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SSAB

Presentation of
the Q2/2023
report
Martin Lindqvist, President & CEO
Leena Craelius, CFO
July 21, 2023
Agenda
− Q2/23 in brief
− Financials
− Outlook and summary
− Q&A

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1. Q2/23 in brief
Highlights in Q2
Somewhat higher Focus on actions Good trend in Strong
earnings vs. Q1/23 to lower costs safety balance sheet

10,395 4.20 14.3


3.70 11.7

+5%
6,742
2.3
4,733 4,963 1.80
3,768
1.06 1.01

-10.3
-11.7
Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23 2019 2020 2021 2022 Q2/23 2019 2020 2021 2022 Q2/23

Operating result (adj) SEK m Lost time injury frequency Net cash, SEK bn.

− − Dividend of SEK 9bn paid in Q2


− Continued good result in Special Target to reduce Group costs by
Steels and Americas more than SEK 500m − Good cash generation during
− Q2
− Weak European market and Temporary and permanent
uncertain outlook layoffs, work-hours bank,
restrictions on new hires and
4 other fixed costs
SSAB Special
Steels
Earnings on good Shipments improving
level from Q1/23
+4%
2,373 2,390
2,094 2,003 396
336 349 364
305
1,369

Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23 Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23
Operating result (adj), SEK m Shipments, ktonnes

− Q4/22 impacted by − European market weaker


planned maintenance than in Q2/22

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SSAB
Americas
Earnings on Shipments Stable market
good level somewhat lower prices during H1
-5%
3,511 -1% 476 476 120
451
3,034 416 418 100
2,725 2,675 2,642
80

60

40

20

0
2112 2203 2206 2209 2212 2303 2306
Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23 Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23

Operating result (adj), SEK m Shipments, ktonnes US plate price (indexed)

− Prices 2% higher vs. Q1/23 − Generally good demand


− Q2 impacted by bad
weather conditions
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SSAB
Europe
Higher result vs. Stable production Shipments Market prices
previous quarter during H1 stable decreased in Q2
-1%

4,069 1,049 1,068 905 1,141 1,142 912 907 160


838
778 140
713
120
100
1,446 80
764 60

0 40
20
-229
Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23 Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23 0
Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23 2112 2203 2206 2209 2212 2303 2306

Operating result (adj) SEK m Crude production, ktonnes Shipments, ktonnes Northern Europe, HRC (indexed)

− Record earnings last year − Automotive AHSS on high − Lower prices in Q3 due to
level normal lag
− Measures to lower costs
− Low shipments of
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construction related products
Ruukki
Tibnor Construction
Inventory losses Further actions to
Lower shipments continue Weak market reduce cost
-15%
242 608 2,020 +17% 209
229
212 206 1,739
183 1,534 1,559 156
1,329
1
-50
-181 10

-408 -1 -9
Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23 Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23 Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23 Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23

Shipments, ktonnes Operating result (adj), SEK m Revenue, SEK m Operating result (adj), SEK m

− Weak market conditions − Record high Q2/22 with − Seasonal improvement − Positive effect of cost
inventory gains vs. Q1/23 less savings in Q2 (SEK 20m)
− Measures to lower costs pronounced than normal
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Leading the green transformation – Q2 summary
Photo

− Ramp-up of SSAB
Zero
− Investment decision in
Oxelösund
− Study to explore
possibilities for DRI in
Raahe
− High-level TTC
meeting in Luleå

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Plan to fossil-free production on track
Stepwise transformation
1 2 3 4
Zero Steel Oxelösund EAF 1st Mini-Mill 2nd Mini-Mill

• Produce Zero steel • Replace current • First mini-mill • Second mini-mill


in Iowa, USA blast furnaces and operational – either operational – either
• Continue fossil-free coke plant Luleå or Raahe Luleå or Raahe
pilot shipments • Melt scrap and • Close current coal- • Close current coal-
HYBRIT sponge based system based system
iron also in Europe

100-200 ktonnes ~1.5 million tonnes ~4 million tonnes ~4 million tonnes


CO2 saved per year CO2 saved per year CO2 saved per year CO2 saved per year

Now ~2026 ~2028 ~2030


Decision taken in Q2 Point of decision: Point of decision:
2024 2026

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Luleå mini-mill Raahe mini-mill
− Policy decision in Jan 2022 − Policy decision in Jan 2022
− Dependent on grid connection and electricity − Positive signals on grid connections and
– discussions on-going with relevant electricity
authorities
− Close blast furnace, coke plant and strip mill
− Integrated process – meltshop, hot strip mill
and cold mill complex in one facility − Integrated process – steelmaking and direct
rolling in one process line
− Production of high-strength and premium
steel for the European market − Option to add hydrogen DRI (Hybrit)

