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Energy & Buildings 261 (2022) 111975

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Energy & Buildings


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Measuring the economic value of green roofing in South Korea:


A contingent valuation approach
Qiang Ji 1, Hye-Jeong Lee 1, Sung-Yoon Huh ⇑
Department of Energy Policy, Seoul National University of Science & Technology, 232 Gongneung-ro, Nowon-gu, Seoul 01811, South Korea

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: Green roofs mitigate the adverse effects of urbanization, and provide multiple social, economic and envi-
Received 3 November 2021 ronmental benefits. Many countries are taking bold initiatives to install green roofs to achieve these ben-
Revised 15 February 2022 efits. Considering the high construction and maintenance cost of green roofs, it is necessary to analyse the
Accepted 18 February 2022
economic value of green roof projects and to assess their economic feasibility. This study analyses the
Available online 21 February 2022
public’s willingness to pay for the building of green roofs in South Korea, using the contingent valuation
method. The results show that the public are willing to pay KRW 4,445 (USD 3.77) per household per
Keywords:
year, and the total annual economic value of South Korea’s green roof projects is estimated to be KRW
Green roof
Contingent valuation method
90.5 billion (USD 76.7 million). The results of a cost–benefit analysis show that, in the three cities for
Double-bounded dichotomous choice which the empirical analysis was carried out, the green roof project was only economically feasible for
Willingness to pay Seoul, which implies that the economic feasibility of green roof projects strongly depends on the size
Cost–benefit analysis and population of the city. Therefore, in terms of economic efficiency, it is desirable to implement such
projects mainly in densely populated areas.
Ó 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction various aspects including contributing to the solution of environ-


mental problems such as air pollution reduction [12–15].
With the improvement of quality of life and increasing social Green roofing plays an important role in improving the quality
interest in sustainability, securing leisure areas and green spaces of the ecology and environment in the city.2 According to existing
in cities is an important issue. Due to the expansion of urban scale studies, green roofing can reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration
and the growth of buildings and population in urban areas, urban by lowering the indoor temperature and increasing air humidity
environmental problems are becoming increasingly serious, and [16,17]. Green roofing can also lower the surface temperature of
the improvement of the urban built environment is urgent [1]. the roof, by reducing the indoor air temperature by 2°in summer
Green roof projects have attracted attention from governments [18]. In terms of building energy efficiency, green roofing can reduce
as a form of Low Impact Development (LID) techniques [2–4]. annual energy demand by 6% as passive cooling effects are three
Green roof projects, also called roof gardens or eco roofs, were times more efficient than general loops [18]. The practice also
designed to encourage social, economic, and environmental bene- reduces summer cooling load by more than 6% and peak hour cool-
fits by planting a variety of vegetation and plants on roofs [5]. ing load in the upper floors by 25% [19]. In other words, green roof-
Green roofs are an effective way to increase green area rates in ing can reduce the power consumption of air conditioners, it also has
limited urban spaces, and not only save urban land, but also have very high cooling effects, and can increase the comfort of the dwell-
various effects such as environmental pollution reduction, climate ing [20,21]. According to Sailor [22], a 400 m2 area of green roofing
control, air purification, Urban Heat Island (UHI) mitigation, reduced the power consumption of houses by an average of 2% per
building protection, energy efficiency increase, and noise reduction annum, and natural gas consumption decreased by an average of
[6–10]. For example, UHI may disappear if the green area in a city 9–11% per annum. In addition, green roofing has been reported to
reaches 70% [11]. Therefore, green roofing has a positive effect on have the effect of lowering the acidity of rainwater, reducing urban
stormwater runoff [23,24], and removing heavy metals [25].

⇑ Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: jiqiang1995@naver.com (Q. Ji), hyejlee@seoultech.ac.kr
2
(H.-J. Lee), sunghuh@seoultech.ac.kr (S.-Y. Huh). See Shafique et al. [5] for a comprehensive review of history, benefits,
1
Co-first authors. constituents, related policies, challenges and future prospective of green roof.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2022.111975
0378-7788/Ó 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Q. Ji, Hye-Jeong Lee and Sung-Yoon Huh Energy & Buildings 261 (2022) 111975

