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280 Evolution of Transboundary Politics
than inhibit cooperation; they aggravated existing disputes over water and
moved them progressively up the agenda of contentious issues until they
were near the top for Turkey with each of the others. Ironically, despite sim-
ilarly dependent relations with the Soviet Union, Iraq and Syria also were
at loggerheads over water, as well as other issues implicated in their bitter
regional rivalry, and there were moments when water use in the Euphrates
river basin propelled the two regimes to the cusp of war. Though frequently
marked by harsh rhetoric, Turkish-Iraqi relations were manageable by com-
parison in part because of complementary economies that induced a signifi-
cant volume of bilateral trade. With the turning of the millennium, bilateral
political relations between Turkey and Syria became conducive to trans-
boundary water dialogue. In this context, contacts were established at gov-
ernmental and nongovernmental levels, with the focus particularly on water
and regional (river basin) development. And a series of protocols were
signed to enable further cooperation.
Regime change in Iraq created both uncertainties and opportunities. Iraq
joined in the trilateral ministerial dialogue on water issues and even signed
separate protocols with Turkey and Syria that broadly addressed trans-
boundary water use and management. However, the Iraqi parliament con-
stantly criticized Turkey’s use of water upstream and became vocal over
claimed violation of Iraq’s water rights. The recent domestic political unrest
in Syria has led to the severing of bilateral political relations with Turkey
and the blocking of any further transboundary water cooperation.
Against the background of often volatile relations among the three ripar-
ians, we consider the evolution of transboundary water politics in the
Euphrates-Tigris river system, its competitive power dynamics, and its coop-
erative institutional development. We begin by describing the physical char-
acteristics of the Euphrates-Tigris river system as the medium of complex
interdependencies among the riparian states. We then analyze the evolution
of transboundary water politics over four consecutive periods. The first
period coincided with nation-building in the region, when the riparian states
focused on their domestic need for socioeconomic development rather than
the formulation of external water policies. The historical treaties signed at
that time defined state borders and general bilateral political relations, and
also included some clauses concerning transboundary water uses. The sec-
ond period, however, saw the advent of competitive transboundary water
politics shaped by the initiation of uncoordinated, large-scale water devel-
opment projects. As the national water development ventures progressed,
mismatches between water supply and demand occurred throughout the river
basin. The ad hoc technical negotiations were unable to prepare the ground
for a comprehensive treaty on equitable and effective transboundary water
management. The third period was the most complex, given the link
between transboundary water issues and nonriparian security issues. Mutual
Aysegul Kibaroglu and Waltina Scheumann 281
distrust precluded any fruitful outcome. However, this was also the phase
when attempts were made to establish a joint mechanism for settling trans-
boundary water disputes. We analyze these mechanisms, which ultimately
proved incapable of resolving water and political crises in the region. In the
fourth period, the role of water bureaucracies in the reorientation of water
policies from hostile to cooperative became significant.
In the decades since the disputes over water first began, the state has
been the major player in the formulation and implementation of transbound-
ary water policies. The discourse and practices of the state bureaucracies—
the water technocrats in the various ministries—and foreign office diplomats
of the riparian states have evolved during the prolonged water dispute and
this, in turn, has played a significant role in changing the nature of trans-
boundary water relations. In the last section of this article, we therefore con-
sider water relations among the riparians, paying particular attention to the
role of water bureaucracies in the reorientation of water policies from hos-
tile to cooperative in the early 2000s. We scrutinize the policy-learning
processes of bureaucracies, paying particular attention to the shift from secu-
ritized negotiations to a functional approach.
We conclude that, even in the midst of the recent political crisis between
Turkey and Syria, partial institutionalization of water cooperation and grow-
ing networks of water dialogue at both the governmental and nongovern-
mental levels have continued to serve as open channels for easing the
tensions. After all, severe water shortages due to mismanagement, misuse,
and prolonged drought conditions can be addressed satisfactorily only at the
river basin level, with all the riparians concerned in attendance. Come what
may, the dialogue on water should be kept open. The situation strongly sug-
gests the need for joint efforts to assess and coordinate planning and man-
agement in order to harmonize basinwide development, in which, in addition
to water sector demands (energy, agriculture), in-stream flows, and ecosys-
tem protection should be taken into account.
not present where (on farmland) or when (in summer) it is most needed, the
riparians have launched large-scale irrigation projects, which have become the
main bone of contention in transboundary water politics since the late 1960s.
The Euphrates and its tributaries drain an enormous basin of
444,000 km2, of which 33.0 percent lies in Turkey, 19.0 percent in Syria,
and 46.0 percent in Iraq while the Tigris and its tributaries drain an area of
387,600 km2, of which 15.0 percent lies in Turkey, 0.3 percent in Syria, 75.0
percent in Iraq, and 9.5 percent in Iran. Both rivers rise in Turkey, scarcely
30 km apart, flow through Syria and Iraq, and join to form the Shatt-al-Arab
waterway north of Basra in Iraq before discharging into the Persian Gulf.
