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Science of the Total Environment 734 (2020) 139474

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Science of the Total Environment

journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/scitotenv

Sub-basin prioritization for assessment of soil erosion susceptibility in


Kangsabati, a plateau basin: A comparison between MCDM and
SWAT models
Raj Kumar Bhattacharya ⁎, Nilanjana Das Chatterjee, Kousik Das
Department of Geography, Vidyasagar University, Midnapore, West Bengal, India

H I G H L I G H T S G R A P H I C A L A B S T R A C T

• Four MCDM models of VIKOR, TOPSIS,


SAW and CF were applied for sub-
basins prioritization towards analysis
of erosion susceptibility (ES) using mor-
phometric parameters.
• SWAT model applied for estimation of
soil erosion and sediment yield using
hydrological parameters.
• Comparison amongst MCDM models
with SWAT demonstrated that only
VIKOR is accepted with SWAT model.

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: Kangsabati basin located in tropical plateau region faces multiple problems of soil erosion susceptibility (SES),
Received 12 February 2020 soil fertility deterioration, and sedimentation in reservoirs. Hence, identification of SES zones in thirty-eight
Received in revised form 14 May 2020 sub-basins (SB) for basin prioritization is necessary. The present research addressed the issue by using four
Accepted 14 May 2020
multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) models: VlseKriterijumska optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje
Available online 16 May 2020
(VIKOR), technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS), simple additive weighing
Editor: Ouyang Wei (SAW), compound factor (CF). To determine the best fitted method from MCDM for erosion susceptibility (ES),
a comparison has been made with Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), where fifteen morphometric param-
Keywords: eters were considered for MCDM, and meteorological data, soil, slope and land use land cover (LULC) were con-
Sedimentation sidered for SWAT model. Two validation indices of percentage change and intensity change were used for
Basin prioritization evaluation and comparison of MCDM results. With SWAT model performance, SWAT calibration and uncertainty
Flow discharge analysis programs (CUP) was used for sensitive analysis of SWAT parameters on flow discharge and sediment
Sediment load load simulation. The results showed that 23, 16, 18 SB have high ES; therefore they were given 1 to 3 ranks,
whereas 31, 37, 21SB have low ES, hence given 38 to 36 rank as predicted by MCDM methods and SWAT.
MCDM validation results depict that VIKOR and CF methods are more acceptable than TOPSIS and SAW. Calibra-
tion (flow discharge R2 0.86, NSE 0.75; sediment load R2 0.87, NSE 0.69) and validation (flow discharge R2 0.79,
NSE 0.55; sediment load R2 0.79, NSE 0.76) of SWAT model indicated that simulated results are well fitted with
observed data. Therefore, VIKOR reflects the significant role of morphometric parameters on ES, whereas SWAT
reflects the significant role of LULC, slope, and soil on ES. However, it could be concluded that VIKOR is more ef-
fective MCDM method in comparison to SWAT prediction.
© 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

⁎ Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: rajgeovu10@gmail.com (R.K. Bhattacharya), nilanjana_vu@mail.vidyasagar.ac.in (N.D. Chatterjee), kousikvugeo@gmail.com (K. Das).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139474
0048-9697/© 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
2 R.K. Bhattacharya et al. / Science of the Total Environment 734 (2020) 139474

1. Introduction soil erosion vulnerability entirely depends on fundamental parameters


that are estimated with the link of systematic knowledge from alterna-
Soil is the most sustaining natural resource for all living organism, tive or effective parameters, as a result, high complexity forms are gen-
and it determines geomorphic processes widely (Keesstra et al., 2016; erated, which also created such hindrance on effective estimation of
Ameri et al., 2018; Hembram and Saha, 2018). Sustainable agricultural potential soil erosion and accurate sub-basin priority (Abdul Rahaman
development and natural resource utilization both are largely deter- et al., 2015; Hembram and Saha, 2018). In contrast, for ES, application
mined by soil erosion; furthermore, this erosion is controlled by several of MCDM methods of SAW, VIKOR, TOPSIS, and CF helps to determine
hydrological functions in the watersheds worldwide (Molla and the sub-basin prioritization using several morphometric parameters in
Sisheber, 2017; Arabameri et al., 2018). Weathering process leads to a drainage basin (Ameri et al., 2018). In India, most effective MCDM
disintegration of soil particles from allied rocks and minerals, and methods such as fuzzy logic and analytical hierarchy process (FAHP)
eroded materials are entrained, transported and deposited to another are applied to determine the soil erosion sensitive zones for sub-basin
place by flowing water (Masselink et al., 2017; Hembram and Saha, prioritization, where adopted methods considered such morphometric
2018). Water is an important agent for soil erosion, land degradation variables for effective control strategies in order to help soil conserva-
and deterioration of soil fertility from the topmost layer, and thus soil tion (Mekonnen et al., 2017; Hembram and Saha, 2018). However, the
erosion hampers the plant growth, sedimentation in river valley and previous studies show that MCDM methods give different results in
reservoir, delta generation in estuarine sites, which gives rationality the same watershed following the previous studies, and create confu-
for sustainable human societies (Sharma et al., 2017; Ameri et al., sion among the researchers to take rational decision, on the best
2018). Indeed, ES at regional and global level, ended with several method for their study area.
types of environmental and economic consequences throughout the On the other hand, several hydrological parameters in a drainage
world (Gayen et al., 2019); where such direct measurement techniques basin, including runoff volumes, sediment delivery, sediment yield, po-
like erosion pins, silt fences, and rainfall simulation are applied to deter- tential evapo-transpiration and ES are assessed by various hydrological
mine the critical erosion sites (Nasre et al., 2013; Ameri et al., 2018). In models (Kamble, 2001; Sridhar et al., 2018; Bhattacharya et al., 2020a,
this context, analysis of drainage basin or watershed become more rel- 2020b); Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) as one of them
evant, and its several geo-environmental elements like lithologic, geo- which automatically extracted sub-basins boundary delineation
morphic, morphometric, land use land cover (LULC), and soil play (Tripathi et al., 2003, 2006), and also estimate soil erosion (Ameri
significant role in sustainable watershed management (Chauhan et al., et al., 2018), sediment delivery (Gassman et al., 2007), and all other hy-
2016; Balasubramanian et al., 2017; Bhattacharya et al., 2019b). More- drological parameters at sub-basin level (Vigiak et al., 2017; Anand
over, drainage basin play dominant role to determine the ES, surface et al., 2018; Markhi et al., 2019).
runoff, and sedimentation in channel, all of which are caused by various Therefore, this study has made an effort to assess the accurate sub-
erosional agents of water and wind, and thus are expressed various basins prioritization of a tropical plateau basin in order to ES in
landscape processes that signifies the effective morphometric charac- Kangsabati basin, India using both models i.e. MCDM models (SAW,
terization (Patel et al., 2012, 2013; Ameri et al., 2018; Hembram and VIKOR, TOPSIS, and CF) that is prepared from morphometric parame-
Saha, 2018). Mathematical measurement of morphometric parameters ters, and integrated hydrological model as SWAT that is prepared from
including three major aspects i.e. linear, areal and relief, are prime re- climatic characteristics, LULC, slope and soil parameters, and then
quirements for prioritization of sub-watersheds or hydrological units make a comparison among MCDM methods furthermore, effective
that can have considerable effects on land and water conservation in a MCDM methods are selected by applying of SWAT model for estimation
drainage basin (Aher et al., 2014; Rahaman et al., 2015; Ahmed et al., of soil erosion susceptibility in each sub-basin units. Additionally, this
2018); where effective morphometric parameters are well analysed research offers two kinds of the validation process for better accuracy
the runoff volume, geomorphic landform, soil physical properties, of MCDM model performance, where first kind of validation has been
along with basin ES (Keesstra et al., 2014; Ameri et al., 2018; made through the intensity change, and second kind of validation is per-
Masselink et al., 2017). centage change of basin rank of these methods, and best MCDM method
Another three major dominant parameters like geology, topography, is validated by SWAT model in order to similarity percentage of erosion
and climate control the spatial distribution of flow system geometry, priority rank. This study also attempts to identify the critical sub-basins,
drainage density and drainage patterns in a watershed (Mesa, 2006; where effective conservation strategy is needed to resist soil erosion or
Ameri et al., 2018). In recent times, many research works showed that land degradation, using complex decision approach.
advance effective remote sensing and GIS data like satellite imagery,
digital elevation model, plays wide role in extraction of morphometric 2. Study area
variables for watershed prioritization, as well as soil and water conser-
vation (Biswas et al., 1999; Chatterjee et al., 2014; Magesh et al., 2013; Kangsabati basin is a tropical plateau basin with a total area of
Rai et al., 2017). Indeed, sub-basin prioritization signifies the geo- 9658km2, which is extended from 21°45′ N to 23°30′ N latitudes and
environmental characteristics in each hydrological units following the 85°45′ E to 88°15′ E longitudes (Fig. 1a, b). The basin spreads over
key driving variables: morphometric parameters (Aher et al., 2014; four districts, namely, Purulia, Bankura, Paschim Midnapore and Purba
Balasubramanian et al., 2017), lithological setup (Chauhan et al., Midnapore. In order to lithological set up, oldest Archaean rock forma-
2016), LULC (Altaf et al., 2014), groundwater potentiality (Deepika tion mainly granite-gneiss in upper basin makes elevated plateau
et al., 2013), ES etc. (Ameri et al., 2018; Hembram and Saha, 2018). proper in Chota Nagpur (641 m), and laterite dominance in middle
For quantification of ES, many researchers used multi-criteria deci- basin makes undulating plateau fringe during pre-Cambrian era,
sion making (MCDM) techniques, which are applied for resolving whereas laterite track of Tertiary-Quaternary formation in lower flood-
decision-making with high accuracy decision that are widely accepted plain (5 m) allow huge alluvial deposition during Pleistocene to Holo-
for accurate decision, where decision rank depends not only on single cene era (Ghosh and Guchhait, 2015). Characteristic of climate in this
criterion, but also taken some other significant criteria (Georgiou basin, is characterized by southwest tropical monsoon climate, where
et al., 2015; Govindan and Jepsen, 2016; Mulliner et al., 2016). Several mean rainfall ranges from 300 mm (drought prone) to 1650 mm
MCDM models including AHP (Analytical Hierarchy Process), ANP (An- (humid or very high rainfall zone). Drainage pattern in this study area
alytic Network Process) and VIKOR are also used for accurate decisions is mainly dendritic to sub dendritic nature, where 1st order (5321),
(Saha, 2017); which are now combined as more effective tool for prior- 2nd order (1254), 3rd order (298), 4th order (68), 5th order (22) and
itization of sub-basin along with the integration of fuzzy logic tech- 6th order (8) are created hierarchical stream orders set-up following
niques (Aher et al., 2014; Kharat et al., 2016). Spatial distribution of Strahler's method. Morphometric status of Kangsabati basin
R.K. Bhattacharya et al. / Science of the Total Environment 734 (2020) 139474 3

