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Disclosures and Disclaimer : This report must be read with the disclosures in the Disclosure appendix,
and with the Disclaimer, which forms part of it. This document does not contain any investment views or opinions.
MORNING GLOBE Tuesday
26th December, 2023
# The bullish theme at Dalal Street shall revolve around the ‘Santa Claus Bank Nifty 47492 -0.73%
Rally’ which refers to the final five trading days of the year, plus the first two Nifty Auto Index 17779 1.37%
trading days of the new year.
Nifty FMCG Index 55101 0.54%
# Interestingly, the Santa Claus Rally period kicked off Friday with a decent Nifty Infra Index 7135 0.67%
gain for the Nifty.
Nifty IT Index 35638 2.27%
# Our call of the day suggests year end window dressing theme should prop Nifty Media Index 2391 0.43%
up stocks in this week’s trading.
Nifty Midcap Index 12838 0.57%
# If history is any guide, Nifty perma-bulls shall be expecting a Nifty Metal Index 7653 1.71%
Happy New year.
Nifty Pharma Index 16394 0.96%
# From a technical perspective, Nifty’s upside targets are at 21593 mark. Nifty Reality Index 763 2.55%
# Technically, caution will be the buzzword only if Nifty slips below 20976
mark.
The line in the sand is at Nifty’s make-or-break support at 20976 mark. Nifty Outlook
Intraday Positive (21250-21550)
# Bottom-line: As the Perma-bulls chill the bubbly for their year-end
celebrations, we suspect, Nifty too is likely to scale fresh uncharted territory. Medium Term Positive (19500-21550)
Pivot Level
Outlook for Tuesday: Bullish theme shall be on work…
Nifty 19971
# It's Christmas for bulls on Dalal Street.
2) WTI oil prices stay depressed below $74 a barrel. Holding Period 9-12 Months.
3) The US 10-year Treasury note have fallen below 3.9%, the lowest
since July. Incorporated in the year 2010, Zomato is an Indian multinational restaurant
aggregator and food delivery company founded by Pankaj Chaddah and
Deepinder Goyal and was first launched under the name ‘FoodieBay’ in 2008.
Zomato commands a market share of Rs. 94,924.36 Crore.
Initially launched as Foodiebay, it was later renamed Zomato in 2010. The
company is headquartered in Gurugram, India, and has expanded its services to
multiple countries around the world.
Zomato’s technology platform connects customers, restaurant partners and
delivery partners, serving their multiple needs. Customers usually use Zomato’s
platform to search and discover restaurants, read and write customer generated
SECTORS: reviews and view and upload photos, order food delivery, book a table and make
payments while dining-out at restaurants.
On the other hand, Zomato provides restaurant partners with industry-specific
# Bullish Sectors: IT, AUTO, PSE, METAL. marketing tools which enable them to engage and acquire customers to grow
their business while also providing a reliable and efficient last mile delivery
service.
# Bearish Sectors: NIL. Zomato also operate a one-stop procurement solution, Hyperpure, which
supplies high quality ingredients and kitchen products to restaurant partners.
Key highlights:
The India online food delivery market size reached US$ 28.4 Billion in 2022.
Looking forward, IMARC Group expects the market to reach US$ 118.2 Billion by
2028, exhibiting a growth rate (CAGR) of 27.8% during 2023-2028.
STOCKS IN FOCUS: 1) Increasing access to high-speed internet facilities and the boosting sales of
smartphones esp. improving tech-savvy penetration.
Industries, Marico, Ipca Laboratories, MCX India, Siemens India, Info Edge 6) With the exit of Amazon, the food delivery market is now a settled duopoly
with Zomato (55% market share) and Swiggy (45%).
India, Hindustan Copper, Tata Chemicals, Astral, IDFC First Bank, Abbott 7) The food delivery industries’ market has a very high moat indicating Zomato’s
ability to maintain competitive advantages to protect its long-term profits and
India, Federal Bank market share from new entrants given the significant capital requirement to
displace the incumbents.
# Q1FY24 Highlights:
# Our chart of the day is bullish on COAL INDIA, ZOMATO, BRITANNIA, 1) Surprised investors after reporting a net profit for the first time. Posted a
stellar operating performance as profit after tax (PAT) at Rs 2 crore in the June
and SRF on any intraday weakness with an inter-week perspective. 2023 quarter. The company had reported a net loss of Rs 189 crore and 186 crore
in the March 2023 quarter and June 2022 quarter, respectively.
2) Revenue from operations rose 71% to Rs 2,416 crore in the June quarter.
