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looking forward
The aim of this article is to demonstrate As an introduction, it is worth considering A Ltd
the alternative approaches to preparing why projected cash flow statements are relevant Forecast profit and loss account for the year
a projected cash flow statement in Paper to the Paper 10 syllabus. Businesses usually ending 31 December 2006
10, Managing Finances. Since this is a prepare a forecast profit and loss account for
management paper and not a financial the year, and often for each individual month. £000
accounting paper, you would not be expected Why, then, do we need projected cash flow Turnover 11,950
to adopt any strict financial reporting statements as well? The answer lies in the Operating costs (6,295)
format for such a cash flow statement. The fact that profit and loss forecasts reflect the Operating profit 5,655
approaches outlined below do not, therefore, ‘profit’ that a business hopes to make, whereas
cover cash flow statements prepared under projected cash flow statements reflect the Interest payable (330)
IAS 7 or FRS 1. increase or decrease in cash that a business Profit before tax 5,325
anticipates over a period of time. ‘Profit’ is
arrived at after making numerous accounting Tax payable (1,598)
adjustments for items such as depreciation, Profit after tax 3,727
accruals, and bad debt provisions. Such
adjustments are ‘non-cash adjustments’ – they Dividends payable (1,295)
do not affect the physical cash that a business Retained profit 2,432
pays or receives. Profit and cash are not the
same thing. It may be predicted, for example, Extract from historical balance sheet as at
that a new company will make £1m profit in 31 December 2005
its first year, but the harsh reality is that if that
company has not accurately anticipated its need £000 £000 £000
for cash then it could go into liquidation before Fixed assets 4,000
the year is out. Many a profitable business
has failed because of poor cash control and Current assets
therefore the need to forecast cash is actually Stock 965
far greater than the need to forecast profit. Debtors 1,150
As a result, projected cash flow statements Cash 820
play a key role in the management of a 2,935
business’s finances and therefore a key role in
the Paper 10 syllabus. I will now consider a Current liabilities
typical projected cash flow statement question, Trade creditors 623
and show the two best ways to approach Tax payable 1,300
such a question, highlighting the benefits and Dividends payable 764
drawbacks of each method.
The following financial information relates (2,687)
to a fictitious company called A Ltd. From
this information, you are required to prepare Net current assets 248
a projected cash flow statement for the year
ending 31 December 2006. Net assets 4,248
Extract from forecast balance sheet as at Reconciled as follows 3 Interest is then deducted since this falls
31 December 2006 Cash per BS at 31/12/05 (820) below the operating profit line. The
£000 £000 £000 Cash per BS at 31/12/06 3,061 additional information states that all
Fixed assets 4,200 Projected increase in cash over the interest charges are paid in the year in
year 2,241 which they are incurred. This means that
Current assets the interest charges, as stated in the profit
Stock 1,425 Workings and loss account, represent the actual
Debtors 1,263 £000 amount of cash that will be paid out in
Cash 3,061 1 Tax paid interest over the year. No adjustment to
5,749 Tax creditor b/f at 01/01/06 1,300 the figure is needed.
Add tax charge per P&L 1,598 4 Tax and dividends are a little more
Current liabilities Less tax creditor c/f at 31/12/06 (1,600) complicated than interest payments.
Trade creditors 687 Therefore cash paid 1,298 This is because the charge for tax and
Tax payable 1,600 dividends in the profit and loss account
Dividends payable 982 2 Dividends paid is not the same as the actual amount of
Dividends creditor b/f 01/01/06 764 cash to be paid out in the year. You must
(3,269) Add dividends charge per P&L 1,295 deduce this from careful reading of the
Less dividends creditor c/f at balance sheets, which include creditors
Net current assets 2,480 31/12/06 (982) for tax and dividends in both 2005 and
Therefore cash paid 1,077 2006. Workings 1 and 2 are therefore
Net assets 6,680 necessary to calculate the actual cash
3 Fixed asset purchases paid for these items.
Additional information Fixed assets c/f at 31/12/06 4,200 5 It is then necessary to consider how
1 Operating costs include depreciation of Add depreciation charge per P&L 115 much cash will be paid out for fixed asset
£115,000. Less fixed assets b/f at 01/12/06 (4,000) purchases in the year. It is not possible to
2 The company does not plan to sell any Therefore cash paid 315 simply look at the difference between fixed
fixed assets over the next year. assets on the 2005 and 2006 balance
3 Fixed assets are all tangible (physical). 4 Increase in stock sheets because these amounts are shown
4 All interest charges are paid in the year in Stock c/f at 31/12/06 1,425 net of depreciation. However, it is possible
which they are incurred. Less stock b/f at 01/01/06 (965) to make the calculation when you know
Increase in stock 460 how much depreciation is included in the
ANSWERING THE QUESTION 2006 profit and loss account, and whether
The question is laid out, as you would expect, 5 Increase in debtors any disposals are anticipated during the
with one historical balance sheet for the Debtors c/f at 31/12/06 1,263 year. For A Ltd, you are told that there will
company, one forecast balance sheet, and one Less debtors b/f at 01/01/06 (1,150) be no disposals in 2006 and you know
forecast profit and loss account. The projected Increase in debtors 113 that depreciation will be £115,000. From
cash flow statement could be approached in this, you can calculate the actual cash
one of two main ways, as set out below: 6 Increase in trade creditors spent on fixed asset purchases, as shown
Trade creditors c/f at 31/12/06 687 in working 3.
Method 1: Projected cash flow statement Less trade creditors b/f at 01/01/06 (623) 6 The adjustments to operating profit that
£000 Increase in trade creditors 64 remain are those that reflect any increase
Operating profit 5,655 or decrease in stock, debtors, and trade
Depreciation 115 Comments on method 1 creditors, as shown in workings 4 to 6.
Interest (330) 1 The above is the most traditional method, The key point to remember here is that
Tax (w.1) (1,298) with the starting point being the ‘operating stock and debtors are assets, whereas
Dividends (w.2) (1,077) profit’ figure. trade creditors are a liability. Therefore, if
Fixed asset purchases (w.3) (315) 2 Since deprecation is a non-cash either stock or debtors is set to increase
Increase in stock (w.4) (460) adjustment, this is added back to the between 2005 and 2006, this will
Increase in debtors (w.5) (113) operating profit figure, because the mean that more cash is tied up in assets
Increase in trade creditors (w.6) 64 additional information states that ‘Operating rather than being in the form of cash.
Projected increase in cash over the year 2,241 costs include depreciation of £115,000’. Consequently, such an increase will be