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Exploration and Implementation of Commonality Valu
Exploration and Implementation of Commonality Valu
a
School of Aeronautics, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi’an 710072, China
b
Shanghai Aircraft Design and Research Institute, Shanghai 200232, China
c
Beijing Aeronautical Science & Technology Research Institute, Beijing 102211, China
KEYWORDS Abstract Commercial aircraft family design can reduce development costs, shorten development
Aircraft cost; cycles, and expand the market coverage of aircraft. Commercial aircraft family development has
Aircraft family; become one of the most important features of modern aircraft design. This paper explores the
Aircraft program value; effects of commonality on different aircraft models in a commercial aircraft family. The existing
Commonality index; product commonality indexes are summarized and their limitations in the application to aircraft
Real option method design are discussed. Then a new component commonality index is proposed based on the compo-
nent decomposition structure. A model for calculating the aircraft program value is established,
which considers development costs, manufacturing costs, sale price, operation costs and residual
costs. The effects of aircraft commonality on time and economic costs of both development and
manufacturing, and on sale price, are analyzed and quantified. The commonality evaluation strat-
egy is obtained, which features comprehensive consideration of the aircraft program value and time
costs. The break-even analysis of aircraft is proceeded on the basis of costs and price data. By using
a real option method, the strategy considers the uncertainty of the aircraft program and the flexi-
bility of the manufacturer. This strategy proves to be rational and applicable to aircraft design
based on the calculation of three examples and the analysis of parameter sensitivity.
Ó 2019 Production and hosting by Elsevier Ltd. on behalf of Chinese Society of Aeronautics and
Astronautics. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/
licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cja.2019.05.005
1000-9361 Ó 2019 Production and hosting by Elsevier Ltd. on behalf of Chinese Society of Aeronautics and Astronautics.
This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Exploration and implementation of commonality valuation method 1829
designers can create reasonable plans about the main parame- 2.1.1. Degree of commonality index
ters, types and sizes of products, analyzing the development The Degree of Commonality Index (DCI)17 is the most tradi-
rule of similar products, predicting the market demand trend, tional measurement method for component standardization
and making technical/economical comparisons.1–9 based on the average number of common parent items per
The development of an aircraft family is an important char- average distinct component part:
acteristic of modern commercial aircraft design. The aircraft Piþd
family usually consists of baseline aircraft and its derivatives j¼iþ1 Uj
DCI ¼ ð1Þ
or variants.10 It is a common practice to derive fuselage- d
lengthened or fuselage-shortened type from baseline aircraft where Uj is the number of immediate parent components and j
so as to reduce Research and Development (R&D) costs, has over a set of end items or product structure level(s); d is the
shorten R&D cycles, improve the adaptability of aircraft total number of distinct components in the set of end items or
routes and airports, and expand the market coverage of air- product structure level(s); i is the total number of end items or
craft products.11–14 the total number of highest level parent items for product
Commonality, an important concept in the product family, structure level(s).
refers to the reuse and sharing of assets (components, manu- The main advantage of the DCI lies in its easy calculation.
facturing processes, architectures, interfaces and infrastruc- However, it is difficult for the DCI to estimate the increase in
ture) across members in a product family, representing a commonality when a series of products are redesigned or dif-
potential strategy for improving the company’s profitability.15 ferent series of products are compared, because the DCI does
The challenge of designing a product family is to resolve the P
not have a fixed boundary (with a range from 1 to iþd j¼iþ1 Uj ).
trade-off between commonality and distinctiveness: if com-
monality is too high, products will lack distinctiveness, and
their individual performance will not be optimal; in contrast, 2.1.2. Total constant commonality index
if commonality is too low, manufacturing costs will increase. The Total Constant Commonality Index (TCCI)18 is a modi-
It is better to obtain commonality by minimizing the non- fied version of the DCI. Contrary to the DCI, the TCCI is a
value added variations across the products within a family relative index with absolute boundaries ranging from 0 to 1:
without limiting the choices of customers in each market seg- d1
ment; that is, each product within a product family should TCCI ¼ 1 Pd ð2Þ
be distinct in ways that customers can notice, and identical j¼1 Uj 1
in ways that customers cannot see.16 The absolute boundaries of the TCCI facilitate compar-
To help evaluating the trade-off mentioned above, many isons of products between different families or within a same
commonality indexes have been proposed. A commonality family during redesign.
