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Management Science: The Legacy of the Past and


Challenge of the Future
Wallace J. Hopp, David Simchi-Levi

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Wallace J. Hopp, David Simchi-Levi (2020) Management Science: The Legacy of the Past and Challenge of the Future.
Management Science

Published online in Articles in Advance 06 Oct 2020

. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2020.3618

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MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
Articles in Advance, pp. 1–11
http://pubsonline.informs.org/journal/mnsc ISSN 0025-1909 (print), ISSN 1526-5501 (online)

Management Science: The Legacy of the Past and Challenge of


the Future
Wallace J. Hopp,a David Simchi-Levib
a
Ross School of Business, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48109; b Civil and Environmental Engineering Department,
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02139
Contact: whopp@umich.edu, https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1586-8606 (WJH); dslevi@mit.edu,
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4650-1519 (DS-L)

Accepted: March 5, 2020 Abstract. This paper uses the 65th anniversary of Management Science as an opportunity to
Published Online in Articles in Advance: examine how well the journal has performed against its primary goal to promote de-
October 6, 2020 velopment and encourage application of a science of management. We also highlight recent
https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2020.3618
trends that are impacting this mission and discuss how recent initiatives address these
issues.
Copyright: © 2020 INFORMS
History: Special Issue of Management Science: 65th Anniversary.

Keywords: management science • history • anniversary

1. Mission editor-in-chief of Management Science, was solidly in


Management Science received its official charter on this camp, writing
December 1, 1953 when the founding members of My hope was that MS [Management Science] would
The Institute of Management Science (TIMS) ap- be quite different from OR [Operations Research],
proved a constitution and bylaws for the organiza- because MS, the journal, the meetings, and the re-
tion that included the following sentence (TIMS 1954, search would be the attempt to create and design a
p. 100): science of management that lived up to the standards
“To provide a medium for disseminating knowledge of good science . . .
of the management sciences, to stimulate research in (Churchman 1994)
these sciences, and to encourage and improve applica-
Nevertheless, immediately after stating his full-
tions of this knowledge the Institute shall undertake to
throated advocacy for a science of management in
publish a journal, to be called Management Science.”
this article, Churchman acknowledged that some
Although this makes it clear that the mission of
of the founders of TIMS had championed the new
Management Science includes stimulating research,
Management Science journal only to have a place to
disseminating knowledge, and encouraging appli-
cations, it does not provide an explicit definition of the publish their papers on linear programming. These
“management sciences” to which these refer. competing definitions of management science were
The reflections of some of the founders (Salveson evident from the very start of the journal.
1997, Horner 2017) as well as the subsequent history One could interpret these differences as a funda-
of the journal, suggests that there was, and still is, no mental “either or” choice about the purpose of Man-
uniformly accepted definition of management sci- agement Science. Indeed, as editors ourselves, we have
ences or “management science.” Some authors and been told more than once by an author unhappy with
editors have used the term management science as a an editorial policy or decision that we were betraying
synonym for “operations research” (OR), that is, as a (what they perceived as) the journal’s mission. But
collection of analytic tools. Others have used it to a less confrontational and more useful interpreta-
refer to the application of established tools, including tion, which was not available in 1954 when Church-
operations research, economics, behavioral science, man was trying to chart the course for the new
and others, to management problems. journal, is the framework for scientific progress of-
However, as described in the 50th anniversary fered by Thomas Kuhn (1962) in his landmark book
article by Hopp (2004), it is clear that at least some of The Structure of Scientific Revolutions.1
the founders of TIMS interpreted management sci- Kuhn’s offered his framework as an alternative to
ence very broadly to refer to the creation of a “sci- the traditional view of science as an incremental
ence of management.” C. West Churchman, the first progression toward truth through the accumulation

1
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2 Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–11, © 2020 INFORMS

