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following the
collapse of a twenty-four hour truce. Getty Images
ETHNIC
VIOLENCE IN
SUDAN:
SAF AND RSF FORCES CONFLICT
ELEANOR LUIJKX
DECEMBER 2023
CONTENTS
OVERVIEW 1
ACTORS 2
HISTORY 3
POLITICAL ISSUES 5
LEVELS OF ANALYSIS 12
SOURCES 13
SIMILAR CASES 14
ETHNIC VIOLENCE IN SUDAN: SAF AND RSF FORCES CONFLICT
Sudanese army soldiers loyal to army chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan man a position in the Red Sea city of Port Sudan, on April 20, 2023. Getty Images
OVERVIEW
Sudan has a history in ethnic and political friction, including the Darfur
conflict that began in 2003, leading to many civilian casualties,
displacement, and international condemnation. While the situation in
Darfur has drawn global attention, similar conflicts have risen in other
Sudanese regions such as the clash between the Sudan Armed Forces
(SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF).
The conflict between the SAF and RSF has far-reaching consequences
not only for Sudan, but for the entire region, as it threatens to destabilise
an already fragile political landscape.
The violence stems from ethnic and political tensions, with the SAF and
RSF often accused of perpetrating acts of violence against ethnic
minority communities, particularly in the Darfur, South Kordofan, and
Blue Nile regions. Indigenous communities and ethnic minorities have
suffered heavily from the violence, facing displacement from their
homes, sexual violence and a great number of human rights abuses.
These fragile communities often find themselves caught in the crossfire
of the conflict.
The Sudanese Armed Forces are the official military of Sudan, while the
Rapid Support Forces were originally established as a paramilitary force.
The RSF has been accused of carrying out operations that result in
civilian harm and destruction in various regions. Tensions have risen as
both forces operate in close areas to each other. The violence has
exacerbated the humanitarian situation in Sudan, with a significant
number of internally displaced persons and refugees in neighbouring
countries. Access to humanitarian aid is often hindered by the ongoing
violence, making it challenging to provide assistance to those in need.
The ethnic violence in Sudan poses a great threat to regional stability as
well, as neighbouring countries can be affected by the large number of
incoming refugees and the potential for cross-border violence.
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ETHNIC VIOLENCE IN SUDAN: SAF AND RSF FORCES CONFLICT
ACTORS
STATE ACTORS
NON-STATE ACTORS
EXTERNAL ACTORS
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ETHNIC VIOLENCE IN SUDAN: SAF AND RSF FORCES CONFLICT
HISTORY
The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF)
conflict is a complex and multi-dimensional conflict that has affected
Sudan for several decades. The conflict’s origins and evolutions come
from various historical, political, and social factors that have contributed
to this ongoing crisis.
COLONIAL LEGACY
Sudan's troubled history can be traced back to its colonial past. British
and Egyptian rule, followed by the British administration of the Anglo-
Egyptian Sudan, created deep-seated ethnic and regional divisions.
INTER-WAR PERIOD
1983: Sudanese President Gaafar Nimeiry unilaterally abrogates the
Addis Ababa Agreement, leading to discontent in the south.
1993
The Sudanese government and the Sudan People's Liberation Army
(SPLA) agree to a ceasefire, but it quickly breaks down.
2005
The Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA) is signed, ending the
Second Sudanese Civil War. The agreement grants Southern Sudan
autonomy and provides for a referendum on independence.
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ETHNIC VIOLENCE IN SUDAN: SAF AND RSF FORCES CONFLICT
2011-2019
Sudan faces economic challenges, internal conflicts in regions like
Darfur, and political discontent leading to protests.
2019
The RSF plays a controversial role in responding to protests, including
the violent dispersal of a sit-in protest in June 2019. This brutal
campaign resulted in mass displacement and international
condemnation.
SUDANESE REVOLUTION
DECEMBER 2018
Protests erupt across Sudan, initially sparked by economic hardships.
The demands quickly escalate to calling for the resignation of
President Omar al-Bashir.
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ETHNIC VIOLENCE IN SUDAN: SAF AND RSF FORCES CONFLICT
POLITICAL ISSUES
The conflict and political dynamics in Sudan hold substantial importance
on the global stage due to several interconnected factors that
reverberate beyond the nation's borders. The implications extend into
regional stability, humanitarian concerns, and particularly development.
HUMANITARIAN ECONOMIC
DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT
The protracted conflicts in Sudan, Sudan's economic stability is
such as the Darfur crisis and the intricately linked to global
Second Sudanese Civil War, have markets, especially due to its
led to severe humanitarian crises. status as an oil-producing nation.
Mass displacements, violence, The resolution of conflicts and the
and the disruption of basic establishment of a stable political
services have hindered the and security environment are
development of affected prerequisites for sustained
communities. economic development.
REGIONAL REFUGEE
STABILITY CRISIS
Sudan's geopolitical position in The conflicts in Sudan have led to
Africa and its proximity to the significant refugee flows,
volatile regions of the Sahel and impacting neighbouring
the Horn of Africa make it a countries and, by extension,
pivotal player in regional stability. global efforts to manage
The outcome of Sudan's internal migration and displacement, with
conflicts and political transitions implications for international
directly influences neighbouring cooperation on human rights,
countries and regional security. and the alleviation of suffering.
DEMOCRATIC INTERNATIONAL
GOVERNANCE RELATIONS
Sudan's transition to a more The political shifts and power
democratic form of governance struggles within Sudan have
serves as a case study with repercussions on diplomatic
implications for other nations relations, not only within Africa
undergoing political transitions. but also with nations globally.
