Professional Documents
Culture Documents
India
2024
Residential
Market Update jll.co.in
Q4 2023
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
Q4 2023: At a glance
2
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
However, it is also pertinent to note that both mid-market Above 1.5 Crore 19% 23%
INR (50 Lakh-75 Lakh) and premium segments synergistically fueled Total 100% 100%
23% each of the sales momentum in 2023.
3
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
4
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
5
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
Unsold Inventory
1,00,000
declined by 1% on a Q-o-Q basis as sales outpaced new Bengaluru
80,000
launches. Mumbai, Bengaluru, and Hyderabad together
Pune Delhi
accounted for 65% of the unsold stock. On a y-o-y 60,000
NCR
comparison, larger residential markets of Delhi NCR and 40,000
Chennai
20,000 Kolkata
Bengaluru saw a decline in their unsold inventory levels by
19% and 16.8%, respectively. 0
0 1 2 3 4 5
YTS
The expected time to liquidate unsold inventory declined
An assessment of years to sell (YTS) shows that the expected 155
150 150
time to liquidate the stock has declined by 8 months from
145
2.9 years in Q4 2022 to 2.1 years in Q4 2023, an indication of 140
6
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
Outlook
1
Resilient residential market primed for
2
Sales to be backed by quality launches
3
Increased focus on health,
next level of growth by the developers sustainability and wellness in sync
with changing consumer preferences
Despite elevated interest rates and prices Strategic land acquisition at prime locations
moving northwards, homebuying mood as well as along growth corridors in cities Developers are focusing on launching
remained upbeat, a big thumbs up to is expected to strengthen the supply inflow sustainable products incorporating
the domestic sentiment. The growth across cities. Therefore, a robust supply technology and well-being aspects to
trajectory is likely to continue in 2024 pipeline is projected with many branded cater to the new-age consumers. With
and we expect the residential sales developers having announced new launches evolving consumer preferences, well
to be around 300,000-315,000 units and their entry into newer markets. Also, established developers will continue to
with the assumption that India’s current launch of diversified products such as launch thoughtfully designed homes
GDP growth would sustain with a range plotted developments, low rise apartments, offering a complete ecosystem of social
bound inflation in the economy and a row houses and villaments is expected to infrastructure and integrated townships.
decrease in home loan interest rate by gain momentum. In 2024, we expect the
40-50 bps during the year. residential launches to be around
315,000-320,000 units (9-10% y-o-y growth).
7
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
Delhi NCR
City insights
Kolkata
India
Top seven cities Mumbai
Pune
Hyderabad
Bengaluru
Chennai
8
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
Bengaluru
Residential sales hit an all-time high
• There has been a 7.6% q-o-q drop in project launches in the city during 4Q23.
However, reputed developers like Sobha Developers, Godrej Properties, Casagrand
Builders, Brigade Group and Prestige Group accounted for around 51% of the
Prominent project launches
quarterly launches, indicating rising demand for quality projects among buyers.
• Capital values, which have also been on a steady rise since 2022, recorded a q-o-q Name of project Developer Submarket Number of units
growth of 4.7%, largely driven by strong demand and a steady decline in unsold
inventory in the city. Soul @ Godrej Ananda Godrej Properties Bellary Road 2,210
9
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
Bengaluru
13.80 14.23 15.96 20.00 Key submarkets: New launches
14 13.60 6,500
13.03
12.18 12.20 11.99 12.52 Whitefield 44.39%
12 11.25 11.20 11.75 11.33 11.57
10.39 6,200 Bellary Road 38.70%
10.00
10
Hosur Road 11.72%
INR/ sq ft on BUA
Thousand units
7.94 5,900
8
Key submarkets: Sales
6
5,600 37.57%
Whitefield
4
Bellary Road 25.20%
5,300
2 Hosur Road 22.48%
10
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
Chennai
Sales and launches witness q-o- q growth amid rising demand
• In Q423, Chennai recorded over 3,000-unit sales, primarily driven by demand from
end users. Sales momentum was quite robust in projects by listed and reputed Southern Suburbs Growth CV
developers, who also contributed largely to Q423 launches.The upper-mid and mid Slowing Falling
Western Suburbs
segments together accounted for 39% of sales in the quarter.
