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FIRMS' CHOICE OF METHOD OF PAY

CHARLES BROWN*

Usingdata fromtheBLS Industry Wage Survey,theauthorteststhe


theorythatfirmschoosetheirmethodsof pay by balancingthe gains
from more precise links between performanceand pay against
monitoring costs.The resultsconfirm mostof thepredictionsfromthe
generaltheory.For example,largefirmsmakesignificantly greateruse
of standard-rate pay thando smallfirms,and incentivepay (such as
of dutiesthaninjobs with
piecerates)is lesslikelyinjobs witha variety
a narrowsetof routines.

THE importanceof differencesin meth- cally the cost of monitoring workers in


ods of pay is not a new topic,' but it is some industries.2Compensation specialists
one that has received increasingattention have noted a decline in the link between
fromacademic researchersand compensa- pay and performance,and many predict
tion specialists. Its claim to academic the crisis of competitivenessfacing U.S.
attentionrestslargelyon the hypothesized firmswill force a re-strengthening of this
relationship between methods of wage link for both managerial and nonmanage-
payment and the cost of monitoring rial employees (McLaughlin 1986; Morse
workers in differentcontexts-a theme 1986).3 Meanwhile, on the other side of
that, in turn, lies at the heart of recent the Pacific,"there is startingto be a shift
theoreticalinsightsabout the structureof away from pay by seniorityand towards
wages. Improvementsin technology,par- pay determinedby merit"in Japan as well
ticularlythe growinguse of computers in (Maidment 1987:S-18).
the office and the factory,and even in But problemsin implementingcontracts
long-haul trucking,are reducing dramati- linking pay and performance run into
monitoringproblems that are stressed in
* Charles Brown is Professorof Economicsand Re- the academic literature.One example of
search Scientistat the Institutefor Social Research at general interest is the contract of New
the Universityof Michigan,and a Research Associate York Jets quarterback Ken O'Brien,
of the National Bureau of Economic Research. This
researchwas supportedbythe National Science Foun-
2 The Washington Post reported that a large hotel
dation (Grant 8708370). The author thanks Nancy
Lemrow, Thomas Hungerford, and Marsha Silver- now requires each maid to punch her ID number on
berg for researchassistance.For helpfulsuggestions, the room telephone when she entersand leaves each
he also thanksseminarparticipantsat the NBER and room. Similar opportunitiesare available for moni-
these universities:Chicago, Cornell, Georgetown,Il- toring typistsusing word processing packages that
linois, Kentucky,Michigan,and Toronto. can record the typist'swork level while performing
Copies of the data and computerprogramsused to traditional word processing. For evidence of the
generate the resultspresentedin thispaper are avail- potential of modern technology for more precise
able from the author at the Institutefor Social Re- monitoringof workers,see National Research Coun-
search,University of Michigan,Ann Arbor,MI 48109. cil (1986) and Shaiken (1987).
1Julius Caesar is said to have enhanced the 3 A survey of compensation committee members

effectivenessof the Roman army by implementinga of 350 large U.S. corporations found this was "the
performance-basedsalary system in lieu of booty most important objective in the next five years"
(McLaughlin 1986:8). (McLaughlin 1986:7).

Industrialand LaborRelationsReview,Vol. 43, Special Issue (February 1990). X by Cornell University.


0019-7939/90/43SP$01.00

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166-S CHARLES BROWN

under whichpart of O'Brien's pay is keyed point of departure. Existingmodels gener-


to his NFL quarterbacks' rating, which ally assume the firm has two choices:
penalizes incomplete passes but not sacks. paying piece rates (earnings tied to an
Said formerJetsquarterbackJoe Namath, objective measure of value of output) or
"I'm amazed at [O'Brien's] accuracy,but I paying time rates or salaries (earnings not
see him hold the ball more than he should. linked to how much is produced). To
I always thought it was better to have simplify,I will assume the work-weekis
second and 10 than second and 18. I don't fixed, which means that earnings per
like incentive contracts that pertain to period are fixed under the lattersystem.
numbers" (Anderson 1988). In the simplestmodel of this sort,each
The existingtheoryof the determinants worker'sproductivityis fixed (effortis not
of method of pay is fairlystraightforward: an issue),and themethodsof pay sortwork-
in essence, it asserts that differentmeth- ers among firms.Workersknow theirown
ods of pay offerdifferentapproximations productivity, but firmsdo not, unless they
to an idealized pay-for-performance incen- pay a monitoringcost 0. The firmcan ei-
tive for workers,but carrydifferentcosts. ther pay 0 to measure a worker'sproduc-
In general, the link between pay and tivityq directly,in which case it pays the
performancewill be strongerwhere per- worker q - 0, or not pay the cost of the
formanceis more accuratelyobserved (for piece-ratemonitoringsystemand pay sal-
example, where there are piece rates),but ary S. The piece rate structureobviously
such accuracy is likely to be expensive. satisfiesthe zero-profitrequirement.Firms
Hence, across firmsor jobs withina firm, using salaries mustin equilibriumchoose S
variationsin costs and benefitsof accurate so they,too, earn zero profits.Since work-
monitoring are hypothesized to explain ers knowtheirown q's,theychoose the type
differencesin method of pay. of firmin whichtheirearningsare highest:
This theory receives considerable sup- workers with q>S+0 choose piece-rate
port in the prescriptive treatments in firmsand those with q<S+0 choose the
personnel texts (though the topic appears firmspaying salaries. (See Figure 1.) If q
to command less attention in such texts has densityand c.d.f. f(q) and F(q) respec-
now than it once did) and in a quite tively,the zero-profitcondition is
limited set of empirical analyses. Perhaps
little empirical work in the spirit of the ( fS +0
new personnel economics has been de- S= qf(q)dq
(1) F(S + 0) Jo
voted to these issues because data in
household surveysand mostestablishment Lazear shows that an S>O satisfyingthis
surveysare not veryhelpful.The purpose conditionexists so long as 0>0. Thus, the
of this paper is to help fillthis gap.
that firms do observe each worker's output (an
exception is part of Holmstrom's 1982 paper) but
ExistingTheoretical Models this output depends on environmentalfactors the
worker cannot control as well as on effort,so that
A recent paper by Lazear (1986), which paying piece rates introducesrisk,whichagents find
presents several models of the choice of undesirable. The extra informationsought by the
method of pay,4 provides a convenient firmis some measure of effort,so that the worker
can be partiallyinsured in cases where output is low
due to environmental randomness rather than
4 An alternativeapproach would be to emphasize worker shirking. This approach is very likely the
the somewhatdifferentprincipal-agentliterature,as right one for thinking about corporate CEOs or
developed by Harris and Raviv (1979), Holmstrom salespersons,forwhom output is easilymeasured but
(1979 and 1982), or Green and Stokey (1983). A environmental randomness is important. Lazear's
fundamentaldifferencebetween these papers and approach seems better suited to the blue-collar
Lazear's is the assumed source of randomness. workers in the IWS, for whom environmental
Lazear assumes that unless the cost of an accurate randomness is relatively unimportant (the most
piece rate systemis undertaken, the firmdoes not importantrandomness, breakdown of machines or
know how much the worker has produced. The material unavailability,being easily measured) but
principal-agentpapers, on the other hand, assume measuringoutput (performance) is costly.