Fig. 1. Study area: a sub basin boundary demarcation, b SWAT drainage outlet.
4 R.K. Bhattacharya et al. / Science of the Total Environment 734 (2020) 139474

demonstrated that there has significant correlation with drainage, geol- 3.2. Drainage estimation
ogy, soil, geomorphic landscape and land cover in order to ES
(Bhattacharya et al., 2019b). Weaken soil profile, low vegetable cover Data processing phase involved with two major steps, where first
and prominent rill gullies formation makes high ES in upper basin, step comprises on scanning georeferences and image rectification.
whereas dominant laterite tract, steep slope, and agricultural practices After that, rectified images were converted into resembled sheet, passes
creates mild susceptibility in undulating intermediate basin, but dense with masking and mosaic processes, derived from Universal Transverse
vegetation, presence of conservation practices resisted ES in the lower Mercator Projection of WGS 1984 (45°N) using Arc GIS 10.2. Second
basin (Bhattacharya et al., 2020b). step comprises of boundary demarcation for extraction of stream num-
ber and its contributing area of specific outlets, flow direction, and flow
accumulation in each DEM pixel, using ArcSWAT tools. In order to attain
3. Materials and methods high accuracy value, SRTM DEM was used for comparison and clarifica-
tion of sub-basin boundary with topographical maps, and extracted
3.1. Data sources three dominant morphometric aspects i.e. basin shape, linear and land-
scape. Table 1 presents the measuring techniques of nineteen major
Geospatial data sources i.e. Survey of India (SOI) 1:50000-scale topo- morphometric parameters following such literature. After extracting
graphical maps (73I/10,11,12,13,73J/9,15,73N/2,3,4,5,7,8), 30 m spatial morphometric parameters, four MCDM methods of TOPSIS, VIKOR,
resolution Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) Digital Elevation SAW, and CF were applied to predict the sub-basins priority for estimat-
Model (DEM), 80 Ground Control Points (GCP) from Google Earth, ing ES in Kangsabati basin at sub-basin level, retrieved from their vali-
were taken for extraction of morphometric parameters at sub-basin dated results of percentage change and intensity change. In contrary,
level. In SWAT model, various weather datasets including temperature, SWAT model was applied to estimate the flow discharge and sediment
humidity, wind speed, solar radiation at 12 grid points in Kangsabati load, as well sediment yield for the assignment of actual sub-basin pri-
basin were automatically collected from climate forecasting system re- ority rank, and then make a comparison between effective MCDM
analysis (CFSR) world climatic database (1970–2014) (http:// methods and SWAT model.
globalweather.tamu.edu/). While rainfall database has been modified
with thirty five years average dataset (1980–2015) of sixteen local 3.3. Multi-criteria decision-making models (MCDM)
rain gauge stations in this basin as provided by Indian Meteorological
Department (IMD), for getting better accuracy of model. Average rain- 3.3.1. VIKOR model
fall datasets were further fed into SWAT database through the incorpo- Vlse Kriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje (VIKOR) is
ration with nearest CFSN grid points. In term of spatial resolution scale, used for comprising of alternative conflicting criteria based on ranking
temperature data was only available with coarser resolution scale of sets under optimizing complex systems, introduced by Opricovic and
1″ × 1″ (approximately 110 km × 110 km), but other weather databases Tzeng (2004). Performance of VIKOR method as closeness of ideal is en-
were available with finer resolution scale of 0.25″ × 0.25″ (approxi- tirely depended on well organization following nine steps (Huang et al.,
mately 27.5 km × 27.5 km), respectively (Himanshu et al., 2019). Fur- 2009; Ameri et al., 2018).
thermore, DEM, Thematic Mapper (TM), Landsat Operational Land
(i) First step mainly involved with comparison of decision matrix to
Imager (OLI) image (2016), and soil sheet (Indian Council of Agriculture
summarize as follows:
Research) were used to classify the topographical expression, spatial
pattern of LULC and soil distribution map in Kangsabati basin. Stream 2 3
hydrological datasets like sediment concentration, sediment load, sedi- x11 x12 x1n
6 7
ment transport rate etc. are not available in this basin except flow dis- 6 7
D¼6
6 x21 x22 x2n 7
7
charge is available in Mohanpur and Mukutmonipur station, however, 4 5
to adjust SWAT-CUP calibration and validation, flow discharge (record
xm1 xm2 xmn
data) and sediment load (field estimation) at monthly time-scale,
were collected at Mohanpur station during 2010–2015. Fig. 2 represents
methodological flow chart to obtain the rank of ES in each sub-basin fol- (ii) Second step involved with computation of normalized decision
lowing different MCDM methods and SWAT model. matrix using Linear method as Eq. (1) (Ameri et al., 2018):

Fig. 2. Methodological flow chart.


R.K. Bhattacharya et al. / Science of the Total Environment 734 (2020) 139474 5

Table 1
Computation method of linear, areal and relief morphometric parameters.

Aspects Formula Where Sources

Linear aspect
Basin length (L) L = 1.32A0.363 L = basin length (km), A = area of the basin (km2) Nooka et al. (2005)
Stream order (u) Hierarchical rank Strahler (1964)
Mean stream length (Lsm) Lu Lsm = mean stream length, Lu = total stream length of order ‘u’ Nu = total no. of stream segments Strahler (1964)
Lsm ¼
Nu of order ‘u’
Stream length ratio (Rl) Lu RL = stream length ratio, Lu = total stream length of order ‘u’, Lu-l = the total stream length of its Horton (1945)
RL ¼
Lu−1 next lower order
Mean bifurcation ratio (Rbm) Rbm = average of bifurcation ratios of all orders Strahler (1952)
Drainage density (D) Lu D = drainage density, Lu = total stream length of all orders, A = area of the basin (km2) Horton (1932, 1945)

AP
Stream frequency (Fs) Nu Fs = stream-frequency, ∑Nu = total no. of streams of all orders, A = area of the basin (km2) Horton (1945,1932)
Fs ¼
A
Drainage texture (T) TS = D × Fs T = drainage-texture, D = drainage-density, Fs = stream frequency Horton (1945)
Constant of channel 1 C = constant of channel maintenance, Dd = drainage density Schumm (1956)

maintenance (C) D
Length of overland flow (Lo) 1 Lo = length of overland flow, Dd = drainage density Horton (1945)
Lo ¼ D
2
Infiltration number (If) If = Fs × D Fs = stream frequency; D = drainage density Faniran (1968)

Shape aspect
Form factor (Ff) A Ff = form factor, A = area of the basin (km2), L = basin length (km) Horton (1932, 1945)
Ff ¼
L2
Circularity ratio (Rc) 4πA Rc = circularity ratio, π = 3.14, A = area of the basin (km2), P = perimeter (km) Miller (1953); Strahler
RC ¼
P2 (1964)
Shape factor (Bs) L2 Bs = shape factor, L = basin length (km), A = area of the basin (km2) Horton (1932)
BS ¼
A
Compactness co-efficient 0:282 IP Cc = compactness coefficient, P = perimeter (km), A = area of the basin (km2) Gravelius (1914)
Cc ¼
(Cc) A0:5

