Professional Documents
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Equity Strategy
A Bull Market in the Making
Key risk to our JCI index end-2024 target: If a 2-round scenario happens
In the event of a 2nd round of elections held in June, it is probable that the acceleration of M2
supply will be postponed, with increased risk stemming from the heightened chances for either
Anies-Muhaimin (01-AM) or Ganjar-Mahfud (03-GM) to gain momentum. This could contribute to
heightened risk-off sentiments. In the event of two rounds, we favor safe-haven banks, ASII,
MYOR, and other liquid stocks offering attractive dividend yields. We compiled selections of
lucrative dividend yield stocks (besides the big banks which can offer 4-5% near term dividend
yields) to be provided from February to July 2024 which are PGAS at 9.7% dividend yield,
PTBA at 12.3%, ITMG at 9.6%, ADRO at 6.5%, UNTR at 5.7%, GGRM 11.8%, HMSP 8.6%
and ASII at 7.1% (conservatively assume no special dividend), which all offers both sizeable size
and liquidity.
Source: KPU
* Please note that the simultaneous regional elections may be scheduled earlier, in September, just before the new presidential inauguration.
Undecided/
Anies- Prabowo- Ganjar-
Survey Institutes Date Published Area Coverage Sample Size Declined to
Muhaimin Gibran Mahmud
Respond
Indonesia Political Opinion 10 Jan'24 Indonesia 1,200 34.5 42.3 21.5 1.7
Lembaga Survei Indonesia 20 Jan'24 Indonesia 1,206 23.2 47 21.7 8
Indikator Politik Indonesia Feb' 24 Indonesia 1,200 22.4 46.4 20.2 11.1
Populi Center 11 Dec'23 Indonesia 1,200 21.7 46.7 21.7 9.9
Poltracking Indonesia 19 Jan'24 Indonesia 1,220 26.9 46.7 20.6 5.8
Charta Politika 21 Jan'24 Indonesia 1,220 26.7 42.2 28 3.1
($ mn)
Net foreign equity inflows, YTD
1000 683
500
89 45
0
Indonesia Philippines Vietnam Thailand India
-500
-1000 -752
-1500
-2000
-2500
-3000
-3500 -3,100
Presidential
Candidate
Pairs
Vision
A Just and Prosperous Indonesia for Together with Onward Indonesia, Moving Quickly Towards an Excellent
All Towards Golden Indonesia 2045 Indonesia
Missions
Ensuring the availability of basic Healthy, well-being, and educated
necessities and cheap living cost via Amplifying Pancasila ideology, Indonesian people.
1
food self-sufficiency, energy security, democracy, and human rights (HAM).
and water sovereignty.
Eradicating poverty by expanding Strengthening national security defense Indonesia being competitive in
business opportunities and creating job system and encourage country’s self- innovation and technology.
opportunities, achieving fair job independence via self-sufficiency in food,
compensations, guaranteeing energy, & water, Islamic economy, digital
2 economic advancement based on self- economy, green economy, and blue
independence and equality, and economy.
supporting Indonesia’s corporations to
be successful domestically and grow at
global level.
Achieving ecological fairness for the Continuing infrastructure development Resilient and self-independent
upcoming generations. and increasing high-quality job economy.
opportunities, encouraging
3 entrepreneurship, developing creative
industry, and developing agro-maritime
industry in production centers via active
cooperative roles.
Constructing cities and villages based Solidifying developments of human Eradicating poverty and between-area
on areas that are based on humanity, resources (SDM), science, technology, inequality from their roots.
fairness, and mutual progresses. education, health, sports achievements,
4
gender equality, stronger female role,
youths (Millennial & Gen-Z), and disabled
people.
Achieving healthy, smart, productive, Continuing down-streaming and Digital ecosystem prioritizing fast and
morally upright, and cultured developing industries based on natural affordable internet access.
5
Indonesian people resources to improve domestic value-
added.
Achieving well-being and happy Developing from villages and from Economic development considering
6 Indonesian families as the nation root. bottom for the purpose of economic environmental sustainability.
growth, and poverty eradication.
Solidifying country’s security and Strengthening reforms in politics, law, Safeguarded democracy via corruption
defense system, and increasing and bureaucracy, along with eradication eradication and inclusive government
7 Indonesia’s roles and leadership at and prevention of corruption, drugs, based on the law supremacy.
global level, in order to achieve national gambling, and smuggling.
interest and global peace.