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FIRMS' CHOICE OF METHOD OF PAY 167-S

salaryfirmssave on monitoringcosts and must assume that there is some minimum


pay lowerwages, but these advantages are level of effortE that firmscan observe
exactly counterbalanced by their having cheaply;5workerswho do not work at this
less productiveworkers. level of effortare discharged by time-rate
The most obvious prediction of this firms.
simple model is thatwithinan occupation, A worker who puts forth effort E
workerspaid piece rates will have higher produces E units of output, but at psychic
earnings than workers paid time rates. cost C(E). The piece rate firmpays a wage
Available evidence supports this predic- equal to E -0 and, if the worker works
tion (King 1975; Pencavel 1977; Seiler under a piece-ratesystem,his or her utility
1984). is E -0- C(E). Utilityis maximized at E*,
A second predictionis that as the costs where C'(E*)= 1, and utilityis U*. Alter-
of directly monitoring output increase, natively, if the individual works in a
fewer workers will work in piece-rate time-rate firm, an effort level E is re-
firms.This patternis clear fromFigure 1. quired, and a salaryS is paid. The worker
An increase in 0 shifts down the w(q) achieves utility U = -QC(E) =E- E),
functionfor piece rate firms.The initial since S must equal E to satisfy the
effect of this change is to increase the zero-profitcondition. The worker com-
number of workers receiving time rates, pares U* to U and chooses the firm
and to allow time-rate firms to earn offeringthe greater utility.
positiveprofits(since the additional work- To strengthenthe comparison with the
ers have qo'>q>qo but theyare paid S, the earlier model, assume that workersdiffer
average of q from zero to qo). This effect in their cost-of-effortfunctions. Let
in turn raises the wages offered by C(E) = E2/N, where N represents the en-
time-ratefirms, furtherincreasing their ergy (or ability) of the worker: workers
share of the work force. withhigherN produce a given (increment
The above model emphasizes sortingof to) E at lower (marginal) cost. Then
workerswith differentabilities. An alter- U=E-E21N is the utility offered by
native is to emphasize workereffort.The time-rate firms. Under piece rates, the
key distinctionbetween abilityand effort workerchooses E* = N12 and attainsutility
is that the latter is controlled by the level U* = (N/4)- 0. Workers are sorted
worker, and can be manipulated by the across firmsby theirvalue of N, as shown
firm by offering appropriate incentives. in Figure2.6
Because workers are assumed to find
greater effort distasteful, however, we

5 If there were no minimum level of effortthe


ZIV
w(q) firmcould easily verify,workerswould presumably
setE equal to zero and the firmcould not survive.An
alternativeapproach is to assume there is a minimal
level of effortE >0 below which less effortdoes not
raise utility.
6 Figure 2 is drawn on the assumptionthatE is low
enough relativeto the minimumvalue of N that all
workerswithlow N work for the salarL firm.As the
S above algebra makes clear, U*(N) and U (N) willcross
twice.Call the two values No and No. For N>NO, the
workerprefersthe piece rate firmand exerts E>E.
For N?<N<No, the worker prefers time rates. If
thereare any workerswithN<NJ, however,theywill
q-0 prefer piece rates because piece rates yermit a
leisurelypace of workbelow E. Given thatE typically
qo q corresponds to a very low level of effort(just going
*- Salaried - - Piece Rate throughthe motions) and that previous studies find
piece rate workers earning more, this possibility
Figure 1. Salary and Piece Rate Firms. seems unlikelyto be importantempirically.

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168-S CHARLES BROWN

U
will be clearer when the data are de-
U(N) scribed.)
Suppose there are three intensitiesof
monitoring,and for any monitoringstrat-
egyj the expected wage offereda worker
of qualityq is a linear functionof q:

(2) w, = aj, + bq.


- 2N
The statistical discrimination literature
(Aigner and Cain 1977; Lundberg and
Startz 1983; Garen 1985) shows that the
NG
relationship between expected wage and
*- Salaried Piece Rate -
worker quality will be steeper (that is, b1
- -

Figure 2. Salary and Piece Rate Firms. will be larger) the more accurate the
available productivity indicator. If all
three monitoringintensitiesare used, and
The implicationsof this model, appar- bj<b2<b3, it must be thataj>a2>a3. Since
ent in Figure 2, are similarto those of the the cost of monitoringworkersis presum-
previous model: piece-rate workers earn ablylower ifthe monitoringstrategyis less
higher wages, and an increase in the cost accurate,and the cost O0is subtractedfrom
of running a piece-rate systemincreases a worker's output in setting the wage,
the fractionof workers(range of N values) differencesin 0 contributeto this ranking
who prefertime rates. of the a's.
As in Lazear's model, assume that piece
Three-Choice Models rates correspond to a precise but expen-
sive measuring of physical output. Merit
pay offers a less expensive but less
The assumption that pay of time-rated
accurate alternative.8Part of the weaker
workers is unrelated to productivityis
link between pay and performanceunder
overly restrictive-at least for some time-
rated blue-collar workers and a clear
majorityof clerical and technicalworkers
(Cox 1971; BNA 1981; Personnick 1987). 8 One
mightmake two objectionsto thisclassifica-
Withinthe general categoryof time-rated tion. First, it might be argued that, in some cases,
workers,some receive wages that depend piece rates are less accurate than supervisorratings
as an indicator of productivity(for example, where
on job categoryand perhaps senioritybut qualityof output is veryimportant).Such a situation,
not performance,whereas others' wages however, consistentwith the frameworkdeveloped
are set individuallybased on supervisors' here, can be described as one in which the cost of a
perceptionsof theirproductivity. A gener- precise piece-rate systemis very high. Second, one
alization that allows the firm to choose might wonder whether merit ratings are very
expensive, given that supervisorshave a reasonably
among three wage-settingmethods-one accurate estimateof workers'productivity thatcomes
in whichwages depend only marginallyon "free" from the act of supervising. A merit pay
performance ("standard rates"), one in systemin whichconsiderable weightis placed on the
whichtheydepend on supervisors'evalua- evaluations, however (see next paragraph). imposes
not only the cost of the supervisors writingdown
tions ("merit pay"),7 and a piece rate what theyalready know; morale considerationsseem
system-is developed in this section. (The to demand that a serious merit-pay system be
empirical motivation for this way of formalizedso that workerswill accept it as fair, and
definingthe boundaries between methods coordinated so that otherwiseidenticalworkerswith
differentsupervisorsare not treatedverydifferently.
Finally,the personnel literaturesuggests it is diffi-
7 Merit pay may take the form of "contests" in cult-perplexingly so to an economist-for top
whicheach worker'sratingdepends on his measured managementto enforcesizable meritdifferentials for
performancerelativeto everyoneelse's, as described workersat lower levels. See Hamner (1983); Strauss
in Nalebuffand Stiglitz(1983). and Sayles (1980).

