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market overview
Confidential
Food delivery in India:
overview
Confidential
India: Food delivery market summary
Market size & dynamics (Swiggy Genie). It also operates cloud kitchens
(The Bowl Company, Goodness Kitchen,
Per Redseer, India's existing spending on Breakfast Express, Homely).
restaurant food services (a part of which is
addressable for food delivery platforms) was Restaurant-enabled delivery.
$65bn in 2019 and is likely to grow to $110bn
by 2025. This is based on the assumption that QSR brands that operate chains of restaurants
the restaurant food services market as a (such as Domino's, Pizza Hut, etc.) have their
percentage of overall food services in GDP own delivery infrastructure (digital/physical).
remains largely similar. The penetration of Many brands participate in the delivery market
online food delivery services within the through aggregators / delivery partners as well,
addressable market of restaurant food services but some prefer to control the entire delivery
in 2019 was 6%, implying $4.2bn in money experience. Within the overall food delivery
terms. Penetration is estimated by Morgan market in India, Morgan Stanley estimates
Stanley to increase to 19-20% by 2025. delivery sales of various key brands (including
Consequently, the online food delivery market their own channel as well through aggregators)
grows to $21bn. at less than 10% in 2019.
Cloud kitchens.
Infrastructure providers.
Confidential 3
India: Food delivery market summary,
continued
Backbone industry overview critical element of the service performed. Per
Zomato, the median time for food delivery was
about 30 minutes in F21. Second, the demand
Largely fragmented and unorganized market of
for food peaks at lunch and dinner, therefore,
the restaurant food.
companies have to build capacity for peak
demand and not just the average number of
India's restaurant food market has a large
deliveries per hour per day. To compensate
unorganized component. Chain restaurants
peak loads, aggregators introduce convenience
account only for ~6% of total restaurants,
fee for the end consumers. As a result, the
further, the share of the unorganized market
monetization model mixes both B2B and B2C
was ~78% as of 2019. Within the overall market,
earnings .
the share of the top 10 restaurant chains has
become more fragmented.
Confidential 4
Food delivery in India:
competition overview
Confidential
Food delivery peers in India: Zomato
Confidential 6
Food delivery peers in India: Zomato,
continued
Zomato vs Swiggy
Confidential 7
Food delivery peers in India: Zomato,
continued
Unit economics
Zomato's food delivery in F21 turned positive at
the contribution margin level (~5% of GMV)
despite lower average order value vis-à-vis global
peers. Globally, we note that large companies
like Delivery Hero have guided for a contribution
margin in the 5-8% range for its food delivery
businesses across markets. However, the
contribution margins for Asia are likely to be less
than in some of the other markets. We expect
contribution margins of 5-7% on a steady-state
basis for Zomato and adjusted EBIT margins of 4-
6% as a percentage of GMV. This would be in line
with to one notch better than some global peers.
The steady-state margins for food as a category
would be 4.6%, which compares with a 3-6%
range for some of the other categories (such as
grocery, travel, etc.)
Confidential 8
Food delivery peers in India: Dunzo
Confidential 9