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‫اﻣﺘﺤﺎن اﻻﺣﺼﺎء )‪(Statistics‬‬

‫ﻣﺪرس اﻟﻤﺎدة ‪:‬د‪ .‬ﻣﺤﻤﺪ ﻃﻼس‬
‫اﻟﻤﺪة‪ 1:15 :‬ﺳﺎﻋﺔ‬
‫ﻣﺠﻤﻮع اﻟﺪرﺟﺎت‪ 100 :‬درﺟﺔ‬

‫ﺣﻞ اﻟﻤﺴﺎﺋﻞ اﻟﺴﺖ اﻟﺘﺎﻟﯿﺔ‪:‬‬

‫اﻟﻤﺴﺄﻟﺔ اﻷوﻟﻰ )‪ 4‬درﺟﺎت(‪ .‬ﻟﺪى ﻣﺮاﻗﺒﺔ ﻧﺘﺎﺋﺞ اﻟﻄﻼب ﻓﻲ ﻧﮭﺎﯾﺔ اﻟﻔﺼﻞ اﻟﺪراﺳﻲ ﻟﻤﺎدة اﻹﺣﺼﺎء ﺗﺒﯿﻦ ﺑﺄن ﻧﺴﺒﺔ ﻧﺠﺎح‬
‫اﻟﻄﻼب اﻟﺬﻛﻮر ﺑﻠﻐﺖ ‪ %75‬وﻧﺴﺒﺔ ﻧﺠﺎح اﻟﻄﻼب اﻹﻧﺎث ‪ .%80‬ﺗﻢ ﺳﺤﺐ ﻋﯿﻨﺔ ﻋﺸﻮاﺋﯿﺔ أوﻟﻰ ﺣﺠﻤﮭﺎ ‪ 64‬ﻧﺘﯿﺠﺔ ﻣﻦ‬
‫ﻧﺘﺎﺋﺞ اﻟﻄﻼب اﻟﺬﻛﻮر ﻓﺘﺒﯿﻦ ﺑﺄن ﻋﺪد اﻟﻨﺎﺟﺤﯿﻦ ﻓﯿﮭﺎ ﺑﻠﻎ ‪ 50‬ﻃﺎﻟﺒﺎً وﻛﺬﻟﻚ ﺗﻢ ﺳﺤﺐ ﻋﯿﻨﺔ ﻋﺸﻮاﺋﯿﺔ ﺛﺎﻧﯿﺔ ﺣﺠﻤﮭﺎ ‪ 81‬ﻧﺘﯿﺠﺔ‬
‫ﻣﻦ ﻧﺘﺎﺋﺞ اﻟﻄﻼب اﻹﻧﺎث ﻓﻜﺎن ﻋﺪد اﻟﻨﺎﺟﺤﺎت ﻓﯿﮭﺎ ‪ 70‬ﻃﺎﻟﺒﺔ‪.‬‬
‫أﺣﺴﺐ اﺣﺘﻤﺎل ﺑﺄن ﺗﻜﻮن ﻧﺴﺒﺔ اﻟﻨﺎﺟﺤﯿﻦ ﻣﻦ اﻟﻄﻼب ﻓﻲ اﻟﻌﯿﻨﺔ اﻷوﻟﻰ أﻓﻀﻞ ﻣﻨﮫ ﻣﻦ اﻟﻄﺎﻟﺒﺎت ﻓﻲ اﻟﻌﯿﻨﺔ اﻟﺜﺎﻧﯿﺔ‪.‬‬

‫‪d. 0.638‬‬ ‫‪c. 0.362‬‬ ‫‪b. 0.239‬‬ ‫‪a. 0.761‬‬

‫اﻟﻤﺴﺄﻟﺔ اﻟﺜﺎﻧﯿﺔ )‪ 9‬درﺟﺎت(‪ .‬اﺧﺘﺮ اﻻﺟﺎﺑﺎت اﻟﺼﺤﯿﺤﺔ ﻟﻜﻞ ﻣﻤﺎ ﯾﻠﻲ‪:‬‬

‫‪ .1‬ﺣﺪد ﻗﯿﻤﺔ ‪ z 1‬ﻣﻦ اﻻﺣﺘﻤﺎل اﻟﺘﺎﻟﻲ‪ 3 ) p ( −z 1 ≤ Z ≤ z 1 ) = 0.80 :‬درﺟﺎت(‬

