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hrs 0-20
Descri
2040 40 6)
ptive Statistics, Probability AndDistributions 409
Nmlvrofbulbs |04 60 80
certainAe of the toxiCant, 12
For a a sludy on
weeks, has a Camma distributon mice deteine%
survivesnolonger than60
weeks?
with Whal ntetht the urvival
Parametere5 probabiity
time, in
that a mo
survivalime in wecks ol an
has,gamadistributionaninal when subetedtotetain
raiation
What is the
with o 5and (
mean survival time of a 1/I0 expoure of gamn
eperiment? randomly seleted aninal of thetype uned in the
Whatis the probability that an animal survives more than )
7Supposethat proportion of delelives, supplied wecks?
by a vendor fron lot to lot may be looked
upon as a variable having the beta distribution with - 2and
random
(a) FindIthe average proportion oof defectives in alot fromthis vendor ß-3
( dthe probability that alot from this vendor will contain W0% or more defectives,
8. The responsetime of a certain computer systemin seconds has an exponential di distribution
seconds.
with a mean of 3
(a) What is the probability that responsetime exceeds 5seconds?
What is the probability that response time is between 5-10seconds?
L12
METHOD OF LEAST SQUARES AND CURVE FITTING
24.65.
kubsitutng
Cindthe line of
these (k + ) equatvaluesionsinin()4(k +94),1) weunknown
get
and can
the desireo
Example best fit relating yto x
a tp
ao n t s
for the
3.0
2 3
5.0
4
5
6
following data, plot the line and the
5.5 6.0
8.0
Solution: Let the line be y=a :+bx. The 9.5
Sy=6a + b2 x, normal
and equations are
formulatethe following table: Exy =axt bE x.
Wei
X
2 3.0
4 6.0
3 5.0
15.0
4 5.5
16 22.0
5 6.0 25 30.0
6 8.0 36 48.0
7 9.5 49 66.5
+ the
the curve for the Fitting 0.5 11 tor 4.0 35 3.0 25 20 1.5 10
11.084 Determine other to parabolic a,
for
wing normal
for fit of
is 4
fitting of and b Eu,
In y curves. a.
the 0.I-2.5
5 7a
Y=A+bx, Y= y = Substitutingequations Non-polynomial
In
Y curve curve c,
28c=
+
Eu
=ae". the =A y
= yax of we
able: Iny In 30.128 straight +
Ina+b y obtain
of Eu, 2 1 1
X-0.5 25
Taking
a+ constants
6 +bX, 16.2,
and = 'b est-fie
bx,
the forwhere Intake axy=line,
Ew,
a 28b
Alogarithm values this x.
to
= Ey, 16.2 4.1 3.4 2.7 2.0 1.6 1.3 1.1
= a logarithm ae, we 2.0 7, =
In
81.897 and straight Y= Curves the 14. 3 , E
8 can uy
a b for or y=1.04 given b= and
In it and
sides,both such 28
and line a y, xy=b. the 0.511 E 9 1 1 4
A=In
both data uy
222.62 that curves -0.2x and 28a
band in -27
10 we sides, is normal + thethe
27 8
1 0
-1 -8
v
we = obtainsolve a, + c=196c
ae" of 0.24y2
obtain and we the 0.061. 69.9. = 196
81 16 16 81
is the those obtain 1
the'best-fit desired form
equations In.X= 123
143 27
-18
curve
cure íct:
Descuptive Statists Probataly anlIbistrbuions 1413
Y In y
2 1 405
4 2405
6 3 405
9 820
8 4405
10 5 405
35 240
100
30 17025
220
122 159
torEx, EY, Er.and
stituting }Yinthe normal cquationsfor tle stralghtiine
Y-A+ br, we
5A+ 30b = 17.025
17.025A + 220b=122.50
SingtorA and b, we obtain A=0.405 and b = 0.5. Hence, a =eh =1.499
1.499,,0.5
the curve is y=
Thus
EXERCISE 24.7
straight line of the form y = a+ bx to the data
1 Fit a 2 3 4
1 6 8
2.4 3.1 3.5 4.2 5.0 6.0
the straight line y=a+ bx is the best-fit line to the set of points (, y), i=1, 2, . n. then
1
show that |2 x; = 0.
