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86 i=
87 Mean 151.56818
90 Standard Error 6.4880275
105 Median 141 bin range 80
114 Mode 126 112
118 Standard Deviation 43.036706 144
118 Sample Variance 1852.158 176
121 Kurtosis 0.149781 208
125 Skewness 0.7320984 240
126 Range 183 272
126 Minimum 82
126 Maximum 265
126 Sum 6669 Bin mid point
127 Count 44 80
127 112 96
128 144 128
129 176 160
132 208 192
135 240 224
139 272 256
140 More
142
149
149
149
156
161
162
120.00%
162
100.00%
168
80.00%
Frequency
171
60.00%
172 40.00%
172 20.00%
172 0.00%
175 80 112
195
212
216
220
229
230
235
265
41 Column1
50 Kelas = 6
76 Mean 254.2 interval >= 88.166667 Bulatkan
100 Standard Error 16.149291
116 Median 266 Bin 40
123 Mode 279 40
151 Standard Deviation 108.33274 40
159 Sample Variance 11735.982 40
162 Kurtosis 0.779712 40
170 Skewness 0.3855494 40
177 Range 529 40
181 Minimum 41
188 Maximum 570
192 Sum 11439
199 Count 45
205
227
232
235
240
246
250
266
271
278
279
279
279
294
295
297
303
309
319
320
321
325
335
337
342
363
429
434
474
570
41 Column1 2^k= x >= n k=
50 I = (41+570)i=
76 Mean 255.31111
100 Standard Er 16.144981 CLASSES 40
116 Median 271 40
123 Mode 279 40
151 Standard De108.30383 40
159 Sample Vari11729.719 40
162 Kurtosis 0.7672818 40
170 Skewness 0.3542466 40
177 Range 529
181 Minimum 41 BIN RANGE 40
188 Maximum 570 200
192 Sum 11489 360
199 Count 45 520
205 680
232 11.25 840
235 1000
240 Q1= 181
246 Q3= 321
250
266
271
277
278
279
279
279
294
295
297
303
309
319
320
321
325
335
337
342
363
429
434
474
570
1 interval= 3
1
1 CLASS= 0 Up to #VALUE!
1 #VALUE! #VALUE!
1 #VALUE! #VALUE!
1 #VALUE! #VALUE!
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
6 80 up to
FrequencyCumulative %
0 0.00% MEAN= 152.386364
5 11.36% std dev
18 52.27% var
13 81.82%
1 84.09%
6 97.73%
1 100.00%
0 100.00%
Histogram Histo
120.00% 20
100.00%
80.00% 15
Frequency
Frequency
60.00% 10
40.00%
20.00% 5
0.00% 0
80 112 144 176 208 240 272 More 96 128 16
Bin
90 Bin Mid point Frequency Cumulative %
40 0 0.00% Histogram
130 85 6 13.33%
1.2
220 175 10 35.56%
310 265 17 73.33% 1
400 355 8 91.11%
0.8
490 445 3 97.78%
Frequency
580 535 1 100.00% 0.6
More 0 100.00% 0.4
0.2
0
1
Bin
6
88.166667 bulatkan jad 90
up to 40
40
40
40
40
40
40
f x
Bin FrequencyCumulative % Mid point F.X F.(x-mean)^2
40 0 0.00%
200 15 33.33% 120 1800 216000
360 25 88.89% 280 7000 1960000
520 4 97.78% 440 1760 774400
680 1 100.00% 600 600 360000
840 0 100.00% 760 0 0
1000 0 100.00% 920 0 0
More 0 100.00%
45 3120 11160 3310400
Mean= 248
Varian= 145657600
Standar Devi 12068.869044
f x
RANGE= #VALUE! Bin Frequency Mid point F.X F.(x-mean)^2
#VALUE! 3 14
#VALUE! 6 24 4.5 108 486
#VALUE! 9 7 7.5 52.5 393.75
#VALUE! 12 4 10.5 42 441
#VALUE! 15 2 13.5 27 364.5
18 0 16.5 0 0
More 0
Mean= 4.5
Varian= 33.705
Standar Devi 5.8056007
art isn't available in your version of Excel.
this shape or saving this workbook into a different file format will
ently break the chart.