Relief aspect
Basin relief (R) R=H−h R = basin relief, H = maximum elevation in meter, h = minimum elevation in meter Schumm and Hadley
(1961)
Relief ratio (Rr) Rr = R/L Rr = relief ratio, R = basin relief, L = longest axis in kilometre Schumm (1956)
Ruggedness number (Rn) ðR  DÞ Rn = ruggedness number, R = basin relief, Dd = drainage density Schumm (1956)
Rn ¼
K K = a conversion constant 1000 when relative relief is expressed in meter and drainage density in
kilometre/square kilometre.
Mean slope (S) R R = basin relief; A = basin area (km2) Nautiyal (1994)
s ¼ pffiffiffi  100
A

 
Rij Xn W j x −xij
Pij ¼ PM ð1Þ j
Si ¼ L1i ¼   ð3Þ
I Rij
j−1 xj −x−j
where Pij means element of normalized decision matrix and Rij mean i-  3
2
th alternative sets in j-th criteria. X n W j V −Vij
j
Ri ¼ Lij ¼ max4   5 ð4Þ
(iii) Third stage comprises of weight assignment for each requiring i¼1 Vj −V−j
criteria using Analytical Hierarchical Process (AHP). VIKOR
method also helps to re-evaluate all criteria, makes pair wise where wi mean jth criterion weight that means relative importance of
comparison, using Saaty's (1978) method in Expert Choice soft- criteria, V⁎j mean maximum Xij, and V⁎j mean minimum V− j .
ware.
(iv) After that, weighted normalized matrix has been computed (vii) Computation the value of Qi following i = 1, 2…m as Eq. (7) (El-
through the multiplying normal matrix in each criterion weight, Santawy, 2012):
given by Huang et al. (2009) and Sanayei et al. (2010) as Eq. (2):    
S j −S R j −R
Qj ¼ V þ ð1−vÞ  ð5Þ
ðS−S Þ ðR−R Þ
Tij ¼ Pij  W j ð2Þ
where S ⁎ mean minimum S j , S mean maximum S j , R ⁎ mean
where Tij means element of the weighted normalized decision matrix, minimum of R i , R means minimum of R i , and V as introductory
Pij means element of normalized decision matrix and Wj mean com- weight strategy of maximum group utility (S j ) and maximum
puted weight criteria given by AHP model. criteria (Rj). Q value generally ranges from 0 to 1; in terms of range
value, v N 0.5 denotes that trend value of Q index reaches in
(v) Fifth stage mainly involved with the determination of best value majority rule.
(X-j) and worst value (X̶j) of all standard criteria functions; if j =
1, 2…n: where j-th criterion as most benefited criterion for the (viii) Alternative rank order has considered as sorting measurement
causes of maximum j-th value. This criterion becomes more rel- from S, R and Q values, where suitable alternative values are
evant for this purpose. Then X-j = max ƒij, ƒ̶ ij = min ƒij. assigned from least value of three major parameters.
(vi) Purpose of this stage is to compute maximum group utility index (ix) Two conditions are used to determine the best alternative value
(Si) and minimum individual regret index of opponent group from highest rank order of Q values as follow Eq. (6) (El-
values (Ri) following respective Eqs. (3) and (4): Santawy, 2012; Ameri et al., 2018):
6 R.K. Bhattacharya et al. / Science of the Total Environment 734 (2020) 139474

C1 or Acceptable advantage: vffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi


uX
u n  2
1 di− ¼t Vij −V j ≤i ¼ 1; 2; …; m ð13Þ
C1 : Q ðA2 Þ−Q ðA1 Þ≥ ð6Þ j¼1
N−1

where A1, A2 means first and second alternative position in the ranking
(v) Purpose of the final step, is detect closeness coefficient of alterna-
list; N is the number of alternative criteria.
tives from ideal solution ranges 0 to 1 using Eq. (14). Superior
C2 or Acceptable stability in decision making: In terms of satisfaction
values are estimated from higher relative closeness alternative
level, alternative rank values are assigned as rank 1 in Q, S and R or both
values.
of them. On the contrary or unsatisfactory level, ranking order of alter-
native value would be assigned as A1, A2 …Am where Am measured
di−
by following Eq. (7): Cliþ ¼ ; 0 ≤Cliþ ≤1; i ¼ 1; 2; …; m ð14Þ
diþ þ di−
1
ðAm Þ−Q ðA1 Þb ð7Þ where Cli+ mean closeness coefficient, di+ mean positive ideal solution
N−1
(PIS) and di- mean negative ideal solution (NIS).
According to Opricovic and Tzeng (2004, 2007), A1 and A2 must be
selected for best solution, where outcome of C1 does not satisfy. 3.3.3. SAW model
This is another leading MCDM method, which assigned score in each
3.3.2. TOPSIS model option, and obtained by aggregating values in different criteria. Relative
Technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution weights are taken for assigning each criteria score using decision maker
(TOPSIS) is a distance-based method, presented by Hwang and Yoon (Hwang and Yoon, 1981; Sargaonkar et al., 2011). Simple Additive
(2012). Principle of TOPSIS indicates that measurement of alternative Weighting (SAW) model estimated rating option following consecutive
choice has been computed by Euclidean distance from shortest distance steps as.
of positive ideal solution (PIS) and largest distance of negative ideal so- (i) Decision matrix is used for the determination of normalized ini-
lution (NIS). In this context, closeness coefficient is used to express the tial matrix (Rij) of j-th criterion as Eq. (15) (Ameri et al., 2018):
results of PIS and NIS distances. In order to closeness coefficient value,
preferred alternative value is taken as a higher coefficient value from a Xij
set of alternatives (Liou and Wang, 1992; Kannan et al., 2009). This Rij ¼ PM ð15Þ
model has detected rating option following some calculation steps I Xij

(Hwang and Yoon, 1981):


where Xij mean initial weights and M means criteria number.
(i) This step estimated normalized decision matrix (rij) as Eq. (8):
(ii) This step involved mainly determined the relation as Rij = Rmin
ij
aij or Rij = Rmax
ij
rij ¼ PJ ð8Þ
√ j¼1
a2ij
Two different relation can be obtained from normalized weight,
where rij presents normalized decision matrix element and aij mean al- where minimum value in efficiency index represent as Rij = Rmin
ij , and

ternative performance of i-th under j-th criteria. maximum value in efficiency index represent as Rij = Rmax
ij .

(ii) This step computed as weighted normalized decision matrix (Vij) (iii) Consistency index helps to determine as normalized value fol-
following Eq. (9): lowing Eq. (16) (maximum efficiency index) and Eq. (17) (min-
imum efficiency index):
Vij ¼ Wi  rij ð9Þ
Xij
Rij ¼ ð16Þ
Where rij mean normalized matrix elements and Wj mean weight of j-th Xmax
ij
criteria.
(iii) This step computed the PIS and NIS using Eqs. (10) and (11) Xmin
ij
Rij ¼ ð17Þ
(Ameri et al., 2018) Xij

  
maxV ij V ij (iv) The purpose in this step is determining the weighted normalized
Aþ ¼ ; min ∈JEÞi ¼ 1; 2; …; m ¼ fV1þ; V2þ; ………Vnþg
j∈ J j decision matrix (Vij) following Eq. (18):
ð10Þ
Vij ¼ Rij  W j ð18Þ
  
minVij maxVij
A− ¼ i ¼ 1; 2; …:; m ¼ fV1−; V2−; …:Vj…Vng
j∈J j∈J where Wj mean criteria weight of Analytical Hierarchical Process (AHP)
ð11Þ model.
(v) Final step of SAW model involved mainly data integration, ac-
where j mean benefitted criteria and J mean cost criteria, respectively.
quired from final score value in each option (Ai) following
(iv) This step computed as separation measures from ideal solution Eq. (19) (Ma et al., 1999; Ameri et al., 2018):
using Euclidean distance (n-dimension). Separation from ideal X
distance of PIS and NIS measured as following Eqs. (12) and (13) Ai ¼ Rij  W j ð19Þ

vffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
uX
u n  2 3.3.4. CF model
diþ ¼t Vij −Vþj ≤i ¼ 1; 2; …; m ð12Þ Compound factor (CF) is an important MCDM methods, which is
j¼1
used for subject base conversion phenomena obtaining from two
R.K. Bhattacharya et al. / Science of the Total Environment 734 (2020) 139474 7