• Southern suburbs accounted for about 61% of quarterly sales with most of the Premium
traction observed at Navalur, Padappai, Semmancheri and Pallikaranai locations. CV Decline
Central
Western suburbs closely followed with Manapakkam and Koyembedu contributing Rising Slowing
Off-Central
the most in residential sales.
Northern Suburbs
• Chennai’s residential developers are currently focusing on launch of new projects
across segments to cater to the rising demand from primarily end users as
Prominent project launches
well as investors.
• Due to the adverse weather conditions in Q4, residential capital values in the city Name of project Developer Submarket Number of units
witnessed only a marginal 2.2% q-o-q growth.
Lake vista at
Puravankara Group Southern Suburbs 1,910
Purva Windermere
Data includes only apartments. Row houses, Villas, and Plotted developments are excluded from our analysis
Source: Real Estate Intelligence Service (REIS), JLL Research
11
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
Chennai
7 5,400 Key submarkets: new launches
6.54
Southern Suburbs 98%
6 5,200
Central 2%
5 4.76 5,000
INR/ sq ft on BUA
Thousand units
4 3.43 4,800
3.31 3.24
2.70 3.01 Key submarkets: sales
3 2.56 2.57 4,600
2.40 2.33 2.22 2.43
2.13 Southern Suburbs 61%
2 1.61 4,400
1.54 1.38 Western Suburbs 29%
0.99
1 4,200
Northern Suburbs 5%
0 4,000
Figures in the table represent contribution of submarkets
Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 during the quarter under review
Data includes only apartments. Row houses, Villas, and
New launches (LHS) Sales (LHS) Capital Value (RHS) Plotted developments are excluded from our analysis
Source: Real Estate Intelligence Service (REIS), JLL Research
12
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
Delhi NCR
Residential market remained strong throughout 2023
• In Q4 2023, new launches remained steady. All the new launches were in the high-
end segment this quarter and were priced INR 2.5 crore and above. Overall, in Growth CV
2023, new launches in Delhi NCR stood at 22,707 units, highest since 2015. With the Slowing Falling
authorities intervening to revive the stalled projects, completions in 2023 were at an
all-time high with close to 165,000 housing units getting completed this year. Delhi
• Sales too remained healthy this quarter. A total of 38,407 housing units were sold in Faridabad CV Decline
2023, highest since 2014. Nearly 65% of the sales took place in apartments priced Ghaziabad Rising Slowing
above INR 1 crore this year. Gurugram
Noida
• With the demand and supply increasing on a quarterly basis, prices and rents too
went up. On average, capital values increased by 13% in 2023 as compared to the
Prominent project launches
previous year.
• Gurgaon and Noida are expected to dominate the supply market in 2024. The NCT Name of project Developer Submarket Number of units
of Delhi, which didn’t witness any major launch this year is expected to witness
higher launches in 2024 with developers like TARC, Sawasdee Group and Prestige Smartworld Golf Course
The Edition 956
Developers Extension Road
Constructions expected to launch projects in the city.
Golf Course
Aristocrat Godrej Properties 750
Extension Road
Data includes only apartments. Row houses, Villas, and Plotted developments are excluded from our analysis
Nandaka Ganga Realty New Gurgaon 302
Source: Real Estate Intelligence Service (REIS), JLL Research
13
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
Delhi NCR
Key submarkets: new launches
12 6000.00
10.66
11 10.08 10.14 Gurugram 94%
10.05 5800.00
10 8.99 9.15 9.37
8.53 8.63 8.85 Delhi 3%
9
5600.00
8
INR/ sq ft on BUA
Noida 3%
Thousand units
7 5400.00
6 5.63 5.51 5.65
Key submarkets: sales
5 3.98 5200.00
3.99
4 3.01 Gurugram 50%
2.58 5000.00
3 2.40
Noida 37%
2 4800.00
1 Ghaziabad 9%
0 4600.00
Figures in the table represent contribution of submarkets
Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 during the quarter under review
Data includes only apartments. Row houses, Villas, and
New launches (LHS) Sales (LHS) Capital Value (RHS) Plotted developments are excluded from our analysis
Source: Real Estate Intelligence Service (REIS), JLL Research
14
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
Hyderabad
Demand and launches rise to a historic high in 2023
• Residential sales in the city too witnessed a healthy growth of 19.2% q-o-q and Western Suburbs
recorded a historic high signaling the rise in momentum in the residential market in CV Decline
Northern Suburbs - Villas
the city. The Western Suburbs submarket remained the market leader with a 73.3% Rising Slowing
share of the total apartment sales in the city. Eastern Suburbs
Northern Suburbs - Apts
• Residential market is largely driven by Upper-mid and Luxury segment units (ticket
sizes greater than INR 1 crore), which accounted for 62% of the quarterly sales.
