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Lecture 2
Lecture 2
Lecture Objectives
1 2
Average daily turnover of over the counter (OTC) foreign exchange transactions and Foreign Exchange Market
derivatives worldwide in 2022, by country and instrument (in million U.S. dollars)
Global OTC foreign exchange turnover for five forex instruments 2022, by country Allows for the exchange of one currency for another.
Spot transactions Outright forwards Foreign exchange swaps Currency swaps Options Exchange rate specifies the rate at which one currency can be exchanged for
12,000,000
another.
10,000,000
Average daily turnover in million U.S. dollars
8,000,000
6,000,000
4,000,000
2,000,000
0
United Kingdom United States Singapore Hong Kong SAR Japan Switzerland France China Germany Other countries
Note(s):April 2022
Further information regarding this statistic can be found on page 8. Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, 4
2 Source(s): Bank for International Settlements; ID 1219222
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Foreign Exchange Market Exhibit 3.2 Direct and Indirect Exchange Rate Quotations
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Measuring Exchange Rate Movements How Exchange Rate Movements and Volatility Are
Measured
Depreciation: decline in a currency’s value
Value of Canadian Monthly % Change Monthly %
Appreciation: increase in a currency’s value Dollar (C$) in C$ Value of Euro Change in Euro
Comparing foreign currency spot rates over two points in time, S and St − 1 Jan. 1 $0.70 — $1.18 —
Feb. 1 $0.71 +1.43% $1.16 −1.69%
S St 1 March 1 $0.70 −0.99% $1.15 −0.86%
Percent in foreign currency value April 1 $0.70 −0.85% $1.12 −2.61%
St 1
May 1 $0.69 −0.72% $1.11 −0.89%
A positive percent change indicates that the currency has appreciated. A June 1 $0.70 +043% $1.14 +2.70%
negative percent change indicates that it has depreciated. July 1 $0.69 −1.29% $1.17 +2.63%
Standard deviation 1.04% 2.31%
of monthly changes
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Foreign Exchange Market Exhibit 3.3 Relationship over Time between the
Euro’s Direct and Indirect Exchange Rates
Foreign Exchange Quotations (continued)
• Direct versus indirect exchange rate over time (Exhibit 3.2 and 3.3)
o Exhibit 3.2 demonstrates that the indirect exchange rate is the inverse of the
direct exchange rate and also shows relationship between direct exchange rate
and indirect exchange rate.
o When the euro is appreciating against the dollar (based on an upward
movement of the direct exchange rate of the euro), the indirect exchange rate of
the euro is declining.
o When the euro is depreciating (based on a downward movement of the direct
exchange rate) against the dollar, the indirect exchange rate is rising.
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• Cross Exchange Rates over Time: As the exchange rates of two currencies
change against the U.S. dollar over time, the cross exchange rate of these Calculate the cross rates between and NZD/ CNY using USD as the vehicle
currencies can change as well. currency.
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Ex: If JPY/AUD= 67.05 - 68.75 and GBP/AUD = 0.3590 – 0.3670 (This is the price of 1
Foreign Exchange Transactions
AUD in JPY and GBP). Calculate the JPY/GBP cross rate. • The over-the-counter market is the telecommunications network where
companies normally exchange one currency for another.
• Foreign exchange dealers serve as intermediaries in the foreign exchange
Bid rate for GBP means – Sell JPY and Buy GBP Ask rate for GBP means – Buy JPY and Sell GBP market
(Bid rate of AUD in JPY/ Ask rate of AUD in GBP) (Bid rate of AUD in GBP/ Ask rate of AUD in JPY) • Spot Market: A foreign exchange transaction for immediate exchange is said
1) Sell JPY and buy AUD – 67.05 1) Sell GBP and buy AUD – 0.3590 to trade in the spot market. The exchange rate in the spot market is the spot
2) Sell AUD and buy GBP – 0.3670 2) Sell AUD and buy JPY – 68.75 rate.
67.05/0.3670 = JPY 182.6975/ GBP 68.75/.3590 = JPY 191.5042/ GBP • Spot Market Structure: Trading between banks occurs in the interbank
market.
JPY/ GBP 182.6975 – 191.5042
This is the bid and ask rate of GBP in terms of JPY.
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Exhibit 3.1 Computation of the Bid Ask Spread Activity – Bid – Ask Spread calculation
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Calculate the bid-ask spread for the VND/USD.
