
projectile will be subjected to up to 45,000 Gs during firing, loaded at sea, whereas railgun projectiles can easily be loaded
the onboard electronics must be strengthened to withstand at sea, and by the hundreds. Also appealing is that the elec-
the acceleration. Forces inside the gun itself—particularly get- tromagnetic railgun’s missiles do not contain volatile explo-
ting the armature to move easily within the system—are also sives; the weapon does its work with kinetic energy.
ADVANCED
TACTICAL
LASER
Metal Storm weapons replace mechanical firing systems in conventional guns with coded electrical ignitions. These can be programmed to
fire at any rate, from thousands of rounds per second to just one at a time. According to the manufacturer, the technique can be used with
both lethal and nonlethal rounds (such as rubber bullets). The guns can also be electronically secured so only authorized users can fire them.
charges from igniting until commanded to do so. The guns require electrical power, making them yet another
Though hand-carried versions won’t fire at a million rounds gadget soldiers will need to keep supplied with batteries.
per minute—no soldier would want to reload every three mil- The Metal Storm system has been tested on rounds ranging
liseconds—vehicle-mounted systems could. Art Schatz, the sen- from 9mm to 60mm, and in a variety of weapons, including
ior vice president of operations in Washington, D.C., says that the O’Dwyer VLe (a “smart gun” with electronic safety controls,
if larger barrels were clustered on the back of a Humvee or in a named after company founder Mike O’Dwyer), and clustered
helicopter, the result would be a powerful “area-denial” weapon. pods of barrels that achieve the million-round-per-minute
The system can be adjusted to meet various needs. “We’re not numbers. The U.S. military is helping fund Metal Storm. If the
talking about always firing at a million rounds per minute,” Pentagon decides to adopt the weapon, it will probably enter
Schatz says. “But if you’ve got one of these mounted in an air- use in 5 to 10 years—that’s how long it will take for the mili-
craft and have a rocket-propelled grenade coming at you, you tary to design new weapons around the system, test them, and
can in an instant have 200 little bullets intercepting it.” More- distribute them to soldiers. ■
over, Metal Storm could fire nonlethal rounds such as rubber
bullets—for, say, crowd dispersal. The system’s key drawback: Eric Adams is POPSCI‘s aviation and automotive editor.
ilies in the Cold War Era, Kelly Longitudinal was marketed starting in the
Studies done at that time revealed women 1890s. Tylenol, or acetamino-
complaining “My husband continually seeks phen, debuted in 1955 as a
children’s elixir—it was pack-
something new to own. He doesn’t keep his aged to look like a red fire
interest in one thing too long.” truck. The first adult version
After all, is it really such a big leap from appeared in 1960.
Without a POPULAR SCIENCE’s November 1953 feature 9 D’Oh! I had hoped that
“How You’ll Get TV Colorcasts” to the maga-
remote, I’m zine’s April 2004 story about how to hack
Gatorade was one of those
drinks that had been around
crouched in front of your TiVo to get an extra 150 hours of storage forever. No such luck.
Gatorade was created in
time? Fifty years later, we’re still trying to
the TV like a keep up with the Joneses.
1965 by researchers at the
University of Florida bent on
caveman. I’m sure my bloodshot counterpart would
have ended his New Year’s Day in front of the
creating a hydrating drink
for the Florida Gators. The
Gators then kicked butt—
tube, so I turn on the ’52 Zenith. I’m distressed they went to back-to-back
at having to drum my fingers for a full minute bowl games in ’65 and ’66.
while the TV warms up. The culprit is 1950s-
10 The post–World War II era
era tube technology. The metal in a cathode-
was a time of unprecedented
DAY 1: ray tube had to heat up before the tube would consumption. In the four
NEW YEAR, OLD GEAR function; the transistors in modern TVs, by years following the war,
Happy New Year! As on the previous approx- contrast, operate with no startup delay.11 Americans purchased 20
imately 18 New Year’s days, I wake with a The past half century has yielded dramatic million refrigerators, 5.5 mil-
lion stoves and 11.6 million
nasty headache. There have been many such advances in TV transmission and image TVs. Air conditioners were
mornings when I wish I could go back in quality—first color, then stereo sound, cable also hot items.
time. Twelve hours and 10 drinks would be transmission, satellite delivery, digitally
11 While modern TVs rely on
ideal. Fifty years? Not so ideal. transmitted signals and, most recently, the
transistors for their circuitry,
I am an expert at dealing with hangovers. advent of high-definition TV, which is expect- they still contain a cathode-
My remedy involves 800 mg of Advil,8 a tan- ed to be the industry standard by 2006. So ray tube that shoots electrons
gerine Emergen-C packet containing 1,000 Piper and I expect some waves or ripples, but at the screen to create the pic-
mg of vitamin C and tons of potassium, an the picture on our ’52 Zenith is as sharp as ture (LCD and plasma screens
excepted). The transistor was
orange Gatorade,9 lots of water, strong coffee that of our six-year-old Sony. invented in 1947 at AT&T’s
and a fried-egg-and-bacon sandwich. Today Without a remote, I’m crouched in front of Bell Telephone Laboratories in
only the sandwich and H2O are valid options. the TV like a caveman; still, I start instinctu- Murray Hill, New Jersey.
“Put on your shoes,” Piper says, “and I’ll buy ally flipping. Charlie Rose. The Orange Bowl. 12 TV Guide debuted on
you a Bloody Mary with cheap vodka.” The Simpsons. Everybody Loves Raymond. The April 3, 1953. It cost 15
She’s right: My counterpart from ’54 Drew Carey Show. Leno and Letterman. Few cents and its first cover fea-
wouldn’t be savoring a vodka like Skyy or enough options that you can toss your TV tured Lucy and Desi’s baby
Absolut that’s hyped as super-distilled. Back Guide,12 but still not too bad. I pop two Desi Arnaz Jr.
then gin was still the mainstay and vodka an aspirin and settle in to enjoy Dave’s delightful
obscure Russian novelty; Smirnoff was the interview with director Barry Sonnenfeld.
first brand to gain popularity. Meanwhile, my Twenty minutes later, the TV makes what I’ve
doppelgänger’s milk and eggs were probably since diagnosed as “a funny sound.” Poof!
whether the lack of e-mail or cellphone would I stroll to the subway. I’m on my way to 14 Ray Kroc opened the first
break me first. Both camps were wrong: It’s Waves, an antique audiovisual paradise near McDonald’s franchise in Des
the bad coffee that’s killing me. “In 1954, most the Garment District. Here are the things I am Plaines, Illinois, in 1955. The
first drive-through window
home coffee drinkers in the U.S. used electric not carrying with me: a Web-enabled cell- opened in 1975 in Sierra
percolators,” explains Gregory Dicum, author phone with built-in camera, an iPod, a Palm Vista, Arizona.