index is a metric that assesses the degree of commonality
within a product family based on different parameters (e.g., 2.1.3. Commonality index
the number of common components, component costs, and
The Commonality Index (CI)19,20 is also a modified version of
manufacturing process). These indexes can be used to estimate
the DCI, which measures the unique parts in a product
the cost saving of products within a family, and are usually
famility:
considered at the beginning of the design of a new product
family or the analysis of an existing family. After analyzing u max pj
CI ¼ 1 Pvn ð3Þ
and comparing with the existing commonality indexes, this j¼1 pj max pj
study proposes a new metric, and establishes an model for
where u is the number of unique parts; pj is the number of the
evaluating commonality effects based on aircraft program val-
parts in the model j; vn is the final number of varieties offered.
ues and time reduction. The effects of aircraft commonality on
The CI ranges from 0 to 1, and can be interpreted as the
R&D time and economic costs, manufacturing time and eco-
ratio between the number of unique components and the total
nomic costs, sale price, and pilot training time are then
number of the parts in the product family.
quantified.
2.1.4. Percent commonality index
2. Commonality index
The Percent Commonality Index (%C)21 is based on three
main viewpoints: component viewpoint, viewpoint of
This section briefly introduces the existing commonality component-component connections, and assembly viewpoint.
indexes and their limitations in the implementation in commer- Each viewpoint produces a percentage of commonality, and
cial aircraft family design, and then presents a new commonal- can be combined with other viewpoints to determine an overall
ity index applicable to commercial aircraft family design. measurement of commonality by weighting each percentage
value. The component viewpoint measures the percentage of
2.1. Overview platform components that are common among different mod-
els, and the percent commonality of components, Cc, is given
Table 1 lists the existing commonality indexes based on differ- by
ent parameters (number of identical components, connection
100 common components
method, costs, etc.). These indexes have all been used to guide Cc ¼ ð4Þ
common components þ unique components
the design or redesign of a product family.
1830 Y. ZHANG et al.
The component-component connection viewpoint measures rials and manufacturing processes for component i; and f3i is
the percentage of common connections between components, the factor of assembly and fastening schemes for component i.
Cn: f1i is the ratio of the largest number of models that share
component i with the identical size and shape to the largest
100 common connections
Cn ¼ ð5Þ possible number of models that could have shared component
common connections þ unique connections
i with the identical size and shape (ni). The PCI has fixed
Similarly, the assembly viewpoint measures the percentage boundaries that range from 0 to 100, focusing on the common-
of common assembly sequences, using two indexes: Cl, which ality that should exist between products with common or vari-
measures the percentage of common assembly sequences, and ant components rather than on the unique components. The
Ca, which measures the percentage of common assembly PCI provides a single measure for the entire product family,
workstations: but it does not offer insight into the commonality of the indi-
vidual product within the family.
100 common assembly loading
Cl ¼
common assembly loading þ unique assembly loading 2.1.6. Component part commonality index
ð6Þ
The Component Part Commonality Index, CI(C),23 is an
extended version of the DCI that considers product volume,
100 commonassemblyworkstation
Ca ¼ quantity per operation, and the cost of component parts, given
commonassemblyworkstation þ uniqueassemblyworkstation
by
ð7Þ Pd Pm Pm
ð CÞ j¼1 Pj i¼1 Uij i¼1 Vi Qij
The four values mentioned above can then be combined CI ¼ Pd Pm ð10Þ
into an overall platform commonality measure and the j¼1 Pj i¼1 Vi Qij
weighted-sum formulation is given by:
where d is the total number of distinct component parts used in
X
4 all the product structures of a product family; j is the index of
%C ¼ Ii Ci ¼ Ic Cc þ In Cn þ Il Cl þ Ia Ca ð8Þ each distinct component part; Pj is the price of each type of
i¼1
purchased parts or the estimated cost of each internally made
P
where Ii is the importance of weighting factors and Ii ¼ 1; component part; m is the total number of the end products in a
Ci is the percent commonality described previously. product family; i is the index of each member product of a pro-
The resulting %C ranges from 0 to 100, takes manufactur- duct family; and Vi is the volume of end product i in the fam-
ing and assembly into consideration, and can be adapted to ily; Uij is the number of immediate parents for each distinct
different strategies with weighting factors. The disadvantage component part dj over all the product levels of product i in
P
of this index is that the measure can be applied to each plat- the family; m i¼1 Uij is the total number of applications (repeti-
form but not to the whole product family. tions) of a distinct component part dj across all the member
products in the family; Qij is the quantity of distinct compo-
2.1.5. Product line commonality index nent parts, dj, required by the product i.
The CI(C) has variable boundaries that range from 1 to
Contrary to the indexes that simply measure the percentage of Pd Pm
components that are common across a product family (and j¼1 i¼1 Uij , and can provide useful information due to its
hence penalizing families with a broader feature mix), the Pro- consideration of the cost of each component. The influence
duct line Commonality Index (PCI)22 measures and penalizes of a rather expensive part common in a family is larger than
the differences that should ideally be common, given the pro- that of a cheap part and different from one product to another.
