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Stock Valuation - Session 4
Stock Valuation - Session 4
Characteristics of Stocks
Session 4
The income statement overview
Stock Valuation
• Step 1 (CF): Estimate amount and timing of the
expected future cash flows:
• Step 2 (r) Determine the investor’s required rate of
return per period
• Step 3: Calculate the intrinsic value of the stock.
• Stock Value
= PV (Dividend, received every period)
Preferred Stock
• Preferred stock is often referred to as a
hybrid security because it has many
characteristics of both common stock and
bonds.
Hybrid Nature of
Preferred Stocks
Like common stocks, preferred stocks
– have no fixed maturity date
– failure to pay dividends does not lead to
bankruptcy
– dividends are not a tax-deductible expense
Like Bonds/Debt
– dividends are fixed in amount (either as a $
amount or as a % of par value)
The Characteristics of
Preferred Stocks
• Multiple series of preferred stock
• Preferred stock’s claim on assets and
income
• Cumulative dividends
• Protective provisions
• Convertibility
• Retirement provisions
The Characteristics of
Preferred Stocks
• Multiple Series
– A company can issue more than one series of
preferred stock, and each series can have
different characteristics
• Claim on Assets:
– Preferred stockholders claims are honored
before common stockholders, but after bonds
in case of bankruptcy.
• Claim on Income:
– Preferred stock also has priority over common
stock with regard to dividend payments.
The Characteristics of
Preferred Stocks
• Cumulative feature (if it exists):
– All past, unpaid preferred stock dividends be
paid before any common stock dividends are
declared.
• Protective provisions:
– Allow for voting rights in the event of
nonpayment of dividends, or they restrict the
payment of common stock dividends if
sinking-funds payments are not met or if the
firm is in financial difficulty
The Characteristics of
Preferred Stocks
• Convertibility
– Convertible preferred stock can be converted
into a predetermined number of shares of
common stock.
• Retirement Provisions
– Some method for retiring the stock
• Call provision entitles the corporation to
repurchase its preferred stock at stated prices over
a given time period.
• Sinking fund provision requires the firm to set
aside an amount of money for the retirement of its
preferred stock.
Valuing Preferred Stock
• The economic or intrinsic value of a
preferred stock is equal to the present
value of all future dividends.
Value = PV(dividends)
Preferred Stock Valuation
0.5/0.03 = $16.6667
D1 D2 D3 Dt
P0 ......
1r 1r 1r
2 3
1r t
Dt
P0
t 1 1r
t
Common Stock Valuation – Special
Cases
The per share annual dividend on a common stock
is expected to be $3.00 one year from today.
Stockholders require a 12% rate of return. Find the
fair value of the stock for each of the following
cases:
1. Zero Growth: dividends are constant every year.
2. Constant Growth: dividends are growing at a constant
rate of 5% per year forever.
3. Non constant Growth: D1=$3; D2=$3.5; D4=$3.6, after
year 4 g=5%
4. Two Growth: dividends will grow at 25% for 3 years and
then at 5% per year forever.
1. Zero Growth - Example
D1 $3.00
P0 $25.00
r 0.12
D2 D11 g
D3 D2 1 g D11 g 1 g D11 g
2
D4 D 1 g
3
1
Dt D 1 g
t 1
1
2. Constant Growth Model
D11 g
t 1
Dt
P0
t 1 1r 1r
t t
t 1
D1
P0
rg
More generally, from any period with
constant growth forever after time t:
Dt
Pt 1
rg
2. Constant Growth Case –
Example
Recall that D1 = $3.00; r = 12%; and g = 5%
$3.00
P0 $42.86
0.120.05
D1 D2 D3 Dt Pt
P0
1r 1r 2 1r 3 1r t 1r t
Dt (1 g )
Pt
r g
3. Non constant growth -
Example
?
4. Two-Stage Growth Model
3×(1.25) 3×(1.25)2 5.86×(1.05)
3×(1.25)3
$3.00 $3.75 $4.69 $5.86 $6.15
2
…
0 1 3 4 5
Two Stage Growth Model
•