Restoring democracy quality, enforcing Strengthening synchronization between Indonesia as respected nation at
law and human rights (HAM), harmonic life with environment, nature, international stages, along with solid
eradicating poverty without and culture, together with improvement and modern defense.
8
discrimination, and conducting in tolerance among religious people, in
governments that advocate for the order to become fair and prosperous
people. society.
Source: KPU, Trimegah Research
Figure 9. Potential dividend yield analysis (February to July 2024) among our well-covered Trimegah coverage universe
Latin America
Brazil 2.86% 3.55% 0.69%
Chile 0.43% 0.43% 0.00%
Colombia 0.06% 0.07% 0.00%
Mexico 1.46% 2.06% 0.60%
Peru 0.31% 0.43% 0.11%
Europe
Czech Republic 0.13% 0.15% 0.02%
Greece 0.17% 0.28% 0.11%
Hungary 0.09% 0.13% 0.04%
Poland 0.44% 0.64% 0.20%
Figure 11. JCI’s P/E re-rated post 1-year avg. after SBY and Jokowi’s 1st election round back in 2004 and 2014
10.0 21.0
8.0 20.0
6.1
6.0 19.0 18.6
4.0 18.0
2.0 17.0
0.0 16.0
1 -year trail. P/E (x) before election in April 1 year trail. P/E (x) after April 2004 election 1 -year trail. P/E (x) before election in April 1 year trail. P/E (x) after April 2004 election
2004 2004
50.0
% weight to JCI
40.0
30.0 27.2
30.3
20.0
17.0
10.0
-
January 2013 January 2024
Figure 13. JCI’s trailing Vs forward P/E has narrowed compared Figure 14. Our Trimegah universe suggests a +10% 2024 net profit
to historical level growth (ex-GOTO, ex-commodities/energy). Assuming another
+10% profit growth in 2025 coupled with a JCI re-rating by +14%,
it is possible for JCI index to reach the 10,000 mark by 2025
JCI trailing P/E's premium/discount to 1 yr. TRIM coverage NP growth (exclude GOTO &
forward P/E commodities)
0% 35%
29%
Jul-17
Jul-11
Jul-13
Jul-15
Jul-19
Jul-21
Jul-23
Nov-22
Nov-10
Mar-12
Nov-12
Nov-14
Nov-16
Nov-18
Nov-20
Mar-10
Mar-14
Mar-16
Mar-18
Mar-20
Mar-22
28%
30%
-10%
25%
-20% 20% 17%
15%
-30% 10%
10%
-40% 5%
0%
-50% 2021 2022 2023f 2024f
A narrative is emerging concerning the proposal to increase the fiscal deficit threshold
by 3%, put forth by a presidential candidate's campaign team. This idea was put forth by
Prabowo-Gibran’s campaign team, specifically by Erwin Aksa (News Link). The team explicitly
proposed a rhetorical question to increase the budget deficit threshold to 6% (current: 3%),
immediately after addressing the urgency to complete the New Capital City (IKN) project. A
comparison of the magnitude of government spending to GDP indicates that the share of
Indonesia's government spending (budget basis) to GDP, when compared to India, is relatively
low. Can India's aggressive fiscal budget (relative to GDP) historically serve as a benchmark,
considering the strength of India’s economy over the past 20 years?
Enhancing the tax ratio and optimizing the fiscal multiplier are crucial tasks for
Indonesia. There have been significant efforts to improve the tax ratio during President Jokowi's
regime since 2014, including measures like tax amnesty and enhancements in administration/data
collection. We anticipate the continuation of improvements in the tax ratio beyond President
Jokowi's tenure. In their campaign mission booklet, Anies-Cak Imin and Prabowo-Gibran
ambitiously target a tax ratio of 13-16% and 23% (as of September 2023, the tax ratio is a mere
9%). Achieving these ambitious targets necessitates a proactive budget stance by the government
to stimulate the economy. The challenge in fiscal spending, not only in Indonesia but globally, lies
in enforcing meticulous fiscal measurements to ensure the apparent effectiveness of the fiscal
multiplier. Indonesia aspires to achieve an ambitious $5.16 trillion GDP by 2030 (+18% CAGR
from 2022 to 2030). A paradigm shift is needed.
