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IE 434 Take Home Exam Fall 2023

Total Marks 45

A small burger shop opens daily from 2.30 pm to 11.30 pm. Customers
arrival time can be modeled according to a non-stationary Poisson
process in which the mean arrival rate varies during the opening hours.
First it remains constant at 15 customers per hour till 8.30 pm, then it
increases linearly from 15 to 20 per hour during the next half an hour,
then it remains constant at 20 per hour for the next one hours, before it
decreases linearly from 20 to 11 per hour during the last hours. In
addition, the shop sells four types of burgers: hamburgers, cheeseburgers,
double cheeseburgers, and chicken burgers. The probability of a customer
ordering a hamburger is 5%, a cheeseburger is 60%, a double
cheeseburger is 25% and a chicken burger is 10%.

a) It is now 8.15 pm, and the last customer entered the shop was 3
minutes ago, what is the probability that 35 customers will enter the shop
before 10.15 pm?

b) What is the probability that less than 115 customers will enter the shop
between 2.30 pm and 8.30 pm?

c) What is the probability that at least 5 customers will order


cheeseburgers between 4.45 pm and 5.15 pm?

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