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Forewords 04
Sector landscape 06
Embracing technology 22
The Indian real estate sector has seen a V-shaped recovery The real estate sector is one of the oldest and globally most
braving a slump, surging ahead with expansion and recognised sectors. It is among the 14 major sectors in terms of
demonstrating astounding resilience throughout despite direct, indirect and induced effects in all sectors of an economy.
geo-political uncertainties, impending global recession, rising
interest rates and construction costs. The industry proved its In India, the real estate sector is the second-highest employment
prowess by registering a 68% y-o-y increase during 2022 and generator, after the agriculture sector, and has been
increased investment of 19% in FY21, clearly highlighting its contributing nearly 5%-6% to the Indian GDP. Going forward,
investment opportunities in India and globally. The government’s the real estate sector is likely to grow and contribute up to
continued focus was evident in the enhanced budgetary 15%-18% to the Indian GDP by 2030.
allocations to Pradhan Mantri Jan Arogya Yojana (PMJAY) and
In the Amrit Kaal, the real estate segments, including residential,
Smart Cities with a strong focus on ESG and sustainability in
retail, commercial, and hospitality, are likely to showcase
the built environment.
descent growth, as these are well prepared for further growth
As the industry continues to embrace technology, it will usher by improving corporate environment and the demand for office
in a significant shift in customer and investor experience, and space, as well as urban and semi-urban accommodation.
most importantly we will witness developers embarking on
The Indian real estate sector is expected to touch the USD
creating sustainable buildings using technology. AI and robotics
1 trillion mark by 2030, with affordable housing playing a
will bring in a paradigm shift in the approach of devising
significant role in the growth. The affordable housing segment
sustainable buildings and achieving economies of scale.
was granted the infrastructure status, and it has helped in
Today, the real estate sector is one of the highest contributors obtaining loans at preferential or lower rates, with the benefits
to Indian GDP and is projected to contribute 18% to the GDP being passed on to end-consumers as savings.
by 2030 as more segments such as warehousing, logistics,
A number of factors have contributed to this growth, including
industrial parks, data centres, student housing, co-living and
rapid urbanisation, the growing emergence of nuclear families,
senior assisted living fuel and usher in an era of growth.
rising income levels of population, new real estate developers
This report chronicles the story of the sector’s resilience and entering the sectors and availability of financial options for
takes a sneak peek at what the future holds for the sector as developers as well as home buyers.
India embarks on its journey through the Amrit Kaal to 2047.
The focus of the government has been on empowering every
stakeholder involved in the process, especially developers who
are capable of spurring the development of quality products
and infusing the much-needed stability in the market.
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
650 1,000
200
0 120 180
Source: IBEF
(mn sq. ft.) (mn sq. ft.) (mn sq. ft.) (units)
Source: CBRE 2023 India Market Outlook, March 2023; JLL Residential Market Update, Q4 2022
Logistics 4% 22%
Space take-up in 2022 almost touched the
During FY 22, decline Y-o-Y growth in space
2019 peak; supply addition picked up pace
on a Q-o-Q basis take-up in Q4 2022
in Q4. The demand was predominantly driven
by 3PL and e-commerce players, accounting
for almost 60% of the total demand in FY 22.
The millennial generation, hybrid work model, This segment has been largely unorganised and
technology start-ups and gig culture have triggered a fragmented. It may see some momentum as universities
demand for co-working spaces in Tier I and Tier II cities, and colleges reopen their campus, with students now
comprising almost 20% of the office segment. preferring low-density, clean accommodations with
amenities. The segment may attract investments from
• The co-working segment reported a valuation of private players.
USD 2.2 billion by 2022.
• India’s co-working space market is all set to pass
50 million sq. ft. by 2023.
Similar to co-working spaces, demand is expected to While data centres have been notified as infrastructure
increase for co-living and shared housing, which allows assets, with an expected capacity addition of 681
the resident to share space at an affordable price. megawatts by the end of 2024, it will also boost the
demand for real estate.
• As per research by JLL, India’s co-living market is
expected to increase at a strong CAGR of 17% in
the next five years to expand to a nearly
INR 1 trillion market.
India’s aging population is expected to reach 320 The National Logistics Policy, which outlines a
million in 2050. With a change in India’s demographics, tech-enabled, cost-efficient and integrated logistics
the demand for senior-assisted living is expected to gain industry, will provide impetus to the RE sector. With an
traction as the population of financially independent, increasing focus on ‘Make in India’ and the growth of
upwardly mobile, educated senior citizens and e-commerce, warehousing is poised for growth as
returning NRIs continues to rise. multi-modal logistics parks and industrial corridors
gather pace.
Over the last decade, various government policies and initiatives have directly or
indirectly contributed to the development of the Indian RE sector.
Pradhan Mantri
Smart Cities Mission
Awas Yojana - Urban
100
INR 1.20 crore Cities
2,243 5,627
Houses sanctioned
Ongoing projects Completed projects
INR 0.75 lakh crore INR 1.06 lakh crore
INR 1.10 crore
Houses grounded
41% 59%
INR 73.45 lakh INR 1.64 lakh Cr INR 0.39 lakh crore
Houses completed Total area based Total plan city
development cost solution cost
INR 2.02 lakh crore Completed projects Ongoing projects
The stock of green-certified buildings has witnessed a five-fold increase in 2022 compared to 2010. As a part of their short-term
goals on ESG, listed developers are targeting to increase their green portfolio by about 25% by 2025-2030 and increase the use
of renewable energy sources.
