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CB Group 8 MBB in The Stock Market MBB Is One of 10 Banks Listed in The vn30 Portfolio With
CB Group 8 MBB in The Stock Market MBB Is One of 10 Banks Listed in The vn30 Portfolio With
GROUP HOMEWORK
Subject: Commercial Banking
Group : 08
Class : Investment Economics EEP 61
Instructor : Dr. Tran Phuoc Huy
HA NOI – 11/2021
GROUP HOMEWORK
Subject: Commercial Banking
Group : 08
Class : Investment Economics EEP 61
Instructor : Dr. Tran Phuoc Huy
HA NOI – 11/2021
GROUP 08
Name Student ID
TABLE OF CONTENTS
In the stock market, MBB is one of 10 banks listed in the VN30 portfolio with a
rather large proportion of 5.04%.
Below is the stock price and volume chart for the last 1 month, 6 months and 3
years of MBB
MBB's digital creative space - NEU Digital Hub has just built in lobby A2
The current Chairman of MB is Mr. Le Huu Duc and the General Director is
Mr. Luu Trung Thai
MBB started its operation in 1994 and last November 4th was the 27th
anniversary of the establishment of this bank. Up to now, MBB has become one of the
leading joint-stock commercial banks in Vietnam.
As of early 2020, MB Bank has been present in over 48 provinces and cities
across the country with more than 100 branches and more than 190 transaction offices.
Besides, MB also built an international network with a representative office in Russia
and two branches in Laos and Cambodia.
Like other commercial banks, Military Bank also provides the following
products and services:
- E-banking service MB
The origin of the establishment from the Ministry of Defense also speaks to the
prestige of Military Commercial Joint Stock Bank, so customers can be completely
assured when transacting here.
During its operation, MB Military Bank has achieved many great achievements,
like list below:
- MBBank App is the only digital banking App for customers in Vietnam to
win the title of "Sao Khue 2019".
Finally, during its operation, Military Bank has never encountered bad
information or bad cases that affected its reputation.
1. Liquidity
Casa ratio =
CASA stands for Current Account Savings Account, also known as demand
deposit.
CASA ratio of MBB increases from 33,9% to 37% over the period of 3
consecutive years 2018, 2019, 2020. A high Casa index means a lower cost of capital
inflows. When assessing a bank's Casa index, it is necessary to compare it with other
banks and the industry average. A high Casa index will help the bank improve the Net
Interest Margin ratio and have more competitive conditions for lending interest rates in
the market. On the other hand, this ratio also indirectly reflects the effectiveness of a
commercial bank's policies on product development, utility services, customer base
creation, etc.
The yield-to-total assets ratio is a formula that banks commonly use to gauge
the ratio of assets of a company that is actively generating income. Included in this
asset class are loans and leases, excluding interest income unearned interest income
MBB have a really high earning asset ratio which remain at 94 - 95%. This
propotion is a high percentage among banking institutions in VN.
80% to 90%. A loan-to-deposit ratio of 100 percent means a bank loaned one dollar to
customers for every dollar received in deposits it received. The reason MB Bank has
such a high rate is partly due to the influence of the covid-19 epidemic, however, it is
still not too worrisome.
Conversion coefficient of short-term capital. The higher the risk because the
bank is using a lot of short-term capital to lend medium and long-term loans.
MBB liability conversion ratio increased from 2.57 to 2.86 over a 3 years
period. Overall, the short-term liability conversion ratio is little bit high so there is
some solvency risk along with this.
2. Profitability
a. Net Interest Margin
2018 = 4.56% 2019 = 4.95% 2020 = 4.8%
Net interest margin (NIM) is a measurement comparing the net interest income
a financial firm generates from credit products like loans and mortgages, with the
outgoing interest it pays holders of savings accounts and certificates of deposit (CDs).
Expressed as a percentage, the NIM is a profitability indicator that approximates the
likelihood of a bank or investment firm thriving over the long haul.