There are several disadvantages to consider before encouraging nomic value of green roof projects in monetary units, so that the
green roofs. Green roofs are more expensive than traditional roofs findings can be used as basic information for government min-
in terms of installation costs, maintenance costs, and labour (wa- istries and project officials to set the project direction and budget
ter, fertilizer, weeding, etc.) [5,26]. Roof greening involves instal- scale.
ling plants, soil, and structures on the roof. Structural support is
required as the roof must be strong enough to support the addi-
2. Material and methods
tional weight [26,27]. Another disadvantage is that the allowed
slope is limited. Green roofs can only be installed on flat or gently
2.1. Goods to be valued: Current status green roofs in South Korea
sloping roofs [28]. Although most green roofs have a root barrier
layer, the roots of plants sometimes penetrate the waterproof
It was around the mid-1990 s that discussions on green roofs
membrane and cause roof leakage, resulting in structural damage
began in South Korea. In the 2000 s, as environmental problems
[5,26,27]. As can be seen in various works, although green roofs
in urban areas were highlighted, relevant technologies became
have advantages and disadvantages, they are goods that play an
more applicable, and the advantages of green roofs became known,
important role in improving the ecology of a city, the urban envi-
specific projects were carried out. Among the cities of Korea, the
ronment, and the energy efficiency of buildings. Therefore, rooftop
city of Seoul has been the most active in promoting green roof pro-
greening plans are a part of the global Green New Deal
jects. Seoul has great potential for green roof projects, as its urban-
[29,30,31,32].
ized area is 364 km2, accounting for 60% of the total city area, and
With respect to green roofs that provide such a variety of ben-
its rooftop area is estimated as 166 km2, which is about 46% of the
efits, some papers analysed the willingness to pay (WTP) for green
urbanized area. The Seoul Metropolitan Government started the
roofing by applying the stated preference method as in this study.
green roof project in 2002, and by 2019 had invested approxi-
In the case of South Korea, Lee et al. [33] analysed the economic
mately KRW 71 billion, creating an area of green roofs of
value of green roofing by applying the contingent valuation
315,532 m2 (on 758 sites) [43]. In addition, the level of subsidy
method (CVM) to 500 people living in Seoul. Shin and Kim [34]
for green roofs was increased from 50% to 70% in 2021, and related
estimated the WTP for the aesthetic value and comfort of green
policies will be continuously promoted in the future. Compared to
roofing through CVM analysis for 103 practitioners in urban design
buildings without green roofs, the average surface temperature of
and administration related fields. Other foreign cases include WTP
buildings with green roofs was 3.1 °C lower and the buildings’
for urban green infrastructures (e.g., green roofs, green walls, and
cooling and heating energy was 12 to 15% less, on average. Build-
green lanes) [35], WTP for mitigation of heat island effects through
ings with green roofs are effective as a habitat for animals and
urban green infrastructures [36,37] and WTP for green roofs and
plants, and they help to prevent urban flooding [44]. Existing stud-
green walls [38]. In addition, there are many studies that per-
ies also show that green roofs in South Korea can save between 13
formed cost–benefit analysis (CBA) on green roofs [7,39,40].
and 26% of building energy per unit area [45], cost KRW 153 to 273
Among the existing studies, not many have been conducted
thousands/m2 depending on the structure [45], and lower the sum-
using South Korea as an empirical target. In addition, research
mer temperature by between 1 and 2 °C [46].
has been limited to a specific city, not nationwide. Thus, it is nec-
In South Korea, the building sector is responsible for about a
essary to study WTP estimation nationwide in South Korea. More-
quarter of the country’s indirect greenhouse gas emissions [47].
over, foreign research is difficult to compare directly because many
The South Korean government is trying to reduce greenhouse gas
factors, including the market, national support, and analysis tar-
emissions and improve the built environment through green roof
gets, are different from the situation in South Korea. Therefore, this
projects [32,42,47]. Specifically, several cities announced that they
study can enrich academic research by supplementing and adding
are being implemented green roof projects between 2020 and 2025
to existing and new research. Furthermore, this study can con-
[48,49,50]. In such a situation, this study estimates the mean
tribute to confirming the validity of government plans and policy
annual WTP per household for the green roof projects that are
guidelines by applying WTP results to CBA.
being implemented in South Korea between 2020 and 2025. Based
About 90% of the total population lives in urban areas, due to
on this, the economic feasibility of the green roof projects proposed
rapid urbanization in South Korea. However, urban forests that
by the South Korean government is assessed. The problem is that
can be enjoyed around living areas are severely insufficient [41].
green roofing is a non-market good that is not traded in the mar-
As a result, the South Korean government has specified its response
ket, and currently there is no revealed preference data such as
to the climate and environmental crisis by transforming the living
transaction records or market prices. Thus, a questionnaire survey
environment into green areas through the comprehensive plan for
was conducted to obtain data on the respondents’ stated prefer-
a South Korean version of the Green New Deal announced in 2020.
ences for green roof projects. In order to help respondents gain a
In addition, the government planned a green transition of urban,
better understanding while completing the survey, example cards
spatial, and living infrastructure, and a green architecture (green
consisting of pictures and photos were presented as an auxiliary
roofs, green walls) project [32,42]. Consequently, green roof pro-
material.
jects will be actively promoted in South Korea from a long-term
perspective.
It costs a lot to implement green roof projects. In particular, in 2.2. Survey and data collection
the case of South Korea, public finance is expected to be invested
in the majority of green roof projects in the future according to The survey was conducted for one month through a specialised
the Green New Deal plan. Thus, it is necessary to check the scale polling firm (Research Prime) from September 2020. This study
of the benefits resulting from green roof projects and the economic attempted to obtain data on respondents’ acceptance of green roof
feasibility of projects in advance. Since the government’s fiscal projects and their socioeconomic characteristics through a ques-
input may eventually be passed on to the public’s burden, evaluat- tionnaire survey. The number of samples was allocated in propor-
ing public WTP and the resultant economic value is important in tion to the number of households living in a total of 16 strata in
implementing government-related projects. Therefore, the purpose South Korea. The survey was conducted by selecting 1,000 house-
of this study is to estimate the economic value of green roof pro- holds nationwide through stratified random sampling. In order to
jects, to verify the economic feasibility of projects, and to outline achieve reliable results, it was limited to household owners or their
related implications. The results of this study estimate the eco- spouses aged between 20 and 65. Table 1, which summarises and
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Q. Ji, Hye-Jeong Lee and Sung-Yoon Huh Energy & Buildings 261 (2022) 111975