The result of Sudan's experiment Sudan's alliances and
with power-sharing agreements engagements in international
between military and civilian organisations influence the
factions could shape perceptions balance of power and decision-
on such models in post-conflict making processes on global
societies. issues.
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ETHNIC VIOLENCE IN SUDAN: SAF AND RSF FORCES CONFLICT
Donor Competition
The presence of multiple donors with
distinct agendas may lead to
competition rather than coordination,
potentially undermining the overall
impact of international interventions.
Long-Term Commitment
The sustainability of international
support is crucial for achieving lasting
development outcomes, and
fluctuations in donor commitment
levels can pose challenges.
Sudanese refugees in Borota, Chad, May 10, 2023. (Yagazie
Emezi/The New York Times)
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ETHNIC VIOLENCE IN SUDAN: SAF AND RSF FORCES CONFLICT
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ETHNIC VIOLENCE IN SUDAN: SAF AND RSF FORCES CONFLICT
POVERTY ALLEVIATION
The persistent conflict in Sudan has
contributed to widespread poverty by
disrupting economic activities,
displacing populations, and
undermining livelihoods. Ongoing
violence and insecurity limit access to
employment opportunities, disrupt
agricultural activities, and hinder the
development of sustainable income-
generating projects. The result is
increased poverty levels, especially
ACCESS TO EDUCATION
among vulnerable communities
directly affected by the conflict. The conflict has had a severe impact
on access to education in Sudan.
Displacement, destruction of
HEALTHCARE DELIVERY infrastructure, and insecurity have
Ongoing conflict poses substantial disrupted the normal functioning of
challenges to healthcare delivery in schools, making it challenging for
Sudan. Displacement and insecurity students to pursue education.
disrupt the functioning of health Additionally, the displacement of
facilities, limiting access to essential populations often results in a lack of
services. The movement of educational resources and trained
populations in search of safety often personnel, further hindering
results in a breakdown of healthcare educational development. The long-
infrastructure, contributing to the term consequences include a higher
spread of diseases and creating incidence of illiteracy and limited skill
obstacles for healthcare professionals development.
in delivering timely and adequate
medical assistance. The conflict has
OVERALL IMPACT ON SDGS
also led to a weakened healthcare
system, hindering responses to public he cumulative effect of these
health crises. challenges significantly hampers
Sudan's progress toward achieving
sustainable development goals. The
United Nations Sustainable
Development Goals (SDGs), including
those related to poverty reduction
(SDG 1), quality education (SDG 4), and
good health and well-being (SDG 3),
are deeply affected by the protracted
conflict. Sustainable development
relies on a stable and secure
environment, which the conflict in
A view of a damaged vehicle after clashes between the SAF and
RSF in Khartoum, Sudan, on April 18, 2023. Omer Erdem/Anadolou
Sudan undermines, impeding
Agency via Getty Images progress toward these crucial goals.
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ETHNIC VIOLENCE IN SUDAN: SAF AND RSF FORCES CONFLICT
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ETHNIC VIOLENCE IN SUDAN: SAF AND RSF FORCES CONFLICT
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ETHNIC VIOLENCE IN SUDAN: SAF AND RSF FORCES CONFLICT
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ETHNIC VIOLENCE IN SUDAN: SAF AND RSF FORCES CONFLICT
LEVELS OF ANALYSIS
Sudanese protesters walk past burning tires as they rally to protest against the October 2021
military coup, in the capital Khartoum, on January 9, 2022. AFP via Getty Images
COMMUNITY
At the community level, the conflict in Sudan has a profound impact on local
communities, both geographically and emotionally. Geographically based
communities, especially in conflict zones, face disruptions to their social fabric,
displacement, and the breakdown of mutual support systems
LOCAL
Locally, the conflict in Sudan directly shapes areas where social organisation
occurs, with an impact ranging from disruptions in education and healthcare
to changes in economic activities. Local practices, once defined by inhabitants,
transform in the face of conflict, impacting the daily lives and cultural
continuity of the people.
NATIONAL
At the national level, the conflict influences events and trends within the
geographical boundaries of Sudan. Economic crises, political reforms, and
changes in governance are among the national-level impacts. The conflict
becomes intertwined with national identity, political stability, and legal
frameworks.
REGIONAL
The regional implications of the conflict extend beyond the national borders of
Sudan, impacting the broader geographic region of North Africa and the
Middle East. Regional organisations, such as the African Union and the Arab
League, may be involved in mediation efforts or addressing the spillover effects
of the conflict.
INTERNATIONAL
International organisations, non-governmental organisations (NGOs), and
multinational corporations (MNCs) may be engaged in providing humanitarian
aid and addressing human rights concerns. The impact resonates across
several countries, involving diplomatic efforts, peacekeeping missions, and
global attention to the humanitarian crisis.
GLOBAL
At the global level, the conflict in Sudan is part of broader events and trends
with far-reaching and long-term impacts. Issues such as forced migration,
human rights violations, and regional instability contribute to global
challenges. The conflict intersects with global phenomena like terrorism and
epidemics, emphasizing its interconnectedness with broader global dynamics
that transcend national identities and interests.
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SIMILAR CASES
While related to the broader Sudanese conflict,
DARFUR the Darfur region has experienced a specific
CONFLICT conflict with ethnic and tribal dimensions. The
Darfur conflict has involved various rebel groups,
government forces, and paramilitary forces,
LINK leading to widespread displacement and
humanitarian challenges.
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