The Euphrates is a long river (3,000 km), around 41 percent lying in Turkey,
23 percent in Syria, and 36 percent in Iraq. Iraq accounts for most (77 per-
cent) of the Tigris (1,850 km), followed by Turkey (22 percent) and Syria,
which has 44 km of the main river channel, forming its border with Turkey
(about 36 km) and Iraq (about 8 km).4
The mean annual flow of the Euphrates is 32 km3, of which about 90
percent originates in Turkey and the remaining 10 percent in Syria.5 As for
the Tigris, the average total discharge is 52 km3 per year, of which approxi-
mately 40 percent comes from Turkey, with Iraq and Iran contributing 51
percent and 9 percent, respectively.6
Iraq derives the majority of its freshwater from the two rivers.7
Although the Euphrates basin is one of seven in Syria, it is strategically the
most important because of its existing and potential uses for agricultural and
hydropower purposes.8 The Tigris-Euphrates basin is one of twenty-five
basins in Turkey, but accounts for nearly a third of the country’s surface
water resources and a fifth of its irrigable land. The variation of the flow of
these twin rivers from one season and one year to another is extremely high,
and severe drought and destructive flooding have been common phenomena
for thousands of years. The physical characteristics of the rivers necessitate
the coordinated management and use of water resources within and among
the states they pass through. They cause interdependencies among the ripar-
ian states, which call for a cooperative attitude to ensure more efficient use
of the water in the region and the avoidance of serious conflicts.
We observe friendly relations among the riparians from the early 1920s
until the late 1950s (the first period), when each country’s priority was the
establishment of state bureaucracies and all had similar concerns and the
same need for socioeconomic development. Throughout that period, plan-
ning was done largely on a country-by-country basis. None of the countries
engaged in major development projects, which would have resulted in uti-
lization of water by each to the detriment of the others.9 The Euphrates and
Tigris linked the communities in the river basin as they had done for thou-
sands of years, and the newly established riparian states had yet to clash
over the use of the water.
Aysegul Kibaroglu and Waltina Scheumann 283
Rivers of Competition
In the second period, water relations became competitive due to uncoordi-
nated and unilateral projects carried out in the region. As the riparian states
further consolidated their regimes between 1960 and 1980, they paid more
attention to socioeconomic development based on water and land resources.
Turkey had long been dependent on oil imports. Having been hard hit by the
oil crises of the 1970s, the government embarked on a program of indige-
nous resource development that particularly emphasized hydropower and
lignite schemes with the aim of minimizing the national economy’s depend-
ency on imported oil.12
The Syrian economy has traditionally been dominated by agriculture.
Exploration for oil did not begin until the early 1980s. Even though oil made
a significant contribution to export earnings in the following decades as
world oil prices fluctuated, Syria focused on agricultural development with
the aim of achieving food self-sufficiency.13 These considerations were rein-
forced by political goals which, under the ruling Ba’ath Party, placed the
emphasis on the development of rural areas and the organization of peasants
as a political power base.14 Since 1958, Iraq changed from being mainly an
agricultural country exporting wheat, rice, and other crops to an oil-produc-
ing, semi-industrial nation forced to import most of its own food. Yet after
the Iraqi government nationalized the oil companies in 1972 and began to
receive more income from oil, the focus also turned to agricultural produc-
tion.15 This led to an expansion of irrigated areas, with the aim of achieving
food security for the Iraqi people.16
The central water agencies of all the riparian countries designated the
rivers for large-scale development projects. In Turkey, the major objective
was to irrigate the fertile lands in southeastern Anatolia, which make up one-
fifth of the country’s irrigable land, using the huge water potential of the
Tigris and Euphrates river basin, which accounts for 28.5 percent of the sur-
face water supply.17 In this context, Turkey implemented the Lower
Euphrates Project, initially a series of dams designed to increase hydropower
generation and expand irrigated agriculture. Subsequently, in the late 1970s,
the Lower Euphrates Project evolved into a larger, multisectoral develop-
ment project, taking in the Tigris waters as well and known as the South-
eastern Anatolia Project (GAP, its Turkish acronym), which included
twenty-one large dams, nineteen hydropower plants, and irrigation schemes
extending to 1.7 million ha of land.
