Population and Growth rate of all

barangays in Marikina
From 11 - Ingenuity (arts and design track)

Members:
ABRAHAM, PRINCESS HESED M.
ABRERA, YASMEEN
BALDERAMA, PIOLO
BALINGAN, JOHN CARLO
MENDOZA, LANDON JASON
 Population and Growth rate of all barangays in Marikina

Marikina City, a rapidly growing urban area in the Philippines, is undergoing significant
demographic changes. The following data aims to provide a predictive framework for its
expected population increase and demographic changes by 2050, using historical data.

Researchers use the model below to find the population of each barangay in 2050.
y=a(1+b)^x
where y = Population of barangay in 2050
a = starting population of the barangay (2020)
b = growth rate in DECIMAL
x =(predicted year - Present year)

The solutions provided below were computed manually and may not be as precise as
the table presented in subsequent pages, as the manual calculation process can sometimes
introduce inaccuracies considering the number of decimal values being used.

District 1
Barangka y = 10, 201 (1+0.0005)^30
a = 16, 639 y = 10355.13
b = -0.0221 Industrial Valley Complex
x = 2050 - 2020 = 30 a = 16,461
y = 16,639 (1+0.0221)^30 b = 0.0061
y = 32057.44 x = 2050 - 2020 = 30
Tañong y = 16,461 (1+0.0061)^30
a = 8,902 y = 19755.62
b = 0.0156 Calumpang
x = 2050 - 2020 = 30 a = 15,602
y = 8,902 (1+0.0156)^30 b = 0.0104
y = 14163.43 x = 2050 - 2020 = 30
Jesus de la Peña y = 15,602 (1+0.0104)^30
a = 10, 201 y = 21280.43
b = 0.0005 San Roque
x = 2050 - 2020 = 30 a = 16,949
b = -0.0119 Sto. Niño
x = 2050 - 2020 = 30 a = 28,849
y = 16,949 (1-0.0119)^30 b = -0.0134
y = 24169.74 x = 2050 - 2020 = 30
Sta. Elena y = 28,849 (1+0.0134)^30
a = 7403 y = 43008.84
b = 0.0141 Malanday
x = 2050 - 2020 = 30 a = 53,886
y = 7403 (1+0.0141)^30 b = -0.0060
y = 11267.60 x = 2050 - 2020 = 30
y = 53,886 (1+0.0060)^30
y = 64478.57

District 2:
Concepcion I Parang
a = 44,683 a = 40,240
b = 0.0103 b = -0.0073
x = 2050 - 2020 = 30 x = 2050 - 2020 = 30
y = 44683(1+0.0103) y = 40,240 (1+0.0073)^30
y = 60764.92 y = 50052.18
Concepcion II Marikina Heights
a = 24,023 a = 42,761
b = -0.0136 b = 0.0207
x = 2050 - 2020 = 30 x = 2050 - 2020 = 30
y = 24,023 (1+0.0136)^30 y = 42,761 (1+0.0207)^30
y = 36026.77 y = 79066.28
Nangka Fortune
a = 43,368 a = 38,624
b = -0.0022 b = 0.0141
x = 2050 - 2020 = 30 x = 2050 - 2020 = 30
y = 43,368 (1+0.0022)^30 y = 38,624(1+0.0141)^30
y = 46323.50 y = 58786.92
Tumana x = 2050 - 2020 = 30
a = 47,468 y = 47,468 (1+0.0198)^30
b = 0.0198 y = 85477.37

Results: (here we incorporated the negative value of the growth rates)

Estimated
starting population of growth rate
Barangay population by the
the barangay (2020) in DECIMAL
year 2050
District 1
Calumpang 15,602 0.010 21280.43
San Roque 16,949 -0.012 11835.08
Sta Elena 7,403 0.014 11267.60
Malanday 53,886 -0.006 44984.97
Industrial Valley Complex 16,461 0.006 19755.62
Barangka 16,639 -0.022 8510.61
Tañong 8,902 0.016 14163.43
Jesus Dela Peña 10,201 0.001 10355.13
Sto Niño 28,849 -0.013 19247.05
District 2
Concepcion uno 44,683 0.010 60764.92
Concepcion dos 24,023 -0.014 15930.12
Nangka 43,368 -0.002 40595.17
Parang 40,240 -0.007 32299.71
Marikina Heights 42,761 0.021 79066.28
Fortune 38,624 0.014 58786.92
Tumana 47,468 0.020 85477.37
Bar graph of District 1

Bar graph of District 2

 The population data is a valuable resource for planning and development in barangays. It
can inform decisions related to infrastructure, resource allocation, urban development, economic
growth, social services, and sustainability. When growth rates are high, it may be necessary to invest
in transportation, healthcare, education, and housing.

By prioritizing areas with higher growth rates, local governments can ensure that the needs
of their populations are adequately met. Understanding population growth can also aid in urban
development planning, identifying areas for expansion, new commercial centers, recreational
spaces, and residential development. Additionally, population growth data can help predict economic
development, enabling informed decisions for local businesses, investors, and entrepreneurs.
Implementation of social services, including healthcare, education, and community programs, can be
more effective when informed by population growth data. Finally, when combined with sustainability
planning, population growth data can guide policymakers in implementing eco-friendly practices,
resource management, and preserving the natural environment for future generations.

Ultimately, population growth data is a vital tool for planning and development that ensures
the needs of communities are met sustainably and efficiently.

References:

[1] Marikina City (Philippines): Barangays: Population Statistics, Charts, and MMap (n.d.).
https://www.citypopulation.de/en/philippines/marikina/?fbclid=IwAR3ApgTx2jw7jMgBgkx4fQUU
Dw3mKZo02z56ANPqDHxScEV4ycMhBletPtk

[2]City,M.(n.d.).MarikinaCity.https://www.marikina.gov.ph/our-city?fbclid=IwAR3TaCQGETBGgM
7DDAIQyyvJkpTXaeOvO1O4vr-GytHuPdTq4A4gQjaWjSw

[3]Barangka,MarikinaProfile–PhilAtlas.(1990May1).https://www.philatlas.com/luzon/ncr/marikina/
barangka.html

[4]MarikinaCityProfile–PhilAtlas.(1990,May1).https://www.philatlas.com/luzon/ncr/marikina.html?
fbclid=IwAR1RZ8accRTu7tohTuXPfbRSHFsMjl05uYomcEmhuYUDBHlnUYLVOMUr_aw#sectio
nBrgys