SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics Normal

Multiple R 0.078368 60
R Square 0.006142
40
Adjusted R-0.029353
Standard E 4.128615 20

Y
Observatio 30 0
0 20
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 2.94932 2.94932 0.173027 0.680607
Residual 28 477.273 17.04546
Total 29 480.2223

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95,0%
Upper 95,0%
Intercept 49.02574 1.720675 28.49216 3.185E-22 45.5011 52.55038 45.5011 52.55038
X Variable -1.39E-07 3.349E-07 -0.415965 0.680607 -8.25E-07 5.467E-07 -8.25E-07 5.467E-07

RESIDUAL OUTPUT PROBABILITY OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
Standard Residuals Percentile Y
1 48.92136 -2.521361 -0.621514 1.666667 38.13
2 48.91082 -1.610819 -0.397066 5 42.22
3 48.87804 -0.478041 -0.117837 8.333333 43.23
4 48.84451 4.955487 1.221524 11.66667 44.28
5 48.79925 6.900746 1.701028 15 44.79
6 48.72242 6.24758 1.540024 18.33333 44.98
7 48.66777 5.532226 1.363689 21.66667 45.03
8 48.59892 2.791077 0.687998 25 45.03
9 48.55171 2.598295 0.640478 28.33333 46.19
10 48.46769 2.052313 0.505894 31.66667 46.4
11 48.4234 -0.443403 -0.109299 35 46.89
12 48.32447 0.735529 0.181307 38.33333 47.02
13 48.30347 -1.28347 -0.316374 41.66667 47.3
14 48.3841 -10.2541 -2.527627 45 47.98
15 48.36723 -6.147227 -1.515287 48.33333 48.06
16 48.32033 -5.090328 -1.254762 51.66667 48.31
17 48.30787 -3.517874 -0.867153 55 48.4
18 48.32462 -4.04462 -0.996996 58.33333 48.86
19 48.40351 -3.373513 -0.831568 61.66667 49.06
20 48.28454 -3.304537 -0.814566 65 50.52
21 48.32898 -3.29898 -0.813196 68.33333 51.15
22 48.34719 -2.157193 -0.531746 71.66667 51.25
23 48.25882 -1.368824 -0.337414 75 51.39
24 48.15732 -0.097315 -0.023988 78.33333 51.55
25 48.14489 0.165114 0.040701 81.66667 52.22
26 48.05028 0.809725 0.199596 85 52.56
27 47.96018 3.289818 0.810938 88.33333 53.8
28 47.9052 3.644801 0.898441 91.66667 54.2
29 47.79966 4.42034 1.08961 95 54.97
30 47.71145 4.848552 1.195164 98.33333 55.7
 Normal Probability Plot
60

40

20
Y

0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Sample Percentile
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics Normal

Multiple R 0.649136 50
R Square 0.421377 40
Adjusted R 0.400712 30
20
Standard E 2.299889

Y
10
Observatio 30 0
0 20
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 107.8569 107.8569 20.39079 0.000104
Residual 28 148.1057 5.289491
Total 29 255.9626

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95,0%
Upper 95,0%
Intercept 28.34911 0.95852 29.57591 1.157E-22 26.38567 30.31255 26.38567 30.31255
X Variable 8.424E-07 1.865E-07 4.515616 0.000104 4.602E-07 1.224E-06 4.602E-07 1.224E-06

RESIDUAL OUTPUT PROBABILITY OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
Standard Residuals Percentile Y
1 28.98033 -0.580327 -0.256795 1.666667 28.3
2 29.04408 -0.74408 -0.329255 5 28.33
3 29.2423 0.357704 0.158284 8.333333 28.4
4 29.44505 2.154948 0.953564 11.66667 28.86
5 29.71875 1.481254 0.655455 15 29.03
6 30.18339 3.946611 1.746375 18.33333 29.6
7 30.51385 2.656153 1.175347 21.66667 29.8
8 30.93021 2.649785 1.172529 25 29.88
9 31.21575 -0.885753 -0.391945 28.33333 30.33
10 31.72384 1.936162 0.856751 31.66667 30.57
11 31.99164 -0.191637 -0.084799 35 30.86
12 32.58991 -1.119912 -0.495561 38.33333 30.98
13 32.71691 -1.856914 -0.821684 41.66667 31.01
14 32.22934 -3.199338 -1.415706 45 31.2
15 32.33135 -1.35135 -0.597972 48.33333 31.47
16 32.61497 -0.774968 -0.342923 51.66667 31.6
17 32.69028 -1.680277 -0.743522 55 31.8
18 32.58901 -2.019009 -0.893411 58.33333 31.84
19 32.11192 -2.231918 -0.987623 61.66667 32.44
20 32.83141 -4.501409 -1.991872 65 33.17
21 32.56264 -3.702644 -1.638419 68.33333 33.58
22 32.45251 -2.652507 -1.173734 71.66667 33.66
23 32.9869 -0.546902 -0.242004 75 34.13
24 33.60076 1.049243 0.46429 78.33333 34.65
25 33.67592 1.884078 0.833704 81.66667 35.56
26 34.24806 1.73194 0.766383 85 35.87
27 34.79288 3.947117 1.746598 88.33333 35.98
28 35.12539 3.094614 1.369366 91.66667 37.34
29 35.76361 1.576391 0.697553 95 38.22
30 36.29706 -0.427056 -0.188972 98.33333 38.74
 Normal Probability Plot
50
40
30
20
Y

10
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Sample Percentile
tahun
jumlah wisatawan mancanegara
tpk hotel bintang tpk non bintang
1985 749351 46.4 28.40
1986 825035 47.3 28.3
1987 1060347 48.4 29.6
1988 1301049 53.8 31.6
1989 1625965 55.7 31.2
1990 2177566 54.97 34.13
1991 2569870 54.2 33.17
1992 3064161 51.39 33.58
1993 3403138 51.15 30.33
1994 4006312 50.52 33.66
1995 4324229 47.98 31.8
1996 5034472 49.06 31.47
1997 5185243 47.02 30.86
1998 4606416 38.13 29.03
1999 4727520 42.22 30.98
2000 5064217 43.23 31.84
2001 5153620 44.79 31.01
2002 5033400 44.28 30.57
2003 4467021 45.03 29.88
2004 5321165 44.98 28.33
2005 5002101 45.03 28.86
2006 4871351 46.19 29.8
2007 5505759 46.89 32.44
2008 6234497 48.06 34.65
2009 6323730 48.31 35.56
2010 7002944 48.86 35.98
2011 7649731 51.25 38.74
2012 8044462 51.55 38.22
2013 8802129 52.22 37.34
2014 9435411 52.56 35.87