Indonesia notably relies on commodities for a significant portion of its GDP, maintaining a robust
trade balance. The dynamics of tax collection closely follow global commodity price trends,
reflecting a natural inclination toward a price-taker model. When comparing Indonesia to other
nations, a higher share of government spending to GDP tends to result in a lower fiscal multiplier.
However, if the fiscal multiplier is high, concerns about widening fiscal deficits should not be an
issue for bond investors, given the higher tax-to-GDP ratio. Interestingly, data suggests that a
higher fiscal multiplier tends to occur in situations where inflation is higher or economic circulation
is equal on many fronts. The focus on fiscal redistribution should be a key consideration in
implementing this policy.
India's success story demonstrates that reforms come with a cost, yet being open to the
idea is worthwhile. India's Prime Minister, Narendra Modi, who assumed office in 2014, has
driven structural improvements in the economy. Most policies were intended to intensify the
manufacturing sector, as the 2008 Great Recession already showed how “fragile” the country was
if it kept relying on the service sector. The first policy was tax reform. The India’s govt. introduced
the Good and Services Tax (GST) system in 2017, where it has simplified the tax structure and
digitize tax payments since then. The results were then desirable. The GST registration increased
at CAGR of +14% from 2017 until 2022. Coherently, the GST revenues grew substantially at CAGR
of almost +11% from 2018 until 2022. Another supporting policy was the so-called “demonetizing”,
where the govt. replaced the old INR500 and INR1,000 with the new INR500 and INR2,000 instead
back in 8 November 2016. After India’s tax reform and demonetization, India Stock market
outperform significantly post the stimulus (Nifty 500 index increased by +154% over
the past 7 years Vs. JCI’s +37%). Average India Fiscal Multiplier is at 0.91 for the last 5 years.
(%)
Avg. GDP growth (exclude 2020 Covid): +7.2%
(%)
25.0 Avg. inflation rate (exclude 2020 Covid): +5.4% 0.0
20.0 -1.0
15.0 -2.0
10.0 -3.0
5.0
-4.0
0.0
-5.0
Jul-15
Nov-18
Jul-20
Jun-13
Nov-13
Apr-14
Sep-14
May-16
Jun-18
Apr-19
May-21
Jan-23
Jun-23
Feb-15
Dec-15
Mar-17
Aug-17
Jan-18
Sep-19
Feb-20
Dec-20
Mar-22
Aug-22
Oct-16
Oct-21
-5.0
-6.0
-10.0
-7.0
-15.0
-20.0
-8.0
-25.0 -9.0
-30.0 -10.0
India real GDP growth, YoY India inflation, YoY India fiscal balance to GDP Indonesia fiscal balance to GDP
Source: CEIC, India Ministry of Statistics, World Bank, Trimegah Research Source: CEIC, BPS, India Ministry of Statistics, Trimegah Research
Figure 18. India’s budget deficit to GDP Vs. India’s equity market Figure 19. India’s average bank loan growth has been relatively
(Nifty 500) stable since 2008, closely resembling Indonesia's average growth of
13% during the same period, …
(%) (index)
(%)
0.0 18,000
35.0
Jul-15
Jul-20
Aug-17
Aug-22
Jun-13
Nov-13
Apr-14
Feb-15
May-16
Jun-18
Nov-18
Apr-19
Sep-19
May-21
Mar-22
Jun-23
Sep-14
Dec-15
Mar-17
Jan-18
Feb-20
Dec-20
Jan-23
Oct-16
Oct-21
-1.0 16,000
30.0
-2.0
14,000
25.0
-3.0
12,000 20.0
-4.0
10,000 15.0
-5.0
8,000 10.0
-6.0
6,000 5.0
-7.0
4,000 0.0
-8.0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
-9.0 2,000 -5.0
-10.0 -
India banks loan growth Indonesia banks loan growth
India budget deficit to GDP Nifty 500 index (RHS)
Source: CEIC, India Ministry of Statistics, Bloomberg, Trimegah Research Source: Reserve Bank of India, OJK, Trimegah research
Figure 20. … although their banks’ NPL has been relatively higher Figure 21. India’s market significantly outperforms Indonesia over
the past 10 years
8.0
300%
250%
6.0
200%
4.0
150%
2.0
100%
64%
0.0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 50%
India banks NPL Indonesia banks NPL 0%
Indonesia JCI 10 years performance India Nifty 500 10 years performance
Source: Reserve Bank of India, OJK, Trimegah research Source: Bloomberg, Trimegah research
Indonesia JCI 10 years forward P/E re-rating/de- India Nifty 500 10 years forward P/E re-rating/de-
rating (x) rating (x)
14.6 14.5 25.0
14.4 19.4
20.0
14.2
15.0 13.7
14.0 13.9
10.0
13.8
13.6 5.0
13.4 0.0
Feb 2014 Feb 2024 Feb 2014 Feb 2024
The vast land area comes with abundant natural resources that will be pivotal for Indonesia’s
sustained growth moving forward. Notable natural resources that will be key for Indonesia’s
future are nickel, bauxite, copper, crude palm oil, and geothermal. This extensive landmass
and the absence of a winter season afford Indonesia the distinct advantage of three harvest
periods annually, thereby enhancing its competitiveness in the agricultural sector.
