Population Growth

and Rural-Urban
Migration :
Penyebab, Konsekuensi, dan Kontroversi
The
Demographic
Transition :
Case in Western
Europe

 Stage 1: High birthrates and death rates

 Stage 2: Continued high birthrates, declining death rates
 Stage 3: Falling birthrates and death rates, eventually stabilizing
The
Demographic
Transition :
Case in
Developing
Countries
Share of
Indonesian
population in 27,94%
21,11%

2020, by
generation
Demographic
Bonus?
Demographic
Bonus?
Demographic
Bonus?
Urbanization :
Population
Growth

Three factors that cause urbanization are:

• natural population growth (35-40 percent),
• rural-urban migration (25-30 percent) and
• the reclassification of rural into urban area (30-40 percent).
 In addition, the National Development Planning
Board’s (Bappenas) also classified the autonomous
cities (Kota) based on population size referring to the
urban area’s classification in Law No. 26/2007 on
Spatial Planning.
Urbanization :
Cities
Categories These include following categories:
• i) Metropolitan city with the population above 1 (one) million,
• ii) Large City with the population between 500,000 to 1 million,
• iii) Medium city with the population between 100,000 to 500,000
• iv) Small city with population between 50,000 to 100,000.
 Fertility in Developing Countries: The
Malthusian and Household Models
Urbanization : Trends and Migration Dilemma
Subject to
Discuss The Role of Cities and Urban Giantism Problem
(next meeting) The Urban Informal Sector and Policy Apporach
Economic Theory of Rural-Urban Migration