‫‪d. 1.40‬‬ ‫‪c. 1.28‬‬ ‫‪b. 1.37‬‬ ‫‪a. 1.67‬‬

‫‪ .2‬ﺣﺪد ﻗﯿﻤﺔ )‪ 3 ) T0.90 (25‬درﺟﺎت(‬

‫‪d. 1.865‬‬ ‫‪c. 1.32‬‬ ‫‪b. 1.366‬‬ ‫‪a. 0.858‬‬

‫‪ 3 ) χ 0.80‬درﺟﺎت(‬
‫‪2‬‬
‫‪ .3‬ﺣﺪد ﻗﯿﻤﺔ )‪(20‬‬

‫‪d. 28.3‬‬ ‫‪c. 25.0‬‬ ‫‪b. 20.4‬‬ ‫‪a. 11.8‬‬

‫اﻟﻤﺴﺄﻟﺔ اﻟﺜﺎﻟﺜﺔ )‪ 6‬درﺟﺎت(‪ .‬ﺗﻢ ﺳﺤﺐ ﻋﯿﻨﺔ ﻋﺸﻮاﺋﯿﺔ ﺣﺠﻤﮭﺎ ‪ 81‬ﻣﻦ ﻣﺠﺘﻤﻊ اﺣﺼﺎﺋﻲ ﻃﺒﯿﻌﻲ )‪. N (2, 9‬‬
‫‪ .1‬ﺣﺪد ﻗﯿﻤﺔ اﺣﺘﻤﺎل أن ﯾﻜﻮن ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ اﻟﻌﯿﻨﺔ ﯾﺴﺎوي ‪ 3‬ﻋﻠﻰ اﻷﻛﺜﺮ ) ‪ 3‬درﺟﺎت(‬

‫‪d. 0.9523‬‬ ‫‪c. 0.9987‬‬ ‫‪b. 0.9947‬‬ ‫‪a. 0.8967‬‬

‫‪ .2‬ﺣﺪد ﻗﯿﻤﺔ اﺣﺘﻤﺎل أن ﯾﻜﻮن ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ اﻟﻌﯿﻨﺔ ﯾﺴﺎوي ‪ 3‬ﻋﻠﻰ اﻷﻗﻞ) ‪ 3‬درﺟﺎت(‬

‫‪d. 0.0077‬‬ ‫‪c. 0.0013‬‬ ‫‪b. 0.003‬‬ ‫‪a. 0.1033‬‬

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‫اﻟﻤﺴﺄﻟﺔ اﻟﺮاﺑﻌﺔ )‪ 6‬درﺟﺎت(‪ .‬ﺗﻢ ﺳﺤﺐ ﻋﯿﻨﺘﯿﻦ ﻋﺸﻮاﺋﯿﺘﯿﻦ ﺣﺠﻢ ﻛﻞ ﻣﻨﮭﻤﺎ ‪ 8‬ﻣﻦ ﻣﺠﺘﻤﻌﯿﻦ اﺣﺼﺎﺋﯿﯿﻦ ﻃﺒﯿﻌﯿﯿﻦ‬
‫)‪ N 1(3,1‬و )‪ N 2(2,1‬ﻋﻠﻰ اﻟﺘﺮﺗﯿﺐ‪ ).‬اﻟﺪرﺟﺎت ﻣﻮزﻋﺔ ﺑﺎﻟﺘﺴﺎوي(‬
‫‪ .1‬ﺣﺪد ﻗﯿﻤﺔ اﺣﺘﻤﺎل أن ﯾﻜﻮن ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ اﻟﻌﯿﻨﺔ اﻷوﻟﻰ أﻛﺒﺮ ﻣﻦ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ اﻟﻌﯿﻨﺔ اﻟﺜﺎﻧﯿﺔ‬

‫‪d. 0.9523‬‬ ‫‪c. 0.9772‬‬ ‫‪b. 0.9947‬‬ ‫‪a. 0.8967‬‬

‫‪ .2‬ﺣﺪد ﻗﯿﻤﺔ اﺣﺘﻤﺎل أن ﯾﻜﻮن اﻟﻔﺮق ﺑﯿﻦ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ اﻟﻌﯿﻨﺔ اﻷوﻟﻰ وﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ اﻟﻌﯿﻨﺔ اﻟﺜﺎﻧﯿﺔ أﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ‪2‬‬

