Threat classification / Capability

Management

Dr. Roger Schäfer

Bolzano, Italy

December, 2019
Contains confidential proprietary and trade secrets information of CNH Industrial. Any use of this work without express written consent is strictly prohibited.
Outline

 Overview of process for procurement in Germany

 Threat analysis form scenarios  mission requirements

 Capability Analysis

 Functional and technical requirements

 Briefing of threat analysis from center of C-IED

December, 2019 Threat classification / Capability Managements 2

Evaluation and Assessment of Protection Technologies
German Approach

Capability analysis

Phase 1
based on scenarios and
vignettes
(general approach)

Phase 2
December, 2019 Threat classification / Capability Managements
Evaluation and Assessment of Protection Technologies
Scenario Development and Threat Analyses

Delivering foresight for various purposes

Development and implementation of a
methodologically based approach to provide input
for planning, experimentation, procurement and

TODAY
training
FUTURE
Customer: German and international Ministries of Defence

Source: IABG
Background
Scenarios
Scenarios describe various possible paths into the
future. They are a simplified description of linked and Thorough analysis and detailed documentation
relevant data in a hypothetical or real environment.
Services
 Derivement of tasks & missions
 Evaluation of options for missions / actions
 Analysis of requirements & solutions
 Identification and assessment of risks & threats
 Preparation and execution of workshops,
documentation

Results
DS-1136/0917

Source: IABG
Quality assured, efficient and reusable input for
planning, experimentation, procurement and training
December, 2019 Threat classification / Capability Managements
Evaluation and Assessment of Protection Technologies
Stepwise approach

1. Threat analysis from findings in missions

2. Tactical threat classification based on missions / Scenarios / vignettes

3. Transfer of functional to technical requirements and classification of

technical threats

4. Derivation of surrogates or specification of technical threats for

appropriate test standards

5. Specification of technical requirements in tender documents

December, 2019 Threat classification / Capability Managements 5

Evaluation and Assessment of Protection Technologies
German Approach

Overall threat evaluation Threats from UAV / UAS

0%

9%
15% 18%
Frontal Frontal
27%
Flanke Flanke
24%
Dach Dach
18%
Heck Heck
8% Underbelly 48% Underbelly
33%

Threats from AIFV

0%

27% Frontal
35% Flanke
Dach
0%
Heck
Underbelly
38%

December, 2019 Threat classification / Capability Managements

Evaluation and Assessment of Protection Technologies
German Approach

Transfer of threats form vignettes to

technical threats according to
STANAG 4569

Combines results from

threat workshops with
threat level from
STANAG

December, 2019 Threat classification / Capability Managements

Process for procurement

Capablity to evaluate

R&D Phase 1 R&D Phase 2 R&D Phase 3

Pre-Phase Analysis Phase 1 Analysis Phase 2 Realisation Nutzung

FFF Decision GeNu

Analysis &
Techn. Requirements Mission Planning
Evaluation
Derived from FFF
Techn. Conzepts
Technology-
Support Decission Design Support
Combinations
Analysis of alternatives e.g. low vulnerability
Priorising of R&D

December, 2019 Threat classification / Capability Managements 8

Evaluation and Assessment of Protection Technologies
German Approach

 Definition of technical and functional requirements

• Functional requirements derived from capability analysis
• Technical requirements from applicable standards for testing and qualification

 Testing and qualification according to international best practice

• Technology samples
• Engineered target
• Full scale platform

 Homologation
• Environmental requirements
• Mechanical and chemical aspects
• Consideration Quality safety and Ageing

 Future challenges of technology performance against different threats

December, 2019 Threat classification / Capability Managements

Evaluation and Assessment of Protection Technologies
German Approach

Qualified
Product

OEM

December, 2019 Threat classification / Capability Managements

Evaluation and Assessment of Protection Technologies
Stepwise approach

1. Threat analysis from findings in missions

2. Tactical threat classification based on missions / Scenarios / vignettes

3. Transfer of functional to technical requirements and classification of

technical threats

4. Derivation of surrogates or specification of technical threats for

appropriate test standards

5. Specification of technical requirements in tender documents

December, 2019 Threat classification / Capability Managements 11

Evaluation and Assessment of Protection Technologies
Canadian Army

December, 2019 Threat classification / Capability Managements 12

Any Questions?

December, 2019 Technical Threats 13