of facts and ideas. From his study of the history of Evaluating papers is a much more difficult and
science, Kuhn recognized that science does not al- fundamental challenge for any research publication.
ways make steady and continuous progress. Instead, At Management Science, the departmental structure is
it sometimes gets stuck in dead ends or engages in set up to ensure that a given paper is reviewed by
conflicts between factions advocating different theories. editors and referees who are well-trained and ac-
Kuhn also felt that the influential “conjecture and ref- complished scholars in the appropriate disciplinary
utation” model of Karl Popper (1963) was an over- area. The hope, and often the reality, is a review team
simplification of reality. In the Popperian view, all that has the necessary background to assess the
scientific theories are conjectures that are held pro- novelty of the approach, the correctness of the logic,
visionally, and scientific studies seek to refute these and the clarity of the exposition.
theories. Theories that withstand refutations are re- But evaluating a paper involves more than check-
tained, whereas those that are refuted are discarded. ing novelty, logic, and exposition. It also requires
But Kuhn noted that scientists only rarely work in assessing contribution and even visualization of the
refutation mode. Much of scientific research focuses future of the field. A paper that addresses an issue
on affirmation, application, or extension of theories. not on the critical path forward will not make an
To account for these sociological realities, Kuhn important contribution. However, because different
proposed that science iterates between periods of people have different views of the future, they can
normal science, in which researchers flesh out and differ as to whether a paper addresses a critical issue
apply an established paradigm, and occasional rev- or not. As a result, acceptance and rejection decisions
olutions that lead to new paradigms. During normal based on contribution can appear to the author as
science, progress can approximate the traditional matters of taste rather than substance.
development-by-accumulation model, whereas dur- Assessing contribution is a pivotal problem for all
ing revolutions the refutations of the Popperian model scientific journals. It is particularly important for an
are on prominent display. But the overall picture is one elite journal like Management Science because self-
of punctuated equilibrium, with sporadic crises, con- screening of submissions limits the number of pa-
troversies, and even regressions. pers that are rejected because they lack novelty, ex-
In the context of the search for a science of man- hibit flawed logic, or have impenetrable exposition. A
agement, methodological research (e.g., the linear large fraction of accept or reject decisions hinge on the
programming work of the scholars in Churchman’s question of contribution.
recollections) or applications (e.g., the efforts of scholars Because contribution assessments involve judge-
to leverage well-known results from relevant disci- ment about the future, these decisions imply a risk
plines to address management problems) represent trade-off that can be characterized in terms of type I
normal science. But, from time to time, scholars have and type II errors from statistics. A type I error is
offered new ways to see management, or a subarea of accepting a paper that does not make an important
management, through a scientific lens. These latter ef- contribution, whereas a type II error is rejecting a
forts offer potential paradigm shifts that can open up paper that does. Depending on how he or she handles
new avenues for normal science. uncertainty about contribution, an editor can trade off
Viewed in this way, methodological tools, appli- one type of error for the other. For example, a de-
cations, and paradigmatic frameworks are all valid, partment editor that rejects papers for which there
indeed necessary, contributions for building a science are any doubts about contribution (e.g., from conflict-
of management. Arguments about which type of re- ing referee reports) will minimize type I errors at the
search constitutes “real” management science are un- expense of increased type II errors. In contrast, an
necessary and counterproductive. The two essential chal- editor who takes chances on potentially high-impact
lenges for Management Science are to attract and evaluate papers for which some uncertainty about contribu-
papers that make important contributions to the Kuhn tion exists risks higher type I errors in order to reduce
cycle of progress toward a science of management. type II errors. In elite journals like Management Science
Attracting papers is the simpler of these two chal- with low acceptance rates, the tendency is to focus
lenges. Since 1969, Management Science has used a conservatively on keeping type I errors low because
departmental structure for its editorial board, which there are plenty of submissions with which to fill
enables knowledgeable, eminent, and well-connected the issues.
department editors to align their editorial priorities For normal science submissions (e.g., an improved
with current trends in their disciplinary area and to methodology, a new model of a familiar management
leverage their stature to attract papers. Tools such as problem, or a model of a new management problem
presentations at professional meetings, solicited pa- using familiar techniques), assessing contribution is
pers, and special issues have been used to seek out challenging but manageable. Because the paper makes
potentially attractive papers. use of accepted paradigms, the reviewers are likely to
Hopp and Simchi-Levi: Management Science: Past and Future
Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–11, © 2020 INFORMS 3