;-s,-F--E.
a-s,-7'=y-y.
coefficient
for
non-linear by
. .,
a
I+1±2 expression n
coefficient r, is
provides
relationship.
-) the
r,, (W;- bivariate Cov
>0, E for
or measure
a
the -E) y)
(x,
esipve
-1Srå (Zx)?2_Karl-Pearson'
Exy - s
distribution,
then
Fig.24.I5
E(x-x)(y-
eE(* of
n
2
S1. y only (2y)
(Ex) Statistics,
- >0.
) the ) ºX
y linear coefficient
- (Ey)? Probability
)
>0
relationship
of
correlation and
Distributions
between
for
X calculation
and ...24.96) .(24.95) 1415
Y.
It
Solution: resulting
Example which
Letual-a Efjectcorrelation
are
1416
70 60 50 40 30 20 10
280 Wehave,We Find
(N) variables Also Thus
(mm.) :Force
Extension Also, said
Thus
We
formulate the extension, have of Mathematics
to
Engineering
Advanced
Let 24.68: correlation
we o, change be is
y
coefficient note - uncorrelated perfect lies
643 1.70 1.45 1.20 0.85 0.61 0.40 0.22 lho, pyh and
bex X a+ betuern
the
the In and that
the an coefficient
and Cov of and
hu,
following
variable offollowing correlation Y o, (1, v+ origin Hegative -1
linear 0.22 experiment
are = )
(K-) n 10measured. ko,. and
30 20 10 0-10 -20 -30 =7, r where and
is hk
E(r-.(y-V'
table: correlation
force independent
data coefficient Cov Hence, Cov Av. scale
fr0, 1.+
Ex=280, 0.40 20 to We a,
applied
(x, (u, can b, r=
lf
is
determine y)Cov h, then
0.781 0.531 0.281-0.069-0.309-0.519-0.699(y-9) obtained: v). very k +1,
for 0.61 30 is of are there the
Zy and this a the casily
constants
dimensionless
the (u, correlation is
6.43, = data.
y 0.85 40 change Ho
(-X)- ) be relationship v) show linear
th e
71.30 23.43 10.62 2.81 3.09 10.38 20.97 1.20 50 of with
extension, origin that eorrelation is
= number h, perfect
40, 1.45 between
60 and k
)> and
y then independent scale. between
2800 900 400 100 100 400 900
=0.919. 1.70 70 postie.
force
On
a
0610 0:282 0.079 0.005 0.096 0.269 0
wire the of
1829 489 - inats
and
he
aution: Verseample
that This
Thus,
=0 r
Theor 24.70:is shows
Since
there
Total
tion: mp2le4.69. nson. shows Hence
for )
Let
not
36 35 33 31 30 29 28 28 27 23 We the
when two
Cov and
true.
X
Prove
good a no
is take daata
Calculate
almost
dependent effect u=X- 29 given
and X (X, Y 10 -1 -1 -2 -6 =-u 18 23 perfect
n
are positive 148
(Ev) of
(Eu)
7 6 4 2 1
below:
Yare E(XY)- =two change v 20 27 the
29, =
two 10100 1230 positive J2800
1.829 x
variables correlation coetticient
pendent. independentindependent
148 49 36 16
4 1 1 1 4 36
y- 22 28 71.30
V164 -0 (Ev)? of
25 correlation
E(X)E()
E(X)
origin and 27 28
of
Descriptive
between on
29 28 29 27 29 21 27 22 20 18 y
form
=r=0,andom
correlation
variables ages /138164 x123 r, 21 29 0,996.
