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82 Column1 2^k=2^6=64 k=

86 i=
87 Mean 151.56818
90 Standard Error 6.4880275
105 Median 141 bin range 80
114 Mode 126 112
118 Standard Deviation 43.036706 144
118 Sample Variance 1852.158 176
121 Kurtosis 0.149781 208
125 Skewness 0.7320984 240
126 Range 183 272
126 Minimum 82
126 Maximum 265
126 Sum 6669 Bin mid point
127 Count 44 80
127 112 96
128 144 128
129 176 160
132 208 192
135 240 224
139 272 256
140 More
142
149
149
149
156
161
162
120.00%
162
100.00%
168
80.00%
Frequency

171
60.00%
172 40.00%
172 20.00%
172 0.00%
175 80 112
195
212
216
220
229
230
235
265
41 Column1
50 Kelas = 6
76 Mean 254.2 interval >= 88.166667 Bulatkan
100 Standard Error 16.149291
116 Median 266 Bin 40
123 Mode 279 40
151 Standard Deviation 108.33274 40
159 Sample Variance 11735.982 40
162 Kurtosis 0.779712 40
170 Skewness 0.3855494 40
177 Range 529 40
181 Minimum 41
188 Maximum 570
192 Sum 11439
199 Count 45
205
227
232
235
240
246
250
266
271
278
279
279
279
294
295
297
303
309
319
320
321
325
335
337
342
363
429
434
474
570
41 Column1 2^k= x >= n k=
50 I = (41+570)i=
76 Mean 255.31111
100 Standard Er 16.144981 CLASSES 40
116 Median 271 40
123 Mode 279 40
151 Standard De108.30383 40
159 Sample Vari11729.719 40
162 Kurtosis 0.7672818 40
170 Skewness 0.3542466 40
177 Range 529
181 Minimum 41 BIN RANGE 40
188 Maximum 570 200
192 Sum 11489 360
199 Count 45 520
205 680
232 11.25 840
235 1000
240 Q1= 181
246 Q3= 321
250
266
271
277
278
279
279
279
294
295
297
303
309
319
320
321
325
335
337
342
363
429
434
474
570

1 interval= 3
1
1 CLASS= 0 Up to #VALUE!
1 #VALUE! #VALUE!
1 #VALUE! #VALUE!
1 #VALUE! #VALUE!
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
6 80 up to

F MID POINT (F.X F.(X-MEAN^2)


UP TO 80 This chart isn't available in your ve
115 6 97.5 585
150 20 132.5 2650 Editing this shape or saving this wo
185 10 167.5 1675 permanently break the chart.
220 4 202.5 810
255 3 237.5 712.5
290 1 272.5 272.5
44 6705

FrequencyCumulative %
0 0.00% MEAN= 152.386364
5 11.36% std dev
18 52.27% var
13 81.82%
1 84.09%
6 97.73%
1 100.00%
0 100.00%

Histogram Histo
120.00% 20
100.00%
80.00% 15
Frequency

Frequency

60.00% 10
40.00%
20.00% 5
0.00% 0
80 112 144 176 208 240 272 More 96 128 16
Bin
90 Bin Mid point Frequency Cumulative %
40 0 0.00% Histogram
130 85 6 13.33%
1.2
220 175 10 35.56%
310 265 17 73.33% 1
400 355 8 91.11%
0.8
490 445 3 97.78%

Frequency
580 535 1 100.00% 0.6
More 0 100.00% 0.4

0.2

0
1
Bin
6
88.166667 bulatkan jad 90

up to 40
40
40
40
40
40
40

f x
Bin FrequencyCumulative % Mid point F.X F.(x-mean)^2
40 0 0.00%
200 15 33.33% 120 1800 216000
360 25 88.89% 280 7000 1960000
520 4 97.78% 440 1760 774400
680 1 100.00% 600 600 360000
840 0 100.00% 760 0 0
1000 0 100.00% 920 0 0
More 0 100.00%
45 3120 11160 3310400

Mean= 248
Varian= 145657600
Standar Devi 12068.869044
f x
RANGE= #VALUE! Bin Frequency Mid point F.X F.(x-mean)^2
#VALUE! 3 14
#VALUE! 6 24 4.5 108 486
#VALUE! 9 7 7.5 52.5 393.75
#VALUE! 12 4 10.5 42 441
#VALUE! 15 2 13.5 27 364.5
18 0 16.5 0 0
More 0

51 52.5 229.5 1685.25

Mean= 4.5
Varian= 33.705
Standar Devi 5.8056007
art isn't available in your version of Excel.

this shape or saving this workbook into a different file format will
ently break the chart.