Indonesia positions itself as the global epicenter for nickel production. In 2014, the Indonesian
government initiated a policy to ban the export of raw nickel ore, aiming to boost domestic
production of value-added products. However, the policy was temporarily relaxed in 2017 driven
by a budget deficit in 2016. Despite facing criticism and a WTO ruling against the policy, Indonesia
reinstated the export ban in 2020, and it remains in effect. The strategy was successful, as
Indonesia’s nickel export value increased from ~$3bn in 2013 to ~$30bn in 2022.
14,000
12,000
10,000
$mn
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10M23
Indonesia is advancing its nickel downstream pipeline by venturing into battery cell manufacturing
for EVs. The country aims to establish a comprehensive EV battery manufacturing ecosystem,
covering raw material mining, refining, cathode manufacturing, battery cell production, battery
pack assembly, EV manufacturing, charging stations, and recycling facilities. Major multinational
corporations, including LG, CATL, Ford, and Foxconn, have committed a total of $42 billion
(IDR 630 trillion) to support this ambitious initiative, as reported by the Ministry of Investment.
Our rough estimate suggests that EV battery production has the potential to increase the value of
raw materials by over 10 times (from class 1 nickel). Moreover, local battery manufacturing is
expected to drive down domestic EV prices, fostering a more affordable market and likely boosting
the market share of electric vehicles (EVs).
Battery cost ($/kWh) NCA+ NMC 433 NMC 532 NMC 622 NMC 811 LFP
Raw material cost ($/kWh):
Lithium carbonate 11.5 12.3 14.0 12.9 11.5 8.7
Nickel 11.4 6.1 7.6 8.6 10.1
Manganese 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2
Cobalt 0.9 6.1 4.1 3.8 1.7
Phosporus 0.4
Iron 0.2
Others 4.7 6.9 5.0 5.3 4.5 2.7
Material price ($/kWh) 29 32 31 31 28 12
Manufacturing cost ($/kWh) 85 87 82 81 83 69
Pack Cost ($/kWh) 113 119 113 112 111 81
Battery cost (IDRmn) NCA+ NMC 433 NMC 532 NMC 622 NMC 811 LFP
For 60kWh battery:
Material price (IDRmn) 27 30 29 29 26
Pack cost (IDRmn) 105 111 105 104 103
Retail IONIQ 5 battery (60kWh) 300 300 300 300 300
multiplier (x) 11.3 10.1 10.3 10.4 11.5
Indonesia holds the 7th position globally in bauxite reserves and ranks 5th in bauxite production
as of 2022. However, the country is placed 15th in global alumina production and is not included
in the top global aluminum producers by the United States Geological Survey (USGS). This is
attributed to the limited number of aluminum smelters and alumina processing facilities in
Indonesia. Currently, the country produces approximately 250 thousand metric tons (kt) of
aluminum per year, primarily driven by Inalum (Indonesia Asahan Aluminium), a government-
owned aluminum smelting company. Despite being a key exporter of bauxite, Indonesia becomes
a net importer of aluminum as its demand reaches around 1 mn tonnes per annum.