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• The money market interest rates in any particular country are dependent on
the demand for short-term funds by borrowers, relative to the supply of
available short-term funds that are provided by savers. (Exhibit 3.4)
• Money market rates vary due to differences in the interaction of the total
supply of short-term funds available (bank deposits) in a specific country
versus the total demand for short-term funds by borrowers in that country.
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Money Market Interest Rates Among Currencies (continued) Money Market Interest Rates Among Currencies (continued)
• Global Integration of Money Market Interest Rates • Risk of International Money Market Securities
o Money market interest rates among countries tend to be highly correlated over o International Money Market Securities are debt securities issued by MNCs and
time. government agencies with a short-term maturity (1 year or less).
o When economic conditions weaken, the corporate need for liquidity declines, o Normally, these securities are perceived to be very safe from the risk of default.
and corporations reduce the amount of short-term funds they wish to borrow. o Even if the international money market securities are not exposed to credit risk,
o When economic conditions strengthen, there is an increase in corporate they are exposed to exchange rate risk when the currency denominating the
expansion, and corporations need additional liquidity to support their expansion. securities differs from the home currency of the investors.
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MNCs sometimes obtain medium-term funds through term loans from local Syndicated Loans in the Credit Market
financial institutions or through the issuance of notes (medium-term debt
obligations) in their local markets. • Sometimes a single bank is unwilling or unable to lend the amount needed
Loans of 1 year or longer extended by banks to MNCs or government agencies by an MNC or government agency.
in Europe are commonly called Eurocredits or Eurocredit loans. • A syndicate of banks can be formed to underwrite the loans and the lead
To avoid interest rate risk, banks commonly use floating rate loans with rates bank is responsible for negotiating the terms with the borrower.
tied to the London Interbank Offer Rate (LIBOR).
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Impact of the Credit Crisis on the Credit Market Foreign bonds are issued by borrower foreign to the country where the bond
is placed.
• The credit crisis of 2008 triggered by defaults in subprime loans led to a halt Eurobonds
in housing development, which reduced income, spending, and jobs.
• Features of Eurobonds
• Financial institutions became cautious with their funds and were less willing o Bearer bonds
to lend funds to MNCs. o Annual coupon payments
o Convertible or callable
• Denominations of Eurobonds
o Commonly denominated in a number of currencies
• Secondary Market
o Market makers are in many cases the same underwriters who sell the primary
issues
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Exhibit 3.5 Comparison of Stock Exchanges (2015) Largest stock exchange operators worldwide as of July 2023, by market capitalization of listed
companies (in trillion U.S. dollars)
Country Market Capitalization (billions of dollars) Number of Listed Companies
Largest stock exchange operators worldwide 2023, by market cap of listed companies
Argentina 60 101
Australia 1,622 2,071
30
Brazil 823 308
24.97
Hungary 13 48 10
7.1 6.95
Japan 4,485 3,470 6.01
4.81 4.62
5 3.71 3.29 3.05 2.95
Mexico 460 147 2.23 2.03 1.98 1.94 1.73 1.71 1.58 1.16
Norway 219 220 0
Slovenia 6 77
Spain 942 3,460
Switzerland 1,515 275
Taiwan 860 882
United Kingdom 6,187 2,938
United States 19,222 5,250
51 52
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International Stock Markets (5 of 5) How Financial Markets Serve MNCs (Exhibit 3.7)
Integration of Stock Markets Corporate functions that require foreign exchange markets.
• Stock market conditions reflect the host country’s conditions. If the country is • Foreign trade with business clients.
integrated, the stock market will be also.
• Direct foreign investment, or the acquisition of foreign real assets.
Integration of International Stock Markets and Credit Markets • Short-term investment or financing in foreign securities.
• The key link is the risk premium, which affects the rate of return required by
financial institutions. • Longer-term financing in the international bond or stock markets.
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Summary (2 of 3) Summary (3 of 3)
• The international money markets are composed of several large banks that • The international bond markets facilitate international transfers of long-term
accept deposits and provide short-term loans in various currencies. This credit, thereby enabling governments and large corporations to borrow funds
market is used primarily by governments and large corporations. from various countries. The international bond market is facilitated by
• The international credit markets are composed of the same commercial multinational syndicates of investment banks that help to place the bonds.
banks that serve the international money market. These banks convert some • International stock markets enable firms to obtain equity financing in foreign
of the deposits received into loans (for medium-term periods) to governments countries. Thus, these markets help MNCs finance their international
and large corporations. expansion.
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