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FIRMS' CHOICE OF METHOD OF PAY 169-S

w
monitoring intensityor the benefits of
W(q) betterperformanceindicatorschange, the
use of the threemonitoringintensitiesand
wM(q)
their associated methods of pay will also
change. An increase in Oj leads wj(q) to
shift downward, and the number of
ws(q)
workerswho opt for that method falls.
The benefits of better performance
indicators are presumably larger where
Wp(q) differencesin worker productivenessare
larger. In the limitingcase in which all
workers are equally productive,expendi-
q1 q2
q tures to assess their performance would
qo q3a
Standard Merit Piece
-> <_ <.
not be profitable.
Rates Pay Rates
To be more precise, suppose wage
Figure 3. Standard Rate, Merit Pay, and Piece offersare
Rate Firms.

(3) wj = aj + bjvq
merit pay comes from errors in supervi-
sors' ratingsof performance;the peculiar
where v depends on the sensitivityof
feature of most merit-pay systems that output to worker quality. Let v initially
incrementsfeed intothebase wage contrib-
equal one, as in Figure 3. Now let v
utes as well (Schwab and Olson, thisissue). increase. The boundary between standard
Firms using standard rates presumably
rate and meritpay workers,qj, is defined
spend little on measuring performance,
by
since theydo not use it in wage-setting.9
Let S, M, and P denote standard rates,
merit pay, and piece rates, respectively. -as - am
(4)
Figure 3 shows a three-methodgeneraliza- (bM- b)v
tion of Figure 1. Although bs may be
greaterthan zero and bp may be less than
one, the essential differencehere is that An increase in v thus reduces qi (and q2),
merit pay is added as an intermediate reducing the use of standard rates and
method of pay. increasingthe use of piece rates.'0
If the costs of using a particular How does the three-alternativemodel
work when workers vary their effortin
9 My focus is on the relationshipbetween perfor-
response to wage incentives? A worker
mance and pay in the shortrun. Even if it is granted
who exerts effortE produces E worth of
that those who performbetterunder standard-rate output and earns an expected wage of a1
regimes have a greater probabilityof promotion in + bjE if he or she worksunder method of
the future,the relationshipbetween pay and perfor- pay j. A worker with energy level N has
mance would stillbe "less than that associated with utilityU- = a1 + b E - E2IN. To maximize
the other forms of compensation that are more
closelytied to currentoutput" (Barron and Loewen- utility,the worker chooses effortlevel E*
stein 1986:604). Future compensationis neglected in = b1N/2,earns W. = aj + bVN/2,and
the textbecause it is not measured in the IWS. attainsutilitylevel U* = aj + b/N/4.If we
It is worth noting that future promotions would now plot UA(N),we have a diagram like
probably depend on measured performanceunder
any of the systems,so neglecting them may be a
Figure 3, except that the axes are U* and
defensible simplification when the object is to N rather than wj and q. Recognizing that
compare systems. Also, to the extent that less
accurate monitoringleaves standard-ratefirmsless
able to identifythe "right" workers to promote to
10I am assuming that these "first-round"effects
higher positions,there is presumablya productivity
loss that should be counted as part of the cost of are not completelyundone by subsequent changes in
using thissystem. response to positiveprofits.

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170-S CHARLES BROWN

w
the workerchooses the method of pay that
offersthe highest lU, we again have the wVq(q
workers sorting according to N, and the
merit-pay workers receiving wages be-
tween the low-wagestandard-rateworkers
and the high-wagepiece-rateworkers. --I ~ ~~~~~~~~~~~~
I

Thus far,I have takenthe supplyof labor


to the occupationor industryin questionas ' I ~~~~~~~~~I
i

given.Althoughitis clearthatthisis a strong I I I I

assumption,it is not clear how best to relax I ,,...I |.,

it. One possibilityis to assume thatworkers


face an alternativewage w, independentof . I

q. This assumptionis reasonable if workers q0 qI q4 q2 q5 q3

do notknowtheirabilities," I butwhenwork- Standard Merit Work Elsewhere Piece


Rates Pay Rates
ers do know theirabilitiesit is equivalentto
assuming that abilityin the occupation in Figure 4. Standard Rate, Merit Pay, and Piece
question is uncorrelatedwith abilityin al- Rate Fi rms.
ternativeoccupations.
A less restrictiveoption is to assume that
there is an alternativewage functionWa(q) mon and standard rates less common where
thatmustbe met ifworkersof qualityq are the differences in productivityamong work-
to be attracted.Although the details de- ers are greatest. Factors related to these
pend on the shape and positionof the Wa(q) determinants (and how they can be mea-
one chooses, the basic impact of including sured in the data described below) are sum-
wa is to eliminatepart of the q distribution marized in Table 1. These factors include
from Figure 3. For example, in Figure 4 those mentioned in the method-of-pay lit-
workerswith qo<q<ql stillwork for stan- erature and in personnel texts.
dard rate firms,those withql<q<q4 work Perhaps the most commonly cited indi-
formerit-pay firms, thosewithq4<q<q5 ac- cator of monitoring costs in the economics
ceptalternativeemployment, and onlythose literature is the size of establishment
or firm.
withq>q5 work for piece-ratefirms.It re- The classic reference here is Stigler (I 962),
mains truethata smallincreasein Op(shift- who argued that large employers have a
ing wp(q)downward)reduces the incidence significant disadvantage in monitoring
of piece rates.The differenceis thathere a workers. (More recent studies using this
small increase in Op has no effecton the premise are Oi 1983 and Garenl 1985.)
number of merit-payor standard-ratework- A closer look at the Stigler argument
ers, and theirshareof employmentin this makes it clear that the greater monitoring
marketriseswhentheworkerswithq slightly costs correspond to an increase in Om -
above q5 leave for alternativeemployment. greater difficultyin monitoring through su-
pervisors' ratings -rather than an increase
in Op. Indeed, since piece-rate systems en-
Measurable Determinantsof tail fixed costs that can be spread over more
Method of Pay workers in larger establishments (Cleland
1955; ILO 1984), Op should be lower in
The extension of the standard model such workplaces. This consideration dem-
leads to the predictionthatthe prevalence onstrates the practical importance of the
of each of the threemethodsof pay should three-way choice of method of pay. We ex-
be inverselyrelated to the cost of using it, pect larger establishments to make greater
and that piece rates should be more com- use of piece rates, less use of merit pay,
and perhaps greater use of standard rates.
1 Lazear (1986) introduces w when workers do The argument that larger establish-
not know their own abilities, but reverts to the ments have an advantage in implementing
fixed-supplymodel when the workerknowsq. piece rate systems has a subtler implication

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FIRMS' CHOICE OF METHOD OF PAY 171-S

Table 1. Impacton Methodof Pay,and Data.