Figure 26. Global bauxite and alumina production and Figure 27. Global aluminium production and aluminium smelter
reserves as of 2022 capacity as of 2022; Indonesia will be a relevant aluminum
player by 2030
Figure 28. We are seeing the effect of raw bauxite export to Figure 29. Aluminium alloys have a >10x value multiplier compared
bauxite export value in 2023 to raw bauxite
7.6
400 7.2 8.0
$mn
$/t
1,500
300
6.0
200 1,000
4.0
100
500
2.0
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10M23
0 0.0
Aluminium ores and concentrates Unwrought aluminium, not alloyed 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10M23
Unwrought aluminium, alloyed Aluminium ores and concentrates Unwrought aluminium, alloyed Multiplier (x, RHS)
Aluminium also plays a key role in Indonesia’s vision to become an end-to-end EV manufacturing
ecosystem. 30% more aluminium is used in EV compared to ICE (Internal Combustion Engine).
Aluminium is a preferred metal for EV due to its lightweight, emission reduction, charging time,
and increasing overall driving range. Aluminium will also play a role in green energy as 1 ton of
aluminium is used for every 1MW of wind turbine and is also used in the manufacturing of solar
panels.
As per the United States Geological Survey (USGS), Indonesia ranked as the 7th largest copper ore
producer globally in 2022, with an output of approximately 920 kt of mined copper. However, the
refined copper production from this mined ore was lower, standing at around 300 kt ranked 15th
globally. In terms of copper reserves, Indonesia holds the 10th position globally. Similar to nickel
and aluminium, the government have banned raw copper ore export except for companies that are
currently building a copper smelter.
We believe that both aluminum and copper are poised to replicate the export value-added success
witnessed with nickel. This strategic move represents a step towards the right direction, particularly
considering Indonesia's previous experience of premature deindustrialization, skipping the
manufacturing-oriented industry phase and moving directly into a less-productive service-oriented
industry.
The focus on aluminum and copper offers Indonesia an opportunity to re-enter industrialization era
and foster economic growth by increasing manufacturing contribution to Indonesia’s GDP. To note
manufacturing sector contribution to Indonesia’s GDP have decreased from 22% to 20.5% in the
past 8 years. Based on UNCTAD studies, falling contribution of manufacturing-to-GDP should
only occur once manufacturing employment-to-total employment reached 30—40%
(currently 14%), or once the GDP per capita reached USD8,100. These benchmarks are
crucial for a country to undergo proper structural development and avoid the middle-
income trap—requirements that Indonesia has yet to fulfill. Re-industrialization presents
Indonesia with a second chance to follow the proper structural development trajectory.
%Manufacturing to GDP
22.5
22.0 22.1
22.0
22.0
21.7
21.6
21.5
21.5 21.4
21.2
21.0
21.0
%
20.8
20.6
20.5
20.5
20.5 20.4
20.0
19.5
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Crude palm oil: protecting our resources by going downstream to be used for local usage
Indonesia and Malaysia together contribute a substantial 84% of the global production of Crude
Palm Oil (CPO), with Indonesia producing 46.7 million tons and Malaysia supplying 18.4 million
tons as of the fiscal year 2022. Despite the current oversupply challenges in the CPO industry, both
nations remain pivotal players. Recognizing the need to address this situation, the Indonesian
government has introduced strategic measures, notably the B35 and B40 programs, mandating the
blending of CPO with biodiesel. It should also be noted that the Ministry of Energy and Mineral
Resources (ESDM) is still finalizing preparations and studies for the B40 test this year. Indonesia
has consistently advanced its biodiesel initiatives, initially introducing B2.5 in 2009, followed by
enhancements to B20 in 2016, reaching B30 in 2023, and aiming for B35 in 2024. Furthermore,
there are talks on a B100 implementation. This strategic push emphasizes increasing domestic
consumption of CPO and decreasing dependence on imported fossil fuels. It is noteworthy that
Indonesia has been a net oil importer since 2003/04. The biodiesel program aligns with the broader
goal of achieving energy security and sustainability.
While these governmental interventions, along with replanting efforts and a moratorium on peat
lands, address immediate concerns related to deforestation, a comprehensive solution demands
broader strategies. To navigate the complexities of the CPO oversupply, there is a call for innovative
approaches, diversification, and differentiation within the industry. Additionally, a review and
potential relaxation of existing laws and regulations concerning CPO production and exports can
contribute to fostering a sustainable and resilient sector. As global demand for CPO continues
amidst projections of a burgeoning world population reaching 10 billion by 2050, a holistic and
forward-thinking approach is imperative to ensure the industry's long-term viability.