‫‪d. 0.9523‬‬ ‫‪c. 0.9772‬‬ ‫‪b. 0.9947‬‬ ‫‪a. 0.8967‬‬

‫اﻟﻤﺴﺄﻟﺔ اﻟﺨﺎﻣﺴﺔ )‪ 57‬درﺟﺔ(‪ .‬ﺗﻢ ﻗﯿﺎس درﺟﺔ ﺣﻤﻮﺿﺔ ﻣﺤﻠﻮل ﻛﯿﻤﯿﺎﺋﻲ ﺧﻤﺲ ﻣﺮات ﻓﻜﺎﻧﺖ اﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﻛﻤﺎ ﯾﻠﻲ‪:‬‬

‫‪5.15, 5.17, 5.16, 5.19, 5.16‬‬

‫اﺧﺘﺮ ﻗﯿﻤﺔ اﻟﻤﺘﻮﺳﻂ اﻟﺤﺴﺎﺑﻲ ﻟﻠﻘﯿﺎﺳﺎت‪ 3):‬درﺟﺎت(‬ ‫‪.1‬‬

‫‪5.166 .a‬‬
‫‪5.176 .b‬‬
‫‪5.159 .c‬‬
‫‪5.160 .d‬‬
‫اﺧﺘﺮ ﻗﯿﻤﺔ اﻟﻮﺳﻂ ﻟﻠﻘﯿﺎﺳﺎت)اﻟﻮﺳﯿﻂ(‪ 3) :‬درﺟﺎت(‬ ‫‪.2‬‬
‫‪5.15 .a‬‬
‫‪5.17 .b‬‬
‫‪5.16 .c‬‬
‫‪5.165 .d‬‬
‫اﺧﺘﺮ ﻗﯿﻤﺔ اﻟﻤﻨﻮال ﻟﻠﻘﯿﺎﺳﺎت‪ 3) :‬درﺟﺎت(‬ ‫‪.3‬‬
‫‪5.15 .a‬‬
‫‪5.17 .b‬‬
‫‪5.19 .c‬‬
‫‪5.16 .d‬‬
‫اﺧﺘﺮ ﻗﯿﻤﺔ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ اﻻﻧﺤﺮاﻓﺎت ﻟﻠﻘﯿﺎﺳﺎت‪ 3) :‬درﺟﺎت(‬ ‫‪.4‬‬
‫‪0.011 .a‬‬
‫‪0.014 .b‬‬
‫‪0.017 .c‬‬
‫‪0.015 .d‬‬
‫اﺧﺘﺮ ﻗﯿﻤﺔ اﻻﻧﺤﺮاف اﻟﻤﻌﯿﺎري ﻟﻠﻘﯿﺎﺳﺎت‪ 3) :‬درﺟﺎت(‬ ‫‪.5‬‬
‫‪0.015 .a‬‬
‫‪0.017 .b‬‬
‫‪0.018 .c‬‬
‫‪0.013 .d‬‬
‫اﺧﺘﺮ ﻗﯿﻤﺔ اﻟﻤﺪى ﻟﻠﻘﯿﺎﺳﺎت‪ 3) :‬درﺟﺎت(‬ ‫‪.6‬‬
‫‪0.02 .a‬‬
‫‪0.05 .b‬‬
‫‪0.03 .c‬‬
‫‪0.04 .d‬‬

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‫‪ .7‬اﺳﺘﻨﺘﺞ ﻣﻦ اﻟﻤﻌﻠﻮﻣﺎت اﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻛﯿﻔﯿﺔ ﺗﻮزﯾﻊ ھﺬه اﻟﻘﯿﺎﺳﺎت ﺣﻮل اﻟﻤﺘﻮﺳﻂ اﻟﺤﺴﺎﺑﻲ‪ 3) :‬درﺟﺎت(‬
‫ﻣﺘﻨﺎﻇﺮة‬ ‫‪.a‬‬
‫ﻏﯿﺮ ﻣﺘﻨﺎﻇﺮة‬ ‫‪.b‬‬
‫ﻟﯿﺲ ﻟﮭﺎ ﺗﻮزﯾﻊ‬ ‫‪.c‬‬