Prominent project launches
• Capital values recorded an increase of 2.7% q-o-q and 9.2% y-o-y in the city during
the quarter. Sales are expected to remain growth oriented in the short to medium Name of project Developer Submarket Number of units
term, owing to rise in demand and upbeat consumer sentiment.
Urbanise The World of Joy Urbanise Projects Western Suburbs 2,043
Rajapushpa
Rajapushpa Aurelia Western Suburbs 1,556
Constructions
Data includes only apartments. Row houses, Villas, and Plotted developments are excluded from our analysis Aparna
Aparna Synergy Phase 1 Northern Suburbs 2,530
Source: Real Estate Intelligence Service (REIS), JLL Research Constructions
15
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
Hyderabad
17.81 Key submarkets: new launches
18 16.84 7,000
Western Suburbs 81%
16 14.93
13.84
13.61 Northern Suburbs 15%
14 12.65 6,000
12.14
12 Eastern Suburbs 3%
INR/ sq ft on BUA
10.74
Thousand units
10 9.03
7.82 8.12 7.80 7.58 5,000 Key submarkets: sales
8 7.65
6.99
6 5.44 Western Suburbs 73%
4.50
4.01 4,000
4 Northern Suburbs 19%
2 Eastern Suburbs 6%
0 3,000
Figures in the table represent contribution of submarkets
Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 during the quarter under review
Data includes only apartments. Row houses, Villas, and
New launches (LHS) Sales (LHS) Capital Value (RHS) Plotted developments are excluded from our analysis
Source: Real Estate Intelligence Service (REIS), JLL Research
16
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
Kolkata
Uptrend in sales and launches continues during the quarter
• The East sub-market had most of the new launches at 72%, followed
by North at 21%. Prominent project launches
• There were no launches in the affordable segment ( apartments priced below INR Name of project Developer Submarket Number of units
50 Lakh), while launches in the segment between INR 75 Lakh-1 crore had a five-fold
increase in Q4 2023, indicating a shift in supply.
Serena Siddha East 900
• Capital values increased by almost 1% q-o-q in Q4 2023. The average price of new
launches are expected to increase further in the upcoming quarters. Purti NPR North 286
The Varanda
Data includes only apartments. Row houses, Villas, and Plotted developments are excluded from our analysis
Source: Real Estate Intelligence Service (REIS), JLL Research
17
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
Kolkata
8 4,600 Key submarkets: new launches
7.23
East 72%
7 6.23
4,500
North 21%
6
4,400
INR/ sq ft on BUA
5
Thousand units
4.37
3.95 3.99
4 3.81 3.58 3.68 4,300 Key submarkets: sales
3.31 3.22 3.16
2.98 2.66 33%
3 2.50 East
2.34 4,200
1.91
2 North 28%
1.21
4,100
1 0.57 South 21%
0 4,000
Figures in the table represent contribution of submarkets
Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 during the quarter under review
Data includes only apartments. Row houses, Villas, and
New launches (LHS) Sales (LHS) Capital Value (RHS) Plotted developments are excluded from our analysis
Source: Real Estate Intelligence Service (REIS), JLL Research
18
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
Mumbai
Demand and launches rise to a historic high in 2023
• In Q4 2023, new launches stood at 19,755 units, slightly lower than previous quarter
however it witnessed 22% growth y-o-y and recorded a historic high in 2023. Around Growth CV
43% of the new launches were in the price bracket of INR 50 lakh to 1.5 crore. Slowing Falling
• Overall sales saw a 1.5% growth q-o-q and 27.2% growth y-o-y, recording a historic South Mumbai
North Mumbai
high in 2023. Sub-markets of Navi Mumbai, Thane and Western Suburbs II accounted
South Central Mumbai CV Decline
for 63.4% of the quarterly sales. Nearly 29% of the sales were concentrated in the INR 50
Eastern Suburbs I Rising Slowing
lakh -1 crore segment during the quarter. It is interesting to note that 35% of the sales Western Suburbs I
took place in the above 1.5 crore price segment. Western Suburbs II
Thane
Navi Mumbai
• Capital values witnessed a moderate growth in Q4 2023 and are expected to see a
marginal rise over the next few quarters.