Histogram

96 128 160 192 224 256


Bin
Kelas Mid Point (xFrekuensi (ff.x
stogram 40 Up to 130 85 6 510
130 220 175 10 1750
220 310 265 17 4505
310 400 355 8 2840
400 490 445 3 1335
490 580 535 1 535

85 45 11475
175
265 Mean= 255
355 Varian= 77998.295
1 445 Standar dev279.28175
Bin 535
1.5
1 Histogram

Frequency
0.5
0
1 Freque
Bin
Mean= jumlah dari f kali x dibagi sigma f
f.(x-mean)^2 frekuensi dikali x kurangi mean pangkat 2
43350 Perhitungan varian sample sama populasi tuh beda. Kalau sample tuh sigma frek
306250
1193825
1008200
594075
286225

3431925 Hari ini cukup,,, ada tugas bisa kerjain di excel!


Mangattttt!
Harus luluss!
1 Frequency
n
Kalau sample tuh sigma frekuensinya harus dikurang 1, tpi kalo populasi engga perlu(Bisa langsung pakai angka total frekuansinya)
gka total frekuansinya)
2000 2017
Fruit Price(P0) Quantity(Q0) Price(Pt) Quantity(Qt) Simple Index
Banana 0.23 100 0.69 120 300.00
Grapefruit 0.29 50 1 55 344.83
Apples 0.35 85 1.89 85 540.00
Strawberries 1.02 8 3.79 10 371.57
Oranges 0.89 6 2.99 8 335.96

2.78 10.36
P0xQ0 PtxQ0 P0xQt PtxQt a) Simple Average
23.00 69.00 27.60 82.80 b) Simple Aggregate
14.50 50.00 15.95 55.00 c) Laspeyers Index
29.75 160.65 29.75 160.65 d) Paasche
8.16 30.32 10.20 37.90 e) Fisher
5.34 17.94 7.12 23.92 f) Value

80.75 327.91 90.62 360.27


378.4702540
372.6618705
406.0804954
397.561244758332
401.798291691025
446.15479876161
Soal 1
Empirical

Soal 2
Empirical

Soal 3
A) P green 80/140
60/140
36/140
60+80-36 104
140 140
E) orange(female) 36/80
F) P Orange(Female) peluang orange
36/80 60/140

a) P(OFTEN) = 0.410256
b) p(enclosed) 0.461538
c) P(enclosed OR often) 0.564103
d) P(often|enclosed) 0.666667
P(enclosed|often) 0.75
e) P(often|enclosed)= P(often)
P(enclosed|often)= P(enclosed)
number of visit and enclosed mall are dependent
f) P(odten AND enclosed) 0.307692
PRICE PURCHASED NOT PURCHASE total
RETAIL PRICE (a) 0.21 0.57 0.78
SALE PRICE 0.14 0.08 0.22
0.35 0.65 1
P(A) 0.78

0.27 0.57
2.5
1.14
0.88
0.54
CONTOH
Simple Probability Conditional Probability Joint Probability
P[good] Hall= 0.97 p[good AND Hall]=
HALL= 0.3 p[defect] Hall= 0.03 p[defect AND Hall]=

p[good] Schuller= 0.95 p[good AND Schuller]=


SALES SCHULLER = 0.2 p[deefect]Schuller= 0.05 p[defect AND Schuller]=

p[good] Crawford= 0.96 p[good AND Crawford]=


CRAWFORD= 0.5 p[defect] Crawford= 0.04 p[defect AND Crawford]=

p[good]=
p[defect]=
p[defect Schuller]=
p[Hall good]=
p[Crawford defect]=
pake bayes theorem