Variables,Hypothesized
Hypothesized b
Variable Impacta Data
Size of Establishment T P, K M Estab. Size (IWS)
Occupational Concentration TP X (share of occ k)2 (IWS)
k
DiversifiedDuties ,P DOT Variables
Skill (Variation in vmp) mS, T P DOT Variables
Accuracy& Quality Important tP DOT Variables
but Hard to Measure
Growthin Q/L ,P A In VA/L (COM)
Capital Intensity , P?, I M? VA-Payroll (COM)
Shipments
Importanceof Teamwork IP Holidays (IWS)
Total Time Off
ProportionFemale S5?, T P Female Empl. Share (IWS)
Union Coverage (U) T S, M,?P WhetherUnionized (IWS)
Threat of Unionization T S, M,?P (1-U) U-hat (IWS)
a p = piece rates; M = merit pay; S = standard rates.
b IWS = IndustryWage Survey; DOT = Dictionary ofOccupationalTitles;COM = Departmentof Commerce,
CountyBusinessPatternsfor 1977. VA = value added; L = number of workers;U-hat = predictedvalue of U.

that has not been discussed in the litera- An interrelatedset of job characteris-
ture. The more separate jobs within an tics-skill level and the importance of
establishmentof given size, the greaterthe accuracyand qualityof output-have con-
cost of settingup and maintainingpiece flictingeffectson method of pay. Almost
rates. Greater occupationaldispersion raises by definition,high-skilljobs are jobs in
Op and should, other things equal, be which workeroutput is sensitiveto differ-
associated with less use of piece rates. It ences in worker quality. Thus, high-skill
may also increase the cost of a given level jobs should have greater benefit from
of accuracyfor meritpay ratingsin which precise monitoring, and greater use of
each worker'sperformanceis compared to piece rates and less use of standard rates
the group average, because the group (Beach 1975:670). On the other hand,
average would be based on fewerobserva- when accuracy and quality of work are
tions and contain more noise.
important-characteristicsthat are often
A relatedthemeis thatestablishments with
but not necessarily associated with skill
long,standardizedproductionrunsor those
in whichindividualemployeesperform the level-Op is likelyto be high and the use of
same tasksrepetitively are amenable to piece piece rates less common (Cornell 1936:
rates.Conversely,where (due to shortpro- 537; Lansburgh and Spriegel 1940:416;
duction runs or the nature of the jobs in- Pencavel 1977:232). More precisely,since
volved) individual workers perform a wide piece rate systems can penalize workers
range of duties and there is considerable for defective pieces, situations in which
day-to-dayvariationin the importanceof accuracyand qualityare importantbut not
various duties,it is difficult(that is, costly) easily verified pose an obstacle to using
to devise a piece-ratesystemthat correctly piece rates.
priceseach of the tasks(Cleland 1955; Cor- A frequently mentioned disadvantage
nell 1936; Carlson 1982).12 of a piece rate systemis thatrapidgrowth of
output per workerdue to technological
12
change or increased capital intensityneces-
Cleland (1955) and Oi (1983) suggest that long
standardizedproductionruns are more characteristic
sitatesrevisionsin the piece rate structure,
of large than small establishments,reinforcingthe raising the cost of piece rates. If the piece
predicted effectof establishmentsize. rate is adjusted downward,morale is likely

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172-S CHARLES BROWN

to suffer, particularly if the workers (Cornell 1936:537; Cox 1971:55) and


believe that management used piece rates increases the use of standard rates (Beach
to get them to work hard and then 1975:680). Alternatively,greater capital
adjusted the rate downward. In principle, intensity may be interpreted as more
adjustments to reflect the fact that new machineryentrustedto the worker. Since
machineryhas made the old piece rate too maintenance of machineryis, like quality,
generous mightbe accepted, but in prac- something that may sufferunless special
tice,determiningwhetherthe reductionis measures are undertaken in a piece rate
fair is difficult.Lansburgh and Spriegel system, I expect less use of piece rates
(1940:419)'3 stated this problem quite where capital intensityis greater. Finally,
clearly: capital intensity may have an indirect
effectby changing the skill level of the
Reallyradicalchangesin productionmethod, work. To the extent that the occupation
whichso changethejob as to make the past mix is affected, the skill measures of
rateabsurd,havebeenfrequentlylookedupon
by workersmerelyas an excusefor cuttingrates.
individual occupations would capture this
... This confusionbetweenlogicalpiece rate effect.To the extentthatthe skillrequired
re-adjustments resultsin nu-
and rate-cutting withinoccupational titleschanges, a capi-
merousborderlinecaseswhichit is difficult
to tal intensitymeasure will pick up that
becausethereare no real data,
settleamicably, effect as well. On balance, previous re-
convincingto bothsides,whichmaybe used as search suggeststhatcapital intensityprob-
a basis. ably should reduce use of piece rates,but
this predictiondepends on hard-to-verify
Piece rates as understood in the theoret- links between capital intensityand more
ical literaturelink individual performance basic determinantsof method of pay, and
and pay. Consequently,where teamproduc- in having controlled adequately for the
tion is important, measuring individual skilllevel of the work involved.
performanceis more difficultand the cost Goldin (1986) has argued that the
of an accurate piece-rate system will be proportion of women in the firm'swork
greater.Firmswillavoid piece rates "if the force may have an importantbearing on
cost of determining how much each the method of pay. Her analysiscompares
individualemployee has produced at each a piece rate systemto a timerate system,in
stage in a production process is excessive" which better performance is rewarded
(Beach 1975:681). through futurepromotion,and less care-
The relationship between capital intensity ful (less expensive) monitoring is em-
and method of pay is complicated by the ployed. She argues that the latter system
fact that the literaturehas made use of can be efficientfor those planning stable
capital intensityas an indicatorof several attachmentto the firm.Piece rates would
forces. Lazear (1986) shows that an in- be more common for female work forces,
crease in the required value of capital per however, because the promise of future
worker is like a simultaneous increase in promotion is too bland a carrot for those
all 0's-the cost of capital per worker is planning short tenure with the firm.
subtractedfromthe output of each worker Goldin found that women were indeed
under each payment system,and the use more likely to be piece-rate workers,
of particular payment schemes is not whereas men tended to be paid piece rates
affected.Others have used capital inten- in integratedestablishmentsbut timerates
sityas a proxyfor machine-paced produc- in segregated male workplaces.14
tion (for example, McKersie et al. 1964 A three-waymethod of pay categoriza-
and Carlson 1982; but see Pryor 1984:41 tion allows us to put Goldin's hypothesisto
for evidence challenging this link), which
reduces the attractivenessof piece rates
14
Pencavel (1977) found only a very weak
tendency for women to be piece-rate workers,in a
13 See also Cornell (1936:711); Pencavel (1977: relatively small sample of Chicago punch press
233); and Carlson (1982:20). operators.

