Instructor • Learn the best point estimates for the population mean.
• Compute the confidence
interval estimate.
• Solve problems involving
confidence interval estimation. An estimator is a rule or formula for computing an estimate of a parameter based on a random sample drawn from the population. An estimate is a numerical value of the estimator. Example:
In estimating the mean time in
minutes it takes for a student to answer a ten-point quiz in Statistics, A Point Estimation is the process of finding a single value from a random sample of the population to approximate a population parameter. A Point Estimator a formula which when applied on a random sample drawn from the population gives a single value as an estimate of the unknown parameter A Point Estimate single value from a random sample of the population. Example:
Consider the population
consisting of the values 2, 3, 4 and 5. List all possible sample size 3 that can be drawn from the population without replacement. An Interval Estimator is a formula which when applied in a random sample drawn from the population yields a range or an interval of values as an estimate of the true but unknown parameter. An Interval Estimator is generally of the form ESTIMATE ± WIDTH A Confidence Interval Estimate is better to approximate the population parameter by determining a range of values within which the population mean is most likely to be located. A Confidence Interval Estimate is used when some measure of confidence can be attached to the interval estimate in saying that it includes the unknown parameter. A Confidence Interval uses interval estimate to define a range of values that includes the parameter being estimated with a specified level of confidence. A Confidence Interval has the degree of confidence called confidence level or confidence coefficient with values usually chosen are 90%, 95%, and 99%. A Confidence Interval also refers to the probability that the confidence interval contains the true population parameter. A Confidence Interval has value of (1 – α) 100% and the value of α corresponds to the level of significance. (1-α)100% Confidence Interval about the Mean Example 1:
The mean score of a random
sample of 44 Stat 22 students who took the midterm exam is calculated to be 85.
The population variance is known
to be 0.16. Find the 95% confidence interval of the entire Stat 22 students. Example 2:
A survey of the delivery time of
16 orders worth 600 pesos each from Jollibee yielded a mean of 65 minutes and a standard deviation of 5 minutes. Assume that the delivery time is normally distributed.
a. Find a 95% confidence interval of the true
mean delivery time. b. Find a 99% confidence interval of the true mean delivery time. c. Find a 99% confidence interval of the true mean delivery time. Example 3:
The contents of 10 similar containers of
a commercial liquid soap are 10.2, 9.7, 10.1, 10.3, 10.1, 9.8, 9.9, 10.4, 9.6, and 9.8 liters.
a. Find a 95% confidence interval of the true
mean soap content of all such containers assuming a normal distribution.
b. Find a 99% confidence interval of the true
mean soap content of all such containers assuming a normal distribution.
c. Compare the widths of the intervals.
Estimating the Difference Between Two Population Means Estimating the Difference Between Two Population Means Estimating the Difference Between Two Population Means Estimating the Difference Between Two Population Means Estimating the Difference Between Two Population Means Estimating the Difference Between Two Population Means
Example 4:
Two groups of students in Statistics
were subjected to two different teaching techniques. After a month, they were given exactly the same test. A random sample of 60 students were selected in the first group and 50 for the second group. The average score of the first group is 84 with standard deviation of 8, while the average score of the second group is 78 with standard deviation of 6. Estimating the Difference Between Two Population Means
1. a. Find a 90% CI for the difference in the
population means. b. Find a 95% CI for the difference in the population means. c. Find a 99% CI for the difference in the population means.
2. Is it possible that the value of the lower limit
is greater than the upper limit in the confidence interval? Why or why not?
3. Is it possible that the value(s) in the
confidence interval is(are) negative? Justify your answer. Estimating the Difference Between Two Population Means Estimating the Difference Between Two Population Means