have well-defined and consistent views of what is and have always been present but have used various names
is not important to the progress of the research area. and sometimes multiple departments to reflect differ-
But for submissions that claim paradigmatic change ent emphases.
contributions, assessment is much harder. In the past, • Between 1965 and 1975, the journal maintained
Management Science has had an Interdisciplinary Man- separate theory and practice series.
agement Research and Applications department to • The majority of papers published from 1954–2004
provide a mechanism for reviewing papers that do not were in the OR and OM fields.
fit neatly into the paradigms represented by the tra- • As of 2004, 474 papers published from 1954–2004
ditional disciplines. The journal has also made use of had been cited 50 or more times. Roughly half these
at-large editors or the editor-in-chief to handle spe- were in OR and OM fields. But the other half of the
cial case papers that could fall through the cracks. highly cited papers covered all of the management
Nevertheless, it is almost certain that type II errors are disciplines represented by the other departments.
higher for high-risk, high-reward papers that claim to make • Management Science has consistently been among
paradigm-changing contributions. the highest-ranked academic publications in the man-
To underline the last comment, we refer to Gans agement field as measured by citation-based metrics
and Shepherd (1994) who documented a variety of ex- and has been included in the lists of journals used to
amples where influential papers by leading economists— evaluate research in all major rankings of business
Nobel Laureates and Clark Medalists to be specific— schools (e.g., Financial Times).
were rejected by leading economics journals. The • Seventeen Nobel Prize winners (all in economics)
most striking example is that of Fischer Black and had published in Management Science as of 2004.
Myron Scholes’ celebrated formula, see Black and These observations paint a picture of a journal that has
Scholes (1973), that estimates the price of European deliberately evolved an editorial structure to reach out
style options. Their paper was rejected twice, without to a wide range of business disciplines. This has led to a
any referee report, before two leading economists spoke substantial number of influential publications (at least as
with the editor of the Journal of Political Economy; for measured by citations) across these business disciplines.
details, see Gans and Shepherd (1994). However, over its first half century, Management Sci-
ence emphasized OR and OM at the expense of other
2. Past Processes and Performance management-related disciplines. Nevertheless, as in-
With the Kuhn model of scientific progress in mind, dicated by the presence of so many Nobelists in eco-
we now turn to a review of Management Science’s past nomics among its authors, the journal has attracted su-
performance relative to its mission to promote de- perstar scholars outside the OR/OM areas.
velopment and encourage application of a science of In the 15 years since the 50th anniversary, the
management. Obviously, direct measurement of the dominance of OM and OR has eroded somewhat.
journal’s impact on the evolution of a science of As shown in Figure 1, since 2015, the finance de-
management is impossible. So, we focus instead on partment has received the largest number of sub-
policies and processes used to attract and evaluate missions among Management Science departments. It
papers and proxies for quality and impact of the results. is likely that this is associated with the rapidly emerg-
To avoid repetition of a previous retrospective ing financial technology, including peer-to-peer lend-
analysis that was done on the occasion of the 50th ing, digital payment systems, and cryptocurrencies, all
anniversary 15 years ago, we begin by summarizing of which require the integration of economics and
the following key observations from that review management science techniques, for example, game
(Hopp 2004): theory, contract design, and operational management,
• From 1954–1969, the journal operated without with traditional finance.
departments. Submissions were made to the editor- With the finance department leading in submission
in-chief, who guided them to members of the editorial volume, operations management has been second,
board for review. followed by behavioral economics and marketing. A
• Since 1969, the journal has used a departmental reasonable interpretation is that Management Science
structure, in which authors submit papers to the is attracting a more balanced disciplinary mix of
department that best fits their work. This led to an papers that address the science of management.
expansion of the editorial board to include qualified Management Science has also continued to attract
associate editors in the fields represented by the papers from Nobel Prize–winning authors. Table 1
departments. shows that the set of Nobelist authors has added 5
• The number and names of departments have shifted new members since 2014, bringing the total to 22 as of
over time. For example, although finance and marketing 2018. To gain insight into the journal’s perfor-
have been stable since 1969, accounting wasn’t added mance relative to its mission, it is instructive to look at
until 1988. OR and operations management (OM) why these eminent economists chose to publish in
Hopp and Simchi-Levi: Management Science: Past and Future
4 Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–11, © 2020 INFORMS