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FIRMS' CHOICE OF METHOD OF PAY 173-S

a more precise test. Not only should Finally,the historyof firms'response to


women be more likely to be paid piece the threatof unionizationsuggests another
rates, theyshould be less likelyto be paid union-related hypothesis. Jacoby (1984)
standard rates,since presumablythe rela- found that nonunion firms threatened
tiveimportanceof promotionas an incen- with unionization often adopted more
tive is greatest where few within- formal, standardized wage structuresto
occupation distinctions are made. An fend off unionization. This finding sug-
alternative view is that women avoid gests that merit-paysystemsmay be less
systems where supervisors have great common among nonunion firms threat-
discretion(namely,meritpay systems)and ened by unionization than among non-
concentrate in systems with the formal union firmsfacingless serious threats.
protectionofferedby eitherstandard rates Following the formal models on the
or piece rates.Both models predictwomen topic, Table I emphasizes differencesin
are more likelyto work under piece rates "objective" conditions in the workplace.
(as Goldin demonstrated); they differ in An alternative, more elusive factor is
their prediction about the distributionof differences in management philosophy
women between merit pay and standard (Lewis 1960:462; Carlson 1982:20): some
rate systems (which Goldin's data could managers believe it is essential to reward
not distinguish). productive employees, whereas others
Thus far, the discussion has implicitly worry more about the harm done by
focused on nonunion establishments,or distinctions that are perceived to be
situationsin whichthe presence of a union unjustified.Although there is no precise
makes no differencefor method of pay. measure of managerial philosophy, it is
Freeman (1982:4-5) has argued, however, possible to extend an idea recentlyintro-
that unions opt for standard-rate wage duced by Dickens and Katz (1986) in a
systems,both as protection against arbi- related context.Given thatofficeworkhas
trariness by low-level supervisors and no obvious technologicalsimilarityto plant
because eliminating wage disparities work across manufacturing establish-
strengthensa political sense of solidarity. ments,it would be useful to know whether
Although Freeman's analysis focuses on thereis an importantrelationshipbetween
the choice between standard-rate and methods of pay of office and plant
merit-paysystems,a more explicitconsid- workersin an establishment.' A finding,
eration of piece rates would be illuminat- for example, that establishments using
ing. Piece rates provide protectionagainst standard rates for officeworkershave no
supervisorydiscretion'5but not solidarity- particular tendencyto use standard rates
enhancing wage equality. Thus, the rela- for their plant workers would tend to
tionshipsbetween unionization and piece support the importance of factors like
rates allows us to distinguish between those in Table 1 rather than managerial
these motivations. The distinction has stylein determiningmethods of pay.'7
potentiallyimportantpolicy implications.
In an environmentwhere heavily union- Data
ized industries need improvements in
productivityto remain competitive,tech- The IndustryWage Survey (IWS) pro-
nological monitoringcould provide incen- gram of the Bureau of Labor Statistics
tivesforbetterperformancewithoutsacri- provides data on methods of wage deter-
ficing protection from arbitrarysupervi- minationand other establishmentcharac-
sory discretion.
16
Of course, officeworkersare almost never paid
piece rates. But there is variationin the importance
15
Under an imperfectpiece rate system,supervi- given to individual differences in productivity,
sors can still assign favored employees to jobs with particularlyin the importance of seniorityversus
"loose" rates-that is,jobs thatare overpriced(Beach meritin range-of-ratesystems.
1975:699). The union would need to restrictsuch 17 Methods of pay of officeworkersare available

in assignment.
flexibility for only a minorityof the IWS industries.

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174-S CHARLES BROWN

teristics.The Survey itselfcollects,froma The "single rate" and "range of rates-


sample of establishmentsin approximately seniority" categories are standard-rate
60 industries (four-fifthsof them in methods. The "range of rates-merit"and
manufacturing),data on seven categories "individual determination"categories are
of establishmentcharacteristics:propor- merit-pay methods.19 "Individual piece
tion of production (and, in a few indus- rates,""individual bonus pay," and (negli-
tries, office) workers paid by various gible in these data) "commissions"corre-
"methods of pay"; fringe benefit policies spond closely to the piece rate systemas
(for example, number of holidays and characterized by the theory described
vacation days at differentsenioritylevels); above. "Range of rates-combination"strad-
number of workers employed; union dles the boundary between meritpay and
coverage; region; metropolitan/non- standard rates. "Group piece rates" and
metropolitan location; and details about "group bonus pay" may act like individual
the product and production technology, piece rates if groups are small, but Weiss
which vary fromindustryto industry. (1987) offersstrongevidence thatin large
Ten methods of pay are distinguished, groups these incentiveeffectsmay be lost.
five for time rates and five for incentive Unfortunately,the data do not include the
pay:18 group size forthose paid group incentives;
Timerates.(1) In a single rate system,all but these categories are fairlyrare in the
those in a job category receive the same 10 industriesstudied here.
wage. When a range of rates is used for a In addition,foreach productionworker
job category, progression through the in "studied occupations,"a subset of occu-
range is governed by (2) merit, (3) pations that includes the major occupa-
seniority,or (4) a combination of merit tions in the industry,the IndustryWage
and seniority.Finally, (5) wages may be Survey provides the hourly wage;20 gen-
individuallydetermined. der; whetherpaid byincentiveor timerates;
Incentivepay. Incentives may take the and occupation(roughly30 occupationsare
form of (1) individual piece rates, (2) distinguishedfor each industry).21
individualbonus pay (pay for exceeding a Table 2 shows the distributionof estab-
production quota), (3) group piece rates, lishmentsby method of pay22 for blue-
(4) group bonus pay, or (5) commissions. collar workers in 10 industries.23Each

18
A more precise definitionof the IWS categories '9 This usage differsslightlyfromthatin compen-
is provided in each report: Formal rate structuresfor sation textbooks,where merit pay means range of
time-ratedworkersprovide single rates or a range of rate systemsin whicha worker'spositionin the range
ratesforindividualjob categories.In the absence of a depends on merit reviews (and perhaps seniority),
formal rate structure, pay rates are determined and thus usually would not include a less formal
primarily by the qualifications of the individual "individual determination" system. For a more
worker. A single rate structureis one in which the detailed descriptionof what is meant by meritpay in
same rate is paid to all experienced workersin the thatcontext,see Schwab and Olson, thisissue.
same job classification. (Learners, apprentices, or 20 The hourly wage includes piece rates and
probationaryworkersmay be paid according to rate production bonuses but excludes annual non-
schedules that startbelow the single rate and permit productionbonuses and premium pay for overtime,
the workersto achieve the fulljob rate over a period holidays,and shiftwork.
of time.)An experienced workeroccasionallymay be 21 A sense of the fineness of detail of the IWS's

paid above or below the single rate for special breakdown of occupations can be gained from a
reasons, but such paymentsare exceptions. Range- sampling of occupations it lists for the wood
of-rate plans are those that specify minimum or household furnitureindustry:router operators (dis-
maximumrates,or both,for experienced workersin tinguishedby whethertheydo set up work or not),
the same job. Specific rates of individual workers rip saw operators, furnituresanders (3 types), and
withinthe range maybe determinedby merit,length furniturepackers.
of service, or a combination of the two. Incentive 22 Establishments thatused more than one method
workers are classified under piecework or bonus are assigned to the three methods in Table 1 in
plans. Pieceworkis work for which a predetermined proportion to the fractionof workers paid by each
rate is paid for each unit of output. Production method.
bonuses are based on productionover a quota or for 23 These are the same industries analyzed by

completionof a task in less than standard time. Freeman (1982), withthe addition of men's and boy's

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FIRMS' CHOICE OF METHOD OF PAY 175-S

Table 2. Method of Pay of Establishments, by Industry.