V=y- 25
thus the between Statistics,
E(X) 4 3 2 2
-3 -5 -7
29 30
E(Y). variables,
following
table.
of between
are 0.818. = the
husbands 164
16 9 16 16 16 4 25 49
27 31 Probability
uncorrel
then ated, 4
29 33
the
force
and 123 28 18 16 4 4 2 3 10
42
28 35 age
applied and
that wives.
of Distributions
1417
husband()
29. 36
and
is,
r the
=
0 resultant
but and of
the
Example absence that isbut
Solution:
coefficient
Example and Y.X 1418
Also, Thus, Hence, r= In Thus, Here But
y ofr,, 0. this
converse
Y: X:
the Hence,
is case Advanced
24.72:
between (X,CovY) a,= Cov 24.71:
x The linear the
9 -3
y (X, numerical variables
relation two is
TheX E[Y Y= relationslhip Engineering
andY. - a[X
Two
uncorrelated (CXYo1,v) X-0, 4 -2not
joint a+1, a E() EI(X variables
is true.
1
- measure X
X E(X)] aX
-XY-(xY and Consider
1
probability E(X) - + between 11 Mathematics
a + bY X variables of are
Y
|-1,
-E[X (Y- b[Y c=0. +and only
X the
0
and dependent EY-28,
distribution if ifa E(X)' - E(Y)] E(Y] - are
Y linear following
a It Y. may
and and related There
1
1/4 1/8 -1
=-E;X =0 gives relationship
b b - or, aE(X)
not and
are are may example:
4 2
of of of o. [Y by necessary are
(X, the the which the be
- - + non-linearbetween related -0.
) same E(X)]=o. E()]=-;X- bE() linear 9 3
is opposite be
1/4 3/8 +1 given
signs. gives, equation+ independent. the by
crelationship two an
signs. =0.
below. =o,Hence. o, EX)) aX rU
explicat
.
+betuveen
relationship TheX
The
Find bY andy..
c=. + the
reaon
the
correlat .Find iarah fo
h
Hence o,Alos,o,
=E(r;-)"
the
Cov
(X,
gives I
Let
E(-7)= eticiesnpteocftivelyAc. act5eLertiSpearman'
e
Hence,=y=valAsusesuming
l,
sy;ticSsup oseB.
US
13Ra.2snk Therefore, Hence Thus
orrelation Vn
YY
- Cov(X,
2
correlation Thei=1, and. Athat
2,
. , thatno )-E(X)] E(Y) E(X)
12 1
(y- n. = =
(n'-1) - Y)= n+1 Spearman' 2.
two ...,. a Cov
E(X) yqy)
E
xp(r)=
1 2 Thesegroup =1(X,
coefficient 9)' -y?-nk2=
d,
calculated
individuals
n's the be
n
- =0+
=E(,-I
E '+ and,
1/16 E(XY) )= 2= -3/8
=
Vn
2n
n (; =x, ranks of
2 - rank n J15/16
J1/4 1/2=1/2,3+5/8
= xyp(x,
bet7U,
ween-)' -1
12 - ranks
1 y, for individuals in
Correlation -1/815/16, )-
=
(r'-n)-E4? (U:- ) (; correlation
have the respect
of E(X) Descriptive
y) =1/4,
ù) - ranks the
the
) M7+1) the and, E(n =E(Y)
n
= 1 - same individual ith twothe of1S =-0.2582. +0+| 0
two (y;- 6 xs arranged
coefficient, Coefficient o, =yqlv)-0 E(X}
(,- (2n -1/8,
= = Statistics,
), rank, and
characteristics +1) characteristics, E(Y)- Ep)- =
T)- therefore each
y's. in
n
denoted in order [E(Y= Probability
12 of respect +1/2
A ,- the
of 3/8
and - two byto inmerit 1/2 =
(4, ) general, 1/2, 5/8- + and
isB -J). characteristics
variables p,
1/4 -
is (rank) Distributions
1, 1419
simply =1/4
x regarding wil
and be
Pearson different. A
y
takes and
two
B
which Solution: examination.