Soal 30 PG
tiap 1 materi 10 soal
Angka Indeks
Probability
Statistic descriptive
SOAL 1
Simple Probability Conditional Probability
0.291
0.009 p[huge]= 0.1 p[favor | huge]= 0.99
p[no favor| huge]= 0.01

p[moderate]= 0.2 p[favor | moderate]= 0.7


p[no favor| moderate]= 0.3
0.19
0.01 PUBLISH

p[breakeven]= 0.4 p[favor | breakeven]= 0.4


p[no favor| breakeven]= 0.6
0.48
0.02 p[loser]= 0.3 p[favor | loser]= 0.2
p[no favor| loser]= 0.8
0.961
0.039
0.25641025641
0.30280957336
0.51282051282

P(V) 0.2
Joint Probability

p[favor AND huge]= 0.099


p[no favor AND huge]= 0.001

p[favor AND moderate]= 0.14 Simple Probability


p[no favor AND moderate]= 0.06 p[CASH]= 0.3

SALES
p[CREDIT CARD]= 0.3
p[favor AND breakeven]= 0.16
p[no favor AND breakeven]= 0.24
p[DEBIT CARD]= 0.4
p[favor AND loser]= 0.06
p[no favor AND Loser]= 0.24

p[favor]= 0.459
p[no favor]= 0.541
p[huge | favor]= 0.21568627451
p[moderate | favor]= 0.30501089325
p[breakeven | no favor]= 0.44362292052
p[moderate | no favor]= 0.11090573013
Soal 3
Conditional Probability Joint Probability
p[more than 50M | cash]= 0.2 p[more than 50M AND cash]= 0.06
p[smaller than 50M | cash]= 0.8 p[smaller than 50M AND cash]= 0.24

p[more than 50M |credit card]= 0.9 p[more than 50M AND credit card]= 0.27
p[smaller than 50M | credit card]= 0.1 p[smaller than 50M AND credit card]= 0.03

p[more than 50M | debit card]= 0.6 p[more than 50M AND debit card]= 0.24
p[smaller than 50M | debit card]= 0.4 p[smaller than 50M AND debit card]= 0.16

P[>50]= 0.57
P[<50]= 0.43
P[CASH | $120]= 0.105263
green orange green orange a)
female 44 36 80 female 44 36 b)
male 36 24 60 male 36 24 c)
80 60 140
d)

e)
a) Berapa peluang ikan yang diambil itu green f)
0.571429
b) kemungkinan ikan male yang terambil
p(male)= 0.428571
c) Peluang ikan green yang male
p(male AND green)= 0.257143
d) p(male OR green)= 0.742857

0.01
P(OFTEN) = 0.410256 Snowboarding
p(yes) 0.461538 Junior college 68
P(yes Or often)= P(yes) + P(often) - P(yes AND often) four-year college 84
161 Graduate School 59
P(often|yes) =P(often AND yes)/P(yes) Total 211

Dependen
P(often AND yes) 0.307692
Skiing Ice Skating Total a) P(skiing)= 0.313761
41 46 155 b) P(junior)= 0.284404
56 70 210 c) P(ice skating|4 years)= 0.666667
74 47 180 d) P(Junor|snowboarding)= 0.322275
171 163 545 e) P(skiing OR ice skating | graduate)= 0.95
f) P(Skiing OR snowboard)= 0.314353
g) P(juniour AND graduate) 0.056881
h) P(4 year OR skiing)= 0.699083
i) P(graduate AND snowboarding)= 0.222018
j) P(snowboarding | graduate)= 0.056881
Sebelum menghitung!
Coba lihat dulu dia beririsan atau tidak

yang ini aku yang hitung sendiri


Binom & Hypgeom
p(x=…)= BINOM.dist(x;n;pi;false) false untuk(=) angka sama dengan
p(x=…)= Hypgeom(X;n;S;N:FALSE) True untuk(cumulative) yang kurang dari atau lebih da

contoh soal
sukses belong to union
N= 50 N= total populasi
S= 40 s= jumlah sampe yang mau diambil
n= 5
x= 4

p(X=4) 0.43133719722857

x p(x) berapa peluang jumlah dari 5 empolye yang terpilih kurang dari 1 tergabun
0 0.000119 p(x<1)
1
2 N= 10
3 s= 7
4 n= 3
5 x= 2

poisson
Poisson= poisson.dist(x;rata";cumulative)