‫‪ .8‬اﺧﺘﺮ ﻣﺠﺎل اﻟﺜﻘﺔ ﺑﻤﺴﺘﻮى ‪ %90‬ﻟﻠﻤﺘﻮﺳﻂ اﻟﺤﻘﯿﻘﻲ ﻟﻠﻘﯿﺎﺳﺎت ‪ 3): µ‬درﺟﺎت(‬

‫)‪(5.121,5.211‬‬ ‫‪.a‬‬
‫)‪(5.152,5.180‬‬ ‫‪.b‬‬
‫)‪(5.106,5.226‬‬ ‫‪.c‬‬
‫)‪(5.136,5.196‬‬ ‫‪.d‬‬
‫ﻣﺠﺎل اﻟﺜﻘﺔ ﺑﻤﺴﺘﻮى ‪ %90‬ﻟﻺﻧﺤﺮاف اﻟﻤﻌﯿﺎري اﻟﺤﻘﯿﻘﻲ ﻟﻠﻘﯿﺎﺳﺎت ‪ 3) : σ‬درﺟﺎت(‬ ‫‪.9‬اﺧﺘﺮ‬
‫)‪(0.013,0.029‬‬ ‫‪.a‬‬
‫)‪(0.011,0.020‬‬ ‫‪.b‬‬
‫)‪(0.012,0.017‬‬ ‫‪.c‬‬
‫)‪(0.010,0.036‬‬ ‫‪.d‬‬

‫‪.10‬اﺧﺘﺒﺮ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻮى اﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ )اﻷھﻤﯿﺔ( ‪ %10‬ﻓﯿﻤﺎ إذا ﻛﺎن اﻟﻤﺘﻮﺳﻂ اﻟﺤﻘﯿﻘﻲ ﻟﻠﻘﯿﺎﺳﺎت ‪ µ‬ﯾﺨﺘﻠﻒ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﺎً ﻋﻦ‬
‫اﻟﻘﯿﻤﺔ ‪ 5‬أم ﻻ ﺑﺎﺧﺘﯿﺎرك اﻷﺟﻮﺑﺔ اﻟﺼﺤﯿﺤﺔ ﻋﻤﺎ ﯾﻠﻲ‪ 15) :‬درﺟﺔ ﻣﻮزﻋﺔ ﺑﺎﻟﺘﺴﺎوي(‬

‫‪ .1.10‬اﺧﺘﺮ اﻟﻔﺮﺿﯿﺔ اﻟﺼﻔﺮﯾﺔ واﻟﻔﺮﺿﯿﺔ اﻟﺒﺪﯾﻠﺔ اﻟﻤﻨﺎﺳﺒﺘﯿﻦ‪:‬‬

‫‪H0 :µ ≥5‬‬
‫‪H1 : µ ≠ 5‬‬ ‫‪.a‬‬

‫‪H0 :µ ≥5‬‬
‫‪H1 : µ < 5‬‬ ‫‪.b‬‬

‫‪H0 :µ ≤5‬‬
‫‪H1 : µ ≠ 5‬‬ ‫‪.c‬‬

‫‪H0 :µ =5‬‬
‫‪.d‬‬
‫‪H1 : µ ≠ 5‬‬

‫‪.2.10‬اﺧﺘﺮ ﻗﯿﻤﺔ اﺣﺼﺎء اﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎر‪:‬‬

‫‪1.212 .a‬‬
‫‪24.745 .b‬‬
‫‪23.563 .c‬‬
‫‪1.973 .d‬‬

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‫‪ .3.10‬اﺧﺘﺮ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻗﺒﻮل اﻟﻔﺮﺿﯿﺔ اﻟﺼﻔﺮﯾﺔ‪:‬‬