The Euphrates river basin provides 65 percent of surface water supply
in Syria and accounts for 27 percent of total land resources. Syria launched
the Euphrates Valley Project under the Ba’ath Party. The government set a
number of objectives to be met by the project: irrigation of an area as large as
640,000 ha; construction of the large, multipurpose Tabqa or Al-Thawra Dam
to generate the electricity needed for urban use and industrial development;
and regulation of the flow of the Euphrates to prevent seasonal flooding.18
Aysegul Kibaroglu and Waltina Scheumann 285
The main channels and tributaries of the Euphrates and the Tigris rivers
account for almost the entire freshwater supply in Iraq, which pioneered and
built its first dams in the 1950s: the Euphrates Dam in 1955–1956 to divert
water to Lake Al-Habbaniya; and the Samarra Dam on the Tigris, completed
in 1954, to protect against previously catastrophic floods. The Ba’ath Party,
which came to power under Saddam Hussein’s presidency in 1968, adopted
the slogan “food security for the Iraqi people,” which was to be accomplished
through the development of irrigation. To that end, the Revolutionary Plan
was developed. The Higher Agriculture Council attached to the presidency,
the Soil and Land Reclamation Organisation attached to the Ministry of Irri-
gation, and many other new departments were established to carry out stud-
ies, to create designs, and to construct and maintain water projects.19
Owing to the competitive and uncoordinated nature of these water
development projects, disagreements over transboundary water uses sur-
faced in the late 1960s. During this period, transboundary water issues were
regarded by each country’s political leadership as falling within the middle
range of economic and technical objectives, which could be handled by offi-
cial technical delegations. Hence, water negotiations were held by tech-
nocrats from the riparians’ central water agencies, accompanied by
diplomats who advised and monitored the negotiations, particularly when
international legal and political aspects were under discussion. The main
theme of these technical negotiations was the impact of the construction of
the Keban Dam in Turkey and the Tabqa Dam in Syria on Iraq’s historical
water use patterns. While Turkey suggested the establishment of a Joint
Technical Committee (JTC) to determine the water and irrigation needs of
the riparians, Iraq insisted on a guarantee of specific flows and a water-shar-
ing agreement. While Turkey released certain flows during the construction
and impounding of the Keban Dam, no final allocation agreement was
reached even after numerous technical meetings.20
Those meetings did not achieve the expressed aim of coordinating the
water development and use patterns of the three riparians. Consequently, a
political crisis occurred in the region in 1975. Turkey began impounding the
Keban reservoir at the same time that Syria was completing the construction
of the Tabqa Dam—during a period of severe drought. The impounding of
the two reservoirs triggered a crisis in the spring. Iraq accused Syria of
reducing the river’s flow to intolerable levels while Syria blamed Turkey.
The Iraqi government was not satisfied with the Syrian response, and the
mounting frustration resulted in mutual threats that brought the parties to the
brink of armed hostility. A war over water was averted when, thanks to
Saudi Arabia’s mediation, Syria released additional quantities of water to
Iraq.21 The main cause of this crisis was the mounting political rivalry and
tension between the two Ba’athist regimes. In other words, it was not a
water-sharing crisis per se, but rather the beginning of the use of water as a
political lever in nonriparian issues.
286 Evolution of Transboundary Politics
Rivers of Discord
In the third period, from the 1980s until the late 1990s, political tensions
among the parties insinuated themselves into every corner of the relationships
and, thus, inevitably water issues moved into the realm of high politics. Bilat-
eral relations between Turkey and Syria had long been strained. Two princi-
pal sources of friction were Syria’s extensive logistical support for the
Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK), a separatist terrorist organization, and Syr-
ian irredentist claims to the province of Hatay in Turkey.22 Despite official
denials in Damascus, Syria’s support for subversive activities against Turkey
had been widely known and documented since the early 1980s.23
Even though the regional political environment was not conducive to
water cooperation in the early 1980s, the growing exploitation of the
Euphrates through the construction of the Ataturk Dam in Turkey led to
fresh calls for cooperation. Because the issues triggered by water develop-
ment schemes along the Tigris and Euphrates are so complex and far-reach-
ing, the three riparians had to find ways to structure their discussions. To this
end, Iraq took the initiative in the formation of a permanent joint technical
body. The first meeting of the Joint Economic Commission between Turkey
and Iraq in 1980 led to the establishment in 1983 of the JTC, whose mem-
bers included participants from all three riparians assigned to lay down
methods and procedures that would lead to the definition of a reasonable and
adequate quantity of water for each country from both rivers.24 However, the
JTC was not able to agree on any substantial resolution even after sixteen
meetings. Negotiations were suspended in 1993.25 A careful examination of
the records of the negotiations among the riparian states, and their failure,
shows that nonwater issues (or, more precisely, the overall pattern of rela-
tions among the three countries) played a decisive part in the growth of ten-
sion and disputes. The use of transboundary rivers was only one factor in
their complex web of relations and interactions.26
The major issues that led to the deadlock in the JTC were related to both
the subject and the object of the negotiations: were the Euphrates and the
Tigris to be considered a single system, or could the discussions be confined
to the Euphrates?27 The wording of the JTC’s ultimate objective—establishing
a common terminology—was also problematic: should there be a proposal for
the “sharing” of the “international rivers,” or should there be a trilateral
regime for determining the “utilization of transboundary watercourses”? Iraq
and Syria considered the Euphrates to be an international river and insisted on
an immediate sharing agreement under which its waters would be shared on
the basis of the needs declared by each country. On the other hand, Turkey
regarded the Euphrates and Tigris as forming a single transboundary river
basin where the waters should be allocated according to objective needs.28
International customary law on transboundary watercourses has been
the point of reference throughout the negotiation process at the JTC meet-
Aysegul Kibaroglu and Waltina Scheumann 287
and water.33 Turkish prime minister Turgut Ozal, the decisive political actor at
the time, promised a water flow of up to 500 km3 per second, or about 16 km3
per year, at the Turkish-Syrian border, with the intention of reaching an agree-
ment with Syria on security matters.34 At the same time, a Mutual Security
Accord was signed, setting out that each state would prevent activities against
the other from originating in its territory and that criminals responsible for ter-
rorist activities would be extradited. Ozal believed that the PKK would cease
its attacks if Syria stopped supporting it. For a while, it seemed that Ozal’s
hopes had been fulfilled, but a dramatic upsurge in fighting between Turkish
and PKK forces in 1988/1989 led to renewed Turkish concerns about Syrian
support for the PKK.35 On the other hand, the Syrian-Iraqi water accord of
1990 designated Syria’s share of the Euphrates waters as 42 percent and the
remaining 58 percent was allocated to Iraq as a fixed annual total percentage.36
However, the existence of these bilateral accords, both relating to only
the Euphrates, could not be accepted as evidence of cooperation. Each
agreement was bilateral and predominantly concerned with water quantity
issues. The riparians could not agree on more comprehensive forms of coop-
eration that would adopt an integrated approach to the various aspects of
water use and needs (quality, quantity, flood protection, preservation of
ecosystems, and prevention of accidents) and might potentially facilitate
negotiations by linking water management issues. The agreements lacked
effective organizational backup, at least in the form of joint monitoring.
