Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Presentation of
the Q2/2023
report
Martin Lindqvist, President & CEO
Leena Craelius, CFO
July 21, 2023
Agenda
− Q2/23 in brief
− Financials
− Outlook and summary
− Q&A
2
1. Q2/23 in brief
Highlights in Q2
Somewhat higher Focus on actions Good trend in Strong
earnings vs. Q1/23 to lower costs safety balance sheet
+5%
6,742
2.3
4,733 4,963 1.80
3,768
1.06 1.01
-10.3
-11.7
Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23 2019 2020 2021 2022 Q2/23 2019 2020 2021 2022 Q2/23
Operating result (adj) SEK m Lost time injury frequency Net cash, SEK bn.
Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23 Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23
Operating result (adj), SEK m Shipments, ktonnes
5
SSAB
Americas
Earnings on Shipments Stable market
good level somewhat lower prices during H1
-5%
3,511 -1% 476 476 120
451
3,034 416 418 100
2,725 2,675 2,642
80
60
40
20
0
2112 2203 2206 2209 2212 2303 2306
Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23 Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23
0 40
20
-229
Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23 Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23 0
Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23 2112 2203 2206 2209 2212 2303 2306
Operating result (adj) SEK m Crude production, ktonnes Shipments, ktonnes Northern Europe, HRC (indexed)
− Record earnings last year − Automotive AHSS on high − Lower prices in Q3 due to
level normal lag
− Measures to lower costs
− Low shipments of
7
construction related products
Ruukki
Tibnor Construction
Inventory losses Further actions to
Lower shipments continue Weak market reduce cost
-15%
242 608 2,020 +17% 209
229
212 206 1,739
183 1,534 1,559 156
1,329
1
-50
-181 10
-408 -1 -9
Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23 Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23 Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23 Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23
Shipments, ktonnes Operating result (adj), SEK m Revenue, SEK m Operating result (adj), SEK m
− Weak market conditions − Record high Q2/22 with − Seasonal improvement − Positive effect of cost
inventory gains vs. Q1/23 less savings in Q2 (SEK 20m)
− Measures to lower costs pronounced than normal
8
Leading the green transformation – Q2 summary
Photo
− Ramp-up of SSAB
Zero
− Investment decision in
Oxelösund
− Study to explore
possibilities for DRI in
Raahe
− High-level TTC
meeting in Luleå
9
Plan to fossil-free production on track
Stepwise transformation
1 2 3 4
Zero Steel Oxelösund EAF 1st Mini-Mill 2nd Mini-Mill
10
Luleå mini-mill Raahe mini-mill
− Policy decision in Jan 2022 − Policy decision in Jan 2022
− Dependent on grid connection and electricity − Positive signals on grid connections and
– discussions on-going with relevant electricity
authorities
− Close blast furnace, coke plant and strip mill
− Integrated process – meltshop, hot strip mill
and cold mill complex in one facility − Integrated process – steelmaking and direct
rolling in one process line
− Production of high-strength and premium
steel for the European market − Option to add hydrogen DRI (Hybrit)
11
2. Financials
Some improvement in Q2/23 vs. Q1/23
Revenue (SEK million) Steel shipments (ktonnes)
40,000 2,000
35,000
30,000 1,500
25,000
20,000 1,000
15,000
10,000 500
5,000
0 0
20Q1
20Q2
20Q3
20Q4
21Q1
21Q2
21Q3
21Q4
22Q1
22Q2
22Q3
22Q4
23Q1
23Q2
20Q1
20Q2
20Q3
20Q4
21Q1
21Q2
21Q3
21Q4
22Q1
22Q2
22Q3
22Q4
23Q1
23Q2
EBITDA (Adj) EBITDA (Adj) per tonne delivered steel (SEK/tonne)
12,000 35 7,000
Adj. EBITDA (SEK million) 6,000
10,000 30
Adj. EBITDA margin (%) 5,000
8,000 25
20 4,000
6,000
15 3,000
4,000
10 2,000
2,000 5 1,000
0 0 0
-2,000 -5 -1,000
20Q1
20Q2
20Q3
20Q4
21Q1
21Q2
21Q3
21Q4