with Nina Luttinger of The Coffee Book: PDA and an old and heavy iBook. I look noth-
15 “Rye, the spicier, more
Anatomy of an Industry from Crop to the Last ing like my ’54 counterpart would, he of the
flavorful predecessor of
Drop, when I called him for input. “And make natty gray flannel suit and fedora. He would bourbon, was crippled by
sure you brew it weakly,” he instructs. “You probably have carried only a briefcase, but he Prohibition and never recov-
should be able to see your spoon all the way to would have been more likely than I, at the age ered,” says Anthony Giglio,
the bottom of a ’50s-style coffee cup.” of 35, to have a wife and kids, and so would Boston Magazine wine and
spirits columnist and author
New York City’s coffee of choice in the ’50s have had the weight of the world as well. of the forthcoming Cocktails
was Chock full o’ Nuts, which happens to be Left multi-taskless, I am more aware of the in New York. When alcohol
running a new campaign to bring it back in people around me, the architecture, my own was re-legalized in 1933,
vogue, passing out free packets on city street thoughts. It reminds me of the long-gone days liquor companies wanted to
get their product out in a
when I used to love roaming around a city and hurry. They tended to ignore
overhearing other people’s conversations. rye because it takes six
Now I remember how much I used to enjoy years or more to age, as
this voyeuristic little kick—it sure beats walk- opposed to bourbon’s four.
Also, rye’s powerful flavor
ing around with headphones beaming an came as an unwelcome
Alicia Keys song downloaded from Kazaa. shock to drinkers who had
I buy a single-ride MetroCard (the closest become accustomed to
watery bathtub gin.
approximation to the single-use token
employed in ’54) and make my way to Waves, 16 The first commercially
where Bruce and Charlotte Mager rent and grown genetically modified
sell phonographs, cylinder record players and food was a tomato called the
FlavrSavr. Created in 1992
black-and-white televisions. Some of their by a California company
TVs come with an oil-filled magnifying screen named Calgene, this tomato
that is slightly larger than the TV’s own; created a stir, but genetic
when placed in front of a small television, the engineering of foods has
since become commonplace
magnifier enlarges the image—which would in the U.S. The USDA esti-
have enabled the whole family to better enjoy mates that 38 percent of
corners. I’m not chock full o’ guts, though, so Milton Berle on Tuesday nights. Back then, the 79 million acres of corn
for the first couple of days the 12-cup perco- TV was an event, and viewers were willing to planted in 2003, as well
as 80 percent of the 73
lator I’ve procured remains unsoiled, and it’s gather round it when their favorite show million acres of soybeans,
out into a modern world for a cup of coffee aired. The introduction of the VCR17—and contained genetically engi-
(diner swill only, no Starbucks). more recently, digital recording devices like neered varieties.
Thankfully, since I live in New York City, TiVo—changed that, creating a world in 17 In 1975, Sony created the
things are not so bad on the ’50s food front. which viewers expect entertainment on Betamax, the first videocas-
Before we bring back our Foreman Grill and demand (music junkies dream of a “celestial sette recorder (VCR) for home
microwave,13 I promise to take Piper out to jukebox” that would make any song ever use. A year later, Japan Victor
some classic restaurants. The good news: No recorded just a click away). Company (JVC) began selling
a VCR with a different format
fast food.14 At Peter Luger Steak House, where The radios particularly fascinate me. After (VHS) that could record more
the porterhouse costs $37, Kenny the bar- the Korean War, transistors replaced tube video on a single tape. Sony
tender tells us that in ’54 a proper Manhattan technology, but as Bruce Mager explains, the soon switched to VHS manu-
was made with rye, not bourbon.15 At Eisen- tube still lives. “A lot of people are actually facturing, and by the time
VCRs took off in the early
berg’s, a tiny counter that’s been around since going back to tube technology because it gives ’80s, VHS was the standard.
1929, the chocolate egg creams, today as off a warmer sound. A speaker in a wooden
always, have no egg in them, and the tuna enclosure sounds nicer than a speaker in a
salad recipe hasn’t changed, though of course plastic container.”
now the tuna could be accompanied by fries In the ’50s, Americans enjoyed more varied
cooked in genetically modified corn or canola radio programming than one finds today
oil.16 “The only thing that is changed is that I (unless you subscribe to a satellite service).
Check out articles and adverts that appeared in POPULAR SCIENCE in 1954: popsci.com/exclusive
BY JOSEPH HOOPER
PHOTOGRAPHS BY
MICHAEL DARTER
WHEN LAST WE VISITED WITH THE MEN AND WOMEN, steering and countersteering corrections.
At the Grand Challenge, DARPA agreed
the boys and girls, the Red Teams and Blue Teams and to let him stage a remote-control demon-
Road Warriors of the DARPA Grand Challenge off-road stration for the by now autonomous-
bike-crazed media. Alas, when the check-
robotics race, back in March, we signed off on a note ered flag went down, so did the bike,
of authentic ambivalence. The teams themselves were without a whimper. The first attempt of
the high school team from Los Angeles,
all over the map, from rehearsing victory speeches to the Palos Verdes High School Road War-
praying they would pass the qualifying round and be riors, aborted when their vehicle, a mod-
allowed on to what was anticipated to be a 210-mile ified Honda Acura MDX, lurched right
immediately after start-up and headed
course from outside Los Angeles through the Mojave for the grandstands until DARPA hit the
Desert to somewhere just west of Vegas. The race’s disabling “E-Stop” button. Race organiz-
ers granted the team the luxury of a sec-
organizers, for their part, couldn’t quite muster a con- ond try and time to make some quick
sensus on how to handicap the event. Race manager software fixes, and for Take 2, the Acura
came roaring out of the gate hard left and
and resident sunny optimist Col. Jose Negron unblink- knocked over a two-and-half-foot-high
ingly predicted that a team would cross the finish line concrete guard before DARPA could hit
in under 10 hours to claim DARPA’s million-dollar the E-Stop, a don’t-try-this-at-home
moment of autonomous mayhem that
prize in the race’s inaugural run—yet course designer proved popular with the evening TV
Sal Fish couldn’t bring himself to share this official news broadcasts.
