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W eek 5: Price Segm entation 1 st, 2 nd, 3 rd degree discrimination Complete, direct, indirect discrimination To improve segmentation hedge Common hedges
Pricing same products differently for different segments 1. First: based on each W TP 1. Com plete: complete inform ation (1 st degree) 1. Correlation with driver of value 1. Custom er dem ographics 5. Product-engineered
1. Im prove profits (increase prem ium price) 2. Second: based on quantity purchased 2. Direct: based on specific attributes (age, gender) 2. Inform ation needed for im plem entation 2. Tim e of purchase 6. Quantity purchased
2. Im prove num ber of custom ers served (reduce entry price) 3. Third: different segments different prices 3. Indirect: based on proxy (colour of credit card) 3. Enforceability 3. Purchase location 7. Custom er usage
Challenges Strategic, tactical 4. Cultural acceptability 4. Buyer self-identification 8. Negotiation
• Acceptable and enforceable m eans to charge differently 1. Tactical (short-term ): capture m arginal Positioning statement
• Segm entation hedge to lim it transferability 2. Strategic (long-term ): price structure itself enables difference custom ers to pay different prices To [target]… Our [brand] is… The [product]… That is [point of difference]… Because [rationale]
Unlawful behaviour W eek 6: Pricing & Law Positive effects Price Prom otions Trade-offs Centralized executives → explicit knowledge
Discount
1. Price fixing 1. Price segm entation (↑ vol to lower W TP, ↑ price to higher W TP • Coupon FV, processing fee, price, m argin Field executives → im plicit/tacit knowledge
2. M arket size and share (brand switching) Managem ent
• Horizontal (Illegal per se, by reason) • Redem ption rates, type of custom er, segm entation hedges Tools
• Vertical (Illegal by rule of reason) +0120345 +6787
Negative effects • Breakeven Incremental Unit Sales per Redemption = • Net price band, net price paid by m arket variables, price waterfall
• Resale price encouragem ent (Illegal by reason) +0120345 9:6;38
1. Im perfect segm entation hedge Discount decision management
2. Non-price vertical (Illegal by reason) 2. Custom er churn • If % of increm ental sale users > the above, then it is efficient
1. Decision rights escalated ($, type, discount purpose)
• Custom er and territorial restrictions • Custom ers switch back = high Acq cost, lose Retn profits Inst. Rebate Value < Mail-in Rebate Value x Mail-in Rebate Redem. Price 2. Decision incentives (vol-, rev-, profit-based)
• ∴ use m ain area of resp., quota, profit passover • Higher cross-R = stronger brand = harder to steal Products that should avoid EDLP channels Sales Credit = [Target P = k(Target P – Actual P] x Vol
• Product restrictions (refusal to sell) 3. Reference price effect (deep and frequent resets price) 1. Com plex products <
3. Exclusionary/predatory pricing (violates Sherman Act) 4. Loss of price credibility • Kicker k ≥ +658:3=>8365 ,0:435 (%)
2. Those that require learning
• Tying, and below -cost pricing (Illegal by reason) 5. Increase of price sensitivity (m arket growth from advertising) 3. High-priced products (benefit from salespeople interactions)
4. Price/prom otional discrim ination (Robinson-Patman Act) Design (Targeted, Tem porary, Special, Irregular: Tim e + Depth)
Price structure: m ethod by which total transaction prices are determ ined Tying arrangement: durable + consum able (dom inant)
Singapore Competition Act 2004; prohibits
Coupons → reach broader audience (direct m ail, web, newspaper) • Price = Com m odity price (dom inant cost) + Fabrication charges • Switching barrier for consum able (patent)
1. Anti-com petitive agreem ents Trial offers → ↓ price, ↓ size, ↓ functionality / partial functionality
