Professional Documents
Culture Documents
On the distribution side, the share of banca channel in total APE stood at 42%
(51% in FY20). However, the mix of non-ICICIBC banca contribution has
increased to 11%. The share of ICICIBC in total APE has declined to 31% v/s 47%
in FY18.
20 April 2021 2
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance
Quarterly snapshot
FY19 FY20 FY21 Change (%)
Policyholder A/c (INR b)
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q YoY QoQ
Net premium 54.4 76.0 74.8 100.6 62.1 80.6 81.3 104.8 55.5 85.7 89.7 118.8 13 32
First year premium 12.6 18.4 16.4 22.4 12.7 17.2 18.7 16.5 6.3 11.7 13.6 20.3 23 49
Renewal premium 37.5 51.0 50.1 67.1 40.4 52.4 52.3 64.4 41.4 57.7 56.8 69.1 7 22
Single premium 5.1 7.4 9.2 12.2 10.2 12.3 11.6 25.7 9.8 17.9 21.1 31.6 23 50
Investment income 23.2 12.3 10.5 56.2 19.9 -1.3 45.6 -189.4 130.7 79.5 192.8 71.4 NM -63
Total income 78.7 88.3 86.5 160.5 84.3 82.1 129.5 -76.5 190.6 168.4 285.5 196.4 -357 -31
Total comm. and opex 8.7 10.5 9.5 12.8 9.1 11.5 11.9 11.8 7.0 9.9 10.9 14.1 20 30
Benefits paid 29.4 35.0 33.2 44.9 36.4 41.4 53.9 62.0 26.0 49.1 68.2 83.2 34 22
Total expenses 75.4 86.0 82.9 156.2 79.8 77.1 125.4 -86.1 184.0 162.6 281.2 190.5 -321 -32
PBT 3.3 2.3 3.5 4.3 4.5 5.0 4.1 9.6 6.5 5.7 4.3 5.9 -38 38
Surplus/(Deficit) 3.0 2.0 3.3 4.1 4.2 4.8 3.9 9.0 6.3 5.4 4.0 5.3 -41 31
Shareholder A/c
Trf. from policyholder a/c 2.5 1.5 2.7 4.2 3.7 4.0 3.6 8.6 6.5 4.5 4.1 4.8 -45 16
Investment Income 1.4 1.4 1.4 2.2 1.4 2.0 1.9 1.3 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.6 106 22
Total income 3.9 2.9 4.0 6.5 5.1 6.0 5.5 9.9 7.7 6.2 6.2 7.3 -26 18
PAT 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.0 1.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 0.6 -64 -79
APE data
Savings APE 12.8 18.3 17.7 22.0 12.6 16.2 17.7 16.2 6.1 12.3 14.1 21.7 33 54
ULIP 11.1 16.6 15.5 18.9 10.5 12.8 13.8 10.7 3.6 7.0 8.5 11.9 11 40
Other Savings 1.7 1.7 2.2 3.1 2.1 3.4 3.9 5.5 2.5 5.3 5.6 9.8 77 74
- Non-Participating 1.5 1.5 1.9 2.6 1.6 2.5 2.7 5.6 2.0 4.4 4.9 8.8 56 81
- Group 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.2 -0.1 0.5 0.9 0.8 1.0 NM 28
Protection 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.6 2.1 2.8 2.7 3.5 2.1 2.3 2.6 3.4 -3 33
Total APE 14.0 19.8 19.6 24.6 14.7 19.0 20.4 19.7 8.2 14.7 16.7 25.1 27 51
APE (% of total) Change (bps)
Savings APE (%) 91.8 92.3 90.1 89.4 85.4 85.1 86.9 82.2 74.0 84.2 84.6 86.3 416 175
ULIP 79.8 83.8 78.9 76.7 71.2 67.2 67.8 54.1 43.6 47.8 50.7 47.2 -685 -347
Other Savings 12.0 8.5 11.2 12.7 14.3 17.9 19.0 28.1 30.4 36.3 33.9 39.1 1,101 522
- Non-Participating 10.7 7.5 9.5 10.5 11.0 13.0 13.4 28.6 24.4 30.1 29.2 35.1 652 592
- Group 1.4 1.1 1.7 2.2 3.3 4.9 5.6 -0.5 6.0 6.2 4.7 4.0 NM -69