Most critically, both treaties failed to address fluctuations in flow, meaning
that they contained no clauses referring to the periods of drought and flood-
ing that occur frequently in the basin and cause drastic changes in the flow
regime that require urgent adjustment to the use of the rivers.37
During that period, water relations among the riparian states were mostly
handled at diplomatic level through the exchange of curt diplomatic notes.
When diplomacy failed to ease the tensions, meetings were held at the high-
est level where the driving rationale was the pursuit of Turkey’s, Syria’s, and
Iraq’s strategic national objectives. Yet these strategic interests lacked sound
and scientific foundations, particularly when they were most needed as water
shortages grew and water quality deteriorated. Instead, rhetoric prevailed and
all parties stressed the need to achieve food self-sufficiency, food security,
or other social and regional development objectives,38 claiming them to be
strategic national goals. Consequently, the riparians’ negotiating strategies
were incompatible and, not surprisingly, favored national claims.
decades, Syria did not recognize the Turkish-Syrian political border where
the Orontes crosses it, claiming territorial rights to the Turkish province of
Hatay (historically, Alexandretta). The signing of the protocol implied the
recognition of the border. Also for decades, Turkey called for regulation of
the waters of the Orontes River, which often fluctuated, causing severe
flooding or drought in downstream Turkish towns and villages. However,
Syria never agreed to build water development structures on the border,
arguing that the Orontes is a national river. In this respect, the Protocol of
December 2009 marks a major change in Syria’s attitude. In fact, it marks
the beginning of flourishing cooperation between otherwise hostile riparian
states after their agreement to build joint dams on their joint borders.54
the basis of the political will expressed at the highest level of the HSCC,
water technocrats have together concentrated on the urgent problems of the
acute shortage and deteriorating quality of water resources. Gone are the
days when the two countries adopted reserved and rigid positions on their
water shares and rights: now they openly discuss new and efficient methods
and procedures for managing the supply of and demand for water for agri-
cultural, industrial, and domestic purposes. The protocols cover a range of
issues. These include various forms of supply management such as cloud
seeding (artificial rain) to increase precipitation, the installation of early
flood warning systems and flood protection measures, and agricultural prac-
tices with drought-resistant crops. They also include various forms of
demand management such as sharing of knowledge and experience about
modern irrigation techniques; prevention of water losses in domestic water
supply; organization of training programs relating to the operation of dams
and the efficient utilization of water resources; sharing of knowledge and
technology pertaining to wastewater storage and the reuse of treated waste-
water in agriculture and industry; and cooperation on the development of
land use techniques to increase the amount of soil and water saved.
The general approach and the content of the protocols reveal too that
Turkey’s firsthand experience with the European Union’s water policy and
approach to water management has been broadly translated into the princi-
ples envisioned in the protocols. Therefore, the staff of Turkey’s MoEF58 in
particular supported these protocols vigorously because they felt that their
implementation would be useful practice for the implementation and exten-
sion of the new water legislation in Turkey transposed from the European
Union’s water legislation.59 The European Union’s “river basin level” water
management approach in the form of its Water Framework Directive of 2000
will not only be applied in Turkey’s national river basins, but also in such
transboundary river basins as the Euphrates, Tigris, and Orontes. Moreover,
common standards for measuring (gauging) quantities of water and moni-
toring the quality of transboundary water are among the MoEF’s main objec-
tives in its cooperation with Syria and Iraq. In this context, one of the main
aims of the Turkish bureaucracy is to establish environmental quality stan-
dards and to implement the polluter-pays and cost-recovery principles at
transboundary level, as the relevant MoU stipulates.60
overall goal of the initiative is to promote cooperation among the three ripar-
ians with a view toward achieving technical, social, and economic develop-
ment in the Euphrates-Tigris region. ETIC’s composition and role are
remarkably consistent with the epistemic community’s theory and role in
institutional bargaining. An epistemic community is defined as a “network of
professionals with recognised expertise and competence in a particular
domain and an authoritative claim to policy-relevant knowledge within that
domain or issue-area.”66
ETIC’s origins can be traced back to early meetings of scientists from
Iraq, Syria, and Turkey as well as the United States in 2004.67 This group
of dedicated scholars has been meeting with flexible agendas. At the first
stage of these gatherings, the participants shared information on national
water policies and raised the significance of water issues in the context of
the three riparian countries’ socioeconomic development targets. The mem-
bers of the group were quick to develop a common understanding of exist-
ing conditions, pressing problems, and needs in the region, which led them
to decide to turn their expertise and experience to account in ETIC.