Histogram
85 45 11475
175
265 Mean= 255
355 Varian= 77998.295
1 445 Standar dev279.28175
Bin 535
1.5
1 Histogram
Frequency
0.5
0
1 Freque
Bin
Mean= jumlah dari f kali x dibagi sigma f
f.(x-mean)^2 frekuensi dikali x kurangi mean pangkat 2
43350 Perhitungan varian sample sama populasi tuh beda. Kalau sample tuh sigma frek
306250
1193825
1008200
594075
286225
2.78 10.36
P0xQ0 PtxQ0 P0xQt PtxQt a) Simple Average
23.00 69.00 27.60 82.80 b) Simple Aggregate
14.50 50.00 15.95 55.00 c) Laspeyers Index
29.75 160.65 29.75 160.65 d) Paasche
8.16 30.32 10.20 37.90 e) Fisher
5.34 17.94 7.12 23.92 f) Value
Soal 2
Empirical
Soal 3
A) P green 80/140
60/140
36/140
60+80-36 104
140 140
E) orange(female) 36/80
F) P Orange(Female) peluang orange
36/80 60/140
a) P(OFTEN) = 0.410256
b) p(enclosed) 0.461538
c) P(enclosed OR often) 0.564103
d) P(often|enclosed) 0.666667
P(enclosed|often) 0.75
e) P(often|enclosed)= P(often)
P(enclosed|often)= P(enclosed)
number of visit and enclosed mall are dependent
f) P(odten AND enclosed) 0.307692
PRICE PURCHASED NOT PURCHASE total
RETAIL PRICE (a) 0.21 0.57 0.78
SALE PRICE 0.14 0.08 0.22
0.35 0.65 1
P(A) 0.78
0.27 0.57
2.5
1.14
0.88
0.54
CONTOH
Simple Probability Conditional Probability Joint Probability
P[good] Hall= 0.97 p[good AND Hall]=
HALL= 0.3 p[defect] Hall= 0.03 p[defect AND Hall]=
p[good]=
p[defect]=
p[defect Schuller]=
p[Hall good]=
p[Crawford defect]=
pake bayes theorem
Soal 30 PG
tiap 1 materi 10 soal
Angka Indeks
Probability
Statistic descriptive
SOAL 1
Simple Probability Conditional Probability
0.291
0.009 p[huge]= 0.1 p[favor | huge]= 0.99
p[no favor| huge]= 0.01
P(V) 0.2
Joint Probability
SALES
p[CREDIT CARD]= 0.3
p[favor AND breakeven]= 0.16
p[no favor AND breakeven]= 0.24
p[DEBIT CARD]= 0.4
p[favor AND loser]= 0.06
p[no favor AND Loser]= 0.24
p[favor]= 0.459
p[no favor]= 0.541
p[huge | favor]= 0.21568627451
p[moderate | favor]= 0.30501089325
p[breakeven | no favor]= 0.44362292052
p[moderate | no favor]= 0.11090573013
Soal 3
Conditional Probability Joint Probability
p[more than 50M | cash]= 0.2 p[more than 50M AND cash]= 0.06
p[smaller than 50M | cash]= 0.8 p[smaller than 50M AND cash]= 0.24
p[more than 50M |credit card]= 0.9 p[more than 50M AND credit card]= 0.27
p[smaller than 50M | credit card]= 0.1 p[smaller than 50M AND credit card]= 0.03