Protection 8.2 7.7 9.9 10.6 14.6 14.9 13.1 17.8 26.0 15.8 15.4 13.7 -416 -175
Distribution mix (%)
Banca 55.6 56.7 57.0 54.3 52.4 53.2 53.6 44.3 39.6 43.8 42.0 42.5 -178 57
Agency 21.8 22.3 20.5 22.0 21.2 19.8 21.9 21.7 24.6 22.7 25.1 23.3 166 -176
Direct 11.7 11.9 11.2 12.8 12.8 13.0 11.7 13.0 12.3 12.2 13.2 12.4 -63 -82
Corporate Agents 6.5 5.1 5.6 6.4 6.8 7.3 7.2 8.2 8.6 8.6 7.7 10.4 228 275
Group 4.4 4.1 5.7 4.5 6.8 6.7 5.6 12.8 14.9 12.8 12.0 11.3 -154 -74
Key Ratios (%)
Operating ratios
Commission (unwtd.) 5.5 5.6 5.4 5.6 5.1 5.6 5.9 5.3 4.2 4.9 5.3 6.0 71 70
Opex (unwtd.) 12.0 9.4 8.6 8.5 11.9 10.6 10.6 8.8 10.5 9.0 9.7 9.2 39 -44
Total Cost (unwtd.) 17.5 15.0 14.0 14.1 17.0 16.2 16.5 14.2 14.8 13.9 15.0 15.2 109 26
Solvency Ratio 234.6 234.3 224.3 214.9 216.7 210.6 207.2 194.1 205.1 205.5 226.1 216.8 2,270 -930
Profitability ratios
VNB margin 17.5 17.4 16.3 17.1 21.0 21.1 20.9 23.8 24.4 27.4 25.7 23.6 -24 -213
Persistency ratios
13th month 85.8 85.2 84.1 84.6 84.4 83.6 83.1 83.2 81.8 82.1 82.7 84.8 160 210
25th month 77.8 77.8 76.7 75.6 75.7 75.0 74.4 75.1 73.4 73.0 72.7 73.6 -150 90
37th month 68.2 68.3 68.7 69.3 69.8 69.1 68.3 66.7 65.4 65.2 65.1 66.3 -40 120
49th month 63.7 63.7 63.2 63.8 64.2 63.7 64.3 64.6 63.9 63.8 63.3 63.0 -160 -30
61st month 54.0 54.8 55.6 56.8 57.3 57.2 56.3 56.0 56.8 57.5 58.0 58.3 230 30
Key Metrics (INR b)
VNB 2.4 3.5 3.2 4.2 3.1 4.0 4.3 4.7 2.0 4.0 4.3 5.9 26 38
EV NA 192 NA 216 NA 227 NA 230 NA 257 NA 291 26 NM
AUM 1427 1461 1500 1604 1640 1655 1720 1530 1700 1815 2049 2142 40 5
Note: Persistency ratios exclude single premium and are on a cumulative basis for six, nine and 12 months
20 April 2021 3
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance
Operating metrics
The management’s target is to maintain a positive operating leverage.
Change in operating assumptions in EV at INR3.1b was negatively impacted by
the adverse mortality experience of ~INR2.6b due to COVID-19.
No further Re-insurance hikes are expected at present. However, the company
would continue to pass on any future hike to customers.
Total COVID-19 claims have been ~2,500.
ULIP margin is not expected to increase meaningfully in the medium term and
would remain stable.
Distribution channel
The management is focused on expanding the distribution channel through the
acquisition of new partners. Recent partnerships have resulted in higher
contribution.
IPRULIFE has ~23 banca partnerships, with a reach of ~162m Bank customers
and a footprint of ~12k branches.
Added ~110 partners in 4QFY21. It has a total of ~600 partners, both traditional
and non-traditional, including web aggregators.
Agency channel is also expected to grow and contribute to premium growth.