ETIC is a track-two effort, meaning that it is voluntary, nonofficial, non-
binding, not for profit, and nongovernmental. It is not affiliated with any
government, but seeks to contribute positively to efforts, official and unof-
ficial, that will enhance the dialogue, understanding, and collaboration
among the riparians of the Euphrates-Tigris system. As a multiriparian ini-
tiative, ETIC has been unique in that it looks beyond water rights per se to
themes related to environmental protection, development and gender equal-
ity, water management, governance, and grassroots participation in a holis-
tic, multistakeholder framework.68
ETIC’s members contend that awareness of socioeconomic develop-
ment is essential to an understanding of the real dynamics of the region.
ETIC’s ultimate objective is defined by the founders as being a situation in
which the “quality of life for people in all communities, including rural and
urban areas, is improved, and harmony among countries and with nature in
the Euphrates-Tigris region is achieved,” so that cooperation on technical,
social, and economic development in the Euphrates-Tigris region may be
promoted. In line with its vision and overall goal, ETIC prepares and imple-
ments joint training and capacity-building programs69 as well as undertaking
research projects70 aimed at responding to the common needs and concerns
of the people in the region.71 In conducting these activities, ETIC has built
partnerships with international organizations, nongovernmental organiza-
tions, and universities.
Conclusion
In this article, we described the evolution and change in transboundary water
policies in the Euphrates-Tigris river system with the aid of chronological
Aysegul Kibaroglu and Waltina Scheumann 297
analyses of the changing discourses and practices of the water and diplo-
matic bureaucracies. We revealed that changes in approach from water rights
to water needs, for instance, or more particularly from concentrating solely
on sharing the quantity to managing the quality of water can be attributed
partly to bureaucratic learning processes.
In his seminal work, Charles Hermann argues that foreign policy
changes can be placed on a continuum indicating the magnitude of the shift
from minor adjustment changes, through both program and goal changes, to
fundamental changes in a country’s international orientation.72 In line with
Hermann’s definition of major foreign policy changes, the program changes
could explain the changes in the foreign policies of the riparian states. They
are defined as the changes made in the methods or means by which a prob-
lem is addressed. At that level of change, what is done and how it is done
change, but the purposes for which it is done remain unchanged.73 Changes
are qualitative and involve new instruments of statecraft. Indeed, throughout
the evolution of their transboundary water policies, the goal pursued by each
riparian has not changed: Turkey has been eager to determine what is needed
and how resources should be allocated while Iraq and Syria have adopted
the same line of reasoning that a sharing agreement should be concluded on
the basis of a declaration of fixed quotas.
Yet there has been a change in what is done and how it is done in the
region since the early 2000s. The high-level contacts have produced a frame-
work for regional cooperation of which water is an integral component. Issues
of mutual concern, such as drought management, efficient management of
resources, and the improvement of water quality, have come to the fore during
the transboundary water talks. Moreover, new instruments of statecraft (i.e.,
environmental bureaucracies) and nongovernmental entities (i.e., ETIC) have
begun to play key roles in shaping the water cooperation agenda.
However, our thorough analyses reveal that the change involving vari-
ous cooperative initiatives is more closely and intimately related to the
change in overall political relations, with decisions being made at the high-
est level. It cannot be denied, therefore, that the overarching problem of
deteriorating political relations in the region may have a counter effect on
the development of transboundary water cooperation. As the political will
fades, particularly in Turkish-Syrian relations, technocratic and diplomatic
bureaucracies are encountering serious difficulties in implementing the pro-
tocols because they are closely linked to decisionmaking at the highest level.
But it should also be noted that, since the early 2000s, contacts have been
made, existing networks have been revitalized, and new ones have been cre-
ated. Thus, a partial institutionalization of water cooperation had already
begun before it was abruptly halted in late 2011 as overarching bilateral
political relations worsened. When it has a chance to resume, transbound-
ary water cooperation should start from a variety of perspectives and issues,
which may again provide opportunities for regional cooperation.
298 Evolution of Transboundary Politics
Notes
Aysegul Kibaroglu is professor and faculty member in the International Relations
Department at Okan University in Istanbul. She served as the adviser to the president
of the Southeastern Anatolia Project Regional Development Administration from
2001 to 2003. Her areas of research include transboundary water politics, interna-
tional law, political geography, and Turkish water policy. Her publications include
Building a Regime for the Waters of the Euphrates-Tigris River Basin (2002) and
Turkey’s Water Policy: National Frameworks and International Cooperation,
coedited with Waltina Scheumann (2011).
Waltina Scheumann joined the German Development Institute/Department of
Environmental Policy and Natural Resources Management in 2007, where she leads
research on sustainable dam development in Brazil, China, India, Turkey, Ghana, and
Cambodia. Her research covers global water governance, institutional arrangements
of natural resource (water-land) regimes, and transboundary water politics. She is the
coeditor of Turkey’s Water Policy: National Frameworks and International Cooper-
ation (2011).
1. Iran is also a riparian in that it contributes between 9.7 and 11.2 km3 of water
a year to the Tigris through its tributaries in the north and between 20 and 24.8 km3
to the Shatt al-Arab waterway, which unites the Tigris and the Euphrates through the
Kharun River. See Food and Agriculture Organization, Water Reports 34, Irrigation
in the Middle East Region in Figures, Aquastat Survey (Rome: Food and Agriculture
Organization, 2008).