Table 1 what a green roof is, what a green roof project is, and what its
Characteristics of the survey respondents. advantages are. In order to make it easier to understand the text
Characteristic Sample General population a of the questionnaire, the respondents were presented with both
Sample size 1000 51,829,023 a questionnaire and an example card, which gave information
Female 50.0% 50.1% through pictures.
Education level
High school and less 39% 40.0%
College and higher 61% 60.0% 2.3. Valuation technique: The contingent valuation method
Age b
20–29 3.4% 18.4% The stated preference methods have been widely applied to car-
30–39 22.5% 18.6%
rying out the measurement of the consumers’ WTP [53]. The CVM
40–49 28.4% 22.4%
50–59 32.6% 23.4% constructs a questionnaire for virtual markets and asks respon-
60–68 (60–64 for general population) 13.1% 17.1% dents about WTP for measures to improve the benefits or safe-
Region guards of specific environmental goods, or their willingness to
Seoul 22.2% 18.9% accept (WTA) in the case of the loss of environmental goods.
Busan 7.4% 6.6%
Finally, the economic value of the environmental goods is esti-
Daegu 4.9% 4.7%
Incheon 5.9% 5.8% mated through the respondents’ WTP or WTA. The CVM has eval-
Gwangju 3.3% 2.8% uated public value by examining public WTP on government
Daejeon 3.3% 2.9% plans or policies, and has already proven its utility in numerous
Ulsan 2.0% 2.2%
papers [54,55,56]. This study benefitted from the effectiveness
Sejong 0.5% 0.7%
Gyeonggi-do 25.3% 26.2%
and accuracy of the methodology application in accordance with
Gangwon-do 2.5% 3.0% the guidelines of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Adminis-
Chungcheongbuk-do 2.6% 3.1% tration (NOAA), a representative guideline for CV research [57].
Chungcheongnam-do 3.6% 4.1% A variety of elaborations can be applied to CVM, and this study
Jeollabuk-do 3.4% 3.5%
used a dichotomous choice (DC) method. A DC method simplifies
Jeollanam-do 2.2% 3.6%
Gyeongsangbuk-do 4.8% 5.2% the respondent’s valuation tasks and minimises non-response,
Gyeongsangnam-do 6.1% 6.5% thereby avoiding outliers and reducing related biases [58]. Respon-
Montly Household income dents can answer DC questions more easily than open-ended ques-
c
Less than KRW 4 million 31.5% n/a
tions [59]. This study asked respondents’ WTP by selecting double-
KRW 4–5 million 20.5%
KRW 5–6 million 17.7%
bounded dichotomous choice (DBDC) among the DC questions.
KRW 6–7 million 14.5% DBDC improves point estimates and reduces variance compared
More than KRW 7 million 15.8% to single-bounded dichotomous choice (SBDC). Moreover, DBDC
Notes: a General population statistics are extracted from the Korean Statistical
is statistically more efficient [60]. The interviewer randomly
Information Service [52]. b Age distribution for general population was limited to selects one of the suggested bid amounts and presents it to the
the heads of household for a better comparison. c This is the only average monthly respondent. If the respondent answers ‘Yes’ (or ‘No’) to the pro-
income figure per household that could be found: KRW 5.0 million in 2020. posed bid amount, the interviewer asks the respondent the same
question with a high bid amount (or a relatively low bid amount).
The payment vehicle plays an important role in CVM research.
compares the characteristics of sample respondents and the target
This study established a payment vehicle as income tax. Income
population, shows that the sample represents the population.
tax is the most familiar means for respondents, and is commonly
The questionnaire consists of three parts. The first part intro-
used in the literature to estimate the economic value of public pol-
duces the purpose of this study and related information. The
icy and public works [37,61,62]. The frequency of payment is once
related information explains that green roofs are attracting atten-
a year and the payment period is set at five years. This study used
tion as improvements to the urban environment because they
seven multiple bid amounts to minimise starting point bias, con-
can mitigate the heat island effect caused by rapid urban develop-
sisting of KRW 4,000, KRW 6,000, KRW 8,000, KRW 10,000, KRW
ment, and can improve urban energy efficiency. In addition, the
12,000, KRW 14,000, and KRW 18,000.
information explains that if the government promotes the green
roof project for the next five years, the green roof area would be
increased to 141,702 m2. 3. A model of WTP and calculation of cost-benefit
The second part comprises questions about annual WTP per
household for implementing green roof projects. In order to anal- 3.1. DBDC–CV model and spike model
yse the economic value of the green roof project, the questionnaire
asks whether the respondents are willing to pay an additional The DBDC–CV survey provides two bid amounts to respondents.
charge once a year for the next five years. In addition, the question- The i th responder answers ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ as to whether to pay the
naire explains that the cost paid by the respondents would be an first bid amount (Ai ). Ai is the first bid amount and AUi ðAi < AUi Þ is
addition to the household’s income tax, and that the income of the second bid amount presented to the respondent who answered
the respondents is limited and has to be spent on various items ‘Yes’ to the first bid amount. ADi ðAi > ADi Þ is the second bid amount
(food, clothing, housing, etc.). The survey suggests that the respon- presented to the respondent who answered ‘No’ to the first bid
dents should answer cautiously, as the projects promoted by the
amount. If the i th responder answers ‘Yes’ to the first bid amount,
government may not have direct benefits for them.
the second bid amount (AUi ) will be twice as large as the first bid
The third part includes questions relating to socioeconomic
amount. On the other hand, if the i th responder answers ‘No’ to
variables in the respondent’s household. For example, it includes
questions about the number of family members and the respon- the first bid amount, the second bid amount (ADi ) will be half of
dent’s education level, age, monthly household income, and area the first bid amount. As a result, four response types (‘yes–yes’,
of residence. This questionnaire structure corresponds to a stan- ‘yes–no’, ‘no–yes’, and ‘no–no’) can be observed and expressed as
dardised CV questionnaire [51]. Additionally, the example card, four indicator variables (IYY
i , IYN
i , INY
i , INN YN
i ) . For example, I i is
presented to help respondents understand, is a card explaining expressed as IYN
i ¼ 1 (i th respondent’s answer is ‘yes-no’), and
3
Q. Ji, Hye-Jeong Lee and Sung-Yoon Huh Energy & Buildings 261 (2022) 111975