estimation of logical learning estimation and knowledge-driven frame- kinematic viscosity of water, gravity acceleration, sediment diame-
work codes based numerical estimation (Todorovski and Džeroski, ter, weight of specific sediment, shear velocity, bed shear stress) in
2006; Ameri et al., 2018; Hembram and Saha, 2018). In this study, CF Mohanpur station. Total sediment load was calculated in ton unit
method was applied for assignment of rank order in each estimated using fluid weight of Ackers and White (1973) method
morphometric parameters that are incorporated with ES. Therefore, col- (Bhattacharya et al., 2019a); furthermore, those results were com-
lective impacts of all parameters on SES are represented by compound paring with the SWAT simulation results. Moreover, sediment load
factor, estimated from average rank values of all parameters (Altaf data sets helped in SWAT sensitivity analysis, including calibration
et al., 2014). CF is determined as Eq. (20): and validation test on observed and simulated sediment load. Total
Sediment load (QT) has measured from Eq. (23):
1X
pn
CF ¼ R ð20Þ
n i¼1
Q T ¼ Q :X ð23Þ

where R denote parameters rank value, pn denote watershed rank from


each parameter. where Q denote water discharge, X denote sediment
CF is estimated rank order or erosion priority scale of sub-basin level concentration.
from fifteen morphometric parameters in thirty-eight sub-basins of
Kangsabati basin. According to Patel et al. (2012) and Balasubramanian 3.4.1. Model sensitive and calibration
et al. (2017), high ES has corresponded with maximum compound Sensitive analysis of SWAT parameters must be needed for the de-
value of areal and linear aspect, which is given rank 1 and second highest termination of significant contribution on model outputs that are mea-
compound value is given rank 2 and others in same assigning manner. sured by ranking method (Holvoet et al., 2005; Markhi et al., 2019). In
While high ES has corresponded with minimum compound value of this context, SUFI-2 (sequential uncertainty fitting approach) is used
shape aspect, which is given rank 1 and so on. for large calibration performance with the presence of minimum num-
ber of iterations and high calibration capacity (Yang et al., 2008). SWAT-
3.3.5. Validation of MCDM models CUP software is adopted for the methodological set-up of SUFI-2
Percentage change and intensity change are uses for the assessment (Abbaspour, 2013; Arnold et al., 2012). Flow discharge and sediment
of validation performance and comparison among four MCDM methods load parameters rank are assigned from SWAT parameters in global sen-
results that are predicted SES at sub-basin level (Badri, 2003; Ameri sitive analysis, where statistical indices i.e. co-efficient of determination
et al., 2018). (R2), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), percent bias (PBIS) are used for
Percentage of changes is expressed as Eq. (21): SWAT model performance evaluation as goodness of fit of simulated re-
sults with observed values (Abbaspour et al., 2004; Rice, 2006). Accord-
N−Nconstant ing to Neitsch et al. (2011), SWAT manual provided such default values
ΔP ¼  100 ð21Þ
N that are fixed at every parameter range. In this research, ten parameters
where ΔP denote percentage of changes, N denote alternative numbers, were considered for monthly flow discharge simulation, and ten param-
and Nconstant denote alternative numbers of same rank. eters were considered for sediment load simulation at monthly time-
Intensity of changes is expressed as Eq. (22): scale accurately based on literature review on these parameters in sim-
ilar hydrological characteristics in drainage basin (Bokan, 2015; Mittal
N rank i ðr1Þ et al., 2016; Welde, 2016; Romagnoli et al., 2017; Asl-Rousta and
∑i−1 Mousavi, 2019; Sridhar et al., 2018; Himanshu et al., 2019; Markhi
rank i ðr2Þ
ΔI ¼ ð22Þ et al., 2019). Based on sensitive analysis, best sensitive parameters are
N
selected for the analysis of calibration and validation performance in
where ΔI denote intensity of changes, r1 denote first method of alterna- SWAT model using p-value (Mittal et al., 2016). P-value means fraction
tive rank, and r2 denote second method of alternative rank. values of observed discharge data under 95 Percent Prediction Uncer-
tainty (95PPU) band, which ranges from 0 to 1 (Vaghefi et al., 2013;
3.4. SWAT parameter estimation Mittal et al., 2016). In this study, P-value of b0.05 was considered for se-
lection of sensitive parameters in calibration and validation analysis. To
Several predominant parameters like weather condition, topo- determine the calibration and validation of results, iteration steps were
graphic characteristic, soil properties, and land use land cover required to find out the optimum values for two different times (Yang
(LULC) were required for successful set-up and run the SWAT et al., 2008). Therefore, the calibration (1.1.2010–31.12.2013) and vali-
model on a monthly time-scale (1.1.2010–31.12.2015) using the dation (1.1.2014–31.12.2015) tests between observation and simula-
ArcSWAT interface (Neitsch et al., 2011; Markhi et al., 2019). Data- tion data were applied to determine the model performance. In this
base of slope, soil and LULC distribution map over the thirty-eight context, Mohanpur gauge station was taken for this purpose to make a
sub-basins including 12,387 HRUs are presented in Fig. 3a, b, c. comparison between observed data and SWAT simulated results for
The unique combinations of LULC and soil type were separately both flow discharge and sediment load estimation.
represented by two different HRU. 5% of slope, 5% of soil and 5%
of LULC were assigned as user threshold values for the determina- 3.4.2. Model evolution and validation
tion of in HRU tool box. Other important data sets like weather da- Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency criterion (NSE) was used for the determina-
tabases including rainfall, temperature, and evaporation etc. were tion of calibration result in observation data (Nash and Sutcliffe, 1970).
extracted from IMD and CFSR World weather gridded database. This well-known statistical criterion provided the coefficient determi-
On the other hand, hydrological data sets of monthly flow dis- nation (R2), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency criterion (NSE), and percent bias
charge or outflow data and sediment load were collected from (PBIAS) values that were obtained from Eqs. (24), (25), (26), respec-
Mohanpur station, only available monthly flow discharge data set tively.
was and collected from Irrigation Office of Paschim Medinipur,
but there is no record of any observed data on sediment load. In n
this context, total sediment load (QT) was computed from field ob- ∑i¼1 ðY obs −Z obs ÞðY sin −Z sin Þ
R2 ¼ qffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
Pn
qffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
Pn ð24Þ
servation database of nine fluvial and sediment hydraulic variables 2 2
1 ðY obs −Z obs Þ i ðY sin −Z sin Þ
(average flow velocity, water depth, weight of specific water,
8 R.K. Bhattacharya et al. / Science of the Total Environment 734 (2020) 139474

" n #
∑ ðY −Zsim Þ2 n
∑i¼1 ðY obs −Y sin Þ2
NSE ¼ 1− Pni¼1 obs 2
ð25Þ PBIAS ¼ Pn  100% ð26Þ
i¼1 ðYobs −Zobs Þ i Y obs

Fig. 3. SWAT parameter estimation: a slope, b soil and c land use and cover.
R.K. Bhattacharya et al. / Science of the Total Environment 734 (2020) 139474 9

Fig. 3 (continued).

where Ysin denote simulated value, and Yobs denote observed value; Zobs correlated with all linear and relief morphometric parameters, whereas
refer to mean of observed value as n; and Zsin refer to mean of simulated Patel et al. (2012) and Patel and Dholakia (2010) denoted that all shape
values as n. parameters are inversely correlated with ES. In order of erosion priority
rank, this study considered maximum value of mean bifurcation ratio
and relief ratio that were assigned as highest rank and minimum
4. Result
value of those parameters assigned as lowest rank.
4.1. Morphometric parameters and its role on ES
4.2. Weight assigning in each morphometric parameters using AHP method
Basin morphometric parameters play significant role to determine
the earth system processes in surface, incorporating geomorphology, In this research, weight assignment in each criterion was computed
geology and hydrological sets-up (Ifabiyi and Eniolorunda, 2012; from final matrix table that was prepared from fifteen morphometric pa-
Balasubramanian et al., 2017). Moreover, relief and drainage system in rameters using AHP method. According to Saaty (1978), weight assign-
the entire basin, have great influence on soil erosion vulnerability, ment becomes accepted; if incompatibility rate in a final matrix is lower
whereas three major morphometric aspects like linear, relief and than 0.1. In this study, consistency index (CI) and randomness index
shape, have control the runoff volume and infiltration capacity (RI) in comparison matrix table is 0.08 and 1.59, respectively; however,
(Sharma et al., 1986; Hembram and Saha, 2018). This basin area is ex- incompatibility rate of final matrix become 0.054; therefore, weight as-
tended to 6480 km2 with perimeter of 3306 km2, and texture with signment of effective morphometric parameters on ES are within
6971 stream number, including 833 km2 stream lengths. 5321 first acceptable range (Table 2). In addition, weight assignment of fifteen mor-
stream order were identified in high erosion prone sites in the entire phometric parameter in matrix table showed that mean bifurcation ratio
catchment area. According to erosion rate, fifteen morphometric pa- (0.191), mean slope (0.151), infiltration number (0.129) and stream fre-
rameters were taken from thirty-eight sub-basins to assign the priority quency (0.107) have high significant effects on ES. In contrast, minimum
rank of ES. Detailed analysis of morphometric parameters in Kangsabati value of shape factor (0.010), form factor (0.014), and length of overland
basin can be seen in the supplementary result of ‘morphometric analy- flow (0.015) have least effects on ES (Fig. 4). Moreover, drainage density
sis’ section. (0.087), relief ratio (0.069), ruggedness number (0.059), compact coeffi-
Sub-basin prioritization has been done following such relation as cient (0.048), constant channel maintenance (0.043), circular ratio
morphometric parameters, geological set-up, and others geo- (0.03), drainage texture (0.029), and basin relief (0.02) have moderate ef-
environmental parameters with ES, which also successfully done by fects on ES, respectively. Therefore, it is a point that all morphometric pa-
several researchers: Biswas et al. (1999), Nooka et al. (2005), Patel rameters have not same significant impacts on ES.
et al. (2012, 2013), Ameri et al. (2018), Bhattacharya et al. (2019b).
Three different morphometric aspects i.e. linear, shape and relief, in- 4.2.1. Erosion priority at sub-basin level using MCDM model
cluding fifteen parameters, have significant relation with ES. According After the weight assignment, all morphometric parameters were cal-
to Biswas et al. (1999) and Nooka et al. (2005), ES is positively culated for the preparation of decision matrix and data normalization
10 R.K. Bhattacharya et al. / Science of the Total Environment 734 (2020) 139474

Table 2
Computation of composition matrix table (C) following normalized criteria.