Finishing & Shipping


Meltshop

Cold Mill Complex

Hot Strip Mill

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2. Financials
Some improvement in Q2/23 vs. Q1/23
Revenue (SEK million) Steel shipments (ktonnes)
40,000 2,000
35,000
30,000 1,500
25,000
20,000 1,000
15,000
10,000 500
5,000
0 0
20Q1

20Q2

20Q3

20Q4

21Q1

21Q2

21Q3

21Q4

22Q1

22Q2

22Q3

22Q4

23Q1

23Q2

20Q1

20Q2

20Q3

20Q4

21Q1

21Q2

21Q3

21Q4

22Q1

22Q2

22Q3

22Q4

23Q1

23Q2
EBITDA (Adj) EBITDA (Adj) per tonne delivered steel (SEK/tonne)
12,000 35 7,000
Adj. EBITDA (SEK million) 6,000
10,000 30
Adj. EBITDA margin (%) 5,000
8,000 25
20 4,000
6,000
15 3,000
4,000
10 2,000
2,000 5 1,000
0 0 0
-2,000 -5 -1,000
20Q1

20Q2

20Q3

20Q4

21Q1

21Q2

21Q3

21Q4

22Q1

22Q2

22Q3

22Q4

23Q1

23Q2

20Q1
20Q2
20Q3
20Q4
21Q1
21Q2
21Q3
21Q4
22Q1
22Q2
22Q3
22Q4
23Q1
23Q2
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Change in operating result (adj)
Q2/23 vs. Q1/23
Weaker SEK impacted
raw material. Inventory
adjustments and higher
CO2 cost
-105
-645
1,270
-420 4,963
4,733 40 90

Mainly SSAB Summer temps and


Europe higher repair &
maintenance

Q1/23 Price Volume Variable Fixed costs FX Capacity Q2/23


COGS utilization

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Change in operating result (adj)
Q2/23 vs. Q2/22
Lower prices in
SSAB Europe and
10,395
SSAB Americas

-2,895 Weaker SEK impacted


raw material. Inventory
adjustments and higher
CO2 cost
-300

-2,055

4,963
-365 58 125

Q2/22 Price Volume Variable COGS Fixed costs FX Capacity Q2/23


utilization

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Solid cash flow
Q2/23 Q2/22 2022
SEK millions FY
EBITDA 5,871 11,234 32,340
Change in working capital 1,094 -3,396 -8,279
Maintenance capital expenditures -473 -429 -2,196
Other -211 -286 828
Operating cash flow 6,281 7,124 22,693
Financial items 91 -42 -17
Income taxes -1,672 -1,636 -5,947
Cash flow from current operations 4,699 5,446 16,729
Strategic expenditures in plants and machinery -325 -478 -1,952
Acquisitions of shares and operations 0 -148 -537
Investments in affiliated companies and JVs - - -79
Divestments of shares and operations 61 - -
Cash flow before dividend 4,435 4,820 14,161
Dividend, Parent company's shareholders -8,960 -5,406 -5,406
Dividend, non-controlling interest -2 -7 -7
Acquisitions of shares, non-controlling interest - - -
Net cash flow -4,526 -593 8,748

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Strong financial position

− Net cash of SEK 11.7bn at the end of SEK m


Q2/23 15,000 14,287
− Net debt/equity ratio -17% (-8%) 11,707
10,000
− Dividend paid in Q2 (SEK 8.70 per
share), corresponding to a total of 5,000
SEK 9bn 2,346
0
− Sustainability linked bond in Q2 –
strong interest from the financial -5,000
market
-10,000
-10,278
-11,696
-15,000
2019 2020 2021 2022 Q2/23

Net debt (-) / Net cash (+)

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Raw material
SSAB’s purchase price, year over year changes Market prices (AMM)