has a value of 1 if the condition in parentheses is satisfied, and 0 if project is implemented. Benefits can be estimated from the respon-
not satisfied. dents’ WTP for implementing the project. Existing literature esti-
This study applies the spike model proposed by Kriström [63] mating WTP as benefits can be easily found [65,66,67,68]. First,
when dealing with zero WTP. Respondents who answered ‘No– the annual mean WTP per household (KRW 4,445 per household
No’ to the DBDC–CV model above ask the third follow–up question, per year) obtained from the DBDC–Spike model is divided by the
‘Are you not willing to pay even KRW 1 (a penny)?’ Therefore, it is area (141,702 m2) presented in the first questionnaire to obtain
possible to distinguish between a true zero WTP sample and a pos- the annual mean WTP per household per unit area (KRW 0.031
itive WTP sample greater than zero and less than the proposed bid per household per year per m2). Second, the total annual benefits
amount. If you answer ‘yes’ to the additional question, the respon- is obtained by multiplying the annual mean WTP per household
dent’s WTP (W i ) has range 0 < W i < ADi and is expressed as INNY
i . per unit area (KRW 0.031 per household per year per m2) by the
On the other hand, if you answer ‘no’, W i ¼ 0 and it is expressed as green roof area (m2) of each region (Seoul, Sejong, Daegu) and
INNN . That is, INN can be classified into INNY and INNN . the number of households in each region. According to Statistics
i i i i
The respondent’s WTP is defined as a random variable with Korea, the number of households by region is 4,043,957 in Seoul,
cumulative distribution function (cdf). This is denoted by 131,679 in Sejong, and 979,852 in Daegu [52].
GC ðA; hÞ . C is the random variable for WTP. A is the suggested
bid amount and h is the parameter to be estimated. N means the
size of the sample. The log–likelihood function for the DBDC-CV 4. Results and discussion
spike model is as follows by classifying the response result of the
i th responder. 4.1. Survey results and estimation results of willingness to pay
8 U
9
>
> IYY
i ln½1  GC ðAi ; hÞ >
> The response distribution according to bid amounts are pre-
>
> >
>
>
> þI YN
ðA U
; hÞ  ðA ; hÞ >
> sented in Table 2. As the bid amount increased, the number of
>
> ln½G C G C i >
>
XN < i i
D
= respondents with ‘Yes–Yes’ decreased, and the number of respon-
NY
lnL ¼ þI i ln½G C ðA i ; hÞ  G C ðA ; hÞ ð1Þ dents with ‘No–No–No’ increased. For example, 11.9% of the
> h i
i>
i¼1 >
> >
>
>
> þINNY
i lnGC ðADi ; hÞ  GC ð0; hÞ > >
>
>
respondents answered ‘Yes–Yes’ to the proposed bid amount of
>
> >
> KRW 4,000, and this fell to 4.2% from KRW 18,000. In addition,
: NNN ;
þIi ½GC ð0; hÞ the response of ‘No–No–No’ increased from 55.2% to 60.8%. Specif-
ically, 608 out of 1,000 respondents had zero WTP for green roof
Here, when h ¼ ða; bÞ , GC ðA; hÞ can be expressed by Equation
-1 projects, accounting for a very high proportion. The main reason
(2). The spike model is defined as ½1 þ expðaÞ .
for the refusal to pay was that green roof projects were the work
8 -1 of the government or real estate companies and building owners,
< ½1 þ expða  bAÞ
> if A > 0
so the people should not be responsible for funding them.
GC ðA; hÞ ¼ ½1 þ expðaÞ - 1 if A ¼ 0 ð2Þ
>
: Although 40% of the respondents were willing to pay, many
0 if A < 0 CVM empirical studies have found that more than half of the
 households taking part in the survey had no intention of paying
The mean WTP can be calculated as WTP ¼ ð1=bÞln½1 þ expðaÞ . for the projects to be evaluated [61,62,67]. Based on previous