ESG has assumed significance globally, as private investors Buildings leave a significant carbon footprint and account
have also committed to adherence to ESG. There are no for one-third of global energy consumption. With Indian cities
specific ESG laws in India, and regulations are limited to expected to add 416 million urban dwellers by 2050, urban
providing protections with no rules around controls and development is likely to impact carbon emissions significantly.
disclosures. SEBI has approved a regulatory framework for As part of its focus on green growth, the government should
ESG disclosures by top listed companies in India to undertake address this aspect and implement measures to promote a
sustainability reporting on 50 performance indicators. circular economy in the RE sector. The objective of sustainable
Separately, the Companies Act 2013 has specific provisions cities is to enable the real estate sector to follow the circular
around corporate social responsibility. This makes it imperative economy model, which facilitates the efficient use of resources
for India to introduce appropriate regulations for ESG with minimal waste. It can also mean creating buildings by
compliance, reporting and disclosure. using sustainable and reusable designs with recycled and
repurposed materials that are efficient to manage in
the long run.
3,500
3,000
the commercial real estate space, as they gradually foray into 1,000
other segments. With rising interest rates and looming global 500
932 783
6 50
5.2 43
45
5 40
4
35
4
30
3 2.5 2.6 25
18
1.9 20
1.8
2 15 12 12
9
0.9 0.9 10 6
1 0.7 0.6 4 5
0.5 3
5 2 1 2
0.1
0 0
M&A PE IPO QIP M&A PE IPO QIP
• To date, there are three listed REITs, all holding commercial • REITs need to have a minimum asset size of INR 5,000 million,
real estate, and one registered REIT to hold retail assets. The with a minimum offer size of INR 2,500 million. This requires
total funds raised by REITs is INR 15,250 crore. Nexus Select the sponsor to identify a sizable asset portfolio before it can
Trust, a registered REIT to hold retail assets is expected to file be migrated into a REIT structure.
for initial public offering in 2023.
• The universe of eligible asset class which can be held
under a REIT covers buildings, warehouses, car parks and
hotels but excludes those falling within the purview of
‘infrastructure’, unless it forms part of composite real estate
projects. Mortgage REITs are not permitted in India.
NCR – 7% Chennai – 3% -
Taking cue from global experience and considering the REIT-able assets available in India, REITs will definitely take off as the
ecosystem evolves.
Particulars Closed
7,000
6,199
6,000 Appeal/ Withdrawal Approval of
Commencement
review/ under resolution
5,000 of liquidation
4,199 settled Section 12 A plan
4,000
20.73%
Total CIRP
3,000 894 793 611 1,901
20.36% 2,000 cases
2,000
1,285
855 21.50% Real estate
1,000 430 243 197 78 337
cases
0
Admitted Closed Ongoing Real estate
Total CIRP cases Real estate cases cases as a %
27.18% 24.84% 12.77% 17.73%
of total
CIRP cases
There are various other important orders by courts under Another positive intent by the government to resolve distressed
the regime of IBC and otherwise, which have enabled taking assets is reflected in the MCA discussion paper released in
necessary steps in the resolution of distressed assets under real January 2023 where MCA has invited comments from public
estate industry. for various matters pertaining to IBC including improving
outcomes in real estate cases.
The emerging investors’ interest can be seen in the successful
and ongoing CIRP cases. One such real estate CIRP case is
Jaypee Infratech Limited (JIL), which has more than 20,000
homeowners and its resolution plan has been recently “With the evolving landscape of CIRP, series of landmark
approved by NCLT. The resolution plan also considers raising judicial orders, various steps by the government to
debt and indicates expression of interest (EOI) received improve investment, and IBBI’s continued efforts to
from financial investors for such debt. This case also saw address the critical complex issues relating to real estate
participation by National Asset Reconstruction Company insolvency matters involving homebuyers, the probability
Limited (NARCL, the Bad Bank) in the form of assignment of of having successful resolutions in distressed assets in the
debt owed to lenders of JIL. real estate sector is likely to get improved, which will allow
for an established ecosystem for early and successful
The government of India has additionally taken further steps resolution of distressed real estate assets.”
to revive the distressed residential real estate projects by
incorporating an alternative investment fund named SWAMIH Surendra Raj Gang
Investment Fund, which has been mandated to provide last-mile Partner, Recovery & Reorganisation,
construction funding for stalled residential real estate projects Grant Thornton Bharat
pertaining to affordable housing/mid income category.
Success stories
In recent times, various firms have been able to implement
technology into their real estate businesses with impressive
outcomes.
Pranav Kaushik
Partner, dGTL - Digital Transformation,
Grant Thornton Bharat
Contributors
Surendra Raj Gang
Pranav Kaushik
Gaurav Khera
Eva Tewari