Figure 1. Management Science Publications by Discipline, 2003–2018

Management Science. Examination of their papers to situations in which players have incomplete infor-
shows that some (e.g., Roth) had backgrounds in OR mation. Harsanyi’s work, along with that of other
or were polymaths (e.g., Arrow, Simon) who worked game theory pioneers, created a revolution that has
in many fields and published in Management Science profoundly shaped the paradigm for understanding
as a premier OM/OR outlet. Others (e.g., Heckman, competition used in economics over the past 30 years.
Myerson, Aumann) published commentaries about Kahneman won the Nobel “for having integrated
current status and future directions of research. But, insights from psychological research into economic
most importantly, some of the Nobelists (e.g., Harsanyi, science, especially concerning human judgment
Kahneman) published in Management Science because and decision-making under uncertainty” (Royal
they were doing work so revolutionary it was not Swedish Academy of Sciences 2002) In 1979, he and
yet part of mainstream economics. In Kuhnian terms, Tversky published two seminal papers, one on
they were developing new paradigms that would prospect theory in Econometrica and the other on
fundamentally alter the field. prediction in Management Science (Kahneman and
For example, Harsanyi won the Nobel for “pio- Tversky 1979a, b). These plus a 1974 Science paper
neering analysis of equilibria in the theory of non-
cooperative games” (Royal Swedish Academy of Table 1. Nobel Prize–Winning Management Science Authors
Sciences 1994) The three papers that comprised the and Years of Their Prizes
foundation for his prize were all published in Man- 2017 Richard Thaler 1994 Reinhard Selten, 1994
agement Science (Harsanyi 1967, 1968a, 1968b). Al- 2013 Eugene F. Fama 1994 John Harsanyi, 1994
though the foundations for game theory had been 2012 Alvin Roth 1990 William F. Sharpe,1990
established by Von Neumann and Morgenstern (1944) 2007 Roger Myerson 1990 Harry Markowitz, 1990
2005 Robert Aumann 1990 Franco Modigliani, 1990
and Nash (1950), game theorists were largely distinct
2004 Finn Kydland 1988 Maurice Allais, 1988
from economists in the 1960–1970s and published pre- 2003 Robert F. Engle 1984 Richard E. Stone, 1984
dominantly outside the economics literature.2 Harsanyi, 2002 Vernon L. Smith 1978 Herbert Simon, 1978
who had PhD degrees in philosophy and sociology, 2002 Daniel Kahneman 1975 Tjalling Koopmans, 1975
found the editors of the relatively young Management 2000 James Heckman 1972 Kenneth Arrow, 1972
1995 Robert E. Lucas, Jr. 1970 Paul Samuelson, 1970
Science to be receptive to papers extending game theory
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on heuristics and biases (Tversky and Kahneman distortion. With over 5,000 Google citations, this
1974) formed the core of Kahneman’s prize-winning paper is one of the most highly cited papers ever
research.3 Prior to the Science and Management Sci- published in Management Science or the operations
ence papers, almost all of Kahneman’s research had management field. Again, one of us is among the
appeared in mainstream psychology journals, which many scholars who have fleshed out the insights and
was not surprising given that all of his degrees were implications of this path breaking paper (see Chen
in psychology. The Econometrica paper was the first et al. 2000).
of Kahneman’s works to appear in an economics However, although chaining and the bullwhip ef-
journal. He would not publish regularly in the eco- fect are now integral parts of the OM research par-
nomics literature until the 1990s, by which time his adigm, neither paper was straightforward to publish.
work and that of other behavioral scholars was be- Both went through multiple rounds of review and
ginning to shift the economics paradigm away from faced significant criticism from the referees, and both
a rigidly rational model of human behavior and toward took over a year to revise. The likely reason is that
incorporation of an empirically realistic one. neither paper had the typical characteristics that
Helping to promote the game theory and behav- made OM papers easy for referees to recommend for
ioral revolutions in economics is a major accom- acceptance at that time. Neither paper represented a
plishment in line with the mission to promote a sci- significant methodological advance. Neither stated
ence of management. But the question of whether their purpose as a well-defined optimization problem
Management Science can replicate this accomplish- or a simple hypothesis and neither demonstrated
ment in the future and across the range of manage- their contribution through a direct argument (e.g., an
ment disciplines depends on why the journal was able analytic proof or empirical analysis of a novel data
to attract and recognize the importance of these set). Instead, both papers made use of multiple
paradigm-changing papers. One possible answer is models and arguments to understand different facets
that in the 1960s and 1970s, Management Science was of the phenomenon they were examining. As a result,
younger and hungrier than the older and more reading these papers is a little like peeling back the
prestigious economics journals. But if that is the case, layers of an onion: Our understanding increases as each
it begs the question of whether the journal is still successive layer is revealed. But, as any experienced
capable of recognizing the importance of uncon- OM scholar knows, a layered, multimodel argument is
ventional but important papers now that it has be- generally a much more difficult sell to referees than is a
come established as a premier management journal. direct analysis of a crisp problem statement.
