Professional Documents
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M&A Monitor
September 2023
DATA & TRENDS IN THE EUROPEAN M&A MID-MARKET
Edition
2
Introduction
Thank you for taking the time to read this second edition of the European M&A Monitor. This report
consolidates research performed by Dealsuite, the leading European platform for M&A transactions. It
contains statistics and trends for the Western-European M&A mid-market (enterprises with a revenue
between €1 million and €200 million) over the first half of 2023.
Dealsuite surveyed 1,318 M&A advisory firms operating in the M&A mid-market of the UK&I, DACH, France
and the Netherlands.
The aim of this study is to create periodic insights that improve the European market’s transparency and
to serve as a benchmark for M&A professionals. We have been publishing local/regional reports for
several years now, this is the second time we publish this pan-European report, with a focus on inter-
regional differences, as well as similarities. We are convinced that sharing information within our network
leads to an improved quality and volume of deals.
© 2023 Dealsuite Research. It is not permitted to use, copy or transfer this document
in any form, without referencing to the source and to www.dealsuite.com.
Table of content
I Transactions 4
IV Buyers Intent 12
V Risk Appetite 13
VI Outlook 14
VII References 15
VIII Method 16
IX About Dealsuite 17
Figure 1 shows the development of buy and sell-side transactions over H1-2023 compared to H2-2022.
Figure 1. Development
of transactions in H1-2023
Buy-side Sell-side
compared to H2-2022*
Average**
Buy-side Sell-side
+7.3% +7%
*Development based on average number of transactions per adviser
The challenging economic situation, partly caused by the rising interest rates and high inflation,
resulted in an average decrease in buy-side transactions of 8.5% over all core regions in H2-2022. The
number of sell-side transactions dropped by an average of 7%. In H1-2023, the number of transactions
seems to have recovered. On average, the number of buy-side transactions increased by 7.3%, while
the number of sell-side transactions increased by 7%.
The most significant increase in transactions was reported in the Dutch market. Sell-side transactions
went up with 13%.
On the buy-side, the French market was first to respond to the challenging economic situation
with the average number of buy-sides per advisor decreasing in H1-2022. The DACH, Dutch and
UK&I markets followed in H2-2022, of which the UK&I suffered the biggest decrease in buy-side
assignments over the projected timeframe. In H1-2023 all markets show a similar recovery.
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
H2-2021 H1-2022 H2-2022 H1-2023
*The different percentages per region are equally weighted to get to a Western European average
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
*The different percentages per region are equally weighted to get to a Western European average
The distribution of transactions completed in H1-2023 across sectors is illustrated in Figure 4. There is a
correlation to be expected between the relative size of a specific sector in the mid-market and the
percentage of closed transactions. The biggest increases were noted in the Construction & Engineering
and IT Services sectors. The percentage of transactions in the Construction & Engineering sector
increased from 11% to 13%, while the IT services sector percentage increased from 7% to 9%. Despite a
small decrease compared to H2-2022, most transactions were again closed in the Business Services
sector (17%).
IT Services 7% +2 9%
Software Development 7% - 7%
Retail Trade 5% - 5%
Wholesale Trade 6% -1 5%
Sell-side advisors defined the average EBITDA multiple by industry. The advisors were asked to look back
at the completed transactions in the previous 6 months and to revise the industry multiples from H2-2022.
Figure 5 compares the average EBITDA multiples per region from H2-2022 with the revised multiples from
H1-2023. Figure 6 shows the revised industry multiples for H1-2023.
In H2-2022, the average EBITDA multiple declined from 5.4 to 5.2. In H1-2023, the multiple further declined
to 5.1. Multiples vary between 2.6 (Retail Trade, NL) and 8.7 (Software Development, DACH). This means
that the average price of an SME based on EBITDA can vary greatly, depending on the industry.
When comparing the average EBITDA multiples of the various Western-European countries, it shows the
potential benefits of involving a foreign party in the purchase or sale of a business. Besides a possible
higher selling price, it can also mean finding a transaction partner with a better fit for the business.
