Grade 7 Unit 3

2022-2023

Probability Skills Check

Name Solutions
Mark Scheme
Teacher
Not Yet Working Proficient
Expected Understandings – Straightforward Problems
Towards
I can find the probability of single events.

1a 1b 1c 1d 2a 2b 2c
I can use and explain experimental probability.

3a 3b 3c 4a 4b
I can calculate the probability of multiple events.

5 6 7a 7b 8
I can use sample spaces and tree diagrams.

9a 9b 10a 10b 10c

Assessment Descriptor

Parent Signature
 I can find the probability of single events.

1) Counters with the numbers 1 – 12 are placed in a bag. Calculate the following probabilities;

(a) P(even number) =

E=

(b) P(multiple of 5) = Ez =
no half marks
I
(c) P(number less than 8) =
12

(d) P(number greater than 12) = -2 0=

2) There are 5 grape, 3 apple, and 2 lime candies in a bag. Calculate the following probabilities;

(a) P(apple) = I
10

(b) P(grape or lime) =

I no half marks
10

(c) P(not grape) = I=

I can use and explain experimental probability.

3) Alex and Lucas recorded their results of spinning a colored spinner 40 times. Use their
results below to answer the following questions.

Color Frequency

Blue 4

Red 9

Green 7
Purple 12

Yellow 8

(a) What is the experimental probability of spinning Purple?

= G0 no
half marks

(b) Given the information in the table, how many times would you expect to spin Yellow if you
spun the spinner 200 times?

(yellow)
↑
10 mark for
=

correct process
times
&o 200 40
=

(c) Based on the results in the table, do you think the spinner has 5 equal sections? Explain.

Unlikely to be equal sections, since

many
more
purple than blue "Yes" or "No"
BUT
acceptable
not enough trials to be confident as
as long
correctly justified

No half marks
 4) The probability that a person has a sibling is 80%.

(a) Find the probability that a person does NOT have a sibling.

100%-80% =
20% no half marks

(b) From a group of 800 people, how many would you expect to have a sibling?

0.8 x 800 =
640
people
E mark for

correct process

I can calculate the probability of multiple events.

5) Calculate the probability of rolling two 5s when throwing two unbiased six-sided dice.

b y 5
x
=

half mark for

correct process
6) Calculate the probability of landing on tails and an even number when flipping a fair coin and
rolling one unbiased six-sided dice.

1xz Fz =
=
4 *
mark
for correct
process

7) The probability of rain on any given day is 0.7.

a) Calculate the probability that it will rain three days in a row.

0.7x0.7 x 0.7 0.343

E mark
=

for correct
process

b) Calculate the probability that it will rain on Friday , but not on Saturday or Sunday.

0. 7 x 0.3 x0.3 =
0.065
*
mark
for correct
process

8) There are 3 girls and 3 boys in a small group. If the teacher selects two students at random,
what is the probability both students will be boys?

7
3xz =

5 = -

S
E mark

for correct
process
I can use sample spaces and tree diagrams.

9) Bubble Tea Menu

Tea
Green Tea G
Black Tea B
Oolong Tea O
~
Toppings
Black Pearls BP

White Pearls WP
~
Sweetness
Full Sugar FS
Less Sweet LS
No Sugar NS

(a) List a sample space to show all combinations of tea, topping, and sugar that are available
from the menu.
I mark for

of
maximum
G
O
B 1 error

BP WP
BP WP BB wp
-

FSLs NSFS LS
NSFS LS NSFs LS NSFs LS NSFS Is NS

(b) Calculate the probability that the choice is Oolong Tea, Black Pearls, and Less Sweet.

Possible combinations:18
half mark for

P(0,BP,(s) = error carried forward

from part as
10) The tree diagram below shows the outcomes of Anna’s softball game. For example, if the
pitcher throws a fast ball, Anna has a 0.6 chance of hitting the ball.

0.6
Hit 0.42
0.7
Fast Ball
Miss 0.28
0.4
.
0.2
Hit A
0.06
0.3 Curve Ball

0.8 Miss 0.24

(a) Complete the tree diagram to show the remaining probabilities.

mark
&
for
3 correct

(b) Calculate the probability of the pitcher throwing a curve ball and Anna hitting it.

if carried forward
0.3x0.2 =
0.06 ↳mark error

from part as

c) What is the probability that Anna will hit the ball?

0 .7x0.6 + 0.3x0.2 = 0.48

mark for
&
correct
process