‫‪(-1.65, 1.65) .a‬‬
‫‪(-1.96, 1.96).b‬‬
‫‪(-2.98, 2.98).c‬‬
‫‪(-2.13, 2.13).d‬‬

‫‪ .4.10‬إﺧﺘﺮ اﻟﻘﺮار اﻟﺼﺤﯿﺢ‪:‬‬

‫‪ H 0 .a‬ﻣﻘﺒﻮﻟﺔ‬
‫‪ H 0 .b‬ﻣﺮﻓﻮﺿﺔ‬

‫‪ .5.10‬ﻣﻦ اﻟﻤﻌﻠﻮﻣﺎت اﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﯾﻤﻜﻦ اﻻﺳﺘﻨﺘﺎج ﺑﺄﻧﮫ‪:‬‬

‫‪ . a‬ﯾﻮﺟﺪ ﻓﺮق ﻣﻌﻨﻮي ﺑﯿﻦ اﻟﻤﺘﻮﺳﻂ اﻟﺤﻘﯿﻘﻲ ﻟﻠﻘﯿﺎﺳﺎت ‪ µ‬واﻟﻘﯿﻤﺔ ‪5‬‬
‫‪ .b‬ﻻﯾﻮﺟﺪ ﻓﺮق ﻣﻌﻨﻮي ﺑﯿﻦ اﻟﻤﺘﻮﺳﻂ اﻟﺤﻘﯿﻘﻲ ﻟﻠﻘﯿﺎﺳﺎت ‪ µ‬واﻟﻘﯿﻤﺔ ‪5‬‬
‫‪ .c‬اﻟﻤﺘﻮﺳﻂ اﻟﺤﻘﯿﻘﻲ ﻟﻠﻘﯿﺎﺳﺎت ‪ µ‬أﻛﺒﺮ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﺎً ﻣﻦ ‪5‬‬
‫‪ .d‬اﻟﻤﺘﻮﺳﻂ اﻟﺤﻘﯿﻘﻲ ﻟﻠﻘﯿﺎﺳﺎت ‪ µ‬أﺻﻐﺮ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﺎً ﻣﻦ ‪5‬‬

‫‪.11‬اﺧﺘﺒﺮ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻮى اﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ )اﻷھﻤﯿﺔ( ‪ %10‬ﻓﯿﻤﺎ إذا ﻛﺎن اﻟﺘﺒﺎﯾﻦ اﻟﺤﻘﯿﻘﻲ ﻟﻠﻘﯿﺎﺳﺎت ‪ σ 2‬أﻛﺒﺮ أو ﯾﺴﺎوي اﻟﻘﯿﻤﺔ‬
‫)‪ ( 0.01‬أم ﻻ ﺑﺎﺧﺘﯿﺎرك اﻷﺟﻮﺑﺔ اﻟﺼﺤﯿﺤﺔ ﻋﻤﺎ ﯾﻠﻲ‪ 15) :‬درﺟﺔ ﻣﻮزﻋﺔ ﺑﺎﻟﺘﺴﺎوي(‬
‫‪2‬‬

‫‪ .1.11‬اﺧﺘﺮ اﻟﻔﺮﺿﯿﺔ اﻟﺼﻔﺮﯾﺔ واﻟﻔﺮﺿﯿﺔ اﻟﺒﺪﯾﻠﺔ اﻟﻤﻨﺎﺳﺒﺘﯿﻦ‪:‬‬

‫)‪H 0 : σ 2 ≤ ( 0.01‬‬
‫‪2‬‬

‫‪.a‬‬
‫)‪H 1 : σ 2 > ( 0.01‬‬
‫‪2‬‬

‫)‪H 0 : σ 2 = ( 0.01‬‬
‫‪2‬‬

‫‪.b‬‬
‫)‪H 1 : σ 2 ≠ ( 0.01‬‬
‫‪2‬‬

‫)‪H 0 : σ 2 ≥ ( 0.01‬‬
‫‪2‬‬

‫‪.c‬‬
‫)‪H 1 : σ 2 < ( 0.01‬‬
‫‪2‬‬

‫)‪H 0 : σ 2 = ( 0.01‬‬
‫‪2‬‬

‫‪.d‬‬
‫)‪H 1 : σ 2 > ( 0.01‬‬
‫‪2‬‬

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‫‪.2.11‬اﺧﺘﺮ ﻗﯿﻤﺔ اﺣﺼﺎء اﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎر‪:‬‬

‫‪6 .a‬‬
‫‪0.5 .b‬‬
‫‪9.8 .c‬‬
‫‪9 .d‬‬

‫‪ .3.11‬اﺧﺘﺮ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻗﺒﻮل اﻟﻔﺮﺿﯿﺔ اﻟﺼﻔﺮﯾﺔ‪:‬‬