duct mix. The PCI is given by However, the estimating requirement of the quantity and cost
PP P of components can be complex when calculating CI(C).
ni f f f3i Pi¼1 1=n2i
PCI ¼ i¼1 1i 2i P 100 ð9Þ
PN Pi¼1 1=n2i 2.1.7. Common commonality metric
where P is the total number of non-differentiating components The Common Commonality Metric (CMC)24 evaluates the
that can potentially be standardized across models; N is the design of a product family at a ratio of 0 to 1 based on the
number of products in the product family; ni is the number component, size, shape, material, manufacturing process,
of products in the product family with component i; f1i is the assembly, cost, and diversity allowed for each product in the
size and shape factor for component i; f2i is the factor of mate- product family. The CMC is given as follows:
Exploration and implementation of commonality valuation method 1831
PP Q4
Cmax Ci x¼1 fxi
i¼1 ni
implementation among different aircraft models within a fam-
CMC ¼ PP maxi Q4 max ð11Þ ily; therefore, the commonality index should be a definite
i¼1 ni Ci Cmin
i x¼1 fxi
parameter for a certain aircraft model rather than a parameter
where P is the total number of components; ni is the number of changing with the production quantity.
products in the product family with component i; fxi is the The CMC captures comprehensive information for each
ratio of the largest number of products that share component component by integrating various aspects of different indices
i with the identical factor (the factor is size and shape for into a single measurement formula, it also considers penalty
x = 1, materials for x = 2, manufacturing processes for of the non-differentiating components by using the parameter
x = 3, assembly and fastening schemes for x = 4) to the num- fximax. As introduced in the Ref. 24, the author used the CMC
ber of products with component i (ni); fximax is the ratio of the to carry out calculations for the product family redesign of a
largest number of products that share component i with an stapler family. The calculations involved a lot of data and
identical factor (the factor is size and shape for x = 1, materi- information even though the stapler only consists of a dozen
als for x = 2, manufacturing processes for x = 3, assembly parts. However, the collection of information and the estima-
and fastening schemes for x = 4) to the largest possible num- tion of data for an aircraft analysis would be too complex. As
ber of products that could have shared component i with iden- a result, using the CMC to calculate the commonality degree
tical factor; Ci is the current total cost of component i; Cimin is of the aircraft suffers an insufficient feasibility.
the minimum total cost of component i (obtained when the
component is common among all the products with compo- 2.2. New commonality index based on component decomposition
nent i); Cimax is the maximum total component costs (obtained
when the component is variant in each of the products with
Based on the existing commonality indexes, we propose a new
component i).
The CMC is comprehensive; however, it requires analysis of commonality index for aircraft design based on component
a large number of cost data which may not be available in the decomposition levels. Compared with the indexes listed above,
the index we create is more suitable for the analysis of aircraft
early stage of aircraft design.
family design that considers sufficient factors related to aircraft
2.1.8. Index analysis and ensures the simplicity of data collection and calculation.
The component commonality index proposed mainly eval-
There are some limitations or deficiencies in the existing com- uates the extent of commonality of aircraft components and
monality indexes when they are used in aircraft design. Table 2 the entire aircraft within the aircraft family. It is used for the
shows the comparison of commonality indexes based on the analysis in R&D and manufacturing process. Before proposing
considered information in each index. As shown in the table, the component commonality index, this study introduces two
the DCI and CI(C) do not have fixed boundaries; the DCI, types of aircraft component decomposition structures. It is
TCCI, CI and %C do not take size, geometry and manufactur- necessary to define a decomposition structure that the index
ing process into consideration; the PCI fails to consider the analysis can follow because the index should be able to mea-
information of component costs. sure the commonality of parts and components in different
Although the PCI and CI(C) consider much information of levels.
