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Abstract
This paper focuses on modeling the strength of suspension bridge cables made of parallel high-strength
wires. Previously proposed models are briefly reviewed first. It is pointed out that ductility limits and their
uncertainty have not been adequately covered in these models. A new probabilistic model is then
proposed, using the Monte Carlo simulation method to cover wires’ ductility limits and associated
uncertainty. Application of the model is illustrated by an example. The results agree with physical test
observations well. This also shows that it is important to acquire stress-strain relation in wire sample
testing and use it in estimating cable strength. Further work is underway to evaluate the proposed model
for application to cables with a larger number of wires.
Introduction
For cable evaluation, the most extensive test data reported to date are from the
Williamsburg Bridge in New York City (Steinman 1988). Using this set of data, Matteo
et at (1994) developed a method to estimate the cables’ strength for evaluating their
safety. It perhaps is the first systematic attempt reported in this area. For load sharing
among wires in a cable, Matteo et al (1994) used two models to describe the cable
Perry (1999) proposed another set of models for cable strength estimation. The Type III
extreme distribution was used to model wire strength uncertainty and the same concept
was used for averaging wire properties over the cable cross section. Namely, no
distinction was made among deteriorated and intact wires in modeling wire strength.
Further, the same ductile model as in (Matteo et al 1994) was used as one model. The
second model was for brittle wires and it used the statistics for the so-called Daniels
Model (1945). That model is advantageous in that the threads (or wires) are modeled as
brittle material. Namely, there is a strength limit for a thread (or wire) to break. On the
other hand, the Daniels Model was developed with an assumption that all threads in the
system have an identical probability distribution and there exists no deformation limit for
the threads to elongate. This assumption may be reasonable for textile fibers for which
the model was originally developed, but is questionable for wires in a suspension bridge
cable.
Betti et al. (1998, 1999) proposed a model that plausibly addressed the role of sequential
wire breakage in the process of cable failure. They also provided test results showing
that cable strength (by testing) is indeed lower than that predicted by the ductile model
discussed above - by more than 10 percent. Although the cable force was first described
as a function of strain in the proposed model, the subsequent simplification in the
analysis treated the cable force as a function of only the wire forces with the variable of
wire strain excluded. This simplification was based on an assumption that the wire
stress-strain curves are essentially identical. In reality, this may hardly be the case, as
shown in test data (Steinman 1988).
The above models focused on a section of the cable, believed to be the weakest section.
This cable section is assumed to be clamped at its two ends. Clamping is provided by
bands connecting the cable and the suspensions. Based on field testing results, the length
of a clamped section is about 1 to 3 intervals between bands (Matteo et at. 1994,
Steinman 1988). The cable actually has a large number of these sections. Being a non-
redundant system, the cable may fail when any one of these sections fails. When these
sections are highly statistically correlated, the cable’s safety (which is a system-
reliability) is about equal to the smallest value of any section’s safety (which are the
component reliabilities). When the correlation between these sections is reduced (for
example, due to degradation), the system reliability decreases considerably if a large
number of sections are involved. This will decrease the system reliability possibly below
The failure of a cable under increasing load is a complex process, because the composing
wires interact with each other in sharing load and deformation. It is also a process with
uncertainty. For example, the strength and ductility-limit are not constant for all the
wires. A model for describing cable failure under load is proposed here. This model is
intended to provide a rational method for determining a nominal cable capacity for safety
evaluation. This model should also be used for understanding the cable capacity’s
expected value and uncertainty. Accordingly a probabilistic model is used here.
A wire segment may fail under a load due to either excessive force or excessive
deformation (possibly occurring in a local area). When any one of these two conditions is
realized, the segment fails. Ideally perfect ductility that permits a wire to yield without
strain limit does not exist. With this view, it is not difficult to state that all wires are
brittle with various levels of brittleness. The ductility limit is emphasized here, which
was not adequately covered in the previous models. Furthermore, associated
uncertainties are also addressed in this model.
