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Chapter 6
Investment strategy
and process
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Learning objectives
This chapter will enable the reader to comprehend the strategic issues in
investment decisions and will give an understanding of the investment process
and related challenges. More specifically, this chapter will:
• Examine the strategic issues in investment decisions.
• Explain the investment process and related challenges.
• Explore how strategy shapes investment decisions.
• Explain issues and challenges in new technology and environmental
projects.
• Explore the investment decision and control process.
• Evaluate the process of post-audit reviews.
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STRATEGIC CONSIDERATIONS
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Figure 6.1
McKinsey–GE portfolio matrix
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Figure 6.1
McKinsey–GE portfolio matrix
• The a>ractiveness of the market or industry is indicated by a number of
factors including the size and growth of the market, ease of entry, degree of
competition and industry profitability for each strategic business unit.
• Business strength is indicated by a firm’s market share and its growth rate,
brand loyalty, profitability, and technological and other comparative
advantages.
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Figure 6.1
McKinsey–GE portfolio matrix
1 Invest in and strengthen businesses operating in relatively attractive markets.
This may mean heavy expenditures on capital equipment, working capital,
research and development, brand development and training.
2 Where the market is somewhat less attractive, and the business is less
competitive, the optimal business strategy is to get the maximum out of
existing resources. The financial strategy is therefore to maximise or maintain
cash flows, while incurring capital expenditures mainly of a replacement
nature. In that case, tight control over costs and management of working
capital leads to higher levels of profitability and cash flow.
3 The remaining businesses have little strategic quality and may, in the longer
term, be run down or divested unless action can be taken to improve their
attractiveness.
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Figure 6.2
Typical progression of product over
time
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Figure 6.3
Investment strategy
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Figure 6.3
Investment strategy
• Businesses offering high growth and the possibility of acquiring market
dominance are the main areas of investment (‘stars’ and ‘question marks’).
• Once such dominance is achieved, the growth rate declines and investment
is necessary only to maintain market share. These ‘cash cows’ become
generators of funds for other growth areas.
• Business areas that have failed to achieve a sizeable share of the market
during their growth phase (‘dogs’) become candidates for divestment and
should be evaluated accordingly. Any cash so generated should be applied
to high-growth sectors.
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STRATEGIC CONSIDERATIONS
• Shareholder value analysis (SVA) is a valuable planning tool and guide for
strategic decision-making. It is basically an extension of the NPV approach
where the focus is on business units, strategies and financial goals. A
business is viewed as a portfolio of investment projects, but the emphasis is
placed on maximising the value of strategic business units, not merely that
of the capital projects within them.
• Large-scale infrastructure projects, such as the construction of tunnels,
roads and power stations, are often funded through project finance. Here
the operation is financed and controlled separately from the operations of
the constructor or user.
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ADVANCED MANUFACTURING
TECHNOLOGY (AMT) INVESTMENT
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AMT example: Foster Engineering Ltd
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AMT example: Foster Engineering Ltd
• The two quantified benefits are as follows:
1 A reduction in the number of skilled workers from 50 to 15. The annual cost
of a skilled worker is £20,000 (savings of 35 * £20,000 = £700,000 p.a.).
2 Savings in scrap and re-work of £50,000 p.a.
The company requires all projects to offer a positive net present value
discounted at 15 per cent.
• The accountant produces the following evaluation showing that the FMS
proposal has a negative NPV of £159,000 and fails to meet corporate
investment criteria:
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AMT example: Foster Engineering Ltd
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ADVANCED MANUFACTURING
TECHNOLOGY (AMT) INVESTMENT
A three-stage approach to analysing AMT capital projects:
1 Does the project fit well within the company’s overall corporate strategy?
2 Does the DCF analysis, based on the quantifiable elements of the decision,
justify the investment outlay?
3 Where the net present value calculated in stage 2 is negative, examine the
shortfall.
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ENVIRONMENTAL ASPECTS OF
INVESTMENT
The steps involved in evaluating projects with environmental implications are:
1 Evaluate the projects using conventional capital appraisal methods.
2 Identify and incorporate statutory environmental costs as part of the
evaluation.
3 Assess the costs and benefits of other environmental measures. For example,
introducing anti-pollution measures should help reduce compensation claims.
4 Specify the internal controls to be introduced to ensure that pollution, etc., is
minimised during construction and implementation.
5 Assess the impact of the decision on shareholder wealth, ethical and social
responsibility goals.
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Table 6.1
The importance of non-financial factors
related to strategic investment projects
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Figure 6.4
A simple capital budgeting system
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Determination of the budget
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Search for, and development of,
projects
• Questions to be asked at the identification stage include the following:
1 How are project proposals initiated?
2 At what level are projects typically generated?
3 Is there a formal process for submitting ideas?
4 Is there an incentive scheme for identifying good project ideas?
• At this early stage, a preliminary screening of all investment ideas is usually
conducted.
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Search for, and development of,
projects
• Screening proposals addresses such questions as the following:
1 Is the investment opportunity compatible with corporate strategy? Does it
fall within a section of the business designated for growth?
2 Are the resources required by the project available (technical expertise,
human resource, finance, etc.)?
3 Is the idea technically feasible?
4 Is the idea socially acceptable?
5 Is it an environment-friendly project?
6 What evidence is available to suggest that it is likely to provide an acceptable
return?
7 Are the risks involved acceptable?
• As the quality of data used at the screening stage is generally poor, the
simple payback method is frequently used at this stage because it offers a
crude assessment of project profitability and risk.
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Search for, and development of,
projects
• At the definition stage of the capital investment process, detailed
specification of the investment proposal involves the collection of data
describing its technical and economic characteristics.
• A suggested investment proposal classification is given here:
• Replacement proposals are justified primarily by the need to replace assets
that are nearly exhausted or have excessively high maintenance costs.
• Cost reduction proposals (which may also be replacement proposals) are
intended to reduce costs through addition of new equipment or
modification to existing equipment.
• Expansion or improvement proposals relate to existing products and are
intended to increase production, service and distribution capacity, to
improve product quality or to maintain and improve the firm’s competitive
position.
• New product proposals refer to all capital expenditures pertaining to the
development and implementation of new products.
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Search for, and development of,
projects
• Strategic proposals are generated at senior management level and involve
expenditure in new areas, or where benefits extend beyond the investment
itself.
• Statutory and welfare proposals do not usually offer an obvious financial
return, although they may contribute in other ways, such as enhancing the
contentment, and hence productivity, of the labour force.
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Evaluation and authorisation
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Evaluation and authorisation
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Monitoring and control
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POST-AUDITING
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POST-AUDITING
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POST-AUDITING
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POST-AUDITING
• What guidelines can we offer to managers who wish to carry out post-audit
from scratch for the first time or to overhaul an existing post-audit system?
1 When introducing and operating a post-audit, emphasise the learning
objectives and minimise the likelihood of its being viewed as a ‘search for the
guilty’.
2 Clearly specify the aims of a post-audit. Is it to be primarily a project control
exercise, or does it aim to derive insights into the overall project appraisal
system?
3 When introducing post-audits, start the process with a small project to
reveal, as economically as possible, the difficulties that need to be overcome in
a major post-audit.
4 Include information about a pre-audit in the project proposal. When the
project is submi>ed for approval, the sponsors should be required to indicate
what information would be required to undertake a subsequent post-audit.
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Questions 3
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