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American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings 100 (May 2010): 327–332

http://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/aer.100.2.327

Equilibrium Consequences of Search on the Job †

Directed Search on the Job, Heterogeneity,


and Aggregate Fluctuations
By Guido Menzio and Shouyong Shi*

In models of search on the job (e.g., Kenneth distribution in order to solve their individual
Burdett and Dale Mortensen 1998; Burdett problems. For example, firms need to forecast
and Melvyn Coles 2003; Alain Delacroix and the evolution of the wage distribution ­in order
Shouyong Shi 2006), employed and unemployed to compute the probability of filling a vacancy.
workers search the labor market for job open- Similarly, workers need to forecast the evolution
ings. Workers who are unemployed are willing of the wage distribution in order to compare the
to accept any job that makes them better off value of a particular job offer with the value of
than enjoying leisure and continuing to search. their current employment position.
Workers who are employed are willing to accept However, if the assumption of random search
any job that offers them more than their cur- is replaced with the assumption of directed
rent job does. On the other side of the market, search, we (in Guido Menzio and Shi 2009, and
firms are indifferent between offering jobs that Menzio and Shi forthcoming) show that models
pay different wages, as firms that offer higher of search on the job can be solved even outside
wages can fill their jobs faster and retain their of the steady state and, hence, can be used for
workers for a longer period of time. The extent studying the aggregate dynamics of the labor
of search frictions determines how quickly market. Specifically, building on Shi (2009), we
workers move up in the wage-offer distribution develop a general model of directed search on
and what the wage-offer distribution itself looks the job, which allows for aggregate shocks, idio-
like. Overall, models of search on the job pro- syncratic shocks, and different specifications of
vide an equilibrium theory of workers’ transi- the contractual environment. For this model, we
tions between employment, unemployment and formally establish existence of an equilibrium in
across employers, and, simultaneously, a theory which agents do not need to forecast the evolu-
of wage inequality. Because of these properties, tion of the wage distribution in order to solve
models of search on the job have become a pop- their individual problems. Instead, agents only
ular tool for studying the labor market. need to forecast the evolution of the exogenous
Unfortunately under the standard assump- aggregate shocks. We refer to this equilibrium as
tion of random search, these models are difficult a Block Recursive Equilibrium (BRE). Clearly
to solve outside of the steady state, and hence, solving for the BRE of our model is as easy as
are difficult to use for studying the aggregate solving for the equilibrium of a representative-
dynamics of the labor market. This is because, agent model, in and out of the steady state.
under random search, agents need to forecast Moreover, the BRE of our model preserves all
the evolution of the infinite-dimensional wage the desirable properties of traditional models of
search on the job regarding workers’ transitions
and wage inequality.

Discussants: Kenneth Burdett, University of In this paper, we present our model of
Pennsylvania; Robert Shimer, University of Chicago.
directed search on the job. We outline the proof
* Menzio: Department of Economics, University of Penn- of ­existence of a BRE. We explain why a BRE
sylvania, 3718 Locust Walk, Philadelphia, PA 19104 does exist under the assumption of directed
(e-mail: gmenzio@sas.upenn.edu); Shi: Department of
Economics, University of Toronto, 150 St. George Street, search and why it does not under the assump-
Toronto, Ontario, Canada, M5S 3G7 (e-mail: shouyong@ tion of random search. Finally, we generalize
chass.utoronto.ca). existence of a BRE to a version of the model in
327
328 AEA PAPERS AND PROCEEDINGS MAY 2010

which workers are ex ante heterogeneous with to move into unemployment with probabil-
respect to some observable characteristics such ity δ ∈ (0, 1]. Also, at the separation stage, an
as education and skill. employed worker has the option to voluntarily
move into unemployment. At the search stage,
I. Model a worker (employed or unemployed) chooses in
which submarket to look for a job, and a firm
We consider an economy populated by a con- chooses how many vacancies to create and
tinuum of workers with measure 1, and by a where to locate them. The cost of maintaining
continuum of firms with positive measure. Each a vacancy is k > 0. Both workers and firms take
worker is endowed with an indivisible unit of θ(x) parametrically.
labor. At the matching stage, the workers and the
Each worker maximizes the expected sum of vacancies in submarket x come together through