components, they still suffer from many limitations. First, the
assumption that all the factors considered in the index have the
2.2.1. Component decomposition structure
same weight is not comprehensive, because different factors
may influence the index by varying degrees. Second, calculat- To analyze component commonality factors, three levels of
ing these two indexes involves the quantity of each product. aircraft component decomposition, including the product,
This means that the analysis of aircraft family design concerns component, and sub-component levels, correspond to the cal-
all the products in the entire market, so neither of the two culation and analysis accuracy. For example, when obtaining
indexes can easily measure commonality of individual product the commonality index, the index value of the commercial air-
models. In other words, considering the production quantity craft system can be gained directly at the system level; or it can
will complicate the determination of the index for aircraft com- be obtained at the element level corresponding to the system,
monality measurement, in addition to the uncertain sale vol- and the index values of different elements can be weighted
ume of an aircraft model at the beginning of the analysis. and summed up. Although the planning of the commonality
The focus of this research is to compare the commonality concept can start from a top-down perspective, the implemen-
tation of the commonality concept and the calculation of the ATA refers specifically to a classification structure given in
commonality index should follow a bottom-up approach. the ATA100 specification, which rationally divides aircraft
There are two types of commonly-used structural decompo- manufacturing and routine maintenance into different chap-
sition of aircraft components: Product Breakdown Structure ters. The ATA100 specification and technical data adopt the
(PBS) and aircraft manufacturing specification published by ‘‘system-subsystem-single item” numbering method. The first
Air Transport association of America (ATA). The selection three levels of the ATA structure are shown in Table 4.
of the structural decomposition is decided by the requirements
for computing the commonality of commercial aircraft compo- 2.2.2. Aircraft component commonality index
nents. Note that the PBS and ATA are merely two examples of This section presents the formulation of the aircraft compo-
the decomposition structure, the aircraft designers could also nent commonality index which considers the influences of fac-
use different frameworks to calculate the commonality index tors such as component costs, size and shape, material
if the manufacturer could offer sufficient data. selection, manufacturing process, assembly and fastening
PBS reflects the various components of the product through scheme. The calculation target can be a component (at
a tree structure, with each type of components appearing only Level-2), a sub-component (at Level-3), or a part level (at
once in the structure. PBS has been widely used to develop Level-4, which is not shown in Table 3 or Table 4). All compo-
products and components. The first three levels of the aircraft nents, sub-components and parts are referred to as the module
PBS are shown in Table 3. in this paper. The module can be divided into the homemade
module and outsourced module. The commonality index for
the homemade module is given as
Table 3 PBS decomposition. P4
Ci x¼1 ðxx;i fx;i Þ
Level-1 Level-2 Level-3 CIi ¼ P n ð12Þ
Airplane Airframe PBS010101 Fuselage i¼1 Ci
PBS010703 EWIS
PBS010704 Mechanical and X
numK
subcomponent
where CIpart subcomponent
j;i , CIj , CIk;j , CIcomponent
k , and
CIairplane are the commonality indexes of part i in subcompo-
nent j, subcomponent j, subcomponent j in component k, com-
ponent k, and the entire aircraft respectively. apart
j;i is the weight
factor of part i in subcomponent j; asubcomponent
k;j is the weight Fig. 1 Structural overview of the calculation model of aircraft
factor of subcomponent j in component k; ak component
is the program value.
1834 Y. ZHANG et al.
mately produced, research, development, test and evaluation Based on the typical value of s given in Ref. 26, 0.9 is taken
costs will remain basically unchanged and non-repetitive. for manufacturing, 0.75 for assembly and 0.98 for material.
Therefore, R&D costs are also called non-recurring cost. How- Fig. 2 shows the effects of the learning curves.
ever, unlike R&D costs, manufacturing costs are recurring, The manufacturing costs per pound of each component is
meaning that the costs will be incurred repeatedly for each shown in Table 6. Note that ‘‘Final assembly” in the manufac-
plane. The more airplanes produced, the lower manufacturing turing cost breakdown does not appear in the R&D cost
costs per unit. model. It is not technically a component of aircraft, but is
The calculation model designed is divided into four mod- assigned with a value of distinct cost per pound. Its corre-
ules: R&D costs, manufacturing costs, sale price and sale sponding weight in calculation is the aircraft’s empty weight.
quantity, which are introduced as follows. The manufacturing costs of the nth aircraft are given as
P
3
3.2.1. R&D costs Cmn ¼ TFUj nlnsj =ln2
j¼1
The development of a new commercial aircraft typically lasts ð19Þ
P
3 P
8
for about 5 years. R&D costs can be divided into five cate- ¼ mi TFUij nlnsj =ln2
j¼1 i¼1
gories: engineering; manufacturing engineering (materials and
equipment); tool design; tool fabrication; and support (quality where Cmn represents the manufacturing costs of the nth air-
inspection and testing). Note that R&D costs will be spent craft; TFUj is the manufacturing costs of process j for the first
only once during the aircraft program, so they are non- unit; sj is the learning curve factor of process j; is the weight of
recurring. component i; TFUij is the manufacturing cost of component i
Based on the data from Ref. 25, the R&D costs per pound and process j for the first unit.
of each component is shown in Table 5. Since the information
obtained from the public literature is very limited, the data in 3.2.3. Operating cost
Table 5 are only used as reference in the preliminary calcula-
The Total Operating Cost (TOC) of aircraft can be divided
tion of the commonality valuation model. Note that research-
into two categories: the Direct Operating Cost (DOC) and
ers can use other component classification and cost data if
the Indirect Operating Cost (IOC). The DOC27 is an important
more authoritative information could be obtained.
index to determine the economy of aircraft operation, which
The R&D costs of the whole aircraft are given as:
accounts for more than 50% of the TOC. The DOC can be
!