20 April 2021 4
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance
Key exhibits
Exhibit 1: Protection mix stood ~16% of total APE, while the
share of ULIP declines to 48% Exhibit 2: Margin stood ~25% in FY21
Linked Non-Linked Group Protection VNB Margin Protection (%)
1%4%
26.0
1%6% 9%
2%
15% 16%
19.5
11%
17.0%
11% 3%
17.0%
8.2 17.5%
7.9 17.5%
10% 5%
17.8
16.5%
16.2
13.7%
10.7%
11.7%
14.7
15.1
10.1%
14.6
17%
14.1
31%
9.3
8.6
84% 82% 80%
5.7
4.5
65%
4.2
4.1
3.9
21.0%
21.0%
21.0%
21.7%
24.4%
26.3%
26.0%
25.1%
48%
FY17
1Q18
1Q19
9M18
FY18
9M19
FY19
1Q20
9M20
FY20
1Q21
9M21
FY21
1H18
1H19
1H20
1H21
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21
22.3% 22.3
Retail Protection
25.7 0.04
16.2 1.1 -2.37 0.4
16.6 3.1
195.8
151.9
78.4 95.2
Unwind
Variance
VNB
Net Capital
EV (Mar'20)
Persistency
EV (Mar'21)
Assumption
Mortality and
Assumption
Operating
Economic
Injection
Variance
Other
Changes
Changes
Morbidity
Variance
20 April 2021 5
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance
Exhibit 6: Raise our premium income assumption and maintain our VB, even as we cut our
FY22E/FY23E PAT estimate by ~28%/43%
Old estimate Revised estimate Estimate change
Technical Account (INR b) FY22E FY23E FY22E FY23E FY22E FY23E
Net Premiums 389.5 448.5 414.9 488.4 6.5 8.9
Investment income 138.8 160.0 139.9 163.2 0.8 2.0
Total income 542.4 624.8 569.0 667.8 4.9 6.9
Commission 22.7 26.4 24.2 28.8 6.7 9.1
Operating expenses 36.9 42.2 39.4 46.1 6.8 9.2
Surplus/Deficit 29.4 39.7 23.1 27.4 -21.3 -30.9
Shareholder's Account
Total Income 32.9 39.4 29.5 30.2 -10.2 -23.4
Total Expenses 14.4 14.0 16.1 15.7 12.1 12.2
PBT 18.5 25.4 13.4 14.5 -27.5 -42.9
PAT 17.2 23.6 12.5 13.5 -27.5 -42.9
Key Metrics
VNB (INR b) 20.9 26.2 20.6 26.0 -1.4 -0.8
EV (INR b) 321.4 371.0 333.9 382.8 3.9 3.2
Key Ratios
VNB margin (%) 26.7 26.8 24.7 25.3 -7.3 -5.5
Op. RoEV (%) 15.4 15.8 15.0 15.5 -2.7 -1.5
RoEV (%) 15.4 15.4 14.7 14.6 -4.2 -5.0
Source: MOSL, Company
20 April 2021 6
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance
Story in charts
Exhibit 7: First-year premium grew at 23% YoY, while total Exhibit 8: Annuity mix, as a percentage of NBP, increases to
premium grew at 13% YoY 17%
First Yr Premium Tot. Premium Annuity NBP (INRb) Annuity Mix as % of NBP
85%
17.3%
45%
5% 8.4%
6.6%
-35% 3.4%
-75% 6.9 10.4 22.9
3.1
1QFY17
2QFY17
3QFY17
4QFY17
1QFY18
2QFY18
3QFY18
4QFY18
1QFY19
2QFY19
3QFY19
4QFY19
1QFY20
2QFY20
3QFY20
4QFY20
1QFY21
2QFY21
3QFY21
4QFY21
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
Source: MOFSL, Company Source: MOFSL, Company
14.7
19.0
20.4
19.7
14.7
16.7
25.1
42%
8.2
4QFY19
1QFY20
2QFY20
3QFY20
4QFY20
1QFY21
2QFY21
3QFY21
4QFY21
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
Exhibit 11: 13th/61st month persistency improves by Exhibit 12: The solvency ratio stood at 217%, well above the
160bp/230bp YoY regulatory requirement of 150%
13th Month 25th Month 61st Month Solvency ratio Regulatory requirement (RHS)
75.7
75.6
75.1
75.0
74.4
73.6
73.4
73.0
72.7
58.3
58.0
57.5
57.3