% ofEstablishments
Using:a
Numberof Standard Merit Piece % Coveredby
Industry Establishments Rates Pay Rates Unions
NonferrousFoundries 364 38 47 15 49
Paints 292 58 42 0 62
Textile Dyeing & Finishing 149 72 20 7 49
IndustrialChemicals 270 79 20 1 74
Cotton Textiles 342 66 9 26 16
Wool Textiles 57 61 17 22 33
Shirts 220 3 23 75 28
Plastics 876 43 52 5 45
Household Furniture 331 18 63 19 41
Steel 332 54 42 4 71
a Apart fromrounding error,these three columns sum to 100%.

Source:IndustryWage Survey.

industrymakes serious use of two or three uniformlydistributedover N occupations,


methods,even thoughindividualestablish- it is 1/Nor close to zero.
ments typicallyuse one or two. There is, A measure of the importance of team-
therefore, considerable within-industry work thatis admittedlycrude and indirect
variation to explain. Although union sta- can be constructedfromthe IWS data on
tus is related to method of pay-in holidays and vacations,if we assume that
particular, unionized establishmentsare "teamwork"implies a need to coordinate
more likely to use standard rates (Free- the work schedules of team members (in
man 1982)-the variationin Table 2 is not otherwords,a cost to having some but not
just a reflectionof differencesin collective all members of the team present on any
bargaining coverage. The distributionof given workday). Thus, where teamworkis
piece-rate shares in Table 2 is similar to important,we should expect time off to
that in the broader set of IWS industries take the form of coordinated leisure
(Seiler 1984:365) except that industriesin (holidays)ratherthan uncoordinatedvaca-
which 60% of more of the workers are tions. The share of holidays in total time
paid piece rates are underrepresented. off (holidays plus vacation days) is there-
The IWS data alone allow the measure- fore an indirect measure of the impor-
ment of several of the determinantsof tance of teamwork.24Unfortunately,this
method of pay listed in Table 1. Size of variablewas strikingly unrelatedto method
establishmentis coded in eight employ- of pay and, given the indirectnessof its
ment classes. These were converted to a link to teamworkin the firstplace, it was
continuous variable by assigning to each deleted fromthe final regressions.
categorythe mean establishmentsize (for The female share of employmentin the
the establishment's4-digitindustry)using studied occupations can be computed
data fromCountyBusinessPatternsfor 1977 directly from the IWS worker records.
(U.S. Department of Commerce 1979, Moreover,when method of pay of individ-
Table 1B). The measure of occupational ual workers is considered, a dummy
concentrationused here is the sum (over variable for female workers is based
IWS occupations) of the squared share of directlyon the worker'sIWS record.
the occupation in the establishment'sem- The IWS also determines whether a
ployment(based on workersin the subset majorityof the production workersin an
of "studied" occupations). If all workers establishment are covered by collective
workin a singleoccupation,the concentra- bargaining. The measure of threat of
tion index equals one; when workers are 24
The IWS vacation data are presentedseparately
at differentlevels of seniority.I convertthese data to
shirts (which Freeman deleted because he was an overall average using distributionsof workersby
focusingon non-piece-ratepay). tenure by industryfromSekscenski(1980).

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176-S CHARLES BROWN

unionization used here is based on the requiring the precise attainment of set
predicted probabilityof unionization, U- limits, tolerances, or standards"-which
hat, from a regression of a union-status seems to be a natural indicator of the
dummyon the other exogenous variables. importance of accuracy and quality. The
Clearly,the threatof unionizationapplies precision described in this variable, how-
only to nonunion firms,so this variable ever, may well be an easilychecked sort,so
equals U-hat for nonunion establishments penalties for substandard pieces (and
and zero for establishments that are hence piece rates) would be feasible after
already unionized. all. Alternative DOT variables indicate
Because IWS gives the 4-digit SIC whether the job requires aptitude for
industryand employmentsize class of its making "generalizations, evaluations or
establishments,the establishmentscan be decisions" based on "sensoryor judgmen-
matchedto Census of Manufacturers'data tal criteria" or based on "measurable or
by industry-by-sizecell. Specifically,the verifiablecriteria."The sum of these two
growthin output per workeris measured dummyvariables is an index of the extent
by the change in the logarithmof value to which thejob requires the sort of work
added per worker between 1967 and in which care is important but haste is
1977,25and capitalintensity by 1 - (payroll+ difficultto penalize. Therefore, less use of
materials)/shipments in 1977. piece rates would be expected where such
The IWS also provides detailed occupa- judgments are important.
tion coding forworkersin studied occupa-
tions-sufficientlydetailed occupations to Establishment-LevelRegressions
correspond closely (often with identical
titles)to those in the Dictionary of Occupa- Table 3 presents a set of equations
tionalTitles.From the DOT file,I matched showing the relationship between the
three typesof variables. First,the primary proportionsof workerspaid incentivepay
skill measures are the three indicatorsof and standard rates (with merit pay the
General Educational Development(reason- omitted category),using differentcombi-
ing, mathematics,and language) and the nations of the IWS methods of pay for
required level of SpecificVocational Prep- these categories. Table 4 presents similar
aration. In addition, the DOT rates occu- equations, but with the sample divided
pations on a 5-pointscale for 11 aptitudes, into union and nonunion establishments.
ranging from math ability to foot-eye The results for (In-) establishmentsize
coordination; the maximumof these apti- are as predicted by models in which
tude ratingsis used as an additional skill difficultyin monitoring workers leads
indicator.26Second, the DOT indicates large employersto avoid meritpay and to
whether an occupation requires a toler- use either standard rates or incentivepay
ance forchangingduties or a tolerancefor instead. Larger establishmentsare more
repetitivework. The differencebetween likely than smaller firmsto use incentive
these variables(whichtakes the values - 1, pay in both union and nonunion settings;
0, 1) is used as a measure of diversityof theyare more likelyto use standard rates
duties. Third, the DOT indicates whether in nonunion establishments and across
thejob requires "adaptabilityto situations nonunion and union establishmentscom-
bined, but not in union workplaces. The
25
related hypothesisthat occupational con-
Although growth due to greater capital per centration encourages piece rates and
workercannot be distinguishedfrom growthdue to
technologicalchange, either cause of "overly"rapid perhaps discourages standard rates is not
growthshould reduce the incidence of piece rates. supported by the data. The coefficients
26 Using the maximum rather than the mean are wrong-signed,though not very pre-
reflectsa beliefthat "skill"means that unusual levels ciselyestimated.
of something are required; one would not down-rate
the "skill" of mathematicians(or football players)
As noted previously, "skill," which is
because littlehand-eye coordination (language apti- measured here by a wage-weightedoccu-
tude) is required for thejob. pation index (based on workersin studied

