Common page: Course number: MA20205/ MA20104 Course name: Probability and Statis-

tics

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 Special Instructions
1. There are total 7 questions in this paper.

2. There are total 20 number of pages.

3. Final answer to each question or sub-question must be clearly written in the box provided.

4. Total marks: 30

5. Students may take extra rough pages if needed.

6. Extra rough pages must be attached and submitted with this question booklet.

Rough work

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Q1 Let X be a normal random variable with mean µ and variance 2 such that

Prob (X > 4) = Prob (X < 2) = 0.1587.

Find the values of the followings.

(a) µ = [1 mark]

(b) 2 = [1 mark]

(c) Let m be the median of X. Then

E(X m)4 = [2 marks]

Let (x) be the CDF of the standard normal random variable. (1) = 0.8413
(Answers should be correct up to three decimal places, error range: 0.005)

Solution:

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Q2. (a) Let X be a random variable with the pdf given as follows. For some a > 0 and b > 0,
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(a) (b) a
fX (x) = x 1
(1 x)b 1
for 0 6 x 6 1.
(a + b)
1 1
Further, assume that E(X) = and Var(X) = . Then compute the following.
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✓ ◆
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i. fX = [1 mark]
2

ii. The third quartile of X is [1 mark]

iii. E(X 4 ) = [1 mark]

(b) Let X be a random variable with cdf F , E(X) = 2, V ar(X) = 2. Let X1 , . . . , X5 be

random variables with same cdf as X. Find E(X12 ) + · · · + E(X52 ).

Answer: [3 marks]

(Answers should be correct up to three decimal places, error range: 0.005)

Solution:

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Q3. IITKGP buses arrive at Azad Hall at 10-minutes interval starting at 7:30 AM. A student
arrives at the stop at a time that is uniformly distributed between 7:30 AM and 8:00 AM.
Then the probability that the student waits

(a) less than 4 minutes for a bus is [2 marks]

(b) at least 7 minutes for a bus is [2 marks]

(Answers should be correct up to three decimal places, error range: 0.005)

Solution:

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Q4. Let the moment generating function of a random variable X be given by
1 tj
X 1
e
M (t) = .
j!
j=0

Then find the probability of the event X = 2.

Answer: [4 marks]

(Answer should be correct up to three decimal places, error range: 0.005)

Solution:

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Q5. A cricket club team is playing well and their chance to win any game is 55% and the results
of games are independent of one another.

(a) What is the probability that they will have the 3rd win in the 6th game?

Answer: [2 marks]

(b) What is the expected value of the number of games they will take to win 4 games?

Answer: [1 mark]
(c) What is the standard deviation of the number of games they will take to win 4 games?

Answer: [1 mark]

(Answers should be correct up to three decimal places, error range: 0.005)

Solution:

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Q6. Suppose there are 11 boxes numbered 1, 2, . . . , 11 and ten identical balls placed one each in
the boxes 1 to 10. In one operation a ball is chosen at random and placed in the box which
was already empty. Find the probability that the 5th box will remain empty after four such
operations.

Answer: [4 Marks]

(Answer should be correct up to three decimal places, error range: 0.005)

Solution:

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Q7. A portion of an electrical circuit is displayed in the following figure. The switches operate

Figure 1: Circuit

independently of each other and the probability that each relay closes when the switch is
thrown is displayed by the switch.
(a) Find the probability the circuit C1 is active. [1 mark]

Answer:

(b) Find the probability the circuit C2 is active. [1 mark]

Answer:

(c) Find the probability the circuit C3 is active. [1 mark]

Answer:

(d) Find the the probability that current will flow from s to t when the switch is thrown.

Answer: [1 mark]

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Solution:

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Rough Work

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Rough Work

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