period utilities ​∑ t=0​ ​​β t υ(ct  ), where β is the dis- a frictional matching process. In particular,
count factor and υ __ is the periodical utility func- a worker meets a vacancy with probability
tion with υ′ ∈ [​_υ​ _′, ​υ ​′  ], ​_υ​
_′ > 0, and υ″ ≤ 0. The p(θ(x)), where p is a strictly increasing and con-
unemployment benefit is b. cave function such that p(0) = 0 and p′(0) > 0.
Each firm operates a constant return to scale Similarly, a vacancy meets a worker with prob-
technology that turns one unit of labor into ability q(θ(x)), where q is a strictly decreasing
y + z units of output. The first component of and convex function such that q(θ) = p(θ)/θ,
productivity, y, is common to all firms, and its q(0) = 1, q′(0) < 0, and p(q−1(·)) concave. When
value lies in the set Y = { y1, y2, … , yN( y)}, where a vacancy and a worker meet, the firm that owns
y1 < y2 < …yN( y). The second component of the vacancy offers to the worker an employ-
productivity, z, is specific to a firm-worker pair, ment contract that gives him the lifetime utility
and its value lies in the set Z = {z1, z2, … , z N( z)}, x. If the worker rejects the offer, he returns to
where z1 < z2 < … < z N( z). Each firm maxi- his previous employment position. If the worker
mizes the expected sum of periodical profits dis- accepts the offer, the two parties form a new
counted at the factor β. match with idiosyncratic productivity z0.
The labor market is organized in a continuum At the production stage, an unemployed
of submarkets indexed by the expected life- worker consumes b > 0 units of output. A
time utility _x that the firms offer to the work- worker employed at a job z produces y + z units
ers, x ∈ [ _x​
_
​ , ​x ​] = X, with x < υ(b)/(1 − β) and​ of output and consumes w of them, where w is
x ​> υ( yN( y) + z N(z))/(1 − β). Specifically, when- specified by the worker’s labor contract. At the
ever a firm meets a worker in submarket x, the end of the production stage, nature draws next
firm offers the worker an employment contract period’s aggregate component of productivity,   ​ y ​ ˆ,
that gives him the expected lifetime utility x. In from the probability distribution Φy(​  y ​  ˆ | y), and
submarket x, the ratio of the number of vacan- next period’s idiosyncratic component of pro-
cies created by firms to the number of work- ˆ, from the distribution Φz(​  z ​
ductivity, ​   z ​ ˆ | z). The
ers looking for jobs is given by the tightness draws of the idiosyncratic component of produc-
θ(x) ≥ 0 which is determined in equilibrium. tivity are independent across matches.
At the beginning of each period, the state of We consider two alternative contractual envi-
the economy can be summarized by the triple ronments. In the “dynamic contracts” environ-
( y, u, g) = ψ. The first element of ψ is the aggre- ment, a firm commits to an employment contract
gate component of productivity. The second that specifies the worker’s wage as a function of
element is the measure of unemployed work- the history of realizations of the idiosyncratic
ers, u ∈ [0, 1]. The third element is a function productivity of the match, z, the history of real-
g : X × Z → [0, 1], with g(V, z) denoting the izations of the aggregate state of the economy,
measure of workers who are employed    
at ψ, and the history of realizations of a lottery
jobs that give them the lifetime utility V​ ​ ˜ ≤ V that is drawn at the beginning of every produc-
and that have an idiosyncratic component of tion stage. This environment generalizes the
˜ ≤ z.
productivity ​   z ​ contractual environment considered by Burdett
Each period is divided into four stages: sepa- and Coles (2003) and Shi (2009) to an economy
ration, search, matching and production. At the with stochastic productivity. In the “fixed-wage
separation stage, an employed worker is forced contracts” environment, a firm commits to a
VOL. 100 NO. 2 Directed Search on the Job, Heterogeneity, and Aggregate Fluctuations 329

wage that remains constant throughout the U( y) = υ(b) + β피R(U(​  y ​


ˆ), ​   y ​
ˆ);
entire duration of the employment relationship.
This constant wage is allowed to depend only (iii ) For all (V, ψ, z) ∈ X × Ψ × Z,
on the outcome of a lottery that is drawn at the
beginning of the employment relationship. This J(V, y, z) = ​ max
     