22Q1
22Q2
22Q3
22Q4
23Q1
23Q2
20Q1
20Q2
20Q3
20Q4
21Q1
21Q2
21Q3
21Q4
22Q1
22Q2
22Q3
22Q4
23Q1
23Q2
13
Change in operating result (adj)
Q2/23 vs. Q1/23
Weaker SEK impacted
raw material. Inventory
adjustments and higher
CO2 cost
-105
-645
1,270
-420 4,963
4,733 40 90
14
Change in operating result (adj)
Q2/23 vs. Q2/22
Lower prices in
SSAB Europe and
10,395
SSAB Americas
-2,055
4,963
-365 58 125
15
Solid cash flow
Q2/23 Q2/22 2022
SEK millions FY
EBITDA 5,871 11,234 32,340
Change in working capital 1,094 -3,396 -8,279
Maintenance capital expenditures -473 -429 -2,196
Other -211 -286 828
Operating cash flow 6,281 7,124 22,693
Financial items 91 -42 -17
Income taxes -1,672 -1,636 -5,947
Cash flow from current operations 4,699 5,446 16,729
Strategic expenditures in plants and machinery -325 -478 -1,952
Acquisitions of shares and operations 0 -148 -537
Investments in affiliated companies and JVs - - -79
Divestments of shares and operations 61 - -
Cash flow before dividend 4,435 4,820 14,161
Dividend, Parent company's shareholders -8,960 -5,406 -5,406
Dividend, non-controlling interest -2 -7 -7
Acquisitions of shares, non-controlling interest - - -
Net cash flow -4,526 -593 8,748
16
Strong financial position
17
Raw material
SSAB’s purchase price, year over year changes Market prices (AMM)
− The cost of raw materials is expected to be somewhat lower − Scrap prices stabilizing in July
than prior quarter
18
Cash needs of the business
− Total cash needs1) in 2023 estimated at around SEK 11bn
(unchanged)
~11
− Higher strategic capex vs. 2022 due to ramp-up of Oxelösund
conversion 10.0
Capex
− As a starting point, a stable taxes paid has been assumed. It (maintenance ~5
will, however, depend on the level of earnings in 2023. and strategic) 4.1
Taxes 5.9
2022 2023F
1) Cash needs defined as capex, interest paid and taxes paid.
Excluding working capital
19
Expected maintenance costs
− SSAB’s total maintenance costs for 2023
are expected to be SEK 1,550 (1,540)
million, unchanged to previous forecast SEK million Q1/23 Q2/23 Q3/23 Q4/23 FY
− Most maintenance to be carried out in Q4 2023
SSAB Special Steels - - 75 600 675
20
3. Outlook and summary
SSAB’s outlook for main customer segments Q3/2023
Segment Demand Comments Strong Neutral Weak
22
SSAB’s outlook for Q3/2023
- Demand in Europe weakened during Q2
and there is a risk of a more pronounced
downturn than normal in Q3
Volume and pricing outlook
- Demand on the heavy plate market in
North America is expected to continue at Q3/23 vs. Q2/23 Shipments Realized prices
a good level
SSAB Special Steels Somewhat lower Somewhat lower
− Demand for high-strength steel has been
good, but customers are showing signs SSAB Europe Significantly lower Lower
of a more cautious sentiment
SSAB Americas Somewhat higher Stable
Definitions: Significantly lower (>10%), Lower (5-10%), Somewhat lower (0-5%), Stable
(~0%), Somewhat higher (0-5%), Higher (5-10%), Significantly higher (>10%)
23
Summary
− Continued good trend in safety
− Weaker European market – measures to
reduce cost
− Good cash flow generation
− Strong financial position
− Leading the green transition
− Investment decision for Oxelösund
− Ramp-up of SSAB Zero
− Exploring possibilities for DRI in Raahe
24
4. Questions and
Answers
Appendix
26
Debt portfolio duration and interest rate
2018 Q1
2018 Q2
2018 Q3
2018 Q4
2019 Q1
2019 Q2
2019 Q3
2019 Q4
2020 Q1
2020 Q2
2020 Q3
2020 Q4
2021 Q1
2021 Q2
2021 Q3
2021 Q4
2022 Q1
2022 Q2
2022 Q3
2022 Q4
2023 Q1
2023 Q2
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
27
Maturity profile
− Liquid assets and committed credit SEK m
lines at SEK 33.3 bn
40,000
35,000
30,000
Back-up
25,000
facilities
20,000
15,000
10,000
Cash
5,000
0
Cash and 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027+
back-up
facilities
28