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ABSTRACTS

36 CAPTURE-RECAPTURE METHOD: TRAFFIC ACCIDENT


ESTIMATION ALONG THE CIRCUMFERENTIAL ROAD 5,
NATIONAL CAPITAL REGION, PHILIPPINES
doi:10.1136/injuryprev-2012-040590w.36
1 2 3 1
R Martinez, J Go, T Timbang. Pateros Health Department, Philippines;
2
WHO-Western Pacific Regional Office, Philippines; 3National Epidemiology Center,
Philippines
Background Road traffic accidents are one of the world’s largest
contributors to injury problems, loss of lives, and damage to prop-
erty. In the Philippines, accidents consistently remain one of the
leading causes of morbidity and mortality.
Objectives The study is aimed to obtain a picture of road traffic
accidents by using capture-recaptured method and to calculate an
ascertainment corrected number of fatal and non-fatal injury that
happened along C-5 Road, National Capital Region from January
to December 2008.
Methods A Cross-sectional Study was done. A two-sample capture-
recapture method was used to estimate traffic accidents. The first
capture was all deaths and injuries due to road accidents reported
by the Metro Manila Development Authority through their
MMARAS Registry. The recapture will be all medico-legal and
emergency records from the public hospitals.
Results For non-fatal road accidents, aggregate data showed 820
cases yielding 7.3/100 000 populations. When captured-recapture
technique was used, a total of 2068 cases were recounted, repre-
senting 18.4/100 000 populations. For fatal injuries, aggregate data
resulted to 15 new cases. Using capture-recapture method, 20
deaths were recounted, yielding 0.18/100 000 population. Case
Fatality Rate is 0.97%.
Conclusion/Significance It was recommended to harmonise the
sources of road accident data and to strengthen the Philippine
National Injury Surveillance System. The study was presented to
the Philippine Department of Health and contributed to build the
Philippine Network on Injury Data Management System.

Inj Prev 2012;18(Suppl 1):A1-A246 A235


Downloaded from http://injuryprevention.bmj.com/ on August 22, 2017 - Published by group.bmj.com

Capture-recapture method: traffic accident


estimation along the circumferential road 5,
national capital region, Philippines
R Martinez, J Go and T Timbang

Inj Prev 2012 18: A235


doi: 10.1136/injuryprev-2012-040590w.36

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