‫‪(0.756, 8.354) .a‬‬
‫‪(0.824, 9.512).b‬‬
‫‪(0.452, 10.213).c‬‬
‫‪(0.711, 9.49).d‬‬

‫‪ .4.11‬إﺧﺘﺮ اﻟﻘﺮار اﻟﺼﺤﯿﺢ‪:‬‬

‫‪ H 0 .a‬ﻣﻘﺒﻮﻟﺔ‬
‫‪ H 0 .b‬ﻣﺮﻓﻮﺿﺔ‬

‫‪ .5.11‬ﻣﻦ اﻟﻤﻌﻠﻮﻣﺎت اﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﯾﻤﻜﻦ اﻻﺳﺘﻨﺘﺎج ﺑﺄن‪:‬‬

‫‪ .a‬اﻟﺘﺒﺎﯾﻦ اﻟﺤﻘﯿﻘﻲ ﻟﻠﻘﯿﺎﺳﺎت ‪ σ 2‬أﺻﻐﺮ أو ﯾﺴﺎوي )‪( 0.01‬‬
‫‪2‬‬

‫‪ .b‬اﻟﺘﺒﺎﯾﻦ اﻟﺤﻘﯿﻘﻲ ﻟﻠﻘﯿﺎﺳﺎت ‪ σ 2‬أﻛﺒﺮ أو ﯾﺴﺎوي )‪( 0.01‬‬

‫‪2‬‬

‫‪ .c‬اﻟﺘﺒﺎﯾﻦ اﻟﺤﻘﯿﻘﻲ ﻟﻠﻘﯿﺎﺳﺎت ‪ σ 2‬أﻛﺒﺮ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﺎً ﻣﻦ )‪( 0.01‬‬

‫‪2‬‬

‫‪ .d‬اﻟﺘﺒﺎﯾﻦ اﻟﺤﻘﯿﻘﻲ ﻟﻠﻘﯿﺎﺳﺎت ‪ σ 2‬أﺻﻐﺮﺗﻤﺎﻣﺎً )‪( 0.01‬‬

‫‪2‬‬

‫اﻟﻤﺴﺄﻟﺔ اﻟﺴﺎدﺳﺔ )‪ 18‬درﺟﺔ(‪ .‬ﺗﻢ اﻗﺘﺮاح ﻃﺮﯾﻘﺘﯿﻦ ﻟﺘﺪرﯾﺲ ﻣﺎدة اﻟﺨﻮارزﻣﯿﺎت ﻟﻄﻼب اﻟﮭﻨﺪﺳﺔ اﻟﻤﻌﻠﻮﻣﺎﺗﯿﺔ ﻓﻲ اﻟﺠﺎﻣﻌﺔ‬
‫‪ ،‬ﺗﻌﺘﻤﺪ اﻟﻄﺮﯾﻘﺔ اﻷوﻟﻰ ﺑﺸﻜﻞ أﺳﺎﺳﻲ ﻋﻠﻰ اﻟﺘﻌﻠﻢ اﻟﺬاﺗﻲ ﻋﻦ ﺑﻌﺪ و ﺗﻌﺘﻤﺪ اﻟﺜﺎﻧﯿﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ اﻟﻄﺮﯾﻘﺔ اﻟﺘﻘﻠﯿﺪﯾﺔ ﻓﻲ اﻟﺘﻌﻠﻢ ‪ .‬ﺗﻢ‬
‫اﺧﺘﯿﺎر ﻋﯿﻨﺔ ﻋﺸﻮاﺋﯿﺔ ﺣﺠﻤﮭﺎ ‪ 100‬ﻧﺘﯿﺠﺔ ﻣﻦ ﻧﺘﺎﺋﺞ اﻟﻄﻼب اﻟﺬﯾﻦ ﺧﻀﻌﻮا ﻟﻠﺘﻌﻠﻢ ﺑﺎﻟﻄﺮﯾﻘﺔ اﻷوﻟﻰ وﻋﯿﻨﺔ ﻋﺸﻮاﺋﯿﺔ‬
‫أﺧﺮى ﺣﺠﻤﮭﺎ ‪ 80‬ﻧﺘﯿﺠﺔ ﻣﻦ ﻧﺘﺎﺋﺞ اﻟﻄﻼب اﻟﺬﯾﻦ ﺧﻀﻌﻮا ﻟﻠﺘﻌﻠﻢ ﺑﺎﻟﻄﺮﯾﻘﺔ اﻟﺜﺎﻧﯿﺔ‪ .‬اﻟﻨﺘﺎﺋﺞ اﻟﺘﻲ ﺗﻢ اﻟﺤﺼﻮل ﻋﻠﯿﮭﺎ‬
‫ﻣﻮﺿﺤﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ اﻟﺸﻜﻞ اﻟﺘﺎﻟﻲ‪:‬‬