X 7 X5 regarded as a technical criterion for comprehensive assessment
CR&D ¼ mi CR&Dij ð17Þ of the aircraft’s market environment, overall parameters,
i¼1 j¼1 maintenance requirements and flight performance. Therefore,
the research on aircraft operating cost mainly focuses on the
where CR&D stands for the R&D costs of the whole aircraft; mi
analysis of the DOC.
is the weight of component i; CR&Dij is the R&D costs per
pound of component i and process j.
Wing ($) 609 204 88 901 where Price refers to airplane price with multiple variables;
Empennage ($) 1614 484 233 2331 4(LC) is the increment of lifecycle costs due to the CAROC,
Fuselage ($) 679 190 98 967 which will be explained in the next paragragh; Seats and Range
Landing gear ($) 107 98 16 221
are the seat count and design range (nm) of the aircraft;
Installed engines ($) 248 91 36 375
Seatsref, Rangeref, and Priceref are reference values that nor-
Systems ($) 315 91 46 452
Payloads ($) 405 100 59 564 malize the number of seats, range, and price, respectively; k1,
Final assembly ($) 58 4 3 65 k2 and a are model parameters selected to minimize the mean
squared error of estimated price.
The increment of lifecycle costs, 4(LC), is explained as fol-
lows: if the CAROC of the aircraft is higher (or lower) than
In the composition of the DOC, the cost of cash is the expected due to the implementation of a series of design con-
biggest cost item for airlines. Its full name is the Cash cepts or due to design deficiencies, the airline and other buyers
Airplane-Related Operating Cost (CAROC), and its unit is would believe that they could get an extra loss (or benefit).
$/ASM (dollar per available seat n mile). In order to take This loss (or benefit) can be quantified as the expected present
the operating cost into the consideration of the aircraft pricing value of additional expenses (or savings) from operating the
process, the CAROC is divided into the nominal CAROC and aircraft over its lifetime. When the buyer and seller negotiate
the actual CAROC. the price, the buyer would want to give the manufacturer less
The Ref. 25 analyzed the linear regression of the CAROC money, or the manufacturer hopes to share this part of benefit,
data of some narrow-body and wide-body aircrafts. The fitting i.e., 4(LC).
equations are as follows: As discussed in the Section 3.2.3, the changes in CAROC
are also divided into two types: the changes related to the fuel
0:0001seat þ 0:0671 narrow body aircraft cost and the changes related to the other costs, including main-
CAROCnominal ¼ tenance, crew and ground costs. Correspondingly, 4(LC) is
0:00005seat þ 0:0542 wide body aircraft
also divided into two parts: the part related to the fuel cost
ð20Þ
in CAROC and the part related to the non-fuel cost in
CAROC. The equations of 4(LC) are given as:
where CAROCnominal is the CAROC of an aircraft in the nor-
mal condition, the value of it is based on the seat count of the DðLCfuel Þ ¼ DCfuel S AU TL Y ð24Þ
aircraft.
In addition, the actual CAROC is the estimation of the cash DðLCother Þ ¼ DCother S AU TL Y ð25Þ
cost of an aircraft in actual operation based on certain assump-
tions. The wages paid by airlines to pilots and crews are differ- DðLCÞ ¼ DðLCfuel Þ þ DðLCother Þ
ð26Þ
ent, the equipment maintenance also varies with companies, so ¼ CAROC S AU TL Y
the fuel cost is the most easily quantifiable and stable cost item
where DðLCfuel Þ is the lifecycle cost increment related to the
(the fuel cost generally account for about 20% of CAROC).
fuel cost; DðLCother Þ is the lifecycle cost increment related to
Therefore, the actual CAROC can be derived by calculating
the other costs; DðCAROCÞ is the difference between the nom-
the fuel cost.
inal CAROC and the actual CAROC for the same aircraft; S is
The Ref. 25 calculated the fuel burn and fuel cost of some
the seat count of the target aircraft; AU is the annual average
aircrafts, and the fitting equation of the ratio parameter ‘‘fuel
usage count of the target airplane; TL is the average trip length
cost/CAROC” is as follows:
of the target aircraft; Y is the count of years for which the tar-
rfuel=CAROC ¼ 0:0002seat þ 0:1339 ð21Þ get aircraft will be used.