# The 1 stock to buy right now: Buy COAL INDIA (CMP 360). Buy at CMP. 3) The positive takeaway was that sharp improvement in profitability was
witnessed in all three businesses of Zomato viz. food delivery, quick commerce
Stop 343. Targets 372/389. Aggressive targets at 401. (Interweek and hypercure.
# Technically, brace yourselves with the recent sequence of a higher high/low
Strategy). Rationale: Momentum Play. formation on the daily, weekly and monthly time frames. An impulse uptrend is
seen forming on the daily time scale with positive SAR series.
Add to that a bullish divergence and a rising stochastic signal (on daily charts)
with recent increase in volumes signaling a larger rebound. The 200 days
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the stock on the daily chart is currently at
77-79 zone. The level of 77-79 zone will act as a strong support zone.
WHAT TECHNICAL TELLS US ON NIFTY/SENSEX: Look to accumulate at CMP, and on dips between 95-100 zone,
targeting 151/163 and then aggressive targets at 201 with stop below
89. Holding Period: 12-15 months.
# Nifty: In Friday’s trade, the benchmark Nifty witnessed massive rebound and the positive takeaway was that Nifty ended
way above the dotted lines on the daily charts.
Technically speaking, Nifty’s technical picture shifts to positive despite overbought technical conditions with biggest
interweek hurdles at Nifty’s 21,593 mark.
Biggest intraday support now seen at 21000 mark and then next supports are placed at the 20976 mark.
# Bank Nifty: In Friday’s trade, Bank Nifty witnessed massive consolidation but the negative takeaway was that the Bank
Nifty ended way below the dotted lines.
Nifty PSU Bank index ended 0.69% lower while Nifty Private Bank index ended 0.67% lower.
Intraday support for Bank Nifty now seen at 47178 and then at 46919/46507 mark on closing basis. Major inter-month
supports are placed at 45500 mark
In today’s trade, Bank Nifty is likely face resistance at 48219 mark and then hurdles are placed at 49000. Bank Nifty’s 200-
DMA is placed at 43866 mark.
# The Nifty options data suggests Nifty is likely to be in a trading range of 21000-22000 zone. Maximum Call OI is at
22000 followed by 21500 strike prices. So, the 22000 mark will be Nifty’s crucial resistance zone. Maximum Put open
interest stands at 21000 levels followed by 21200 levels. Call writing was seen at 22500 and then at 22000 strike price,
while there was meaningful Put writing at 21300 and then at 21400 strike prices.
# Stocks in Ban for today’s trade: Ashok Leyland, Balrampur Chini Mills, Delta Corp, Hindustan Copper, India Cements,
and SAIL.
ECONOMIC CUES:
# As widely expected, Federal Reserve held interest rate steady at a 22-year high of 5.25%-5.5% for the third consecutive
time. This decision came in line with the market expectation.
FOMC sees inflation slowing to 2.4% in 2024. The revised Summary of Economic Projections, the so-called dot plot,
signaled 75 bps rate cuts in 2024.
# The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.5% as expected and raised the FY 24 GDP forecast to
7% from 6.5% earlier. However, RBI retained the FY 24 CPI inflation forecast at 5.4%. The MPC of the central bank also
retained its stance of remaining focused on “withdrawal of accommodation."
Markets digested recent gains ahead of the long holiday weekend on Friday. While a cooler-than-expected reading on the
Fed's favorite inflation gauge boosted bets for additional interest rate cuts next year, some downbeat earnings news kept
overall gains in check.
At the closing bell, the blue-chip Dow Jones slipped less than 1% to finish at 37,385, while the broader S&P 500 rose 0.2%
to 4,754. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite added 0.2% to finish at 14,992.
All three benchmarks posted an eighth consecutive weekly gain. The S&P 500 hasn't enjoyed a weekly winning streak this
long since late 2017. It's now down less than 1% on a price basis from its record close of January 3, 2022. For the Nasdaq
and the Dow, these are the longest such weekly winning streaks since the beginning of 2019.
Nifty Bulls end higher just ahead of Christmas, on back of positive Wall Street cues and a dovish Federal Reserve.
Barring banking and financial service stocks, all sectoral indices stick to gains with Nifty Realty and IT indices gaining over
2% each.
# The positive takeaway from today’s trade was that Nifty recouped most of its Wednesday’s losses, reclaiming the 21300
mark.
BUZZING STOCKS:
Top Index Gainers: WIPRO (+6.43%) HCLTECH (+2.61%) BAJAJ AUTO (+2.37%)
# Adv-Dec 38—12
COAL INDIA: The 1 Stock To Buy Right Now With An InterWeek Perspective but on dips.