‫اﻟﻄﺮﯾﻘﺔ اﻷوﻟﻰ‪ :‬اﻟﻤﺘﻮﺳﻂ اﻟﺤﺴﺎﺑﻲ‪ 85 :‬واﻻﻧﺤﺮاف اﻟﻤﻌﯿﺎري ‪15‬‬

‫اﻟﻄﺮﯾﻘﺔ اﻟﺜﺎﻧﯿﺔ‪ :‬اﻟﻤﺘﻮﺳﻂ اﻟﺤﺴﺎﺑﻲ‪ 83 :‬واﻻﻧﺤﺮاف اﻟﻤﻌﯿﺎري ‪10‬‬

‫‪ .1‬اﺧﺘﺮ ﻣﺠﺎل اﻟﺜﻘﺔ ﺑﻤﺴﺘﻮى ‪ %95‬ﻟﻠﻔﺮق ﺑﯿﻦ اﻟﻤﺘﻮﺳﻄﯿﻦ اﻟﺤﻘﯿﻘﯿﺘﯿﻦ ﻟﻄﺮﯾﻘﺘﻲ اﻟﺘﻌﻠﻢ ‪ 2) : µ1 − µ2‬درﺟﺔ(‬

‫‪[1.33, 5.321] .a‬‬

‫‪[-1.39, 4.562] .b‬‬
‫‪[-1.667, 5.667] .c‬‬
‫‪[-3.776, -1.364] .d‬‬

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‫‪ .2‬ﻣﻦ اﻟﻤﻌﻠﻮﻣﺎت اﻟﻮاردة ﺳﺎﺑﻘﺎً ﯾﻤﻜﻦ اﻻﺳﺘﻨﺘﺎج ﺑﺄﻧﮫ‪ 1) :‬درﺟﺔ(‬

‫‪ . a‬ﯾﻮﺟﺪ ﻓﺮق ﻣﻌﻨﻮي ﺑﯿﻦ اﻟﻄﺮﯾﻘﺘﯿﻦ‬

‫‪ .b‬ﻻﯾﻮﺟﺪ ﻓﺮق ﻣﻌﻨﻮي ﺑﯿﻦ اﻟﻄﺮﯾﻘﺘﯿﻦ‬
‫‪ .c‬اﻟﻄﺮﯾﻘﺔ اﻷوﻟﻰ أﻓﻀﻞ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﺎً ﻣﻦ اﻟﻄﺮﯾﻘﺔ اﻟﺜﺎﻧﯿﺔ‬
‫‪ .d‬اﻟﻄﺮﯾﻘﺔ اﻟﺜﺎﻧﯿﺔ أﻓﻀﻞ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﺎً ﻣﻦ اﻟﻄﺮﯾﻘﺔ اﻷوﻟﻰ‬

‫‪ .3‬اﺧﺘﺒﺮ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻮى اﻟﺪﻻﻟﺔ )اﻷھﻤﯿﺔ( ‪ %5‬ﻓﯿﻤﺎ إذا ﻛﺎن اﻟﻔﺮق ﺑﯿﻦ اﻟﻤﺘﻮﺳﻄﯿﻦ اﻟﺤﻘﯿﻘﯿﯿﻦ ﻟﻄﺮﯾﻘﺘﻲ اﻟﺘﻌﻠﻢ‬
‫‪ µ1 − µ2‬ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻔﯿﻦ أم ﻻ ﺑﺎﺧﺘﯿﺎرك اﻷﺟﻮﺑﺔ اﻟﺼﺤﯿﺤﺔ ﻋﻤﺎ ﯾﻠﻲ‪ 15) :‬درﺟﺔ ﻣﻮزﻋﺔ ﺑﺎﻟﺘﺴﺎوي(‬