Example
minimumillustrated
minimum, 2. formula
tied Remarks
rank 1.called
Therefore, have,We MarksMarks
Economnics in
Students Hence, 2 1420
shows df=2 Spearman's up. If
=4 equal any
Diference(4Maths.
) Rank in
Rank
Eco.in
Students
in 24.73: This(24.98)
the
Mathenatics
Engineering
Advanced
a Alloting min. n(n (;- when that factor in Spearman's
totwo
good Mathenatics Calculate Example the
p= +1)y)'-E is,
rank is or
Ten 6 x, correctedaverage
positive the 1-=1-2=-1. (2n and zero. is more
correlation to rank
students
the +1) (24.74).
Ed²=30 In
ranks
: rank
n(n-1)
6I(n-1) [2x; have y,
this
Compensated
be individuals
ofcorrelation
correlation p=1
by the
1 1 3 4 1 to 81 78 1 + -
nfn opposite
(n case,x;= adding ranks
got Cov (
+1+1)] coefficient
correlation
the
n(n-1) 62a 0 9 9 2
students,
51 36 2 the coefficient.
are
-2n(n 4x?+ y;i=1,2,
= the they
0 0 1 1 3 91 98following
3 ranks, . , for bracketed,
between factor would
have
coefficient. p each
tied
=1 16 4 6 10 4
we
60 25 4
1° + that also
n(n-1)
Thus n(n m(m'-1)
68 82
75 5marks lies
n(n =
th10(100
e -1) 1 1 4 5 have
5
+ is, n. group 12assumed in then
62
p 1) between
x;
two 180 4 -2 5 3 6 6 in lies Hence, these
characteristics. 0 0 2 2 7 86mathematiCs
90 7 between 1)| + - y;+
4(n =n+ both
where
inEd, to
individuals
+1) maximum -1
to
1.
0.8182, = 58 62
65
39 3 case
0 7 7 8 1; the
-1 Zi=1, of
53
47 x; x's
isp and marginal
4 -2 10
8 6 9
and and value
2,
m are
maximum is
10 .., dys. the
4 8 10 ecornomics 1. of giver
n.
is1.FurtherIn p Thenumber
differencesh
this the
procedure
when
case, of Omen
in iter
end-s
g
Linear Spendence
Regression
4.13.3
enationship
gnal dependence gession
nple then dof Hence, Thus factors
ation is Due
the
Regression: units (x, anable the Hence, to ple
pointsthein
between
of
observe
yi); average of
the 1=1,
analysis
y y
on as
total thcommon
e h<6
as
|te
fornn
24.
heitheght the correction correction beenranks ra 70 50 4 68
81
45 68 58 62
Obtain
data.
2, x. m(m-1) the 1
dependent
If the . , For one 12
Scatter Correspondi
the ng
two n.exampl of
son e,
of p=1 =
assigned
in
in
following; the
variables (or,
We the
(y2(4-1)3(9-),2-+2+
)
x-series,
thrice.)
the2.5 68rank
related, biofvariate
curve in
and and
1421
the orthe the the the
of
where Or,
regression or,
On r Hencethe To
and,
of
erchanging the
is obtain
Next, Thus Dividing
Thus
squares,
eeording 1nen linetheLettrom y
of the
coefficient y [Cov dividing the
equation on b, line theirwhich 1fic
the
multiply
x, (24.99) normal value
as (x, of
error
to
estimated
the since y)+ (24.100)
regression the
regression
Of
consists
y-9 of byequations of
of
variables, of the (24.101) n, Ey
principle
estimate the e
of
correlation b= Cov y] =a+b. y wexy, 2 independent
regression.
values in
=b- line = by
passes = = minimising
a+ n, obtain of nappens
regression
of Cov by ( we a na for ie1 of for Yas
we (Z, y) + through estimatinga+
x,+ (y-a-bx)' least Yon It
between
arrive ) = b[o obtain minimum. is
b~ =given
xbe variable. isto
- y) andExy,- +
bx x sauare8, V.