To help us understand the editorial challenges of So how did these two papers get through the review
handling such papers, it is instructive to consider process despite the concerns raised by the referees
some more recent cases in an established area where and go on to become classics of the OM canon?
acceptance standards are high. We do this by con- We suspect a big reason is that both had the benefit
sidering two important OM papers published in of department editors who were exceptional scholars
Management Science in the 1990s. (Joe Thomas of Cornell for the chaining paper and
The first paper is “Principles on the Benefits of Marshall Fisher of Penn for the bullwhip paper) who
Manufacturing Process Flexibility” by Jordan and had the confidence to make judgment calls that ma-
Graves (1995), which showed that a manufacturing terially helped the papers through the review process.
system comprised of plants with very limited prod- The bullwhip paper also had the good fortune to be
uct flexibility can respond almost as effectively to part of a special issue where the issue editors (Mar-
fluctuations in demand mix as a system made up of shall Fisher and Steve Graves—yes, the same Graves
fully flexible plants, provided the product flexibil- who coauthored the chaining paper) were proactively
ity exhibits an overlapping pattern the authors seeking new and innovative research in OM. As a
called “chaining.” result, the editors were willing to take the risk of a
This paper has nearly 900 Google citations and has type I error associated with publishing an uncon-
inspired research into flexibility in a wide range of ventional paper in order to avoid the risk of a type II
contexts, including by both of us in studies of error from not publishing an influential, paradigm-
workforce flexibility (Hopp et al. 2004) and supply changing paper.
chain robustness (Simchi-Levi et al. 2018). Of course, it is easy to praise the courage of editors
The second paper is “Information Distortion in a after the test of time has ratified their decisions. But
Supply Chain: The Bullwhip Effect” (Lee et al. 1997), decisive actions by editors on behalf of potentially
which described four mechanisms that cause an order game-changing papers can backfire. One of the most
stream to become more variable as it moves up- infamous cases of a type I error was the “cold fusion”
stream in a supply chain and management actions paper of Fleischmann and Pons (1989), which was
for mitigating the consequences of this information published only four weeks after submission and
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before other scientists had an opportunity to replicate In addition to interdisciplinarity, another trend that
the results. is important to the match of research to practice is
After a flurry of failed attempts at replication, cold data. We will take up this trend in more detail in the
fusion was repudiated within a few weeks of publi- next section. But for purposes of our historical survey,
cation and the field moved on. But the frenzy created Figure 3 shows the fraction of Management Science
by the publication probably resulted in millions of papers that contain different types of data. This in-
dollars spent replicating a result that never should dicates that papers making use of synthetic data are
have been published (see Huizenga 1993 for a more on the decline; papers using laboratory or experi-
detailed summary and assessment). Wilson (2002) mental data are flat; and papers using real-world data
provides a list of good peer review practices that are on the rise. This is almost certainly a good thing
were violated in the cold fusion case. Clearly, in because the big data revolution is both spurring an
addition to having editors willing to take chances on increase in the use of data in management practice
potentially paradigm-changing papers, we also need and generating an abundance of data for research
editors and processes who understand and respect purposes. However, as shown in Figure 4, the use of
the scientific publishing process. real-world data is not even across departments. For
Attracting and recognizing paradigm-changing pa- example, most Finance and Information Systems pa-
pers within the various management disciplines is a key pers make use of real-world data, whereas less than
way Management Science can help promote the de- half of Marketing and Operations Management pa-
velopment of a science of management. But it is not pers do so. This may indicate an opportunity to in-
enough. Disciplines are useful academic abstractions crease the relevance and timeliness of research in
that divide the practice of management into subareas some management disciplines.
amenable to different research paradigms. But be- Finally, one last historical trend that bears noting is
cause the practice of management cuts across disci- the increase in the length of Management Science pa-
plines, it will ultimately become necessary for re- pers, shown in Figure 5. Although the shift away from
search to do so as well. An essential way to execute paper publishing is easing the physical publishing
interdisciplinary research is to have scholars from constraints on journal pages, there is still a limit to the
different disciplines, as well as scholars and practi- number of pages readers can read and reviewers can
tioners, work together. Figure 2 shows that the frac- review. Hence, a continued increase in length will
tion of papers in Management Science with these types ultimately impede the impact of papers on research
of interdisciplinary authorship teams has increased and practice. This needs to be factored into plans for
modestly over the past decade.4 the journal’s future.