vision. “It’s still hard to get it in my brain,” Fish said, WHAT WENT WRONG? In a sense, noth-
“that this is all going to happen with robots.” ing. These results were—or should have
Chalk one up for Mr. Fish. been—entirely unsurprising. Unlike the
computer whirring on your desk, mobile
robots have to thrash around in the real
world, which makes the entire enter-
Here, to spare you the suspense, is how things looked once prise finicky and unpredictable. The 15 machines that took
the dust had cleared on race day, March 13: Carnegie Mellon the starting line in Barstow, California, were attempting a
University’s “Red Team,” the presumptive race favorite—in quantum jump in performance over the robots that putter
the minds of many race insiders, the only team with a realis- around university artificial-intelligence labs, avoiding table
tic shot at the million-dollar prize—had ended the race at mile legs at one or two miles an hour. To have a shot at the dead-
7.4, its Humvee’s belly straddling the outer edge of a drop-off, line and the big prize on what was ultimately a 142-mile
front wheels spinning freely, on fire. SciAutonics II dropped course (prudently downsized to make a 10-hour, one-day race
out of the running at mile 6.7, its Israeli dune buggy stuck in a feasible goal) from Barstow to Primm, Nevada, the Grand
an embankment. Digital Auto Drive quit at mile 6.0, its Toy- Challenge bots would have had to average nearly 15 mph,
ota Tundra stymied by a football-size rock. The Golem Group and in the flat stretches reach speeds of up to 50 mph. They
stopped at mile 5.2, its pickup stuck on a hill with insufficient would stay in one piece by tracking via GPS technology the
throttle to move forward. Team Caltech, another race favorite, latitude-longitude waypoints that 42
dropped out at mile 1.3, its Chevy Tahoe SUV having careened defined the course and avoiding
off course and through a fence. Team TerraMax, a heavy- obstacles with their own internal
THE SCORECARD
weight collaboration between Ohio State University and the sensors: video cameras, laser scan- Of the 15 qualifiers,
Oshkosh Trucking Corporation, was out at mile 1.2, stopped ners, radar and the like. Good luck. 9 made it past the
of its own accord, a 32,000-pound six-wheel military truck By comparison, the winning vehicle starting line. Here’s
flummoxed by some bushes. These, it should be noted, were in the last Baja 1000 off-road race, how far past: CMU
the Grand Challenge success stories. The rest of the field went with an actual human behind the Red Team [22], 7.4
haywire at or just beyond the starting chute in full view of the wheel, averaged just over 50 mph, miles; SciAutonics II
[21], 6.7 miles; Digi-
press who packed the grandstands erected for the event. though on much stiffer terrain. tal Auto Drive [7], 6
The two teams that had become media darlings and unof- Traversing less than six percent miles; The Golem
ficial DARPA pets had suffered particularly inglorious flame- of the course may not sound like a Group [9], 5.2 miles;
outs. At the last minute, Anthony Levandowski, the UC Berke- grand result, but it should be noted Team Caltech [5],
ley grad student-cum-visionary behind the Blue Team’s that the four lead bots did get 1.3 miles; Team Ter-
autonomous motorcycle, scratched from the race proper, his through the first section of the raMax [20], 1.2
miles; SciAutonics I
navigation systems nowhere near race-ready. But, as he course, a flat looping dirt road that [17], 0.75 mile; Team
proved on an earlier qualifying attempt, Levandowski had passed through four fence-gate CIMAR [4], 0.45
successfully realized an ingenious software system that could openings, each only about 12 feet mile; Team ENSCO
keep the bike moving forward (or in circles) through constant wide. After mile 4, the narrow, rocky [13], 0.2 mile.
eye couldn’t fail to notice one tall, pow- the 2,000 GPS waypoints that defined the Parker’s and Bebel’s proprietary atti-
erfully built 60-year-old man slumped Grand Challenge course; [2] an ecstatic tude toward the project and who
back in his chair. William “Red” Whit- Road Warrior watches as the Palos Verdes jumped at any chance to jettison the
High School Doom Buggy makes its most
taker, CMU robotics professor and successful qualifying run—a full half circuit
homegrown Linux system for a com-
eponymous leader of the Red Team, of the track—before crashing into a parked mercial Windows-based one that they
had made sure he was in Primm well car; [3] SciAutonics II’s modified Israeli regarded as technically superior and
ahead of the 10-hour deadline, even as dune buggy idles prerace; [4] John Hind of far more feasible for the non-nerd stu-
his team’s vehicle, Sandstorm, was Team Spirit of Las Vegas engages in some dents—in many cases, their own
being dug out of the Daggett Ridge feverish last-minute coding of the vehicle’s kids—to work with. By the time the
communications software; [5] Joe Bebel
dirt. “We’ve come back from worse,” he and fellow Road Warrior Chris Kleinhen
team arrived at the California Speed-
said, looking utterly poleaxed. tweak the operating system; [6] the Terra- way, the Road Warriors had ruptured
Whittaker and his team were ar- Max 32,000 pound behemoth off to a good at the seams, with Parker and Bebel
guably the one group that might have start—before being stymied by some bushes. banished to the sidelines, and Joe and
2 3
4 5
D.A.D. BRINGS his high-tech peers conscripted by the regnant adult mentors
to work with the prefab Windows-based system they despised.
HOME THE BACON
In a field of teams using off-the-shelf
The results on the test track were equivocal. The new adult
team committed the fatal error of accidentally erasing its
operating system code, which was by some accounts work-
tech, one delivered true innovation. ing very well. Late-night or all-night programming sessions
DARPA ultimately cares little about the fate of civil- at Fontana became routine (one 15-year-old student, Dan
ian robots in the Mojave Desert. Yet it cares very Jacobowitz, briefly wound up in the hospital for dehydra-
much about the development of new robot technol- tion), as did a series of qualifying attempts that were embar-
ogy, technology that will enable unmanned vehicles rassing in their cumulative awfulness. Finally, Joe and the
to autonomously monitor their surroundings, avoid Linux warriors were brought in for one glorious autonomous
boulders and potholes, and race to targets. By those run using the original Linux OS. The Doom Buggy navigat-
criteria, the race did have a winner: Digital Auto ed around more than half of the course, through cones, sand
Drive of Morgan Hill, California, which developed traps and fences, before crashing into a planted obstacle, a
an innovative new robot vision system that, team car parked on the track. “It was our one moment of glory,”
leaders claim, nearly won them the race. said Graham Robertson, Palos Verdes science teacher and the
In theory, the team’s strategy is simple: Avoid the team’s faculty leader. “I was thrilled that the students had
struggle to combine data from multiple “active” sens- done it and the adult mentors celebrated along with them
ing systems like radar and lidar. Create a real-time even though they say that that system is not the way to go.”
3-D map of the course in front of the vehicle with Added Joe, with characteristic diplomacy, “It was a nice
video cameras alone. Choose a safe path through the moment to have one team again.”
upcoming terrain, then point the steering wheel At around 3:30 a.m. on the day of the race, the 15 Grand
down that path. Now do it while flying through the Challenge competitors received from DARPA a CD contain-
desert at up to 60 mph. The team, led by engineers ing the 2,000 or so GPS waypoints that described the
David Hall and his brother Bruce, mounted two digi- Barstow-to-Primm course. The Red Team fed the information
tal video cameras atop their 2003 Toyota Tundra. A into the Sandstorm’s mapping software; in 10 minutes’ time
processor transforms the images from the cameras it had mapped out the exact route it intended to follow. Pro-
into a 35-billion-pixel terrain map, and redraws that jected race time: 13 hours—3 hours over the limit. From his
map 60 times a second. For each one of these up- après-battle station at Buffalo Bill’s, Whittaker seemed
dates, another processor creates up to 100 possible almost to savor the moment. “The easy thing to do would
paths through the terrain, then rates each path based have been to relax and show up at the parking lot in Primm
on how flat is is, how close it is to the DARPA-defined at 7 p.m., in 13 hours,” he said. “But we entered this challenge
course, and the size of the obstacles on that path. that was declared a year ago, and for us 10 hours was sacred.”