Regarding NIM, MB Bank has not changed much after 3 years, growing slightly
from 4.56 % to 4.95 % after that decrease 4.8 % in 2020
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The figure shows us that in 2018 the Net noninterest margin index accounted for
3,5 % but then in 2019 it drops a bit to 2,5 %. Following in 2020, the Net noninterest
margin index strongly increase to 4,3 %
The operating margin measures how much profit a company makes on a dollar
of sales after paying for variable costs of production, such as wages and raw materials,
but before paying interest or tax. It is calculated by dividing a company’s operating
income by its net sales. Higher ratios are generally better, illustrating the company is
efficient in its operations and is good at turning sales into profit.
d. Earning spread
2018 = 3.48 2019 = 3.38 2020 = 3.54
In 2018 earning spread was 3.48 but then in 2019, this index remarkably
declined to 3.38. Fortunately, earning spread came back, with 3.54 stat in 2020.
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The labor productivity ratio is a metric expressing the number of work units
produced per time worked. productivity ratios essentially quantify output/input, with
input being time worked and output being work units.
Looking at the Employee Productivity Ratio index chart, we can see that this
stat grows better in each year, especially from 2019 to 2020, its quite a remarkable
development.
3. Risk
a. Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR)
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4. Market Ratio
a. Book Value Per Share or BVPS.
In theory, the book value of a share represents the total amount earned if the
liquidation of all assets is liquidated and after deducting all of the company's liabilities.
This will be the amount that creditors and shareholders of the company can receive in
the event of dissolved company, bankruptcy, et cetera.
This means that, assuming that in the event that the business in which you are
holding the stock is bankrupt, you will be paid a certain amount of money per share
that you are holding. The total amount you receive per share when your business went
bankrupt is the book value per share, or BVPS.
BVPS is calculated according to the formula
BVPS =
The Book Value per Share Index (BVPS) helps us see the value of each share if
the company pays off debt or defaults, implying what the company actually has now.
Returning to MB Bank's financial statements, I have calculated the value of MB
Bank's BVPS through 3 previous years. The table will show the values we've
calculated:
BVPS Uneven
Value %
2018 15,817
2019 17,150 1,333 8.43
2020 18,066 916 5.34
The chart below reflects the change in BVPS value year by year (from 2018 to 2020)
BVPS (VNĐ)
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Here we see, the BVPS index at MB tends to grow steadily over the years.
From 2018 to 2019, the BVPS index increased by about 1,300 VNĐ with a growth rate
of 8.4%. This is a positive signal for MB bank as well as investors who are holding
shares of this business. In addition, the growth rate of 8.43% is a good rate for
investors. This shows that the business situation of this business is quite good.
And from 2019 to 2020, the BVPS index continues to increase, from
VND17,150 (2019) to VND18,066 (2020) with a growth rate of 5.34%. Compared to
the 2018-2019 period, the BVPS in this period saw slower growth. This can be
influenced by the financial situation of the business or the business strategies that MB
Bank had set out. Despite this, the BVPS index still saw an increase in value, an
optimistic signal for investors. The steady growth of the BVPS index makes sense, in
the event of a corporate bankruptcy, the amount that investors receive per share is
trending upward year by year,which is a beneficial thing for investors who are holding
shares in MB.
b. P to B or PB ratio
This is a target that has a close relationship with the BVPS that we mentioned
above.
PB ratio =
Looking at the PB formula, we can see that the BVPS index is one of the two
indicators that make up the PB formula, supporting the calculation of the PB index.
PB ratio is used to compare the actual value of a stock against the book value of the
stock itself. It shows how much stock is worth the company's book value, or in other
words, the PB ratio indicates how much investors are willing to spend to own a
business capital.
Based on the formula, the table presents the pb value results that we had
calculated in 3 previous years:
PB Ratio Uneven
Value %
2018 1.23
2019 1.21 -0.02 -1.63
2020 1.27 0.06 4,96
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PB Ratio
1.28
1.26
1.24
1.22
1.2
1.18
1.16
2018 2019 2020
PB Ratio
Looking at the chart, we can see the change in the PB Ratio year by year.
Overall, MB Bank's PB is consistently greater than 1. This shows that the value of
stocks in the market is higher than the book value of the shares recorded by the
business. In other words, this makes sense that investors are willing to spend more
than 1 coin to own 1 capital of the business, here is MB Bank.