2. Abuse of dom inant position • Redem ption rates, type of custom er, segm entation hedges Block tariff
Rebates → reduces tendency to resell
3. M ergers which substantially lessen com petition Two-part tariffs : entrance (dom inant source of profits) + metered • Capture higher prices from light users
Prom otional bundling → less effect on resetting expectations B!"#
• PEA = CD × S − P,
C • Capture profitable m arginal rev from heavy users
PTotal = PA + PB 3 rd degree discrim ination → W TP for add-on vs no add-on Inclined tariff (for negative externalities)
Independent com plem ents (each provides benefits own its own) • q 10E = max demand per customer, S = max utility derived
Tying arrangement %CMA < %CMB • Discourage use as certain resources are lim ited
Tied com plem ents (provide little benefits without base product) • PM = marginal cost
Two-part tariff %CMA > %CMB 9 W eek 7: Price Structures
S3 + V3 Relatively constant %CMA ≈ %CMB • πF = PA + q× P, − V , q = q 10E× 1 − D$
P3 = Add-on Pricing
2 Cross-R is negative for com plem ents Type 1 Periodic price△ | Seller sets, buyer accepts/reject | ↓ transaction cost, fair
D D D D
• V3 < S3 , V3 < P3 , % ≥ & , % ≥ & , A = base, B = add-onInfluences to price levels in addition to price segmentation Type 1 Dynamic pricing | Seller updates often OR price customization | gather info = accurate W TP, ↓ menu costs, check prices
G% G& 9% 9&
1. Signpost-effect (hetero. store form at and cust. preferences, cust. Type 2 Specified/non-specified negotiation | customize prices, but takes longer, focus on price, must have authority
Dem and heterogeneity uniform ly distributed 0 to 1 Type 3 Auction (B2B, B2C, C2C) | Seller sells, buyers bid | tailored prices, item always sold, gather buyers, ↓ search and access costs
9 select based on exp. utility, prices signalled via adv. P)
• Fraction of market that would purchase i = 1 − D' 2. Optional equipm ent effect (lower base, high-m argin optional) Type 3 Reverse auction | Buyer specifies, sellers bid | ↓ acquisition costs for com plex and com m odity products by ↑ seller base
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3. Network externalities (two-sided m arket) Type 3 Exchange | Electronic marketplace | dynamic updated buy/sell list, global scale, ↓ variability of prices (m arket-determ ined)
+ +
Q S * − V* S , − V,
Total pro;it π add − ons = + 4. Lock-in with com plem entary Price bundling: ≥2 distinct products (contrasting dem and) at single price
4 S* S, Cust. Hetero Marginal Cost Prospect
• 2 segm ents, 0 m arginal costs, equally opposing reservation prices
Versioning: diff. versions of sim ilar product sold sim ultaneously Consum er utility valuations → constant else cannibalize • Use pure bundling → only bundled offering is available Add-on W ide preferences Applicable to both Discourage
• >2 segm ents, or failure to m eet above assum ptions high and low
• PH)I > = < PH base + PI add − on Consum er behaviour → divergent to target high and low W TP
• Use mixed bundling → both independent offerings + bundle
• Assum es benefits can be added m onotonically, heterogeneity sought Incentivise towards best version → convergent differential
• M ixed bundling is favoured when Version Hetero along Applicable to both Encourage
is one dim ension Calculations for versioning
1. Each product in bundle has an independent m arket dom inant dim ension high and low
• Trade-off: M arket exp. v Loss of higher value sales via cannibalisation DN)DM)GM
• Optimal price for Improved version P -H = Bundling 2. M arkets for each product overlap
Should not shift all custom ers to highest version as C 3. Consum ption of one does not subtract from the other Bundle Contrasting N/A to high M C Encourage
1. Leave room for com petitor below • S 1 = Value assigned by least-dem anding custom ers preference