p[more than 50M | debit card]= 0.6 p[more than 50M AND debit card]= 0.24
p[smaller than 50M | debit card]= 0.4 p[smaller than 50M AND debit card]= 0.16
P[>50]= 0.57
P[<50]= 0.43
P[CASH | $120]= 0.105263
green orange green orange a)
female 44 36 80 female 44 36 b)
male 36 24 60 male 36 24 c)
80 60 140
d)
e)
a) Berapa peluang ikan yang diambil itu green f)
0.571429
b) kemungkinan ikan male yang terambil
p(male)= 0.428571
c) Peluang ikan green yang male
p(male AND green)= 0.257143
d) p(male OR green)= 0.742857
0.01
P(OFTEN) = 0.410256 Snowboarding
p(yes) 0.461538 Junior college 68
P(yes Or often)= P(yes) + P(often) - P(yes AND often) four-year college 84
161 Graduate School 59
P(often|yes) =P(often AND yes)/P(yes) Total 211
Dependen
P(often AND yes) 0.307692
Skiing Ice Skating Total a) P(skiing)= 0.313761
41 46 155 b) P(junior)= 0.284404
56 70 210 c) P(ice skating|4 years)= 0.666667
74 47 180 d) P(Junor|snowboarding)= 0.322275
171 163 545 e) P(skiing OR ice skating | graduate)= 0.95
f) P(Skiing OR snowboard)= 0.314353
g) P(juniour AND graduate) 0.056881
h) P(4 year OR skiing)= 0.699083
i) P(graduate AND snowboarding)= 0.222018
j) P(snowboarding | graduate)= 0.056881
Sebelum menghitung!
Coba lihat dulu dia beririsan atau tidak
contoh soal
sukses belong to union
N= 50 N= total populasi
S= 40 s= jumlah sampe yang mau diambil
n= 5
x= 4
p(X=4) 0.43133719722857
x p(x) berapa peluang jumlah dari 5 empolye yang terpilih kurang dari 1 tergabun
0 0.000119 p(x<1)
1
2 N= 10
3 s= 7
4 n= 3
5 x= 2
poisson
Poisson= poisson.dist(x;rata";cumulative)
m= rata-rata m= 7
e= kontanta ini buat apa? 3.5
x= random variable yang kita mau cari
p(x=0)= 0.000912
ini hitung manual 0.000912
miu= 0.3 atleast more thanp(x>=2)=
p(x=0)= 0.74081822068172 one or more p(x>=1)=
p(x=5)= 0.00001500
p(x<5)= 0.99998421495946 p(x>=5)=
p(x>3)= 1-p(x<=3)
1-poisson.dist(3;0,3;true)
0.00026581119002
Latihan
no 7, 4
minggu lalu no 7
Hypergeometri
NO.7
soal latihan 2
a= 0.5 a) a=0,5
b= 3 b= 3
b) mean= (3+0,5)/2
1.75
STNDR Deviasi= 0.721687836487
c) p(0,5<x<3)= (1/1,25)*(1-0,5)
0.4
1
d) P(x=1)= 0
e) P(1,5<x<3)=
exponential distributions
berapa jarak antara 1 orang dengan orang berikutnya datang terlambat
time between arival
kita cari interval waktu
Soal contoh
lamda= 1/miu mean of 1 every 20 sec
lamda= 1/20
Lon =ln 0.05
p(x<5detik) expon.dist(x;lamda;cumulative)
0.2212
p(x>40 detik) 0.8647 kok beda?