Prominent project launches
• Major infrastructure developments expected in the next 1 to 2 years will boost both
sales and launches. Also, with the ongoing economic recovery and rising demand for Name of project Developer Submarket Number of units
residential properties, the sector is expected to perform better in the mid to long term.
Oberoi Forestville Oberoi Realty Thane 1,257
19
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
Mumbai
21.87 Key submarkets: new launches
22 18,000
19.20 19.76
20 Navi Mumbai 38%
18 17.51 16.87 16.75
16.29 16.45 16.51 16,000 Thane 22%
16
13.35 13.20
INR/ sq ft on BUA
14 12.99 Eastern Suburbs I 15%
Thousand units
12.16 14,000
12 11.64 11.48 11.46
10 Key submarkets: sales
7.01 12,000
8 Navi Mumbai 25%
5.60
6
10,000 Thane 23%
4
2 Western Suburbs II 16%
0 8,000
Figures in the table represent contribution of submarkets
Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 during the quarter under review. Mumbai includes Mumbai
city, Mumbai suburbs, Thane city and Navi Mumbai . Data
includes only apartments. Row houses, Villas, and Plotted
New launches (LHS) Sales (LHS) Capital Value (RHS)
developments are excluded from our analysis
Source: Real Estate Intelligence Service (REIS), JLL Research
20
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
Pune
Quarterly residential sales at an all-time high
• Around 13,335 units were launched in Q4 2023, showing a decline of 24% q-o-q as
well as a decline of 5% y-o-y. The majority of the new launches took place in the Growth CV
premium segment (INR 1 crore - INR 1.5 crore) followed by the mid segment Slowing Falling
(INR 50 lakh - INR 75 lakh).
• In Q4 2023 a total of 13,960 units were sold, showing a growth of 4% growth North
CV Decline
q-o-q as well as 42% y-o-y. Majority of the sales took place in the mid segment North-East Rising Slowing
(INR 50 lakh - INR 75 lakh) followed by upper-mid (INR 75 lakh-INR 1 crore) segment. North-West
South-West
• Overall capital values in the city in Q4 2023 settled at INR 7,272 per sq ft, increasing by South-East
Prime
0.3% q-o-q as well as by 4% y-o-y.
• In the short term, both supply and demand are expected to maintain a steady Prominent project launches
momentum, especially in the North, North-West and North-East sub-markets.
The growth will be driven by land availability at a cheaper rate, new infrastructure Name of project Developer Submarket Number of units
upgrades, and the presence of IT hubs in Hinjewadi, Kharadi and Industrial hub in
Chakan-Talegaon. Pegasus Winds Of Joy Project A Pegasus Properties North-West 711
Data includes only apartments. Row houses, Villas, and Plotted developments are excluded from our analysis
Megapolis Shimmer A1 Kumar Properties North-West 511
Source: Real Estate Intelligence Service (REIS), JLL Research
21
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
Pune
Key submarkets: new launches
20 7,500
18 17.44 17.52 North 28.1%
16.34 6,500
16 13.44 13.96 North-West 25.8%
14.08 13.32
14 13.10 13.16
INR/ sq ft on BUA
12.48 5,500
Thousand units
22
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
Annexure I
Residential Submarket Definition
23
Residential Market Update: Q4 2023
Annexure I
Residential Submarket Definition
Alipur, Ballygunje, Hastings, Ho-chi-Minh, Park Street, Altamount Road, Babulnath, Charni Road, Chowpatty, Boat Club Road, Koregaon Park, Bund Garden Road,
Elgin Road, Rowden, Louden, Little Russel Street, Cuffe Parade, Dadar West, Elphinstone, Gamdevi, Charni Prime Shivaji Nagar, Senapati Bapat Road, Dhole Patil
Central South Road, Grant Road, Hughes Road, Jacob Circle, Lower Road, Deccan, Kalyani Nagar
chowranghee, Belbedrie Raod, Alipur Park Road, New
Road, GuruSaday Road Mumbai Parel, Mahalaxmi, Mazgaon, Mumbai Central, Nana
Viman Nagar, Nagar Road, Kharadi, Wadgaon Sheri,