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FIRMS' CHOICE OF METHOD OF PAY 177-S

Table 3. Effectsof Various Factors on Method of Pay: 3,211 Establishments.


of Workers
DependentVariable= Proportion Paid by:
Individual SingleRateso0
Independent Mean All Incentive SingleRatesor Range:Seniorityor
Variable (Std. Dev.) Incentives or Bonus Range:Seniority Range:Combination
in (Employment) 4.84 .022* .019* .034* .051*
(1.15) (.004) (.004) (.008) (.008)
Occupational .29 - .029 - .034 .089 .017
Concentration (.20) (.023) (.020) (.047) (.046)
Wage-Weighted 1.34 .092 .050 - .091 - .269*
Occupation Index (.24) (.068) (.057) (.136) (.133)
Prop. Change in .72 .080* .064* -.063 -.056
Value Added/Worker (.13) (.035) (.030) (.071) (.069)
Capital's Share .25 - .217 - .195 .392 .246
of Costs (.05) (.161) (.136) (.321) (.314)
Prop. Female .29 .038 .042* .020 .099*
(.32) (.021) (.018) (.042) (.041)
Union .47 .004 .003 .303* .296*
(.50) (.018) (.015) (.036) (.035)
Union Threat .19 - .001 - .019 - .146* - .007
(.24) (.033) (.028) (.065) (.064)
Mean of .14 .12 .47 .61
Dependent Variable
All equations have dummy variables for 4-digit industry,region, and metropolitanlocation, not shown
separately.
*ItI 1.96.

occupations), has theoreticallyindetermi- the complaint that the change was unfair
nate effectson methods of pay. In the would be less credible.
data, there is littleconsistentrelationship The relationshipbetween capital inten-
between the skill index and method of sityand method of pay was theoretically
pay. ambiguous, depending on what one be-
The hypothesis that rapid growth in lievescapitalintensity is measuring,though
value added per worker is a deterrentto it is most commonlyconjectured thathigh
use of piece rates does not fare well in this capital intensitydiscourages the use of
empirical analysis: the relevant coeffi- piece rates. The estimates suggest that
cients are wrong-signed and sometimes more capital-intensiveestablishmentsare
significant.One technicalexplanation for less likely to use piece rates and more
this failure is that the variable is matched likely to use standard rates, though the
to IWS establishmentsbased on industry association is not even close to statistical
and establishmentsize, and both industry significance.The "technical"problemcited
dummies and establishmentsize are also above for growingoutput per workermay
entered in the equations. A considerable have more force here: industrydummies
amount of variationin the industryby size and ln(establishmentsize) account for75%
cells, however,is not accounted for by the of the variationin our measure of capital
dummies and ln(establishmentsize): when intensity.Moreover, when industrydum-
the change in value added per worker is mies are excluded (so that the cross-
regressed on these variables,only 34% of industry relationship is not netted out),
the variationis explained. A more substan- capital intensityis significantly
(negatively)
tive explanation may be that large jumps related to use of incentivepay.
in output per workerare characterizedby As Goldin's model predicts, establish-
dramaticchanges in the typeof machinery ments with larger proportions of female
in use. Of so, worker opposition to workersare more likelyto use piece rates.
changes in piece ratesmaybe muted,since The effect on use of standard rates,

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178-S CHARLES BROWN

Table 4. Effects of Various Factors on Method of Pay: 1,523 Union and 1,688 Nonunion
Establishments.
UnionEstablishments NonunionEstablishments
DependentVariable DependentVariable
Independent Mean All SingleRatesor Mean All SingleRatesor
Variable (Std Dev) Incentive Range:Seniority (Std Dev) Incentive Range: Seniority
ln(Employment) 4.90 .023* .007 4.79 .020* .043*
(1.13) (.006) (.012) (1.17) (.006) (.010)
Occupational .26 - .070 - .003 .32 - .007 .176*
Concentration (.18) (.036) (.076) (.21) (.031) (.057)
Wage-Weighted 1.41 .073 .276 1.27 .099 -.387*
Occupation Index (.25) (.103) (.217) (.22) (.091) (.166)
Prop. Change in .73 .080 -.075 .72 .051 .058
Value Added/Worker (.13) (.050) (.105) (.13) (.053) (.096)
Capital's Share .26 - .087 .791 .24 - .199 - .246
of Costs (.05) (.211) (.444) (.05) (.259) (.473)
Prop. Female .21 .031 .028 .37 .045 .045
(.29) (.032) (.067) (.33) (.027) (.055)
Mean of .11 .66 .17 .29
Dependent Variable
All equations have dummy variables for 4-digit industry,region, and metropolitanlocation, not shown
separately.
* ItI 1.96.

however, is either zero or positive. Gol- The final explanatory variable is the
din's model (whichemphasizes the impor- threat of unionization, defined so that
tance of providingimmediateincentivesto high values represent establishmentsthat
femaleemployees) seems inconsistentwith are nonunion but have high "predicted"
the latterfinding.27It is temptingto argue values of being union, and are therefore
simply that the labor force participation plausiblyregarded as threatenedbyunion-
pattern assumed in Goldin's model is no ization. I hypothesizedthatsuch establish-
longer strong enough to produce such ments would be more likely to use
differences. That argument, however, standard-ratepay systemsin an attemptto
leaves unexplained the strong association head off unionization. Table 3 shows no
between proportion female and piece evidence of such an effect.An admittedly
rates. after-the-fact explanation for this result
As expected from others' research, may be that establishments that have
unionized establishments make signifi- remainednonunion despitebeing in indus-
cantly greater use of standard-rate pay triesthatare unionized may be exactlythe
than do nonunion establishments.The ones thathave the mostto lose fromunion
effectson incentivepay are insignificant, practices like standard rates, and hence
both statisticallyand practically. Unions they devote more resources to remaining
neitheravoid incentivepay, as the egalitar- nonunion.
ian model of unions would suggest, nor One furtherexperimentis not reported
use it more often,as the block-supervisory- in Table 3. The IWS file for paints
discretion model would have it. Rather, contained methods of pay for office
both forcesappear to be at work,more or workers as well as production workers.
less canceling each other out. Unfortunately,this is the one industryin
which there are no incentive-payworkers
27 (see Table 2). Moreover,80% of the office
When detailed methods of pay are used as
dependent variables,the proportionfemale is associ- workers had merit pay systems(and the
ated with a significantincreasein the proportion of rest had standard rates), so there was less
workerspaid by range of rates-seniority. variation than one would like in office