Being situated in the highly active seismic zone known as the “Ring of Fire”, Indonesia offers a rich
source of geothermal energy. Thanks to this geographical feature, Indonesia boasts over 300 sites
with an estimated geothermal energy resource and reserves of ~24GW. Currently, the installed
capacity relative to the total potential resource and reserves stands at a mere 8.1%. We believe
that the untapped energy potential presents a readily accessible opportunity for a clean and cheap
energy all across Indonesia especially to satisfy increasing electricity demand from new smelters
and potential mainstream adoption of EV.
One in every five Indonesian citizens within the working population, approximately 27 million
people, is engaged in the agricultural sector. Under Prabowo's advocacy for enhanced self-
sufficiency and reduced dependence on food imports, there is a concerted effort to expand irrigated
farmlands, ensuring consistent output. This strategic approach positions Indonesia favorably to
bolster production, particularly in staples like grain and modified cassava flour (MOCAF), serving
as a wheat substitute. This proactive stance shields the nation from external conditions impacting
food exporters, such as India's grain export interruptions due to El Niño and the Russo-Ukraine
conflict affecting wheat exports.
Indonesia's tropical climate, conducive to accelerated plant growth, coupled with the absence of a
winter season enabling three harvest periods annually, forms a robust foundation for agricultural
expansion. The focus on augmenting agricultural output revolves around both intensification and
extensification. The intensification agenda targets an increase in irrigated fields from 30% to 50%,
leveraging groundwater through advanced pumping systems to reduce reliance on unpredictable
weather for irrigation. Simultaneously, extensification endeavours aim to capitalize on the
vast potential of the 14mn ha of untapped land, ready and waiting for utilization (based
on Prabowo’s book: Strategi Transformasi Bangsa). This dual strategy underscores
Indonesia's commitment to fostering a resilient and self-reliant agricultural landscape.
… and on sea
On the maritime front, Indonesia's territorial waters encompass a vast expanse of 6.4mn km2,
encompassing key areas such as the Natuna Sea and the Malacca Strait. The latter, being one of
the world's busiest and strategically vital shipping routes, witnesses a remarkable 45% of global
shipping traffic. This underscores Indonesia's potential to emerge as a formidable exporter of goods
and commodities in the years ahead. Moreover, Indonesia's strategic geographic and geopolitical
positioning within Southeast Asia positions it as a central hub in shipping routes connecting Oceania
(Australia), South Asia (India), and East Asia (China, including Hong Kong and Taiwan, Japan,
South Korea). This geographical advantage augurs well for Indonesia's prospects as a vital link in
the international trade network.
Marine commodities took a stage in Indonesia's strategic vision for future growth, with a keen eye
on downstream prospects. Notable among these commodities are shrimps/prawns, fish, crabs,
seaweed, and salt. The significance of this focus is underscored by the fact that aquaculture
in Southeast Asia contributed to 22% of global production in 2020, with an impressive
49.4% originating from Indonesia (source: ISEAS Report 2023). The scale of Indonesia's
aquaculture production in 2023 reached a substantial 50mn tonnes. The fishing industry stands as
a robust pillar supporting the well-being of Indonesian citizens, evident in the annual catch of
approximately 12mn tonnes in 2023. This volume not only meets the annual protein needs for
all Indonesian citizens, estimated at 6.3mn tonnes, but also generates a surplus exceeding 5mn
tonnes. Positioned strategically amidst the heaviest international shipping traffic, coupled with its
surplus of high-quality marine products, Indonesia is poised to emerge as a formidable exporter in
the field of aquaculture. This confluence of factors reflects Indonesia's strength in capitalizing on
its marine resources for economic prosperity and global trade.
With a GINI coefficient aligning with the ASEAN average, Indonesia demonstrates comparable levels
of inequality to its regional peers, although there is room for improvement in reducing this figure.
While the country's unemployment rate slightly exceeds the global average of 5.1%, it is the highest
among ASEAN peers; however, it remains a figure that does not raise alarming concerns.
Indonesia's Human Development Index (HDI) aligns with the ASEAN average, signaling sustained
progress in health, knowledge, and living standards in comparison to its regional counterparts
(figure 36). These demographic and socio-economic indicators collectively reflect Indonesia's stable
and promising human resources landscape, poised for continued growth and development.
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