2. For details of the geographical characteristics of the Euphrates and Tigris
river system, see Aysegul Kibaroglu, Building a Regime for the Waters of the
Euphrates and Tigris River Basin (London: Kluwer Law International, 2002); see
also Aysegul Kibaroglu and Waltina Scheumann, “Euphrates-Tigris River System:
Political Rapprochement and Transboundary Water Cooperation,” in Aysegul Kiba-
roglu, Waltina Scheumann, and Annika Kramer, eds., Turkey’s Water Policy (New
York: Springer Verlag, 2011).
3. N. Kliot, Water Resources and Conflict in the Middle East (London: Rout-
ledge, 1994).
4. P. Beaumont, “The Euphrates River: An International Problem of Water
Resources Development,” Environmental Conservation 5 (1978): 35–43.
5. O. Bilen, “Prospects for Technical Cooperation in the Euphrates-Tigris
Basin,” in A. K. Biswas, ed., International Waters of the Middle East: From
Euphrates-Tigris to Nile (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1994). See also M. L.
Belül, “Hydropolitics of the Euphrates-Tigris Basin” (master’s thesis, Middle East
Technical University, 1996), p. 67; John F. Kolars and William A. Mitchell, The
300 Evolution of Transboundary Politics
1991): 17–36; J. Bulloch and A. Darwish, Water Wars: Coming Conflicts in the Mid-
dle East (1993). These authors were among the first to draw attention to the conflicts
in the Euphrates-Tigris basin. They assume that the struggle over limited and threat-
ened water resources could sever already fragile ties among regional states and lead
to an unprecedented upheaval in the area. Another strand of literature argues that it is
not water scarcity that is the defining variable in the conflictive attitudes of the ripar-
ians, but second-order resource constraints (L. Ohlsson, “Environment, Scarcity and
Conflict: A Study of Malthusian Concerns,” report, Department of Peace and Devel-
opment Research, Göteborg University, 1999); see, for example, Kibaroglu and
Unver, “An Institutional Framework for Facilitating Cooperation,” pp. 311–330;
Kibaroglu, Building a Regime for the Waters.
22. Disputes over this province emerged in the 1930s when, following a
plebiscite held at the end of the French mandate, Hatay became part of Turkey,
although this was disputed by Syria. See M. Kibaroglu and Aysegul Kibaroglu,
Global Security Watch Turkey: A Reference Handbook (Westport, CN: Praeger Secu-
rity International, 2009).
23. See M. Benli Altunisik and O. Tur, “From Distant Neighbors to Partners?
Changing Syrian-Turkish Relations,” Security Dialogue 37 (2006): 232–234.
24. Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs, “Water Issues Between Turkey, Syria
and Iraq, Perceptions: Journal of International Affairs 1 (1996): 105.
25. Kibaroglu, Building a Regime for the Waters.
26. The regional context in which water issues may or may not lead to interstate
conflict, and the role that nonwater issues played (i.e., territorial claims, support for
separatist movements, security issues in general) are analyzed, for example, by N.
Beshorner, “Water and Instability in the Middle East,” Adelphi Paper No. 273 (Win-
ter 1992/93) (London: International Institute for Strategic Studies); W. Scheumann,
“The Euphrates Issue in Turkish-Syrian Relations,” in H. G. Brauch, P. H. Liotta, S.
Marquina, P. F. Rogers, M. El-Sayed Selim, eds., Security and Environment in the
Mediterranean: Conceptualising Security and Environmental Conflicts (Berlin:
Springer, 2003); F. M. Lorenz and E. J. Erickson, “The Euphrates Triangle: Security
Implications of the Southeastern Anatolia Project” (Washington, DC: National
Defense University Press, 1999).
27. G. Kut, “Burning Waters: The Hydropolitics of the Euphrates and Tigris,”
New Perspectives on Turkey 9 (1993): 5.
28. Kibaroglu, Building a Regime for the Waters.
29. Article IV of the Helsinki Rules on the Uses of the Waters of International
Rivers, and Article 5 of the UN Convention on the Law of Non-Navigational Uses of
International Watercourses are dedicated to the principle of equitable and reasonable
utilization and participation. In addition, these principles of the Helsinki Rules and
the convention enumerate the factors relevant to equitable and reasonable utilization
in Article V and Article 6 of these documents, respectively. See ILA, Report of the
Fifty-second Conference Held at Helsinki, 484 et seq. (1966); UN General Assembly
Res. 51/229 (21 May 1997) (Convention on the Law of the Non-Navigational Uses of
International Watercourses).
30. For further details on the Three-Stage Plan, see Kibaroglu, Building a Regime
for the Waters.
31. P. A. Williams, “Turkey’s Water Diplomacy: A Theoretical Discussion,” in
Aysegul Kibaroglu, Waltina Scheumann, and Annika Kramer, eds., Turkey’s Water
Policy (New York: Springer Verlag), pp. 197–214.
32. The final communiqués of the sixteen Joint Technical Committee meetings
were reviewed with the permission of officials of the State Hydraulic Works and
revealed the above arguments (on file with the authors).
