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Larger Welfare Payoffs From

Reducing Non-Tariff Bottlenecks


Main results from CGE models
AFR-wide NTB
welfare scenario With tariff reductions, intra-
impact 1/ (additional)
African trade increases, but limited
AFDB (2019) 0.10% 0.63%
Abrego et al. (2019) 0.05% 3.81%
welfare and growth effects
Chauvin et al. (2016) 0.46% 1.66%
Reducing NTBs/trade costs
UNECA (Mevel & Karingi, 2013) 3/ 0.20% 1.00%
improves welfare effects
1/ Wel fa re i s mea s ured a s the cha nge i n equiva l ent va ri a ti on - a
s ta nda rd mea s ure i n CGE model s . substantially
2/ Impa ct reported rel a tes to removi ng a bout ha l f of NTBs , on top of
removi ng a l l i ntra -Afri ca n ta ri ffs . Results vary greatly across
3/ NTBs defi ned a s tra de fa ci l i ta ti on mea s ures . countries. Very few countries worse
off in absolute levels.

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