W eek 9: 4. Distribution of RP is broad and contrasting
• S * = Value assigned by m ost-dem anding custom ers
2. M eans highest-version price is too low Versioning 5. Low m arginal costs
• V* = M arginal cost
3. Can lead to hyper-com petition Subscip Loyal v Variety Applicable to both Encourage
- DN)DO)GO Bundle design P(A+B) < PA + PB
Influences • Optimal price for Improved version P K = seekers high and low
C • Promotional bundle is more effective than per-unit promotions
• Sub-additive M C: ↓ costs to deliver sam e level of benefits = ↓ price • M arginal cust. Indiff. Btw not buying and buying base
• Leverage effect: savings on most preferred item partially allocated to the rest YM Based on tim ing or High fixed; low M C -
for sam e benefits = ↑ dem and 9% %D(
version = t J,H = D (↑ in W TB the rest) other driver
• Prospect theory → bundles pain com pared to add-ons %
• Brand betrayal limits bundle size (quantity requirement too high = bad)
• Versioning: Pay PA or PTotal, where PTotal > PA • M arginal cust. Indiff. Btw buying base version A and 1. Reference-dependent model → savings associated with least desired
9) %9% Π(bundle) = (PA – VA)(QA – ∆QA→T – ∆QAB→T ) + (PB – VB )(QB –
• Add-on: Pay PA or PA + PB Upgrade version T = t H,K = D %D • Evaluate each item , then determ ine W TP
• Use m ktg com m s, packaging, visual differential
) %
2. W eighted-additive model → savings associated with m ost desired item ∆QB→T – ∆QAB→T ) + (∆QA→T + ∆QB→T + ∆QAB→T + ∆QNew )(PA – VA +
• % who would buy base at optim al price = t H,K − t J,H PB – VB – ẟP) – F
• Extrem e aversion: Good, BETTER, Best (goldilocks pricing) • Evaluate starting from most desired item
• Too m any versions = difficult to m ake trade-offs • % who would buy im proved at optim al price = 1 − t H,K CMH x ∆QH + CMI x ∆QI
. D )D %G Q D %G %(D %G ) Q Legal issue: (1) market power (2) used to add value or block competitor
QK >
• W ide range = hard to believe • * = P N DM M + O OD %D M M
π Π(solo) = (PA – VA)QA + (PB – VB )QB – F CMH + CMI − ẟP
• Present in descending price order M O M
Subscription: series converted into a single purchase decision Yield Management: drives prices higher as tim e of use of product approaches
• Separates tim ing of paym ent from consum ption • Uses timing and expectations of demand to price segm ent the m arket
W eek 10: Subscription
• Reduce transaction costs • Dem and m ay be derived on specific factors external to product offered
Total period price (TPP): sum price of all item s in subscription (upper bound) • Preconditions: (1) Perishable and lim ited inventory (2) High fixed costs, low M C (3) Advance
• Price lower: (1) m ore profitable (2) incentivise otherwise indifference purchase (4) M any potential custom ers (5) W TP changes over tim e depending on dem and
driver (6) Different m arket segm ents exist (7) Firm can sell a variety of prices (fare classes)
Customer period value: sum price paid given actual behaviour (lower bound)
• Individual price P3 and variable costs V3 • Fare classes define different prices at which units of capacity is sold
• Booking control/limit (BL): # of units available at a given fare class
• Custom er retention rate r 5%< and applicable discount rate 1 + d 5%<
Fixed allotment → fixed capacity for each fare class W eek 11:
• Acquisition costs A and retention costs R
• M axim izes revenue only if lowest-priced fare class is filled first Dynam ic
• CPV(individual) = CPV(Subscription) = P – X
Dynamic nesting → each fare class has a BL, reduces as seats are sold Pricing
Consum er behaviour and ∆value proposition m oderates the prices in the range
• BL ↓ from m ost expensive to least expensive fare class
• Higher than CPV due to increases in total benefits for custom ers