302 Evolution of Transboundary Politics
33. For the incentives for cooperation resulting from the linking of intersectoral
and intrawater sector issues, see D. G. LeMarquand, International Rivers: The Poli-
tics of Cooperation (Vancouver: Westwater Research Center, University of British
Columbia, 1977); I. Dombrowsky, “The Role of Intra-water Sector Issue Linkage in
the Resolution of Transboundary Water Conflicts,” Water International 35, no. 2
(2010): 132–149.
34. Protocol on Matters Pertaining to Economic Cooperation Between the
Republic of Turkey and the Syrian Arab Republic, United Nations Treaty Series
87/12171, 17/7/1987.
35. Scheumann, “The Euphrates Issue.”
36. Law No. 14 of 1990, ratifying the joint minutes concerning the provisional
division of the waters of the Euphrates River. See http://ocid.nacse.org/qml/research
/tfdd/toTFDDdocs/257ENG.htm (accessed 30 May 2010).
37. M. Schiffler, “International Water Agreements: A Comparative View,” in W.
Scheumann and M. Schiffler, eds., Water in the Middle East: Potential for Conflicts
and Prospects for Cooperation (New York: Springer, 1998), pp. 31–45.
38. J. Barnes, “Managing the Waters of Ba’th Country: The Politics of Water
Scarcity in Syria,” Geopolitics 14 (2009): 510–530; L. M. Harris, “Water and Con-
flict Geographies of the Southeastern Anatolia Project,” Society and Natural
Resources 15 (2002): 743–759; M. Ahmad, “Agricultural Policy Issues and Chal-
lenges in Iraq: Short- and Medium-term Options,” in Kamil A. Mahdi, ed., Iraq’s
Economic Predicament (Reading, UK: Ithaca Press, 2001).
39. Scheumann, “The Euphrates Issue.”
40. A Joint Communiqué Between the Republic of Turkey, Prime Ministry,
Southeastern Anatolia Project Regional Development Administration (GAP) and the
Arab Republic of Syria, Ministry of Irrigation, General Organization for Land Devel-
opment, 23 August 2001, Ankara, Turkey (on file with the authors).
41. R. Durth has argued that the level of political and economic integration may
make a difference to the degree of cooperation. In nonintegrated regions, such as that
of the Euphrates-Tigris basin states, cooperation would be hampered by differing per-
ceptions of justice and equity while cooperation in integrated regions (e.g., the Euro-
pean Union, North America) would be facilitated by a changing role of governments
and the participation of the private sector in river management surpassing the narrow
confines of foreign relations. Cross-border information flows are no longer controlled
by governments and contacts also exist at the nongovernmental or private sector level
(e.g., the Rhine and the Great Lakes). R. Durth, “European Experience in the Solution
of Cross-border Environmental Problems,” Intereconomics (March/April 1996): 62–68.
42. The Orontes River (Asi) rises in Lebanon and flows through Syria and
Turkey. Turkey is the riparian farthest downstream in the river basin and faces
chronic water shortages due to prolonged droughts as well as the devastating impacts
of intermittent flooding. Since the early 1960s, Turkey has called for the Orontes to
be included in its water negotiations with Syria. For this purpose, Turkey has set up
a division in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to take charge of “regional waters,”
including the Euphrates-Tigris river basin and the Orontes. However, Syria continues
to refuse to discuss the Orontes, claiming that it is a national river because Hatay
(Alexandretta) belongs to Syria even though it became part of Turkey following a
plebiscite in the early 1930s.
43. “Iraq, Turkey Want to Integrate Economies, Transform Mideast,” Today’s
Zaman, E-Gazette, 18 September 2009, www.todayszaman.com/newsDetail_get
NewsById.action;jsessionid=0AB3CF80095212C8485703CB890052F3?newsId=187
456.
Aysegul Kibaroglu and Waltina Scheumann 303
44. While water rights and water allocation in a transboundary context are diffi-
cult aspects, some authors advocate benefit sharing as a concept, which implies a
change from the mere volumetric allocation of water to the allocation of the benefits
derived from the use of the river. See C. W. Sadoff and D. Grey, “Beyond the River:
The Benefits of Cooperation on International Rivers,” Water Policy 4, no. 5 (2002):
389–403; C. W. Sadoff and D. Grey, “Cooperation on International Rivers: A Con-
tinuum for Securing and Sharing Benefits,” Water International 30 (2005): 420–427;
A. Klaphake, “Kooperation an internationalen Flüssen aus ökonomischer Sicht: das
Konzept des Benefit Sharing,” Discussion Paper No. 6/2005 (Bonn: German Devel-
opment Institute, 2005); and I. Dombrowsky, “Revisiting the Potential for Benefit
Sharing in the Management of Transboundary Rivers,” Water Policy 11, no 2 (2009):
125–149. The prospect of gaining more benefits than in the status quo or through
unilateral action encourages states to cooperate with each other in the use of shared
rivers. The concept suggests that countries can turn the perceived zero-sum game of
water allocation into a positive-sum game (i.e., a win-win situation in which all ripar-
ians are better off with cooperation than without it). Rather than conceptualizing
water use in quantitative terms, states should conceive of a river as a productive
resource and attempt to increase and, ideally, maximize the economic benefits of its
use. The notion of benefit sharing in the use of shared rivers is advanced inter alia by
Sadoff and Grey, “Beyond the River” (2002), and taken up by A. Kibaroglu, Build-
ing a Regime (2002), for the Euphrates-Tigris basin. Similarly, D. Phillips et al. argue
in Transboundary Water Cooperation as a Tool for Conflict Prevention and Broader
Benefit Sharing (Stockholm: Swedish Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 2006) that bene-
fits can be generated in the economic, environmental, or security arena and that
activities in these various spheres may have spillover effects.