1. tentukan kejadian sukses


2. pakai interval
rata rata berbanding lurus dengan interval

m= rata-rata m= 7
e= kontanta ini buat apa? 3.5
x= random variable yang kita mau cari
p(x=0)= 0.000912
ini hitung manual 0.000912
miu= 0.3 atleast more thanp(x>=2)=
p(x=0)= 0.74081822068172 one or more p(x>=1)=
p(x=5)= 0.00001500
p(x<5)= 0.99998421495946 p(x>=5)=
p(x>3)= 1-p(x<=3)
1-poisson.dist(3;0,3;true)
0.00026581119002

Latihan
no 7, 4
minggu lalu no 7
Hypergeometri
NO.7

m/miu= 10 per minute


2.5 per 15 sec
p(x=0)= 0.000045400
three or fewer p(x<=3)= 0.997231
p(x=0)= 0.0820849986239

uniform Probability Distributions


contoh
a= 0 probability= 0.033333333333
b= 30

soal latihan 2
a= 0.5 a) a=0,5
b= 3 b= 3
b) mean= (3+0,5)/2
1.75
STNDR Deviasi= 0.721687836487

c) p(0,5<x<3)= (1/1,25)*(1-0,5)
0.4
1
d) P(x=1)= 0
e) P(1,5<x<3)=

exponential distributions
berapa jarak antara 1 orang dengan orang berikutnya datang terlambat
time between arival
kita cari interval waktu
Soal contoh
lamda= 1/miu mean of 1 every 20 sec
lamda= 1/20
Lon =ln 0.05
p(x<5detik) expon.dist(x;lamda;cumulative)
0.2212
p(x>40 detik) 0.8647 kok beda?

Normal
miu 20.5
std dev 3.5
a) p(20,5<x<24)= 0.341345 a) p(30<x<34)= 0.262085
b) p(x>24)= 0.158655 b) p(x>=23)= 0.88493
c) p(x<19)= c) p(x>40)= 0.013903
miu= 15
std dev= 3.5
a) p(x>20)= 0.077
b) p(x<=20)= 0.923436
c) p(10<x<12)= 0.119119

Pendekatan Binom Pendekatan Normal


pi= 0.7 n.(pi)= 56
n= 80 n.(1-pi)= 24
miu= =n.(pi) 56
p(x>= 60)= Var= =n.(pi).(1-pi) 16.8
std dev= 4.099

x= =60-0,5 59.5

p(x>=60)= 0.196576718837
Note

Continous gaada pertanyaan sama dengan


Minggu depan kuis

5 0.3
0 0.16807
2 0.3087
3 0.9692
gka sama dengan
ulative) yang kurang dari atau lebih dari

N= 10 N= 10
s= 6 s= 3
n= 3 n= 3
x= 2 x= 2

e yang terpilih kurang dari 1 tergabung dengan union

Sukses:footbal;
p(x=2)= 0.525
p(x=3)= 0.29166666667

p(x=2) or p(x=3)

per minute
per 30 sec

0.992704944275564
-0.03019738342232 0.96980261658
salah benar
0.827008392117929
Soal latiahan 1 400 3800 soal latihan 4
a)Mean= (400+3800)/2 t= 0.000294 a=
2100 b=
b) STD Deviation= SQRT((a-b)^2/12) a)
981.495457622 b)
c)p(400<x<2000)= (1/3800)*(2000-400) c)
0.42105263158
d)p(3000<x<3800)= (1/3800)*(3800-3000)
0.21052631579

kalau more than awal rumus harus pake dikurang 1 (=1-expon.dist(…))

SOAL latihan 6 Latihan yang kesekian


Lamda= 1/60 mean=12
0.016667 lamda= 0.083333
a) p(x<30)= 0.393469
da;cumulative) b)p(x>120)= 0.135335 a)p(x<=12) 0.632121
c) p(45<x<75)= 0.187281 b) p(x<6)= 0.393469
d)p( =ln(luas daerah)/(- lamda) c)p( x>30)= 0.082085
41.58883

(Soal Kebalikan)untuk mencari nilai x kurang dari


a) 64311.09

contoh: 7444.065 ini salah anjr


n= 200
pi= 0.8 a) mean= 160
b) std dev= 5.66
1-(pi)= 0.2 c) p(x>=150)= 0.961368
d) p(x>=150)= 0.014857
P(x =..) = =BINOM.DIST(x;n;pi;FALSE)
BINOM P(x <= …) = =BINOM.DIST(x;n;pi;TRUE)

p(x=0)= 0.0333333333333333
p(x<3)= 0.991666666666667
soal latihan 4
18 tinggi= 1/(b-a)
26 1/(26-18)
p(25<x<26) 0.125
P(21<x<25) 0.5
p(18<x<20) 0.25