The 4(CAROC) is defined as:
After obtaining the fuel cost ratio of an aircraft, its actual
CAROC can be calculated using the equation: DðCAROCÞ ¼ CAROCnominal CAROCactual ð27Þ
The 4(LC) is the discounted value of the 4(CAROC)
Wfuel Pfuel
CAROCactual ¼ ð22Þ within the service years. The specific calculation of Eq. (26)
rfuel=CAROC
is given as follows:
where CAROCactual is the actual CAROC of the aircraft; Wfuel XY
DðCAROCÞ S AU TL Y
DðLCÞ ¼ ð28Þ
is the fuel burn for the reference range mission; Pfuel is the fuel ð1 þ rÞi
i¼1
cost.
where i is the number of the year; r is the operator discount
3.2.4. Sale price rate.
The default values of some parameters used in the aircraft
The price of aircraft is modeled as a function of several vari-
price calculation are shown in Table 7.
ables. By adjusting the function parameters, the mean squared
error of estimated price is minimized. The following formula is
3.2.5. Program value calculation based on real option method
the price definition function, which shows that the price has a
nonlinear relationship with seats and a linear relationship with The shareholder value of the aircraft manufacturer is selected
range. as the ultimate objective function of the aircraft design prob-
1836 Y. ZHANG et al.
After calculating the program value reversely to the starting receive certain benefits from commonality, but the related
point T = 0 by following the above formula, we finally obtain costs of new equipment and tools are uncertain. Therefore, it
the value of the aircraft program based on the real option cannot be concluded that the TFU will be reduced due to com-
method that considers uncertainty and flexibility. monality. The viewpoint that the TFU will be affected by com-
monality is then proposed, and the specific value of the TFU
4. Impact of commonality on aircraft program value will be determined by actual analysis.
Next, subjective factors such as the operators’ skill and
This section presents a quantitative analysis of the impact of technical improvement cannot be quantified easily, but corre-
commonality of airplanes at various stages of an aircraft fam- sponding data can be obtained through statistics. The com-
ily design, and considers the commonality effects on the mod- monality makes the learning curve factor reduce from s of
ules of the calculation model for the aircraft program value the previous aircraft model to s0 , formula (19) is amended as
introduced previously to obtain a complete evaluation model P
3
TFUj nlnðsj Þ=ln2
0
Since the tools corresponding to the common components where cij is the learning curve reduction factor of component i
already exist (unless new tools are needed), the cost savings in process j; sj is the learning curve factor of process j, it is dif-
mainly occur in tool design and tool fabrication. For the rest ferent for various processes, ranging from 0 to 1, but according
processes, such as manufacturing and support, the cost and to the NASA Cost Estimate Handbook, the general values are
time can also be partly saved because of the previous equip- between 0.75 and 0.95. The estimation values for both sj and cij
ment and personnel experience from the last aircraft model. are to be obtained by accumulation within a certain period of
Based on the reasonable first-order estimation, the R&D time.
cost reduction factors are shown in Table 8. The reduction fac-
tors indicate the cost saving proportion when two aircraft 4.3. Sale price
models have one completely identical component, in such case
the value of the commonality index is 1. For airlines, commonality implementation can reduce aircraft
Therefore, considering commonality, formula (17) is maintenance costs. The same components can use the same
amended as repair tools, spare parts are sufficient, and workers do not need
( )
X7 X
5
component additional training. For example, the cockpits with high com-
CR&D ¼ mi 1 aij CIi CR&Dij ð35Þ monality can increase fleet flexibility, and also reduce the time
i¼1 j1 and cost of pilot training by reducing the number of flight sim-
where aij is the R&D cost reduction factor of component i in ulators and ground instructors. Therefore, the operating costs
process j; CIcomponent is the commonality index of component i. can be significantly saved due to commonality. In the aspects
i
of aircraft maintenance and personnel training, the time and
cost savings of commonality implementation will come from
4.2. Manufacturing costs
many software aspects, such as logic, operational processes,
interfaces and so on. Although the commonality index is more
Although the manufacturing costs for each aircraft are related to the hardware aspects of the component, it can also
unavoidable, the commonality can have a great impact on be used to analyze the operation of the aircraft. Because the
the learning curve. Because workers can operate more skillfully software commonality is actually reflected by the hardware
with experience from the previous aircraft model, the learning commonality, for example the same tools and processes can
curve can decease more quickly (i.e., the slope coefficient be used for maintenance as a result of the same linking method
increases), which reduces material waste and saves manufac- between parts. But the results can be more accurate if the com-
turing costs in turn. monality index takes the software aspects into consideration
The impact of commonality on manufacturing costs can be by obtaining enough information and data support.