Rmb S If Fs D Rr Rn C Cc Rc T R Lo Ff Bs Criteria weights % Remarks

Rmb 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 8 9 9 1 0.191 19.10% Consistency (accepted)


S 1/2 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 2 6 5 7 8 8 9 2 0.151 15.10% 5%
If 1/2 1/2 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 7 8 3 0.129 12.90% Lambda
Fs 1/3 1/2 1/2 1 2 2 3 3 4 5 4 6 6 7 8 4 0.107 10.70% 16.21949815
D 1/3 1/3 1/2 1/2 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 6 7 5 0.087 8.70% CI
Rr 1/4 1/3 1/3 1/2 1/2 1 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 6 7 6 0.069 6.90% 0.087107011
Rn 1/4 1/4 1/3 1/3 1/2 1/2 1 2 2 3 3 4 5 5 6 7 0.059 5.90%
C 1/5 1/4 1/4 1/3 1/3 1/2 1/2 1 2 2 2 4 4 5 6 8 0.048 4.80% Randomness Index, RI
Cc 1/5 1/2 1/4 1/4 1/3 1/2 1/2 1/2 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 9 0.043 4.30% 1.59
Rc 1/6 1/6 1/5 1/5 1/4 1/3 1/3 1/2 1/2 1 1 3 3 3 5 10 0.03 3.00%
T 1/6 1/5 1/5 1/4 1/4 1/3 1/3 1/2 1/2 1 1 2 3 3 4 11 0.029 2.90% Consistency ratio
R 1/7 1/7 1/6 1/6 1/5 1/5 1/4 1/4 1/3 1/3 1/2 1 2 2 4 12 0.02 2.00% CI/RI
Lo 1/8 1/8 1/7 1/6 1/6 1/5 1/5 1/4 1/4 1/3 1/3 1/2 1 1 3 13 0.015 1.50% =0.054784284
Ff 1/9 1/8 1/7 1/7 1/6 1/6 1/5 1/5 1/4 1/3 1/3 1/2 1 1 2 14 0.014 1.40%
Bs 1/9 1/9 1/8 1/8 1/7 1/7 1/6 1/6 1/5 1/5 1/4 1/4 1/3 1/2 1 15 0.01 1.00%

Rbm-mean bifurcation ratio, S-mean slope, If-infiltration number, Fs-stream frequency, D-drainage density, Rr-relief ratio, Rn-ruggedness number, C-constant of channel maintenance, Cc-
compactness coefficient, Rc-circularity ratio, T-drainage texture, R-basin Relief, Lo-length of overland flow, Ff-form factor, Bs-shape factor.

that are essential for priority rank of VIKOR, TOPSIS, SAW, and CF has been assigned as descending manner, that means, lowest CF given
models. In this study, fifteen morphometric parameters were used for as first rank for high ES, and highest CF given as last rank for low ES in
the computation of priority rank in each sub-basin, where all data sets Table 4 (Patel et al., 2012; Altaf et al., 2014; Bhattacharya et al., 2019b).
were normalized to prepare the rank value in four different MCDM In VIKOR model, sub-basin priority has incorporated with ES, which
methods. Linear vector method was used for the computation of data showed that least compound values of SB 23 (0.144), 16 (0.155), 18
normalization in TOPSIS model (Eqs. (8)–(14)), whereas data normali- (0.156) are given highest rank as 1 to 3 for their high ES, while more
zation of VIKOR and SAW models were computed following Eqs. (1)– compound values of SB 31 (0.999), 24 (0.811), 37 (0.808) are given low-
(7), (15)–(19) (Ameri et al., 2018). In VIKOR model, best and worst est rank as 38 to 36 for their low ES (Fig. 5a). In TOPSIS model, there is
values in each criterion helps to normalization of regret levels; however, positive relation between compound value and assigned rank value
based on perspective of regret theory, only best values in each criterion based on erosion sensitivity. In particular, maximum values of SB 23
play dominant role to determine the regret levels, and worst values in (0.734), 16 (0.689), 18 (0.58) are assigned highest rank as 1 to 3 for
each criterion play dominant role to determine the effective role of nor- most sensitivity to erosion, while minimum values of SB 21 (0.205),
malized S and R values on regret levels (Huang et al., 2009). In this 24 (0.213), 37 (0.526) are assigned lowest rank as 38 to 36 for their
study, best and worst values are calculated in Table 3 using Eqs. (1)– least sensitivity to erosion (Fig. 5b). Based on positive relation between
(2), whereas utility index, regret index both were determined the prior- final scores and ES, in SAW model, maximum final scores of SB 23
ity rank as ascending order in the thirty-eight sub-basins using Eqs. (3)– (0.767), 16 (0.682), 18 (0.6127) are given highest rank as 1 to 3, while
(5) (Table 3). In TOPSIS model, positive value, negative value and SB 31 (0.276), 37 (0.278), 21 (0.287) are given lowest rank as 38 to
Euclidean distance between them were calculated using Eqs. (8)–(13) 36, respectively. It is a point that sub-basins with more complex score
and is presented in Table 3. While closeness coefficient options of have high sensitivity to erosion, and sub-basins with least final score
ideal solution of TOPSIS model was done using Eq. (14). On the other have low sensitivity to erosion (Fig. 5c). On the other hand, according
hand, final weights of normalized matrix row in each sub-basin were to CF model, least compound value of SB 23 (12.40), 18 (12.67), 14
calculated for SAW model according to Eq. (19). In contrast, CF values (12.73) are assigned rank as 1 to 3 for their high ES, in contrast, more
in each sub-basin were assigned through the calculation of rank value compound values of SB 37 (26.40), 31 (25.47), 23 (25) are given rank
from fifteen parameters; finally summation of all values was divided as 38 to 36 for their least sensitivity to erosion, respectively (Table 4).
by such parameter numbers according to Eq. (20). Sub-basin priority Based on ES and loss of natural resources, all priority rank of MCDM

Fig. 4. The weight of each of the parameters with Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP).
R.K. Bhattacharya et al. / Science of the Total Environment 734 (2020) 139474 11

models (except CF) are well categorized into four classes i.e. very high

0.002871
0.01978
(0.75–1), high (0.5–0.75), moderate (0.25–0.5) and low (b0.25) in

0.069
Rr
thirty-eight sub-basins (Ameri et al., 2018). In this study, four categories

0
(very high, high, moderate and low) in VIKOR model, three categories
(high, moderate and low) in TOPSIS model, and three categories (very

0.000996
0.02245
high, high and moderate) in SAW model are identified (Fig. 5a, b, c).

0.059
Rn
On the other hand, based on compound values from selected morpho-

0
metric parameters, CF model has classified into four categories i.e.
very high (N100), high (50–75), medium (25–50) and low (N25). In

0.006958
0.001229
this study, only two CF categories of moderate and low are identified

0.02
in the thirty-eight sub-basins (Fig. 5d). According to rank values,
R

0
MCDM priority classes showed that moderate class (55%) is most dom-
inant than low (19%), high (18%) and very high classes (8%) in VIKOR
0.001298
0.0082
model; high class (71%) is most dominant than moderate (13%) and
0.03
Rc

low classes (16%) in TOPSIS; and maximum moderate class (79%) has
0

dominated in SAW model than high (18%) and very high classes (3%),
respectively. In contrast, low class (92%) has reaches dominant position
0.004673
0.011747

than medium class (8%) in CF model. Therefore, ES distribution is not


0.043
Cc

same in four different MCDM methods in the entire Kangsabati basin.