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FIRMS' CHOICE OF METHOD OF PAY 179-S

methods of pay. When the proportion of Table 5. Effects


of VariousFactorson
office workers paid standard rates was Methodof Pay:Workersin Selected
added to an equation similar to the OccupationswithDOT Matches.
equations for standard-ratepay in Table DependentVariable=
3, but for paints alone, its coefficientwas Worker Paid by:
positivebut veryimpreciselyestimated.
Single
All Ratesor
Independent Mean Incen- Range:
Worker-LevelRegressions Variable (Std. Dev.) tives Seniority
The results in Table 5 are based on a ln(Employ- 4.79 .025* .026*
sample of individual workers,one drawn ment) (1.14) (.007) (.009)
at random from each establishment'sset Occupational .29 - .025 .064
of workers in studied occupations.28Be- Concentration (.20) (.038) (.054
fore turning to the establishment-level Wage-Weighted 1.35 .137 - .130
variablesin Table 5, it is worthnotingthe Occupation Index (.24) (.114) (.164)
ways in which these regressions differ Prop. Change in .72 .094 -.008
Value Added/ (.12) (.058) (.083)
fromthose in Table 3. First,the establish- Worker
ment-levelmethods of pay referredto all
Capital's Share .25 -.269 .449
nonsupervisory production workers, of Costs (.04) (.260) (.373)
whereas Table 5 is limited to individual Prop. Female .29 .001 .072
workersin "studied" occupations. Second, (.33) (.037) (.053)
about a tenth of the potential worker Union .49 - .012 .364*
sample was lost due to a failure to match (.50) (.029) (.041)
workers' IWS occupations to any DOT Union Threat .19 - .019 - .055
occupation. Finally, the coefficients re- (.24) (.052) (.075)
ported in Table 5 control for the DOT Gen Educ Dev: 2.69 .050* -.032
characteristics(and include a variable for Reasoning (.81) (.020) (.029)
the gender of the individual worker), Gen Educ Dev: 1.92 .010 -.023
whereas those in Table 3 do not. Fortu- Mathematics (1.07) (.014) (.020)
nately,the results for establishment-level Gen Educ Dev: 1.86 - .051* .037
variables in Table 5 are not verydifferent Language (.80) (.014) (.021)
from those in Table 3. The most obvious SpecificVoc 3.90 .005 .016
Preparation (1.78) (.008) (.011)
change is that the proportion female no
Maximum 3.04 -.005 -.030
longer increases use of incentivepay-but Aptitude Score (.52) (.016) (.023)
the individualworker'sbeing female does. Diversified -.46 - .046* .026
(There is stilllittleevidence of employers' Duties (.40) (.017) (.024)
havinga comparable aversionto women in Precise .79 .087* - .093*
standard-ratejobs.) Standards (.40) (.017) (.024)
The most noteworthyresultsin Table 5 Generalize, .51 - .073* .061*
are those concerning the worker-level Evaluate, Decide (.57) (.016) (.024)
Female .29 .070* - .030
28
One drawbackof the worker-level data is that (.45) (.019) (.027)
the characterizationof the methodof pay is less Mean of .16 .44
detailed-onlytime-rated and incentive-paidworkers Dependent Variable
are distinguished.Thus, for time-rated workersin N = 2,888.
establishmentsthatuse bothstandardratesand merit All equations have dummy variables for 4-digit
pay,itis notcertainin whichcategory theindividual industry, region, and metropolitan location, not
belongs.Sinceonlyabout 10% of theestablishments shown separately.
use both standardrates and meritpay for their * tl? 1.96.
production workers, however, thisproblemis notan
overwhelming one. It was finessedin the obvious variables.The various skillmeasures show
way:fortime-rated workers, the "dummy"variable
forstandard-rateworkers is in facttheproportion of littleoverall relationshipto method of pay.
the establishment's time-ratedworkers(standard Incentivepay is positivelyrelated to a high
ratesplusmeritpay)whoreceivedstandardrates. requirement for general reasoning skills,

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180-S CHARLES BROWN

and negatively related to a need for unionizationon the use of incentivepay or


general language skills. The remaining the effectof skilllevel on methods of pay
coefficientsare tinyand statisticallyfrag- in general, there was no strong a priori
ile. Given the theoretically ambiguous basis for predicting the relationship be-
relationshipbetween skill and method of tween observable measures and methods
pay detailed above, these results should of pay. In most of the other cases, bearing
not be over-interpreted. in mind the undeniable difficultyof
As predicted, there is less use of measuring the factors that researchers
incentivepay (and greateruse of standard have cited as likely to be important,the
rates) in jobs with diverse duties than in resultsof the empiricalanalysisseem to be
jobs with unchanging duties repetitively generally in line with theoretical predic-
performed. Moreover, since the variable tions. Specifically,the resultsconfirmthat
runs from - 1 to + 1, the estimatedeffect larger establishmentare less likelyto use
on use of incentivepay is practicallyquite piece rates and predominantly female
significant. establishmentsmore likelyto do so; union-
The variables labeled "precision" and ized establishments make significantly
"generalize, evaluate, decide" were in- greater use of standard-ratepay than do
tended to capture, respectively,situations nonunion establishments;incentivepay is
in which accuracy was important but less likelyin jobs with a varietyof duties
relativelyeasily verifiedand situationsin than in jobs with a narrow set of routin-
which judgments that would be hard to ized duties; and the ease of monitoring
evaluate numericallywere important.The work quality is correlated with the use of
former should encourage, and the latter incentivepay. Other hypotheses-that oc-
discourage, use of piece rates (with per- cupational dispersion, capital intensity,
haps opposite-signed impacts on use of and rapid growth in value added per
standard rates). The data stronglyconfirm employee should all be negativelyassoci-
thisprediction.Again, the practicalsignif- ated with the use of piece rates, and the
icance of the coefficientsis noteworthy. threat of unionization should encourage
greater use of standard rates-are much
less well supported by the results. In my
Conclusions
view, the failure to show the last three
The goal of this studywas to determine relationships may reflect problems in
whether the use of differentmethods of measuring variables the effectsof which
paying production workers is related in may not be terriblylarge in the firstplace.
predictableways to the costs of undertak- I hope thissuggestiondoes notseem a mere
ing the monitoring that the methods excuse-the tired refrainof measurement
require. For incentive pay, these are the problems,the firstrefuge of scoundrels-
costs of measuring output and settingup because the problemshere are genuine.
(and updating) the relationship between One methodological point is notewor-
pieces and pay. For meritpay, theyare the thy. The matching of IWS and DOT
costs of obtaining sufficientlycareful rat- occupation codes was undertakenwiththe
ings from supervisors and of convincing knowledge that the IWS occupations were
the workers that these ratings should be both much more detailed and much more
taken seriously.The costs of standard rate DOT-like in concept than, say, 3-digit
pay systems are presumably negligible, Census occupations-and the hope that
although such systemsforfeitthe benefit IWS-DOT matcheswould amount to more
of correctincentivesthat a well-conceived than previous attemptsto matchDOT and
piece rate (or merit pay) system can Census occupations (including my own
provide. An attemptwas also made, where work) had managed. That hope seems to
possible, to account for institutionalfac- have been confirmed.It is a pitythere are
tors (specifically, unionization, or the not more worker-levelvariables on the
threatof unionization). IWS for the IWS-DOT matched job
In some cases, such as the effect of characteristicsto explain!

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FIRMS' CHOICE OF METHOD OF PAY 181-S

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