summarized as two main parts. First, due to the existence of The residual value of commercial aircraft is the most
some production equipment, tools utilizing the production important indicator of measuring the real-time value of air-
equipment, and tools of the previous aircraft model, TFU will craft. After entering the secondary market, the residual value
of the aircraft becomes the focus of buyers and sellers. Due to index for process j; TR&Dj is the R&D benchmark time for pro-
the aircraft family development, the characteristics of systems, cess j.
products and flights among different aircraft models have high
commonality and high market share; thus, the residual value 4.4.2. Manufacturing time
of the aircraft can be increased and the aircraft can have a Aircraft manufacturing can generally be divided into two cat-
wider usage space even after reaching the operating age. The egories: component manufacturing and assembly (including
retired aircraft can be converted to a cargo aircraft and sold component assembly and final assembly). However, certain
to a shipping company, or it can be dismantled so that the parts of the aircraft such as engines, instruments, airborne
common components or parts can be used for other aircraft equipments, hydraulic system and accessories are manufac-
models within the family. tured by specialized factories, and are therefore not included
All the above reasons can be used as selling points of air- in the scope of aircraft manufacturing. The final assembly
craft. During the process of negotiating prices between manu- work includes the installation of all parts as a finished product,
facturers and airlines, the benefits can be used as an advantage the coupling of the entire system, and the laying of cables and
to increase price. However, the pricing of aircraft is not only conduits.
affected by commonality, for example the use of new technolo- Fig. 4 shows the traditional working hour quota composi-
gies can also become an advantage to increase the price. There- tion of aircraft manufacturing. Component manufacturing
fore, some scale factors are proposed here to quantify the time and assembly time can be subdivided according to this
impact of cost factors on aircraft pricing and the price can figure.
be predicted by adjusting the parameter values. Considering Working time is the most important and meaningful part
all the factors discussed above, the pricing formula of aircraft for the program. Commonality mainly affects the working
can be given as: time by the improvement of workers’ skill, production man-
h i agement techniques, continuous supply of materials, and
Seats a
Price ¼ k1 ðSeats Þ þ k2 Range
Range
Priceref
ref ref ð37Þ timely information feedback. Therefore, when calculating
b1 DðLCfuel Þ b2 DðLCother Þ þ b3 Crv the commonality of the manufacturing time saving, we only
consider the working time. Calculation formulas are given
where b1 is the scale factor of the impact of DðLCfuel Þ on
as
aircraft pricing; b2 is the scale factor of the impact of
DðLCother Þ on aircraft pricing; b3 is the scale factor of the resid- TScmi ¼ ½1 ð1 acm ÞCIcomponent
i Tcm whi ð39Þ
ual value change in aircraft pricing; Crv is the aircraft residual
value. TScai ¼ ½1 ð1 aca ÞCIcomponent
i Tca whi ð40Þ
5.1. Example of A320 and A319 The A319 model is a shortened version of the A320 model.
The A319 removes one emergency exit on the wing and the
Airbus single-aisle aircraft includes four types: A318, A319, bulk cargo compartment at the rear of the fuselage. However,
A320 and A321, of which A318, A319 and A321 are designed the nose, the middle and rear sections of the fuselage, the wing,
on the basis of A320. These types achieve different passenger and the empennage structure of the A319 are all identical to
capacities by lengthening or shortening the airframe, and have those of the A320. In order to adapt to the reduction of the
the same cockpit and operating procedures that can reduce seats, the A319 fuselage has a shorter frame distance compared
pilot training costs and maintenance costs and can increase to the A320 fuselage. The pictures and geometry data of the
operational flexibility. two aircraft models are shown in Fig. 5.
BWB concept is found to be ideal for family development with per pound, and R&D cost reduction factors. The summary
a high potential for commonality realization. of the parameters used in the calculation is listed in Table 20.