0

However, MCDM method denoted that moderate and low erosion clas-
ses are predominant categories throughout the basin.
0.001326
0.002097

0.01
Bs

4.2.2. MCDM models validation


0

Two different evaluation methods of percentage change and inten-


sity change were used for the determination of MCDM models effi-
0.001703
0.002694

ciency. Percentage change result showed best efficiency of CF method


0.014

with high accuracy value (68.42) than VIKOR (57.89), TOPSIS (42.11),
Ff

and SAW methods (31.28) (Table 5), whereas intensity change denoted
that VIKOR method is more efficient with high accuracy (3.165) than
0.017744
0.002738

TOPSIS (3.097), CF (3.087) and SAW methods (3.085), respectively


0.048

(Table 6). According to percentage change and intensity change of


C

MCDM validation test, it is the point that CF and VIKOR have the best ef-
ficiencies with high accuracy values than other methods.
0.066244
0.000357
0.129

4.3. SWAT model


If

4.3.1. Sensitivity, calibration and validation analysis on flow discharge and


0.004512
0.000696
Computation of the best and worst values, PIS, and NIS indicators in VIKOR and TOPSIS models, respectively.

sediment load
0.015
Lo

In general, SWAT model performance is evaluated by three different


0

analysis of sensitivity, calibration, and validation from assigned param-


eters (Welde, 2016). In this study, sensitive analysis was done in a Latin
0.022503
0.000132

hypercube sampling at 12 intervals, where twenty parameters were


0.029

considered for flow discharge and sediment load estimation. 1000 iter-
0
T

ations were used for the determination of following parameters, where


500 iterations for flow parameters (10 × 50 per iteration), and 500 iter-
0.044262
0.001081

ations for sediment parameters (10 × 50 per iteration) were required


0.107

with the help of SWAT-CUP software. Table 7 denotes maximum, mini-


Fs

mum and fitted values of ten sensitive parameters for flow discharge
simulation. Table 8 denotes maximum, minimum and fitted values of
0.047162
0.004092

ten parameters for sediment load simulation. Sensitivity analysis re-


0.151

veals that CN2.mgt (number of SCS runoff curve in moisture condition


0
S

II) is more sensitive followed by GWQMN.gw (occurring of return


flow for threshold depth of water) in flow discharge calibration and val-
0.026172
0.004039

idation. While R_SPEXP.bsn (exponent parameter for calculating sedi-


0.087

ment recent rained in channel sediment) is more sensitive followed


D

by R__SLSUBBSN.hru (average slope length) in sediment load calibra-


0.053817

tion, but HRU_SLP.hru (average slope steepness) is more sensitive


followed by R_SPEXP.bsn in sediment load validation. After the success-
0.191
Rbm

ful run of calibration procedure on sensible parameters, Tables 7 and 8


0

both are indicated that the SWAT model has sensibly explained of hy-
drological processes in Kangsabati basin. During calibration period (Jan-
Xj+
V+

Xj-
V-
Morphometric

uary 2010-Decembar 2013), observed versus model simulated


coefficient of regression (R2) values of 0.86 and 0.87 for flow discharge
parameters

and sediment load (Table 9; Fig. 6a, b, c, d), respectively; Nash-Sutcliffe


TOPSIS

VIKOR
Table 3

efficiency criterion (NSE) values of 0.75 and 0.69 for flow discharge and
sediment load, respectively; denotes well acceptable range (Moriasi
12 R.K. Bhattacharya et al. / Science of the Total Environment 734 (2020) 139474

Table 4
Morphometric based assigned ranking and compound value in Kangsabati basin.

SB Rbm D S Fs T Lo If C Ff Bs Cc Rc R Rn Rr Compound parameter Final priority

2 9 34 18 11 9 17 30 4 35 37 2 28 5 16 17.13 13
1
3 8 28 22 16 8 16 31 9 30 28 11 27 2 2 16.07 10
2
6 16 38 20 8 16 21 23 3 36 32 7 35 15 37 20.87 22
3
12 20 36 14 18 20 19 19 11 28 36 3 37 18 35 21.73 27
4
5 17 37 13 12 17 13 22 5 34 38 1 31 12 36 19.53 19
5
9 10 29 15 9 10 12 29 7 32 30 9 23 1 5 15.33 7
6
7 12 32 16 6 12 15 27 6 33 29 10 26 6 14 16.73 12
7
14 11 26 11 19 11 9 28 22 17 26 13 34 11 15 17.80 14
8
17 19 30 19 21 19 22 20 15 24 33 6 36 17 26 21.60 26
9
19 13 27 21 22 13 20 26 27 12 27 12 38 20 24 21.40 24
10
11 14 35 17 17 14 18 25 10 29 35 4 33 13 30 20.33 21
11
8 15 33 12 13 15 11 24 8 31 34 5 32 14 31 19.07 17
12
4 6 31 7 2 6 7 33 2 37 31 8 16 4 25 14.60 6
13
13 3 18 5 3 3 4 36 13 26 4 35 14 7 7 12.73 3
14
16 21 24 8 7 21 8 18 14 25 6 33 18 10 8 15.80 8
15
10 1 20 2 5 1 2 38 17 22 25 14 20 8 17 13.47 4
16
22 7 19 6 14 7 6 32 34 5 9 30 29 16 1 15.80 8
17
15 5 15 3 4 5 3 34 24 15 5 34 15 9 4 12.67 2
18
23 37 21 27 29 37 29 2 37 2 22 17 30 36 6 23.67 31
19
26 28 14 25 26 28 26 11 29 10 13 26 19 23 18 21.47 25
20
30 34 23 30 30 34 31 5 20 19 14 25 25 30 22 24.80 35
21
27 26 22 29 27 26 28 13 19 20 7 32 24 28 29 23.80 32
22
1 2 25 1 1 2 1 37 1 38 21 18 1 3 34 12.40 1
23
36 33 17 33 34 33 33 6 28 11 19 20 22 31 19 25.00 36
24
27 24 4 24 25 24 24 15 30 9 8 31 7 25 13 19.33 18
25
18 18 5 10 15 18 10 21 21 18 16 23 3 19 27 16.13 11
26
37 31 6 32 36 31 32 8 36 3 12 27 17 32 20 24.00 34
27
20 23 3 9 20 23 14 16 35 4 15 24 11 24 28 17.93 15
28
23 27 12 26 24 27 25 12 25 14 1 38 9 27 23 20.87 22
29
25 22 7 23 23 22 23 17 31 8 17 22 11 22 12 19.00 16
30
38 36 10 38 38 36 38 3 33 6 11 28 21 35 11 25.47 37
31
31 25 2 28 28 25 27 14 32 7 23 16 8 26 9 20.07 20
32
32 32 13 34 33 32 34 7 16 23 24 15 4 33 21 23.53 29
33
34 38 8 36 35 38 37 1 26 13 3 36 6 37 10 23.87 33
34
32 29 11 31 32 29 30 10 23 16 10 29 5 34 32 23.53 29
35
29 4 1 4 10 4 5 35 38 1 2 37 10 21 3 13.60 5
36
34 35 16 37 37 35 36 4 18 21 18 21 13 38 33 26.40 38
37
20 30 9 35 31 30 35 9 12 27 20 19 2 29 38 23.07 28
38
R.K. Bhattacharya et al. / Science of the Total Environment 734 (2020) 139474 13

et al., 2007). During validation period (January 2014-Decembar 2015), calibration and validation period, respectively, however; overestimated
observed versus model simulated R2 values of 0.79 and 0.79 for flow dis- of sediment load by 34.6% and 10.2% during calibration and validation
charge and sediment load, respectively; NSE values of 0.55 and 0.76 for period (Table 9), respectively. In summary results of calibration test,
flow discharge and sediment load, respectively; showed recommend- mean and standard deviation values of observed and simulated flow
able range (Moriasi et al., 2007). In addition, PBIAS values of −19.9 discharge are 25.45 and 35.63, and mean and standard deviation values
and 34.6 for flow discharge and sediment load calibrations, respectively; of observed and simulated sediment load are 11,270.16 and 14,224.11,
−29 and 10.2 for flow discharge and sediment load validations, respec- respectively. In summary results of validation test, mean and standard
tively; demonstrated that average performance level of SWAT model deviation values of observed and simulated flow discharge are 20.32
has underestimated of flow discharge by 19.9% and 29% during and 30.77, and mean and standard deviation values of observed and

Fig. 5. Classification of sub-watershed to erodibility using MCDM models: a VIKOR, b TOPSIS, c SAW and d CF.
14 R.K. Bhattacharya et al. / Science of the Total Environment 734 (2020) 139474

Fig. 5 (continued).

simulated sediment load are 14,655.22 and 18,284.36, respectively.