Figure 2. Fraction and Type of Interdisciplinary Papers, 2001–2018


Hopp and Simchi-Levi: Management Science: Past and Future
Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–11, © 2020 INFORMS 7

Figure 3. Percentage of Management Science Papers with Data, 2003–2018

3. Future Trends, Challenges, and Actions submission volume creates subtle incentives for ed-
Finally, we shift our focus from the past to the future. itors and referees to elevate acceptance standards.
To help us identify actions that will enable Manage- To ensure published papers are worthy of the Man-
ment Science to execute on its mission, we first identify agement Science imprimatur, review teams make in-
some key trends in research, technology, and business creasingly stringent demands aimed at minimizing
that are affecting what is currently happening in the type I errors. Although high standards are appropriate
journal and what needs to happen in the future. In our for a flagship journal, a drift toward excessive risk
opinion, the following are the most important: aversion poses two important problems. First, increased
1. Editorial conservatism: As noted earlier, the rising emphasis on reducing type I errors can lead to higher
stature of the journal and the associated growth in type II errors, which threatens the journal’s ability to

Figure 4. Percentage of Management Science Papers in Various Disciplines with Real-World Data, 2003–2018
Hopp and Simchi-Levi: Management Science: Past and Future
8 Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–11, © 2020 INFORMS

Figure 5. Average Length of Papers in Management Science, 1980–2018

serve as a channel for important paradigm-changing cocreation, etc.) is spurring new business models and
papers. Second, as review teams become increasingly hence new business challenges.
fastidious about publication standards and find ever The following are concrete steps that are being
smaller reasons to reject papers, authors respond taken or discussed to address the challenges pre-
predictably by attempting to deflect potential criti- sented by the above-listed trends:
cisms. This leads to more cases, more results, and A. Editorial empowerment: A direct way to counter
more exposition, which makes papers longer and the drift toward excessive editorial conservativism is
more difficult to read and review. to rest decision making in the hands of department
2. Digitization and automation: Almost every aspect editors who have an appropriate sense of the type I/
of human behavior, from financial transactions and type II risk balance that should be struck. We noted
healthcare procedures to social media interactions earlier that the paradigm-changing papers on chaining
and entertainment preferences, are being captured (Jordan and Graves 1995) and the bullwhip effect (Lee
and stored in digital form. At the same time, formerly et al. 1997) were accepted by eminent and visionary
manual decisions, such as pricing, are increasingly editors who were confident enough to influence and
being turned over to computers. This revolution even overrule referees. We suspect that many of the
portends a seismic shift in business as well as other other unconventional but influential papers pub-
spheres of human existence. lished during Management Science’s 65-year history
3. Data analytics: The combination of machine learn- had similar editorial intervention. Hence, it is vital
ing and optimization is fundamentally changing the that the department editor roles be filled by indi-
way data are analyzed. In a reversal of the approach viduals willing and able to act as editors rather than
of traditional statistics, which uses data to fit a pre- vote counters. Recruiting such individuals is one of
determined model, analytics approaches make it pos- the most important functions of the editor-in-chief.
sible to create useful models directly from data. This is Beyond finding the right people, it is also important
already having a profound impact on management to train and support editors and to manage expec-
practice and has the potential to completely transform tations of review teams. A major reason for the re-
the traditional model/analysis approach to research. luctance of department editors to overrule associate
4. Healthcare: In the United States, healthcare has editors or referees is that all of these roles are vol-
increased from about 5% of the gross domestic product unteer jobs. It is natural for a department editor to
in 1960 to about 18% today. In addition to being big- worry that a volunteer associate editor or referee who
ger than ever before, the public/private mix of players feels that his or her views have not been respected will
and the idiosyncratic structure of the payment system not accept a future review request. Hence, it is vital
makes healthcare one of the most managerially complex that department editors be informed they have been
industries in existence. appointed on the basis of their expertise and judge-
5. Sharing economy: The rise of the sharing economy ment and are, therefore, expected to execute them.
and all its variants (e.g., access economy, gig econ- At the same time, the editor-in-chief needs to (a) back
omy, circular economy, collaborative consumption, up the judgement calls of the department editors
on-demand economy, peer economy, rental economy, and (b) help the rest of the editorial board understand
Hopp and Simchi-Levi: Management Science: Past and Future
Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–11, © 2020 INFORMS 9