The fuselage bays are divided into cockpit, fuselage bay 1, The results of break-even analysis of BWB-250C are shown
fuselage bay 2, fuselage bay 3 and fuselage bay 4; the wings in Fig. 11. The aircraft break-even point will be moved for-
are divided into inner wing, outer wing and winglets. Assuming ward from 343 to 214 when the target aircraft adopts the com-
that BWB-250C has the same fuselage bay 2, fuselage bay 3, monality strategy.
inner wing, outer wing and winglets as BWB-450 does, while The price and program value of BWB-250C are shown in
the other components are completely different between the Table 21. The commonality implementation in the BWB-
two aircraft models. The example configurations are shown 250C model increases the sale price and program value by
in Fig. 10. 6.75% and 36.57%, respectively.
This example takes BWB-450 as the baseline aircraft and The three examples given above show that the commonality
BWB-250C as the target aircraft. The weight breakdown and evaluation strategy proposed here proves to be effective for both
some other features of the two aircraft models are listed in the conventional airplane and BWB airplane. The economic ben-
Table 18.25 efits of commonality, such as the increase of the program value,
The commonality index of the wing is 1, because the two air- can be calculated and used as a trade-off factor for future research.
crafts use the same wings. To obtain the commonality index of
the fuselage, we analyze the commonality implementation in 5.4. Sensitivity analysis
the fuselage. Ref. 12 points out that in BWB-450, the cockpit
is counted as part of fuselage bay 1 and fuselage bay 2, while it This section presents the effects of some varying parameters of
is regarded as an individual part in BWB-250C. To simplify the aircraft program value model based on the investigation of
the calculation, we assume that the cockpit in BWB-250C is the BWB aircraft. First, model sensitivity to the component
completely different from that of BWB-450. Further, given the commonality index is addressed by comparing the calculations
unknown cost information of each component, we assume that with different fuselage commonality indexes. Next, the effects
the unit cost of each fuselage bay is identical, so the cost percent- of the parameters in the pricing model are discussed, including
age of each component becomes the weight percentage, and the CAROC, b2 and b3 . Finally, the effects of decision duration
final commonality index of the fuselage is 0.85. Table 19 shows and volatility are demonstrated.
the commonality index of each component in BWB-250C.
Similar to the example of B737-700 and B737-800, the 5.4.1. Commonality index
example of BWB-250C uses the default data mentioned in Since the data of components are not ample enough, we could
Table 19 for the R&D costs per pound, manufacturing costs only confirm the commonality index of the wings of BWB-450
1842 Y. ZHANG et al.
5.4.2. 4(CAROc)
4(CAROC) is heavily influenced by the fuel cost in the Eq.
(24). The existing data and empirical function show that the
value of 4(CAROC) is usually close to or lower than 0.1; thus,
we calculate the program value and sale price of BWB250-C
with different values of 4(CAROC), ranging from 0.02 to
0.11. As shown in Fig. 13, the value remarkably decreases with
the increase of 4(CAROC), due to the fact that higher
4(CAROC) means the airliner has to spend more operation
cost than the average cost of the similar aircraft in the market.
Therefore, the manufacturing company would be at an inferior
position while the pricing and price of the aircraft decrease
obviously.
Fig. 7 Binary tree of aircraft quantity and program value.
5.4.3. b2 and b3
b2 and b3 play important roles in determining the aircraft
Table 13 Key outputs of A319. price, and their values will be negotiated by buyers and manu-
facturers. As shown in Fig. 9, there is a linear correlativity
Subitem With No Increase
commonality commonality ratio between the program value and b2 or b3, since they are the pri-
(%) mary term coefficients in the aircraft pricing formula. The pro-
gram value increases with the decline of b2 or the rise of b3. A
Sale price (Million CNY) 243.79 213.54 +14.17
lower value of b2 means that the manufacturer has more
Program value 6.858 3.921 +74.90
(Billion CNY) advantages at pricing, because the aircraft will bring less
non-fuel operation costs by using the commonality strategy
or other advanced technology. A higher value of b3 means that
and BWB-250C as 1, assuming that the index of the fuselage is the aircraft has more residual value due to the family design
0.85 based on the weight breakdown. Fig. 8 shows the aircraft and that this selling point is beneficial for raising the aircraft
program value with different commonality indexes of the fuse- price. Furthermore, the impact of b2 is greater than that of
lage, ranging from 0 to 1. As can be seen in Fig. 12, there is a b3, as shown in Fig. 14.
Exploration and implementation of commonality valuation method 1843
(4) The real option method and the binary tree model are
used to forecast aircraft sale quantity, which ensures
that the aircraft program value calculation considers
uncertainty and flexibility. Three examples are used to
verify the rationality and applicability of both the model
Fig. 12 BWB250-C program value: effect of commonality of for calculating the aircraft program value and the com-
fuselage. monality evaluation strategy utilized in aircraft design
1846 Y. ZHANG et al.
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