Table 5
Fig. 6 indicated that the observation value of monthly flow discharge be-
Percentages of change in models.
comes more or less similar with simulated monthly flow discharge,
CF VIKOR TOPSIS SAW SUM whereas observed values of sediment load (ton/month) has greater
CF 0 94.736 89.473 84.21 68.421 than the simulated value at Mohanpur station, during the calibration
VIKOR 94.736 0 84.21 78.947 57.894 and validation phases. Therefore, based on all statistical indices of cali-
TOPSIS 89.473 84.21 0 68.421 42.105 bration and validation, simulated results are considered as goodness
SAW 84.21 78.947 68.421 0 31.578
of fit with observed data.
R.K. Bhattacharya et al. / Science of the Total Environment 734 (2020) 139474 15

Table 6 helps to accumulate of high sediment yield (Bhattacharya et al.,


Intensity of change in models. 2020a). In terms of ES at sub-basin level, monthly sediment yield prior-
CF VIKOR TOPSIS SAW SUM ity is classified into four classes i.e. low (b0.69 m ton/ha), moderate
CF 0 1.044 1.025 1.018 3.087
(0.70–0.93 m ton/ha), high (0.94–1.17 m ton/ha) and very high
VIKOR 1.053 0 1.06 1.052 3.165 (N1.17 m ton/ha). According to assigned rank of simulated sediment
TOPSIS 1.033 1.061 0 1.003 3.097 yield, very high erosion priority class mainly concentrated in SB 13,
SAW 1.026 1.056 1.003 0 3.085 16, 18, 19, 23, while high erosion priority class concentrated in SB 2, 6,
14, 17, 20, 22, 25, 26, 28 and 31, respectively (Fig. 8). In addition, SB 1,
3, 4, 5, 7, 8, 9, 10, 12, 15, 24, 29, 30, 32 and 34 having monthly sediment
yield of 0.70–0.93 m ton/ha comes under moderate erosion priority
4.3.2. Sediment yield analysis and its sub-basin prioritization class, and SB 1, 3, 4, 5,7, 8, 9, 10, 12, 15, 24, 29, 30, 32 and 34 having
Suspended sediment load and its movement in stream has entirely monthly sediment yield of 0–0.69 m ton/ha comes under low erosion
depended on several hydraulic variables like stream discharge, water- priority class. Therefore, it is pointed that amount of sediment yield
shed slope, including flow and sediment regime characteristics are fully dependent with ES level throughout the basin.
(Sridhar et al., 2018; Bhattacharya et al., 2020a). Huge sediment load
helps to accumulation of sediment yield at sub-basin level where
SWAT model is applied to estimate the amount of yield following 4.4. Comparison between MCDM model and SWAT model
some considerable hydrological parameters (Welde, 2016). In
Kangsabati basin, monthly simulated sediment yield of SWAT model is MCDM results showed that most of the sub-basins fall under moder-
classified into five categories i.e. very low (b0.56 m ton/ha), low ate ES class, predicted by VIKOR (55%), TOPSIS (71%) and SAW methods
(0.57–0.83 m ton/ha), middle (0.84–1.08 m ton/ha), high (79%), in contrast, CF method predicted that nearly 92% area are consid-
(1.09–1.38 m ton /ha) and very high (1.39–1.88 m ton/ha), respectively. ered as low ES class in Kangsabati basin. Validation result of MCDM
Fig. 7 showed that most of the basin area come under low to medium methods demonstrated that prediction of VIKOR and CF methods are
sediment yield priority class, whereas high and very high sediment within acceptable range; however, there is no single model that can
yield classes are mainly concentrated at outlets or confluence points. be acceptable for ES. In this context, based on assigning the priority
Generally, absences of flow discharge, low drainage density and lower rank from simulated sediment yield in thirty-eight sub-basins, SWAT
catchment area helps to generate low sediment yield, while presence model is used to select the effective MCDM methods on ES. In this
of confluence points, high drainage density and large catchment area study, SWAT model predicted that moderate to low ES classes are

Table 7
Sensitive parameters and its fittest values of flow discharge after calibration using SUFI 2.

Parameter Definition Reference Fitted Minimum Maximum


name value value value

R_CH_N2.rte Manning's ‘n’ value for the main channel Mittal et al. (2016); Himanshu et al. (2019); Markhi et al. (2019) −0.05 −0.068 0.11
R_TLAP.sub Temperature lapse rate Asl-Rousta and Mousavi (2019) −6.46 −7.22 −3.65
R_GWHT.gw Initial groundwater height (m) Markhi et al. (2019) 5.01 −1.89 5.72
R_PLAPS.sub Precipitation lapse rate Asl-Rousta and Mousavi (2019) −182.56 −199.1 186.83
R_TIMP.bsn Snow pack temperature lag factor Asl-Rousta and Mousavi (2019) 0.78 0.59 0.98
R_SNOCOVMX. Maximum snow water content that corresponds to Asl-Rousta and Mousavi (2019) 140.9 107.65 230.16
bsn 100% snow cover
R_CN2.mgt Number of SCS runoff curve in moisture condition Romagnoli et al. (2017); Mittal et al. (2016); Himanshu et al. 0.103 0.08 0.13
II (2019)
V_ALPHA_BF. Ground water recession curve for base flow alpha Mittal et al. (2016); Sridhar et al. (2018); Himanshu et al. (2019) 1.26 1.08 1.41
gw factor
V_GW_DE Groundwater delay time from bottom root zone to Romagnoli et al. (2017); Mittal et al. (2016); Himanshu et al. 42.89 −56.13 121.61
LAY.gw shallow aquifer (2019)
V_GWQMN. Occurring of return flow for threshold depth of Romagnoli et al. (2017); Mittal et al. (2016); Sridhar et al. (2018); 1.65 1.39 2.18
gw water Himanshu et al. (2019)

Table 8
Sensitive parameters and its fittest values of sediment discharge after calibration using SUFI 2.

Parameter name Definition Reference Fitted Minimum Maximum


value value value

R_SPCON.bsn Calculation of linear factor for maximum amount of channel Bokan (2015); Welde (2016); Markhi et al. 0.0033 −0.0037 0.0059
sediment re-entrained (2019)
R__USLE_K (..).sol USLE soil erodibility factor Bokan (2015); Himanshu et al. (2019); 0.32 0.049 0.35
Welde (2016)
R_SPEXP.bsn Exponent parameter for calculating sediment recent rained in Bokan (2015); Welde (2016) 1.19 1.08 1.28
channel sediment
R_USLE_C {..}. USLE cropping factor for strip cropped fields Bokan (2015); Welde (2016) 0.27 0.04 0.33
plant.dat
R__BIOMIX.mgt Biological mixing efficiency Bokan (2015); Himanshu et al. (2019) 0.85 0.60 1.31
R__RSDIN.hru Initial residue cover [kg/ha] Bokan (2015) 4518.76 381.1 10,161
R__CH_COV1.rte Channel erodibility factor Bokan (2015) 0.35 0.25 0.64
R__CH_COV2.rte Channel cover factor Bokan (2015); Welde (2016); Himanshu 1.08 0.55 1.2
et al. (2019)
R__SLSUBBSN.hru Average slope length Bokan (2015); Himanshu et al. (2019) −44.18 −48.11 54.19
R_HRU_SLP.hru Average slope steepness Bokan (2015); Welde (2016) 0.005 −0.59 0.31
16 R.K. Bhattacharya et al. / Science of the Total Environment 734 (2020) 139474

Table 9 throughout the basin. These susceptible classes are major sediment
Model performance for simulation of flow discharge and sediment concentration at source sites where huge sediment load supply helps to vast accumula-
Mohanpur station (2010–2015).
tion of sediment yield. Therefore, VIKOR method is an effective MCDM
Parameters Flow discharge Sediment load model, which helps to identify the erosion-prone sites, sediment load
Calibration Validation Calibration Validation supply, and sediment yield accumulation throughout the basin.
2
R 0.86 0.79 0.87 0.79
NSE 0.75 0.55 0.69 0.76 5. Discussion
PBIAS −19.9 −29 34.6 10.2
Mean 25.45 20.32 11,270.16 14,655.22 Morphometric parameters are not considered as only key factors for
Standard deviation 35.63 30.77 14,224.11 18,284.36 the determination of ES, but other dominant geo-environmental param-
Time step Monthly Monthly Monthly Monthly
Iterations 500 500
eters such as LULC, soil erodibility, slope length-steepness, lithology,
geomorphic set-up, etc. are also important (Chauhan et al.,2016;
Bhattacharya et al., 2019b). In comparison between MCDM methods
predominant (62%) than high and very high erosion susceptible classes and SWAT model, effective MCDM methods are helpful to identify the
(38%) throughout the basin where annual stream discharge and annual significant role of morphometric parameters on ES; furthermore, linear
average sediment load are 19.23m3/s and 12,312 ton, during and aerial aspects are positively correlated with ES (Nooka et al., 2005;
2010–2015. After successful validation of MCDM methods, results indi- Bhattacharya et al., 2019b), but shape aspects are inversely correlated
cated that VIKOR and CF methods are in acceptable range; in contrast, with ES (Patel et al., 2012, 2013). In contrary, when preparing sediment
calibration and validation results of SWAT model are good fit with ob- yield distribution map from seven considerable factors: LULC, slope, soil,
served data. In order to ES priority rank, VIKOR model nearly matches ground water depth, run off volume, precipitation lapse rate and chan-
with SWAT model, according to both model predictions, moderate to nel hydro-morphogenetic properties (Markhi et al., 2019; Himanshu
low erosion classes are considered as more dominant classes et al., 2019), SWAT model also helps to assess ES in each sub basin.