Back to the PB index at MB Bank, we can see that from 2018 to 2019, the PB
index has a slight but negligible decrease (down from 1.23 to 1.21). In the next the PB
saw a comeback, with a rate of nearly 5%. As stated above, the increase in the PB
index in the nearest period for the level of market expectations about mb bank's
business and development capabilities is trending upwards in the future. Because in
2020, the index indicates that investors are willing to spend nearly 2 coin to own 1 MB
Bank. This behavior comes from their positive expectations of MB Bank's business
development prospects.
However, if the PB is too high, investors should not buy. The reason is that the
market outlook is not always accurate. In some cases, businesses are overestimated for
their intrinsic strength as well as their ability to grow production and business,
resulting in the market value of stocks being much higher than their book value. This
does not affect investors well when analyzing and selecting stocks.
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The EPS is earnings per share, or the underlying profit per share.
For example, if a business has about 1 million shares outstanding, which
corresponds to the company's total earnings of $1 million, then a stock will have an
EPS of about $1.
Eps is calculated according to the formula:
EPS is one of the most important indicators when calculating stock prices.
Besides, it also plays an important role in the PE coefficient that you will present in the
next section.
We also calculated EPS in this table:
EPS Uneven
Value %
2018 3,094
2019 3,596 502 16.22
2020 3,329 -267 -7.42
EPS Ratio
3,700
3,596
3,600
3,500
3,400 3,329
3,300
3,200
3,094
3,100
3,000
2,900
2,800
2018 2019 2020
EPS Ratio
The figure shows that the index of EPS has fluctuated year by year.. In the
period from 2018-2019, the chart line sloped up, indicating the growth trend in the
EPS index in MB with an increase from nearly VND 3,100 to almost VND 3,600. This
is a positive development for a business like MB, a sustainable development.
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However, going to a later stage, we see a decrease of 267 units to 3,329. Although
there is a slight decrease in value but in general,the EPS index is quite good, showing
the positive business situation of MB, which tends to attract investors.
d. PE Ratio
P/E shows how many times a stock's current price is above its earnings, or how
much investors pay for a dollar of earnings. P/E is calculated for each stock and
averaged for all stocks, and this ratio is usually published in the press.
We have PE Ratio in MBBank from 2018 to 2020:
PE Uneven
Value %
2018 6.28
2019 5.78 16.22
2020 6.91 -267 -7.42
PE Ratio
7 6.91
6.8
6.6
6.4 6.28
6.2
6
5.78
5.8
5.6
5.4
5.2
2018 2019 2020
PE Ratio
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Looking at the chart, we can see that the bank maintains a low PE. However,
with a low PE ratio, it is not possible to conclude that this is a positive or negative
signal because there are many reasons for businesses to have low P/E ratios at a time.
Maybe the business is more efficient than before. As a result, earnings per share (EPS)
increased, resulting in a low P/E. In this case, it can be said that the stock is
undervalued and is an opportunity for us to buy. However, a low P/E could be due to
the business earning abnormal profits. But this return will not be sustainable. They do
not come from the core business and do not repeat in the future. Or because the
existing shareholders, they no longer see the development ability of the business,
should decide to sell to take profit that will causes stock prices to fall and leads to low
P/E ratio. In these cases, a low P/E ratio may be maintained for a while, but perhaps
the stock is not considered cheap, because the business's growth prospects are no
2018 1.22
2019 1.21
2020 1.27
Over the last 3 years, MB Bank's Market to Book Ratio has always been greater
than 1. It shows that the market value of MB Bank shares is higher than their book
value, thereby reflecting the period. Investors' expectations are high and the market for
this bank's stock, in other words, MBB's stock is being appreciated, in line with the
market's outlook for this stock in the future. The high rating shows that the bank is
doing quite well and positively, bringing many optimistic signals to investors.
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5. Dupont analysis
ROE = = x x . This also equals
= Profit Margin x Assets Turnover x Equity multiplier
Through the interpretation of ROE, it can be seen that this indicator is
composed of three main factors. The first is Profit after tax to sales or profit margin
ratio. Secondly, Assets Turnover. And the last one is Asset-to-equity ratio.