Derivatives Strategies
Changes in Open Interest (OI) in yesterday’s trade.
Option Call: BUY NIFTY 28th DECEMBER CE Strike Price 21500 at Premium +44 vs +123
CMP 62.55. Maximum Loss: ₹ 3,127.5/-. Profit: Unlimited. Stop: Nifty Future OI 1.00 crores (-9.25%)
Exit Call Option if NIFTY moves below 21175. (NIFTY DECEMBER
Futures CMP 21392.75) Bank Nifty Future OI 14.10 lakhs (-17.25%)
• For Nifty, Maximum Call Open Interest (OI) stands at 22000 Strike
Derivatives Vol. No of Turnover
Price, followed by 21500 Strike Price for 28th December Series. Long
(INR in Cr.) contracts (Rs. In cr.)
Buildup was seen at strike prices 21100-21300.
• Maximum Put Open Interest (OI) was seen at strike price 21000 Index Future Volumes 181,190 16,298
followed by 20000 strike prices for 28th December series. Short Buildup
was seen at strike prices 20000-20900. Stock Future Volumes 1,872,187 144,702
• For Bank Nifty, Maximum Call Open Interest (OI) stands at 50000 Index Option Volumes 38,568,166 3,235,451
Strike Price and Maximum Put Open Interest stands at 45000 Strike
Price. Stock Option Volumes 1,276,910 101,497
• As per Friday’s provisional data available on the NSE, FIIs sold shares
Total 41,898,453 3,497,949
worth Rs. 2828.94 crores in the Indian Equity Market. DIIs on the other
hand, bought shares worth Rs. 2166.72 crores.
Major Changes in Nifty Options (OI)
• Long Buildup: NATIONALUM, GMRINFRA, JINDALSTEL,
BHARTIARTL. Calls in lakhs (% Change)
Stock CMP Support Resistance 21 DMA 200 DMA Intraday Short Term Long Term
NIFTY 21349 20922 21776 20782 19070 DOWN UP UP
BSE SENSEX 71107 69685 72529 69190 64173 UP UP UP
BANKNIFTY 47492 46542 48442 46446 43900 UP UP UP
FINNIFTY 21197 20773 21621 20835 19571 UP UP UP
NIFTYMIDLI 10880 10662 11097 10494 8752 DOWN UP UP
NIFTYSMLCA 14846 14549 15143 14453 11532 UP DOWN UP
Pivot Point
PP : Pivot Point : This is trigger point for weekly buy/sell based on the price range of the previous week.
R1 : Resistance one : 1st Resistance over PP. R2 : Resistance two : 2nd Resistance over R1.
S1 : Support one : 1st support after PP. S2 : Support Two : 2nd support after S1.
As per the tool, the trader should take BUY position just above PP and keep the stop loss of PP and the first target would be R1.
If R1 is crossed then R2 becomes the next target with the stop loss at R1.
Similarly if price goes below PP the trader should SELL and keep the PP as Stop loss and the first target would be S1.
If S1 is crossed then S2 becomes the next target with the stop loss at S1.
This is a trading tool. The key to use of this tool is the use of STOP LOSS.
Stock CMP Support Resistance 21 DMA 200 DMA Intraday Short Term Long Term
MCX GOLD 62972 60451 58351 63301 65001 Negative Gold appears sell on strength. Intraday strategy: Sell at CMP. targets
60451/58351 with stop at 63301.
MCX SILVER 75448 73451 71891 76751 78001 Negative Silver price rebound but selling still the preferred theme. Intraday
strategy: Sell at CMP. targets 73451/71891 with stop at 76751
Rebound play seen in Crude Oil. Intraday strategy: Buy at CMP. Targets at
MCX CRUDE OIL 6164 5921 5699 6375 6501 Positive
6375/6501. Stop at 5921.
MCX NATURAL Natural Gas continues to tumble. Intraday strategy: Sell at CMP. Targets
217.0 176 159 212 231 Negative 176/159 mark. Strict stop at 214.
GAS
WTI CRUDE Crude Oil prices attempt a rebound. Interweek strategy: Buy at CMP.
73.49 69 64 74 77.00 Positive Targets 74/77 with stop at 69.
OIL (USD)
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Technical analysis studies market psychology, price patterns and volume levels. It is used to forecast future price and market movements. Technical analysis is complementary to
fundamental analysis and news sources. The recommendations issued herewith might be contrary to recommendations issued by Globe Capital Market Limited in the company research
undertaken as the recommendations stated in this report is derived purely from technical analysis. Globe Capital Market Limited has based this document on information obtained from
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responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. The opinions contained within the report are based upon publicly available information at the time of publication and are subject
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