(The team completely avoids the problem of object The Red Team went back to the software, tweaking up vehi-
recognition by treating every bush like a boulder, cle speed and slicing the margin of error. “I was clear,” Whit-
and avoiding both.) Repeat the process 60 times a taker said. “Let it run. Victory or death.”
second: 35 billion pixels, 100 paths. And so death it was. That Sandstorm expired near the top
Yet for all of D.A.D.’s innovations, a football-size of Daggett Ridge, just a switchback away from 15 miles of clear
rock lodged under a tire and ended its journey sailing, was not, Whittaker feels, a reflection on route or rac-
at mile 6.0. The team’s downfall lay not in its stereo- ing strategy, which he regards as perfection itself. “By the time
scopic image system. Rather, a feedback loop wasn’t we finished,” he said, “we were tuning the vehicle to mud pud-
set properly, and the computer didn’t provide enough dles.” The exact explanation for why Sandstorm carved a turn
gas to barrel over the rock. Disappointing, yes, but too sharply and nearly flipped over the side of an embank-
the team remained optimistic. “If we only had two ment awaits exhaustive analysis of the onboard data. But the
more programming days,” says Bruce Hall, “we team is agreed that the vehicle’s sensing systems had not fully
would have completed the course.”—MICHAEL MOYER recovered from a rollover crash during an overly ambitious
test run 10 days before the race. A quarter million dollars’
IN SUPER STEREOSCOPIC 3-D: D.A.D.’s vision quest. worth of electronics was crushed in an instant. The team rose
to the occasion—“that galvanizing moment that levels a team
to its knees so that it rises to its own greatness,” in Whittaker’s
Churchillian formulation. The parts were replaced, but the
vehicle’s ability to reliably avoid obstacles was never quite the
same. Sandstorm whacked fences and poles on that perfect
route even before it entered its fatal hairpin turn.
121
00 POPULAR SCIENCE JUNE 2004
BEFORE, DURING . . . AFTERMATH Sing Yiu Chung, the Blue Team’s programming whiz (left), makes some last-minute adjustments before the
autonomous motorcycle’s 50-foot qualifying run. Top right: SciAutonics II’s dune buggy, on its way to a 6.7-mile run. Bottom left: The Palos
Verdes High School “Doom Buggy,” after crashing into a concrete barrier. Bottom right: Team ENSCO, kiboshed after 0.2 mile.
128
lasted only 7.4 miles was jocularly laid at the feet of course on the team,” Palos Verdes student leader Chris Seide exulted
designer Sal Fish, the president of the SCORE off-road racing to the assembled multitudes.) DARPA’s Tom Strat anticipates
organization. “The first part [of the course] was definitely the some 500 aspiring entrants, five times the number this year.
hard part, and I definitely blame Sal Fish,” DARPA director And while much of this year’s field was unable to cope even
Anthony Tether declared in celebrity-roast high spirits. He with preliminary trials—the first day at Fontana, only two
was on firmer ground when he advanced an oft-repeated yet of eight bots attempting to qualify made it out of the gate—
nonetheless plausible argument that the race had succeeded the consensus is that, with the benefit of experience, next
admirably in its primary mission of galvanizing engineers year’s second-time contenders ought to be ready to rumble.
(even those still in high school) to get to work on a new gen- From DARPA’s perspective, what’s not to like? This just gives
eration of autonomous support and supply vehicles. them another round of technological innovation paid for
Clearly, the Grand Challenge strange brew of technical mostly by someone else.
audacity and Johnny-get-your-laptop populism had touched While Grand Challenge 2004 had its moments of winging-
some kind of national nerve. “I haven’t seen this much inter- it improvisation, who’s to say it wasn’t the right hot-house
est in something related to national security since the days atmosphere to grow the next generation of American
of the Apollo space program,” Tether declared, before roboticists? The Blue Team’s Anthony Levandowski, for
announcing that Grand Challenge 2005 would go for- one, learned something about grace under pressure. “Right
ward—this time with a $2 million prize. According to Red before the demonstration, the crowd was cheering and we
Whittaker’s e-mail “Race Log”—a kind of computer diary of were so excited that we forgot to switch the bike over from
Captain Ahab-ian obsession—filed in late March, “The autonomous to drive-by-wire,” he said. “Next time, I’ll have
Grand Challenge will be completed in September or Octo- it tattooed to my arm.”
ber of 2005, hence about 550 days remain to race day.”
The media might be a little wary about a full-court cover- Joseph Hooper has written for The New York Times Maga-
age of next year’s race, but evidently the people who build zine, Men’s Journal and Esquire. He previewed the DARPA
and sponsor robots can’t wait. (“Next year we’ll have seniors Grand Challenge in our March issue.
Stonecipher’s main tasks, in his own words: “We’ll spend an as the 767 that they use today). And down the line, Boeing
awful lot of time restoring our reputation. We have to deal plans a longer-body, heavier 257-seat 7E7-9 with a Singapore-
with the perception that we’re a bunch of crooks.” to-New York range—9,600 miles.
It’s not exactly the best time to try to sell a risky new proj- The Dreamliner will be all things to all people, Boeing
ect to a wounded, risk-averse airline industry. insists. In addition to offering airlines better performance at
a lower price, it will cosset passengers with bigger windows
THE SEATTLE-BASED design firm Teague Associates, which and wider seats. It’s being painted as the Leatherman of jets,
created the Dreamliner’s interior, first partnered with Boeing able to make money carrying 200 passengers from New
in 1947 on the Stratocruiser. The aristocrats of the airline York to Hong Kong but also performing well on 3,000-mile
I
193-foot wingspans; short-range nance costs.
versions will be 20 feet narrower.
I
Problem: Designing a wing that
works well in both sizes.