Latihan 10

lamda= 1/8
0.125
a) p(x<0,25 jam)= 0.030766765524
b) p(x<0,05)= 0.006230509377
c) hitung dari awal dlu lamda=1/15 0.0666666666666667
a) p(x<0,25)= 0.0165285461783825 ?
b) p(x<0,05)= 0.00332778394547668 ?

mean 1000 a)P(1000<x<1100)


std dev 100
KALAU LEBIH DARI KANAN LEBIH DR 1
KALAU KURANG DR KE KIRI KURANG DR 1
DIST(x;n;pi;FALSE)
DIST(x;n;pi;TRUE)
SOAl latihan nomor 5
Latihan lagiii! age >= 75
age = 15-19
lambda 0.055556 0.016667

a) p(x<=15)= 0.565402 0.221199


b)p(x>120)= 0.001273 0.135335
c) p(30<x<90)= 0.182138 0.3834
95% condiedence interval--> yang kita masukan di rumus excel = 0,05(100%-95%)
n= 256
sample mean= 55420
sample std dev= 2050

untuk mencari T t 0,05 ; (256-1)= 1.969

confidence interval 95%= 55167.682083238 <miu< 55672.32

confidence interval for the mean, example using T distribution


95% condiedence interval--> yang kita masukan di rumus excel = 0,05(100%-95%)
n= 10
sample mean= 0.32
sample std dev= 0.09

untuk mencari T t 0,05 ; (10-1)= 1.969

confidence interval 95%= 0.26395243861127 <miu< 0.376048

Confidence interval for a proportion


populasi infinite

Regresi dan korelasi linier/ Selasa, 18 April 2023


x y
Nama Kalori BB X^2
1 9.0 10.80 81.0
2 94.4 11.30 8911.4
3 27.3 11.20 745.3
4 179.2 11.10 32112.6
5 71.9 11.10 5169.6
6 97.9 11.20 9584.4
7 93.5 11.00 8742.3
8 70.0 10.70 4900.0
9 160.7 11.30 25824.5
10 96.5 10.60 9312.3
11 83.0 10.50 6889.0
12 23.5 10.30 552.3
13 58.7 10.70 3445.7
14 93.8 11.00 8798.4
15 34.4 10.80 1183.4
TOTAL 1193.8 163.6 126252.04
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.46606091684249
R Square 0.21721277820806
Adjusted R Square 0.15699837653176
Standard Error 0.28078590288956
Observations 15

ANOVA
df SS MS
Regression 1 0.28440393093375 0.28440393093375
Residual 13 1.02492940239958 0.07884072326151
Total 14 1.30933333333333

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat


Intercept 10.6665389276512 0.14574145173903 73.1880930262126
X Variable 1 0.0030171855296 0.00158858156595 1.89929531745151
#untuk mencari nilai Z harus pakai tabelnya

Y^2 X*y
116.6 97.2 Hitung b atas= 1413.92
127.7 1066.72 bawah= 468622.16
125.4 305.76 b= 0.0030172
123.2 1989.12
123.2 798.09 a= 10.666539
125.4 1096.48 y= a+bx Y = persamaan regresi
121.0 1028.5
114.5 749 Hitung r atas=
127.7 1815.91 bawah kana 19.64 R = koefisien korelasi
112.4 1022.9 r= #VALUE! syarat!!!
110.3 871.5
106.1 242.05 r^2= #VALUE! r square
114.5 628.09
121.0 1031.8
116.6 371.52
1785.64 13114.64
Berat badan
11.40

11.20
f(x) = 0.00301718552959595 x +
11.00 R² = 0.21721277820806

10.80
danB
Berat badan
11.40

11.20
f(x) = 0.00301718552959595 x +
11.00 R² = 0.21721277820806

10.80

Berat BadanB
10.60

10.40

10.20

10.00

9.80
0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 1
F Significance F
3.60732270289323 0.0799406571101