‫‪ .1.3‬اﺧﺘﺮ اﻟﻔﺮﺿﯿﺔ اﻟﺼﻔﺮﯾﺔ واﻟﻔﺮﺿﯿﺔ اﻟﺒﺪﯾﻠﺔ اﻟﻤﻨﺎﺳﺒﺘﯿﻦ‪:‬‬

‫‪H 0 : µ1 − µ2 ≥ 0‬‬
‫‪H 1 : µ1 − µ2 ≠ 0‬‬ ‫‪.a‬‬

‫‪H 0 : µ1 − µ2 ≥ 0‬‬
‫‪H 1 : µ1 − µ2 < 0‬‬ ‫‪.b‬‬

‫‪H 0 : µ1 − µ2 ≤ 0‬‬
‫‪H 1 : µ1 − µ2 > 0‬‬ ‫‪.c‬‬

‫‪H 0 : µ1 − µ2 = 0‬‬
‫‪.d‬‬
‫‪H 1 : µ1 − µ2 ≠ 0‬‬

‫‪.2.3‬اﺧﺘﺮ ﻗﯿﻤﺔ اﺣﺼﺎء اﻻﺧﺘﺒﺎر‪:‬‬

‫‪1.712 .a‬‬
‫‪1.069 .b‬‬
‫‪3.563 .c‬‬
‫‪1.973 .d‬‬

‫‪ .3.3‬اﺧﺘﺮ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻗﺒﻮل اﻟﻔﺮﺿﯿﺔ اﻟﺼﻔﺮﯾﺔ‪:‬‬

‫‪(-1.65, 1.65) .a‬‬
‫‪(-1.96, 1.96).b‬‬
‫‪(-2.98, 2.98).c‬‬
‫‪(-2.13, 2.13).d‬‬

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‫‪ .4.3‬إﺧﺘﺮ اﻟﻘﺮار اﻟﺼﺤﯿﺢ‪:‬‬

‫‪ H 0 .a‬ﻣﻘﺒﻮﻟﺔ‬
‫‪ H 0 .b‬ﻣﺮﻓﻮﺿﺔ‬

‫‪ .5.3‬ﻣﻦ اﻟﻤﻌﻠﻮﻣﺎت اﻟﻮاردة ﺳﺎﺑﻘﺎً ﯾﻤﻜﻦ اﻻﺳﺘﻨﺘﺎج ﺑﺄﻧﮫ‪:‬‬

‫‪ . a‬ﯾﻮﺟﺪ ﻓﺮق ﻣﻌﻨﻮي ﺑﯿﻦ اﻟﻄﺮﯾﻘﺘﯿﻦ‬
‫‪ .b‬ﻻﯾﻮﺟﺪ ﻓﺮق ﻣﻌﻨﻮي ﺑﯿﻦ اﻟﻄﺮﯾﻘﺘﯿﻦ‬
‫‪ .c‬اﻟﻄﺮﯾﻘﺔ اﻷوﻟﻰ أﻓﻀﻞ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﺎً ﻣﻦ اﻟﻄﺮﯾﻘﺔ اﻟﺜﺎﻧﯿﺔ‬
‫‪ .d‬اﻟﻄﺮﯾﻘﺔ اﻟﺜﺎﻧﯿﺔ أﻓﻀﻞ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﺎً ﻣﻦ اﻟﻄﺮﯾﻘﺔ اﻷوﻟﻰ‬

‫اﻧﺘﮭﺖ اﻷﺳﺌﻠﺔ ﻣﻊ ﺗﻤﻨﯿﺎﺗﻲ ﻟﻜﻢ ﺑﺎﻟﺘﻮﻓﯿﻖ واﻟﻨﺠﺎح‬

‫اﻟﻤﺮﻓﻘﺎت‪ :‬ﺛﻼﺛﺔ ﺟﺪاول إﺣﺼﺎﺋﯿﺔ أدﻧﺎه‬

‫اﻟﺠﺪاول اﻻﺣﺼﺎﺋﯿﺔ‬

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