I
Boeing will be working overtime to live up to the high expectations it is creating with the electrical ones. Removing air bleeds from the
Dreamliner, both among airline customers and their passengers. Though addressing the engine boosts efficiency. If the engines have
needs and desires of both are often distinctly separate efforts, the 7E7 engineers are exploit- to feed the cabin with pressurized air, they
ing some interesting overlaps. The use of composite materials in the fuselage, for example, must be bigger so they will run properly
will not only keep the airplane’s weight down, making it more fuel efficient, but will also when all the bleeds are working at maxi-
make the installation of larger, heavier windows less costly. The 19 x 11-inch windows, the mum capacity (for example, if one engine
largest on any current commercial airplane, will give passengers a view to the horizon. has failed). That means that they are pump-
The stronger composite fuselage also permits an increase in cabin pressure. The 7E7 cabin ing extra air most of the time.
will be pressurized to 6,000 feet altitude, rather than 8,000 feet; the extra 2,000 feet made Boeing will welcome passengers onto the
a huge difference to volunteers who helped with tests. Another environmental consideration: 7E7 with sweeping arches, dynamic lighting
humidity. Airliner cabins are typically kept to Death Valley humidity levels—about 10 percent —the ceiling will feature a calming, simu-
—to avoid moisture build-up in the bilges, but composites don’t corrode, so the 7E7 will be lated sky that enhances the perception of
closer to the 20 to 30 percent minimum recommended by environmental health standards. spaciousness—larger lavatories, and more
Boeing is pursuing numerous other advances. It is removing from the engine the gear- spacious luggage bins. The Dreamliner will
driven hydraulic pumps that drive the controls and landing gear, and valves that bleed com- offer wider seats and aisles than competing
pressed air to pressurize the cabin and keep ice off the wings, replacing these systems with models in every class. “Our 7E7 passengers
will enjoy a more relaxed and spacious
environment that makes their flights more
comfortable,” said Klaus Brauer, Boeing's
interior specialist.
C O U R T E S Y T H E B O E I N G C O M PA N Y
engineer Walt
carry greater loads than the
heavier wing to carry it and tail, so the skin must be
bigger engines to handle the inches thick, comprising
greater weight.
Gillette concedes “It hundreds of plies of fiber.
“The challenge isn’t building
BOEING ENGINEERS aren’t
could be the end of
an aircraft but building so
counting on fundamental de- many airplanes economically
sign changes to fulfill their each month, and physically
grand vision. The company
recently backed away from its us“ if the new jetliner laying down that amount of
material,” says Bair, adding,
C O U R T E S Y T H E B O E I N G C O M PA N Y
“Our market forecast for the next 20 years does not include While tail surfaces are safe from most impacts, airplane
commercial applications for the BWB concept. Since our bodies are not. In Bair’s words: “There are areas on the fuse-
leadership is of one mind on this issue, we don’t believe a fur- lage that get attacked by ground equipment, by a galley serv-
ther interview on this subject is necessary.”) ice truck on a rampage.” The solution, says Gillette, is
Since they aren’t introducing a new design, the 7E7 looks to embed in the 7E7 fuselage electronic sensors that can
like a smaller 767 or a 777—with a nose job. A sleeker nose detect changes in stress patterns that are caused by internal
will reduce drag and cockpit noise, program manager Mike damage. The sensors will be linked to a “neural net” computer
Bair points out. Don’t expect the shark-like tail from the that “learns what normal is.” If a hungover loader on the
artists’ concepts to appear on the real airplane, but a close look Heathrow ramp misjudges his distance, “the system knows
[
Boeing 707, introduced in 1958, launches the jet Boeing introduces Boeing’s iconic 747, In 1982, Boeing’s 767
age. It’s expensive, but its speed (doubling that of the 737 in 1967. It introduced in 1970, becomes the first long-
piston- becomes the best- doubles the size of range airliner to be
engine selling and longest- most airliners. Upstart allowed transoceanic
airliners) running airliner in pro- Airbus delivers its first flights with just two
makes it duction. The jet has commercial jet, the engines. The Airbus
productive. since undergone two A300—the first twin- A320, in 1987, is the
extensive makeovers to aisle, twin-jet airliner. first highly automated,
keep it competitive. Boeing sees no threat. fly-by-wire aircraft.
it’s been hit and that its response to the load is different.” GE’s GENX is expected to use 20 percent less fuel, for the same
Because composites don’t expand or contract with chang- power, than the GE engine on the Airbus A330-200. The GENX
F R O M T O P : C O U R T E S Y A I R B U S ; C O U R T E S Y T H E B O E I N G C O M PA N Y
ing temperatures as much as metal does, it’s easier to build the is based on the technology used in the GE90-115B, just enter-
airplane from large “snap-fit” components, saving assembly ing service on Boeing’s 777, and currently the world's most
time, Gillette says. Boeing wants to build its body “barrel” sec- powerful engine, capable of producing 115,000 pounds of
tions in one piece, using robots to wind fibers around a 20- thrust. Rolls-Royce’s Trent 1000 engine builds on the Trent
foot-diameter tool. And switching from aluminum alloys to 900, which the company is developing for the A380.
composites will align Boeing with a larger research and devel- The 7E7 will replace some pneumatic and hydraulic sys-
opment community. “The world is working on toughened tems with electrically powered ones. Hydraulic technology,
composites [for railroads, bridges and autos],” says Gillette. On such as the pumps that bring landing gear up, is reliable, but
the horizon: nanotubes and new fibers that may be 10 times it’s unique to aerospace, so the entire cost of developing it
stronger than carbon. ends up in the price of Boeing’s jets. Electrical systems are
Composites save an impressive amount of weight—the 7E7 more universal: “The whole world wants to develop high-
will weigh 10 tons less than the shorter-range A330, says Boe- power electric generators and controllers,” Gillette says. As a
ing—but that translates into a fuel-burn savings of only 2 to result, electric-powered devices should become more efficient
3 percent. The biggest single fuel saver will instead be the and less costly.
7E7’s new engines. In April Boeing picked General Electric
and Rolls-Royce to build new engines for the Dreamliner, DESIGNING AND BUILDING an all-new jetliner is a venture
rejecting a proposal from a third competitor, Pratt & Whitney. that leaves little change out of $10 billion. That’s one of many
reasons why aerospace is no place for wimps. Nobody takes
that risk without solid commitments from customers. Boeing
is already soliciting 7E7 orders from key buyers like Singapore
1990s 2000s Airlines, an acknowledged leader in long-distance travel, and
[
In 1993, Airbus introduces the Airbus confirms launch All Nippon Airways, a likely launch customer for the short-
A330 and A340—similar, larger of the two-deck A380. range model. “Launch” customers—those who buy airplanes
versions of the A320. In 1995, Boeing, having said off the drawing board—are taking a risk of their own. But
Boeing delivers the 777, a versa- there’s no market for Boeing has a track record of delivering airplanes on time and
tile, fly-by-wire jet. the A380, unveils its
Sonic Cruiser proposal.
on spec, and the upside is often a significant discount. Boeing
Low interest from air- will likely need to secure buyers for up to 100 Dreamliners
lines kills it in 2002. before it turns on the money spigot. Outwardly, there’s no lack
of confidence: Officials say they hope (CONTINUED ON PAGE 134)
y
THIS MONTH • Pitting all-in-ones against SLRs 101 Procurement: Japanese imports 108 • 5 THINGS. . .