refer
the the
Cov ofy subtract (, Yby line be
(z)]. the
Sum a
at (*, on y). to +a Thestraight
which
the x and weFig. bx. linebest-fit of
and Y) x need
the
equation from of givesline,
and y,
(x-) b
y. is are 24.13,best-nt
squares
to line the the
(24.102), o;- find is best
of PMY regression
of is
the and
a the
estimate
obtained
line we deviations
of
x-(z.
obtain so
b
of is
fregression b,
that
Ux3. the
dependent
of
bythe said
to
priniple
the the be
linear
actual
slope
ofx ..24.10 ..2410
pariable
of and
ony -24 thleof
valies
least foY the
Solution:
For Cm/sec. independent
ndependent
Example perpendicular
regressionRemark: pOSitive
betFOis thweliAeennglese epeundpson Alwsoia ents Whe b.,
8.35,y,=
11
10, =
observations
150EvaporationvelocityAr eneeincient
mm/sec. the
On
regression
(cm/sec)
coefficient
basis
this of is of (x) burning
of
()
24.75:
and
of variable
There
of
ony
or
negative, then
Ifr=0.
totan
acute e
angle two the
shouldcoefficient
regression
ecraeolgerdfethisceiIonts
wesof he
Thus observetWe
hat
coefficiby
ertwnoi ts
x xare the each regression
needed?
set (mm²/sec)
the dependent, gives change note
of The always
twother.
o = between
and o, tan = and of and
data ony
following
fuel thregression
e coincide. correlation
that br=r
lines that of the
2 available (Y) dropletsx. y two
best If of scale. signof the r=tbyb b,y
xy,=2000,
Xx, Also then is r= is, 1+r the Þ, gven
:0.18 estimate
a
regression =
regression
= estimate
20
60 dependent
are the tl, /2. tw o r of and
2175.40, what in then
Oy
roregression
between
is r y
onrespetively
0.37 measurementsan line Thus, ro
taken Descriptve
).
of x
should 0.35 100 impulse the of lines, y tan coefficients the and
for 8 if
evaporation regression
variable. =0, two astwo of
be0.78 140 engine. given one lines th e
Sy=9,11.
Sr=532,000 the 0.56 180
variables
that
common
variables onx Statistics,
of specific of (24.104) are
expected 0.75 220 of If y is, independent respectively. y
coefficient Find the onyis xthe on 9are X
x = Probablty
1.18 260 the air situationvalue and uncorrelated, 0. and sign and
air Thus,
1.36 300coefficient
velocity(x) used. of (24.105), of isY
velocity when other
x in ofandb,, the
1.17 340
isand of case then tgeometric
he and
in the otherwise, is then
380 air and
of used on x of change b, Distributions
case 1.65 correlation perfect the
velocity
evaporation evaporation when The y.regression mean
correlation, ...24.107) of
y origin of
is being isxline 106)(24 105)(24
210 and r anof lines the
two 1423
but
and Solution: estimatey
Example
when
=32. I= mm/sec,
Also, (235.735)Thus, Therefore,
114.896,-
Hence, have,We To
When Thus Also, Thus, Further Also
E=
164, find Thus,
n=10, Let 24.76: the the we the
(1.50) the = F=
u 18 23 expectedregression need 210 equation
=- expected 200,
Obtain +
cm/sec,
to
20 27 3.61 x-200 = y
29, find of
air-velocity Cov 0835, heering
Mathematics
u=10, v=y-
uv 357.21
the line =0.95.air-velocity
by= the then y-0.835 the
=a+ = 22 28 line
equation (x,
123, (235.735)(y-0.835) of regression estimated v)
and,
k 25. 27 28 m/sec. x
=0.00383
of by o'v-(0
|148 and corresponding on regression Cov(x,y) o,
=
29 Refer of yis () (0.95) Oy
21 29 the equation
corresponding
+ to 114.89 y xM-
-(1y 10 10 line 0.463 is,
(x r(Yy1210
=30, Eu'Example
=148, 29 30
of
y - of
=200) y
()(0)-217
=3.71, regression to or,
=235.735 0.00383
of
114.89
on (11489)
0.463(0463)
27 31 or,y x 50.54 091|
ù evaporation x on x is
=b+ 24.69, =
o, 0.86 =
235.735 y. to
(210) = 0.00383. -06*r
=0, 29 33 the 0.00383 54-
ofy 4-
F
= Ev=0 have we 28 35 on
evaporation +
0.0069 0.95 (2) =0214,
10164 coefficient+3.161. y x
-0
25+0=25
405 = 29 36
for x 0.069
=
+
0
the 0.8733 Thetefee
5) 0
coefficient
fallowing of
1.30 mm s4
m n
theline of regression of yon xis
Descriptive Statistics, Probability and Distributions 1425
y-25 = (0.86) 4.05
3.71 (r -30) or,
the
estimated value of y
for X=32 is y (0.94)(02)
y094r 32
rny
24.77:
=5+2.8 and x=3-0.5y be the 32-26,88
Can y
mplerespectively? Exxplain.