57.2
56.8
56.8
56.3
56.0
252%
252%
235%
234%
224%
215%
217%
211%
207%
194%
205%
206%
226%
217%
84.6
84.4
83.6
83.1
83.2
81.8
82.1
82.7
84.8
3QFY18
4QFY18
1QFY19
2QFY19
3QFY19
4QFY19
1QFY20
2QFY20
3QFY20
4QFY20
1QFY21
2QFY21
3QFY21
4QFY21
FY19
1Q20
FY20
1Q21
9M20
9M21
FY21
1H20
1H21
20 April 2021 7
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance
70%
66%
68%
66%
66%
63%
64%
64%
10.6
10.6
72%
11.8
9.2
66%
62%
60%
57%
11.7
8.0
8.0
9.4
8.5
8.6
7.4
9.7
8.8
10.2
9.7
9.0
23%
23%
24%
22%
22%
20%
21%
23%
15%
11%
13%
15%
17%
6.0
5.9
5.9
5.8
5.6
5.6
5.6
5.5
5.4
5.4
5.3
5.3
5.1
5.1
4.9
1QFY21 4.2
1QFY18
2QFY18
3QFY18
4QFY18
1QFY19
2QFY19
3QFY19
4QFY19
1QFY20
2QFY20
3QFY20
4QFY20
2QFY21
3QFY21
4QFY21
4QFY18
1QFY19
2QFY19
3QFY19
4QFY19
1QFY20
2QFY20
3QFY20
4QFY20
1QFY21
2QFY21
3QFY21
4QFY21
Source: MOFSL, Company Source: MOFSL, Company
20 April 2021 8
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance
Shareholder's a/c (INR b) FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E
Transfer from technical a/c 11.3 10.9 10.8 19.9 19.8 21.2 24.6
Income from Investments 6.7 7.4 6.4 6.6 7.7 8.3 5.6
Total Income 18.3 18.4 17.3 26.5 27.5 29.5 30.2
Total Expenses 0.4 1.2 5.6 15.8 16.7 16.1 15.7
PBT 17.8 17.2 11.6 10.7 10.8 13.4 14.5
Prov. for Tax 1.0 1.0 0.2 - 1.2 0.9 1.0
PAT 16.8 16.2 11.4 10.7 9.6 12.5 13.5
Growth 2% -4% -30% -6% -10% 30% 8%
Premium (INR b) and growth (%) FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E
NBP - unweighted 78.6 92.1 103.6 124.9 132.3 172 211
NBP - WRP 65.0 75.4 73.2 71.1 64.6 83 103
Renewal premium 144.9 178.6 205.7 209.4 225.1 248 283
Total premium - unweighted 223.5 270.7 309.3 334.3 357.3 420 495
NBP growth - unweighted 16.2% 17.1% 12.5% 20.5% 5.9% 30.0% 23.0%
NBP growth - WRP 27.2% 16.1% -3.0% -2.9% -12.5% 29.1% 23.0%
Renewal premium growth 16.9% 23.2% 15.2% 1.8% 7.5% 10.3% 14.1%
Tot. premium growth - unweighted 16.6% 21.1% 14.3% 8.0% 6.9% 17.6% 17.7%
Premium mix (%) FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E
New business - unweighted
- Individual mix 88.7% 91.2% 78.5% 63.1% 68.0% 72.0% 76.0%
- Group mix 11.3% 8.8% 21.5% 36.9% 32.0% 28.0% 24.0%
New business mix - APE
- Participating 9.5% 10.6% 9.0% 12.5% 12.0% 12.6% 13.2%
- Non-participating 4.8% 5.0% 9.0% 18.3% 22.0% 23.1% 24.1%
- ULIPs 85.7% 84.4% 82.0% 69.2% 66.0% 64.2% 62.7%
Total premium mix - unweighted
- Participating 11.7% 12.0% 11.4% 12.2% 10.8% 10.6% 10.8%
- Non-participating 13.6% 12.8% 15.2% 17.6% 28.3% 30.3% 31.5%
- ULIPs 74.8% 75.2% 73.4% 70.2% 60.9% 59.1% 57.6%
Indi. premium sourcing mix (%) FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E
Individual agents 23.5% 25.6% 21.8% 21.9% 22.9% 23.9% 24.9%
Corporate agents – Banks 57.1% 52.6% 55.2% 49.7% 49.5% 49.3% 49.1%
Direct business 12.8% 16.0% 16.7% 20.1% 22.0% 21.8% 21.6%
Others 6.6% 5.8% 6.3% 8.3% 5.6% 5.0% 4.4%
20 April 2021 9
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance
Operating ratios (%) FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E
Investment yield (%) 13.0% 8.6% 6.8% -8.7% 23.5% 7.1% 7.1%