If a is replaced by a þ X 0i b , where X i is the vector of the indepen- research cases, this study took a rather conservative approach
dent variable (including the suggested bid amount), and b is the and analysed the resistance responses (protest bids) as true zero
vector of the parameter to be estimated. This study can measure WTP responses.
the internal consistency and theoretical validity of modelling by In the DBDC–CV study, when goods subject to evaluation do not
estimating the model with covariates. contribute to the respondent’s utility, zero WTP is a basic solution
to maximise the utility of consumers [69]. Therefore, the attitude
3.2. Calculation of cost-benefit and acceptance of people with zero WTP should be considered
when enacting a policy related to green roof. It is necessary to
In this study, construction cost (Cost1) and operation and main- apply the spike model to deal with zero WTP, as a high proportion
tenance cost (Cost2) are considered to be project costs of green roof of the group constituting 60.8% was found to be not willing to pay
projects. In other words, Cost 1 is the average annual construction for green roof projects at all. Thus, this study applied the spike
cost of each city’s green roof projects. The average annual construc- model, as it is a model that can explicitly deal with zero WTP
tion cost is obtained by dividing the government’s planned input responses. The spike model is a model proposed and widely used
cost by the project period (for example: Seoul City’s five year in the CVM literature [61,62,63,67,69].
planned investment of KRW is 18.8 billion, 18.8/5 = 3.76 billion). In this study, one basic question was included in addition to the
Cost2 is the operation and maintenance cost borne by the building question asking about willingness to pay. In other words, one addi-
owner. The operation and maintenance cost of the green roofing is tional question was asked about whether the respondents were
set at KRW 12,058/m2 per number of times, and the frequency is interested in environmental issues. Since the green roof project is
set to three times per year [34]. For example, the green roof area closely related to the environment, it was necessary to check
of Seoul will grow to 75,000 m2 over the next five years. Thus this whether the interest shown by the respondents affected their
is calculated as KRW 12,058/m2  75,000 m2  3 = 2.71 billion. WTP. In the existing literature, it can be seen that the greater peo-
According to the government plan, the operation and maintenance ple’s interest in the environment, the more positive their payment
cost is set to be maintained for 30 years from the year following the intention is [67,70,71]. The survey found that 70% were interested
completion of the green roof construction. This is because a typical in the environment (strongly agree: 12.7%, agree: 57.3%), and only
building lifespan in South Korea is suggested to be 30 years [64]. 4.4% answered that they were ‘‘not interested” in the environment
This study estimated the total annual benefit for each city by (disagree: 4.4%, not at all: 0%). The remainder, 25.6%, answered
calculating the benefit per unit area. ‘‘Benefit per unit area” refers ‘‘neither agree nor disagree”. Therefore, it was found that more
to the benefit that the respondents would obtain if the green roof than half of the respondents were interested in the environment.
area was increased by 1 m2. In this study, ‘‘Benefits” refers to the Based on the data collected through the survey, the results of
benefits that the general public can obtain when the green roof estimating WTP are presented in Table 3. All estimated coefficients
4
Q. Ji, Hye-Jeong Lee and Sung-Yoon Huh Energy & Buildings 261 (2022) 111975