Chowk, Napeansea Road, Peddar Road, Prabhadevi, North East
PA Shah Rd, Sealdah, New Alipur, Jodhpur Park, Wagholi, Mundhwa
Secondary Tardeo, Worli, Worli Naka, Worli Seaface
Southern Avenue, Gol Park, Hindustan Park Hadapsar, Magarpatta, NIBM, Kondhwa, Wanowarie,
South Byculla, Chembur, Dadar East, Deonar, Govandi, Mahim,
East EM Bypass, Rajarhat, Topsia, Salt Lake, Kankurgachi South East Bibvewadi, Sopan Baug, Salunkhe Vihar,
Central Matunga, Parel, Parel-Sewri, Sewri, Sion, Tilak Nagar,
Mohammedwadi
VIP Road, Jessore Road, Shyam Bazaar, Mumbai Upper Parel, Wadala
North Aundh, Baner, Hinjewadi, Pashan, Wakad, Bavdhan,
Magdhyamgram North West
North Bandra, BKC, Juhu, JVPD, Kalina, Khar, Santacruz, Pimple Saudagar
Joka, Diamond Harbour Road, Behala, Thakuriya,
South Kasba, Jadavpur, Tollygunje, Sonargaon, Mumbai Upper Juhu South West Kothrud, Katraj, Singhad Road, Dhankawadi, Warje
BL Shah Road
Western North Pimpri, Chinchwad, Akurdi, Bhosari, Nigdi
Howrah, Dankuni, AC Market, Dobson Road, Foresor Andheri, Goregaon, Jogeshwari, Versova, Vile Parle
West Suburbs I
Road, Uttarpara
Western
Malad, Kandivali, Borivali, Madh Island, Dahisar
Suburbs II
Eastern Bhandup, Chandivali, Ghatkopar, Kanjurmarg, Kurla,
Suburbs I Mulund, Nahur, Powai, Vidyavihar, Vikhroli
Pokharan Road, Ghodbunder Road, Glady Alwares Road,
Thane Kolshet Road, Eastern Express Highway, Wagale Estate,
Naupada, Panchpakhadi, Khopat
Airoli, Rabale, Ghansoli, Koparkhairne, Mahape,
Turbhe, Vashi, Sanpada, Juinagar, Nerul, Seawoods,
Navi CBD Belapur, Kharghar, Kamothe, Kalamboli,
Mumbai New Kalamboli, Roadpali, Taloja, Panvel, Chiple, Adai,
Karanjade, Navade, New Panvel, Ulwe, Dronagiri, JNPT,
Nhava Sheva, Uran
24
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Authors
All India Mumbai & Pune Delhi NCR Hyderabad For over 200 years, JLL (NYSE: JLL), a leading global
Siva Krishnan Ritesh Mehta Sanat Maheshwari R Naveen Kumar commercial real estate and investment management
MD - Chennai & Coimbatore City Lead City Lead City Lead company, has helped clients buy, build, occupy,
Head Residential Services Residential Services Residential Services Residential Services
manage and invest in a variety of commercial,
siva.krishnan@jll.com ritesh.mehta@jll.com sanat.maheshwari@jll.com rnaveen.kumar@jll.com
industrial, hotel, residential and retail properties. A
Fortune 500® company with annual revenue of $20.9
billion and operations in over 80 countries around
Bengaluru Chennai the world, our more than 105,000 employees bring
Vijay Murugan Rajeev Sreenivasa the power of a global platform combined with local
City Lead City Lead expertise. Driven by our purpose to shape the future
Residential Services Residential Services
of real estate for a better world, we help our clients,
vijay.murugan@jll.com sreenivasarajeev.b@jll.com
people and communities SEE A BRIGHTER WAYSM.
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COPYRIGHT © JONES LANG LASALLE IP, INC. 2024. This report has been prepared solely for information purposes and does not necessarily purport to be a complete analysis of the topics discussed, which are inherently unpredictable. It has been based on sources we
believe to be reliable, but we have not independently verified those sources and we do not guarantee that the information in the report is accurate or complete. Any views expressed in the report reflect our judgment at this date and are subject to change without notice.
Statements that are forward looking involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause future realities to be materially different from those implied by such forward-looking statements. Advice we give to clients in particular situations may differ from
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