that their roles are to advise the department editors, “Behavioral Economics and Finance,” and “Business
not to cast votes on papers. Analytics.” In 2018, Management Science introduced a
B. Reshaping department structure: One way to re- special issue on Data-Driven Prescriptive Analytics.
spond to big trends in business practice and/or re- Following our earlier discussion, it is not surprising
search is to shift the department structure. Since that this special was focused on papers that lever-
departments were introduced in 1969, the number age predictive and descriptive analytics to derive
and nature of the departments has been updated effective solutions for business problems. The special
many times. Some of these changes may have re- issue has attracted a significant number of submis-
flected the tastes of the editor-in-chief. But most of sions, in part, because it emphasized interdisciplin-
them were attempts to better match departments and ary research that brings together disciplines such
editors to contemporary areas of management re- as finance, marketing, operations management, and
search and practice. A recent example is the behav- data science.
ioral economics department, which was introduced in More recently, Management Science introduced a
2011 to publish original research related to behavioral new special issue on business and climate change.
economics that also had important managerial im- Climate change poses major risks and opportunities
plications for business and public policy. As such, the for a wide array of companies and industries—and to
department was intended to serve as an instrument to society at large. Because climate change needs to be
encourage incorporation of the behavioral paradigm studied from various functional lenses as well as
created by Kahneman and his contemporaries into cross-disciplinary ones, the guest editors, who are
the science of management. However, as behavioral experts on the topic, span the various disciplines
economics increasingly became part of mainstream covered by the journal: accounting and finance, busi-
economics, the need for a separate department ebbed. ness strategy, entrepreneurship and innovation, op-
To attract papers specifically related to the science of erations, and organizations.
management, rather than of general interest to the D. Fast Track submissions: Special issues are a good
economics or psychology communities, the behavioral way to attract papers in specific areas. But paradigm-
economics department was eliminated in 2018 and the changing papers don’t always surface in predictable
topic was incorporated into the decision analysis de- areas. Neither Harsanyi’s game theory paper nor
partment. Note that a similar sequence occurred with Kahneman’s behavioral economics paper appeared in
game theory, which had a separate department from special issues. To attract and accept major papers like
1969–1985, after which the topic was addressed in a these in the future, Management Science needs mech-
business-focused manner in the operations manage- anisms beyond that of the special issue process.
ment, business strategy, and other departments. The most recent mechanism for encouraging big-
In 2018, three new departments were introduced to idea, big-impact articles is the Fast Track submission
respond to some of the trends listed earlier. The big process, introduced in 2018. By explicitly soliciting
data analytics department and the revenue man- papers that make very specific contributions with
agement and market analytics departments were set strong potential to influence future research and re-
up to encourage and disseminate research relevant warding these with a streamlined review process, the
to the digitization/automation and data analytics Fast Track system is designed to attract paradigm-
trends, whereas the healthcare management depart- changing papers. Furthermore, by narrowing the role
ment was established to promote research related to of referees to checking technical correctness and
the revolution in healthcare. It is entirely possible that clarity, the process clearly places subjective judge-
the big data analytics department could prove to be a ments in the hands of the department editors, so they
transitional department that eventually gets merged can take appropriate risks. Finally, by limiting Fast
into one or more departments as analytics becomes Track papers to 25 pages, this policy may help to
an established part of many streams of management mitigate the increasing trend in paper length.
research. But this is to be expected as departmental In 2018, Management Science received 240 submis-
structure evolves to keep abreast of a changing world. sions to the Fast Track, whereas in 2019 we received
C. Special issues: Another way to promote research more than 300 submissions. The average cycle time
targeted at important topics is the use of special is- from submission to first decision for Fast Track papers
sues. As we noted earlier, the bullwhip paper (Lee is significantly below that of regular submissions: In
et al. 1997) was published in a special issue. Since 2019 (2018), it was 30 (21) days for Fast Track and
the 50th anniversary issue, Management Science has 68 (61) for regular submissions. Finally, as expected,
published special issues on “Incentives and Coordi- the acceptance rate for Fast Track papers (about 8%)
nation in Operations Management,” “Electronic Mar- is a bit lower than the acceptance rate for regular
kets,” “Open Source Software,” “Strategic Dynam- papers (about 10%) implying that the bar for big-idea,
ics,” “Marketing Within the Enterprise and Beyond,” big-impact articles is a bit higher.
Hopp and Simchi-Levi: Management Science: Past and Future
10 Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–11, © 2020 INFORMS