GROK • The future of Internet worms 101 Tech Support: RSS feeds, reader tips, INTERNET WORMS WILL DO TO
OGLE Think Tank case mod, This is Broken 110 ATTACK YOU IN THE FUTURE
BUILD • The Luddite: Casio Exilim EX-Z40 103 You 2.0: Game Ready muscle
HACK recovery machine 105 From the Frontier: GPS mapping in Tajikistan 108 GET INSTANT
ACQUIRE 1 An instant-messaging worm
INTEGRATE • Make your own classic arcade 104
EXPERIMENT • Unlock your GSM cellphone 106 could infect 200,000 com-
puters in 60 seconds by tar-
geting IM vulnerabilities that
allow it to spread without
your double-click. Use soft-
ware like Norton AntiVirus
2004 that scans IMs.
PRETEND TO BE A FRIEND
2 A Microsoft-impersonating
worm recently infected 1.5
million machines in 24 hours.
Worms will get even better
at duping you into opening
them by spoofing your most-
used e-mail contacts. Create
a keyword with friends that
signals a legit attachment.
APPEAR TO BE A PEER
3 KaZaa was the apparent
launch pad for MyDoom,
and P2P threats jumped 46
percent in the second half of
2003. Avoid .exe files from
P2P sites, and scan all
downloaded files with up-to-
date antivirus software.
FLASH YOU
4 Today, worms spend time
DEPT: H2.0 Labs INVESTIGATOR: Mikkel Aaland TECH: Digital cameras searching for security holes.
RETAIL: $1,000 But so-called “flash” worms
TWO DISTINCT BREEDS Those electronic innards also mer use a sensor that’s physi- C-8080 Wide Zoom is biased
Before you can understand allow all-in-ones to live in much cally smaller and therefore to slight overexposure and un-
what these cameras do and smaller bodies than SLRs. The more prone to electronic dersaturation, while the Sony
don’t do well, you need to un- Canon PowerShot Pro1 and “noise.”) And though these all- DSC-F828 tends to create flat
derstand how they work. SLRs Nikon Coolpix 8700, for ex- in-ones capture 8 megapixels images and the Rebel falls
possess a traditional optical sys- ample, are nearly half the size and the SLRs only 6, we had short on sharpening. (See the
tem (a mirror and prism) that of the Canon Digital Rebel or no trouble producing high-qual- chart below for specific per-
can work with different lenses Nikon D70. ity 16-by-20-inch prints from ei- formance judgments on each
to transfer an image to both the ther. (Many factors—sensor of the cameras.) But, again,
viewfinder and the sensor. All- IMAGE QUALITY design, optics, processing—are these are minor shortcomings
in-ones accomplish the same For all their inner (and outer) as important as pixel count in on otherwise excellent images
task using only electronics, but differences, at this level both producing decent images.) and all can easily be fixed us-
this gives them functionality not types of cameras take excep- Which is not to say all six ing the camera’s settings or im-
possible with SLRs, like captur- tional photos. The only situa- cameras will give you the same aging software (a topic we’ll
ing video or giving you a live tion in which one category image, particularly when explore in depth next month).
preview of your shot on the outperformed the other was in shooting in JPEG mode (which
LCD. (SLRs only let you review low light, where the all-in-ones calls on the camera’s internal RESPONSIVENESS
photos there; you must frame produced significantly grainier processor) with default settings. Here the debate comes into
shots in the viewfinder.) images than the SLRs. (The for- For example, the Olympus sharp focus. In short, if you
shoot static things like grand
> The all-in-ones canyons and fruit bowls, either
type of camera will serve you
well. But for shooting action—
NIKON COOLPIX 8700 hyperactive kittens, cheetahs in
$1,000; street: $800
the bush or just your kid’s soc-
cer game—SLRs are the cate-
gorical hands-down winner.
Overall responsiveness
CANON POWERSHOT PRO1 refers to all of the functions
$1,000; street: $940 that determine how quickly a
camera is ready to capture the
shot you want. For example,
start-up time—how long it
takes the camera to power up
and the zoom lens to extend—
for most of the cameras was a
reasonable 2 to 3 seconds (the
D70 started up almost instantly
and the CoolPix 8700 took 6
JOHN B. CARNETT
seconds). Shutter lag—another
area that’s long been a prob-
OLYMPUS C-8080 WIDE ZOOM lem with digital cameras—was
SONY DSC-F828 $1,000; street: $780 almost nonexistent among
$1,000; street: $850 these six models.
HOW THEY STACK UP CAMERAS RESPONSIVENESS USER CONTROLS ACTION FLASH LANDSCAPES
Test images were taken
using the cameras’ Canon Digital Rebel Excellent Excellent Excellent Good Excellent
highest-quality JPEG
settings and reflect Nikon D70 Excellent Excellent Excellent Good Good
out-of-the-box per- Canon PowerShot Pro1 Fair Good Fair Good Excellent
formance. Shooting in
these cameras’ RAW
Nikon Coolpix 8700 Fair Poor Fair Good Good
mode will produce Olympus C-8080 Fair Fair Fair Good Excellent
different results. More Sony DSC-F828 Good Good Good Good Good
on RAW next month.
INTEGRATE
Tech Resister’s
> The SLRs ISO, the Sony to 800, the rest
from 50 to 400). With the
LUDDITE Temptation
the beach, the all-in-ones, with three photos per second until important, consider the compe- know it had video. Sweet.
the exception of the Sony, sim- the memory card is full (others tent and compact Canon Pro1. WEDNESDAY, 11:30 P.M.
ply could not keep up. Their have slower burst modes, lim- SLRs still rule for those who Recording videos of drunken
electronic zoom controls were ited to a handful of shots). shoot a lot of action or need St. Patrick’s Day revelers
too sluggish to capture the additional flexibility, and we elicits unfriendly stares. Time
panicky scattering children, USER CONTROLS love the Nikon D70. It’s a few to put camera away.
and the view through their The chaos on the beach also hundred bucks more than the FRIDAY, 3:15 P.M. At the hos-
electronic viewfinders was so demonstrated to us how sim- Rebel, but its better kit lens justi- pital to take pics of a recov-
jerky and blurred, we never ple (or insanely difficult) it is fies the added cost. ering friend. Battery dead.
knew exactly what we’d get a to adjust settings like file type, For a detailed review of Go home, recharge, return.
shot of. The all-in-ones also image quality and shutter each of these cameras, as well Memory full. Can’t find
produced a brief but disorient- speed on the fly (incidentally, as examples of our test shots, delete. Finally spot a trash-
ing blackout in both the the SLRs go as high as 1600 go to popsci.com/h20. can icon. Free some space.
MONDAY, 10 A.M. Notice
there are 21 settings, in-
cluding one called “text.”
LOW LIGHT PORTRAITS SHARPNESS EXPOSURE COLOR-CAST Shoot a magazine page
(very Bond) and the result is
Excellent Excellent Soft Slightly under Orange/magenta shockingly readable.
Excellent Excellent Slightly soft Slightly under Neutral TUESDAY, 7 P.M. I plug the
Fair Excellent Slightly soft Normal Slightly magenta/orange camera into my laptop,
press the USB button, and
Fair Excellent Slightly oversharp Slightly under Slightly magenta/orange
the weekend’s photos pop
Fair Excellent Perfectly sharp Normal Neutral up on the screen. Amazing.