Commissions/GWP 3.4% 5.2% 5.0% 4.7% 4.2% 5.8% 5.8%
- first year premiums 7.3% 13.9% 16.0% 16.5% 19.4% 25.4% 24.7%
- renewal premiums 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8%
- single premiums 0.6% 1.9% 1.4% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
Operating expenses/GWP 10.5% 7.5% 8.4% 8.5% 7.5% 9.4% 9.3%
Total expense ratio 13.9% 12.7% 13.4% 13.3% 11.7% 15.1% 15.1%
Claims/NWP 67.7% 64.5% 46.6% 58.9% 64.7% 53.1% 50.2%
Solvency margin 289% 252% 215% 194% 217% 214% 210%
Persistency ratios (%) FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E
13th month 85.7% 86.8% 86.2% 85.3% 86.9% 87.9% 88.4%
25th month 73.9% 78.3% 77.4% 77.4% 76.8% 76.9% 77.5%
37th month 66.8% 68.8% 71.0% 69.0% 69.3% 70.0% 70.9%
49th month 59.3% 64.2% 65.0% 66.4% 65.5% 65.8% 66.7%
61st month 56.2% 54.5% 58.1% 57.4% 60.2% 62.8% 65.2%
20 April 2021 10
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance
20 April 2021 11
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance
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Registered Office Address: Motilal Oswal Tower, Rahimtullah Sayani Road, Opposite Parel ST Depot, Prabhadevi, Mumbai-400025; Tel No.: 022 71934200/ 022-71934263;
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Malad(West), Mumbai- 400 064. Tel No: 022 7188 1000.
Registration Nos.: Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL)*: INZ000158836(BSE/NSE/MCX/NCDEX); CDSL and NSDL: IN-DP-16-2015; Research Analyst:
INH000000412. AMFI: ARN - 146822; Investment Adviser: INA000007100; Insurance Corporate Agent: CA0579;PMS:INP000006712. Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company
Ltd. (MOAMC): PMS (Registration No.: INP000000670); PMS and Mutual Funds are offered through MOAMC which is group company of MOFSL. Motilal Oswal Wealth
Management Ltd. (MOWML): PMS (Registration No.: INP000004409) is offered through MOWML, which is a group company of MOFSL. Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is
a distributor of Mutual Funds, PMS, Fixed Deposit, Bond, NCDs,Insurance Products and IPOs.Real Estate is offered through Motilal Oswal Real Estate Investment Advisors II Pvt.
Ltd. which is a group company of MOFSL. Private Equity is offered through Motilal Oswal Private Equity Investment Advisors Pvt. Ltd which is a group company of MOFSL.
Research & Advisory services is backed by proper research. Please read the Risk Disclosure Document prescribed by the Stock Exchanges carefully before investing. There is no
assurance or guarantee of the returns. Investment in securities market is subject to market risk, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Details of Compliance
Officer: Name: Neeraj Agarwal, Email ID: na@motilaloswal.com, Contact No.:022-71881085.
* MOSL has been amalgamated with Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL) w.e.f August 21, 2018 pursuant to order dated July 30, 2018 issued by Hon'ble National
Company Law Tribunal, Mumbai Bench.
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