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NAMA : SULTON ARDI SADEWO

Business cycle is the most powerful tool to measure economic performance

Do you agree or disagree with the statement?

YES I STRONGLY AGREE, BECAUSE Economic cycles are economic fluctuations that hit national
production, income, employment opportunities, which usually last for 2 to 10 years, which are marked
by contraction and expansion in all economic sectors. The economic cycle is unavoidable, what can be
done is to manage the cycle so that its negative impact can be minimized, while trying to maintain a
stable cycle pattern to increase. In a sense, the deviation of the up and down movement of output is
attempted not to be too wide, while the long-run trend of output continues to increase.

The vertical axis in the diagram is the real output. While the straight line is the natural output trend. In
the beginning, the fluctuations in output were very large, because the cycle deviations during the period
were very large. However, due to good management, deviations in the next period will be smaller, while
the economy is able to maintain long-term growth because natural output continues to increase.

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