Iron ore Coking coal Scrap


USD/gross ton
21% 349%
450
400
5% 6% 211% 350
2% 300
120% 128% 250
-4% 200
44% 150
100
-19% -6% 50
-24% -37% 0
Q4/21 Q1/22 Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23 Q4/21 Q1/22 Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/23 Q2/23

− The cost of raw materials is expected to be somewhat lower − Scrap prices stabilizing in July
than prior quarter

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Cash needs of the business
− Total cash needs1) in 2023 estimated at around SEK 11bn
(unchanged)
~11
− Higher strategic capex vs. 2022 due to ramp-up of Oxelösund
conversion 10.0
Capex
− As a starting point, a stable taxes paid has been assumed. It (maintenance ~5
will, however, depend on the level of earnings in 2023. and strategic) 4.1

Net interest 0.0

Taxes 5.9

2022 2023F
1) Cash needs defined as capex, interest paid and taxes paid.
Excluding working capital

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Expected maintenance costs
− SSAB’s total maintenance costs for 2023
are expected to be SEK 1,550 (1,540)
million, unchanged to previous forecast SEK million Q1/23 Q2/23 Q3/23 Q4/23 FY
− Most maintenance to be carried out in Q4 2023
SSAB Special Steels - - 75 600 675

SSAB Europe - - 350 200 550

SSAB Americas - - - 325 325

Total - - 425 1,125 1,550


Note: The estimates shown in table includes direct maintenance cost and cost of lower capacity utilization (under absorption) but
excludes lost margins.

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3. Outlook and summary
SSAB’s outlook for main customer segments Q3/2023
Segment Demand Comments Strong Neutral Weak

- Signs of slowdown in heavy trucks in Europe


Heavy Transport - Healthy demand from rail car and shipbuilding in the US

- Structurally growing AHSS market


Automotive - Signs of slowdown of car demand (inflation, higher interest rates)

- Good demand in North America


Construction Machinery - Weaker demand in Europe, China weak

- Somewhat cautious sentiment within mining


Material Handling - Stable demand in recycling

- Good demand for wind power and other renewables


Energy

- European market impacted by inflation, higher interest rates


Construction - Weak Nordic market expected throughout 2023

- Low inventories in the US, hesitant due to price level


Service Centers - Inventories normal in Europe, wait-and-see mode

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SSAB’s outlook for Q3/2023
- Demand in Europe weakened during Q2
and there is a risk of a more pronounced
downturn than normal in Q3
Volume and pricing outlook
- Demand on the heavy plate market in
North America is expected to continue at Q3/23 vs. Q2/23 Shipments Realized prices
a good level
SSAB Special Steels Somewhat lower Somewhat lower
− Demand for high-strength steel has been
good, but customers are showing signs SSAB Europe Significantly lower Lower
of a more cautious sentiment
SSAB Americas Somewhat higher Stable

Definitions: Significantly lower (>10%), Lower (5-10%), Somewhat lower (0-5%), Stable
(~0%), Somewhat higher (0-5%), Higher (5-10%), Significantly higher (>10%)

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Summary
− Continued good trend in safety
− Weaker European market – measures to
reduce cost
− Good cash flow generation
− Strong financial position
− Leading the green transition
− Investment decision for Oxelösund
− Ramp-up of SSAB Zero
− Exploring possibilities for DRI in Raahe

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4. Questions and
Answers
Appendix

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Debt portfolio duration and interest rate

− Duration of the loan portfolio was 5.6


(6.2) years 8.0 4.50

− Averaged fixed interest term was 1.3 7.0 4.00


3.50
(1.1) years 6.0
3.00
5.0
− Average interest rate was 4.2% (2.3%) 2.50
4.0
2.00
3.0
1.50
2.0 1.00
1.0 0.50
0.0 0.00

2018 Q1

2018 Q2

2018 Q3

2018 Q4

2019 Q1

2019 Q2

2019 Q3

2019 Q4

2020 Q1

2020 Q2

2020 Q3

2020 Q4

2021 Q1

2021 Q2

2021 Q3

2021 Q4

2022 Q1

2022 Q2

2022 Q3

2022 Q4

2023 Q1

2023 Q2
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Avg. duration (rhs) Avg. interest rate

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Maturity profile
− Liquid assets and committed credit SEK m
lines at SEK 33.3 bn
40,000
35,000
30,000
Back-up
25,000
facilities
20,000
15,000
10,000
Cash
5,000
0
Cash and 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027+
back-up
facilities

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