7% of advisors regularly make use of AI to support their M&A activities. The vast majority of M&A advisors
have never used AI to support their M&A activities (70%).
Regularly use AI 7%
AI can support in various M&A processes from market research to post-merger integration. On average,
69% of M&A advisors agree that AI will add value to the market research process, where only 4% of
advisors do not think it will add any value in this process. The opinions on the added value of AI in the
legal documents creation/evaluation process are diverse. 27% of advisors think AI will not add any value
in this process, while 37% of advisors believe it will add significant value.
Figure 9. Expectations of the role of AI in the next 5 years according to M&A advisors
The overall number of interested parties per firm is high. There is more demand than supply. The current M&A
market therefore remains a ‘seller’s market’. Selling parties are in a luxurious position. The advisory firms were
asked to disclose the average amount of interested parties per offered firm per sector. The ratio for supply and
demand is different for each sector, with an average of 4.2 interested parties lined up for a company within the
Hospitality & Tourism sector and an average of 12.5 interested parties lined up for a company in the Software
Development sector. The results are shown in Figure 10. Compared to H1-2022, the average number of interested
parties over all sectors has decreased from 9.1 to 7.8.
In the previous M&A Monitor, research was conducted on which buyer type usually offers the highest price
per firm. In 49% of the cases, a strategic buyer made the highest offer. For this edition, M&A advisors were
asked about the risk appetite of those strategic buyers in the current challenging economic conditions.
Half of the advisors report a drop in the risk appetite of strategic buyers in H1-2023. The risk appetite also
impacts the average interested parties per firm (Graham et al. (2010)).
On average, according to 63% of the advisors, the risk appetite of strategic buyers in H1-2023 has
decreased. The DACH region saw the biggest drop in the risk appetite of strategic buyers.
Decreased 48%
Stable 28%
Increased 8%
Significantly increased 1%
Assessing the performance of the Western-European M&A mid-market is based on many factors,
including the willingness of entrepreneurs to sell their businesses, funding availability, macroeconomic
developments etc. An interpretation of these factors is needed to determine how the market will
develop. The survey included both assessments of the M&A mid-market in H1-2023 (retrospective) and
H2-2023 (projection).
The opinions about the past six months are mixed. On average, half of the advisors (49%) look back at
H1-2023 with a dissatisfied feeling. 51% of advisors were satisfied with the performance of H1-2023.
The expectations for the second half of 2023 are more positive, on average, 66% of the advisors have
optimistic expectations for H2-2023. Advisors in the UK&I region have the most optimistic expectations
for H2-2023. 72% of advisors reported optimistic expectations. 54% of French advisors share those
expectations.
Very positive 1%
Positive 13%
Negative 9%
Very negative 4%
Very optimistic 3%
Optimistic 13%
Pessimistic 8%
Very pessimistic 1%
As a group, we have recently completed Even though the start of the pandemic
our 16th acqusition with a number of had delayed a great number of M&A
these acqusitions introduced to us via our transactions, now that the deal activity
partnership with Dealsuite. We value the has picked up, the M&A activity is stronger
efficient service for identifying and than before the pandemic.
contacting relevant targets.
Sources used:
• 480 survey responses from key Western-European M&A advisory firms
• Dealsuite M&A Monitors 2015 - 2023
• Dealsuite transaction data 2015-2023
• Damodaran (2011). Equity Risk Premiums (ERP).
• Graham, J., Harvey, C., Puri, M., 2010. Managerial Attitudes and Corporate Actions.
Working Paper, Duke.
This research was conducted by Jelle Stuij, Bjorn Brenninkmeijer and Roos Bijvoet. For further questions,
please contact Maarten Reinders, CCO Dealsuite.
Maarten Reinders
CCO Dealsuite
Dealsuite
Science Park 106 +31 20 303 8731
1098 XG Amsterdam maarten.reinders@dealsuite.com
The Netherlands www.dealsuite.com