A section of the cable is modeled here as a system of N wires in parallel, and each wire
consists of M segments. The mechanical properties of a segment can be described by its
stress-strain curve as shown in Fig.1 as an example for a wire segment extracted from the
Williamsburg Bridge (Bieniekw 1990). Under a load S, these N wires (if not broken) will
be subject to the same amount of deformation. Note that these wires may not carry the
same load (i.e., S is not equally shared by the wires) depending on the wires’ cross
sections, yield strengths, etc. Further, strain and thus deformation may not be uniformly
distributed along a wire, because the ductility of each segment may not be identical. As a
matter of fact, deformation may “concentrate” in certain segments where severe
deterioration has taken place, making them break earlier than other segments and wires.
Thus, when the load increases, a segment of wire will fail first due to excessive stress or
strain, then the wire containing this segment fails. The load carried by the broken wire
then has to be taken over by other wires in the cross-section. This process will continue
until all wires fail. The maximum load reached in this process is defined as the section’s
cable capacity. Note that there may be significant uncertainties in the capacities of these
segments and wires.
This model can be realized by computer simulation to include the interaction among
wires. For applying the proposed model to a cable with a large number (thousands) of
wires, over the cross-section of the cable, the wires need to be grouped according to their
behavior in strength and ductility, as well as the type and severity of deterioration. Then,
a number of wire samples need to be taken and physically tested, and statistics describing
the wire’s strength and ductility limits should be established for each group using these
in-situ samples. This cable section’s strength can be modeled using the Monte Carlo
simulation. Mechanical properties of the wires are treated as random variables for each
For a cable made of many sections, any one or more sections’ failure will lead to the
cable’s failure. This “chain” system’s reliability depends on the sections’ mutual
statistical dependence. The system (cable) reliability could be significantly reduced when
the sections’ correlation reduces and the number of sections becomes large (Fu 1994).
Above discussions for cable failure refer to one single time in the service life of a cable.
However, the strength of a cable reduces with time due to cable degradation. The stength
estimation for a cable should reflect its time-dependent degradation. For the proposed
model it is not difficult to update the wires’ strength and ductility limits at different times
when such information becomes available. Cable degradation is possibly influenced by a
variety of factors. Examples are atmospheric corrosion, pitting corrosion, fatigue
corrosion, stress corrosion, and hydrogen embritlement.
An Example
For simplicity and advantages of available test data, an example of cable with 7 wires are
included here for illustration. These wires were taken from the Williamsburg Bridge in
New York (Steinman 1988). Three wire samples were tested to obtain their stress-strain
curve. A typical example is shown in Fig.1. These curves consist of three stages. The
first stage exhibits a linear elastic behavior from the origin to point (ε1,σ1). The second
stage shows a nonlinear behavior (also inelastic in a later portion), starting at (ε1,σ1) and
ending at (ε2,σ2). The third one exhibits a linear stress-stain relation, starting at
(ε2,σ2) and ending at an ultimate strain εu. This linear relation is characterized by this
stage’s constant tangent marked as E2 in Fig.1. The wire test results are used here to
obtain the statistical parameters needed for the Monte Carlo simulation.
For estimating the ultimate strength of the 7-wire cables using the proposed model, a total
of 5 random variables are used in this example, namely, ε2, σ2, Ε2, εu, and A, where A is
the cross section of wire. Due to the limited data used here, the correlation of these
Conclusions
Previously proposed strength estimation models for suspension bridge cables do not
adequately cover the ductility limits of the wires. The model proposed herein uses a
probabilistic approach to taking this important aspect into account. The example shows
that the proposed model can reasonably predict the ultimate strength of cables, based on
comparison with physical test results. It highlights the importance for acquiring full
information on the stress-strain relation for wires. Further work is needed to evaluate the
proposed model for cables with a larger number of wires.
250
200 E2 εu
ε2, σ2
(ksi)
1 50
ε1, σ1
Stress
1 00
50
0
0 0.5 1 1 .5 2 2.5 3 3.5
Strain ε (%)
Acknowledgements
It is acknowledged that the work reported here was performed under support from the CULMA of Wayne
State University and the US Federal Highway Administration. This suport is gratefully appreciated.
References
Betti,R. and Bieniek,M.P. (1998) “The Condition of Suspension Bridge Cables”, Technical Report to
NYCDOT, NYS Bridge Authority, Port Authority of NY&NJ, Triborough Bridge &Tunnel Authority,
Columbia Univ., New York, NY