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(5) A statement is uncertain, if its truth or falsity cannot be ascertained to any degree from the given data. A
statement is uncertain or ‘data inadequate’ if the given data is not sufficient to evaluate the definiteness or
probability of the inference. Taking the probability example from the previous explanation, the data is
uncertain when the probability of its truth or falsity is 50%.
Points to Remember:
Inference is a conclusion/deduction/proposition drawn from the given passage with the help of facts and justifiable assumption
Inference must be from "the point of view" of the passage and not your personal point of view.
Analyze the "scope" of passage. Inference must be with in the scope of passage.
First look for definitely true and definitely false inferences. Then use ellinination method to determine "Probably true" and "
"Assumption" should be relevant, logical and universally acceptable.
Directions (1-40) 1. The best port in the world is located in the United
In each question below is given a passage followed by States of America.
several inferences. You have to examine each inference 2. Indian ports have not been graded so far on the
separately in the context of the passage and decide international standard.
upon its degree of truth or falsity. 3. India ports need considerable development to match
Mark your answer as: with the best ports in the world.
(a) If the inference is ‘definitely true’ i.e., it directly 4. Pre-berthing time is gradually decreasing over the
follows from the facts given in the passage; years.
(b) If the inference is ‘probably true’ though not 5. Indian ports offer the lowest price per container as
service charges.
definitely true in the light of the facts given;
Directions (6-10)
(c) If you think the data are inadequate i.e., from the
Cotton Acreage in India during the current year has
facts given you cannot say whether the inference is
fallen by 10% as cotton growers had moved on
likely to be true or false; cultivation of other cash crops. This is the result of cotton
(d) If you think the inference is ‘probably false’ though glut in the world markets in post-September 11 and the
not definitely false in the light of facts given; and consequent slowdown in the world economy. But this
(e) If you think the inference is ‘definitely false’ i.e., it scenario brought with it benefits to one segment of the
contradicts the given facts. industry – yarn manufacturers, as they get higher prices
India needs higher investment in the port sector and still for their produce. Some yarn manufacturers too had
lags far behind international ports in container traffic, stocked up on low priced cotton last year. The combined
though there has been considerable growth in this effect of all this evident in the rise in net profits and net
margins of yarn manufacturers.
segment over the past few years. There is a need to
6. Land used for growing cotton in India is conducive
continually benchmark Indian ports against the best
to grow other cash crops.
ports worldwide and continue to engage in policy
7. The farmers will again grow cotton next year due to
efforts so as to attain prices per container of port services increased price of cotton yarn.
which are the lowest in the world. The average turn- 8. There has been shortage of cotton in the world
around time for ships docking at most of the ports in market last year.
India has been falling for the past three years. 9. There has been a huge drop in the supply of cotton
However, pre- berthing time has been marginally during the current year.
increasing over the years. 10. World economy witnessed an upward trend during
pre-September 11 period.
Directions (1-40): Given below is a passage followed (c) If the inference is uncertain, i.e. data is insufficient
by several inferences. Examine the inferences to decided whether the inference is true or false.
separately in the context of the passage, and determine (d) If the inference is probably false, though not
whether they are true or false. Mark
definitely false, in the light of the statement of facts
(a) If the inference is definitely true, i.e. it directly
given.
follows from the statement of facts given.
(e) If the inference is definitely false, i.e. it cannot
(b) If the inference is probably true, though not
possibly be inferred from the statement of facts
directly true, in the light of the statement of facts
given.
given.