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95,0%Upper 95,0%


2.1534969317E-18 10.3516836633668 10.981394 10.351684 10.981394
0.0799406571101 -0.0004147362937 0.0064491 -0.0004147 0.0064491
Koefisien Korelasi

Interval koefisien Tingkat hubungan

Y = persamaan regresi

R = koefisien korelasi
-1<= R<= 1

Berat badan x kalori

f(x) = 0.00301718552959595 x + 10.6665389276512


R² = 0.21721277820806
Berat badan x kalori

f(x) = 0.00301718552959595 x + 10.6665389276512


R² = 0.21721277820806

20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 160.0 180.0 200.0
Discrete= represent counts(number of object in collection). Bisa dihitung
Continous= represent measureable amount(volume of water). Bisa diukur

false untuk(=) angka sama dengan


True untuk(cumulative) yang kurang dari atau lebih dari

Binom= BINOM.dist(x;n;pi;false)
Hypegeom= Hypgeom(X;n;S;N:FALSE)
Poisson= poisson.dist(x;mean;cumulative)
Uniform=
Exponential= Expon.dist(x;lamda;cumulative)
Normal= NORM.DIST(x;mean;std dev;cumulative)

a) Discrete
b) Continous
c) Discrete
d) Continous
e) Discrete
f) Continous

number of calls
0
1
2
3
4

Mean=
Std dev=

Pi=
n=
x
0
1
2
3
4
5

a) 1 month

b) 3 months

c) 2 months

N=
S=
n=

a)
b)
c)

a)
b)
c)
d)
e)

a)
b)
c)
d)

a)
b)
c)

BINOM
Pi=
n=

a p(x=6)=
b p(x=5)=
c mean=
d variance=
std dev=
Pi pakai broker=
pi tidak pakai bro
n=

a P(x=2)=
b P(x=4)=
c P(x=0)=

pi harus service=
pi tidak harus ser
n=

a P(x=0)=
b P(x=1)=
c p(x=2)=
d mean=
variance=
std dev=
no 1. belum masuk probabilitas diskrit atau kontinu
no 2 hitung rata-rata dan standar deviasi pakai rumus di awal
no 3 Binom
Binom: kalau kejadian hanya pakai dan tidak pakai
hype: sample/populasi
puson: Interval
at most; paling banyak sekian
no 4 Poisson
no 5 Hype
no 6 uniform
no 7 normal
no 8 exponetial
miu= 5 menit

frequency P(x) X.P(x) (x-mean)^2*P(x)


8 0.16 0 0.4624
10 0.2 0.2 0.098
22 0.44 0.88 0.0396
9 0.18 0.54 0.3042
1 0.02 0.08 0.1058
50 1.7 1.01

1.7
1.004987562

0.80 a) P(x=0)= 0.00032


5 b) P(x<=2)= 0.05792
c) P(2<=x<=4)= 0.6656
Binom d) P(x=5)= 0.32768
0.00032
0.0064
0.0512
0.2048
0.4096
0.32768

miu= 5 P(x<4)= 0.4404932851

miu= 15 P(x<=18)= 0.8194717116

P(x<=14)= 0.4656537089

P(14<=x<=18)= 0.3538180027

miu= 10 P(x=10)= 0.1251100357

10
7
2

P(x=1)= 0.46666667
P(x=2)= 0.46666667
P(x=0)= 0.066666667

30 to 60

P(55<x<60)= 0.1666666667
P(30<x<40)= 0.3333333333
0
skip
0,1= (1/30)*(x-30)
x= 33

miu= 7:05
std dev= 2:01

P(x>10)= 0.1169296413
P(7<x<9)= 0.356571124
P(x<3)= 0.0160622856
x= 4,045,807,387

Miu= 5
lamda= 0.00
P(x>2)= 0.329679954
P(x>5)= 0.6321205588
P(x<10)= 0.8646647168

0.95
6

0.735091891 x P(x)
0.232134281 0 1.5625E-08
5.7 1 1.78125E-06
0.285 2 8.460938E-05
0.533853913 3 0.0021434375
4 0.0305439844
5 0.2321342813
6 0.7350918906

0.3 x P(x)
0.7 0 0.040353607
9 1 0.155649627
2 0.266827932
0.266827932 3 0.266827932
0.171532242 4 0.171532242
0.040353607 5 0.073513818
6 0.021003948
7 0.003857868
8 0.000413343
9 0.000019683