45. See A. T. Wolf, “Criteria for Equitable Allocations: The Heart of International
Water Conflict,” Natural Resources Forum 23, no. 3 (1999): 30; C. Sadoff and D.
Grey, “Cooperation on International Rivers: Continuum for Securing and Sharing
Benefits,” Water International 30, no. 4 (2005): 420–427.
46. Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, “Joint Statement of the Sec-
ond Ministerial Meeting of the High Level Strategic Cooperation Council Between
the Syrian Arab Republic and the Republic of Turkey, 2–3 October 2010, Lattakia,”
www.mfa.gov.tr/joint-statement-of-the-second-ministerial-meeting-of-the.en.mfa.
47. “Turkey, Syria Renew Diplomatic Pledges,” Hürriyet Daily News, 21 Decem-
ber, 2010, www.hurriyetdailynews.com/n.php?n=turkey-and-syria-gathered-8220
intergovernmental-cabinet8221-in-ankara-2010-12-21.
48. However, Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan’s two-day official visit to Iraq on
29–31 March 2011 is considered as a milestone and included some follow-up to the
forty-eight MoUs on more comprehensive economic integration signed during his
visit to Iraq on 15 October 2009. Before flying to Baghdad, Erdogan is reported as
saying: “Our aim is to turn the Mesopotamian basin into a joint area of stability and
welfare through a wide spectrum of projects, from energy to trade, from health to
construction and from water resources to transportation.” “Erdogan Says Turkey to
Make Mesopotamia Prosperity Region,” 3 March 2011, http://merryabla64.word
press.com/tag/recep-tayyip-erdogan-iraq-visit.
49. See www.mfa.gov.tr/relations-between-turkey%E2%80%93syria.en.mfa.
50. Nermin Cicek, senior expert, Ministry of Forestry and Water Affairs, inter-
viewed by A. Kibaroglu, Ankara, Turkey, 28 October 2011.
51. The Memorandum of Understanding Between the Ministry of the Environ-
ment and Forestry of the Republic of Turkey and the Ministry of Water Resources
of the Republic of Iraq on Water, 15 October 2009 (on file with the authors).
304 Evolution of Transboundary Politics
65. This section is drawn mainly from Aysegul Kibaroglu, “The Role of Epis-
temic Communities in Offering New Cooperation Frameworks in the Euphrates-
Tigris Rivers System,” Journal of International Affairs 61, no. 2 (2008): 191–195.
66. P. M. Haas, “Introduction: Epistemic Communities and International Policy
Coordination,” International Organization 46 (1992): 13.
67. As a spinoff from a project conducted by the International Center for Peace
at the University of Oklahoma, some Iraqi, Syrian, and Turkish participants in the
project decided to launch a cooperation initiative in collaboration with the University
of Oklahoma and Kent State University. See www.ou.edu/ipc/etic.
68. Summary statement presented at the conclusion of the Twelfth World Water
Congress, 26 November 2005, New Delhi; ETIC Newsletter 1, No. 3, ETIC work-
shop synthesis document, World Water Week, Swedish International Water Institute,
Stockholm, 21 August 2006 (on file with the authors).
69. In 2006, the ETIC organized a training program on dam safety in collabora-
tion with the UNESCO for professionals from Iran, Iraq, Syria, and Turkey. In March
2009, it arranged a Workshop on Knowledge Technology in Gaziantep, Turkey, for
participants from Iraq, Syria, and Turkey. ETIC’s most recent training workshop
“Geographical Information Systems and their implementation in natural resources
management” was held in Aleppo in January 2010.
70. ETIC has been undertaking a research activity known as “Collaborative Plan-
ning and Knowledge Development in the Tigris-Euphrates Region.” The stakehold-
ers in this activity are Iraqi, Syrian, and Turkish university faculty members (on file
with the authors).
71. ETIC Newsletter 1, no. 4 (2006) (on file with the authors).
72. Charles Hermann, “Changing Course: When Governments Choose to Redi-
rect Foreign Policy,” International Studies Quarterly 34 (1990): 3–21.
73. Ibid., p. 5.
74. Domestic and industrial water supply has never played a significant role in
terms of volumes extracted from the rivers.
75. In May 2012, ETIC convened the “International Conference on Advancing
Cooperation in the Euphrates-Tigris Region” in Istanbul, together with Turkey’s
Okan University and Germany’s Max Planck Institute for Comparative Public Law
and International Law. The conference brought together regional and international
scholars and the riparian bureaucracies (water technocrats) who have shown their
willingness to preserve and develop relations, which was encouraged by the politi-
cal will that was initially shown. They in fact perceived water as a technical and vital
issue and as a medium of cooperation, a uniting rather than a dividing factor at a time
of political difficulties.