Normal
miu 20.5
std dev 3.5
a) p(20,5<x<24)= 0.341345 a) p(30<x<34)= 0.262085
b) p(x>24)= 0.158655 b) p(x>=23)= 0.88493
c) p(x<19)= c) p(x>40)= 0.013903
miu= 15
std dev= 3.5
a) p(x>20)= 0.077
b) p(x<=20)= 0.923436
c) p(10<x<12)= 0.119119
x= =60-0,5 59.5
p(x>=60)= 0.196576718837
Note
5 0.3
0 0.16807
2 0.3087
3 0.9692
gka sama dengan
ulative) yang kurang dari atau lebih dari
N= 10 N= 10
s= 6 s= 3
n= 3 n= 3
x= 2 x= 2
Sukses:footbal;
p(x=2)= 0.525
p(x=3)= 0.29166666667
p(x=2) or p(x=3)
per minute
per 30 sec
0.992704944275564
-0.03019738342232 0.96980261658
salah benar
0.827008392117929
Soal latiahan 1 400 3800 soal latihan 4
a)Mean= (400+3800)/2 t= 0.000294 a=
2100 b=
b) STD Deviation= SQRT((a-b)^2/12) a)
981.495457622 b)
c)p(400<x<2000)= (1/3800)*(2000-400) c)
0.42105263158
d)p(3000<x<3800)= (1/3800)*(3800-3000)
0.21052631579
p(x=0)= 0.0333333333333333
p(x<3)= 0.991666666666667
soal latihan 4
18 tinggi= 1/(b-a)
26 1/(26-18)
p(25<x<26) 0.125
P(21<x<25) 0.5
p(18<x<20) 0.25
Latihan 10
lamda= 1/8
0.125
a) p(x<0,25 jam)= 0.030766765524
b) p(x<0,05)= 0.006230509377
c) hitung dari awal dlu lamda=1/15 0.0666666666666667
a) p(x<0,25)= 0.0165285461783825 ?
b) p(x<0,05)= 0.00332778394547668 ?
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.46606091684249
R Square 0.21721277820806
Adjusted R Square 0.15699837653176
Standard Error 0.28078590288956
Observations 15
ANOVA
df SS MS
Regression 1 0.28440393093375 0.28440393093375
Residual 13 1.02492940239958 0.07884072326151
Total 14 1.30933333333333
Y^2 X*y
116.6 97.2 Hitung b atas= 1413.92
127.7 1066.72 bawah= 468622.16
125.4 305.76 b= 0.0030172
123.2 1989.12
123.2 798.09 a= 10.666539
125.4 1096.48 y= a+bx Y = persamaan regresi
121.0 1028.5
114.5 749 Hitung r atas=
127.7 1815.91 bawah kana 19.64 R = koefisien korelasi
112.4 1022.9 r= #VALUE! syarat!!!
110.3 871.5
106.1 242.05 r^2= #VALUE! r square
114.5 628.09
121.0 1031.8
116.6 371.52
1785.64 13114.64
Berat badan
11.40
11.20
f(x) = 0.00301718552959595 x +
11.00 R² = 0.21721277820806
10.80
danB
Berat badan
11.40
11.20
f(x) = 0.00301718552959595 x +
11.00 R² = 0.21721277820806
10.80
Berat BadanB
10.60
10.40
10.20
10.00
9.80
0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 1
F Significance F
3.60732270289323 0.0799406571101
Y = persamaan regresi
R = koefisien korelasi
-1<= R<= 1
20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 160.0 180.0 200.0
Discrete= represent counts(number of object in collection). Bisa dihitung
Continous= represent measureable amount(volume of water). Bisa diukur
Binom= BINOM.dist(x;n;pi;false)
Hypegeom= Hypgeom(X;n;S;N:FALSE)
Poisson= poisson.dist(x;mean;cumulative)
Uniform=
Exponential= Expon.dist(x;lamda;cumulative)
Normal= NORM.DIST(x;mean;std dev;cumulative)
a) Discrete
b) Continous
c) Discrete
d) Continous
e) Discrete
f) Continous
number of calls
0
1
2
3
4
Mean=
Std dev=
Pi=
n=
x
0
1
2
3
4
5
a) 1 month
b) 3 months
c) 2 months
N=
S=
n=
a)
b)
c)
a)
b)
c)
d)
e)
a)
b)
c)
d)
a)
b)
c)
BINOM
Pi=
n=
a p(x=6)=