​y + z − w
ˆ ∈X
w, ​ V​
environment is similar to the one considered by
Burdett and Mortensen (1998). + β피 [(1 − d(​y ​, ​ z ​)) × (1 − ​ p​
  ˆ   ˆ      ˆ   ˆ    ˆ            
˜(​y ​, ​ z ​ ))J(​V​ (​y ​ ˆ), ​ y ​
ˆ, ​ z ​ ˆ)],
ˆ, ​ z ​
Notice that, in general, the contracting prob-
lem of the firm is a complicated sequence prob- subject to the constraints
lem in which the history upon which wages are
contingent grows to infinity over time. However, V = υ(w)
following the literature on dynamic contracts,
+ β피 [ d(​  y ​ ˆ)],
   ˆ      
we can rewrite this problem recursively by using ˆ)R(U(​  y ​
ˆ, ​   z​ ˆ), ​   y ​
ˆ) + (1 − d(​  y ​ ˆ))​V​
ˆ, ​   z​ (​y ​
ˆ, ​ z​
the worker’s lifetime utility as an auxiliary state
variable.
d(​  y ​ ˆ) = {1 if U(y) > V(y, z), δ else} ,
ˆ, ​   z ​
II. Block Recursive Equilibrium
ˆ) ≡ p(θ(m(​V​ ˆ)) and c is the
   ˆ         
˜ (​  y ​
where ​   p​ ˆ, ​   z ​ (​y ​ ˆ)),​ y ​
ˆ, ​ z ​
We denote as U( y) the lifetime utility of associated policy function;
a worker who is unemployed, given that the
aggregate component of productivity is y. We (iv) For all (x, ψ) ∈ X × Ψ,
denote as J(V, y, z) the profits of a firm that
employs a worker, given that the employment k ≥ q(θ(x, y)) J(x, y, z0)
contract is worth the lifetime utility V to the
worker, and the idiosyncratic component of the and θ(x, y) ≥ 0, with complementary slackness;
firm-worker match is z. The value functions U
and J are measured at the production stage. We (v) For all ψ ∈ Ψ, Φψ is consistent with the
denote as R(V, y) the lifetime utility of a worker transition probability of the exogenous
at the search stage, given that the worker’s cur- variables, y and z, and with the policy
rent employment position is worth V. We denote functions m and c.
as θ(x, y) the equilibrium tightness
   ˆ of submarket
x. Finally, we denote with Φψ(​ψ​  | ψ) the transi- Conditions (i)–(v) are straightforward to inter-
tion probability function for the aggregate state pret. Condition (i) insures that, given the tight-
of the economy ψ. ness of each submarket x, the worker chooses
Now, we are in the position to define a BRE where to apply for a job to maximize his life-
for the environment with dynamic contracts. time utility. Condition (ii) defines the lifetime
The reader can find the definition of a BRE for utility of an unemployed worker. Condition (iii)
the environment with fixed-wage contracts in insures that, given the optimal search strategy
Menzio and Shi (forthcoming). of the worker, the firm chooses the employment
contract to maximize its profits and to provide
Definition 1: A BRE is a list of value and the worker with the promised lifetime utility V.
policy functions (θ, R, m, U, J, c) together with Condition (iv) insures that the number of vacan-
a transition probability function Φψ. These cies created in each submarket x maximizes the
functions satisfy the following conditions: profits of the firm. Finally, condition (v) insures
that the law of motion for the aggregate state of
(i ) For all (V, ψ) ∈ X × Ψ, the economy is consistent with the stochastic
process for productivity and the agents’ policy
R(V, y) = V + m ax ​{ p(θ(x, y))(x − V)} ,
​   functions. Overall, conditions (i)–(v) insure that,
x∈X in a BRE just as in a standard recursive equi-
librium, the choices of each agent are optimal
and m is the associated policy function; given the other agents’ choices.
However, unlike in a standard recursive equi-
(ii ) For all ψ ∈ Ψ, librium, in a BRE the agents’ value and policy
330 AEA PAPERS AND PROCEEDINGS MAY 2010