• ∆VP can increase econom ic value, thus enabling higher prices (SaaS)
• b< ≥ bC ≥ bx ≥ ⋯ b5
Customer lifetime value: PV of future CF to custom er during entire relationship
• b<= m axim um num ber of seats/capacity
: • Protection level: # of seats held for a fare class and the higher fare classes
• CLV = P3 − V3 − A + P7 − V7 − R • y3 = b< − b3)<
<)t%:
v 9- %G- %w :./0 • y< ≤ yC ≤ yx ≤ ⋯ y5%<
• CPV = P3 − V3 − A + ∑5uC <)t ./0
: : v%< Account for no-shows → BL ↑ by expected # of no-shows
• CPV = P3 − V3 − A + P7 − V7 − R 1− M anage cancellations → add seats back to BL of appropriate fare classes
<)t%: <)t
• For subscriptions, P7 = ] Capacity allocation: defines BL for relevant fare classes
• Certain dem and → set PL to expected dem and
• CLV influence decisions outside of subscriptions (2-sided markets)
• Uncertain dem and → use norm al distribution function, µ and σ
Behavioural effects • CPF: probability dem and is ≤ a given level
• Market segmentation: Loyal (↑r = ↑ CPV) v Variety seekers • 1 – CPF: probability dem and is ≥ a given level
• -ve impact of lock-in means subscription price < TPP to incentivise • 1 – G(i – 0.5, µ, σ)
• Increased consumption patterns: (1) future consumption = 0/low Decision tree
marginal price (2) address information asymmetries (overall utility) • Dilution: selling a unit at discount when dem and exists at full fare
• Overestimation bias: overestimate own future +ve behaviour • Spoilage: holding onto unit for full fare when dem and does not exist
• Higher frequency of payments = higher usage and retention • Discount optim al booking → further ↑ in BL has 0/-ve im pact on revenue
Tactically → prom otions effective at capturing m arginal custom ers • 1 − Gy C − B a = 92 , C − B a = PL
93
Strategically → best to use other levers (segm entation, brand positioning) Reacting to price reductions, consider Price points Mature → m arket growth from productivity
• New price structure often leads the rest to catch up
• Direct costs and benefits • Intro/Growth → entry products ↓ rapidly EOS/L, netw • Custom er preference techniques and EPO Intertemporal
Goal W eek 12: • Secondary consequences (others cust., price war) • M aturity/Decline → prom otions, cost savings = ↓ P • Com petitive pressures and custom er hetero
• ↑ value without as m uch cost Com petition • Strategic position (firm s with cost advantage) • Higher-end/niche ↑ P → coupon, discount, prom otion
• ↓ cost without as m uch value • EOS/S/L captured
Initiating price reductions Intro → Revolutionary product fulfils latent dem and
• ↑ reaction tim e to seize opportunities • Price m ay be strategic focus on the firm • Tinkerers appreciate product properties Decline, strategies
Price war is bad • Gauge com petitive response (visibility, threat, • Visionaries (early adopt) seek a strategic breakthrough 1. Harvest
• (1) Expensive (2) Shakeout rare (3) Re-entry priority, organisational inertia) • Use EVM and price skim m ing 2. Consolidate (acquire harvesters)
Product Life Cycle
Structural drivers of price war M anaging price actions Growth 3. Focus (exit weakness, invest in strength)
1. Num ber of com petitors • (1) Expensive (2) Shakeout rare (3) Re-entry • Early m ajority: very value-sensitive, quite price-sensitive
2. Com petitor’s m anagerial m aturity • Late m ajority/laggards: reluctant, highly price-sensitive
Managing price actions
3. High fixed costs, low m arginal costs 1. Price signalling: (1) highly public (2) credible reasons • Use conjoint, add-ons, bundling
4. Savings (EOScale/Scope/Learning) • Upward price expansion by including different m arket
2. Tit-for-tat pricing: m atching every price action
5. Network externalities (2-sided m arket/com plem entary products) segm ents
• Convince them battle is not worth fighting