Table 2
Distribution of responses by bid amount.

Initial Bid Number of Responses (%)


(KRW) Yes–Yes Yes–No No–Yes No–No–Yes No–No–No Sample size
4,000 17(11.9) 22(15.4) 11(7.7) 14(9.8) 79(55.2) 143(100.0)
6,000 9(6.3) 23(16.1) 17(11.9) 16(11.2) 78(54.5) 143(100.0)
8,000 8(5.6) 13(9.1) 14(9.8) 14(9.8) 93(65.0) 142(100.0)
10,000 4(2.8) 25(17.5) 8(5.6) 17(11.9) 89(62.2) 143(100.0)
12,000 9(6.3) 14(9.8) 12(8.4) 22(15.4) 86(60.1) 143(100.0)
14,000 6(4.2) 13(9.1) 6(4.2) 22(15.4) 96(67.1) 143(100.0)
18,000 6(4.2) 10(7.0) 6(4.2) 34(23.8) 87(60.8) 143(100.0)
Total 59(5.9) 120(12.0) 74(7.4) 139(13.9) 608(60.8) 1,000(100.0)

Table 3
was high in this study (at 60.8%), South Korea needs to take action
Estimation results of the spike model.
to implement support policies, such as promoting the social accep-
b
Variables Coefficient estimates tance of green roofs and expanding incentive systems such as tax
Constant **
0.4505 (-6.91) reduction.
Bid amount a 0.1109 **(-16.20) This study complied with the NOAA guidelines and the CVM
Spike 0.61076 **(39.43)
guidelines for preliminary feasibility studies of domestic projects.
Mean WTP per household per year KRW 4,445 (USD 3.77)
t-value 14.22 ** In addition, this study conducted a face-to-face survey of 1,000
95% confidence interval c KRW 3,885 to 5,116 (USD 3.30 to 4.34) households nationwide to estimate WTP for green roof projects,
Number of observations 1000 which contributed to addressing the limitations of existing studies
Log–likelihood 941.66 (sample bias and information bias [73,74]) and yielding reliable
Wald statistic (p-value) d 202.44 (0.000)
results.
Note: a The unit is 1,000 Korean won, and the exchange rate is USD 1.0 = KRW In addition, a model including covariates was estimated to anal-
1178.8 at the time of the survey. b The t-values are reported in parentheses beside yse the effect of individual respondents’ characteristics on their
the coefficient estimates. **Statistical significance at the 1% level. c The confidence
WTP. The definition and statistics of the variables are given in
intervals are computed by use of Krinsky and Robb’s [75] approach with 5,000
replications. d The null hypothesis is that the estimated equation is insignificant and Table 4.
the corresponding p-value is presented in the parentheses beside the statistic. The results including covariates are presented in Table 5. The
estimated coefficients of bid amount, monthly household income
and age were statistically significant at the significance level of
1%, and education coefficient at the significance level of 5%. The
are statistically significant at a significance level of 1%. The sign of higher the education level and the higher the monthly household
bid amount coefficient is negative. This is a common phenomenon income, the higher the probability of answering ‘Yes’ to the given
in CVM surveys, meaning that as the bid amount presented bid amount. Educational level and household income are impor-
increases, the probability of responding with ‘Yes’ decreases. The tant variables affecting the WTP, and the results of this study are
estimated coefficient of spike is 0.61076, which is similar to the same as those of Borzino et al. [36], Zhang et al. [37], and
60.8% of respondents who say ‘No–No–No’ in Table 2, implying Kim et al. [76]. Therefore, it can be said that green roof projects
that the use of the spike model is appropriate. are normal goods, in that the WTP for green roof projects increases
The annual mean WTP for green roof projects is estimated as as the average monthly household income increase. The younger
KRW 4,445 (USD 3.77) per household. It is necessary to review the respondents are, the more likely they are to say ‘Yes’ to a given
the level of WTP analysed, compared with the existing research bid amount. This is probably because older people are less likely to
results in similar fields. Although detailed comparisons are difficult live longer than younger people and less likely to receive environ-
due to the lack of CVM studies associated with green roofing, the mental benefits, and are therefore less willing to pay for environ-
approximate level is nonetheless understandable. Compared to mental goods [77]. In this study, since the gender variable is not
the findings of Lee et al. [33] (Economic value of green roof: significant, gender has no direct relationship with the WTP. Thus,
KRW 10,741) and Shin and Kim [34] (Aesthetic value of green roof: it seems that there is no need to specifically consider gender when
KRW 4,074, Convenience of green roof: KRW 4,302) and their establishing policies and public relations strategies.
domestic research cases, the results of this study are within the One of the important objectives in conducting CVM studies is to
scope of the two findings. Given the values alone, the results of this estimate the total WTP or aggregate benefit extended to the entire
study are close to those of Shin and Kim [34]. population using the estimation results. In this study, the response
According to Zhang and He [72], most of the cases of green roof rate and sample recovery rate were 100% during the CVM survey.
research between 2000 and 2019 are Chinese papers. In addition, Furthermore, as presented in Table 1, the representativeness of
since there are WTP research cases similar to this study among the sample was verified because the social characteristics of the
the Chinese studies, the results of this study and of the Chinese survey subjects and the characteristics of the entire population
cases can be compared. Zhang et al. [35] analysed the annual were similar. Thus, it is appropriate to estimate the total WTP, or
WTP for types of small urban green infrastructure (a green roof, a aggregate benefit, by extending the estimation result to the entire
green wall, and a small green lane in Guangzhou) as 24.5 Chinese population. The number of households stated by Statistics Korea in
yuan (USD 3.8), and zero WTP was calculated at about 24%. Zhang 2020 was 20,349,567 [52]. Therefore, the total WTP or aggregate
et al. [37] concluded that the annual WTP for green roof construc- benefit can be calculated by multiplying the total number of
tion to mitigate UHI was 148.582 Chinese yuan (USD 22.446), and households in South Korea and the annual mean WTP per house-
that zero WTP was 57%. As mentioned earlier, direct comparison is hold. As shown in Table 6, the annual total benefit of green roof
difficult, but it can be confirmed that the WTP found in this study is projects in South Korea is KRW 90.5 billion (USD 76.7 million)
close to the range of the Chinese case. However, since the zero WTP per year.