functions (θ, R, m, U, J, c) depend on the aggre- since the value to a firm of filling a vacancy in
gate state of the economy only through the submarket x does not depend on the distribution
aggregate component of productivity, y, and not of workers across employment states and the
through the whole distribution of workers across cost of creating a vacancy is constant, the prob-
different employment states, (u, g). Intuitively, ability that a firm fills a vacancy in submarket x,
this means that in a BRE agents do not need and hence the tightness of submarket x, must be
to forecast the evolution of the entire distribu- independent of (u, g).
tion of workers to solve their problem, but only Given θ 0  , the search value function, R0, that
the evolution of their individual state and of the solves the equilibrium condition (i) depends on
aggregate component of productivity. Formally, ψ only through y. Intuitively, R0 does not depend
this means that, in order to solve for a BRE, one on (u, g) because neither the probability that a
needs to solve a system of functional equations worker meets a vacancy in submarket x nor the
in which the unknown functions depend on three benefit to a worker of meeting a vacancy in sub-
real numbers (the individual state variables, V market x depends on the distribution of work-
and z, and the driving force of aggregate fluctua- ers across employment states. Given R0, the
tions, y) and not on an entire function (the dis- unemployment value function, U0, that solves
tribution of workers across employment states). the equilibrium condition (ii) depends only on ψ
Solving such a system of functional equations is only through y. Intuitively, U0 does not depend
as easy as solving the equilibrium of a represen- on (u, g) because neither the output of an unem-
tative agent model. We refer to the equilibrium ployed worker nor his return to search depends
as a Block Recursive Equilibrium because it is a on the distribution of workers across employ-
recursive equilibrium and the block of equilib- ment states.
rium conditions that describe the agents’ value After inserting J0, θ 0  , R0 and U0 into the RHS
and policy functions can be solved before hav- of the equilibrium condition (iii), we obtain an
ing solved the law of motion of the aggregate update for the profit function, TJ0  . The profit
state of the economy. function TJ0 depends on ψ only through y.
Intuitively, TJ0 does not depend on (u, g), because
III. Existence the output of the match in the current period, the
probability that the match survives until the next
While we can define a Block Recursive production stage, and the value to the firm of the
Equilibrium for any model of search on the job, match at the next production stage are all inde-
there is no reason to believe that such an equilib- pendent of the distribution of workers. Hence,
rium would generally exist. In fact, for models of the equilibrium operator T maps the set of profit
random search on the job, it is easy to establish functions  into itself. Moreover, the operator
that no equilibrium is block recursive. However, T satisfies the assumptions of Schauder’s fixed
for our model of directed search on the job, we point theorem, and, hence, there exists a J * ∈ 
can establish the following result. such that J * = TJ *. Given J *, we construct the
value and policy functions θ*, R*, m*, U  * as
Theorem 2: A Block Recursive Equilibrium described above. Taken together, the functions
exists. (θ*, R*, m*, U  *, J *, c*) satisfy the equilibrium
conditions (i)–(iv) and depend on the aggregate
The proof of Theorem 2 is in Menzio and state of the economy ψ only through y. Hence,
Shi (forthcoming). Here, we present a sketch of they constitute a BRE.
the proof. Let  denote the set of bounded and Directed search is necessary for existence of
continuous profit functions that depend on the a BRE. To see this necessity clearly, suppose
aggregate state of the economy, ψ, only through that search is random, instead. Then the equilib-
the aggregate component of productivity, y, and rium condition (iv) is replaced by
not through the distribution of ­workers across
employment states, (u, g). We take an arbitrary (1)  k ≥ ​m
  ax ​q(θ(ψ)) 핀 (x, ψ)J(x, ψ, z0),
profit function J0 from the set . Given J0, the x∈X

market tightness function, θ 0, that solves the and θ(ψ) ≥ 0, with complementary slack-
equilibrium condition (iv) depends on ψ only ness. The LHS of (1) is the cost of creating a
though y and not through (u, g). Intuitively, vacancy. The expression on the RHS of (1) is
VOL. 100 NO. 2 Directed Search on the Job, Heterogeneity, and Aggregate Fluctuations 331