E. Data and code disclosure: As we noted above, through research alone. Researchers need to work
data of all types is rapidly becoming available; the with practitioners to understand the essential chal-
number of Management Science papers making use of lenges they face. Scholars also need to disseminate
real-world data are also on the rise. We expect this their results beyond the research community so that
trend to continue and for data-driven research to practitioners can make use of them. This is one of the
become increasingly central to the development of a objectives of the featured article: summarize and trans-
science of management. To enable scholars to repli- late scientific research to the general public in a way that
cate results and avoid or correct type II errors like that is meaningful and insightful for that audience.
in the cold fusion case, it is vital to disclose the data In conclusion, looking back over the first 65 years of
underlying research results. Management Science has Management Science, it is clear that great progress has
had a policy encouraging data disclosure since 2013. been made toward the goal of promoting develop-
As of 2019, this policy has been strengthened to re- ment and encouraging the application of a science of
quire data disclosure unless precluded by confiden- management. The journal has expanded from a nar-
tiality restrictions. Because emerging data analysis row emphasis on OR/OM to a broad synthesis of the
often relies on computational methods, for which full range of business disciplines. It has been a ma-
tuning and other implementation details affect the jor channel for some of the most important break-
results, this policy also requires disclosure of code throughs in economics as well as the traditional
used to generate the results. The policy only allows business disciplines (see the other retrospective ar-
use of the data and code for replication purposes ticles for more detailed discussion of these). And a
unless permission is obtained from the authors for number of the research results published in the journal
additional uses. The new data and code disclosure have become standard parts of management practice.
policy is available online at https://pubsonline.informs Here are a few memorable examples:
.org/page/mnsc/datapolicy. • Holt, Modigliani, Muth, and Simon’s model (Holt
F. Web-based discussion forum: An important em- et al. 1955, 1956) is the foundation for modern pro-
phasis by Management Science’s previous and current duction and sales planning technologies.
editor-in-chiefs is to encourage new areas that have • Wagner and Whitin’s dynamic lot-size (Wagner
not traditionally been explored. One way to achieve and Whitin 1958) is now an important building block
this objective is to publish special issues and surveys in today’s supply chain planning.
that define or highlight the state of the art in an • Frank M. Bass’ model (Bass 1969) is widely used
emerging area. A second vehicle, as observed in the in forecasting sales of new products.
January 2018 editorial statement (Simchi-Levi 2018), • The chaining strategy (Jordan and Graves 1995)
is to facilitate a web-based discussion that will feature discussed before has influenced the way process
an important paper and facilitate comments from flexibility is applied in a variety of industries.
readers of the journal. Along this line, the blog page • The bullwhip paper (Lee at al. 1997) mentioned
of Management Science’s website is a new feature earlier motivated management practices around in-
implemented in 2018. Since that time, the journal formation sharing, lead time reduction, and every-
has introduced a featured article in every issue and day low pricing strategies to cope with the increase
summarized the paper’s contribution in a short blog. in variability.
From time to time, the journal asks industry and At the same time, there has never been a more
academic experts to reflect on the featured paper, as exciting time for the future of Management Science. The
was done in the case of the paper by Santiago R. massive increase in data availability, the proliferation
Balseiro and Yonatan Gur (Balseiro and Gur 2019) of analytics tools, and the rise of new business models
where Nicolas Stier-Moses, Facebook Core Data Sci- are converging to create an unprecedented need and
ence, and Ramesh Johari, Stanford University, De- an extraordinary opportunity for the development
partment of Management Science and Engineering, of a science of management. No publication is better
reflected on the importance and contributions of positioned than Management Science to bring together
this research. the people and ideas to exploit this opportunity for
G. Outreach efforts: In the long-term, development the good of humanity.
of a genuine science of management will hinge on
bringing together theory and practice. Only if the
models, analyses, and theories of the academic world Endnotes
1
The Structure of Scientific Revolutions Kuhn (1962) is one of the most
address the challenges faced by practicing managers
highly cited books of all time, with well over 100,000 Google citations
will Management Science achieve Churchman’s vision not counting the one from this article.
to create “a world and local management in the 2
The exception was Econometrica, which published game theory
service of humanity” (Churchman 1994, p. 10). papers earlier than other economics journals. But the Constitution of
Clearly, academics cannot achieve this in isolation the Econometrica Society, which publishes Econometrica, states its
Hopp and Simchi-Levi: Management Science: Past and Future
Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–11, © 2020 INFORMS 11

purpose as “advancement of economic theory in relation to statistics Holt CC, Modigliani F, Muth JF (1956) Derivation of linear decision rule
and mathematics” (Econometric Society 1955, p. 126). So, publishing for production and employment. Management Sci. 2(2):107–195.
mathematics papers, as game theory papers were often regarded, Hopp W (2004) Fifty years of Management Science. Management Sci.
was a natural fit with the mission of Econometrica. 50(1):1–7.
3
Tversky died six years before the Nobel Prize was awarded for his Hopp W, Tekin E, Van Oyen M (2004) Benefits of skill chaining in
joint work with Kahneman. The prize is not awarded posthumously. production lines with cross-trained workers. Management Sci.
4 50(1):83–98.
Note that the numbers in Figure 2 do not include coauthorship by
Horner P (2017) ORSA + TIMS = INFORMS: A look back at 65 years
academics from different business disciplines because business
of problems, solutions, mergers, achievements and anecdotes.
school faculty, unlike faculty in science, engineering, and social
OR/MS Today 44(1), https://www.informs.org/ORMS-Today/
science, give their affiliation at the school level, rather than at the
Public-Articles/February-Volume-44-Number-1/History-Lesson
disciplinary level. At the same time, it includes papers coauthored by
-The-evolution-of-INFORMS.
engineering and business faculty, who could both be OM scholars.
Huizenga JR (1993) Cold Fusion: The Scientific Fiasco of the Century
Because we cannot tell whether the former undercount is larger or
(Oxford University Press, New York).
smaller than the latter overcount, we cannot say whether the fraction
Institute of Management Science (TIMS) (1954) Constitution and By-
of interdisciplinary papers shown in Figure 2 is high or low. How-
Laws of the Institute of Management Science, Management Sci.
ever, we can say that the true number is certainly larger than the total
1(1):97–102.
less the business-engineering papers, which still shows the total
Jordan WC, Graves SC (1995) Principles on the benefits of manu-
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Kahneman D, Tversky A (1979a) Prospect theory: An analysis of
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