We can see that the profit margin of 2019 increased by about 4.8% compared to
2018 from 0.185 to 0.194, but by 2020, this index will decrease to 0.188, just a little
bit higher than 2018.
b. Asset turnover
margins tend to have low asset turnover. Similar to profit margin, if asset turnover
increases, a company will generate more sales per asset owned, once again resulting in
a higher overall return on equity.
Like the profit margin factor, MBB's asset turnover increased in 2019 but falled
in 2020. Specifically, the asset turnover index in 2018 was 0.091, in 2019 it reached 0.
and 0.089 in. This result is also understandable, because this is the time when the
covid-19 pandemic has a negative impact on the whole economy in general and banks
in particular.
c. Equity Multiplier
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In general, ROE of the last three years has not changed too much, only a few
units and still higher than 16 during the period.
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1. Capital Size
Capital size is the basis for maintaining the bank's business, and large capital
means that the ability to attract capital for investors in the bank has high potential and
is guaranteed.
As of December 31, 2020, Military bank's capital reached nearly 51,000 trillion VND.
With this amount of capital, MB Bank has the fourth largest capital scale out of 5
banks under consideration which are: Techcombank with (74.6 trillion VND), ACB
with (35.4 trillion VND), Vietcombank with (98.8 trillion VND), and VietinBank with
(85.9 trillion)
98.8
100
85.9
80 74.6
60 51
40 35.4
20
0
End of 2020
MB Bank TechcomBank ACB VietcomBank VietinBank
It can be seen that MB is one of the banks with the largest capital scale in
Vietnam, which proves its ability to maintain business and attract capital quite well. A
large capital size also gives MB the opportunity to increase its coverage all over
Vietnam.
2. Asset Quality
Asset quality reflects bad debt in each bank's asset structure, a bank's asset
quality is an important condition for making right investment decisions.
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MB Bank is in the top 5 banks with the lowest bad debt ratio in the banking
system in 2020 with 1.09%. However, compare with 4 other banks, the NPL ratio of
Techcombank, ACB, Vietcombank and Vietinbank was below 1.
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
End of 2020
Standard MB Bank TCB,ACB,VCB,VietinBank
3. Business Results
Business performance is an extremely important criterion to evaluate whether a
bank is able to compete and maintain growth in the coming time.
There are many indicators to evaluate a bank's business performance, however,
we choose the two most familiar and understandable ones, which are ROE and ROE.
The first is the ROA indicator. The bank's ROA is at a fairly high level in the
banking system in Vietnam. In 2020, ROA of MB Bank is 1.90%, while Techcombank
is 3.06%, VietinBank is 1.06%, ACB is 1.86%, Vietcombank is 1.45%.
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ROA(%)
3.5
3.06
3
2.5
2 1.9 1.86
1.45
1.5
1.06
1
0.5
0
In 2020
MB Bank TechcomBank ACB VietcomBank VietinBank
Next is the ROE indicator. In 2020 MB Bank's ROE reached 19.13%, which is
quite high in the difficult situation affected by the epidemic. Techcom bank reached
18.41%, VietcomBank reached 20.55%, VietinBank achieved 16.89% and ACB
reached 24.31%.
ROE(%)
30
25 24.31
20.55
20 19.13 18.41
16.89
15
10
0
In 2020
MB Bank TechcomBank ACB
VietcomBank VietinBank
It can be seen that both ROA & ROE of MB bank in the previous year was
quite high, this shows that MB Bank has used a reasonable asset structure, effective
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4. Liquidity
This is the ability to meet the disbursement needs of customers, liquidity also
shows that the bank's capital is maintaining at a stable level.
In general, in 2020 MB Bank is a bank with high liquidity with 95.92% while
Techcombank (100.02%), ACB (88.2%), Vietcombank (81.37%), VietinBank
(102.5%).
Liquidity(%)
120
100.02 102.5
100 95.92
88.2
81.37
80
60
40
20
0
In 2020
MB Bank TechcomBank ACB VietcomBank VietinBank
It can be said that MB Bank has stable capital, good circulation, and is able to
respond quickly to customers' needs.
It can be seen that MB Bank is able to withstand the effects of the market quite
well with stable growth. This ability will help the bank create trust in many customers.
- - - END - - -
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