Fig. 6. Monthly calibration and validation at Mohanpur station: a calibration of flow discharge (m3s−1), b validation of flow discharge (m3s−1), c calibration of sediment load (ton/month)
and d validation of sediment load (ton/month).
R.K. Bhattacharya et al. / Science of the Total Environment 734 (2020) 139474 17

Fig. 6 (continued).

Therefore, in this study, LULC and morphometric parameters are consid- ratio, basin relief) as well as minimum values of basin form parameters
ered for ES assessment following the validation performance of MCDM (form factor, shape factor, compact coefficient and circular ratio)
and SWAT models, respectively. In terms of response to erosion priority, (Fig. 9). In contrast, despite the presence of barren land, double crop
land covers like laterite with barren land, wasteland, and settlement are practice and dense settlement, SB 38, 36, 35 faces are of low ES category
positively related to ES, while agricultural land, dense forest, pasture due to minimum values of linear and relief parameters as well as max-
land are inversely related to ES (Altaf et al., 2014). imum values of basin parameters. Moreover, moderate erosion suscep-
Based on MCDM validation performances; TOPSIS, SAW and CF does tible class in rest thirty one sub-basins has dominant susceptibility due
not give satisfactory results due to disadvantages of unavailable data to maximum coverage of barren land, pasture land, and generic agricul-
sets for all decision-making problems and assumption based relative tural practices, on the other hand, morphometric parameters allowed
weight assignment in each variables (Khosravi et al., 2019). In contrast, same susceptible class in those sub-basins. As a result, maximum sedi-
VIKOR method has given better results than other MCDM methods, ment yield deposition is found in SB 13, 16, 18, 23 with an average
which are validated by SWAT model for its advantages: hierarchical for- value of 1.27 m ton/ha, and minimum sediment yield deposition is
mulating issue, pair wise comparison using expert quantitative and found in SB 38, 36, 35 with an average value of 0.5 m ton/ha, respec-
qualitative knowledge, and assessment of compatibility and incompati- tively. Furthermore, rest of the sub-basins reaches in moderate sedi-
bility decision (Saaty, 1980; Arabameri et al., 2019). ment yield class with an average value of 0.8073 m ton/ha. Thus,
SWAT and VIKOR helps to understand the role of LULC and morpho- based on the above discussion, it can be said that among all the available
metric properties on ES in Kangsabati basin. In spite of dense vegetation MCDM methods for ES, VIKOR model is more pragmatic for ES in respect
cover and pasture land, SB 13, 16, 18, 23 are more susceptible to erosion to simulated sediment yield rank as predicted by SWAT. In order to ES
due to maximum values of linear morphometric parameters (mean bi- and sediment yield deposition at sub-basin level, in this study demon-
furcation ratio, drainage density, drainage texture, stream frequency) strated that VIKOR is fittest MCDM model for suitable selection of best
and relief morphometric parameters (slope, ruggedness index, relief and worst values from morphometric parameters using normalize
18 R.K. Bhattacharya et al. / Science of the Total Environment 734 (2020) 139474

Fig. 7. Sediment Yield (SY) distribution zone using SWAT model.

decision matrix of AHP, maximum group utility index, minimum regret parameters. Therefore, VIKOR model is useful MCDM method to prepare
index of opposite group value, as well as assessment of compatibility rational sub-basin prioritization from linear normalize ranking of all
and incompatibility decision among effective morphometric morphometric parameters. Moreover, VIKOR method helps to identify

Fig. 8. Classification of sub-watershed to erodibility using SWAT model.


R.K. Bhattacharya et al. / Science of the Total Environment 734 (2020) 139474 19

Fig. 9. Priority base soil erosion susceptibility location in SB 13, 2, 23, 36 of Kangsabati basin.

the five critical sub-basins that are most sensible to erosion due to pres- The findings in this research might help to identify critical sub-
ence of responsible morphometric parameters in line with the results of basins where ES has been found most severe with the presence of re-
Bhattacharya et al. (2020a). On the other hand, SWAT parameters helps sponsible factors, thus VIKOR and SWAT could provide important tools
to determine the significant role of morphometric parameters on ES in for planner or policy maker to take rational strategies for soil and
response to sediment yield deposition throughout the basin. Therefore, water conservation in watershed management.
it can be stated that morphometric parameters are considered as crucial
contributing parameters for ES generation in this plateau fringe basin, 6. Conclusion
followed by LULC patterns, climate, and soil characteristic. These agree-
ments are validated with the findings of Biswas et al. (1999), Hembram The present study demonstrated that ES is a sensitive criterion to de-
and Saha (2018), Sridhar et al. (2018). Based on literature review in in- termine the sub-basin prioritization using a comparison among MCDM
troduction, previous researchers have presented sub-basin prioritiza- methods (VIKOR, TOPSIS, SAW, and CF). On the other hand, effective
tion in order to ES using MCDM methods; however, there is no MCDM methods are selected by applying of SWAT model. Extraction
hydrological model to measure the significant role of hydrological pa- of morphometric parameters from SRTM DEM is required to assign
rameters like runoff volume, sediment load, sediment concentration, the priority rank on ES for MCDM models, on the other hand, the spatial
etc. on sub-basin prioritization. In this context, there is research gap in distribution of LULC, slope, and soil, including twenty sensitive parame-
previous studies of sub-basin prioritization. Present study tried to ad- ters, are required for SWAT model estimation that is predicted the sim-
dress this research gap using a comparison between MCDM and SWAT ulated sediment yield as well as ES in thirty-eight sub-basins of
models. In term of ES, present study humbly argues that effective mor- Kangsabati basin. To evaluate the MCDM model validation performance
phometric and hydrological parameters are prerequisite for sub-basin on ES, percentage and intensity change are tested, and performance of
prioritization in any region in the world as assigned by VIKOR and SWAT model is determined using calibration and validation test on
SWAT models. Moreover, both models reveal that all morphometric flow discharge and sediment load. According to priority class of ES pre-
and hydrological parameters are not equally significant in every sub- dicted by MCDM, ES is divided into four different classes including very
basin as they have own characteristics. high, high, medium and low class. In MCDM methods, VIKOR method
20 R.K. Bhattacharya et al. / Science of the Total Environment 734 (2020) 139474

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CRediT authorship contribution statement Bhattacharya, R.K., Chatterjee, N.D., Das, K., 2019b. Multi-criteria-based sub-basin prioriti-
zation and its risk assessment of erosion susceptibility in Kansai–Kumari catchment
Raj Kumar Bhattacharya: Conceptualization, Methodology, Soft- area, India. Appl Water Sci 9 (4), 76. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13201-019-0954-4.
Bhattacharya, R.K., Das Chatterjee, N., Das, K., 2020a. In: Shit, P.K., et al. (Eds.), Estimation
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Supervision, Writing - review & editing. Kousik Das: Software, Valida- SDR Model: Tropical Plateau Fringe Region, India Gully Erosion Studies from India
tion, Visualization, Investigation. and Surrounding Regions, Advances in Science, Technology & Innovation. https://
doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-23243-6_10.
Bhattacharya, R.K., Chatterjee, N.D., Das, K., 2020b. Land use and land cover change and its
Declaration of competing interest resultant erosion susceptible level: an appraisal using RUSLE and logistic regression
in a tropical plateau basin of West Bengal, India. Environ. Dev. Sustain., 1–36
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-020-00628-x.
We are no conflict of interest in this work. Biswas, S., Sudhakar, S., Desai, V.R., 1999. Prioritisation of sub watersheds based on mor-
phometric analysis of drainage basin: a remote sensing and GIS approach. J Indian Soc
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Authors are thankful to the Department of Science and Technology Chatterjee, S., Krishna, A.P., Sharma, A.P., 2014. Geospatial assessment of soil erosion vul-
India for funding the Department of Geography, Vidyasagar University, nerability at watershed level in some sections of the Upper Subarnarekha river basin,
Jharkhand, India. Environ. Earth Sci. 71 (1), 357–374. https://doi.org/10.1007/
and Irrigation Office of Paschim Medinipur and Bankura, District Land & s12665-013-2439-3.
Land Reforms officer of the Paschim Midnapore and Bankura districts, Chauhan, P., Chauniyal, D.D., Singh, N., Tiwari, R.K., 2016. Quantitative geo-morphometric
WB for providing the flow discharge and rainfall data sets. We are grate- and land cover-based micro-watershed prioritization in the Tons river basin of the lesser
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ful to five anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments and sug- Deepika, B., Avinash, K., Jayappa, K.S., 2013. Integration of hydrological factors and demarca-
gestions which were immensely benefitted to improve our manuscript tion of groundwater prospect zones: insights from remote sensing and GIS techniques.
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