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Table 4 essary to evaluate the public level of acceptance and the economic
Definitions and sample statistics of the variables. value of the projects to verify the feasibility of green roof projects.
Variables Definitions Mean Standard Therefore, this study conducted CBA for green roof projects.
deviation South Korea is divided into a total of seventeen administrative
Gender The respondent’s gender (0 = female; 0.50 0.50 districts. Administrative districts consist of the capital (Seoul), six
1 = male) metropolitan cities (Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon,
Education The respondent’s educational level in 14.08 2.14 Ulsan), eight provinces (Gyeonggi-do, Gangwon-do,
years
Income The household’s monthly income before 4.94 1.98
Chungcheongbuk-do, Chungcheongnam-do, Jeollabuk-do,
tax (unit: million Korean won) Jeollanam-do, Gyeongsangbuk-do, Gyeongsangnam-do), one spe-
Age Age of the respondent 47.48 9.91 cial self-governing Province (Jeju Island), and one special self-
governing city (Sejong).
In this study, regions with high population density were first
Table 5 selected based on the population density (person per km2) of each
Estimation results of the spike model with covariates. administrative district surveyed by the Korea Statistical Informa-
Variables Coefficient estimates b tion Service [52]. Seoul ranked first and Busan ranked second. Next,
Daegu, Daejeon, Incheon, and Gwangju had similarly high popula-
Constant 1.2815 (-1.80)
Bid amount a 0.1153** (-15.56) tion density. The next ranking was Gyeonggi, Ulsan, and Sejong,
Gender 0.1222 (0.94) followed by a high population density. The rest of the regions were
Education 0.0837* (2.25) excluded from the screening because the population density was
Monthly household income 0.1301** (3.68) not high. As a result, the aforementioned nine areas were first
Age 0.0224** (-2.99)
selected. All nine regions are known as large cities in South Korea.
Spike 0.6138** (39.06)
Mean WTP per household per year KRW 4,231 (USD 3.59) Among the first selected regions, the secondary screening was
t-value 13.68 ** conducted as follows. Each local government should be imple-
95% confidence interval c KRW 3,692 to 4,912 (USD 3.13 to 4.17) menting a green roof project. And specific budgets and business
Number of observations 1000
plans for the project should be presented. It was selected for
Log-likelihood 914.02
Wald statistic (p-value)d 187.31(0.000) regions where specific project plans were presented, such as how
to present subsidies, how to support public and private buildings,
Note: a The unit is 1,000 Korean won, and the exchange rate is USD 1.0 = KRW
and how the area and duration of the project were set [48,49,50].
1178.8 at the time of the survey. b The t-values are reported in parentheses beside
the coefficient estimates. * and ** indicate statistical significance at the 5% and 1%
The main reason for selecting cities with specific plans is to per-
levels, respectively. c The confidence intervals are computed by use of Krinsky and form additional cost-benefit analysis in the future. As a result,
Robb’s [75] approach with 5,000 replications. d The null hypothesis is that the Seoul, Sejong, and Daegu were selected. All three regions were suit-
estimated equation is insignificant and the corresponding p-value is presented in able for this study because the population density per area is quite
the parentheses beside the statistic.
high and the project is being actively carried out in them. The rest
of the regions were excluded from the analysis due to unclear bud-
Table 6 gets and business plans of green roofing.
Estimation results of total willingness to pay (WTP). Therefore, this study analysed the economic feasibility of green
roof projects in Seoul, Sejong, and Daegu in South Korea. The three
Estimates 95% confidence
interval cities presented more detailed business plans including the project
area, project period, and budget compared to other cities
Mean annual WTP per KRW 4,445 (USD 3.77) KRW 3,885 to 5,116
household (USD 3.30 to 4.34) [48,49,50]. The summarized business plan is presented in Table 7.
Total annual WTP KRW 90.5 billion (USD 76.7 KRW 79.1 to 104.1 Thus, it is proposed that the results of CBA can be derived, and eco-
million) billion nomic feasibility can be compared, so this study is based on three
(USD 67.1 to 88.3 cities. Seoul, Sejong, and Daegu are all metropolitan cities in South
million)
Korea, with a large population and major urban environmental
problems.
As mentioned earlier, the targets of the green roof project are
4.2. Cost–benefit analysis of green roof projects public buildings and private buildings with a size of 30 m2 or more,
and the green roof projects are taking place from 2020 to 2025.
The cost of green roofing is relatively high compared to a com- Since most buildings in South Korea are built with a wide, flat roof,
mon conventional roof. Thus, it is necessary to check whether such the green roofs are designed in the form of a garden. Within the
additional expenditure can be covered by the economic benefits government budget, the cost of roof greening for public buildings
induced by projects. In addition, the government will actively push is borne entirely by the government, and up to 70% of the cost
for green roof projects in accordance with the government’s com- for private buildings is subsidized by the government. The total
prehensive plan for the Korean Green New Deal, and a huge project cost used in this study is the amount of support given by
amount of money will be invested in the government’s plan. In the government during the project period and paid from the
order for green roof projects to be carried out smoothly, it is nec- national budget. It is assumed that the operation and maintenance

Table 7
Green roof project plan by region.
a
City Year Budget Amount The number of projects Area The number of households
2
Seoul 2020–2024 KRW 188 billion 750 75,000 m 4,043,957
Sejong 2021–2025 KRW 200 billion 8 75,088 m2 131,679
Daegu 2020 KRW 12.23 billion 53 9,302 m2 979,852

Note: a The number of households statistic is extracted from the Korea Statistical Information Service [52]. The sources for green roof projects in three cities were in
[48,49,50].