Fair Excellent Slightly soft Under Slightly magenta/orange Now what do I do with
them? (Editor’s note: Find out
next month.)—GREGORY MONE
including joysticks,
tical wires with a key at each intersection, so you’ll have to figure out the position of the keys you want
buttons, trackball $50 to $350
to connect to, and then tell MAME which keys represent which commands (instructions included with
MAME free
MAME). One warning: If you make completed circuits on multiple columns and rows at the same time,
Game ROMs free to $5
the keyboard matrix scanner may think some switches are active when they aren’t, or vice versa.
At the Intersection of
2.0 Technology and the Body
I DON’T NEED any reminders GAME READY ACCELERATED use the device, which was in-
that I’m getting older, but after RECOVERY SYSTEM troduced in 2002, and rehab
one particularly intense ski $2,000+; gameready.com centers, trainers and schools
day at Jackson Hole last win- TECH Pressurized water-cooled are getting on board. The tech-
ter, my left knee had the gall sleeve soothes aches nology is even being used to
to get sore and swell, as if in- DOES IT WORK? Ohhhh yeah help multiple sclerosis patients
dignant that it was part of a lower their body temperature,
body no longer 18 years old. and pressure is based on the reducing symptoms. Of course,
Fortunately, a friend told me technology in NASA space at $2,000 (plus the cost of
about a unique “cold therapy” suits, which Game Ready’s reusable sleeves), you might
machine called Game Ready. founder helped design. need an NBA contract to af-
About the size of a boombox, Pressure and cold are half ford one, but you can always
Game Ready pumps ice water the standard RICE therapy— bug your gym, trainer or phys-
into sleeves that are wrapped rest, ice, compress, elevate— ical therapist to get Game
over your knee (or any other for sports aches, and Game Ready (or wait until the price
COURTESY GAME READY INC.
body part), then uses a vacuum Ready blows away a simple inevitably comes down). It’s
pump to compress the sleeve, ice pack because the user- worth the effort: The day after
much like a blood-pressure cuff controlled pressure and tem- treatment, my swelling was
tightens around your arm. The perature remain constant. gone and my college years
computer-controlled valve sys- * Not Steve More than 130 professional were in sight—impressive con-
Casimiro
tem that regulates temperature and college sports teams now sidering I’m 42.—STEVE CASIMIRO
H2.0 How 2.0 > Void Your Warranty
DEPT: Void Your Warranty INVESTIGATOR: Mike Haney TECH: Cellphone phones, you can find free soft-
unlocking ware at unlockme.co.uk that
TAKE THE SHACKLES OFF
HACK
We unlocked a Cingular Nokia 3595 to pop in a prepaid Vodafone SIM from New Zealand. The Other phone hacks
screen below left is what we saw with the new SIM inserted before unlocking. To get the unlock > Just about every cell has its
codes, we posted a request at unlockme.co.uk with the 3595’s serial number and carrier. The hacker’s bag of tricks—things
next morning, we had two codes: #pw+197824120263746+1#; #pw+807711135262232+7#.
like adding custom games and
wallpaper, using MP3 snippets
as ring tones or even (don’t do
2 Next we this) stealing service.
punched in the > To figure out what can be
first code, hit- done—and how—on yours, try
ting the * key cellphonehacks.com, which has
several times
forums for each phone com-
to get the p, w
and + symbols pany and provider. If you dig
(don’t ask through the cell-geek boasting
why; that’s just matches that fill many of the
how it works). threads, you can usually find
some how-to’s for your phone.
> I got lucky and found sites
dedicated to hacking my Veri-
zon LG VX4400 using a $23
data cable from RadioShack
and a free program called
BitPim (bitpim.sourceforge.net).
So far I’ve used the phone as a
modem, removed the Verizon
banner, added a shot of Johnny
Cash at Folsom Prison to my
JOHN B. CARNETT
1 To enter a code, the phone 3 When we finished, a “Restriction wallpaper and changed my ring
must be on, with no SIM in- Off” message flashed, and when we tone to The Jeffersons’ theme . . .
serted. Our Cingular card inserted the Vodafone card, the probably all child’s play to a
was behind the battery. phone began searching for a signal. hardcore hacker, but it feels like
movin’ on up to me.—M.H.
FROM
Arys
Tajikistan
ya
Syrdar
$85; oziexplorer.com
Shymkent
Kyrgyzstan
Toktogul Suu
THE FRONTIER
q
Chirchi al Oblast Capital
Chatk
Naryn
Chirchiq Railroad
software Shardara
Bogeni
Tashkent
Angren
Namangan
Jalal-Abad 0 25
Road
50 75 Kilometers
LOCATION Tajikistan
Andijon
Isfara
Kyzyl-Kyya
Suluktu
THE YEMENI, Chechen and Syrian eart/topo.html). I printed two from just a few points. Since
Surkhob
Dar''yal
Qarokul 39
Garm
Tajikistan
mujahideen who once trekked dozen Pamiri maps at Kinko’s, our maps did have degrees- Tursunzoda Dushanbe
Orjonikidzeobod
Norak
eryo
ni
Denow rtang Dar''ya
Pa
al Ba l Mu Murghob
hond
al
rghob
Dar''y
''y
mountainous Tajikistan are now and smuggled them past border minutes-seconds readings in
Dar
on
Surk
farnih
Kulob
Dar''y
Taxkorgan
al Ko
Qurghonteppa
l Vakhsh
al Oq
Dar''y
rghon
su
gone, but still few Western tourists guards at the Dushanbe airport. the corners, we opened the
Dar''ya
Khorugh
mir
''yal Po
Nizhniy Dar
Termiz Feyzabad
Pyandzh ni
Am
Pa
venture into the country’s Pamir Still, we had a problem: The map JPEGs in OziExplorer,
u
''yal
Dar
D
ary
Dar
ya
a
Kondoz
-ye
Eshkashern Lasht
Mazar-e
Qon
Sharil
du
z
Afghanistan Pakistan
Mountains, in part because no maps used Soviet coordinates, which then created for each
r
Kuna
Gilgi
t 36
Baghlan Gilgit
one knows where to go. There so the Western readings on my map a grid that my GPS
are no up-to-date guidebooks, GPS wouldn’t help us find our lo- could read. That allowed me to crumbs led us through a 10-day
and nary a map store. cation on the maps. A friend at mark the coordinates of way- trek, navigating a 15,000-foot
That didn’t stop my friend Lars the United Nations in Dushanbe points along our route—river pass to become the first Western-
and me from buying tickets to saved the day with a program he crossings, glaciers, peaks—and ers in 12 years to enter the
Tajikistan last summer. Before our had on his PC called OziExplorer, download them into the GPS unit. lovely valleys above the village
TECH SUPPORT
GROK
JANUARY 14
0:23: Dick Trentman and Dick
Fredrick, acting on Marsden’s request,
respond that even with clear Kansas
skies, they can’t find AL00667
anywhere near the predicted Earth-
impacting orbit.