x
estiated reressionequations o y
In
the
case given equations happen to be
lon
regression of y on X1s b the cquations of the
tofpossible
since the two =2., and the cocfficient of regression lies, then the
isnot
(2,v). Hence, the given
coefticients regression are always
of regression of x on is
of the same sign by
rat
Cor equations cannot be the regression that of the
equations.
EXERCISE 24.8
. Inanexperimentto determine the relationship between the current flowing ,in an electrical
circuit andthe voltage applied, the results
Current(mA) 5 11 15
obtained are
19 24 28 33
Applicdvoltage (V) : 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Findthe Karl-Pearson's coefficienttof correlation.
2 Agas is being compressed in a closed cylinder and the values of pressures and
corresponding volumes at constant temperature are as shown:
Pressure (k) : 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 300
Hale(n): 0.034 0.036 0.030 0.027 0.024 0.025 0.020 0.019
Find the coefficient of correlation for these values.
1 The following marks have been obtained by a class of students in statistics
PaperI : 45 55 56 58 60 65 68 70 75 80 85
PaperII : 56 50 48 60 62 64 65 70 74 82 90
Compute the coefficient of correlation for the above data.
Find also the equations of the lines of regression.
Xand Y.
4. Forthe following data,compute the coefficient of correlation between
X-series Y-series
15 15
No. of items
25 18
Arithnetic mean 138
Sum of square of deviations from mean : 136
arithmetic means is
the sum of products of deviations of Xand Yfrom their respective
AISo
122.
given below, find the coefficient of correlation
5. For the bivariate probability distribution
betweenXand Y.
1426
13. 12. 10. 8.
extraction 9. 7. 6.
process For
extraction Find correlation
and obtained Find ltx, Calculate 68y: X:
65
Discuss RanksC:
by
Ranksby
B:
Ranks
A:
by
following
order: Ten V(/sec)
mx(mðsec)
m: with and
Calculate Advanced
the Total 55-65 45-55 35-45 25-35 15-25 Xwives(y) the competitors Karl-Pearson's
the Xy evaporation
following
obtained coefficient in Xg
time coefficientbetween are
the which rank
68 63
66 67 Engineering
inthrows n rank 6 3 1
is case uncorrelated pair correlation
from
40 data in 0.18 coefficient 20
minutes. of correlation 4 5 6 coefficient
of of of x, 65 64judges of a
20-30correlation + musical 0.375
chemicalgiving
athe 5 0 0 0 5 100 correlation a ) 60 Mathematics
coin. 9 8 5
coefficient
couples and
variables 69 68 (y)
coefficient has 10contest 100 of
30-40 x,+ 66 62
4
correlation. of
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Advanced
1428
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= 24.4 24.3
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0
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a=3.48, y=2.016
y=y=45.74
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781-08
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5. (b) 0.(a6) 2. 0.1315(b) 15.0.4335
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PV270 y= R= -6 mean *2
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Statistics,
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109(c)
1429