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cost is borne by the owner of the building and is separate from the project. Therefore, from an economic point of view, promoting
subsidy for the green roof project. In other words, Cost 1 is the gov- the project mainly in large cities with dense population is a way
ernment subsidy required to create a green roof, and Cost 2 is the to enhance the effectiveness of fiscal input. The results of the eco-
operation and maintenance cost, borne by the building owner. nomic feasibility may vary depending on the region because each
Based on the calculation method described in Section 3.2, the con- city has different values, populations, and financial conditions
struction cost (Cost 1), operation and maintenance cost (Cost 2), related to green roofing. In the future, socio-economic and demo-
and total annual benefit for each city were estimated, and the cal- graphic characteristics are also needed for regional studies investi-
culated values are presented in Table 8. gating the urban environment.
In accordance with the Enforcement Rules of the Korean Corpo- In the CBA of Nurmi et al. [7], the B/C ratio was less than 1 but
rate Tax Act (2019.3.20), the ‘Maintenance Period of Benefits for slightly exceeded 1 in some regions. These results were similar to
Buildings, etc.’ (related to Article 15 [3]), the period of benefit gen- those of this study. However, as stated by Nurmi et al. [7], if this
eration (maintenance period) was assumed to be 30 years, and the study could have found a way to quantify benefits such as sound
lifespan of the green roof was assumed to be the same as that of insulation, energy cost reduction, and air quality improvement
the building [78]. In the analysis, the social discount rate proposed and could have included these in the benefits, a more sophisticated
by the Korea Development Institute (KDI) was 4.5%, and the anal- CBA study could have been conducted. The green roof project
ysis base year was set at the end of the previous year when the pro- would then have been found to be a more economical project.
ject was launched (Seoul, Ulsan, Daegu: 2019, Sejong: 2020). In Betro et al. [39] and Mahdiyar et al. [85] also suggested that a green
other words, the cost–benefit analysis period of each regional pro- roof is not economical. However, it has been proved that the lack of
ject is presented in Table 9. economic feasibility can be overcome by reducing maintenance
Table 10 shows the economic feasibility of green roof projects in costs, providing energy management benefits, and providing
three cities in South Korea. The total benefit–cost (B/C) ratio for the incentives. There is existing research on tax reductions and incen-
three cities is 1.17, which was estimated to be higher than 1, and tives by Bianchini and Hewage [40] and on a subsidy system by
the Net Present Value (NPV) is also determined to be more than Claus and Rousseau [86], and on this basis if the incentives, subsi-
0, so the overall green roof projects are economical. However, if dies, and energy-related benefits of green roofs are considered, the
the CBA results were subdivided by city, only the project in Seoul economic feasibility of South Korea’s green roof project will also be
secured economic feasibility. competitive. In addition, Manso et al. [87] stated that, in the post
Berardi et al. [79] and Tabatabaee et al. [80] reported that green COVID-19 situation, services such as green roofs promote the phys-
roofs have environmental benefits and are economically feasible. ical and psychological well-being of citizens, but concluded that
When private and public benefits are combined, benefits outper- the main obstacles to installing green roofs are cost and mainte-
form costs in most cases [7,81,82,83,84]. However, in the case of nance. Therefore, if South Korea prepares a service and support
this study, only Seoul’s project was shown to secure economic fea- programme for maintenance, in addition to cost support for the
sibility, confirming that the economic feasibility of the project may current green roof project, the project will be more successful.
vary by region. In other words, the larger the city and the larger the Green roof projects are greatly influenced by government poli-
population, the higher the economic feasibility of the green roof cies [41,42,88,89]. Major countries such as South Korea, China,
Canada, and Germany are activating and legislating on green roof
projects [27,41,42,72,90]. In addition, since green roofs have a pos-
itive effect on citizens’ quality of life, personal satisfaction, and
Table 8
psychological well-being, several pieces of literature suggest that
Cost of roof greening and total annual benefits.
studies that consider publicity and benefits (revenues, subsidies,
City Cost (billion) Benefit (billion) tax incentives, and loan programmes) should be carried out
Cost 1 Cost 2 Total Annual benefits [27,91]. However, inefficient government policies can act as obsta-
Seoul KRW 3.76 KRW 2.71 KRW 9.51 cles to green roof projects [72,92–94]. Therefore, in order for South
Sejong KRW 4.00 KRW 2.7 KRW 0.31 Korea’s rooftop greening project to be economically viable and
Daegu KRW 1.22 KRW 0.34 KRW 0.14 socially acceptable, it is important to prepare a practical policy
Note: Cost 1 = Annual average project cost (1 year). Cost 2 = Operation and main- foundation including aspects such as local publicity, a profit sys-
tenance cost (1 year). Benefit = total annual benefits. tem, and the expansion of support for private buildings.

5. Conclusions
Table 9
Period of cost–benefit analysis by region.
This study aims to elicit the public’s willingness to pay for
City Analysis period expanding green roof projects, and to analyses the economic feasi-
Project period Maintenance period bility of these projects. Specifically, this study aims to present the
implications for the Green New Deal plan that is being promoted in
Seoul 2020–2024 2025–2054
Sejong 2021–2025 2026–2055 South Korea. As a result of the analysis, the annual mean WTP per
Daegu 2020 2021–2050 household of green roof projects was KRW 4,445 (USD 3.77), and
the total annual WTP was estimated to be KRW 90.5 billion (USD

Table 10
Results of benefit and cost analysis.

(KRW billion) Benefit Cost NPV B/C


Seoul KRW 52 billion KRW 124 billion KRW 72 billion 2.39
Sejong KRW 53 billion KRW 4 billion KRW 49 billion 0.08
Daegu KRW 6 billion KRW 2 billion KRW 4 billion 0.33
Total KRW 111 billion KRW 130 billion KRW 19 billion 1.17

7
Q. Ji, Hye-Jeong Lee and Sung-Yoon Huh Energy & Buildings 261 (2022) 111975

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