FYI
2:19: Still concerned, Steve Chesley in-
forms Chapman, Yeomans and Harris
that of 819 orbits he calculated, as
many as 40 percent predict impact.
He also notes that the asteroid ap-
pears to be 30 meters wide—small
enough so that it would explode high
FLIRTING WITH DISASTER
in the atmosphere, but, according to For several tense hours this past
some studies, large enough to cause January, a group of NASA and
damage on the ground. amateur astronomers frantically
4:30: Chesley and company receive an searched for asteroid 2004AS1.
e-mail from Colorado-based amateur
C O U R T E S Y G R E AT S H E F F O R D O B S E R VAT O R Y, U K
Brian Warner, who, despite an exhaus- Garreth Wilson adjusted their soft- There’s no official protocol yet for
tive search, can’t find AL00667. ware so that it will alert the as- what to do if they had confirmed that
15:20: After analyzing a new crop of tronomer who is posting new asteroid the asteroid was headed for Earth—
data, MPC astronomers find that the data when one of the potential orbits just a telephone chain extending from
asteroid, now catalogued as 2004AS1, outlines a collision course. But the real MPC to Yeomans and NASA NEO
was 20 million miles away from benefit of the events may have been chief Lindley Johnson, and eventually
Earth—far off the impact trajectories. the test of NASA’s amateur astronomy on up to administrator Sean O’Keefe
The threat is officially defused. network. Following the initial panic, and, if necessary, the president. But
MPC handled the situation correctly let’s hope that if the amateurs do spot
To prevent such panics in the fu- by actively seeking additional sight- an incoming asteroid, those phones
ture, Marsden and MPC programmer ings from the amateurs. start ringing quickly.—JOE BROWN
(CONTINUED FROM PAGE 82) a ’53 Dodge, ’52 Mercury headlight bezels the YMCA was around in 1954 (it turns
my apartment. The interior smells or hubcaps from a ’53 Oldsmobile Fiesta. out, though, that sit-ups and push-
good, with its high-grade upholstery. The Nash has turn signals, which ups aren’t a bad workout, and they’re
The automobile came into its own in were invented in the ’30s, but no auto- cheaper than a gym membership). That
the ’50s, becoming more than a means of matic transmission or, alas, power steer- evening, unable to order movie tickets
transport or a sign of affluence but a fash- ing.24 And that’s not the only thing that’s online, I arrive an hour early at the
ion statement, an expression of individu- missing. “We’re breaking every modern Ziegfeld, a glamorous single-screen
ality. “This wasn’t about going to Pep law,” says Shiller, who is president of the theater serving New York since 1927,
Boys and getting a bright yellow neo- Antique Automobile Association of to ensure I get a seat to Cold Mountain.
prene steering wheel cover,” Jeffrey Love, Brooklyn. “No seat belts, terrible fuel
a Los Angeles mechanic who specializes emissions.” If we were on the highway, DAY 7:
in classic car restoration, tells me over the we would get about 20 mpg and hit 70 DIETARY DISTRESS
phone. “It was guys going to the junkyard comfortably; here in the city, we get It’s ironic: Just when heart disease rates
and buying specific parts off cars”—like 10 mpg and lots of envious stares. began to decline due to a shift toward
headlight rims from a ’53 DeSoto, the After the joyride I find myself at a loss. healthy eating,26 the TV dinner, that
grille from a ’50 Mercury, side trim from I can’t go to yoga25 or the gym, since only enemy of the arteries, made its debut.27
24 Chrysler introduced hydraulic years, but the modern-day craze 100,000. In the 1950s, life insur- saving modern appliances and the
power steering in 1951, and by the that led to designer mats, hip hop ance companies, looking for ways fascination with the television. More
mid-’50s it was gaining popularity. soundtracks, and model Christy to shell out less money, embarked than 10 million TV dinners were
The ’39 Oldsmobile was first to fea- Turlington in the lotus position on on a campaign to educate American sold in the first year of national dis-
ture an automatic transmission; in the cover of Time is fairly recent. women about the risks of fat and tribution. For 98 cents, customers
the mid-’50s the option became heart disease, and to encourage could choose among Salisbury
more common, as automakers tried 26 In 1950, approximately 585 out them to cook more healthful meals. steak, meatloaf and fried chicken.
to woo female drivers. of every 100,000 people in the U.S. The phenomenon was immortalized
developed heart disease. By 1999, 27 In 1953, Swanson responded to in 1987, when a TV dinner tray was
25 Yoga practice goes back 2,000 that figure fell to fewer than 268 per two postwar trends: the lure of time- placed in the Smithsonian Institution.
DAY 10:
MY GIRL + QUIET = BLISS
On the last night of my ’50s show, Piper
and I stay in and nest. We are reading—
something I have been doing a lot more
of—while David Garland’s Saturday
night public radio show, Spinning on Air,
plays in the background. I love these
quiet, seemingly hard-to-find moments
at home. The host queues up a record-
ing by a little-known artist named Con-
nie Converse whose name yields exact-
ly zero results if you Google her. As
Garland’s guest Gene Deitch explains,
Converse sang songs “in a way that they
just melted your heart . . . but was way
ahead of her time.” Garland spins a wist-
ful and romantic song that Converse
wrote herself, and that was recorded in
Deitch’s living room in 1954. “With the
grass so dark and tall,” Converse croons,
“we are lost past recall.”32
But not I. In just 12 hours, I’ll be
returning to the real world—a place
where my cellphone makes me jump,
SportsCenter dominates my living
room, 432 e-mails demand my reply
and my mom knows how to find me.
Once again I’ll be able to enjoy Show-
time’s The L Word on demand—along
with strong, overpriced coffee. For
now, though, I remain curled up with
my girl, two cats at our feet, AM/FM
radio softly illuminated, phone un-
plugged. For a few more hours it is
1954. And it’s a very good year. ■
OCTOBER 1919
FROM THE POPULAR SCIENCE ARCHIVES
In the 1890s, grape growers in Europe erected thousands of so-called hail can-
nons near their vineyards. The mouths of the guns were fitted with sheet-iron fun-
nels; farmers loaded them with gunpowder (but no projectiles) and fired into an
approaching storm. Theory held that excess cloud moisture condensed around
the smoke particles, forming rain instead of crop-damaging hail. But after dev-
astating hailstorms in 1902 and 1903, most hail cannons were dismantled,
and scientists pronounced them worthless. Some ideas, though, refuse to die.
Today hail-averse folks hurl sound waves at storms with acetylene-fired cannons,
hoping the noise will prevent hail. Says Roelof Bruintjes of the National Center
for Atmospheric Research: “There is no scientific basis to it.”—MARTHA HARBISON
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