0.1 x P(x)
0.9 0 0.2824295365
12 1 0.3765727153
2 0.2301277705
0.282429536 3 0.0852325076
0.376572715 4 0.0213081269
0.23012777 5 0.0037881114
1.2 6 0.0004910515
1.08 7 4.676681E-05
1.039230485 8 3.247695E-06
9 1.6038E-07
10 5.346E-09
11 1.08E-10
12 1E-12
Angka Indeks
IHSB
Based period selalu seratus

Simpe Index

Angka index memudahkan kita melihat perubahan variabel dan melihat trend
Simple average index=

Simple Agregate=
akar =

Consumer Price index


Money Income

Probabilitas
Probabilitas Subjective
Probabilitas Objective
Simple probability
Special probability

Empirical
Subjective
Clasikal

Given
or, and, given
tree diagram

Bayes Theorem
multiplication
Permutasi

central limit theorem: semakin banyak N -nya maka bentuknya akan semakin mirip dengan kurva normal

Point estime untuk rata-rata populasi adalah rata rata sample


Menyatakan perubahan harga, kuantity atau nilai secara relatif di waktu tertentu
Indeks harga saham bangunan

Angka Now
angka Past

mencari rata-rata dari simple indexnya

Total variabel yang dibagi


SQRT(

Index Harga Konsumen


Uang jajan 2jt

Nilainya selalu diantara 0-1,, dia gak mungkin minus(-) atau lebih dari 1 (>1)
"Berapa persen anak olb yang akan lulus di matakuliah statistik?"

Pakai data masa lalu


Berdasarkan pendapat jadi bisa beda-beda
contoh: perhitungan dadu, perhitungan mata uang, tiket undian/lottery

Yang belakang diketahui duluan


itu beririsan
menunjukan semua tahapan

Pertanyaan perluasan
tinggal dikali
kalau ada urutannya (misal mau pilih urutan ketua kelas, wakil, bendahara)

Binom
Hypergeometri
Poisson

Discrete variables represent counts (e.g. the number of objects in a


collection). Continuous variables represent measurable amounts (e.g. water
volume or weight).

mirip dengan kurva normal


A terhadap B =
x 100

3 atas 2 bawahan, berapa banyak kombinasi outfit yang bisa dipakai


marshandi, devin gerald atau devyn, marshandi. Gerald nahh klo gitu urutannya nanti beda

Kemungkinan hasil ada 2(sukses &gagal) Peluang sukses s


Sama seperti Binom populasi terbatas
Populasi sangat besarrrrr gak perlu buat distibusi
A/B

klo gitu urutannya nanti beda 720


120

diketahui n dan Pi biasanya Cuma tahu jumlah sample


lasi terbatas
erlu buat distibusi
kalau ingin tahu soal pergerakan saham bisa buka yahoo finance
angka index bisa dibulatkan supaya memudahkan melihat perubahan variabel tapi kalau untuk perhitangan lebih lanjut lebih b

Weighted Index :

Layspeyers Index
Paasche Index
Fisher idea Index

Value Index

Probability yang independen itu artinya suatu kejadian tidak memperngarunhi kejadian lain
Kejadian yang dependen/conditional berarti kejadian yang awal akan mempengaruhi kejadian selanjutnya

a tahu jumlah sample


the snows glows white on the mountain tonight, not a foot print to be seen
the kingdom of isolation but it looks like iam the queen
the wind id howling like this swirling strom inside
Contohnya nilai akhir kuliah couldn't keep it in heaven knows I tried
25% UTS 35% UAS
don’t let them in
don’t let them see
be the good girl you always have to be
conceal, don’t feel, don’t let them know
well, now they know~

let It go let it go
can't hold it in anymore
let It go let it go
turn away and slam the door

Regresi dan korelasi linier= untuk mengetahui apakah ada hubungan antara 2 variabel at
Analisis regresi= untuk mengetahui bentuk hubungan
Analisis korelasi = untuk mengetahui seberapa kuat hubungan antar 2 variabel atau lebih
Dependable = Y
Independent = x (dia memperngaruhi)
t to be seen

ngan antara 2 variabel atau lebih

ntar 2 variabel atau lebih

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