the benefit of creating a vacancy, which is given We denote as U(si, y), R(si, V, y) and m(si, V, y)
by the product of three terms. The first term is the value and policy functions of a worker of
the ­probability that a firm meets a worker. The type si, and with mj(si, V, y) the j-th component
second term is the probability that a randomly of m(si, V, y). Similarly, we denote as J(si, V, z, y)
selected worker is willing to accept an employ- and c(si, V, z, y) the value and policy function of
ment contract that offers him the lifetime utility a firm that employs a worker of type si.
x. The third term is the value to a firm of hav-
ing an employee to whom it has promised the Theorem 3: Let (θi, Ri, mi, U i, J  i, ci  ) be a
lifetime utility x. Clearly, the probability that a BRE of the economy with ex ante homoge-
randomly selected worker is willing to accept a neous workers of type si. The economy with
contract that offers x depends on the distribu- ex ante heterogeneous workers admits a BRE
tion of workers across employment states. That with the following properties for i = 1, 2, … , N:
is, 핀(x, ψ) depends on (u, g). In turn, this implies (i ) For all (V, y) ∈ X × Y, R(si, V, y) = Ri (V, y)
that the equilibrium condition (1) holds only if and mi (si, V, y) = mi(V, y); (ii) For all y ∈ Y,
the distribution of workers across employment U(si, y) = U i(y); (iii) For all (V, z, y) ∈ X × Z ×
states affects also the market tightness θ or the Y, J(si,V, z, y) = J i(V, z, y) and c(si, V, z, y)
profit function J. In either case, the equilibrium = ci(V, z, y); (iv) For all (V, y) ∈ X × Y, θ(m(si, V, y))
fails to be block recursive. = θi(mi(V, y)).
In contrast, directed search eliminates the
dependence of the acceptance probability on the The proof of Theorem 3 is in the online
distribution of workers because a worker always Appendix. The theorem states that there exists a
accepts a job that he chooses to search for. That BRE of the economy with ex ante heterogeneous
is, 핀(x, ψ) = 1. In turn, 핀(x, ψ) = 1 guarantees workers that is given by the stratification of the
that, if the profit function J does not depend on BRE of the N economies with ex ante homoge-
the distribution of workers, neither do θ, R, m, U, neous workers of type si, i = 1, 2, … , N. More
c and the updated profit function TJ. precisely, the theorem states that there exists a
BRE of the economy with ex ante heterogeneous
IV. Ex ante Heterogeneous Workers workers, in which the value and policy func-
tions of a worker of type si and the value and
For some empirical applications, it might be policy functions of a firm that employs a worker
necessary to use a version of the model in which of type si are the same as in the BRE of the
workers are ex ante heterogeneous in some economy with homogeneous workers of type si.
observable characteristics such as education or Practically, Theorem 3 implies that, in order to
skill. In this section, we establish existence of a solve for a BRE of the economy with ex ante het-
BRE for such a version of the model. erogeneity, it is sufficient to solve for the BRE of
We consider an economy populated by N the N economies with ex ante identical workers.
types of workers. Specifically, there is a con- The stratification result in Theorem 3 obtains
tinuum of workers of type si with measure because, in the equilibrium of the economy
πi, i = 1, 2, … , N, where s1 < s2 < … < sN with ex ante heterogeneous workers, the labor
and ​∑ Ni=1​ ​​πi = 1. A worker’s type affects his market is endogenously segmented by worker’s
labor productivity. Specifically, a worker of type, in the sense that any active submarket is
type si produces y + z + si units of output visited exclusively by one type of worker. To
when employed in a match with idiosyncratic understand why this is the case, consider the
productivity z. In this economy, the labor mar- following thought experiment. Suppose that
ket is organized in a continuum of submarkets submarket x = (x1, x 2) is visited by workers of
indexed by the vector x ∈ X N. In submarket x, type s1 and s2. Without loss in generality, sup-
firms offer the expected lifetime utility xi to pose that the profits of the firm are greater if
workers of type si, where xi denotes the i-th it fills a vacancy in ­submarket x with a worker
component of x. In submarket x, the ratio of of type s1 rather than s2. Then, in submarket
the number of vacancies created by firms to x′ = (x1, _x​
​ ), the expected profits of the firm from
the number of workers looking for jobs is given filling a vacancy are greater than in submarket
by θ(x) ≥ 0, and the distribution of workers x, because no worker of type s2 searches in x′.
across types is given by ϕ(x). Hence, the probability that a firm fills a vacancy
332 AEA PAPERS AND PROCEEDINGS MAY 2010

must be lower in submarket x′ than in submarket Review, 39(2): 257–73.


x and, in turn, θ(x′) must be greater than θ(x). Delacroix, Alain, and Shouyong Shi. 2006.
But if θ(x′) is greater than θ(x), a worker of type “Directed Search on the Job and the Wage
s1 is better off applying for a job in submar- Ladder.” International Economic Review,
ket x′ than in x. This contradicts the conjec- 47(2): 651–99.
ture that submarket x is visited by both types Menzio, Guido, and Shouyong Shi. 2009. “Effi-
of workers. cient Search on the Job and the Business Cycle.”
National Bureau of Economic Research Work-
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