b p(x=5)=
c mean=
d variance=
std dev=
Pi pakai broker=
pi tidak pakai bro
n=
a P(x=2)=
b P(x=4)=
c P(x=0)=
pi harus service=
pi tidak harus ser
n=
a P(x=0)=
b P(x=1)=
c p(x=2)=
d mean=
variance=
std dev=
no 1. belum masuk probabilitas diskrit atau kontinu
no 2 hitung rata-rata dan standar deviasi pakai rumus di awal
no 3 Binom
Binom: kalau kejadian hanya pakai dan tidak pakai
hype: sample/populasi
puson: Interval
at most; paling banyak sekian
no 4 Poisson
no 5 Hype
no 6 uniform
no 7 normal
no 8 exponetial
miu= 5 menit
1.7
1.004987562
P(x<=14)= 0.4656537089
P(14<=x<=18)= 0.3538180027
10
7
2
P(x=1)= 0.46666667
P(x=2)= 0.46666667
P(x=0)= 0.066666667
30 to 60
P(55<x<60)= 0.1666666667
P(30<x<40)= 0.3333333333
0
skip
0,1= (1/30)*(x-30)
x= 33
miu= 7:05
std dev= 2:01
P(x>10)= 0.1169296413
P(7<x<9)= 0.356571124
P(x<3)= 0.0160622856
x= 4,045,807,387
Miu= 5
lamda= 0.00
P(x>2)= 0.329679954
P(x>5)= 0.6321205588
P(x<10)= 0.8646647168
0.95
6
0.735091891 x P(x)
0.232134281 0 1.5625E-08
5.7 1 1.78125E-06
0.285 2 8.460938E-05
0.533853913 3 0.0021434375
4 0.0305439844
5 0.2321342813
6 0.7350918906
0.3 x P(x)
0.7 0 0.040353607
9 1 0.155649627
2 0.266827932
0.266827932 3 0.266827932
0.171532242 4 0.171532242
0.040353607 5 0.073513818
6 0.021003948
7 0.003857868
8 0.000413343
9 0.000019683
0.1 x P(x)
0.9 0 0.2824295365
12 1 0.3765727153
2 0.2301277705
0.282429536 3 0.0852325076
0.376572715 4 0.0213081269
0.23012777 5 0.0037881114
1.2 6 0.0004910515
1.08 7 4.676681E-05
1.039230485 8 3.247695E-06
9 1.6038E-07
10 5.346E-09
11 1.08E-10
12 1E-12
Angka Indeks
IHSB
Based period selalu seratus
Simpe Index
Angka index memudahkan kita melihat perubahan variabel dan melihat trend
Simple average index=
Simple Agregate=
akar =
Probabilitas
Probabilitas Subjective
Probabilitas Objective
Simple probability
Special probability
Empirical
Subjective
Clasikal
Given
or, and, given
tree diagram
Bayes Theorem
multiplication
Permutasi
central limit theorem: semakin banyak N -nya maka bentuknya akan semakin mirip dengan kurva normal
Angka Now
angka Past
Nilainya selalu diantara 0-1,, dia gak mungkin minus(-) atau lebih dari 1 (>1)
"Berapa persen anak olb yang akan lulus di matakuliah statistik?"
Pertanyaan perluasan
tinggal dikali
kalau ada urutannya (misal mau pilih urutan ketua kelas, wakil, bendahara)
Binom
Hypergeometri
Poisson
Weighted Index :
Layspeyers Index
Paasche Index
Fisher idea Index
Value Index
Probability yang independen itu artinya suatu kejadian tidak memperngarunhi kejadian lain
Kejadian yang dependen/conditional berarti kejadian yang awal akan mempengaruhi kejadian selanjutnya
let It go let it go
can't hold it in anymore
let It go let it go
turn away and slam the door
Regresi dan korelasi linier= untuk mengetahui apakah ada hubungan antara 2 variabel at
Analisis regresi= untuk mengetahui bentuk hubungan
Analisis korelasi = untuk mengetahui seberapa kuat hubungan antar 2 variabel atau lebih
Dependable = Y
Independent = x (dia memperngaruhi)
t to be seen